The importance of expert selection when identifying threatened ecosystems.

Identifying threatened ecosystem types is fundamental to conservation and management decision-making. When identification relies on expert judgment, decisions are vulnerable to inconsistent outcomes and can lack transparency. We elicited judgements of the occurrence of a widespread, critically endangered Australian ecosystem from a diverse pool of 83 experts. We asked 4 questions. First, how many experts are required to reliably conclude that the ecosystem is present? Second, how many experts are required to build a reliable model for predicting ecosystem presence? Third, given expert selection can narrow the range opinions, if enough experts are selected, do selection strategies affect model predictions? Finally, does a diverse selection of experts provide better model predictions? We used power and sample size calculations with a finite population of 200 experts to calculate the number of experts required to reliably assess ecosystem presence in a theoretical scenario. We then used boosted regression trees to model expert elicitation of 122 plots based on real-world data. For a reliable consensus (90% probability of correctly identifying presence and absence) in a relatively certain scenario (85% probability of occurrence), at least 17 experts were required. More experts were required when occurrence was less certain, and fewer were needed if permissible error rates were relaxed. In comparison, only ∼20 experts were required for a reliable model that could predict for a range of scenarios. Expert selection strategies changed modeled outcomes, often overpredicting presence and underestimating uncertainty. However, smaller but diverse pools of experts produced outcomes similar to a model built from all contributing experts. Combining elicited judgements from a diverse pool of experts in a model-based decision support tool provided an efficient aggregation of a broad range of expertise. Such models can improve the transparency and consistency of conservation and management decision-making, especially when ecosystems are defined based on complex criteria.

La importancia de seleccionar expertos para identificar ecosistemas amenazados Resumen La identificación de los tipos de ecosistemas amenazados es fundamental para decidir sobre su conservación y gestión. Cuando la identificación se basa en la opinión de expertos, las decisiones son vulnerables a resultados incoherentes y pueden carecer de transparencia. Recabamos la opinión de 83 expertos sobre la presencia de un ecosistema australiano extendido y en peligro crítico. Se plantearon cuatro preguntas: ¿Cuántos expertos son necesarios para concluir con fiabilidad que el ecosistema está presente?; ¿Cuántos expertos son necesarios para construir un modelo fiable de predicción de la presencia del ecosistema?; ya que la selección de expertos puede reducir el rango de opiniones, si se seleccionan suficientes expertos, ¿afectan las estrategias de selección a las predicciones del modelo; y ¿Una selección diversa de expertos proporciona mejores predicciones del modelo? Utilizamos cálculos de potencia y tamaño de muestra con una población finita de 200 expertos para obtener el número de expertos necesarios para evaluar de forma fiable la presencia de ecosistemas en un escenario teórico. Después usamos árboles de regresión reforzada para modelar la consulta de expertos de 122 parcelas basadas en datos del mundo real. Para obtener un consenso fiable (90% de probabilidad de identificar correctamente la presencia y la ausencia) en un escenario relativamente seguro (85% de probabilidad de ocurrencia), se necesitaban al menos 17 expertos. Se necesitaban más expertos cuando la ocurrencia era menos segura, y menos si se relajaban los porcentajes de error permitidos. En comparación, sólo se necesitaron unos 20 expertos para obtener un modelo fiable que pudiera predecir una serie de escenarios. Las estrategias de selección de expertos modificaron los resultados modelados, a menudo con sobre predicción de la presencia y subestimación de la incertidumbre. Sin embargo, los grupos de expertos más pequeños pero diversos produjeron resultados similares a los de un modelo construido a partir de todos los expertos participantes. La combinación de las opiniones obtenidas de un grupo diverso de expertos en una herramienta de apoyo a la toma de decisiones basada en un modelo proporcionó una agregación eficiente de una amplia gama de conocimientos. Estos modelos pueden mejorar la transparencia y coherencia de la toma de decisiones en materia de conservación y gestión, especialmente cuando los ecosistemas se definen en función de criterios complejos.

Differences in Influenza-Specific CD4 T-Cell Mediated Immunity Following Acute Infection Versus Inactivated Vaccination in Children.

BACKGROUND: Early childhood influenza infections imprint influenza-specific immune memory, with most studies evaluating antibody specificity. In this study, we examined how infection versus inactivated influenza vaccination (IIV) establish pediatric CD4 T-cell mediated immunity to influenza and whether this poises the immune system to respond differently to IIV the following year. METHODS: We tracked influenza-specific CD4 T-cell responses in 16 H3N2 infected and 28 IIV immunized children following both initial exposure and after cohorts were revaccinated with IIV the following fall. PBMCs were stimulated with peptide pools encompassing the translated regions of the H3 HA and NP proteins and were then stained to assess CD4 T-cell specificity and function. RESULTS: Compared to IIV, infection primed a greater magnitude CD4 T-cell response specific for the infecting HA and NP proteins, with more robust NP-specific immunity persisting through year 2. Post infection, CD4 T cells preferentially produced combinations of cytokines that included interferon-γ. Interestingly, age-specific patterns in CD4 T-cell reactivity demonstrated the impact of multiple influenza exposures over time. CONCLUSIONS: These data indicate that infection and vaccination differentially prime influenza-specific CD4 T-cell responses in early childhood, with these differences contributing to the lasting immunologic imprinting established following early influenza infection. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT02559505.

Evidence That Blunted CD4 T-Cell Responses Underlie Deficient Protective Antibody Responses to Influenza Vaccines in Repeatedly Vaccinated Human Subjects.

Despite the benefits of yearly influenza vaccination, accumulating evidence suggests that diminished vaccine efficacy may be related to repeated vaccination. Although studied at the level of B-cell responses, CD4 T-cell responses have not yet been examined. In this study, we analyze CD4 T-cell responses to influenza vaccination in subjects who differ in their vaccine history. We find a striking disparity in their responses, with previously vaccinated subjects exhibiting significantly blunted CD4 T-cell responses and diminished antibody responses. These results suggest that limiting CD4 T-cell help mteaserrlie the diminished or altered antibody responses in repeatedly vaccinated subjects.

Understanding Immunity in Children Vaccinated With Live Attenuated Influenza Vaccine.

Live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV), or FluMist, was approved for use in the United States in 2003. This vaccine, administered intranasally, offers the advantage of stimulating immunity at the site of infection in the upper respiratory tract and, by mimicking natural infection, has the potential to elicit a multifaceted immune response. However, the development of immunity following LAIV administration requires viral replication, causing vaccine effectiveness to be impacted by both the replicative fitness of the attenuated viruses being administered and the degree of the host's preexisting immunity. In this review, we discuss the current state of knowledge regarding the mechanisms of protection elicited by LAIV in children, contrast this with immune protection that develops upon vaccination with inactivated influenza vaccines, and briefly discuss both the potential advantages as well as challenges offered by this vaccination platform.

An Ion-Exchangeable MOF with Reversible Dehydration and Dynamic Structural Behavior (NH4 )2 [Zn2 (O3 PCH2 CH2 COO)2 ]⋠5 H2 O (BIRM-1).

(NH4 )2 [Zn2 (O3 PCH2 CH2 COO)2 ]⋅5 H2 O (BIRM-1) is a new metal phosphonate material, synthesized through a simple hydrothermal reaction between zinc nitrate and 3-phosphonopropionic acid, using urea and tetraethylammonium bromide as the reaction medium. In common with other metal-organic framework materials, BIRM-1 has a large three-dimensional porous structure providing potential access to a high internal surface area. Unlike most others, it has the advantage of containing ammonium cations within the pores and has the ability to undergo cation exchange. Additionally, BIRM-1 also exhibits a reversible dehydration behavior involving an amorphization-recrystallization cycle. The ability to undergo ion exchange and dynamic structural behavior are of interest in their own right, but also increase the range of potential applications for this material. Here the crystal structure of this new metal phosphonate and its ion exchange behavior with K+ as an exemplar are studied in detail, and its unusual structure-reviving property reported.

Differences in the influenza-specific CD4 T cell immunodominance hierarchy and functional potential between children and young adults.

Studies of the B cell repertoire suggest that early childhood influenza infections profoundly shape later reactivity by creating an "imprint" that impacts subsequent vaccine responses and may provide lasting protection against influenza strains within the same viral group. However, there is little known about how these early childhood influenza exposures shape CD4 T cell reactivity later in life. To investigate the effect of age on influenza-specific CD4 T cell specificity and functionality, reactivity in cohorts of 2 year old children and young adult subjects was compared. Intracellular cytokine staining was used to determine the viral antigen specificity and expression levels of various cytokines following stimulation of peripheral blood mononuclear cells with complete peptide pools representing the entire translated sequences of the pH1, H3, HA-B, NP, and M1 proteins. We found that the influenza protein-specific immunodominance pattern in children differs from that in young adults, with much lower reactivity to the NP internal virion protein in young children. Alterations in CD4 T cell functionality were also noted, as responding CD4 T cells from children produced less IFNγ and were less likely to express multiple cytokines. These differences in the repertoire of influenza-specific CD4 T cells available for recall on influenza challenge in early childhood could possibly contribute to early imprinting of influenza-specific immunity as well as the increased susceptibility of children to this viral infection.

A large-scale application of project prioritization to threatened species investment by a government agency.

In a global environment of increasing species extinctions and decreasing availability of funds with which to combat the causes of biodiversity loss, maximising the efficiency of conservation efforts is crucial. The only way to ensure maximum return on conservation investment is to incorporate the cost, benefit and likelihood of success of conservation actions into decision-making in a systematic and objective way. Here we report on the application of a Project Prioritization Protocol (PPP), first implemented by the New Zealand Government, to target and prioritize investment in threatened species in New South Wales, Australia, under the state's new Saving our Species program. Detailed management prescriptions for 368 threatened species were developed via an expert elicitation process, and were then prioritized using quantitative data on benefit, likelihood of success and implementation cost, and a simple cost-efficiency equation. We discuss the outcomes that have been realized even in the early stages of the program; including the efficient development of planning resources made available to all potential threatened species investors and the demonstration of a transparent and objective approach to threatened species management that will significantly increase the probability of meeting an objective to secure the greatest number of threatened species from extinction.

Intestinal Transit Time and Cortisol-Mediated Stress in Zebrafish.

Intestinal motility, the spontaneous and rhythmic smooth muscle contraction, is a complex process that is regulated by overlapping and redundant regulatory mechanisms. Primary regulators intrinsic to the gastrointestinal tract include interstitial cells of Cajal, enteric neurons, and smooth muscle cells. Extrinsic primary regulators include the autonomic nervous system, immune system, and the endocrine system. Due to this complexity, a reductionist approach may be inappropriate if the ultimate goal is to understand motility regulation in vivo. Motility can be directly visualized in intact zebrafish, with intact regulatory systems, because larvae are transparent. Intestinal motility can therefore be measured in a complete system. However, the intestinal tract may respond to external influences, such as handling, which may invoke a stress response and influence intestinal transit. We used SR4G transgenic zebrafish, which express green fluorescent protein following activation of glucocorticoid receptors, and showed that handling required for the intestinal motility assay induces stress. Separate experiments showed that exogenous application of hydrocortisone did not influence intestinal transit, suggesting that handling may not interfere with transit measurements in intact zebrafish larvae. These experiments contribute to further development of the zebrafish model for intestinal motility research.

Selective pre-priming of HA-specific CD4 T cells restores immunological reactivity to HA on heterosubtypic influenza infection.

A hallmark of the immune response to influenza is repeated encounters with proteins containing both genetically conserved and variable components. Therefore, the B and T cell repertoire is continually being remodeled, with competition between memory and naïve lymphocytes. Our previous work using a mouse model of secondary heterosubtypic influenza infection has shown that this competition results in a focusing of CD4 T cell response specificity towards internal virion proteins with a selective decrease in CD4 T cell reactivity to the novel HA epitopes. Strikingly, this shift in CD4 T cell specificity was associated with a diminished anti-HA antibody response. Here, we sought to determine whether the loss in HA-specific reactivity that occurs as a consequence of immunological memory could be reversed by selectively priming HA-specific CD4 T cells prior to secondary infection. Using a peptide-based priming strategy, we found that selective expansion of the anti-HA CD4 T cell memory repertoire enhanced HA-specific antibody production upon heterosubtypic infection. These results suggest that the potentially deleterious consequences of repeated exposure to conserved influenza internal virion proteins could be reversed by vaccination strategies that selectively arm the HA-specific CD4 T cell compartment. This could be a potentially useful pre-pandemic vaccination strategy to promote accelerated neutralizing antibody production on challenge with a pandemic influenza strain that contains few conserved HA epitopes.

The contribution of community wisdom to conservation ecology.

Scientists have traditionally collected data on whether a population is increasing, decreasing, or staying the same, but such studies are often limited by geographic scale and time frame. This means that for many species, understanding of trends comes from only part of their ranges at particular periods. Working with citizen scientists has the potential to overcome these limits. Citizen science has the added benefit of exposing citizens to the scientific process and engaging them in management outcomes. We examined a different way of using citizen scientists (instead of data collection). We asked community members to answer a question directly and thus examined whether community wisdom can inform conservation. We reviewed the results of 3 mail-in surveys that asked community members to say whether they thought koala populations were increasing, decreasing, or staying the same. We then compared the survey results with population trends derived from more traditional research. Population trends identified through community wisdom were similar to the trends identified by traditional research. The community wisdom surveys, however, allowed the question to be addressed at much broader geographical scales and time frames. Studies that apply community wisdom have the benefit of engaging a broad section of the community in conservation research and education and therefore in the political process of conserving species.

Selective Imaging of Discrete Polyoxometalate Ions on Graphene Oxide under Variable Voltage Conditions.

Monosubstituted lacunary Keggin [CoSiW11O39](6-) ions on graphene oxide (GO) were used in a comparative imaging study using aberration corrected transmission electron microscopy at two different acceleration voltages, 80 and 200 kV. By performing a set of static and dynamical studies, together with image simulations, we show how the use of lower voltages results in better stability and resolution of the underlying GO support while the use of higher voltages permits better resolution of the individual tungsten atoms and leads to less kinetic motion of the cluster, thus leading to a more accurate identification of cluster orientation and better stability under dynamical imaging conditions. Applying different voltages also influences the visibility of both GO and the lighter Co at lower or higher voltages, respectively.

High-precision imaging of an encapsulated Lindqvist ion and correlation of its structure and symmetry with quantum chemical calculations.

Low-voltage aberration-corrected transmission electron microscopy (AC-TEM) of discrete Lindqvist [W(6)O(19)](2-) polyoxometalate ions inserted from an ethanolic solution of [NBu(4)](2)[W(6)O(19)] into double walled carbon nanotubes (DWNTs) allows a higher precision structural study to be performed than previously reported. W atom column separations within the constituent W(6) tungsten cage can now be visualized with sufficient clarity that reliable correlation with structural predictions from density functional theory (DFT) can be achieved. Calculations performed on [W(6)O(19)](2-) anions encapsulated in carbon nanotubes show good agreement with measured separations between pairs of W(2) atom columns imaged within equatorial WO(6) polyhedral pairs and also single W atom positions located within individual axial WO(6) octahedra. Structural data from the tilted chiral encapsulating DWNT were also determined simultaneously with the anion structural measurements, allowing the influence of the conformation of the encapsulating tubule to be included in the DFT calculation and compared against that of other candidate encapsulating nanotubes. Additional DFT calculations performed using Li(+) cations as a model for the [NBu(4)](+) counterions indicate that the latter may help to induce charge transfer between the DWNT and the [W(6)O(19)](2-) ion and this may help to constrain the motion of the ion in situ.

Imaging the structure, symmetry, and surface-inhibited rotation of polyoxometalate ions on graphene oxide.

Atomic-resolution imaging of discrete [γ-SiW10O36]8- lacunary Keggin ions dispersed onto monolayer graphene oxide (GO) films by low voltage aberration corrected transmission electron microscopy is described. Under low electron beam dose, individual anions remain stationary for long enough that a variety of projections can be observed and structural information extracted with ca. ± 0.03 nm precision. Unambiguous assignment of the orientation of individual ions with respect to the point symmetry elements can be determined. The C2v symmetry [γ-SiW10O36]8- ion was imaged along its 2-fold C2 axis or orthogonally with respect to one of two nonequivalent mirror planes (i.e., σv). Continued electron beam exposure of a second ion imaged orthogonal to σv causes it to translate and/or rotate in an inhibited fashion so that the ion can be viewed in different relative orientations. The inhibited surface motion of the anion, which is in response to H-bonding-type interactions, reveals an important new property for GO in that it demonstrably behaves as a chemically modified (i.e., rather than chemically neutral) surface in electron microscopy. This behavior indicates that GO has more in common with substrates used in imaging techniques such as atomic force microscopy and scanning tunneling microscopy, and this clearly sets it apart from other support films used in transmission electron microscopy.

Microbial engineering of nanoheterostructures: biological synthesis of a magnetically recoverable palladium nanocatalyst.

Precious metals supported on ferrimagnetic particles have a diverse range of uses in catalysis. However, fabrication using synthetic methods results in potentially high environmental and economic costs. Here we show a novel biotechnological route for the synthesis of a heterogeneous catalyst consisting of reactive palladium nanoparticles arrayed on a nanoscale biomagnetite support. The magnetic support was synthesized at ambient temperature by the Fe(III)-reducing bacterium, Geobacter sulfurreducens , and facilitated ease of recovery of the catalyst with superior performance due to reduced agglomeration (versus conventional colloidal Pd nanoparticles). Surface arrays of palladium nanoparticles were deposited on the nanomagnetite using a simple one-step method without the need to modify the biomineral surface, most likely due to an organic coating priming the surface for Pd adsorption, which was produced by the bacterial culture during the formation of the nanoparticles. A combination of EXAFS and XPS showed the Pd nanoparticles on the magnetite to be predominantly metallic in nature. The Pd(0)-biomagnetite was tested for catalytic activity in the Heck reaction coupling iodobenzene to ethyl acrylate or styrene. Rates of reaction were equal to or superior to those obtained with an equimolar amount of a commercial colloidal palladium catalyst, and near complete conversion to ethyl cinnamate or stilbene was achieved within 90 and 180 min, respectively.

Modulation of the intercalation properties of copper-zinc mixed-metal phosphonate materials.

New layered mixed divalent metal vinylphosphonates Cu(II) (1-x)Zn(II) (x)(O(3)PC(2)H(3)).H(2)O have been prepared from a range of pre-formed copper-zinc oxides Cu(II) (1-x)Zn(II) (x)O obtained by isomorphous substitution of zinc into the tenorite-type structure of Cu(II)O. The corresponding mixed divalent copper-zinc vinylphosphonates have been characterised by powder X-ray diffraction, elemental analysis, infrared spectroscopy and thermogravimetric analysis. All compounds have been shown to consist of a single-phase solid solution that crystallises in an monoclinic unit cell, space group P2(1)/c with a=9.86-9.90, b=7.61-7.64, c=7.32-7.35 A and beta=95.9-96 degrees, with the exception of the pure zinc vinylphosphonate (x=1), the structure of which is comparable to other Zn(II)(O(3)PR).H(2)O materials. Studies of the intercalation of n-butylamine into the range of copper-zinc vinylphosphonates have demonstrated that significant modulation of the adsorption properties occurs; whereas one mole of amine is intercalated into the pure zinc vinylphosphonate to give Zn(II)(O(3)PC(2)H(3)).(C(4)H(9)NH(2)), for all other members of the series two moles of amine are coordinated to give intercalated compounds of composition Cu(II) (1-x)Zn(II) (x)(O(3)PC(2)H(3)).[(C(4)H(9)NH(2))(1-x)(C(4)H(9)NH(2))(x)](2) from which the amine can be sequentially removed from the different metal sites; this opens up possibilities for further applications of these materials.

SSZ-23: An Odd Zeolite with Pore Openings of Seven and Nine Tetrahedral Atoms.

Single-crystal X-ray diffraction with synchrotron radiation enabled the structure of microcrystalline SSZ-23 (see drawing on the right), the first zeolite with channels bounded by seven- and nine-membered rings, to be solved.