Is the surge in cesarean section rates during the COVID-19 pandemic truly substantiated?

BACKGROUND: Cesarean section (C-section) rates, deemed a critical health indicator, have experienced a historical increase. The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted healthcare patterns including delays or lack of follow-up in treatment and an increased number of patients with acute problems in hospitals. This study aimed to explore whether the observed surge is a genuine consequence of pandemic-related factors. METHODS: This study employs an Interrupted Time Series (ITS) design to analyze monthly C-section rates from March 2018 to January 2023 in Kurdistan province, Iran. Segmented regression modeling is utilized for robust data analysis. RESULTS: The C-section rate did not show a significant change immediately after the onset of COVID-19. However, the monthly trend increased significantly during the post-pandemic period (p < 0.05). Among primigravid women, a significant monthly increase was observed before February 2020 (p < 0.05). No significant change was observed in the level or trend of C-section rates among primigravid women after the onset of COVID-19. CONCLUSION: This study underscores the significant and enduring impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in further increasing the C-section rates over the long term, the observed variations in C-section rates among primigravid women indicate that the COVID-19 pandemic had no statistically significant impact.

Socioeconomic inequality in unmet outpatient healthcare needs among people living in urban informal settlements in Sanandaj city, Iran.

BACKGROUND: The growing trend of informal settlements is a serious humanitarian crisis. Unmet need for health care services is an indicator to measure the state of equality and access to healthcare services. This study, for the first time in Iran, examined the prevalence of unmet needs for outpatient healthcare services and related socioeconomic inequalities among residents of informal settlements in Sanandaj city. METHODS: This cross-sectional study was conducted on informal settlements of Sanandaj city with a sample size of 1345 people. Data were collected using a questionnaire. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine significant predictors of unmet needs for healthcare services. Concentration index (C) and concentration curve (CC) were calculated to measure inequality in the prevalence of unmet needs for healthcare services. RESULTS: The prevalence of unmet needs for outpatient healthcare services was 31.7%. Financial and physical barriers were the most common reasons for not using the needed services. The highest unmet need was related to dental (80.6%) and rehabilitation services (78.8%). Being elderly with about 2.3 times (OR: 2.37, 95% CI: 1.19-4.75), not having a job with about 1.7 times (OR: 1.70, 95% CI: 1.13-2.57) and having a low economic status with about 4 times (OR: 4.46, 95% CI: 2.39-9.70) increased the odds of experiencing unmet need for outpatient healthcare services. The value of concentration index showed that unmet need for outpatient healthcare services was significantly concentrated among people with lower economic status (C= -0.330, 95% CI: -0.432 to -0.227). CONCLUSION: The unmet need is high among people living in informal settlements of Sanandaj city and a significant part of the residents of these settlements does not have access to required healthcare services. Regardless of the needs of people living in these settlements, who constitute a large population of Iran, access to universal health coverage is not possible in such areas. Removing the identified obstacles and causes behind the unmet needs requires the interdisciplinary participation of all actors, including the government, the nation, and civil society.

Prevalence of metabolic syndrome and its association with oral health: First results from the Kurdish cohort study.

Aims: Investigate the association between oral and dental health (ODH) and metabolic syndrome (MetS) in adults aged 35-70 years. Methods: The study utilized data from the enrollment phase of Dehgolan prospective cohort study in the west of Iran. A cross-sectional assessment was conducted on a total of 3996 participants, involving a comprehensive oral examination and the assessment of their oral hygiene behavior (ODH). MetS was defined according to the updated National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III. Logistic regression used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics. Results: MetS was more prevalent among those who not daily brushing and flossing. Participants with missing teeth (MT) show higher prevalent of MetS. Being female, lower age, illiteracy, family history of diabetes, low physical activity, and salt at table were independently associated with increase odds of MetS (p < 0.05). Odds of MetS were significantly decreased with use flossing (OR = 0.75; CI = 0.60-0.93), decayed (OR = 0.83; CI = 0.72-0.97), filled (OR = 0.84; CI = 0.71-0.99), and increased with MT (OR = 1.45; CI = 1.16-1.81) as long as adjusted for ODH factors. When other potential confounder such as sociodemographic, personal and nutritional habits were adjusted, daily flossing was the only factor that still statistically decreased (OR = 0.79; CI = 0.62-0.99) the odds of MetS. Conclusion: Daily flossing was the only factor that independently associated with MetS. Relationship of other ODH factors with Mets were confounded by sociodemographic characteristics of the participants.

The effect of COVID-19 on utilization of chronic diseases services.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the present study is to evaluate the impact of Covid-19 on utilization of chronic diseases services. METHODS: Interrupted time-series design was used to examine the utilization of chronic diseases services before and during the Covid-19 pandemic among hospitals in Iran. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, type 2 diabetes, heart failure, and chemotherapy were selected as a proxy to indicate the impact of Covid-19 on utilization of chronic diseases services. Data were collected in 24 sites from 12 months before the onset of Covid-19 (from March 2019 to February 2020) to 12 months during the Covid-19 pandemic (February 2020 to March 2021). RESULTS: A total of 7,039,378 services were provided, of which 51.92% were provided for women and 62.73% for >65 age group. A sudden decrease was observed in monthly utilization of services during the Covid-19 pandemic; ranging from 13.91 (95% CI = -21.73, 6.10, P = 0.001) for chemotherapy to 606.39 (95% CI = -1040.72, 172.06, P = 0.009) for heart failure services per 100 thousand population. A decrease was observed in COPD services; 15.28 services compared with the period before Covid-19. Subsequently, the monthly utilization trends of asthma, type 2 diabetes, and chemotherapy services increased significantly (P < 0.05). DISCUSSION: Although chronic diseases are a factor in more severe form of Covid-19, their failure to seek diagnostic, prevention and treatment services has somewhat complicated the issue.

Barriers to community participation in primary health care of district health: a qualitative study.

INTRODUCTION: Community participation is one of the principles of primary health care (PHC). However, it has not been adequately institutionalized due to numerous barriers. Therefore, the present study is conducted to identify barriers to community participation in primary health care in the district health network from the perspectives of stakeholders. METHODS: This qualitative case study was conducted in 2021 in Divandareh city, Iran. A total of 23 specialists and experts experienced in community participation, including nine health experts, six community health workers, four community members, and four health directors in primary health care programs, were selected using the purposive sampling method until complete saturation. Data was collected using semi-structured interviews and analyzed simultaneously using qualitative content analysis. RESULTS: After data analysis, 44 codes, 14 sub-themes, and five themes were identified as barriers to community participation in primary health care in the district health network. The themes included community trust in the healthcare system, the status of community participation programs, the community and system's perception of participation programs, health system management approaches, and cultural barriers and institutional obstacles. CONCLUSION: Based on the results of this study most important barriers to community participation relate to community trust, the organizational structure, community and the health profession's perception regarding the participatory programs. It seems necessary to take measures to remove barriers in order to realize community participation in primary healthcare system.

An assessment of the relationship between national rates of Covid-19 incidence and mortality as reported to an international comparison database: An ecological study.

Background and Aims: Making a judgment only based on formal national reports can be misleading. We aimed to assess the relationship between countries' development indicators and reported coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19)-related incidences and death. Methods: Covid-19 related incidence and death cases were extracted from the updated Humanitarian Data Exchange Website on October 8, 2021. Univariable and multivariable negative binomial regression were utilized to investigate the relationship between development indicator and incidence and mortality from Covid-19 by calculating the Incidence rate ratio (IRR), mortality rate ratio (MRR), and fatality risk ratio (FRR). Results: Very high human development index (HDI) compared with low HDI (IRR:3.56; MRR:9.04), the proportion of physicians (IRR:1.20; MRR:1.16), besides extreme poverty (IRR:1.01; MRR:1.01) were independently correlated with the mortality and incidence rate of Covid-19. Very high HDI and population density were inversely correlated with the fatality risk (FRRs of 0.54 and 0.99). The cross-continental comparison shows Europe and the North Americas, had significantly higher incidence and mortality rates with IRR of 3.56 and 1.84 as well as MRRs of 6.65 and 3.62, respectively. Also, they inversely correlated with the fatality (FRR:0.84 and 0.91, respectively). Conclusion: A positive correlation between the fatality rate ratio based on countries' development indicators and the reverse for the incidence and mortality rate was found. Developed countries with sensitive healthcare systems can diagnose infected cases as soon as possible. Also, the mortality rate of Covid-19 will be accurately registered and reported. Due to more access to diagnostic tests, patients are diagnosed at the initial stages and will have a better opportunity to receive treatment. This leads to higher reports of incidence/and/or mortality rates and lower fatality of COVID-19. In conclusion, more Covid-19 incidence and mortality cases in developed countries can result from a more comprehensive care system and a more accurate recording procedure.

Has Iran achieved the goal of reducing the prevalence of households faced with catastrophic health expenditure to 1%?: A national survey.

Background and Aims: One of the goals of the Islamic Republic of Iran is to reduce the prevalence of catastrophic health expenditures among Iranian households to 1% by the end of the sixth 5-year development plan (2016-2021). This study was conducted to evaluate the level of access to this goal in the final year of this program. Methods: A national cross-sectional study was conducted on 2000 Iranian households in five provinces of Iran in 2021. Data were collected through interviews using the World Health Survey questionnaire. Data from households whose health care costs were more than 40% of their capacity to pay were included in the group of households with catastrophic health expanditure (CHE). Determinants of CHE were identified using univariate and multivariate regression analysis. Results: 8.3% of households had experienced CHE. The variables of being a female head of household (odd ratio [OR] = 2.7), use of inpatient (OR = 1.82), dental (OR = 3.09), and rehabilitation services (OR = 6.12), families with disabled members (OR = 2.03) and low economic status of the households (OR = 10.73) were significantly associated with increased odds of facing CHE (p < 0.05). Conclusion: In the final year of the sixth 5-year development plan, Iran has not yet achieved its goal of "reducing the percentage of households exposed to CHE to 1%." Policymakers should pay attention to factors increasing the odds of facing CHE in designing interventions.

Factors Associated With Failure of Health System Reform: A Systematic Review and Meta-synthesis.

OBJECTIVES: The health system reform process is highly political and controversial, and in most cases, it fails to realize its intended goals. This study was conducted to synthesize factors underlying the failure of health system reforms. METHODS: In this systematic review and meta-synthesis, we searched 9 international and regional databases to identify qualitative and mixed-methods studies published up to December 2019. Using thematic synthesis, we analyzed the data. We utilized the Standards for Reporting Qualitative Research checklist for quality assessment. RESULTS: After application of the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 40 of 1837 articles were included in the content analysis. The identified factors were organized into 7 main themes and 32 sub-themes. The main themes included: (1) reforms initiators' attitudes and knowledge; (2) weakness of political support; (3) lack of interest group support; (4) insufficient comprehensiveness of the reform; (5) problems related to the implementation of the reform; (6) harmful consequences of reform implementation; and (7) the political, economic, cultural, and social conditions of the society in which the reform takes place. CONCLUSIONS: Health system reform is a deep and extensive process, and shortcomings and weaknesses in each step have overcome health reform attempts in many countries. Awareness of these failure factors and appropriate responses to these issues can help policymakers properly plan and implement future reform programs and achieve the ultimate goals of reform: to improve the quantity and quality of health services and the health of society.

Burden of COVID-19 disease in Kurdistan province in west of Iran using disability-adjusted life years.

Background and Aims: During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, about seven million people were infected with the disease, of which more than 133,000 died. Health policymakers need to know the extent and magnitude of the disease burden to decide on how much to allocate resources for disease control. The results of this investigation could be helpful in this field. Methods: We used the secondary data released by the Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences between February 2020 to October 2021 to estimate the age-sex standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALY) by the sum of the years of life lived with disability (YLD) and the years of life lost (YLL). We also applied the local and specific values of the disease utility in the calculations. Results: The total DALY was estimated at 23316.5 and 1385.5 per 100,000 populations The YLD and YLL constituted 1% and 99% of the total DALY, respectively. The DALY per 100,000 populations was highest in the men and people aged more than 65 years, but the prevalence was the highest in people under the age of 40. Conclusions: Compared to the findings of the "burden of disease study 2019," the burden of COVID-19 in Iran is ranked first and eighth among communicable and noncommunicable diseases, respectively. Although the disease affects all groups, the elderly suffer the most from it. Given the very high YLL of COVID-19, the best strategy to reduce the burden of COVID-19 in subsequent waves should be to focus on preventing infection in the elderly population and reducing mortality.

Prevalence of elective cosmetic surgery and its relationship with socioeconomic and mental health: A cross-sectional study in west of Iran.

Background and Aims: The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence and desire towards performing elective cosmetic surgery and its relationship with socioeconomic, mental, and spiritual health in Sanandaj, the capital of Kurdistan province in the west of Iran. Methods: This cross-sectional descriptive-analytical study was performed on 492 subjects in Sanandaj using multistage sampling method. Data collection tools included two checklists and two questionnaires. Data analysis was performed using the Chi-square test and multiple logistics regression model by the help of SPSS software version 20. Results: The mean (standard deviation) age of participants was 32.58 (9.67) years. The prevalence of cosmetic surgery and the desire to perform it were 12.8% (n = 63) and 19.1% (n = 94), respectively. The most common type of cosmetic surgery was rhinoplasty with 5.5% (n = 27). The prevalence of symptoms of mental disorders among people with cosmetic surgery and people willing to perform cosmetic surgery was significantly higher than all subjects (p < 0.001). Female gender (odds ratio [OR] = 1.98; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06-3.68) and having mild (OR = 3.01 95% CI: 1.06-3.68) and moderate to severe symptoms of mental disorder (OR = 7.59; 95% CI: 3.90-14.75) were among the influential variables on performing cosmetic surgery. Conclusion: Both the prevalence and desire towards performing cosmetic surgery are high in Sanandaj and this needs the attention of health policy makers. Designing targeted interventions with an emphasis on the findings of this study is proposed to reduce these practices.

Prevalence of prediabetes, diabetes, diabetes awareness, treatment, and its socioeconomic inequality in west of Iran.

We aim to estimate the prevalence of prediabetes, and diabetes mellitus (DM). We estimated awareness, treatment, plasma glucose control, and associated factors in diabetes, as well as, socioeconomic-related inequality in the prevalence of diabetes and prediabetes. Data for adults aged 35-70 years were obtained from the baseline phase of the Dehgolan prospective cohort study (DehPCS). Diabetes status was determined as fasting plasma glucose (FPG) of ≥ 126 mg/dl and/or taking glucose lowering medication confirmed by a medical practitioner. Prediabetes was considered as 100 ≤ FPG ≤ 125 mg/dl. The relative concentration index (RCI) was used to exhibit socioeconomic inequality in the prevalence of prediabetes and DM. Prevalence of prediabetes and DM, diabetes awareness and treatment, and glycemic control of DM 18.22%, 10.00%, 78.50%, 68.91% and, 28.50%, respectively. Increasing age (p < 0.001), Increasing body mass index (BMI) (p < 0.05), ex-smoker (p < 0.01), family history of diabetes (FHD) (p < 0.001), and comorbidity (p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for DM. Age group of 46-60 (p < 0.05), ex-smoker (p < 0.05), FHD (p < 0.05) were increased chance of awareness. Current smokers (p < 0.05), and higher education increase the chance of glycemic control in DM. Both DM (RCI = - 0.234) and prediabetes (RCI = - 0.122) were concentrated significantly among less-educated participants. DM was concentrated significantly among poor (RCI = - 0.094) people. A significant proportion of DM awareness and treatment can be due to the integration of diabetes into the primary health care system. The high prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes, which is affected by socioeconomic inequality and combined with low levels of glycemic control may place a greater burden on the health system. Therefore, awareness, receiving treatment, and glycemic control in people with diabetes, and the socioeconomic status of people have become increasingly important in the near future.

Unmet health care needs among pregnant women during COVID-19 pandemic and its determinants in Kurdistan province, Iran: A cross-sectional study.

Background and Aims: The aim of this study was to assess unmet needs for health care and its determinants during COVID-19 pandemic among pregnant women in Iran. Methods: This cross-sectional study was performed among pregnant women in Kurdistan province in 2020 with a sample size of 800 people who were selected by multistage sampling method. Data were collected using a structured questionnaire that was completed through interviews. Also, multiple logistic regression was used to determine the relationship between independent variables and outcome variable. Statistical tests were performed using Stata software package. Results: The highest unmet needs for health care were related to dental services with 66%, rehabilitation services with 58.6%, and psychological services with 43.2% and the lowest were related to hospital services with 12%, midwifery services with 15.6%, and physician visit services with 39.1%. The most important reasons for unmet needs for health care were fear of getting COVID-19 and the cost of the services. The variables of age group and spouse education for physician visit services; age group for midwifery services; age group, education and employment status for dental services; age group, supplementary insurance and economic status for rehabilitation services; and age group and economic status for psychological services were significantly associated with unmet needs for health care (p < 0.05). Conclusion: A significant percentage of health care needs of pregnant women was unmet, for which the fear of getting COVID-19 and financial barriers were the main reasons.

Geographic Distribution and Estimating the Childhood Cancer Incidence in Iran: Three-Source Capture-Recapture Analysis on National Registries Data.

Background: Cancers seldom happen in childhood age and awareness of accurate cancer incidence is essential in order to preventive programs. This study aimed to estimate the childhood cancer incidence in Iran using the three-source capture -recapture method. Methods: Total new cases of childhood cancer reported by three national data sources of MAHAK charity database, pathology reports and clinical records in Iran were enrolled in this study. The common cases among three sources were determined using data linkage method. The childhood incidence rate per 1 million populations was estimated based on three-source capture-recapture method. We used BIC, G2 and AIC statistics to select the best-fit model. Arch GIS was used to determine geographic distribution. Results: Overall, 2567 childhood cancer was included by three sources of registries. The total estimated number of childhood cancer was 5388 (95% CI: 4742.15-6228,14). The higher estimated incidence rate was Leukemia, Lymphoma by 94.91 and 24.80 per 1 million populations and the lower incidence was liver and retinoblastoma with 2.35 and 7.01 per 1 million populations. Provinces of Ardabil and Kohgiluyeh with an incidence rate of 420.01 and 404.61 per 1 million populations had a higher incidence rate and Mazandaran and Ilam with an incidence rate of 60.87 and 66.88 per 1 million populations had the lowest incidence. The overall completeness of the childhood cancer registry based on three-source was 48%. Conclusion: The low-quality childhood cancer registration system highlights the needs for urgent screening programs for early detection in the high prevalent area in Iran.

Influenza incidence overlapped with COVID-19 or under COVID-19 control measures.

INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 pandemic caused infection when influenza was still prevalent. This study was conducted to examine influenza incidence overlapped with COVID-19 and the effect of the COVID-19 measures on influenza incidence as a proxy. METHODS: The routine sentinel surveillance data on COVID-19 and influenza was obtained from the national integrated care electronic health record system. Data were collected in 28 points from 11 months before the outbreak (from March 2019 to January 2020) and 17 months after the outbreak (February 2020 to June 2021). RESULTS: In Iran, the incidence rate of influenza was 51.1 cases per 100,000 populations in November 2019, while it was only 0.1 in November 2020. The average number of influenza cases specifically for the Kurdistan province during the seasonal flu peak in 2019-2020 was 2.5 cases per 100,000 populations, while the average of influenza cases in the preceding 4 years was 0.4 cases per 100,000 populations. In other words, the seasonal peak of influenza in Iran was significantly higher than that of previous and after years. CONCLUSION: It seems that some of the nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) used to control COVID-19 are effective against influenza epidemics and the results indicated a marked decline in the number of influenza cases may cause after the implementation of public health measures for COVID-19. The results showed the seasonal peak of influenza in Iran was significantly higher than that of previous years, so it seems that the influenza winter peak season (November 2019) overlapped with SARS-CoV-2 causing observed undetected infection during influenza winter peak.

Knowledge, attitudes, practices and fear of COVID-19 among Iranians: A quick online survey.

To control COVID-19, several strategies were proposed in Iran since the start of the outbreak. The number of reported infected people and its consequent death toll herald relative inadequacies in the quality and extent of the measures in curbing the COVID-19 transmission cycle. This study was conducted to investigate knowledge, attitude, precautionary practices and degree of fear related to COVID-19 in a sample of Iranian population. This study was conducted among 457 residents of Kurdistan Province, Iran, through social networks and social media (WhatsApp and Telegram). Knowledge, attitude and practice and fear of COVID-19 were collected using valid tools. Multiple logistic regression and multivariate linear regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with binary outcome attitudes, practices and continuous variables knowledge and fear of COVID-19, respectively. The mean (SD) age of participants was 37.86 (10.42); of them, 252 (55.1%) were men, and more than two-thirds were married (74.8%). About 10% of the respondents were in believed that COVID-19 could create a type of social stigma. Level of knowledge about COVID-19 in 77.8% of the study attendees was acceptable, and 352 of them (70%) were confident that the virus would eventually be successfully controlled in the world, but only 252 of the attendants (50%) had confidence about successful control of COVID-19 in Iran. Applying multiple logistic regression, knowledge (OR: 1.18, p = 0.028) and fear (OR: 1.04, p = 0.028) of COVID-19 were associated with positive attitude towards controllability of COVID-19. Gender (OR: 1.96, p = 0.012), sources of information (OR: 5.00, p = 0.005) and knowledge (OR: 1.27, p = 0.006) were also indicated association with taking precautionary practices to control COVID-19. Further studies are recommended to boost level of knowledge, strengthen positive attitude and ameliorate behavioural pattern for successful control of COVID-19 in Iran.

The Dehgolan Prospective Cohort Study (DehPCS) on non-communicable diseases in a Kurdish community in the west of Iran.

The Dehgolan Prospective Cohort Study (DehPCS) was conducted to examine and identify risk factors for the most prevalent non-communicable diseases (NCDs). In addition, in order to examine participants' health status, socioeconomic status, behavioral factors, nutritional status, and environmental exposures, the DehPCS collected, analyzed, and stored blood, urine, nail, and hair samples to conduct genetic studies and identify biomarkers and other biological determinants of NCDs. In total, 3,996 adults aged 35 to 70 from the general population participated in the study from February 2018 to March 2019. Of them, 43.7% were women. The first follow-up wave was conducted with 3,995 participants. Information on a wide range of variables was collected, including on socioeconomic status, lifestyle, nutritional status, habits, physical examination findings, medication use, and medical history. Proxy variables such as body mass index, metabolic equivalent task score, wealth index, and macronutrients and micronutrients were calculated. The most common self-reported diseases in descending order were kidney stones, hypertension, and fatty liver. The prevalence of diabetes and hypertension was 9.3% and 33.4%, respectively. All data, samples, and measurements will be collected again at 5-year intervals. Thus, it will be possible to examine time-dependent changes in the risk factors of NCDs. The DehPCS can be used to study the relationships among genetics, lifestyle, socioeconomic status, and environmental risk factors and the most prevalent NCDs in case-cohort studies using a nested case-control design that will be applied to the cohort infrastructure. Researchers can also submit pre-proposals via the following web address: http://c.ddrc.ac.ir/persianaccess/Account/Login.

Projection of Health Sector Workforce Requirement: Vision 2025.

BACKGROUND: This study was conducted with a long-term vision (2014-2025) targeted workforce requirement projection by occupational groups in Iran's health sector. METHODS: The "modified & combined model" used including Hall Model and Australian health workforce estimation model. It was a need-based approach with three components of estimation; requirements, supply with current growth and net required workforce. Requirement estimated by three assumptions: active workforce calculation; the growth of health service delivery resources and facilities; and daily individual working hours, created eight different scenarios. Economic feasibility of each scenario determined. To forecast the supply, used accurate numbers of the existing pool of practicing workforce in addition to inflows, minus losses from the profession. To calculate total recruits required, base year stock deducted from projected requirement and by adding Net flow, recruits required calculated. RESULTS: The health sector will need 781,887 workforces to realize service's needs. Workforce supply with the existing trend in the target year was 799,347. Therefore, workforce balance would be 17,460 surpluses. Moreover, to estimate required workforce and substitution number for the exited ones during the study periods till the target year, 547,136 individuals should be recruited mostly nurses and physicians. CONCLUSION: Limiting the workforce required to economic feasibility challenge workforce accessibility in the future as it is sensed in present tense as well. Therefore, in addition augmenting GDP and health funds, it is necessary alternative policies such as increasing share of health sector from GDP, prioritization of workforce needs or moving towards other proper policies.

Prevalence and Predictive Factors for Nosocomial Infection in the Military Hospitals: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: To assess prevalence and predictive factors for Nosocomial Infection (NI) in the military hospitals. METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane and PreQuest databases were systematically searched for studies published between Jan 1991 and Oct 2017 that reported the prevalence of NI and predictive factors among military hospitals. We performed the meta-analysis using a random effects model. Subgroup analysis was done for heterogeneity and the Egger test to funnel plots was used to assess publication bias. RESULTS: Twenty-eight studies with 250,374 patients were evaluated in meta-analysis. The overall pooled estimate of the prevalence of NI was 8% (95% 6.0-9.0). The pooled prevalence was 2% (95% CI: 2.0-3.0) when we did sensitivity analysis and excluding a study. The prevalence was highest in burn unit (32%) and ICU (15%). Reported risk factors for NI included gender (male vs female, OR: 1.45), age (Age≥65, OR: 2.4), diabetes mellitus (OR: 2.32), inappropriate use of antibiotics (OR: 2.35), received mechanical support (OR: 2.81), co-morbidities (OR: 2.97), admitted into the ICU (OR: 2.26), smoking (OR: 1.36) and BMI (OR: 1.09). CONCLUSION: The review revealed a difference of prevalence in military hospitals with other hospitals and shows a high prevalence of NI in burn units. Therefore careful disinfection and strict procedures of infection control are necessary in places that serve immunosuppressed individuals such as burn patient. Moreover, a vision for the improvement of reports and studies in military hospitals to report the rate of these infections are necessary.