Risk of relapse and death from colorectal cancer and its related factors using non-Markovian Multi-State model.

AIM: This study aimed at modeling the risk of local relapse and death from colorectal cancer after the first treatment and its related factors using multi-state models. BACKGROUND: In cancer studies modeling the course of disease regarding events which happen to patients is of great importance. By considering death as the final endpoint while incorporating the intermediate events, multi-state models have been developed. METHODS: This was a historical cohort study in which 235 patients with colorectal cancer, who referred to Omid Hospital in Mashhad between 2006 and 2011, were studied and followed up until 2017. The transition probabilities to death due to metastasis with or without experiencing local relapse and variables related to them were determined using the non-Markovian multi-state model in three states of disease, local relapse and death. RESULTS: The probability of not experiencing either of the events, just relapse and death in the first 5 years were 0.45, 0.09 and 0.46 respectively. If patients did not experience any event in the first year of treatment, the probability of relapse and death before the fifth year were 0.04 and 0.33 respectively and if they did experience relapse during this time, the probability of death by the fifth year was 0.62. The stage of cancer was associated with relapse and death, while ethnicity and history of addiction were related to death without relapse and BMI had a significant relationship with death after relapse (p<0.05). CONCLUSION: Risk of death in patients with colorectal cancer depends on local relapse and the time between them.

An Exploratory Study of Units of Reporting Opium Usein Iran: Implications for Epidemiologic Studies.

BACKGROUND: Measuring the amount of opium use is a challenge in epidemiologic studies. Self-report of amount of opium use at each consumption, widely used in the literature, usually fails to provide a good estimate. The purpose of this study is to systematically study the perceived weight units of reported opium use in Iran, and compare them to the standardized units of weight measurement. METHODS: An exploratory descriptive study was conducted in six major cities of Iran. Study participants were interviewed and asked to use a Play-Doh-like material to demonstrate the amount of opium they use. To obtain an estimate of the weight of the material used, we multiplied the volume by the density of the opium product. We experimentally determined the density of the commonly used opium products. We used medians and inter-quartile ranges (IQRs) to report the typical amount of each unit. RESULTS: A total of 108 individuals participated in this study. The most frequently reported unit was "gram"; the median perceived weight for one gram (g) of opium was 0.24 (IQR: 0.16) g. The second most commonly used unit was nokhod with a median of 0.16 (IQR: 0.16) g, followed by mesghaal and hab/habeh, which were 1.28 (IQR: 0.81) and 0.16 (IQR: 0.16) g, respectively. The median perceived weight of mesghaal and gram in the studied cities was less than the expected standardized values. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, the reported amount of opium use is highly inaccurate and unreliable, and is mainly subject to underestimation.

Clinical relevance of HER-2/neu overexpression in patients with testicular nonseminomatous germ cell tumor.

INTRODUCTION: Recent scientific attention has focused on the role of growth factors in the progression of cancer. HER-2/neu is an epidermal growth factor receptor that is demonstrated to have correlation with poor prognosis of many cancers. This study evaluated the overexpression of HER-2/neu protein and its clinical importance in nonseminomatous germ cell tumors of the testis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Testis specimens of 54 patients with testicular nonseminomatous germ cell tumors, referred to Omid Hospital from 2001 to 2007, were re-evaluated and the patients' records were reviewed. Patients' age, tumor subtype, tumor stage, tumor markers, therapeutic response, and disease-free survival were assessed and the specimens were evaluated for the degree of HER-2/neu expression using an immunohistochemistry method. RESULTS: Immunohistochemical staining was performed for 54 specimens. Overexpression of HER-2/neu was seen in 33.3% of the patients with nonseminomatous germ cell tumors, especially in those with teratocarcinoma subtype compared to those with mixed germ cell tumors or embryonal cell carcinoma. However, HER-2/neu overexpression did not show any correlation with tumor stage, therapeutic response, disease-free survival, age, beta-human chorionic gonadotropin, or alpha-fetoprotein. CONCLUSION: We observed overexpression of HER-2/neu receptor in teratocarcinoma subtype of germ cell tumor. We suggest further studies to evaluate the clinical importance of this finding.