ABSTRACT
Background: Participation in the National Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP) can improve individual health through reduced risk of type 2 diabetes and save the healthcare system substantial medical costs associated with a diagnosis of type 2 diabetes and its associated complications. There is less evidence of outcomes and cost savings associated with a fully digital delivery of the DPP. Methods: This study assessed 13,593 members who provided an initial digital weight and subsequently achieved various weight loss and engagement outcomes during their participation in a digital DPP. Analyzed data included both complete observations and missing observations imputed using maximum likelihood estimation. Findings include members' behavioral correlates of weight loss and a literature-based cost-savings estimate associated with achieving three mutually exclusive weight loss or engagement benchmarks: ≥5% weight loss, >2% but <5% weight loss, and completion of ≥4 educational lessons. Results: 11,976 members (88%) provided a weight after 2 months of participation, enabling calculation of their weight nadir. Considering complete data, 97% of members maintained or lost weight. Using the imputed data for these calculations, 32.0% of members achieved ≥5%, 32.4% achieved >2% but <5%, 32.0% maintained ±2%, and 3.6% gained weight. Members who lost the most weight achieved their weight nadir furthest into the program (mean day = 189, SE = 1.4) and had the longest active engagement (mean days = 268, SE = 1.4), particularly compared to members who gained weight (mean nadir day = 119, SE = 3.7; active engagement mean days = 199, SE = 4.9) (both p ≤ 0.0001). Modeled 1-year cost-savings estimates ranged from $11,229,160 to $12,960,875. Conclusions: Members of a fully digital DPP achieved clinical and engagement outcomes during their participation in the program that confer important health benefits and cost savings.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Home blood pressure (BP) monitoring is recommended for people with hypertension; however, meta-analyses have demonstrated that BP improvements are related to additional coaching support in combination with self-monitoring, with little or no effect of self-monitoring alone. High-contact coaching requires substantial resources and may be difficult to deliver via human coaching models. OBJECTIVE: This observational study assessed changes in BP and body weight following participation in a fully digital program called Lark Hypertension Care with coaching powered by artificial intelligence (AI). METHODS: Participants (N=864) had a baseline systolic BP (SBP) ≥120 mm Hg, provided their baseline body weight, and had reached at least their third month in the program. The primary outcome was the change in SBP at 3 and 6 months, with secondary outcomes of change in body weight and associations of changes in SBP and body weight with participant demographics, characteristics, and program engagement. RESULTS: By month 3, there was a significant drop of -5.4 mm Hg (95% CI -6.5 to -4.3; P<.001) in mean SBP from baseline. BP did not change significantly (ie, the SBP drop maintained) from 3 to 6 months for participants who provided readings at both time points (P=.49). Half of the participants achieved a clinically meaningful drop of ≥5 mm Hg by month 3 (178/349, 51.0%) and month 6 (98/199, 49.2%). The magnitude of the drop depended on starting SBP. Participants classified as hypertension stage 2 had the largest mean drop in SBP of -12.4 mm Hg (SE 1.2 mm Hg) by month 3 and -13.0 mm Hg (SE 1.6 mm Hg) by month 6; participants classified as hypertension stage 1 lowered by -5.2 mm Hg (SE 0.8) mm Hg by month 3 and -7.3 mm Hg (SE 1.3 mm Hg) by month 6; participants classified as elevated lowered by -1.1 mm Hg (SE 0.7 mm Hg) by month 3 but did not drop by month 6. Starting SBP (ß=.11; P<.001), percent weight change (ß=-.36; P=.02), and initial BMI (ß=-.56; P<.001) were significantly associated with the likelihood of lowering SBP ≥5 mm Hg by month 3. Percent weight change acted as a mediator of the relationship between program engagement and drop in SBP. The bootstrapped unstandardized indirect effect was -0.0024 (95% CI -0.0052 to 0; P=.002). CONCLUSIONS: A hypertension care program with coaching powered by AI was associated with a clinically meaningful reduction in SBP following 3 and 6 months of program participation. Percent weight change was significantly associated with the likelihood of achieving a ≥5 mm Hg drop in SBP. An AI-powered solution may offer a scalable approach to helping individuals with hypertension achieve clinically meaningful reductions in their BP and associated risk of cardiovascular disease and other serious adverse outcomes via healthy lifestyle changes such as weight loss.
