Is There a Gender Gap in the Birthday-Number Effect? The Case of Lotto Players and the Role of Sequential Choice.

The literature on lottery gambling shows that players do not select numbers randomly, a phenomenon which is called conscious selection. Mainly, players prefer "small" numbers (less than thirty), either because of the existence of small lucky numbers or because they are victims of the so-called birthday-number effect. Because lotto games are parimutuel, such preferences result in poor ticket choices in terms of achieving below average returns. Using data from Belgium, where approximately 10% of the population plays lotto games every week, this paper extends prior literature by documenting the existence of a gender gap in the birthday-number effect, with women displaying a stronger birthday-number effect than men, as well as the non-persistence of the birthday-number effect (and consecutively of the gender gap) when participants are asked to fill in a second lotto ticket immediately after their first one. The disappearance of the birthday-number effect in sequential choices appears to be driven by response speed, with participants being twice as fast to fill in the second ticket compared to the first one. Moreover, we find that participants who bet on their birthday numbers take significantly more time to complete their ticket. Contrary to prior research, we find that the strength of the birthday-number effect is positively related to deliberative number choices, not intuitive and automatic number choices. Our results are robust to controlling for potential confounding effects including those related to participants' age, education, self-esteem, and superstitious beliefs.

Number 19: Another Victim of the COVID-19 Pandemic?

Conscious selection is the mental process by which lottery players select numbers nonrandomly. In this paper, we show that the number 19, which has been heard, read, seen, and googled countless times since March 2020, has become significantly less popular among Belgian lottery players after the World Health Organization named the disease caused by the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 "COVID-19". We argue that the reduced popularity of the number 19 is due to its negative association with the COVID-19 pandemic. Our study triangulates evidence from field data from the Belgian National Lottery and survey data from a nationally representative sample of 500 Belgian individuals. The field data indicate that the number 19 has been played significantly less frequently since March 2020. However, a potential limitation of the field data is that an unknown proportion of players selects numbers randomly through the "Quick Pick" computer system. The survey data do not suffer from this limitation and reinforce our previous findings by showing that priming an increase in the salience of COVID-19 prior to the players' selection of lottery numbers reduces their preference for the number 19. The effect of priming is concentrated amongst those with high superstitious beliefs, further supporting our explanation for the reduced popularity of the number 19 during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Superstitious beliefs, locus of control, and feeling at risk in the face of Covid-19.

Unprecedented uncertainty during the Covid-19 pandemic stimulated anxiety among individuals, while the associated health restrictions contributed to a feeling of loss of control. Prior research suggests that, in times of crisis, some individuals rely on superstitious beliefs as a coping mechanism, but it remains unclear whether superstition is positively or negatively associated with fear of Covid-19 during the pandemic, and the role that individuals' locus of control plays in this regard. In two studies conducted among individuals in Belgium and the U.S., we therefore examined the relationship between superstitious beliefs, locus of control, and feeling at risk of Covid-19. Across both countries, we found that superstition is positively, and internal locus of control negatively, related with feeling at risk of Covid-19. Moreover, in Belgium, the effect of superstition was less pronounced for individuals with a higher level of internal locus of control. The absence of an interaction effect between superstition and locus of control in the U.S. could be explained by this country's higher level of superstitious beliefs and lower level of internal locus of control combined with a stronger feeling of being at risk of Covid-19 or cultural differences such as Belgium's higher uncertainty avoidance compared to the U.S.

Pilot study of a 10-week multidisciplinary Tai Chi intervention in sedentary obese women.

OBJECTIVE: Alternative approaches to weight control and physical activity are increasingly needed. Numerous factors influence weight management, including the choice of physical exercise. No study has previously examined the therapeutic effect of a multidisciplinary weight management program incorporating Tai Chi (TC) exercises among sedentary obese women. DESIGN: Randomized intervention trial with blinded medical provider. SETTING: In day hospital consultations. PARTICIPANTS: Twenty-one obese women. INTERVENTION: All subjects participated in a 10-week weight management program that was part of usual care and included a hypocaloric balanced diet, a weekly physician/psychologist/dietician group session, and an exercise program. For the exercise component, subjects were randomized to either a 2-hour weekly session of TC or a conventional structured exercise program. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Changes in weight, body composition, heart rate, blood pressure, mobility scores, mood, Three Factor Eating Questionnaire scores, and General Self-Efficacy. RESULTS: The TC arm improved in resting systolic blood pressure, chair rise test, mood, and reduced percent of fat at week 10 and at 6 months follow-up. General self-efficacy was enhanced in both groups and maintained at 30 weeks. CONCLUSION: The observed benefits over a 30-week period of a multidisciplinary weight management program incorporating TC exercises on physical functioning mood and dietary restraint need further understanding of how sedentary obese women adhere to physical activity like TC or other alternative exercises.

Reevaluation of the combined dexamethasone suppression-corticotropin-releasing hormone test for differentiation of mild cushing's disease from pseudo-Cushing's syndrome.

CONTEXT: The diagnostic accuracy of the combined dexamethasone suppression test (DST)-CRH test for the differential diagnosis between Cushing's disease (CD) and pseudo-Cushing syndrome (PCS) has recently been debated. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to reevaluate the performance of the DST-CRH test to differentiate CD from PCS and compare it with that of midnight plasma cortisol measurement. SETTING: The study took place at three specialized tertiary care university hospitals. DESIGN: Fourteen patients with PCS and 17 patients with CD matched for 24-h urinary free cortisol were retrospectively studied. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Diagnosis or exclusion of CD was the main outcome measure. RESULTS: A 55 nmol/liter cortisol concentration after dexamethasone (DST) yielded 94% sensitivity, 86% specificity, and 90% diagnostic accuracy. Using the historical 38 nmol/liter threshold for plasma cortisol 15 min after CRH administration, the DST-CRH test achieved 100% sensitivity, 50% specificity, and 77% diagnostic accuracy. Increasing the threshold to 110 nmol/liter improved the specificity and diagnostic accuracy to 86 and 93.5%, respectively. However, diagnostic accuracy was not significantly different from that of the DST. A midnight plasma cortisol concentration of more than 256 nmol/liter was consistent with the diagnosis of CD with 100% sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic accuracy. CONCLUSION: The diagnostic performance of the DST-CRH test for the differential diagnosis between PCS and mild CD was lower than previously reported. Although the specificity of the test is improved using a revised cortisol threshold, its diagnostic accuracy is not better than that of the standard DST. Our study supports the preferential use of the DST and midnight plasma cortisol measurement as first-line diagnostic tests in equivocal cases.

Corticosteroid binding globulin gene polymorphism influences cortisol driven fat distribution in obese women.

Hypothalamo-pituitary-adrenal axis has been reported to influence fat mass distribution in obesity. We investigated the hypothesis that corticosteroid-binding globulin (CBG) polymorphism could influence obesity, metabolic, or hypothalamo-pituitary adrenal (HPA) axis activity parameters. In 44 obese pre-menopausal women, a microsatellite located within the CBG gene was analyzed, providing three genotypes: 86/86 (n = 29), 86/90 (n = 14), and 90/90 (n = 1). No significant difference was found for obesity, metabolic, and HPA axis activity parameters between the genotypes 86/86 and 86/90. Looking for differences in correlations between HPA axis activity parameters and obesity or metabolic parameters between the two genotypes, genotype 86/90 showed a strong correlation between salivary cortisol after dexamethasone (0.25 mg) suppression test and waist-to-hip ratio (r = -0.84, p = 0.0007), whereas this correlation was weaker for genotype 86/86 (r = -0.34, p = 0.09). These data were completed with an analysis of the BclI polymorphism of the glucocorticoid receptor (GR) gene. There was an association between this GR polymorphism and both awakening salivary cortisol and postdexamethasone salivary cortisol but no association for obesity or metabolic parameters. We concluded that CBG gene polymorphisms might modulate the influence of the HPA axis on the fat mass distribution in this population.

Increased cortisol bioavailability, abdominal obesity, and the metabolic syndrome in obese women.

OBJECTIVE: This study was conducted to obtain a detailed profile of hypothalamo-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis activity and reactivity and its differential relationships with body fat distribution and total fat mass in premenopausal obese women. RESEARCH METHODS AND PROCEDURES: Cortisol responses to stimulation (awakening, food intake, exercise) and suppression (0.25 mg dexamethasone), cortisol metabolism, and tissue sensitivity to glucocorticoids were studied in 53 premenopausal obese women grouped according to their waist-to hip ratio: women with abdominal body fat distribution (A-BFD; n = 31) and women with peripheral fat distribution (P-BFD; n = 22). RESULTS: Comparatively, A-BFD women had 1) lower awakening salivary cortisol levels; 2) increased salivary responsiveness to a standardized lunch; 3) similar pituitary sensitivity to dexamethasone but decreased sensitivity of monocytes to dexamethasone; 4) similar 24-hour urinary free cortisol but increased 24-hour urinary ratio of cortisone-to-cortisol; and 5) no difference in corticosteroid binding protein parameters. DISCUSSION: Although abdominal obesity is not very different from generalized obesity in terms of HPA function, subtle variations in HPA axis activity and reactivity are evidenced in A-BFD premenopausal obese women.

Pituitary magnetic resonance imaging findings do not influence surgical outcome in adrenocorticotropin-secreting microadenomas.

The pituitary origin of ACTH secretion in ACTH-dependent hypercortisolism can be difficult to assess, as magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) frequently fails to identify ACTH-secreting microadenomas or, on the contrary, may give false positive images of microadenomas. The choice of therapeutic option for patients with such normal MRI findings is controversial. Some groups propose routinely pituitary surgery, whereas others consider that neurosurgical exploration may be less successful and more harmful, and therefore prefer other types of management. The aim of this study was to compare surgical outcomes between patients with Cushing's disease (CD) and normal vs. positive pituitary MRI findings. Fifty-four patients (44 women and 10 men) with CD, operated on after 1996 in two centers (Kremlin-Bicêtre and Bordeaux) and followed postoperatively during a mean period of 19.9 +/- 22.7 months (range, 1-89 months), were enrolled in this retrospective study. Twenty-eight patients had normal pituitary MRI findings, and the pituitary origin of ACTH was established by bilateral petrosal sinus sampling in all of these cases. Twenty-six patients had positive MRI findings clearly showing a microadenoma. The two groups were not significantly different in terms of the sex ratio, age, frequency of hypertension, or diabetes, basal 24-h urinary free cortisol levels and follow-up. All of the patients were operated on by two experienced neurosurgeons using the same surgical protocol. Selective adenomectomy was performed when a tumor was identified, and subtotal hypophysectomy was performed when the lesion was uncertain or when no tumor was found during surgical exploration. Respectively, 50% and 84% of patients with normal and positive MRI results underwent adenomectomy (P < 0.05). A pituitary adenoma (confirmed by pathological examination) was found at surgery in 53% and 88% of patients in the normal and positive MRI groups, respectively (P < 0.05). The early surgical success rate (combining patients with corticotropic deficiency and patients with eucortisolism) was similar in the normal and positive MRI groups (78% and 88%, respectively; P = 0.85). The recurrence rate was lower in the normal MRI group, but the difference did not reach statistical significance (9% vs. 30%; P = 0.07). The final remission rate at the last visit was similar in the normal and positive MRI groups (72% and 61%, respectively; P = 0.29). Postoperative complications were also similar: 10 patients (36%) with normal MRI and five patients (20%) with positive MRI had at least one postoperative complication (surgical and/or pituitary deficiency; P = 0.12). Thus, the outcome of pituitary surgery in CD appears to be similar regardless of whether pituitary MRI shows a microadenoma. We recommend neurosurgical pituitary exploration as the first-line treatment of CD, provided that the pituitary origin of ACTH secretion is confirmed by bilateral petrosal sinus sampling in patients with normal pituitary MRI findings.

Occult Cushing's syndrome in type-2 diabetes.

Subclinical Cushing's syndrome (SCS) caused by adrenal incidentalomas is frequently associated with overweight and insulin resistance. Metabolic syndrome X may therefore be a clue to the presence of CS. However, the incidence of CS in this situation remains unknown. We have conducted a prospective study to evaluate the prevalence of occult CS in overweight, type-2 diabetic patients devoided of specific clinical symptoms of CS. Two hundred overweight, type-2 diabetic patients, consecutively referred for poor metabolic control (HbA(1C) > 8%), were studied as inpatients. A first screening step was performed with the 1-mg overnight dexamethasone suppression test (DST) using a revised criterion for cortisol suppression (60 nmol/liter) to maximize the sensitivity of the procedure. A second confirmatory step of biochemical investigations (midnight plasma cortisol concentration, plasma cortisol circadian rhythm, morning plasma ACTH concentration, 24-h urinary free cortisol, and 4-mg i.v. DST) was performed in patients with impaired 1-mg DST. A third step of imaging studies was performed according to the results of second-step investigations. Fifty-two patients had impaired 1-mg DST. Among these, 47 were further evaluated. Thirty were considered as false positives of the 1-mg DST, whereas 17 displayed at least one additional biological abnormality of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis. Definitive occult CS was identified in four patients (2% of the whole series) with Cushing's disease (n = 3) and surgically proven adrenal adenoma (n = 1). Definitive diagnosis remains to be established in seven additional patients (3.5%) with mild occult CS associated with unsuppressed plasma ACTH concentrations and a unilateral adrenal tumor of 10-29 mm in size showing prevalent uptake at radiocholesterol scintigraphy. In conclusion, a relatively high prevalence of occult CS was found in our study. Further studies are needed to evaluate the impact of the cure of occult CS on obesity and diabetes mellitus in these patients. Such studies might provide a rationale for systematic screening of occult CS in this population.