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1.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39225781

ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT: When pregnant patients are involved in traumatic incidents, the trauma clinician encounters two patients-both the mother and the unborn child. Advanced trauma life support dictates that the first priority is the life of the mother; however, there are rare situations where to provide the greatest chance of survival for both the mother and baby, an emergency cesarean section (perimortem cesarean delivery [PMCD]) must be performed. The decision to perform this procedure must occur quickly, and the reality is that a board-certified obstetrician is rarely present, particularly in rural areas. In this review, we provide a rationale for why trauma clinicians should be conversant with PMCDs, present the specific time limitations for performing a PMCD, and discuss the technique to perform a successful PMCD that makes it distinctly different from an elective cesarean delivery. Finally, we will discuss some things that a trauma program can do proactively in an obstetrical resource-poor area of the country to prepare for the rare instances where these procedures are necessary.

2.
Shock ; 2024 Aug 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39162220

ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT: Postpartum hemorrhage is the leading cause of preventable maternal illness and death globally, and carries a disproportionately high burden of mortality in low-to-middle income countries. Tranexamic acid, an antifibrinolytic drug, has been widely adopted to control bleeding in trauma and other surgical conditions. Within the last decade, the World Health Organization updated their guidelines for the treatment of postpartum hemorrhage to include the use of tranexamic acid in all cases of postpartum hemorrhage. However, despite these guidelines, and the proven utility of tranexamic acid to treat postpartum hemorrhage, widespread adoption of tranexamic acid into global standards of care across professional organizations has not been achieved. It is important for healthcare providers to understand the etiologies of postpartum hemorrhage, the mechanism of action and adverse effect profile of tranexamic acid, and the available literature regarding the use of tranexamic acid to prevent and treat postpartum hemorrhage to provide the best care for the pregnant patient.

3.
J Surg Res ; 302: 208-221, 2024 Aug 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39106732

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Tranexamic acid (TXA) is a potent antifibrinolytic drug that inhibits the activation of plasmin by plasminogen. While not a new medication, TXA has quickly gained traction across a variety of surgical subspecialties to prevent and treat bleeding. Knowledge on the use of this drug is essential for the modern surgeon to continue to provide excellent care to their patients. METHODS: A comprehensive review of the PubMed database was conducted of articles published within the last 10 y (2014-2024) relating to TXA and its use in various surgical subspecialties. Seminal studies regarding the use of TXA older than 10 y were included from the author's archives. RESULTS: Indications for TXA are not limited to trauma alone, and TXA is utilized across a variety of surgical subspecialties from neurosurgery to hepatic surgery to control hemorrhage. Overall, TXA is well tolerated with common dose-dependent adverse effects, including headache, nasal symptoms, dizziness, nausea, diarrhea, and fatigue. More severe adverse events are rare and easily mitigated by not exceeding a dose of 50 mg/kg. CONCLUSIONS: The administration of TXA as an adjunct to treat trauma saves lives. The ability of TXA to induce seizures is dose dependent with identifiable risk factors, making this serious adverse effect predictable. As for the potential for TXA to cause thrombotic events, uncertainty remains. If this association is proven to be real, the risk will likely be small, since the use of TXA is still advantageous in most situations because of its efficacy for a more common concern, bleeding.

6.
J Intensive Care Med ; : 8850666241246230, 2024 Apr 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38613381

ABSTRACT

Shock is a life-threatening circulatory failure that results in inadequate tissue perfusion and oxygenation. Vasopressors and inotropes are vasoactive medications that are vital in increasing systemic vascular resistance and cardiac contractility, respectively, in patients presenting with shock. To be well versed in using these agents is an important skill to have in the critical care setting where patients can frequently exhibit symptoms of shock. In this review, we will discuss the pathophysiological mechanisms of shock and evaluate the current evidence behind the management of shock with an emphasis on vasopressors and inotropes.

8.
J Trauma Nurs ; 31(2): 57-62, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38484158

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There are 3 pillars upon which the foundation of a teaching program in health care is founded: research, education, and clinical care. However, in a busy academic trauma practice, the unfortunate reality is that research is often a low priority in the frenzy of mandates for clinical productivity. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this report is to advise hospitals on how to create a modest trauma research program that supports research interests without significantly impacting the overall clinical productivity of the department. METHODS: Relevant literature related to the development of an academic trauma research department was reviewed. Relevant articles were then compared to this manuscript to assess the novelty of the topic. RESULTS: There are 4 essential components of a trauma research program: (1) a zealot, (2) institutional commitment and support, (3) a statistician, and (4) registry data access. CONCLUSION: The creation of a trauma research program may seem like a herculean effort, but this work is necessary for institutions hoping to achieve status as a Level I/II trauma center. Following the steps outlined in this report, trauma providers can create a robust research program at their institution without sacrificing clinical productivity.


Subject(s)
Trauma Centers , Humans
9.
Trauma Surg Acute Care Open ; 9(1): e001230, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38420604

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Optimal venous thromboembolism (VTE) enoxaparin prophylaxis dosing remains elusive. Weight-based (WB) dosing safely increases anti-factor Xa levels without the need for routine monitoring but it is unclear if it leads to lower VTE risk. We hypothesized that WB dosing would decrease VTE risk compared with standard fixed dosing (SFD). Methods: Patients from the prospective, observational CLOTT-1 registry receiving prophylactic enoxaparin (n=5539) were categorized as WB (0.45-0.55 mg/kg two times per day) or SFD (30 mg two times per day, 40 mg once a day). Multivariate logistic regression was used to generate a predicted probability of VTE for WB and SFD patients. Results: Of 4360 patients analyzed, 1065 (24.4%) were WB and 3295 (75.6%) were SFD. WB patients were younger, female, more severely injured, and underwent major operation or major venous repair at a higher rate than individuals in the SFD group. Obesity was more common among the SFD group. Unadjusted VTE rates were comparable (WB 3.1% vs. SFD 3.9%; p=0.221). Early prophylaxis was associated with lower VTE rate (1.4% vs. 5.0%; p=0.001) and deep vein thrombosis (0.9% vs. 4.4%; p<0.001), but not pulmonary embolism (0.7% vs. 1.4%; p=0.259). After adjustment, VTE incidence did not differ by dosing strategy (adjusted OR (aOR) 0.75, 95% CI 0.38 to 1.48); however, early administration was associated with a significant reduction in VTE (aOR 0.47, 95% CI 0.30 to 0.74). Conclusion: In young trauma patients, WB prophylaxis is not associated with reduced VTE rate when compared with SFD. The timing of the initiation of chemoprophylaxis may be more important than the dosing strategy. Further studies need to evaluate these findings across a wider age and comorbidity spectrum. Level of evidence: Level IV, therapeutic/care management.

10.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg ; 97(2): 165-174, 2024 Aug 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38273450

ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT: Since the beginning of time, man has been intrigued with the question of when a person is considered dead. Traditionally, death has been considered the cessation of all cardiorespiratory function. At the end of the last century a new definition was introduced into the lexicon surrounding death in addition to cessation of cardiac and respiratory function: Brain Death/Death by Neurologic Criteria (BD/DNC). There are medical, legal, ethical, and even theological controversies that surround this diagnosis. In addition, there is no small amount of confusion among medical practitioners regarding the diagnosis of BD/DNC. For families enduring the devastating development of BD/DNC in their loved one, it is the duty of the principal caregiver to provide a transparent presentation of the clinical situation and clear definitive explanation of what constitutes BD/DNC. In this report, we present a historical outline of the development of BD/DNC as a clinical entity, specifically how one goes about making a determination of BD/DNC, what steps are taken once a diagnosis of BD/DNC is made, a brief discussion of some of the ethical/moral issues surrounding this diagnosis, and finally the caregiver approach to the family of a patient who had been declared with BD/DNC. It is our humble hope that with a greater understanding of the myriad of complicated issues surrounding the diagnosis of BD/DNC that the bedside caregiver can provide needed closure for both the patient and the family enduring this critical time in their life.


Subject(s)
Brain Death , Humans , Brain Death/diagnosis , History, 20th Century , Neurologic Examination/methods
11.
J Intensive Care Med ; : 8850666231216360, 2023 Nov 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37981752

ABSTRACT

Injury is both a national and international epidemic that affects people of all age, race, religion, and socioeconomic class. Injury was the fourth leading cause of death in the United States (U.S.) in 2021 and results in an incalculable emotional and financial burden on our society. Despite this, when prevention fails, trauma centers allow communities to prepare to care for the traumatically injured patient. Using lessons learned from the military, trauma care has grown more sophisticated in the last 50 years. In 1966, the first civilian trauma center was established, bringing management of injury into the new age. Now, the American College of Surgeons recognizes 4 levels of trauma centers (I-IV), with select states recognizing Level V trauma centers. The introduction of trauma centers in the U.S. has been proven to reduce morbidity and mortality for the injured patient. However, despite the proven benefits of trauma centers, the U.S. lacks a single, unified, trauma system and instead operates within a "system of systems" creating vast disparities in the level of care that can be received, especially in rural and economically disadvantaged areas. In this review we present the history of trauma system development in the U.S, define the different levels of trauma centers, present evidence that trauma systems and trauma centers improve outcomes, outline the current state of trauma system development in the U.S, and briefly mention some of the current challenges and opportunities in trauma system development in the U.S. today.

12.
Air Med J ; 42(5): 318-327, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37716800

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The benefits of organized trauma systems have been well-documented during 50 years of trauma system development in the United States. Unfortunately, despite this evidence, trauma system development has occurred only sporadically in the 50 states. METHODS: The relevant literature related to trauma system design and development was reviewed based on relevance to the study. Information from these sources was summarized into a SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats) analysis. RESULTS: Strengths discovered were leadership brought forth by the American College of Surgeons Committee on Trauma and meaningful change generated from The National Academy of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine report addressing the fractionation of the nation's trauma systems, whereas weaknesses included patient outcome disparities due to the lack of a national governing authority, undertriage, underresourced rural trauma, and underfunded trauma research. Opportunities included the creation of level IV trauma centers; telemedicine; the development of rural trauma management courses; air medical transport to bring high-intensity care to the patient, particularly in rural areas; trauma research; and trauma prevention through outreach and educational programs. The following threats were determined: mass casualty incidents, motor vehicle collisions because of the high rate of motor vehicle collision deaths in the United States relative to other developed countries, and underfunded trauma systems. CONCLUSION: Much work remains to be done in the development of an American trauma system. Recommendations include implementation of trauma care governance at the federal level; national oversight and support of emergency medical services systems, particularly in rural areas with strict reporting processes for emergency medical services programs; national organization of our mass casualty response; increased federal and state funding allocated to trauma centers; a consistent model for trauma system development; and trauma research.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , Telemedicine , Humans , United States , Trauma Centers
13.
J Intensive Care Med ; 38(4): 327-339, 2023 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36600614

ABSTRACT

Rib fractures are present in 15% of all traumas and 60% of patients with chest traumas. Rib fractures are not life-threatening in isolation, but they can be quite painful which leads to splinting and compromise of respiratory function. Splinting limits the ability of a patient to take a deep breath, which leads to atelectasis, atelectasis to poor secretion removal, and poor secretion removal leads to pneumonia. Pneumonia is the common pathway to respiratory failure in patients with rib fractures. It is noted that in the elderly, each rib fracture increases developing pneumonia by 27% and the risk of dying by 19%. From a public health perspective, rib fractures have long-term implications with only 59% of patients returning to work at 6 months. In this review we will examine the state of art as it currently exists with regard to the management of pain associated with rib fractures. Included in this overview will be a brief review of the anatomy of the thorax and some important physiologic concepts, the latest trends in pharmacologic and noninvasive means of managing rib pain, a special section on epidural anesthesia, some other alternative invasive methods of pain control, and a review of the recent literature on rib plating. Finally, a practical, easy to follow guideline, to manage the patient with pain from rib fractures will be presented.


Subject(s)
Pneumonia , Pulmonary Atelectasis , Rib Fractures , Humans , Aged , Rib Fractures/complications , Rib Fractures/therapy , Pain Management , Chest Pain , Pneumonia/complications
14.
Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg ; 49(1): 335-341, 2023 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36030313

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To investigate the long-term outcomes of using vena cava filters to prevent symptomatic pulmonary embolism (PE) in major trauma patients who have contraindications to prophylactic anticoagulation. METHODS: This was an a priori sub-study of a randomized controlled trial (RCT) involving long-term outcome data of 223 patients who were enrolled in Western Australia. State-wide clinical information system, radiology database and death registry were used to assess long-term outcomes, including incidences of venous thromboembolism, venous injury and mortality beyond day-90 follow-up. RESULTS: The median follow-up time of 198 patients (89%) who survived beyond 90 days was 65 months (interquartile range 59-73). Ten patients (5.1%) died after day-90 follow-up; and four patients developed venous thromboembolism, including two with symptomatic PE, all allocated to the control group (0 vs 4%, p = 0.043). Inferior vena cava injuries were not recorded in any patients. The mean total hospitalization cost, including the costs of the filter and its insertion and removal, to prevent one short- or long-term symptomatic PE was A$284,820 (€193,678) when all enrolled patients were considered. The number of patients needed to treat (NNT = 5) and total hospitalization cost to prevent one symptomatic PE (A$1,205 or €820) were, however, substantially lower when the filter was used only for patients who could not be anticoagulated within seven days of injury. CONCLUSION: Long-term complications related to retrievable filters were rare, and the cost of using filters to prevent symptomatic PE was acceptable when restricted to those who could not be anticoagulated within seven days of severe injury.


Subject(s)
Pulmonary Embolism , Vena Cava Filters , Venous Thromboembolism , Humans , Vena Cava Filters/adverse effects , Pulmonary Embolism/etiology , Pulmonary Embolism/prevention & control , Pulmonary Embolism/epidemiology , Venous Thromboembolism/etiology , Venous Thromboembolism/prevention & control , Contraindications , Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Vena Cava, Inferior , Treatment Outcome
15.
JAMA Surg ; 157(11): 1042-1049, 2022 11 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36129715

ABSTRACT

Importance: Mature trauma systems are critical in building and maintaining national, state, and local resilience against all-hazard disasters. Currently, pediatric state trauma system plans are not standardized and thus are without concrete measures of potential effectiveness. Objective: To develop objective measures of pediatric trauma system capability at the state level, hypothesizing significant variation in capabilities between states, and to provide a contemporary report on the status of national pediatric trauma system planning and development. Design, Setting, and Participants: A national survey was deployed in 2018 to perform a gap analysis of state pediatric trauma system capabilities. Four officials from each state were asked to complete the survey regarding extensive pediatric-related or specific trauma system parameters. Using these parameters, a panel of 14 individuals representing national stakeholder sectors in pediatric trauma care convened to identify the essential components of the ideal pediatric trauma system using Delphi methodology. Data analysis was conducted from March 16, 2019, to February 23, 2020. Main Outcomes and Measures: Based on results from the national survey and consensus panel parameters, each state was given a composite score. The score was validated using US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) fatal injury database. Results: The national survey had less than 10% missing data. The consensus panel reached agreement on 6 major domains of pediatric trauma systems (disaster, legislation/funding, access to care, injury prevention/recognition, quality improvement, pediatric readiness) and was used to develop the Pediatric Trauma System Assessment Score (PTSAS) based on 100 points. There was substantial variation across states, with state scores ranging from 48.5 to 100. Based on US CDC WONDER data, for every 1-point increase in PTSAS, there was a 0.12 per 100 000 decrease in mortality (95% CI, -0.22 to -0.02; P = .03). Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this cross-sectional study suggest that a more robust pediatric trauma system has a significant association with pediatric injury mortality. This study assessed the national landscape of capability and preparedness to provide pediatric trauma care at the state level. These parameters can tailor the maturation of children's interests within a state trauma system and assist with future state, regional, and national planning.


Subject(s)
Cross-Sectional Studies , Humans , Child , Consensus , Databases, Factual
16.
J Vasc Surg Venous Lymphat Disord ; 10(5): 1095-1100.e3, 2022 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35644335

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: In the present study, we investigated the structural integrity of inferior vena cava (IVC) filters after their retrieval. METHODS: A prospective ex vivo biomechanical analysis was performed of the structural integrity of 100 IVC filters used in a randomized controlled trial to evaluate the effectiveness of prophylactic IVC filters in preventing mortality or symptomatic pulmonary embolism in major trauma patients. RESULTS: Of the 100 included patients, 7 (7%) had required more than one attempt to remove the filter. The median duration of the filter left in situ was 54 days (interquartile range, 17-101 days). During the initial attempt to remove six filters (6%), thrombi were found entrapped and required 4 weeks of systemic anticoagulation therapy before the filters could be removed in a second attempt. A positive correlation was found between the duration of the filter left in situ and the loss in metallic elasticity of the nitinol alloy of the filter struts (Pearson correlation coefficient, 0.232; P = .008). One filter was adherent to the IVC wall and required open surgical removal 227 days after its initial placement. One of the six long struts of the filter had been fractured during the removal process, with evidence of hardening to bending stress in the remaining five struts of the fractured filter compared with the struts of the 25 intact filters. Fibrous endothelial tissue (73%) and thrombi (33%) adherent to the retrieved filters were frequently observed. The presence of adherent fibrous tissue was not significantly related statistically to the duration of the filter left in situ (P = .353) but was more common among the patients who had had a delay in receiving prophylactic anticoagulation therapy (mean difference, 2 days; 95% confidence interval, 0.6-3.3; P = .039). CONCLUSIONS: Metallic fatigue might account for IVC filter strut fractures. Fibrous endothelial tissue adherent to the filters was common, especially for those with a delay in receiving prophylactic anticoagulation therapy.


Subject(s)
Pulmonary Embolism , Vena Cava Filters , Anticoagulants , Device Removal/adverse effects , Humans , Prospective Studies , Pulmonary Embolism/prevention & control , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome , Vena Cava, Inferior/surgery
17.
J Thromb Thrombolysis ; 54(1): 115-122, 2022 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34988869

ABSTRACT

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is common in patients after major trauma. Attributable cost of VTE and whether this is related to the severity of injury have not been thoroughly investigated. We aimed to define the hospitalization costs of VTE and assess whether the costs were related to the severity of injury in this prospective economic study. Cost data of each patient enrolled in the da Vinci trial were drawn from hospital finance departments and standardized to 2020 Australian dollars (A$); and Injury Severity Score and Trauma Embolic Scoring System were used to quantify the severity of injury. Of the 223 patients who had complete financial cost data available until day-90 follow-up, 37 (16.6%) developed VTE, including upper limb (n = 3) and lower limb deep vein thrombosis (n = 25), pulmonary embolism (n = 7) and clots entrapped in a vena cava filter. The median total radiology (A$4307) as well as the hospitalization costs (A$138,526) of those who had VTE were significantly higher than those without VTE (A$1210; p < 0.001 and A$105,842; p = 0.023, respectively). The incremental hospitalization cost attributable to VTE was most apparent among those who had sustained extremely severe injuries, and estimated to be between A$43,292 (95% confidence interval [CI] 12,624-73,961, p = 0.006) and 41,680 (95%CI 7766-75,594, p = 0.016) after adjusted for Trauma Embolic Scoring System and Injury Severity Scores, respectively. VTE was common after major trauma and incurred a substantial incremental financial cost to the healthcare system, especially among those who had extremely severe injuries.


Subject(s)
Pulmonary Embolism , Venous Thromboembolism , Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Australia , Contraindications , Humans , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors , Venous Thromboembolism/etiology , Venous Thromboembolism/prevention & control
18.
J Surg Res ; 273: 181-191, 2022 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35085945

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The burden of traumatic injury among workers in agriculture is substantial. Surveillance can inform injury prevention efforts to reduce farmworkers' risk. We posited that the regional trauma registry can provide surveillance for agricultural injury requiring trauma-center care. METHODS: The Northeast Texas regional trauma registry was queried for patients injured in agricultural settings during 2016-2019 occurring in the 23,580 square mile study area subdivided into 219 US Census Zip Code Tract Area (ZCTA). Population at risk was estimated from the 2017 Census of Agriculture. Kuldorff's SaTScan identified case hot spots. A multivariable, geographically weighted regression model was fit for cases/1000 workers. RESULTS: In total, 273 cases occurred, (mean 68 cases per year [95% confidence interval 55.1-80.9]) among 96 ZCTA. The mean injury rate was 3.9 (95% confidence interval 3.4-4.3) cases per 1000 farmworkers. Animals and farm machinery were the most common injury mechanisms, 52.0% and 20.9%, respectively. Trauma ZCTA demonstrated more farms (median 170 versus 95.5, P < 0.001), greater farm acreage (53,900 acres versus 32,800, P = 0.004), and higher median total product sales ($6.5 million versus $3.9 million, P < 0.001). Six hot spots were identified with relative risks from 2.85 to 5.31. The multivariable model of cases/1000 workers demonstrated significant associations with workers per ZCTA (a mean ß-coefficient of 0.004 with P values <0.05 in 145 of 219 [66.5%] ZCTA) and percent rural population (ß = -6.62, P values <0.05 in 76.1% of ZCTA). CONCLUSIONS: Regional trauma registry data, combined with census data and spatial analyses, can identify actionable geographic areas of high agriculture-related injury risk.


Subject(s)
Agriculture , Wounds and Injuries , Humans , Registries , Rural Population , Spatial Analysis , Trauma Centers , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology
19.
Am Surg ; 88(6): 1285-1292, 2022 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33625868

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Diagnostic radiology interpretive errors in trauma patients can lead to missed diagnoses, compromising patient care. Due to this, our level II trauma center implemented a reread protocol of all radiographic imaging within 24 hours on our highest trauma activation level (Code T). We sought to determine the efficacy of this reread protocol in identifying missed diagnoses in Code T patients. We hypothesized that a few, but clinically relevant errors, would be identified upon reread. METHODS: All radiographic study findings (initial read and reread) performed for Code T admissions from July 2015 to May 2016 were queried. The reviewed radiological imaging was given one of four designations: agree with interpretation, minor (non-life threatening) nonclinically relevant error(s)-addendum/correction required or clinically relevant error(s) (major [life threatening] and minor)-addendum/correction required, and trauma surgeon notified. The results were compiled, and the number of each type of error was calculated. RESULTS: Of the 752 radiological imaging studies reviewed on the 121 Code T patients during this period, 3 (0.40%) contained minor clinically relevant errors, 11 (1.46%) contained errors that were not clinically relevant, and 738 (98.1%) agreed with the original interpretation. The three clinically relevant errors included a right mandibular fracture found on X-ray and a temporal bone fracture that crossed the clivus and bilateral rib fractures found on computerized tomography. DISCUSSION: Clinically relevant errors, although minimal, were discovered during rereads for Code T patients. Although the clinical errors were significant, none affected patient outcomes. We propose that the implementation of reread protocols should be based upon institution-specific practices.


Subject(s)
Rib Fractures , Trauma Centers , Diagnostic Errors , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Tomography, X-Ray Computed
20.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 140: 69-78, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34284102

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The goal of this study was to develop an approach that can be used where baseline risk estimates that are directly applicable to prioritized patient-important outcomes are not available from published studies. STUDY DESIGN: The McMaster University GRADE Centre and the ASH guideline panel for the prevention of VTE in surgical patients developed a modeling approach based on explicit assumptions about the distribution of symptoms, anatomical location, and severity of VTE events. RESULTS: We applied the approach to derive modeled estimates of baseline risk. These estimates were used to calculated absolute measures of anticipated effects that informed the discussion of the evidence and the formulation of 30 guideline recommendations. CONCLUSION: Our approach can assist guideline developers facing a lack of information about baseline risk estimates that directly apply to outcomes of interest. The use of modeled estimates increases transparency in the process and makes the baseline risk used by guideline experts explicit during their decision-making.


Subject(s)
Models, Statistical , Postoperative Complications/prevention & control , Venous Thromboembolism/prevention & control , Humans , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/standards , Venous Thromboembolism/etiology
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