Resolution of infertility and number of children: 1386 couples followed for a median of 13 years.

STUDY QUESTION: How common were children among infertile couples? SUMMARY ANSWER: A total of 61.7% of infertile couples presenting for care subsequently had live born children 13.1 years after first being clinically assessed, with a mean of 1.7 children among those who had at least one. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: While the prognoses for infertile couples undertaking specific treatments have been well described, less is known about those not undergoing these treatments or the total number of children. This information is necessary for decision-making in many individual cases; not knowing this has been cited by patients and clinicians as impeding implementation of care. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: The sole provider of specialist fertility care for the two southern-most regions in New Zealand enroled 1386 infertile couples from 1998 to 2005 in a longitudinal study with follow-up on all births until the end of 2014. Couples were followed in care for a median of 1.1 years and median follow-up for births was 13.1 years. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Clinic-collected data were linked to national maternity data to extend follow-up past the end of clinical contact. The primary outcome was the total number of live born children. Hurdle regression was used to investigate factors associated with resolving infertility and the total number of children. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Infertility was resolved with a live birth by 61.7% (95% CI 59.1-64.2%) of couples; just over half of all first births were treatment-dependent. Among couples who resolved their infertility, 55.6% (52.2-58.9%) had at least one additional child and the mean number of children was 1.7. While female age strongly influenced outcomes, one-third of women aged 40-41 years had a child, not significantly less than those in their late 30s. The lowest levels of resolution occurred in women aged ≥42 years, couples who were infertile for >4 years and women with a BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2. Moderate obesity did not affect outcomes. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The main limitation of this study was insufficient data to investigate male factor infertility outcomes. It is also possible that treatment-dependent resolution could be higher in more recent cohorts with the increased use of ART. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Outcomes in these couples are comparable to those seen in other studies in high-income countries despite the relatively low contribution of ART. The prognosis for most infertile couples is positive and suggests many will not require treatment. Further research is needed to inform best practice for women in their early forties or with moderate obesity, and to develop prediction models that are more relevant for the initial management of infertility. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was co-funded by a University of Otago PhD Scholarship and the Department of Women's and Children's Health, University of Otago. There were no competing interests to declare.

Sero-epidemiological assessment of Chlamydia trachomatis infection and sub-fertility in Samoan women.

BACKGROUND: In our recent village-based cross-sectional study, the prevalence of nucleic acid amplification technique (NAAT) diagnosed Chlamydia trachomatis (CT) in sexually active Samoan women was very high (36 %), and test positivity was associated with sub-fertility. We conducted a serological and epidemiological analysis in these participants to identify if serological data can provide further insight into the potential contribution of CT to sub-fertility in this population. METHODS: Serological prediction of CT associated sub-fertility was conducted using a series of commercial tests. The correlation between fertility or sub-fertility, behavioral factors, and serologically predicted CT associated sub-fertility was determined. RESULTS: A positive antibody reaction against the Chlamydia Major Outer Membrane Protein (MOMP) was significantly associated with sub-fertility, with 50 % of infertile women being positive. Serum IgG and IgA antibodies against MOMP correlated with current infection measured by urine NAAT, suggesting longer term infections are common in this population. Chlamydia pneumoniae antibodies were frequently detected in this population (84 %), and unexpectedly, were significantly associated with sub-fertility. CONCLUSIONS: The high prevalence of chlamydial infection and of positive chlamydial sub-fertility results suggests that CT is an important and frequent contributory factor to sub-fertility in this population.

Syphilis surveillance and epidemiology in the United Kingdom.

The aim of this article is to describe trends in infectious syphilis in the UK, and specifically the epidemiology of the London syphilis outbreak, the largest in the UK to date. Analysis of routine surveillance data from genitourinary medicine (GUM) clinics was performed as well as data collection through enhanced surveillance systems. There have been substantial increases in diagnoses of infectious syphilis between 1998 and 2003, with a 25-fold increase seen in men who have sex with men (MSM) (from 43 to 1028 diagnoses); 6-fold (138 to 860) in heterosexual men and 3-fold (112 to 338) in women. The national rise in syphilis was driven by a series of local outbreaks, the first of which occurred in 1997. To date, 1910 cases have been reported in the London outbreak, first detected in April 2001. High rates of HIV co-infection were seen among MSM, with MSM likely to be of white ethnicity and born in the UK. In contrast, heterosexuals were more likely to be of black ethnicity and born outside the UK. Most syphilis infections were acquired in London. MSM bear the brunt of the national resurgence in infectious syphilis. Substantial rises in male heterosexual cases has resulted in a divergence between male heterosexual and female cases, which now requires further investigation.

Syphilis surveillance and epidemiology in the United Kingdom.

The aim of this article is to describe trends in infectious syphilis in the UK, and specifically the epidemiology of the London syphilis outbreak, the largest in the UK to date. Analysis of routine surveillance data from genitourinary medicine (GUM) clinics was performed as well as data collection through enhanced surveillance systems. There have been substantial increases in diagnoses of infectious syphilis between 1998 and 2003, with a 25-fold increase seen in men who have sex with men (MSM) (from 43 to 1028 diagnoses); 6-fold (138 to 860) in heterosexual men and 3-fold (112 to 338) in women. The national rise in syphilis was driven by a series of local outbreaks, the first of which occurred in 1997. To date, 1910 cases have been reported in the London outbreak, first detected in April 2001. High rates of HIV co-infection were seen among MSM, with MSM likely to be of white ethnicity and born in the UK. In contrast, heterosexuals were more likely to be of black ethnicity and born outside the UK. Most syphilis infections were acquired in London. MSM bear the brunt of the national resurgence in infectious syphilis. Substantial rises in male heterosexual cases has resulted in a divergence between male heterosexual and female cases, which now requires further investigation.