Endometrial carcinoma risk among women diagnosed with endometrial hyperplasia: the 34-year experience in a large health plan.

Classifying endometrial hyperplasia (EH) according to the severity of glandular crowding (simple hyperplasia (SH) vs complex hyperplasia (CH)) and nuclear atypia (simple atypical hyperplasia (SAH) vs complex atypical hyperplasia (CAH)) should predict subsequent endometrial carcinoma risk, but data on progression are lacking. Our nested case-control study of EH progression included 138 cases, who were diagnosed with EH and then with carcinoma (1970-2003) at least 1 year (median, 6.5 years) later, and 241 controls, who were individually matched on age, date, and follow-up duration and counter-matched on EH classification. After centralised pathology panel and medical record review, we generated rate ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusted for treatment and repeat biopsies. With disordered proliferative endometrium (DPEM) as the referent, AH significantly increased carcinoma risk (RR=14, 95% CI, 5-38). Risk was highest 1-5 years after AH (RR=48, 95% CI, 8-294), but remained elevated 5 or more years after AH (RR=3.5, 95% CI, 1.0-9.6). Progression risks for SH (RR=2.0, 95% CI, 0.9-4.5) and CH (RR=2.8, 95% CI, 1.0-7.9) were substantially lower and only slightly higher than the progression risk for DPEM. The higher progression risks for AH could foster management guidelines based on markedly different progression risks for atypical vs non-atypical EH.

Cervical HPV DNA detection as a predictor of a recurrent SIL diagnosis among untreated women.

OBJECTIVES: This study was conducted to test whether patient history of untreated cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 1 or low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (LGSIL) modifies the interpretation of a positive HPV DNA result with regards to subsequent squamous intraepithelial lesions (SIL). METHODS: Seventy-three women with recurrent SIL were compared to 105 controls who remain cytologically normal during follow up. Cervical samples collected at enrollment were assayed for HPV DNA in the subject and control groups. RESULTS: Women with and without a history of LGSIL who tested positive for HPV DNA were at a similarly increased risk of having (recurrent) LGSIL as compared to controls. However, in women with a history of LGSIL, HPV DNA appeared to be less predictive for high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HGSIL) than in women without a history of disease. CONCLUSIONS: Past history of untreated CIN1 or LGSIL does not modify the predictive value of a positive HPV DNA test for subsequent LGSIL. The observed difference of the predictive value of a positive HPV DNA test for the risk of recurrent HSIL compared to incident HSIL should be pursued.

Detection of human papillomavirus DNA in cytologically normal women and subsequent cervical squamous intraepithelial lesions.

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) infection has been strongly associated with cervical carcinoma and its cytologic precursors, squamous intraepithelial lesions (SIL). We investigated the risk of SIL prospectively following polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based DNA testing for a wide range of genital HPV types in a cohort of initially cytologically normal women, to clarify the role of HPV in the etiology of SIL. METHODS: Starting in April 1989, 17,654 women who were receiving routine cytologic screening at Kaiser Permanente (Portland, OR) were followed for the development of incident SIL. During follow-up, 380 incident case patients and 1037 matched control subjects were eligible for this nested case-control study. Cervical lavages collected at enrollment and, later, at the time of case diagnosis (or the corresponding time for selection of control subjects) were tested for HPV DNA using a PCR-based method. The data were analyzed as contingency tables with two-sided P values or, for multivariable analyses, using odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: In comparison with initially HPV-negative women, women who tested positive for HPV DNA at enrollment were 3.8 times (95% CI = 2.6-5.5) more likely to have low-grade SIL subsequently diagnosed for the first time during follow-up and 12.7 times more likely (95% CI = 6.2-25.9) to develop high-grade SIL. At the time of diagnosis, the cross-sectional association of HPV DNA and SIL was extremely strong (OR = 44.4 and 95% CI = 24.2-81.5 for low-grade SIL and OR = 67.1 and 95% CI = 19.3-233.7 for high-grade SIL). HPV16 was the virus type most predictive of SIL, even low-grade SIL. CONCLUSIONS: These findings are consistent with the hypothesis that HPV infection is the primary cause of cervical neoplasia. Furthermore, they support HPV vaccine research to prevent cervical cancer and efforts to develop HPV DNA diagnostic tests.

"ASCUS, rule out HSIL": cytologic features, histologic correlates, and human papillomavirus detection.

Risk factors, cytologic and histopathologic features, and human papillomavirus (HPV) detection associated with 75 cervical smears classified as atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance, rule out high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (ASCUS, rule out HSIL) were reviewed. Cases were identified in a pathology panel review of material collected from 1953 women participating in a 5-year prospective study of HPV infection and squamous intraepithelial lesions at Kaiser Permanente, Portland, Oregon, sponsored by the National Cancer Institute. Initial abnormal smears diagnosed as ASCUS, rule out HSIL by one panelist or diagnosed as ASCUS by one pathologist and as HSIL by another were included. The 75 ASCUS, rule out HSIL smears identified were examined again by two pathologists after the study. These cases were compared with cases of ASCUS, not otherwise specified (ASCUS, NOS) and HSIL identified in the same group of 1953 women. Findings in ASCUS, rule out HSIL included tissue fragments (21%); atypical immature metaplasia (17%); atypical mature metaplasia (15%); small atypical cells (9%); and atypical repair (4%). A final patient classification of HSIL, reflecting all available data, was assigned to 11 (24%) of 46 women with ASCUS, rule out HSIL and to 1(1%) of 80 women with ASCUS, NOS in the original review (P < .001). Detection of oncogenic HPV types at diagnosis in ASCUS, rule out HSIL; ASCUS, NOS; and HSIL was similar, but data were unavailable for many subjects. Among women not tested at diagnosis, enrollment testing (1 to 4 years earlier) revealed that HPV detection in women with ASCUS, rule out HSIL was intermediate in frequency between ASCUS, NOS and HSIL. These data suggest that ASCUS, rule out HSIL is a distinct diagnosis from ASCUS, NOS because it is more often associated with an underlying HSIL. Consequently, women with ASCUS, rule out HSIL should be referred for colposcopic examination.

Human leukocyte antigen class I/II alleles and development of human papillomavirus-related cervical neoplasia: results from a case-control study conducted in the United States.

The host immune response to human papillomaviruses (HPVs) is believed to be an important determinant of progression of HPV-associated cervical neoplasia. Human leukocyte antigens (HLAs) are important in the presentation of foreign antigens to the immune system. Previous studies have suggested a possible association between HLA and cervical neoplasia, but the specific alleles found to be associated with disease have varied between studies. To further evaluate this issue, we conducted a nested case-control study within a 24,000-woman cohort study in the United States. A total of 711 women were selected for the study: 141 women diagnosed with high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSILs) of the cervix; 202 women diagnosed with low-grade SILs (LSILs); 166 women with no history of cervical neoplasia, but evidence of HPV-16 infection; and 202 women with no history of cervical abnormalities and who were HPV negative during follow-up as part of our cohort. Cervicovaginal lavage samples collected from participants were used for HPV testing by L1 consensus primer PCR and the Hybrid Capture tube test methods. DNA extracted from these same lavage samples were used for PCR-based HLA genotyping. Our results suggest a positive association between HLA B7 and HLA DQB1*0302 and disease. A negative association with disease was observed for HLA DRB1*1501-DQB1*0602 and DRB1*13. Associations were strongest when analyses were restricted to HPV-16-positive cases as follows. Compared with women who were cytologically normal and HPV negative, HLA B7 was associated with a 1.5-fold increased risk of HPV/LSIL [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.95-2.5] and a 2.5-fold increased risk of HSIL (95% CI = 1.2-5.1). HLA DQB1*0302 was associated with a 1.5-fold increased risk of HPV/LSIL (95% CI = 0.94-2.4) and a 1.7-fold increased risk of HSIL (95% CI = 0.84-3.5). HLA DRB1*1501-DQB1*0602 was associated with a decreased risk of HSIL [relative risk (RR) = 0.21; 95% CI = 0.07-0.62]. HLA DRB1*13 was associated with a decreased risk of HPV/LSIL (RR = 0.78; 95% CI = 0.51-1.2) and HSIL (RR = 0.63; 95% CI = 0.30-1.3). Individuals who were either homozygous for DQB1*0302 or carriers of both B7 and DQB1*0302 were found to be at highest risk of disease (RR = 4.5, 95% CI = 1.5-14 for HPV/LSIL; and RR = 9.0, 95% CI = 2.4-34 for HSIL). No synergistic effect was observed for the alleles found to be associated with reduced risk of cervical neoplasia. Our findings support previous studies that have found HLA B7 and DQB1*0302 to be positively associated with cervical neoplasia and are consistent with those that have suggested that DRB1*13 is negatively associated with disease, but do not confirm previous assertions that DRB1*1501-DQB1*0602 increases the risk of cervical disease.

Immune activation in cervical neoplasia: cross-sectional association between plasma soluble interleukin 2 receptor levels and disease.

In a previous study (Tsukui et al., Cancer Res., 56: 3967-3974, 1996), we observed an inverse association between degree of cervical neoplasia and interleukin (IL) 2 production by peripheral blood mononuclear cells in response to human papillomavirus (HPV) 16 E6 and E7 peptides in vitro. This suggested that a Th1-mediated cellular immune response might be important in host immunological control of HPV infection and that a lack of such a response might predispose to progression of cervical disease. To follow up on these findings, we have conducted a cross-sectional study of women with various degrees of cervical neoplasia to investigate the association between overall immune activation and cervical disease. A total of 235 women were recruited into our study; 120 of these women were participants in our previous study in which IL-2 production in response to HPV-16-specific peptides was measured. The study population included 34 women with invasive cancer, 62 women with high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSILs), and 105 women with low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (LSILs). In addition, 34 cytologically normal women with no past history of squamous intraepithelial lesions despite confirmed HPV-16 infection in the 5 years preceding the study were selected as controls. As our measure of overall immune activation, serum samples obtained from study participants were tested for soluble IL-2 receptor (sIL-2R) level using an ELISA method. The mean sIL-2R levels were found to increase with increasing disease severity (Ptrend = 0.0002). Among cytologically normal, HPV-exposed women, the mean receptor level in serum was 465.8 units/ml compared to 467.6 units/ml among LSIL subjects, 514.9 units/ml among HSIL subjects, and 695.5 units/ml among women with invasive cervical cancer. Similarly, the proportion of women with elevated sIL-2R levels (defined as > or = 450 units/ml) increased with increasing disease severity from 35.2% among normal study subjects to 70.6% among cancer patients (Ptrend = 0.003). Among the subgroup of subjects for whom in vitro IL-2 production in response to HPV-16-specific peptides was measured, we examined the association between in vitro IL-2 production and serum levels of sIL-2R. sIL-2R levels were higher, on average, among those women who were positive in our IL-2 production assay compared to those who were negative, but the differences did not reach statistical significance (P > 0.05). We also observed a trend of increasing sIL-2R level with increasing disease severity both in women who were positive and in women who were negative for our IL-2 production assay, but the trend was only significant among those who were negative for IL-2 production (Ptrend = 0.01). Results from our studies suggest that although the immune system of women with cervical neoplasia is nonspecifically activated as disease severity increases, the ability of those women with HSILs or cancer to mount a Th1-mediated immune response to HPV peptides appears to decrease compared to women with LSILs or normal women infected with HPV. Increased overall activation along with decreased Th1 immune response among women with increasing cervical disease severity might be explained by an increased Th2-mediated immune response, a response that we hypothesize is ineffective in controlling the viral infection and its early cytological manifestations. Future studies should directly assess Th2-mediated responses to confirm this hypothesis. Also, future efforts should be aimed at determining whether the associations observed are causally related to disease progression or an effect of the disease.

Interleukin 2 production in vitro by peripheral lymphocytes in response to human papillomavirus-derived peptides: correlation with cervical pathology.

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is believed to be the major cause of cervical cancer. To investigate whether a cellular immune response, especially a T helper type 1 response, is related to the natural defense against HPV-related cervical lesions, the interleukin 2 response of peripheral blood lymphocytes in vitro to overlapping peptides from HPV-16 E6 and E7 oncoproteins was compared with the degree of cervical cytological abnormality among 140 women in a cross-sectional study. We compared 66 women diagnosed with low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (LSIL), 21 with high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL), and 28 with invasive cervical cancer with 25 women who were cytologically normal but previously HPV-16 DNA positive. The fraction showing strong interleukin 2 production against HPV-16 peptides was greatest among cytologically normal women (35%) and declined with increasing disease severity [LSIL] (20%), HSIL, (17%), and cancer patients (7%); X2 test P for the trend = 0.02], whereas the responses against a recall influenza antigen were not significantly different among groups. Our finding suggests that a T helper lymphocyte type 1 response to HPV antigens is associated with disease status. This result may reflect a targeted effect of the disease on immune function or a protective effect of the immune response against disease progression.

Risks of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, multiple myeloma, and leukemia associated with common medications.

We utilized data from two Kaiser Permanente medical care programs to evaluate risks of hematopoietic and lymphoproliferative (HLP) malignancies after use of 14 common medications. The subjects were adult cases of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) (N = 94), multiple myeloma (N = 159), and leukemia (N = 257) and individually matched controls (N = 695). Abstractors reviewed medical records and recorded medication notations. Using a minimum 5-year exposure lag between first notation and malignancy diagnosis, the risk of NHL was greater among plan members who were prescribed amphetamines [odds ratio (OR) = 2.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.1-4.8], lidocaine (OR = 2.6; 95% CI = 1.2-5.5), and meprobamate (OR = 2.1; 95% CI = 1.03-4.3). The risk of NHL rose with increasing number of medical record notations for amphetamines; however, there was no association with number of notations for lidocaine or meprobamate. The odds ratio for total leukemia was decreased among patients who took chloramphenicol (OR = 0.4; 95% CI = 0.2-0.97).

Toward objective quality assurance in cervical cytopathology. Correlation of cytopathologic diagnoses with detection of high-risk human papillomavirus types.

Using The Bethesda System, five pathologists independently diagnosed 200 smears that originally had been classified as "atypical," and the results were correlated with concurrent detection of human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA by Southern analysis and by polymerase chain reaction amplification. The smears were reclassified as benign reactive changes (negative), atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance, or squamous intraepithelial lesion (SIL). Exact five-way cytologic agreement was achieved in only 29% of smears, and no slide was diagnosed as atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance by all reviewers. The detection of high-risk types of HPV correlated strongly with the likelihood of a diagnosis of squamous intraepithelial lesion. High-risk HPV types were detected in approximately 60% of smears reclassified as squamous intraepithelial lesion compared with 30% of those reclassified as atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance and 10% of negative smears (P < .001). Every smear unanimously diagnosed by the panel as squamous intraepithelial lesion was associated with detectable HPV DNA, mainly of high-risk types. Low-risk HPV DNA types were found with similar frequency in all diagnostic categories assigned by the reviewers. Based on the consistent relation between high-risk HPV detection and diagnoses according to the Bethesda System, the authors conclude that HPV testing may have an important role in quality assurance in cervical cytopathology.

Persistence of type-specific human papillomavirus infection among cytologically normal women.

Determinants of genital human papillomavirus (HPV) persistence in 393 women initially cytologically normal were investigated by testing them for HPV DNA twice over a median interval of 14.9 months. At each visit, interview information was obtained and a cervicovaginal lavage sample was collected for polymerase chain reaction-based HPV testing. Twenty-six percent of the women were HPV-positive at the first sampling. Data on HPV type was available for 86 HPV-positive women (84%); 35 of these women (41%) had persistent type-specific HPV detection. Persistence decreased with time between samplings. Women aged > or = 30 years had a higher percentage of persistence (65%) than those < or = 24 years (32%, P = .02). The percentage of persistence was higher among women infected with HPV types known to be cancer-associated (45%) than among those infected with other types (24%, P = .11). These findings were independent of each other and of timing between samplings. Although based on a prevalent cohort, these results are concordant with previous suggestions that HPV infection is usually transient and that cervical cancer may arise from within the subset of women with persistent HPV infection.

Determinants of genital human papillomavirus infection in low-risk women in Portland, Oregon.

OBJECTIVES: To confirm the risk factors for genital human papillomavirus (HPV) infection. GOAL OF THIS STUDY: To investigate risk factors for HPV detection independent of the correlated risk factors for cervical neoplasia in a low-risk population. STUDY DESIGN: HPV DNA was assessed among 483 cytologically normal women with no known history of cervical neoplasia. A cervicovaginal lavage was collected for HPV detection and typing using a PCR-based DNA amplification system. Information on risk factors of subjects was obtained through a questionnaire. RESULTS: HPV DNA was found in 17.7% of study women. On univariate analysis, factors associated with increasing HPV prevalence included younger age, fewer years of education, lower income, higher lifetime number of sex partners, lower age at first intercourse, nulliparity, oral contraceptive use, and current smoking. After statistical adjustment, we found younger age and higher number of sex partners were strongly and independently associated with higher HPV prevalence. We also observed increased HPV prevalence among women with lower levels of education and lower incomes. CONCLUSION: These findings and corroborative data from the companion reports in this issue of the journal support the sexual route of transmission of the virus.

Epidemiologic evidence showing that human papillomavirus infection causes most cervical intraepithelial neoplasia.

BACKGROUND: Experimental studies have provided strong evidence that human papillomavirus (HPV) is the long-sought venereal cause of cervical neoplasia, but the epidemiologic evidence has been inconsistent. PURPOSE: Given improvements in HPV testing that have revealed a strong link between sexual activity history and cervical HPV infection, we conducted a large case-control study of HPV and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) to evaluate whether sexual behavior and the other established risk factors for CIN influence risk primarily via HPV infection. METHODS: We studied 500 women with CIN and 500 control subjects receiving cytologic screening at Kaiser Permanente, a large prepaid health plan, in Portland, Ore. The established epidemiologic risk factors for CIN were assessed by telephone interview. We performed HPV testing of cervicovaginal lavage specimens by gene amplification using polymerase chain reaction with a consensus primer to target the L1 gene region of HPV. Unconditional logistic regression analysis was used to estimate relative risk of CIN and to adjust the epidemiologic associations for HPV test results to demonstrate whether the associations were mediated by HPV. RESULTS: The case subjects demonstrated the typical epidemiologic profile of CIN: They had more sex partners, more cigarette smoking, earlier ages at first sexual intercourse, and lower socioeconomic status. Statistical adjustment for HPV infection substantially reduced the size of each of these case-control differences. Seventy-six percent of cases could be attributed to HPV infection; the results of cytologic review suggested that the true percentage was even higher. Once HPV infection was taken into account, an association of parity with risk of CIN was observed in both HPV-negative and HPV-positive women. CONCLUSION: The data show that the great majority of all grades of CIN can be attributed to HPV infection, particularly with the cancer-associated types of HPV. IMPLICATIONS: In light of this conclusion, the investigation of the natural history of HPV has preventive as well as etiologic importance.