Prognostic factors influencing outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing selective internal radiation therapy.

Selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) has emerged as a viable endovascular treatment strategy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). According to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) classification, SIRT is currently recommended for early- and intermediate-stage HCC that is unsuitable for alternative locoregional therapies. Additionally, SIRT remains a recommended treatment for patients with advanced-stage HCC and portal vein thrombosis (PVT) without extrahepatic metastasis. Several studies have shown that SIRT is a versatile and promising treatment with a wide range of applications. Consequently, given its favourable characteristics in various scenarios, SIRT could be an encouraging treatment option for patients with HCC across different BCLC stages. Over the past decade, an increasing number of studies have focused on better understanding the prognostic factors associated with SIRT to identify patients who derive the most benefit from this treatment or to refine the optimal technical procedures of SIRT. Several variables can influence treatment decisions, with a growing emphasis on a personalised approach. This review, based on the literature, will focus on the prognostic factors associated with the effectiveness of radioembolization and related complications. By comprehensively analysing these factors, we aimed to provide a clearer understanding of how to optimise the use of SIRT in managing HCC patients, thereby enhancing outcomes across various clinical scenarios.

Selective internal radiation therapy for unresectable HCC: The SIRT downstaging study.

BACKGROUND: Selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) is recommended as a downstaging (DS) strategy for solitary unresectable HCC <8 cm. The aim of this study was to report the results of acquired experience in a tertiary center for all unresectable HCCs. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, observational study using data collected from consecutive patients undergoing SIRT between October 2013 and June 2020. DS was considered achieved when a curative treatment could be proposed 6 months after SIRT. RESULTS: One hundred twenty-seven patients were included (male = 90%, 64 ± 11 y), of whom 112 (n = 88%) had cirrhosis. HCC was classified as BCLC stage C in 64 patients (50%), with a median diameter of 61 mm, an infiltrative pattern in 51 patients (40%), and portal vein invasion in 62 (49%) patients. Fifty patients (39%) achieved DS 6 months following SIRT, with 29 of them (23%) undergoing curative treatment in a median time of 4.3 months: 17 (13%) were transplanted, 11 (85%) had liver resection, and 1 patient had a radiofrequency ablation. The median overall survival of patients with or without DS was 51 versus 10 months, respectively (p < 0.001). In patients who achieved DS, progression-free survival was higher in patients who underwent surgery: 47 versus 11 months (p < 0.001). Four variables were independently associated with DS: age (OR: 0.96, 95% CI: [0.92, 0.99]; p = 0.032), baseline α-fetoprotein (OR: 1.00, 95% CI: [1.00, 1.00]; p = 0.034), HCC distribution (OR: 0.3, 95% CI: [0.11, 0.75]; p = 0.012), and ALBI grade (OR: 0.34. 95% CI: [0.14, 0.80]; p = 0.014). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that SIRT in patients with unresectable HCC could be an effective treatment: DS was achieved for around 39% of the patients and more than half of these then underwent curative treatment.

Prognostic benefit of preoperative transarterial chemoembolization in upfront resectable large hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicentric propensity score based analysis of European high-volume centers.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have a dismal prognosis and any effective neoadjuvant treatment has been validated to date. We aimed to investigate the role of neoadjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in upfront resectable HCC larger than 5 cm. METHODS: This is a multicentric retrospective study comparing outcomes of large HCC undergoing TACE followed by surgery or liver resection alone before and after propensity-score matching (PSM). RESULTS: A total of 384 patients were included of whom 60 (15.6%) received TACE. This group did not differ from upfront resected cases neither in terms of disease-free survival (p = 0.246) nor in overall survival (p = 0.276). After PSM, TACE still did not influence long-term outcomes (p = 0.935 and p = 0.172, for DFS and OS respectively). In subgroup analysis, TACE improved OS only in HCC ≥10 cm (p = 0.045), with a borderline significance after portal vein embolization/ligation (p = 0.087) and in single HCC (p = 0.052). CONCLUSIONS: TACE should not be systematically performed in all resectable large HCC. Selected cases could however potentially benefit from this procedure, as patients with huge and single tumors or those necessitating of a PVE.

Factors affecting overall survival and disease-free survival after surgery for hepatocellular carcinoma: a nomogram-based prognostic model-a Western European multicenter study.

Few studies have assessed the clinical implications of the combination of different prognostic indicators for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) of resected hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic factors in HCC patients for OS and DFS outcomes and establish a nomogram-based prognostic model to predict the DFS of HCC. A multicenter, retrospective European study was conducted through the collection of data on 413 consecutive treated patients with a first diagnosis of HCC between January 2010 and December 2020. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify all independent risk factors for OS and DFS outcomes. A nomogram prognostic staging model was subsequently established for DFS and its precision was verified internally by the concordance index (C-Index) and externally by calibration curves. For OS, multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated Child-Pugh B7 score (HR 4.29; 95% CI 1.74-10.55; p = 0.002) as an independent prognostic factor, along with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage ≥ B (HR 1.95; 95% CI 1.07-3.54; p = 0.029), microvascular invasion (MVI) (HR 2.54; 95% CI 1.38-4.67; p = 0.003), R1/R2 resection margin (HR 1.57; 95% CI 0.85-2.90; p = 0.015), and Clavien-Dindo Grade 3 or more (HR 2.73; 95% CI 1.44-5.18; p = 0.002). For DFS, multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated BCLC stage ≥ B (HR 2.15; 95% CI 1.34-3.44; p = 0.002) as an independent prognostic factor, along with multiple nodules (HR 2.04; 95% CI 1.25-3.32; p = 0.004), MVI (HR 1.81; 95% CI 1.19-2.75; p = 0.005), satellite nodules (HR 1.63; 95% CI 1.09-2.45; p = 0.018), and R1/R2 resection margin (HR 3.39; 95% CI 2.19-5.25; < 0.001). The C-Index of the nomogram, tailored based on the previous significant factors, showed good accuracy (0.70). Internal and external calibration curves for the probability of DFS rate showed optimal consistency and fit well between the nomogram-based prediction and actual observations. MVI and R1/R2 resection margins should be considered as significant OS and DFS predictors, while satellite nodules should be included as a significant DFS predictor. The nomogram-based prognostic model for DFS provides a more effective prognosis assessment for resected HCC patients, allowing for individualized treatment plans.

Combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma compared to hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: Different survival, similar recurrence: Report of a large study on repurposed databases with propensity score matching.

BACKGROUND: Combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma is a rare cancer with a grim prognosis composed of both hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma morphologic patterns in the same tumor. The aim of this multicenter, international cohort study was to compare the oncologic outcomes after surgery of combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma to hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. METHODS: Patients treated by surgery for combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma, hepatocellular carcinoma, and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma from 2000 to 2021 from multicenter international databases were analyzed retrospectively. Patients with combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma (cases) were compared with 2 control groups of hepatocellular carcinoma or intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, sequentially matched using a propensity score based on 8 preoperative characteristics. Overall and disease-free survival were compared, and predictors of mortality and recurrence were analyzed with Cox regression after propensity score matching. RESULTS: During the study period, 3,196 patients were included. Propensity score adjustment and 2 sequential matching processes produced a new cohort (n = 244) comprising 3 balanced groups was obtained (combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma = 56, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma = 66, and hepatocellular carcinoma = 122). Kaplan-Meier overall survival estimations at 1, 3, and 5 years were 67%, 45%, and 28% for combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma, 92%, 75%, and 55% for hepatocellular carcinoma, and 86%, 53%, and 42% for the intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma group, respectively (P = .0014). Estimations of disease-free survival at 1, 3, and 5 years were 51%, 25%, and 17% for combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma, 63%, 35%, and 26% for the hepatocellular carcinoma group, and 51%, 31%, and 28% for the intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma group, respectively (P = .19). Predictors of mortality were combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma subtype, metabolic syndrome, preoperative tumor markers alpha-fetoprotein and carbohydrate antigen 19-9, and satellite nodules, and recurrence was associated with satellite nodules rather than cancer subtype. CONCLUSION: Despite data limitations, overall survival among patients with combined hepatocholangiocarcinoma was worse than both groups and closer intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, whereas disease-free survival was similar among the 3 groups. Future research on immunophenotypic profiling may hold more promise than traditional nonmodifiable clinical characteristics (as found in this study) in predicting recurrence or response to salvage treatments.

Impact of COVID-19 on the management of hepatocellular carcinoma in a high-prevalence area: What's new 12 months later?

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: The lockdown policy introduced in 2020 to minimize the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, significantly affected the management and care of patients affected by hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this follow-up study was to determine the 12 months impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the cohort of patients affected by HCC during the lockdown, within six French academic referral centers in the metropolitan area of Paris. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a 12 months follow-up of the cross-sectional study cohort included in 2020 on the management of patients affected by HCC during the first six weeks of the COVID-19 pandemic (exposed), compared to the same period in 2019 (unexposed). Overall survival were compared between the groups. Predictors of mortality were analysed with Cox regression. RESULTS: From the initial cohort, 575 patients were included (n = 263 Exposed_COVID, n = 312 Unexposed_COVID). Overall and disease free survival at 12 months were 59.9 ± 3.2% vs 74.3 ± 2.5% (p<0.001) and 40.2 ± 3.5% vs 63.5 ± 3.1% (p<0.001) according to the period of exposure (Exposed_COVID vs Unexposed_COVID, respectively). Adjusted Cox regression revealed that the period of exposure (Exposed_COVID HR: 1.79, 95%CI (1.36, 2.35) p<0.001) and BCLC stage B, C and D (BCLC B HR: 1.82, 95%CI (1.07, 3.08) p = 0.027 - BCLC C HR: 1.96, 95%CI (1.14, 3.38) p = 0.015 - BCLC D HR: 3.21, 95%CI (1.76, 5.85) p<0.001) were predictors of death. CONCLUSIONS: Disruption of routine healthcare services because of the pandemic translated to reduced 1 year overall and disease-free survival among patients affected by HCC, in the metropolitan area of Paris, France.

Anterior Versus Classical Approach During Right Hepatectomy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Inverse Propensity Score Weighted Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Eastern data highlight the oncological benefits of the anterior approach (AA) during right hepatectomy (RH) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, to our knowledge, previous western data on this topic are scarce. In this study, the oncological outcomes of AA and classical approach (CA) during RH for HCC were compared. METHODS: A retrospective inverse propensity score-weighted fashion (IPTW) case-control study was performed in two French hepatobiliary surgery departments. Overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and early recurrence rate (within 2 years after surgery) were analyzed. RESULTS: Survival analysis was performed for 114 patients (CA group,60 patients; AA group, 54 patients). Before IPTW adjustment, the 3-year DFS rates were 29.4% (AA group) and 44% (CA group), respectively. No significant differences were found in DFS (HR = 1.1, 95%CI:0.62-1.9, p = 0.77) and OS (HR = 1.2, 95%CI:0.54-2.6, p = 0.66). After IPTW, DFS and OS analyses showed no differences between the two groups (p = 0.77 and p = 0.46, respectively). Early recurrence rates were similar before and after IPTW. Satellite nodules were the only significant independent risk factor for recurrence. CONCLUSION: AA and CA did not result in significant differences in DFS, OS, or early recurrence after right hepatectomy for HCC before and after IPTW.

Intentional R1 resection of liver metastases: A new treatment paradigm for patients with advanced colorectal cancer based on a propensity score-Matched case-control analysis.

BACKGROUND: Clinical outcomes of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients after an incomplete microscopic (R1) resection of liver metastases may not differ from those following a microscopically margin negative (R0) resection, when the latest is not feasible because of anatomic issues. We aimed at comparing the clinical outcomes of CRC patients with an intentional R1 or with a R0 resection of liver metastases. METHODS: All patients with advanced in CRC and liver metastases consecutively treated by liver resection between February 2005 and January 2019 at in the department of Digestive and Hepatobiliary Surgery of Henri Mondor University Hospital (Créteil, France) were included in this retrospective case-control study. Overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS) were compared between patients who underwent an intentional (pre-operative decision) R1 resection (iR1) to those who had a R0 resection of liver metastases. To account for confounding, comparison between the 2 groups was performed after adjustment using propensity score analysis. RESULTS: Twenty-six CRC patients treated by iR1 resection of liver metastases were compared to 98 patients treated by R0 resection. Median OS reached 39 months [95% confidence interval (CI): 25-67] and 63 months [95% CI: 52-76] in the iR1 and R0 groups, respectively. After adjustment by inverse probability of treatment weighting, patients' OS and EFS did not differ significantly between the iR1 and R0 groups (hazard ratio (HR): 1.19 [0.54-2.62] and 1.67 [0.93-3.03]), respectively. CONCLUSION: iR1 resection of liver metastases in advanced CRC patients is an acceptable therapeutic strategy, when R0 resection is not feasible.

Long-Term Results of Endoscopic Metal Stenting for Biliary Anastomotic Stricture after Liver Transplantation.

(1) Background: Anastomotic biliary stricture (ABS) is a well-known complication of liver transplantation which can lead to secondary biliary cirrhosis and graft dysfunction. The goal of this study was to evaluate the long-term outcomes of endoscopic metal stenting of ABS in the setting of deceased donor liver transplantation (DDLT). (2) Methods: Consecutive DDLT patients with endoscopic metal stenting for ABS between 2010 and 2015 were screened. Data on diagnosis, treatment and follow-up (until June 2022) were collected. The primary outcome was endoscopic treatment failure defined as the need for surgical refection. (3) Results: Among the 465 patients who underwent LT, 41 developed ABS. It was diagnosed after a mean period of 7.4 months (+/-10.6) following LT. Endoscopic treatment was technically successful in 95.1% of cases. The mean duration of endoscopic treatment was 12.8 months (+/-9.1) and 53.7% of patients completed a 1-year treatment. After a mean follow-up of 6.9 years (+/-2.3), endoscopic treatment failed in nine patients (22%) who required surgical refection. Conclusions: Endoscopic management with metal stenting of ABS after DDLT was technically successful in most cases, and half of the patients had at least one year of indwelling stent. Endoscopic treatment long-term failure rate occurred in one fifth of the patients.

Paradigm shift: should preoperative 3D reconstruction models become mandatory before hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)? Results of a multicenter prospective trial.

BACKGROUND: A preoperative surgical strategy before hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma is fundamental to minimize postoperative morbidity and mortality and to reach the best oncologic outcomes. Preoperative 3D reconstruction models may help to better choose the type of procedure to perform and possibly change the initially established plan based on conventional 2D imaging. METHODS: A non-randomized multicenter prospective trial with 136 patients presenting with a resectable hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent open or minimally invasive liver resection. Measurement was based on the modification rate analysis between conventional 2D imaging (named "Plan A") and 3D model analysis ("Plan B"), and from Plan B to the final procedure performed (named "Plan C"). RESULTS: The modification rate from Plan B to Plan C (18%) was less frequent than the modification from Plan A to Plan B (35%) (OR = 0.32 [0.15; 0.64]). Concerning secondary objectives, resection margins were underestimated in Plan B as compared to Plan C (-3.10 mm [-5.04; -1.15]). CONCLUSION: Preoperative 3D imaging is associated with a better prediction of the performed surgical procedure for liver resections in HCC, as compared to classical 2D imaging.

Liver Transplantation Using Allografts With Recent Liver Blunt Trauma: A Nationwide Audit From the French CRISTAL Biomedicine Agency Registry.

BACKGROUND: In the current setting of organ shortage, brain-dead liver donors with recent liver trauma (RLT) represent a potential pool of donors. Yet, data on feasibility and safety of liver transplantation (LT) using grafts with RLT are lacking. METHODS: All liver grafts from brain-dead donors with RLT proposed for LT between 2010 and 2018 were identified from the nationwide CRISTAL registry of the Biomedicine Agency. The current study aimed at evaluating 1-y survival as the primary endpoint. RESULTS: Among 11 073 LTs, 142 LTs (1.3%) using grafts with RLT were performed. These 142 LTs, including 23 split LTs, were performed from 131 donors (46.1%) of 284 donors with RLT proposed for LT. Transplanted grafts were procured from donors with lower liver enzymes levels ( P < 0.001) and less advanced liver trauma according to the American Association for the Surgery of Trauma liver grading system ( P < 0.001) compared with not transplanted grafts. Before allocation procedures, 20 (7%) of 284 donors underwent damage control intervention. During transplantation, specific liver trauma management was needed in 19 patients (13%), consisting of local hemostatic control (n = 15), partial hepatic resection on back-table (n = 3), or perihepatic packing (n = 1). Ninety-day mortality and severe morbidity rates were 8.5% (n = 12) and 29.5% (n = 42), respectively. One-year overall and graft survival rates were 85% and 81%, and corresponding 5-y rates were 77% and 72%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Using liver grafts from donors with RLT seems safe with acceptable long-term outcomes. All brain-dead patients with multiorgan trauma, including liver injury, should be considered for organ allocation.

Educational interventions to integrate surgical staff within medical units during the COVID-19 pandemic: EDUCOVID survey.

BACKGROUND: The SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic required a rapid surge of healthcare capacity to face a growing number of critically ill patients. For this reason, a support reserve of physicians, including surgeons, were required to be reassigned to offer support. OBJECTIVE: To realize a survey on the educational programs deployed (face-to-face or e-learning focusing on infective area, basic gestures, COVID clinical management and intensive care medicine), and their impact on behavior change (Kirkpatrick 3) of the target population of surgeons, measured on a five modalities Likert scale. DESIGN: Cross-sectional online e-survey (NCT04732858) within surgeons from the Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Paris network, metropolitan area of Paris, France. RESULTS: Cross-sectional e-Survey: among 382 surgeons invited, 37 (9.7%) participated. The effectiveness of the educational interventions on behavior changes was rated within the highest region of the Likert scale by 15% (n = 3) and 22% (n = 6) for 'e-learning' and 'face-to-face' delivery modes, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the low response rate, this survey suggests an overall low impact on behaviour change among responders affiliated to a surgical discipline.

Short-term outcomes of da Vinci Xi versus Si robotic systems for minor hepatectomies.

BACKGROUND: In the recent years, robotic technology has been drastically improved and the last generation of robotic platforms is hardly comparable with the earlier ones. The present study aims to investigate the short-term outcomes of minor hepatectomies performed with da Vinci Xi surgical system vs. Si surgical systems. METHODS: Consecutive patients operated on between 2013 and 2020 in two referral centers were selected if underwent elective robotic minor hepatectomy (<3 consecutive segments) for primarily resectable benign or malignant lesions. Operative, postoperative, and cost outcomes were compared between the two groups by univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: Eighty-nine patients were selected (64 in the Si system vs. 25 in the Xi system group). Wedge resection was the most commonly performed procedure (49.4%). The Si system group showed a significantly greater total incisional length (+8.99 mm; p<0.0001) related to the use of a higher number of robotic/laparoscopic ports. Pedicle clamping was more frequent in patients operated on by the Xi system (80% vs. 21.9%; p<0.0001) but without group differences in ischemia duration when clamping. A significantly shorter time to flatus (-0.75 days; p=0.015) was observed for patients operated on by the Xi system, whereas no group differences were found for operative time, conversion rate, estimated blood loss, postoperative complications, mortality, use of analgesics, and costs. CONCLUSION: The da Vinci Xi system represents a technological advancement with a potential clinical relevance, although further studies are needed to clearly detect the clinical impact of the use of this robotic platform in liver surgery.

Macrotrabecular-Massive Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Light and Shadow in Current Knowledge.

The subject of this narrative review is macrotrabecular-massive hepatocellular carcinoma (MTM-HCC). Despite their rarity, these tumours are of general interest because of their epidemiological and clinical features and for representing a distinct model of the interaction between the angiogenetic system and neoplastic cells. The MTM-HCC subtype is associated with various adverse biological and pathological parameters (the Alfa-foetoprotein (AFP) serum level, tumour size, vascular invasion, and satellite nodules) and is a key determinant of patient prognosis, with a strong and independent predictive value for early and overall tumour recurrence. Gene expression profiling has demonstrated that angiogenesis activation is a hallmark feature of MTM-HCC, with overexpression of both angiopoietin 2 (ANGPT2) and vascular endothelial growth factor A (VEGFA).

Liver resection for single large hepatocellular carcinoma: a prognostic factors study.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Liver resection is the only curative therapeutic option for large hepatocellular carcinoma (> 5 cm), but survival is worse than in smaller tumours, mostly due to the high recurrence rate. There is currently no proper tool for stratifying relapse risk. Herein, we investigated prognostic factors before hepatectomy in patients with a single large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). MATERIAL AND METHODS: We retrospectively identified 119 patients who underwent liver resection for a single large HCC in 2 tertiary academic French centres and collected pre- and post-operative clinical, biological and radiological features. The primary outcome was overall survival at five years. Secondary outcomes were recurrence-free survival at five years and prognostic factors for recurrence. RESULTS: A total of 84% of the patients were male, and the median age was 66 years old (IQR 58-74). Thirty-nine (33%) had Child-Pugh A cirrhosis, and the mean Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 6 (6-6). The aetiology of liver disease was predominantly alcohol-related (48%), followed by nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (22%), hepatitis B (18%) and hepatitis C (10%). The mean tumour size was 70 mm (55-110). The median overall survival was 72.5 months (IC 95%: 56.2-88.7), and the five-year overall survival was 55.1 ± 5.5%. The median recurrence-free survival was 26.6 months (95% CI: 16.0-37.1), and the five-year recurrence-free survival rate was 37.8 ± 5%. In multivariate analysis, preoperative prognostic factors for recurrence were baseline alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) > 7 ng/mL (p<0.001), portal veinous invasion (p=0.003) and cirrhosis (p=0.020). Using these factors, we created a simple recurrence-risk scoring system that classified three groups with distinct disease-free survival medians (p<0.001): no risk factors (65 months), 1 risk factor (36 months), and ≥2 risk factors (8.9 months). CONCLUSION: Liver resection is the only curative option for large HCC, and we confirmed that survival could be acceptable in experienced centres. Recurrence is the primary issue of surgery, and we proposed a simple preoperative score to help identify patients with the most worrisome prognosis and possible candidates for combined therapy.

Performance of non-invasive biomarkers compared with invasive methods for risk prediction of posthepatectomy liver failure in hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a rare but dreaded complication. The aim was to test whether a combination of non-invasive biomarkers (NIBs) and CT data could predict the risk of PHLF in patients who underwent resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: Patients with HCC who had liver resection between 2012 and 2020 were included. A relevant combination of NIBs (NIB model) to model PHLF risk was identified using a doubly robust estimator (inverse probability weighting combined with logistic regression). The adjustment variables were body surface area, ASA fitness grade, male sex, future liver remnant (FLR) ratio, difficulty of liver resection, and blood loss. The reference invasive biomarker (IB) model comprised a combination of pathological analysis of the underlying liver and hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement. Various NIB and IB models for prediction of PHLF were fitted and compared. NIB model performances were validated externally. Areas under the curve (AUCs) were corrected using bootstrapping. RESULTS: Overall 323 patients were included. The doubly robust estimator showed that hepatitis C infection (odds ratio (OR) 4.33, 95 per cent c.i. 1.29 to 9.20; P = 0.001), MELD score (OR 1.26, 1.04 to 1.66; P = 0.001), fibrosis-4 score (OR 1.36, 1.06 to 1.85; P = 0.001), liver surface nodularity score (OR 1.55, 1.28 to 4.29; P = 0.031), and FLR volume ratio (OR 0.99, 0.97 to 1.00; P = 0.014) were associated with PHLF. Their combination (NIB model) was fitted externally (2-centre cohort, 165 patients) to model PHLF risk (AUC 0.867). Among 129 of 323 patients who underwent preoperative HVPG measurement, NIB and IB models had similar performances (AUC 0.753 versus 0.732; P = 0.940). A well calibrated nomogram was drawn based on the NIB model (AUC 0.740). The risk of grade B/C PHLF could be ruled out in patients with a cumulative score of less than 160 points. CONCLUSION: The NIB model provides reliable preoperative evaluation with performance at least similar to that of invasive methods for PHLF risk prediction.

Artificial intelligence predicts immune and inflammatory gene signatures directly from hepatocellular carcinoma histology.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) displaying overexpression of immune gene signatures are likely to be more sensitive to immunotherapy, however, the use of such signatures in clinical settings remains challenging. We thus aimed, using artificial intelligence (AI) on whole-slide digital histological images, to develop models able to predict the activation of 6 immune gene signatures. METHODS: AI models were trained and validated in 2 different series of patients with HCC treated by surgical resection. Gene expression was investigated using RNA sequencing or NanoString technology. Three deep learning approaches were investigated: patch-based, classic MIL and CLAM. Pathological reviewing of the most predictive tissue areas was performed for all gene signatures. RESULTS: The CLAM model showed the best overall performance in the discovery series. Its best-fold areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) for the prediction of tumors with upregulation of the immune gene signatures ranged from 0.78 to 0.91. The different models generalized well in the validation dataset with AUCs ranging from 0.81 to 0.92. Pathological analysis of highly predictive tissue areas showed enrichment in lymphocytes, plasma cells, and neutrophils. CONCLUSION: We have developed and validated AI-based pathology models able to predict the activation of several immune and inflammatory gene signatures. Our approach also provides insights into the morphological features that impact the model predictions. This proof-of-concept study shows that AI-based pathology could represent a novel type of biomarker that will ease the translation of our biological knowledge of HCC into clinical practice. LAY SUMMARY: Immune and inflammatory gene signatures may be associated with increased sensitivity to immunotherapy in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. In the present study, the use of artificial intelligence-based pathology enabled us to predict the activation of these signatures directly from histology.