Operating Room Usage Time Estimation with Machine Learning Models.

Effectively handling the limited number of surgery operating rooms equipped with expensive equipment is a challenging task for hospital management such as reducing the case-time duration and reducing idle time. Improving the efficiency of operating room usage via reducing the idle time with better scheduling would rely on accurate estimation of surgery duration. Our model can achieve a good prediction result on surgery duration with a dozen of features. We have found the result of our best performing department-specific XGBoost model with the values 31.6 min, 18.71 min, 0.71, 28% and 27% for the metrics of root-mean-square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and proportion of estimated result within 10% variation, respectively. We have presented each department-specific result with our estimated results between 5 and 10 min deviation would be more informative to the users in the real application. Our study shows comparable performance with previous studies, and the machine learning methods use fewer features that are better suited for universal usability.

Applying Convolutional Neural Networks to Predict the ICD-9 Codes of Medical Records.

The International Statistical Classification of Disease and Related Health Problems (ICD) is an international standard system for categorizing and reporting diseases, injuries, disorders, and health conditions. Most previously-proposed disease predicting systems need clinical information collected by the medical staff from the patients in hospitals. In this paper, we propose a deep learning algorithm to classify disease types and identify diagnostic codes by using only the subjective component of progress notes in medical records. In this study, we have a dataset, consisting of about one hundred and sixty-eight thousand medical records, from a medical center, collected during 2003 and 2017. First, we apply standard text processing procedures to parse the sentences and word embedding techniques for vector representations. Next, we build a convolution neural network model on the medical records to predict the ICD-9 code by using a subjective component of the progress note. The prediction performance is evaluated by ten-fold cross-validation and yields an accuracy of 0.409, recall of 0.409 and precision of 0.436. If we only consider the "chapter match" of ICD-9 code, our model achieves an accuracy of 0.580, recall of 0.580, and precision of 0.582. Since our diagnostic code prediction model is solely based on subjective components (mainly, patients' self-report descriptions), the proposed approach could serve as a remote and self-diagnosis assistance tool, prior to seeking medical advice or going to the hospital. In addition, our work may be used as a primary evaluation tool for discomfort in the rural area where medical resources are restricted.