Modelling growth of Bacillus cereus in paneer by one-step parameter estimation.

Bacillus cereus phylogenetic group III and IV strains are commonly associated with food products and cause toxin mediated foodborne diseases. These pathogenic strains have been identified from milk and dairy products, such as reconstituted infant formula and several cheeses. Paneer is a fresh, soft cheese originating from India that is prone to foodborne pathogen contamination, such as by Bacillus cereus. However, there are no reported studies of B. cereus toxin formation in paneer or predictive models quantifying growth of the pathogen in paneer under different environmental conditions. This study assessed enterotoxin-producing potential of B. cereus group III and IV strains, isolated from dairy farm environments, in fresh paneer. Growth of a four-strain cocktail of toxin-producing B. cereus strains was measured in freshly prepared paneer incubated at 5-55 °C and modelled using a one-step parameter estimation combined with bootstrap re-sampling to generate confidence intervals for model parameters. The pathogen grew in paneer between 10 and 50 °C and the developed model fit the observed data well (R2 = 0.972, RMSE = 0.321 log10 CFU/g). The cardinal parameters for B. cereus growth in paneer along with the 95% confidence intervals were: µopt 0.812 log10 CFU/g/h (0.742, 0.917); Topt is 44.177 °C (43.16, 45.49); Tmin is 4.405 °C (3.973, 4.829); Tmax is 50.676 °C (50.367, 51.144). The model developed can be used in food safety management plans and risk assessments to improve safety of paneer while also adding to limited information on B. cereus growth kinetics in dairy products.

Modelling viability of Listeria monocytogenes in paneer.

Paneer is a fresh, soft ready-to-eat cheese that is susceptible to Listeria monocytogenes contamination, exemplified by product recalls in Australia, Canada, and the USA. Previous research demonstrates that L. monocytogenes grows in paneer, however there are no paneer-specific predictive models that quantify the effect of environmental conditions on L. monocytogenes viability. This study measured the viability of a five-strain cocktail of L. monocytogenes in freshly prepared paneer incubated at 4-40 °C. Growth rates were fitted with the extended Ratkowsky square root model, with growth rates ranging from 0.014 to 0.352 log10 CFU/h. In comparison with published models, only the ComBase L. monocytogenes broth model acceptably predicted growth (Bf = 1.01, Af = 1.12) versus the developed model. The influence of paneer pH (5.0-6.0) and storage temperature (41-45 °C) on L. monocytogenes growth at the upper temperature growth boundary was described using a logistic model. These models provide quantitative tools to improve the safety of paneer processing conditions, shelf-life estimation, food safety management plans, and risk assessment.