ABSTRACT
Cancer-associated thromboembolism (CAT), including venous thromboembolism (VTE) and arterial thromboembolism (ATE), is a frequent complication of advanced pancreatic cancer. However, reports on its incidence and clinical outcomes, especially on ATE, are limited. The present study aimed to investigate the incidence of CAT and its effects on overall survival in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer. As part of the Tokushukai REAl-world data project in Japan, 846 eligible patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer treated with first-line chemotherapy were identified between April 2010 and March 2020. Using diagnosis procedure combination data from these patients, the present study investigated the incidence of VTE, ATE and cerebral and gastrointestinal bleeding requiring hospitalization. Blood laboratory data were collected within 14 days of the start of first-line treatment, and Khorana scores were calculated. The associations between CAT complications and comorbidities, concomitant medications and prognosis were examined. Among the 846 patients, 21 (2.5) and 70 (8.3%) had VTE and ATE, respectively (including five with overlapping VTE and ATE). CAT-positive patients had a significantly higher rate of gastrointestinal bleeding events compared with CAT-negative patients [13 of 86 (15.2%) vs. 46 of 760 (6.1%); P=0.01]. CAT-positive patients had a poorer prognosis [hazard ratio (HR), 1.28; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.01-1.62] compared with CAT-negative patients, even after adjusting for background factors (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.95-1.52). Cox regression analyses showed that higher Khorana scores were associated with significantly worse prognosis. This real-world data demonstrated that the incidence rate of CAT in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer was 10.2%, and no statistically significant differences were observed, although there was a trend toward an adverse prognosis. The Khorana score may also be useful for predicting prognosis, even in the absence of CAT. This study was registered in the UMIN Clinical Trial Registry (http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/index.htm; clinical trial no. UMIN000050590).
ABSTRACT
Inflammation-based prognostic markers based on a combination of blood-based parameters, including the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), have been associated with clinical outcomes in patients with various types of cancer. The present study aimed to evaluate and compare the accuracy of these previously reported markers in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer receiving first-line chemotherapy. A total of 846 patients were identified between April 2010 and March 2020 as part of a nationwide real-world study from 46 Tokushukai medical group hospitals in Japan. Blood laboratory data collected within 14 days of starting first-line chemotherapy assessed 17 inflammation-based prognostic markers. Information from patients with no missing data was used to compare the accuracy and performance of the inflammation-based prognostic markers. A total of 487 patients were eligible for this supplemental analysis. The 17 inflammation-based markers demonstrated significant prognostic value. Among them, the concordance rate with overall survival (OS) was highest for mGPS. The median OS time of patients with mGPS 0, 1 and 2 was 8.2, 6.0 and 2.9 months, respectively. Compared with mGPS 0, mGPS 1 and 2 showed hazard ratios of 1.39 (95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.81) and 2.63 (2.00-3.45), respectively. The present real-world data analysis showed that various previously reported inflammation-based markers had significant prognostic value in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer. Among these markers, the mGPS demonstrated the highest level of accuracy. This trial has been registered in the University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry as UMIN000050590 on April 1, 2023.