Evaluation of tolerance to mercaptopurine in patients with inflammatory bowel disease and gastrointestinal intolerance to azathioprine / Evaluación de la tolerancia a la mercaptopurina en los pacientes con enfermedad inflamatoria intestinal e intolerancia gastrointestinal a la azatioprina

Background Thiopurines such as azathioprine (AZA) and mercaptopurine (MP) are commonly utilized to treat inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Their use is frequently restricted due to gastrointestinal intolerance (GI). Previous retrospective studies have reported that AZA-intolerant patients may benefit from a switch to MP; yet the effectiveness of this strategy has not been prospectively evaluated.AimsTo assess GI tolerance to MP in patients who are intolerant to AZA, and to identify clinical predictors of GI intolerance to AZA or MP.MethodsA prospective, observational, single-cohort study was performed in 92 thiopurine-naïve IBD patients. They were started on a 50mg dose of AZA and escalated to 2.5mg/kg per day by week 2. Those with GI intolerance were rechallenged with a 50% dose of AZA, after which another dose escalation attempt was made. If symptoms persisted, they were switched to MP.ResultsThirty (32.6%) of the recruited patients suffered from GI intolerance to AZA. Of these, 15 did not present recurrence of symptoms after rechallenge with lower doses. Of 15 intolerant patients, 14 were switched to MP. Within the MP cohort, 8 patients (57%) were also intolerant to MP, 5 (36%) had no symptoms, and 1 (7%) was lost to follow-up. Female gender was the only independent predictor of GI intolerance to AZA.ConclusionsUp to half of the AZA-intolerant patients tolerated a 50% dose rechallenge that was successfully escalated. A switch to MP was tolerated in over a third of cases whom rechallenge failed. Our strategy (challenge–rechallenge–switch) achieved an overall GI tolerance to thiopurines in most of the patients. (AU)

Antecedentes Las tiopurinas como la azatioprina (AZA) y la mercaptopurina (MP) se utilizan comúnmente para tratar la enfermedad inflamatoria intestinal (EII). Su uso está frecuentemente restringido debido a la intolerancia gastrointestinal. Estudios retrospectivos anteriores han informado que los pacientes intolerantes a la AZA pueden beneficiarse de un cambio a MP; sin embargo, la eficacia de esta estrategia no ha sido evaluada prospectivamente.ObjetivosEvaluar la tolerancia gastrointestinal a MP en pacientes que son intolerantes a AZA e identificar predictores clínicos de intolerancia gastrointestinal a AZA o MP.MétodosSe realizó un estudio prospectivo, observacional y de cohorte única en 92 pacientes con EII que nunca habían recibido tiopurinas. Comenzaron con una dosis de 50mg de AZA y se aumentó a 2,5mg/kg por día en la semana 2. En aquellos con intolerancia gastrointestinal se administró una dosis del 50% de AZA que se fue incrementando en función de la tolerancia. Si los síntomas persistían, se cambiaba a MP.ResultadosTreinta (32,6%) de los pacientes reclutados presentaron intolerancia gastrointestinal a la AZA. De estos, 15 no presentaron recurrencia de los síntomas después de la nueva exposición. De los 15 pacientes que no toleraron una dosis más baja, 14 recibieron MP. De los que recibieron MP, 8 pacientes (57%) también eran intolerantes a MP, 5 (36%) no tenían síntomas y uno (7%) se perdió durante el seguimiento. El género femenino fue el único predictor independiente de intolerancia gastrointestinal a la AZA.ConclusionesHasta la mitad de los pacientes intolerantes a la AZA toleran una nueva exposición al 50% de la dosis. Se toleró un cambio a MP en más de un tercio de los casos en los que la reexposición fracasó. Nuestra estrategia logró la tolerancia gastrointestinal a tiopurinas en la mayoría de los pacientes. (AU)

A solution to achieve sequencing from SARS-CoV-2 specimens with low viral loads: concatenation of reads from independent reactions.

BACKGROUND: During the pandemic, whole genome sequencing was critical to characterize SARS-CoV-2 for surveillance, clinical and therapeutical purposes. However, low viral loads in specimens often led to suboptimal sequencing, making lineage assignment and phylogenetic analysis difficult. We propose an alternative approach to sequencing these specimens that involves sequencing in triplicate and concatenation of the reads obtained using bioinformatics. This proposal is based on the hypothesis that the uncovered regions in each replicate differ and that concatenation would compensate for these gaps and recover a larger percentage of the sequenced genome. RESULTS: Whole genome sequencing was performed in triplicate on 30 samples with Ct > 32 and the benefit of replicate read concatenation was assessed. After concatenation: i) 28% of samples reached the standard quality coverage threshold (> 90% genome covered > 30x); ii) 39% of samples did not reach the coverage quality thresholds but coverage improved by more than 40%; and iii) SARS-CoV-2 lineage assignment was possible in 68.7% of samples where it had been impaired. CONCLUSIONS: Concatenation of reads from replicate sequencing reactions provides a simple way to access hidden information in the large proportion of SARS-CoV-2-positive specimens eliminated from analysis in standard sequencing schemes. This approach will enhance our potential to rule out involvement in outbreaks, to characterize reinfections and to identify lineages of concern for surveillance or therapeutical purposes.

A multicenter study of the efficacy and safety of treatments (endovascular or conservative) in small intracranial aneurysms in Colombia.

BACKGROUND: The registry of cerebral aneurysms <5 mm, known for their low risk of rupture, is significant, given their high incidence globally. Our study aimed to identify, in small aneurysms (<5 mm), the potential morphological characteristics, risk factors that can predict the risk of rupture, and the risk or benefit of treating them with endovascular or conservative treatment in ruptured and unruptured intracranial aneurysms. METHODS: The medical records of patients with cerebral aneurysms <5 mm were retrospectively reviewed between January 2014 and December 2022 at two neurovascular centers in Colombia. We evaluated clinical and angiographic outcomes using statistical tests. RESULTS: Two hundred fifty-six patients (425 intracranial aneurysms) were registered in the database. Two hundred and seventy-five IA were treated with endovascular treatment: 70 ruptured aneurysms and 205 unruptured aneurysms. One hundred fifty intracranial aneurysms underwent conservative treatment (follow-up). Women accounted for 82.1% of cases. Most cases were incidentally diagnosed (83.5%). After a year of follow-up, 87.3% of unruptured and 67.1% of ruptured intracranial aneurysms had an mRS 0-2. In the Raymond-Roy occlusion classification, among 101 unruptured intracranial aneurysms embolized were 53 cases class I, and among 66 ruptured intracranial aneurysms embolized, 67.1% were class I. CONCLUSION: Endovascular therapy for aneurysms <5 mm appears to be a technically feasible treatment, with satisfactory occlusion rates and few re-treatments at the 12-month follow-up. The complication rates were similar to those reported in studies on small aneurysms.

Multi-ancestry genome-wide association study of kidney cancer identifies 63 susceptibility regions.

Here, in a multi-ancestry genome-wide association study meta-analysis of kidney cancer (29,020 cases and 835,670 controls), we identified 63 susceptibility regions (50 novel) containing 108 independent risk loci. In analyses stratified by subtype, 52 regions (78 loci) were associated with clear cell renal cell carcinoma (RCC) and 6 regions (7 loci) with papillary RCC. Notably, we report a variant common in African ancestry individuals ( rs7629500 ) in the 3' untranslated region of VHL, nearly tripling clear cell RCC risk (odds ratio 2.72, 95% confidence interval 2.23-3.30). In cis-expression quantitative trait locus analyses, 48 variants from 34 regions point toward 83 candidate genes. Enrichment of hypoxia-inducible factor-binding sites underscores the importance of hypoxia-related mechanisms in kidney cancer. Our results advance understanding of the genetic architecture of kidney cancer, provide clues for functional investigation and enable generation of a validated polygenic risk score with an estimated area under the curve of 0.65 (0.74 including risk factors) among European ancestry individuals.

TNFRSF1B Gene Variants in Clinicopathological Aspects and Prognosis of Patients with Cutaneous Melanoma.

Regulatory T lymphocytes play a critical role in immune regulation and are involved in the aberrant cell elimination by facilitating tumor necrosis factor connection to the TNFR2 receptor, encoded by the TNFRSF1B polymorphic gene. We aimed to examine the effects of single nucleotide variants TNFRSF1B c.587T>G, c.*188A>G, c.*215C>T, and c.*922C>T on the clinicopathological characteristics and survival of cutaneous melanoma (CM) patients. Patients were genotyped using RT-PCR. TNFRSF1B levels were measured using qPCR. Luciferase reporter assay evaluated the interaction of miR-96 and miR-1271 with the 3'-UTR of TNFRSF1B. The c.587TT genotype was more common in patients younger than 54 years old than in older patients. Patients with c.*922CT or TT, c.587TG or GG + c.*922CT or TT genotypes, as well as those with the haplotype TATT, presented a higher risk of tumor progression and death due to the disease effects. Individuals with the c.*922TT genotype had a higher TNFRSF1B expression than those with the CC genotype. miR-1271 had less efficient binding with the 3'-UTR of the T allele when compared with the C allele of the SNV c.*922C>T. Our findings, for the first time, demonstrate that TNFRSF1B c.587T>G and c.*922C>T variants can serve as independent prognostic factors in CM patients.

Microevolution, reinfection and highly complex genomic diversity in patients with sequential isolates of Mycobacterium abscessus.

Mycobacterium abscessus is an opportunistic, extensively drug-resistant non-tuberculous mycobacterium. Few genomic studies consider its diversity in persistent infections. Our aim was to characterize microevolution/reinfection events in persistent infections. Fifty-three sequential isolates from 14 patients were sequenced to determine SNV-based distances, assign resistance mutations and characterize plasmids. Genomic analysis revealed 12 persistent cases (0-13 differential SNVs), one reinfection (15,956 SNVs) and one very complex case (23 sequential isolates over 192 months), in which a first period of persistence (58 months) involving the same genotype 1 was followed by identification of a genotype 2 (76 SNVs) in 6 additional alternating isolates; additionally, ten transient genotypes (88-243 SNVs) were found. A macrolide resistance mutation was identified from the second isolate. Despite high diversity, the genotypes shared a common phylogenetic ancestor and some coexisted in the same specimens. Genomic analysis is required to access the true intra-patient complexity behind persistent infections involving M. abscessus.

Synaptic dependence of dynamic regimes when coupling neural populations.

In this article we focus on the study of the collective dynamics of neural networks. The analysis of two recent models of coupled "next-generation" neural mass models allows us to observe different global mean dynamics of large neural populations. These models describe the mean dynamics of all-to-all coupled networks of quadratic integrate-and-fire spiking neurons. In addition, one of these models considers the influence of the synaptic adaptation mechanism on the macroscopic dynamics. We show how both models are related through a parameter and we study the evolution of the dynamics when switching from one model to the other by varying that parameter. Interestingly, we have detected three main dynamical regimes in the coupled models: Rössler-type (funnel type), bursting-type, and spiking-like (oscillator-type) dynamics. This result opens the question of which regime is the most suitable for realistic simulations of large neural networks and shows the possibility of the emergence of chaotic collective dynamics when synaptic adaptation is very weak.

Accelerating SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance in a routine clinical setting with nanopore sequencing.

BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 genomic analysis has been key to the provision of valuable data to meet both epidemiological and clinical demands. High-throughput sequencing, generally Illumina-based, has been necessary to ensure the widest coverage in global variant tracking. However, a speedier response is needed for nosocomial outbreak analyses and rapid identification of patients infected by emerging VOCs. An alternative based on nanopore sequencing may be better suited to delivering a faster response when required; however, although there are several studies offering side-by-side comparisons of Illumina and nanopore sequencing, evaluations of the usefulness in the hospital routine of the faster availability of data provided by nanopore are still lacking. RESULTS: We performed a prospective 10-week nanopore-based sequencing in MinION in a routine laboratory setting, including 83 specimens where a faster response time was necessary. The specimens analyzed corresponded to i) international travellers in which lineages were assigned to determine the proper management/special isolation of the patients; ii) nosocomial infections and health-care-worker infections, where SNP-based comparisons were required to rule in/out epidemiological relationships and tailor specific interventions iii) sentinel cases and breakthrough infections to timely report to the Public Health authorities. MinION-based sequencing was compared with the standard procedures, supported on Illumina sequencing; MinION accelerated the delivery of results (anticipating results 1-12 days) and reduced costs per sample by 28€ compared to Illumina, without reducing accuracy in SNP calling. CONCLUSIONS: Parallel integration of Illumina and nanopore sequencing strategies is a suitable solution to ensure both high-throughput and rapid response to cope with accelerating the surveillance demands of SARS-CoV-2 while also maintaining accuracy.

Safety and Efficacy of Endovascular Coils and Non-Flow-Diverting Stents for Management of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms: A Location-Specific Outcomes Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The relationship between the anatomical location of an unruptured saccular aneurysm, the efficacy, and the potential complications associated with coil and non-flow-diverting stents remains poorly documented. Therefore, the aim of this study is to evaluate the efficacy and safety of endovascular treatment based on the anatomical position of the unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using an anonymized database of patients who underwent endovascular therapy for UIAs between 2014 and 2021. RESULTS: A total of 138 patients with 147 UIAs were included. Immediate Raymond-Roy occlusion class I or II was achieved in 99.2% of patients in all anatomical locations, with a 96.2% occlusion rate at the 12-month follow-up. Complications occurred more frequently in the anterior cerebral artery (35%) and internal carotid artery in its ophthalmic segment (25%). However, the difference was not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that endovascular treatment with stents and coils is effective and safe for managing UIAs in various anatomical locations. The incidence of thromboembolic complications was significantly higher for UIAs located in the anterior cerebral artery.

Evaluation of tolerance to mercaptopurine in patients with inflammatory bowel disease and gastrointestinal intolerance to azathioprine.

BACKGROUND: Thiopurines such as azathioprine (AZA) and mercaptopurine (MP) are commonly utilized to treat inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Their use is frequently restricted due to gastrointestinal intolerance (GI). Previous retrospective studies have reported that AZA-intolerant patients may benefit from a switch to MP; yet the effectiveness of this strategy has not been prospectively evaluated. AIMS: To assess GI tolerance to MP in patients who are intolerant to AZA, and to identify clinical predictors of GI intolerance to AZA or MP. METHODS: A prospective, observational, single-cohort study was performed in 92 thiopurine-naïve IBD patients. They were started on a 50mg dose of AZA and escalated to 2.5mg/kg per day by week 2. Those with GI intolerance were rechallenged with a 50% dose of AZA, after which another dose escalation attempt was made. If symptoms persisted, they were switched to MP. RESULTS: Thirty (32.6%) of the recruited patients suffered from GI intolerance to AZA. Of these, 15 did not present recurrence of symptoms after rechallenge with lower doses. Of 15 intolerant patients, 14 were switched to MP. Within the MP cohort, 8 patients (57%) were also intolerant to MP, 5 (36%) had no symptoms, and 1 (7%) was lost to follow-up. Female gender was the only independent predictor of GI intolerance to AZA. CONCLUSIONS: Up to half of the AZA-intolerant patients tolerated a 50% dose rechallenge that was successfully escalated. A switch to MP was tolerated in over a third of cases whom rechallenge failed. Our strategy (challenge-rechallenge-switch) achieved an overall GI tolerance to thiopurines in most of the patients.

Hazard assessment of antineoplastic drugs and metabolites using cytotoxicity and genotoxicity assays.

Antineoplastic drugs are among the most toxic pharmaceuticals. Their release into the aquatic ecosystems has been reported, giving rise to concerns about the adverse effects, including cytotoxicity and genotoxicity, that they may have on exposed organisms. In this study, we analyzed the cytotoxicity and genotoxicity of 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) and its metabolite alpha-fluoro-beta-alanine (3-NH2-F); gemcitabine (GEM) and its metabolite 2'-deoxy-2',2'-difluorouridine (2-DOH-DiF); as well as cyclophosphamide (CP) on the HepG2 cell line. Drug concentrations were based on those previously observed in the effluent of a major cancer hospital in Brazil. The study found that GEM, 2-DOH-DiF and 5-FU resulted in reduced cell viability. No reduction in cell viability was observed for CP and 3-NH2-F. Genotoxic assessment revealed damage in the form of nucleoplasmic bridges for CP and 3-NH2-F. The tested concentrations of all compounds resulted in significantly increased MNi and NBUDs. The results showed that these compounds induced cytotoxic and genotoxic effects in HepG2 cells at concentrations found in the environment. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to report on the cytogenotoxic impacts of the metabolites 3-NH2-F and 2-DOH-DiF in HepG2 cells. These findings may help in the development of public policies that could minimize potential environmental contamination.

Uncertainty in surface wind speed projections over the Iberian Peninsula: CMIP6 GCMs versus a WRF-RCM.

This study assessed the projected near-surface wind speed (SWS) changes and variability over the Iberian Peninsula for the 21st century. Here, we compared Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 global climate models (GCMs) with a higher spatial resolution regional climate model (RCM; ∼20 km), known as WRF-CESM2, which was created by a dynamic downscaling of the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Our analysis found that the GCMs tended to overestimate observed SWS for 1985-2014, while the higher spatial resolution of the WRF-CESM2 did not improve the accuracy and underestimated the SWS magnitude. GCMs project a decline of SWS under high shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) greenhouse concentrations, such as SSP370 and SSP585, while an interdecadal oscillation appears in SSP126 and SSP245 for the end of the century. The WRF-CESM2 under SSP585 predicts the opposite increasing SWS. Our results suggest that 21st-century projections of SWS are uncertain even for regionalized products and should be taken with caution.

Alternative molecular and genomic strategies to provide a rapid response to alerts concerning the introduction of new emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants: the Omicron alert.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, several SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs) of particular relevance emerged. Early detection of VOCs entering a country is essential to control spread. The alert triggered by the first suspected case of the Omicron variant in Spain in a traveler arriving from South Africa in November 2021 provided a unique opportunity to evaluate four different methodological strategies tailored to rapid identification of Omicron. The different approaches were designed to respond to the different technical resources available in different settings. First, we used melting probes in RT-PCR to determine the presence of four Omicron signatures (K417N, E484A, P681H, and absence of L452R): three probes showed deviations in temperature (Tm) values relative to the reference codons (E484K-15.8°C, P681H-5.2°C, and L452R-7.2°C) and one maintained the reference value (K417N). The deviation in Tm of P681H suggested the presence of the characteristic Omicron N679K mutation in the probe hybridization region; these data pointed to the presence of Omicron alleles. Second, the presence of 29 of the 33 characteristic single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the Omicron variant S-gene was identified by Sanger sequencing of nine amplicons. The final two strategies involved identification of 47 of the 50 non-synonymous and indel mutations attributed to Omicron by rapid nanopore whole genome sequencing (WGS) and by Illumina WGS technology. These strategies enabled us to pre-assign the first Omicron case in Spain with high certainty 2 h after receipt of RNA and to confirm it genomically 3 h later, so that the Public Health authorities could be rapidly notified. IMPORTANCE The study presents different experimental alternatives to identify new variants of concern (VOCs) of SARS-CoV-2 entering a certain population. Early detection of a new VOC is crucial for surveillance and control of spread. The objective is to provide laboratories with tools adapted to their resource capabilities that offer a sufficient level of resolution to rule out, confirm, or pre-assign the presence of a suspected VOC. The study describes four different techniques that were applied simultaneously to the first suspected Omicron case in Spain, highlighting the level of resolution and response time achieved in each case. These techniques are based on the detection of mutations in the S-gene of the virus that can easily adapt to potential emerging variants. The results of the study allow any laboratory to prepare for new alerts of SARS-CoV-2 VOCs.

A novel therapeutic management for diabetes patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia: comparison of autologous bone marrow mononuclear cells versus allogenic Wharton jelly-derived mesenchymal stem cells.

BACKGROUND: Chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) represents the final stage of peripheral arterial disease. Approximately one-third of patients with CLTI are not eligible for conventional surgical treatments. Furthermore, patients with advanced stage of CLTI are prone to amputation and death. Thus, an effective therapeutic strategy is urgently needed. In this context, autologous bone marrow mononuclear cell (auto-BM-MNC) and allogeneic mesenchymal stem cells represent a promising therapeutic approach for treating CLTI. In this study, we compared the safety and beneficial therapeutic effect of auto-BM-MNC versus allogeneic Wharton jelly-derived mesenchymal stem cells (allo-WJ-MSCs) in diabetic patients with CLTI. METHODS: We performed a randomized, prospective, double-blind and controlled pilot study. Twenty-four diabetic patients in the advanced stage of CLTI (4 or 5 in Rutherford's classification) and a transcutaneous oxygen pressure (TcPO2) below 30 mmHg were randomized to receive 15 injections of (i) auto-BM-MNC (7.197 × 106 ± 2.984 × 106 cells/mL) (n = 7), (ii) allo-WJ-MSCs (1.333 × 106 cells/mL) (n = 7) or (iii) placebo solution (1 mL) (n = 10), which were administered into the periadventitial layer of the arterial walls under eco-Doppler guidance. The follow-up visits were at months 1, 3, 6, and 12 to evaluate the following parameters: (i) Rutherford's classification, (ii) TcPO2, (iii) percentage of wound closure, (iv) pain, (v) pain-free walking distance, (vi) revascularization and limb-survival proportion, and (vii) life quality (EQ-5D questionnaire). RESULTS: No adverse events were reported. Patients with CLTI who received auto-BM-MNC and allo-WJ-MSCs presented an improvement in Rutherford's classification, a significant increase in TcPO2 values‬, a reduction in the lesion size in a shorter time, a decrease in the pain score and an increase in the pain-free walking distance, in comparison with the placebo group. In addition, the participants treated with auto-BM-MNC and allo-WJ-MSCs kept their limbs during the follow-up period, unlike the placebo group, which had a marked increase in amputation. CONCLUSIONS: Our results showed that patients with CLTI treated with auto-BM-MNC and allo-WJ-MSCs conserved 100% of their limb during 12 months of the follow-up compared to the placebo group, where 60% of participants underwent limb amputation in different times. Furthermore, we observed a faster improvement in the allo-WJ-MSC group, unlike the auto-BM-MNC group. Trial registration This study was retrospectively registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05631444).

Deep Learning for chaos detection.

In this article, we study how a chaos detection problem can be solved using Deep Learning techniques. We consider two classical test examples: the Logistic map as a discrete dynamical system and the Lorenz system as a continuous dynamical system. We train three types of artificial neural networks (multi-layer perceptron, convolutional neural network, and long short-term memory cell) to classify time series from the mentioned systems into regular or chaotic. This approach allows us to study biparametric and triparametric regions in the Lorenz system due to their low computational cost compared to traditional techniques.

A One Health approach revealed the long-term role of Mycobacterium caprae as the hidden cause of human tuberculosis in a region of Spain, 2003 to 2022.

IntroductionMycobacterium caprae is a member of the Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC) not routinely identified to species level. It lacks specific clinical features of presentation and may therefore not be identified as the causative agent of tuberculosis. Use of whole genome sequencing (WGS) in the investigation of a family microepidemic of tuberculosis in Almería, Spain, unexpectedly identified the involvement of M. caprae.AimWe aimed to evaluate the presence of additional unidentified M. caprae cases and to determine the magnitude of this occurrence.MethodsFirst-line characterisation of the MTBC isolates was done by MIRU-VNTR, followed by WGS. Human and animal M. caprae isolates were integrated in the analysis.ResultsA comprehensive One Health strategy allowed us to (i) detect other 11 M. caprae infections in humans in a period of 18 years, (ii) systematically analyse M. caprae infections on an epidemiologically related goat farm and (iii) geographically expand the study by including 16 M. caprae isolates from other provinces. Integrative genomic analysis of 41 human and animal M. caprae isolates showed a high diversity of strains. The animal isolates' diversity was compatible with long-term infection, and close genomic relationships existed between isolates from goats on the farm and recent cases of M. caprae infection in humans.DiscussionZoonotic circulation of M. caprae strains had gone unnoticed for 18 years. Systematic characterisation of MTBC at species level and/or extended investigation of the possible sources of exposure in all tuberculosis cases would minimise the risk of overlooking similar zoonotic events.

Cross-sectoral impacts of the 2018-2019 Central European drought and climate resilience in the German part of the Elbe River basin.

The 2018-2019 Central European drought was probably the most extreme in Germany since the early sixteenth century. We assess the multiple consequences of the drought for natural systems, the economy and human health in the German part of the Elbe River basin, an area of 97,175 km2 including the cities of Berlin and Hamburg and contributing about 18% to the German GDP. We employ meteorological, hydrological and socio-economic data to build a comprehensive picture of the drought severity, its multiple effects and cross-sectoral consequences in the basin. Time series of different drought indices illustrate the severity of the 2018-2019 drought and how it progressed from meteorological water deficits via soil water depletion towards low groundwater levels and river runoff, and losses in vegetation productivity. The event resulted in severe production losses in agriculture (minus 20-40% for staple crops) and forestry (especially through forced logging of damaged wood: 25.1 million tons in 2018-2020 compared to only 3.4 million tons in 2015-2017), while other economic sectors remained largely unaffected. However, there is no guarantee that this socio-economic stability will be sustained in future drought events; this is discussed in the light of 2022, another dry year holding the potential for a compound crisis. Given the increased probability for more intense and long-lasting droughts in most parts of Europe, this example of actual cross-sectoral drought impacts will be relevant for drought awareness and preparation planning in other regions. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-023-02032-3.

Public Health Implications of Drought in a Climate Change Context: A Critical Review.

Extreme weather events are expected to increase due to climate change, which could pose an additional burden of morbidity and mortality. In recent decades, drought severity has increased in several regions around the world, affecting health by increasing the risk of water-, food-, and vector-borne diseases, malnutrition, cardiovascular and respiratory illness, mental health disorders, and mortality. Drought frequency and severity are expected to worsen across large regions as a result of a decrease in precipitation and an increase in temperature and atmospheric evaporative demand, posing a pressing challenge for public health. Variation in impacts among countries and communities is due to multiple factors, such as aging, socioeconomic status, access to health care, and gender, affecting population resilience. Integrative proactive action plans focused on risk management are required, and resources should be transferred to developing countries to reduce their vulnerability and risk.