Cardiovascular Outcomes in Fontan Patients With Right vs Left Univentricular Morphology: A Multicenter Study.

Background: There is a paucity of data on long-term outcomes after Fontan palliation in patients with a dominant morphological univentricular right (uRV) vs left (uLV) ventricle. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to compare the incidence of atrial arrhythmias, thromboembolic events, cardiac transplantation, and death following Fontan palliation in patients with uRV vs uLV. Methods: The Alliance for Adult Research in Congenital Cardiology conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study on patients with total cavopulmonary connection Fontan palliation across 12 centers in North America. All components of the composite outcome, that is, atrial arrhythmias, thromboembolic events, cardiac transplantation, and death, were reviewed and classified by a blinded adjudicating committee. Time-to-event analyses were performed that accounted for competing risks. Results: A total of 384 patients were followed for 10.5 ± 5.9 years. The composite outcome occurred in 3.7 vs 1.7 cases per 100 person-years for uRV (N = 171) vs uLV (N = 213), respectively (P < 0.001). In multivariable analyses, uRV conferred a >2-fold higher risk of the composite outcome (HR: 2.17, 95% CI: 1.45-3.45, P < 0.001). In secondary analyses of components of the primary outcome, uRV was significantly associated with a greater risk of cardiac transplantation or death (HR: 9.09, 95% CI: 2.17-38.46, P < 0.001) and atrial arrhythmias (HR: 2.17, 95% CI: 1.20-4.00, P = 0.010) but not thromboembolic events (HR: 1.64, 95% CI: 0.86-3.16, P = 0.131). Conclusions: Fontan patients with uRV vs uLV morphology have a higher incidence of adverse cardiovascular events, including atrial arrhythmia, cardiac transplantation, and all-cause mortality.

Haptoglobin Phenotype and Intensive Glycemic Control for Coronary Artery Disease Risk Reduction in People With Type 2 Diabetes: The ADVANCE Study.

OBJECTIVE: Intensive glycemic control reduced coronary artery disease (CAD) events among the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) study participants with the haptoglobin (Hp)2-2 phenotype but not in participants without the Hp2-2 phenotype. It is unknown whether and how these results translate across different demographic/clinical characteristics and treatment strategies. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Haptoglobin phenotype was measured in available samples from the Action in Diabetes and Vascular Disease: Preterax and Diamicron MR Controlled Evaluation (ADVANCE) biomarker case-cohort study. Weighted multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models were used to evaluate the association between intensive glycemic control (HbA1c target of ≤6.5%) versus standard therapy (based on local guidelines) and major CAD events among participants with (n = 1,327) and without (n = 2,077) the Hp2-2 phenotype separately and within prespecified stratifications by sex, race, previous cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes duration, and HDL-cholesterol. RESULTS: While the hazard ratios (HRs) were in the hypothesized differing directions, compared with standard therapy, intensive glycemic control was not significantly associated with risk of CAD events among participants without (1.04, 95% CI 0.82-1.32) or with (0.84, 0.63-1.14, Pinteraction = 0.27) the Hp2-2 phenotype overall. Intensive therapy was associated with lower CAD risk among participants with the Hp2-2 phenotype who had no previous CVD (0.47, 0.29-0.76, Pinteraction = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that intensive glycemic control contributes to the prevention of major CAD events among ADVANCE participants with the Hp2-2 phenotype and no previous CVD and are in alignment with our hypothesis that intensive glycemic control may be beneficial in a subset of people with the Hp2-2 phenotype.

Impact of Fontan Fenestration on Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes: A Multicentre Study.

BACKGROUND: Fenestrating a Fontan baffle has been associated with improved perioperative outcomes in patients with univentricular hearts. However, longer-term potential adverse effects remain debated. We sought to assess the impact of a fenestrated Fontan baffle on adverse cardiovascular events including all-cause mortality, cardiac transplantation, atrial arrhythmias, and thromboemboli. METHODS: A multicentre North American retrospective cohort study was conducted on patients with total cavopulmonary connection Fontan baffle, with and without fenestration. All components of the composite outcome were independently adjudicated. Potential static and time-varying confounders were taken into consideration, along with competing risks. RESULTS: A total of 407 patients were followed for 10.4 (7.1-14.4) years; 70.0% had fenestration of their Fontan baffle. The fenestration spontaneously closed or was deliberately sealed in 79.9% of patients a median of 2.0 years after Fontan completion. In multivariable analysis in which a persistent fenestration was modelled as a time-dependent variable, an open fenestration did not confer a higher risk of the composite outcome (hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% confidence interval, 0.71-1.97; P = 0.521). In secondary analyses, an open fenestration was not significantly associated with components of the primary outcome: that is, mortality or transplantation, atrial arrhythmias, or thromboemboli. However, sensitivity analyses to assess the possible range of error resulting from imprecise dates for spontaneous fenestration closures could not rule out significant associations between an open fenestration and atrial arrhythmias or thromboemboli. CONCLUSIONS: In this multicentre study, no significant association was identified between an open fenestration in the Fontan baffle and major adverse cardiovascular events.

Ventricular Tachycardia and ICD Therapy Burden With Catheter Ablation Versus Escalated Antiarrhythmic Drug Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Catheter ablation improves ventricular tachycardia (VT) event-free (time to event) survival in patients with antiarrhythmic drug (AAD)-refractory VT and previous myocardial infarction (MI). The effects of ablation on recurrent VT and implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy (burden) have yet to be investigated. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to compare the VT and ICD therapy burden following treatment with either ablation or escalated AAD therapy among patients with VT and previous MI in the VANISH (Ventricular tachycardia AblatioN versus escalated antiarrhythmic drug therapy in ISchemic Heart disease) trial. METHODS: The VANISH trial randomized patients with previous MI and VT despite initial AAD therapy to either escalated AAD treatment or catheter ablation. VT burden was defined as the total number of VT events treated with ≥1 appropriate ICD therapy. Appropriate ICD therapy burden was defined as the total number of appropriate shocks or antitachycardia pacing therapies (ATPs) delivered. The Anderson-Gill recurrent event model was used to compare burden between the treatment arms. RESULTS: Of the 259 enrolled patients (median age, 69.8 years; 7.0% women), 132 patients were randomized to ablation and 129 patients were randomized to escalated AAD therapy. Over 23.4 months of follow-up, ablation-treated patients had a 40% lower shock-treated VT event burden and a 39% lower appropriate shock burden compared with patients who received escalated AAD therapy (P <0.05 for all). A reduction in VT burden, ATP-treated VT event burden, and appropriate ATP burden among ablation patients was only demonstrated in the stratum of patients with amiodarone-refractory VT (P <0.05 for all). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with AAD-refractory VT and a previous MI, catheter ablation reduced shock-treated VT event burden and appropriate shock burden compared with escalated AAD therapy. There was also lower VT burden, ATP-treated VT event burden, and appropriate ATP burden among ablation-treated patients; however, the effect was limited to patients with amiodarone-refractory VT.

A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Biomarkers for Risk Prediction in Atrial Fibrillation.

RATIONALE: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of thromboembolism. This risk is currently assessed with scoring systems based on clinical characteristics. However, these tools have limited prognostic performance. Circulating biomarkers are proposed for improved prediction of major clinical events and individualization of treatments in patients with AF. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to assess the cost-effectiveness of precision medicine (PM), i.e., the use of combined biomarkers and clinical variables, in comparison to standard of care (SOC) for risk stratification in a hypothetical cohort of AF patients at risk of stroke. METHODS: A Markov cohort model was developed to evaluate the costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of PM compared to SOC, over 20 years using a Canadian healthcare system perspective. RESULTS: PM decreased the mean per-patient overall costs by 7% ($94,932 vs $102,057 [Canadian dollars], respectively) and increased the QALYs by 12% (8.77 vs 7.68 QALYs, respectively). The calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was negative, indicating that PM is an economically dominant strategy. These results were robust to one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: PM compared to SOC is economically dominant and is projected to generate cost savings.

Time in Therapeutic Range With Vitamin K Antagonists in Congenital Heart Disease: A Multicentre Study.

BACKGROUND: Vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) are frequently prescribed to patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) for atrial arrhythmias or Fontan palliation, but there is a paucity of data regarding time spent in the therapeutic range (TTR). We sought to determine the TTR in patients with CHD and atrial arrhythmias or Fontan palliation prescribed VKAs and explore associations with thromboembolic and bleeding events. METHODS: A multicentre North American cohort study was conducted on patients with CHD who received VKAs for sustained atrial arrhythmia or Fontan palliation. TTR was calculated using the Rosendaal linear interpolation method. Generalized estimating equations were used to explore factors associated with time outside the therapeutic range. RESULTS: A total of 567 patients, aged 33 ± 17 years, 56% female, received VKAs for 11.5 ± 8.4 years for atrial arrhythmias (63.0%) or Fontan palliation (58.0%). CHD was simple, moderate, and complex in 10.8%, 20.3%, and 69.0%, respectively. Site investigators perceived good control over international normalized ratio (INR) levels in most patients (75.3%), with no or minor compliance or adherence issues (85.6%). The mean TTR was 41.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 39.0%-44.8%). Forty-seven (8.3%) and 34 (6.0%) patients had thromboembolic and bleeding events, respectively. Thromboembolic events were associated with a higher proportion of time below the therapeutic range (31.3% vs 19.1%, P = 0.003) and bleeding complications with a higher proportion of time above the therapeutic range (32.5% vs 19.5%, P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with CHD who receive VKAs spend < 42% of their time with INR levels in the therapeutic range, with repercussions regarding thromboembolic and bleeding complications.

Ventricular Tachycardia Burden and Mortality: Association or Causality?

Ventricular tachycardia (VT) is a potentially fatal cardiac rhythm disorder. Implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) are the primary management strategy for VT and have been shown to reduce the incidence of death but, ICDs do not reduce VT recurrences. Further, mounting evidence indicates that high VT burden, defined as the cumulative number of recurrent VTs or ICD shocks, is associated with an elevated risk of death; however, it is unclear if high VT burden is a cause of death or a marker of severe heart disease. Proposed mechanisms for a causal pathway suggest that multiple VT episodes or potential deleterious effects from ICDs might alter the myocardium of the ventricles to induce worsening heart disease, which might translate to an increased risk of mortality. In this review, we present the evidence to support association and causation hypotheses for the relationship between VT burden and risk of mortality and indicate potential gaps in evidence. Overall, there is insufficient evidence to prove causal hypotheses for the relationship between VT burden and mortality. Consistent definitions for VT burden, randomized controlled trials that assess the relationship between VT burden and mortality, and observational studies that capture VT burden are warranted to investigate if a potential causal relationship exists.

Comparative effectiveness of ventricular tachycardia ablation vs. escalated antiarrhythmic drug therapy by location of myocardial infarction: a sub-study of the VANISH trial.

AIMS: Complexity of the ventricular tachycardia (VT) substrate and the size and thickness of infarction area border zones differ based on location of myocardial infarctions (MIs). These differences may translate into heterogeneity in the effectiveness of treatments. This study aims to examine the influence of infarct location on the effectiveness of VT ablation in comparison with escalated pharmacological therapy in patients with prior MI and antiarrhythmic drug (AAD)-refractory VT. METHODS AND RESULTS: VANISH trial participants were categorized based on the presence or absence of an inferior MI scar. Inverse probability of treatment weighted Cox models were calculated for each subgroup. Of 259 randomized patients (median age 69.8 years, 7.0% women), 135 had an inferior MI and 124 had a non-inferior MI. Among patients with an inferior MI, no statistically significant difference in the composite primary outcome of all-cause mortality, appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) shock, and VT storm was detected between treatment arms [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.80, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.51-1.20]. In contrast, patients with non-inferior MIs had a statistically significant reduction in the incidence of the primary outcome with ablation (aHR 0.48, 95% CI 0.27-0.86). In a sensitivity analysis of anterior MI patients (n = 83), a trend towards a reduction in the primary outcome with ablation was detected (aHR 0.50, 95% CI 0.23-1.09). CONCLUSION: The effectiveness of VT ablation versus escalated AADs varies based on the location of the MI. Patients with MI scars located only in non-inferior regions of the ventricles derive greater benefit from VT ablation in comparison to escalation of AADs in reducing VT-related events.

Effect of Perindopril on Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence and Burden: Results of the Canadian Trial of Atrial Fibrillation (CTAF)-2.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension is a risk factor for the development and exacerbation of atrial fibrillation (AF). Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors are a standard-of-care treatment option for patients with hypertension; however, there is conflicting evidence about their effects on AF recurrence. Therefore, our objective was to assess the efficacy of perindopril, compared with placebo, to reduce AF recurrence in patients with hypertension and AF. METHODS: In a multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, patients with hypertension and symptomatic AF were randomly assigned (1:1) to perindopril or placebo based on a stratification factor of antiarrhythmic drug use. Patients with terminated AF were followed up from 30 days after randomization to 7 to 13 months. The primary endpoint was AF recurrence. Secondary endpoints included AF hospitalization, cardioversion, and blood pressure control. Recurrent events, AF burden, and safety endpoints were also investigated. RESULTS: A total of 315 patients were randomly assigned, and 301 patients were included in the modified intent-to-treat analysis (155 vs 146 patients in the perindopril and placebo groups, respectively). The mean follow-up was 336 ± 70 days, and 91.1% of patients were compliant to the treatment medication throughout the study. After adjustment for baseline antiarrhythmic drugs, there was no statistically significant difference in the hazards of AF recurrence (hazard ratio, 1.22; 95% confidence interval, 0.92-1.61), with similar blood pressure. The incidence of secondary endpoints and adverse events also did not differ between treatment arms. CONCLUSIONS: Perindopril does not reduce recurrence or the number of AF episodes in patients with hypertension and AF.

INTRODUCTION: L'hypertension est un facteur de risque de l'apparition et de l'exacerbation de la fibrillation auriculaire (FA). Les inhibiteurs de l'enzyme de conversion de l'angiotensine représentent une option de traitement qui répond à la norme de soins à prescrire aux patients hypertendus. Toutefois, les données probantes concernant leurs répercussions sur la récurrence de la FA sont contradictoires. Par conséquent, notre objectif était de comparer l'efficacité du périndopril au placebo dans la réduction de la récurrence de la FA chez les patients hypertendus atteints de FA. MÉTHODES: Dans un essai multicentrique en double aveugle contre placebo, nous avons réparti de façon aléatoire (1:1) les patients hypertendus atteints de FA symptomatique au périndopril ou au placebo en fonction d'un facteur de stratification de l'utilisation de médicaments antiarythmiques. Nous avons suivi les patients, dont la FA a cessé, du 30e jour après la répartition aléatoire jusqu'au 7e au 13e mois. Le critère d'évaluation principal était la récurrence de la FA. Les critères secondaires étaient les suivants : l'hospitalisation en raison de la FA, la cardioversion et la maîtrise de la pression artérielle. Nous avons aussi examiné les critères suivants : événements récurrents, fardeau de la FA et innocuité. RÉSULTATS: Parmi les 315 patients répartis de façon aléatoire, nous avons sélectionné 301 patients pour l'analyse en intention de traiter modifiée (155 vs 146 patients, et ce respectivement, dans le groupe du périndopril et le groupe du placebo). Le suivi moyen a été de 336 ± 70 jours, et 91,1 % de patients ont suivi fidèlement le traitement médicamenteux durant toute la durée de l'étude. Après l'ajustement initial des médicaments antiarythmiques, il n'y a eu aucune différence significative sur le plan statistique dans les risques de récurrence de la FA (ratio d'incidence approché 1,22 [intervalle de confiance à 95 %, 0,92-1,61]) en présence d'une pression artérielle similaire. La fréquence des critères secondaires et des événements indésirables n'a également pas différé entre les bras de traitement. CONCLUSIONS: Le périndopril ne contribue pas à la réduction de la récurrence ou du nombre d'épisodes de FA chez les patients hypertendus atteints de FA.

Association of Atrial Fibrillation Burden With Health-Related Quality of Life After Atrial Fibrillation Ablation: Substudy of the Cryoballoon vs Contact-Force Atrial Fibrillation Ablation (CIRCA-DOSE) Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have impaired health-related quality of life primarily owing to symptoms related to AF episodes; however, quality of life can be influenced by AF therapies, AF complications, the frequency of follow-up visits and hospitalizations, illness perceptions, and patient factors, such as anxiety or depression. Objective: To determine the association between change in AF burden and quality of life in the year following ablation. Design, Setting, and Participants: The current study is a secondary analysis of a prospective, parallel-group, multicenter, single-masked randomized clinical trial (Cryoballoon vs Irrigated Radiofrequency Catheter Ablation: Double Short vs Standard Exposure Duration [CIRCA-DOSE] study), which took place at 8 Canadian centers. Between September 2014 and July 2017, 346 patients older than 18 years with symptomatic, primarily low-burden AF refractory to antiarrhythmic therapy referred for first catheter ablation were enrolled. All patients received an implantable cardiac monitor at least 30 days before ablation and were followed up with up to December 2018. Data were analyzed from April 2020 to June 2021. Interventions: Patients were randomized 1:1:1 to contact force-guided radiofrequency ablation, 4-minute cryoballoon ablation, or 2-minute cryoballoon ablation. The exposure in the present analysis is the absolute difference in AF burden prior to ablation and 12 months following ablation, as evaluated by the Atrial Fibrillation Effect on Quality of Life (AFEQT) Score. Main Outcomes and Measures: Absolute difference in quality of life from baseline to 12 months postablation. Results: Of 346 included patients, 231 (66.7%) were male, and the median (interquartile range) age was 60 (52-66) years. A total of 328 patients (94.8%) had paroxysmal AF. The median (interquartile range) preablation AF burden was 2.0% (0.1-11.9), and the AF burden decreased to 0% at 12 months postablation. At 12 months, a 1-point improvement in AFEQT score was observed for every absolute reduction in daily AF burden of 15.8 minutes (95% CI, 7.2-24.4; P < .001), or every 0.63% (95% CI, 0.30-0.95; P < .001) reduction in relative AF burden from baseline. Conclusions and Relevance: In patients with primarily low-burden paroxysmal AF, the reduction in AF burden following ablation may be associated with a clinically meaningful improvement in quality of life. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01913522.

Emulating a Randomised Controlled Trial With Observational Data: An Introduction to the Target Trial Framework.

Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) are often considered to be the highest quality of evidence owing to the absence of baseline confounding, the simplicity of analyses, and direct estimation of causal effects. However, observational studies can be designed to mimic RCTs and estimate causal treatment effects. In this review, we describe the target trial framework to illustrate how observational studies can successfully emulate RCTs. We focus on key design elements of RCTs and how to emulate them with observational data. These elements include 1) eligibility criteria, 2) treatment assignment and randomisation, 3) specification of "time zero", 4) outcomes, 5) follow-up, 6) causal contrasts (intention-to-treat vs per-protocol), and 7) statistical analyses. In addition, we describe the design of an example target trial created to emulate the Trial to Assess Improvement in Therapeutic Outcomes by Optimizing Platelet Inhibition With Prasugrel Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TRITON-TIMI) 38 trial and compare effect estimates. Overall, careful design of a target trial using observational data can produce causal effect estimates that are often comparable to RCTs.

Pharmacogenomics of the Efficacy and Safety of Colchicine in COLCOT.

BACKGROUND: The randomized, placebo-controlled COLCOT (Colchicine Cardiovascular Outcomes Trial) has shown the benefits of colchicine 0.5 mg daily to lower the rate of ischemic cardiovascular events in patients with a recent myocardial infarction. Here, we conducted a post hoc pharmacogenomic study of COLCOT with the aim to identify genetic predictors of the efficacy and safety of treatment with colchicine. METHODS: There were 1522 participants of European ancestry from the COLCOT trial available for the pharmacogenomic study of COLCOT trial. The pharmacogenomic study's primary cardiovascular end point was defined as for the main trial, as time to first occurrence of cardiovascular death, resuscitated cardiac arrest, myocardial infarction, stroke, or urgent hospitalization for angina requiring coronary revascularization. The safety end point was time to the first report of gastrointestinal events. Patients' DNA was genotyped using the Illumina Global Screening array followed by imputation. We performed a genome-wide association study in colchicine-treated patients. RESULTS: None of the genetic variants passed the genome-wide association study significance threshold for the primary cardiovascular end point conducted in 702 patients in the colchicine arm who were compliant to medication. The genome-wide association study for gastrointestinal events was conducted in all 767 patients in the colchicine arm and found 2 significant association signals, one with lead variant rs6916345 (hazard ratio, 1.89 [95% CI, 1.52-2.35], P=7.41×10-9) in a locus which colocalizes with Crohn disease, and one with lead variant rs74795203 (hazard ratio, 2.51 [95% CI, 1.82-3.47]; P=2.70×10-8), an intronic variant in gene SEPHS1. The interaction terms between the genetic variants and treatment with colchicine versus placebo were significant. CONCLUSIONS: We found 2 genomic regions associated with gastrointestinal events in patients treated with colchicine. Those findings will benefit from replication to confirm that some patients may have genetic predispositions to lower tolerability of treatment with colchicine.