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1.
Neurology ; 102(7): e209173, 2024 Apr 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38471056

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The association between statin use and the risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICrH) following ischemic stroke (IS) or transient ischemic attack (TIA) in patients with cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) remains uncertain. This study investigated the risk of recurrent IS and ICrH in patients receiving statins based on the presence of CMBs. METHODS: We conducted a pooled analysis of individual patient data from the Microbleeds International Collaborative Network, comprising 32 hospital-based prospective studies fulfilling the following criteria: adult patients with IS or TIA, availability of appropriate baseline MRI for CMB quantification and distribution, registration of statin use after the index stroke, and collection of stroke event data during a follow-up period of ≥3 months. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of recurrent symptomatic stroke (IS or ICrH), while secondary endpoints included IS alone or ICrH alone. We calculated incidence rates and performed Cox regression analyses adjusting for age, sex, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, previous stroke, and use of antiplatelet or anticoagulant drugs to explore the association between statin use and stroke events during follow-up in patients with CMBs. RESULTS: In total, 16,373 patients were included (mean age 70.5 ± 12.8 years; 42.5% female). Among them, 10,812 received statins at discharge, and 4,668 had 1 or more CMBs. The median follow-up duration was 1.34 years (interquartile range: 0.32-2.44). In patients with CMBs, statin users were compared with nonusers. Compared with nonusers, statin therapy was associated with a reduced risk of any stroke (incidence rate [IR] 53 vs 79 per 1,000 patient-years, adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.68 [95% CI 0.56-0.84]), a reduced risk of IS (IR 39 vs 65 per 1,000 patient-years, aHR 0.65 [95% CI 0.51-0.82]), and no association with the risk of ICrH (IR 11 vs 16 per 1,000 patient-years, aHR 0.73 [95% CI 0.46-1.15]). The results in aHR remained consistent when considering anatomical distribution and high burden (≥5) of CMBs. DISCUSSION: These observational data suggest that secondary stroke prevention with statins in patients with IS or TIA and CMBs is associated with a lower risk of any stroke or IS without an increased risk of ICrH. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that for patients with IS or TIA and CMBs, statins lower the risk of any stroke or IS without increasing the risk of ICrH.


Subject(s)
Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors , Ischemic Attack, Transient , Ischemic Stroke , Stroke , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Cerebral Hemorrhage/epidemiology , Cerebral Infarction/complications , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/adverse effects , Intracranial Hemorrhages/complications , Ischemic Attack, Transient/epidemiology , Ischemic Stroke/complications , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/complications , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors , Secondary Prevention , Stroke/epidemiology
2.
Neuroepidemiology ; 58(3): 156-165, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38359812

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Evidence on the cost-effectiveness of comprehensive post-stroke programs is limited. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of an individualised management program (IMP) for stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA). METHODS: A cost-utility analysis alongside a randomised controlled trial with a 24-month follow-up, from both societal and health system perspectives, was conducted. Adults with stroke/TIA discharged from hospitals were randomised by primary care practice to receive either usual care (UC) or an IMP in addition to UC (intervention). An IMP included stroke-specific nurse-led education and a specialist review of care plans at baseline, 3 months, and 12 months, and telephone reviews by nurses at 6 months and 18 months. Costs were expressed in 2021 Australian dollars (AUD). Costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) beyond 12 months were discounted by 5%. The probability of cost-effectiveness of the intervention was determined by quantifying 10,000 bootstrapped iterations of incremental costs and QALYs below the threshold of AUD 50,000/QALY. RESULTS: Among the 502 participants (65% male, median age 69 years), 251 (50%) were in the intervention group. From a health system perspective, the incremental cost per QALY gained was AUD 53,175 in the intervention compared to the UC group, and the intervention was cost-effective in 46.7% of iterations. From a societal perspective, the intervention was dominant in 52.7% of iterations, with mean per-person costs of AUD 49,045 and 1.352 QALYs compared to mean per-person costs of AUD 51,394 and 1.324 QALYs in the UC group. The probability of the cost-effectiveness of the intervention, from a societal perspective, was 60.5%. CONCLUSIONS: Care for people with stroke/TIA using an IMP was cost-effective from a societal perspective over 24 months. Economic evaluations of prevention programs need sufficient time horizons and consideration of costs beyond direct healthcare utilisation to demonstrate their value to society.


Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Stroke , Humans , Male , Female , Aged , Stroke/economics , Stroke/therapy , Middle Aged , Australia , Ischemic Attack, Transient/economics , Ischemic Attack, Transient/therapy , Aged, 80 and over
3.
Trop Med Int Health ; 29(5): 377-389, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38403844

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: We prospectively determined incident cardiovascular events and their association with risk factors in rural India. METHODS: We followed up with 7935 adults from the Rishi Valley Prospective Cohort Study to identify incident cardiovascular events. Using Cox proportional hazards regression, we estimated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for associations between potential risk factors and cardiovascular events. Population attributable fractions (PAFs) for risk factors were estimated using R ('averisk' package). RESULTS: Of the 4809 participants without prior cardiovascular disease, 57.7% were women and baseline mean age was 45.3 years. At follow-up (median of 4.9 years, 23,180 person-years [PYs]), 202 participants developed cardiovascular events, equating to an incidence of 8.7 cardiovascular events/1000 PYs. Incidence was greater in those with hypertension (hazard ratio [HR] [95% CI] 1.73 [1.21-2.49], adjusted PAF 18%), diabetes (1.96 [1.15-3.36], 4%) or central obesity (1.77 [1.23, 2.54], 9%) which together accounted for 31% of the PAF. Non-traditional risk factors such as night sleeping hours and number of children accounted for 16% of the PAF. CONCLUSIONS: Both traditional and non-traditional cardiovascular risk factors are important contributors to incident cardiovascular events in rural India. Interventions targeted to these factors could assist in reducing the incidence of cardiovascular events.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Hypertension , Rural Population , Humans , India/epidemiology , Female , Male , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Adult , Incidence , Hypertension/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Rural Population/statistics & numerical data , Proportional Hazards Models , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Obesity, Abdominal/epidemiology , Obesity, Abdominal/complications
4.
Neurology ; 102(1): e207795, 2024 01 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38165371

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Visible perivascular spaces are an MRI marker of cerebral small vessel disease and might predict future stroke. However, results from existing studies vary. We aimed to clarify this through a large collaborative multicenter analysis. METHODS: We pooled individual patient data from a consortium of prospective cohort studies. Participants had recent ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA), underwent baseline MRI, and were followed up for ischemic stroke and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (ICH). Perivascular spaces in the basal ganglia (BGPVS) and perivascular spaces in the centrum semiovale (CSOPVS) were rated locally using a validated visual scale. We investigated clinical and radiologic associations cross-sectionally using multinomial logistic regression and prospective associations with ischemic stroke and ICH using Cox regression. RESULTS: We included 7,778 participants (mean age 70.6 years; 42.7% female) from 16 studies, followed up for a median of 1.44 years. Eighty ICH and 424 ischemic strokes occurred. BGPVS were associated with increasing age, hypertension, previous ischemic stroke, previous ICH, lacunes, cerebral microbleeds, and white matter hyperintensities. CSOPVS showed consistently weaker associations. Prospectively, after adjusting for potential confounders including cerebral microbleeds, increasing BGPVS burden was independently associated with future ischemic stroke (versus 0-10 BGPVS, 11-20 BGPVS: HR 1.19, 95% CI 0.93-1.53; 21+ BGPVS: HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.10-2.06; p = 0.040). Higher BGPVS burden was associated with increased ICH risk in univariable analysis, but not in adjusted analyses. CSOPVS were not significantly associated with either outcome. DISCUSSION: In patients with ischemic stroke or TIA, increasing BGPVS burden is associated with more severe cerebral small vessel disease and higher ischemic stroke risk. Neither BGPVS nor CSOPVS were independently associated with future ICH.


Subject(s)
Cerebral Small Vessel Diseases , Ischemic Attack, Transient , Ischemic Stroke , Stroke , Humans , Female , Aged , Male , Prognosis , Ischemic Attack, Transient/complications , Ischemic Attack, Transient/diagnostic imaging , Prospective Studies , Intracranial Hemorrhages , Stroke/diagnostic imaging , Cerebral Small Vessel Diseases/complications , Cerebral Small Vessel Diseases/diagnostic imaging , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Cerebral Hemorrhage
5.
Eur J Prev Cardiol ; 31(6): 723-731, 2024 Apr 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38149975

ABSTRACT

AIMS: We compared the performance of cardiovascular risk prediction tools in rural India. METHODS AND RESULTS: We applied the World Health Organization Risk Score (WHO-RS) tools, Australian Risk Score (ARS), and Global risk (Globorisk) prediction tools to participants aged 40-74 years, without prior cardiovascular disease, in the Rishi Valley Prospective Cohort Study, Andhra Pradesh, India. Cardiovascular events during the 5-year follow-up period were identified by verbal autopsy (fatal events) or self-report (non-fatal events). The predictive performance of each tool was assessed by discrimination and calibration. Sensitivity and specificity of each tool for identifying high-risk individuals were assessed using a risk score cut-off of 10% alone or this 10% cut-off plus clinical risk criteria of diabetes in those aged >60 years, high blood pressure, or high cholesterol. Among 2333 participants (10 731 person-years of follow-up), 102 participants developed a cardiovascular event. The 5-year observed risk was 4.4% (95% confidence interval: 3.6-5.3). The WHO-RS tools underestimated cardiovascular risk but the ARS overestimated risk, particularly in men. Both the laboratory-based (C-statistic: 0.68 and χ2: 26.5, P = 0.003) and non-laboratory-based (C-statistic: 0.69 and χ2: 20.29, P = 0.003) Globorisk tools showed relatively good discrimination and agreement. Addition of clinical criteria to a 10% risk score cut-off improved the diagnostic accuracy of all tools. CONCLUSION: Cardiovascular risk prediction tools performed disparately in a setting of disadvantage in rural India, with the Globorisk performing best. Addition of clinical criteria to a 10% risk score cut-off aids assessment of risk of a cardiovascular event in rural India. LAY SUMMARY: In a cohort of people without prior cardiovascular disease, tools used to predict the risk of cardiovascular events varied widely in their ability to accurately predict who would develop a cardiovascular event.The Globorisk, and to a lesser extent the ARS, tools could be appropriate for this setting in rural India.Adding clinical criteria, such as sustained high blood pressure, to a cut-off of 10% risk of a cardiovascular event within 5 years could improve identification of individuals who should be monitored closely and provided with appropriate preventive medications.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Hypertension , Male , Humans , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Risk Factors , Prospective Studies , Australia , Risk Assessment/methods , Heart Disease Risk Factors
6.
Obes Res Clin Pract ; 17(3): 249-256, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37142499

ABSTRACT

AIM: In three socioeconomically diverse regions of rural India, we determined the optimal cut-offs for definition of overweight, the prevalence of overweight, and the relationships between measures of overweight and risk of hypertension. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Villages were randomly sampled within rural Trivandrum, West Godavari, and Rishi Valley. Sampling of individuals was stratified by age group and sex. Cut-offs for measures of adiposity were compared using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Associations between hypertension and definitions of overweight were assessed by logistic regression. RESULTS: Of 11 657 participants (50 % male; median age 45 years), 29.8 % had hypertension. Large proportions were overweight as defined by body mass index (BMI) ≥ 23 kg/m2 (47.7 %), waist circumference (WC) ≥ 90 cm for men or ≥ 80 cm for women (39.6 %), waist-hip ratio (WHR) ≥ 0.9 for men or ≥ 0.8 for women (65.6 %), waist-height ratio (WHtR) ≥ 0.5 (62.5 %), or by BMI plus either WHR, WC or WHtR (45.0 %). All definitions of overweight were associated with hypertension, with optimal cut-offs being at, or close to, the World Health Organization (WHO) Asia-Pacific standards. Having overweight according to both BMI and a measure of central adiposity was associated with approximately twice the risk of hypertension than overweight defined by only one measure. CONCLUSIONS: Overweight, as assessed by both general and central measures, is prevalent in rural southern India. WHO standard cut-offs are appropriate in this setting for assessing risk of hypertension. However, combining BMI with a measure of central adiposity identifies risk of hypertension better than any single measure. The risk of hypertension is significantly greater in those centrally and generally overweight than those overweight by a single measure.


Subject(s)
Adiposity , Hypertension , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Cross-Sectional Studies , Overweight/complications , Overweight/epidemiology , Obesity/epidemiology , Hypertension/diagnosis , Hypertension/epidemiology , Hypertension/etiology , Waist Circumference , Waist-Hip Ratio , Body Mass Index , Obesity, Abdominal/complications , Obesity, Abdominal/epidemiology , ROC Curve , India/epidemiology , Risk Factors
7.
PLoS One ; 18(5): e0281617, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37126535

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Post-stroke pneumonia is a frequent complication of stroke and is associated with high mortality. Investigators have described its associations with beta-blocker. However, there has been no evaluation of the role of recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (RTPA). We postulate that RTPA may modify the effect of stroke on pneumonia by reducing stroke disability. We explore this using data from neuroprotection trials in Virtual International Stroke Trials Archive (VISTA)-Acute. METHOD: We evaluated the impact of RTPA and other medications in random forest model. Random forest is a type of supervised ensemble tree-based machine learning method. We used the standard approach for performing random forest and partitioned the data into training (70%) and validation (30%) sets. This action enabled to the model developed on training data to be evaluated in the validation data. We borrowed idea from Coalition Game Theory on fair distribution of marginal profit (Shapley value) to determine proportional contribution of a covariate to the model. Consistent with other analysis using the VISTA-Acute data, the diagnosis of post-stroke pneumonia was based on reports of serious adverse events. RESULTS: The overall frequency of pneumonia was 10.9% (614/5652). It was present in 11.5% of the RTPA (270/2358) and 10.4% (344/3295) of the no RTPA groups. There was significant (p<0.05) imbalance in covariates (age, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), diabetes, and sex). The AUC for training data was 0.70 (95% CI 0.65-0.76), validation data was 0.67 (95% CI 0.62-0.73). The Shapley value shows that baseline NIHSS (≥10) and age (≥80) made the largest contribution to the model of pneumonia while absence of benzodiazepine may protect against pneumonia. RTPA and beta-blocker had very low effect on frequency of pneumonia. CONCLUSION: In this cohort pneumonia was strongly associated with stroke severity and age whereas RTPA had a much lower effect. An intriguing finding is a possible association between benzodiazepine and pneumonia but this requires further evaluation.


Subject(s)
Pneumonia , Stroke , Humans , Tissue Plasminogen Activator/therapeutic use , Fibrinolytic Agents/therapeutic use , Benzodiazepines/therapeutic use , Treatment Outcome , Stroke/etiology , Pneumonia/complications , Adrenergic beta-Antagonists/therapeutic use , Thrombolytic Therapy/adverse effects
8.
Chronic Illn ; 19(4): 873-888, 2023 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36744377

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To assess the prevalence and determinants of cardiometabolic disease (CMD), and the factors associated with healthcare utilisation, among people with CMD. METHODS: Using a cross-sectional design, 11,657 participants were recruited from randomly selected villages in 3 regions located in Kerala and Andhra Pradesh from 2014 to 2016. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors independently associated with CMD and healthcare utilisation (public or private). RESULTS: Thirty-four per cent (n = 3629) of participants reported having ≥1 CMD, including hypertension (21.6%), diabetes (11.6%), heart disease (5.0%) or chronic kidney disease (CKD) (1.6%). The prevalence of CMD was progressively greater in regions of greater socio-economic position (SEP), ranging from 19.1% to 40.9%. Among those with CMD 41% had sought any medical advice in the last month, with only 19% utilising public health facilities. Among people with CMD, those with health insurance utilised more healthcare (age-gender adjusted odds ratio (AOR) (95% confidence interval (CI)): 1.31 (1.13, 1.51)) as did those who reported accessing private rather than public health services (1.43 (1.23, 1.66)). DISCUSSION: The prevalence of CMD is high in these regions of rural India and is positively associated with indices of SEP. The utilisation of outpatient health services, particularly public services, among those with CMD is low.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Health Services , Humans , Cross-Sectional Studies , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , Prevalence , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology
9.
J Aging Phys Act ; 31(3): 400-407, 2023 06 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36288788

ABSTRACT

Falls risk is often assessed without considering exposure to risk. We examined the risk factors associated with falls in those with greater and lower levels of daily step count. Falls were recorded over 12 months using bimonthly calendars in community-dwelling older people (mean age 72.0, SD 6.9). Daily step count was measured using a pedometer worn consecutively for 7 days. A cut score of <5,575.5 steps/day was used to identify people with lower step count. Negative binominal models were used to identify cognitive, medical, and sensorimotor factors associated with falls in those with higher versus lower levels of daily step count. In those with lower daily step count, poorer executive function, slower gait speed, and lower steps per day were associated with increased falls risk. In those with higher step count, only mood was associated with increased falls risk. Considering daily step count is important when assessing falls risk in older people.


Subject(s)
Accidental Falls , Gait , Humans , Aged , Accidental Falls/prevention & control , Risk Factors , Independent Living , Affect
10.
Front Neurol ; 13: 983512, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36071909

ABSTRACT

Background: There has been a decline in the stroke incidence across high income countries but such knowledge exists at Country or State rather than areal unit level such local government area (LGA). In this disease mapping study, we evaluate if there are local hot spots or temporal trends in TIA rate. Such knowledge will be of help in planning healthcare service delivery across regions. Methods: Linked hospital discharge data (Victorian Admitted Episodes Dataset or VAED) was used to collect TIA (defined by ICD-10-AM codes G450-G459) cases from 2001 to 2011. The State of Victoria is the second most populous state in Australia, with a population of 6.7 million and can be divided into 79 administrative units or LGA. The data is anonymized and contains residence of the patient in terms of LGA but not exact location. The date of the TIA event when the patient is admitted to hospital is provided in the dataset. The number of TIAs per year was aggregated for each LGA. Standardized TIA ratios were calculated by dividing actual over expected cases for each LGA per year. We used Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) to perform spatial and spatiotemporal regression, adjusting for hypertension, sex and population, age (≥60), and socio-economic status (SES) decile within the LGA. The final model was chosen based on the lowest the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) and Watanabe-Akaike information criteria (WAIC). Results: Choropleth maps showed a higher standardized TIA ratios in North-West rural region. Compared to the baseline model (DIC 13,159, WAIC 13,261), adding in a spatial random effect significantly improved the model (DIC 6,463, WAIC 6,667). However, adding a temporal component did not lead to a significant improvement (DIC 6,483, WAIC 6,707). Conclusion: Our finding suggests a statically significant spatial component to TIA rate over regional areas but no temporal changes or yearly trends. We propose that such exploratory method should be followed by evaluation of reasons for regional variations and which in turn can identify opportunities in primary prevention of stroke, and stroke care.

11.
Neurology ; 99(17): e1853-e1865, 2022 10 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35977839

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: It is unknown whether there are sex-related profiles of cardiometabolic health that contribute differently to age-related changes in brain health during midlife. We studied how latent classes of middle-aged individuals clustering by age, sex, menopause, and cardiometabolic health were associated with brain structure and cognitive performance. METHODS: Health, brain, and abdominal MRI data from the UK Biobank cohort (men and women aged >40 years in the United Kingdom) were used. We applied latent class analysis to identify groups of individuals based on age, sex, menopausal status, and cardiometabolic health. We examined associations of class membership with brain volumes (total brain volume [TBV], gray matter volume [GMV], white matter volume [WMV], hippocampal volume, and white matter hyperintensity volume) and cognitive performance. RESULTS: Data were available for 36,420 individuals (mean age 64.9 years, 48.5% women). Eight latent classes differing in age, sex, and cardiometabolic risk were identified. Class 1 (reference class) included individuals with the lowest probability of older age and cardiometabolic risk, and the healthiest levels of brain volumes and cognition. In those aged >60 years, but not in those aged 50-60 years, the negative associations of age with TBV, GMV, and WMV were greater in the class comprising healthier older women than classes comprising older men of varying cardiometabolic and vascular health. There were no age-class interactions for cognitive test performance. DISCUSSION: Latent class analysis detected groups of middle-aged individuals clustering by cardiometabolic health. The relationship of age with brain volumes varies by sex, menopausal status, and cardiometabolic health profile.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , White Matter , Middle Aged , Male , Humans , Female , Aged , Latent Class Analysis , Biological Specimen Banks , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Cognition , Gray Matter/diagnostic imaging , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnostic imaging , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology
12.
J Sci Med Sport ; 25(8): 667-672, 2022 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35717523

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Clusters of low fitness and high obesity in childhood are associated with poorer health outcomes in later life, however their relationship with cognition is unknown. Identifying such profiles may inform strategies to reduce risk of cognitive decline. This study examined whether specific profiles of childhood fitness and obesity were associated with midlife cognition. DESIGN: Prospective study. METHODS: In 1985, participants aged 7-15 years from the Australian Childhood Determinants of Adult Health study were assessed for fitness (cardiorespiratory, muscular power, muscular endurance) and anthropometry (waist-to-hip ratio). Participants were followed up between 2017 and 2019 (aged 39-50). Composites of psychomotor speed-attention, learning-working memory and global cognition were assessed using CogState computerised battery. Latent profile analysis was used to derive mutually exclusive profiles based on fitness and anthropometry. Linear regression analyses examined associations between childhood profile membership and midlife cognition adjusting for age, sex and education level. RESULTS: 1244 participants were included [age: 44.4 ±â€¯2.6 (mean ±â€¯SD) years, 53% female]. Compared to those with the highest levels of fitness and lowest waist-to-hip ratio, three different profiles characterised by combinations of poorer cardiorespiratory fitness, muscular endurance and power were associated with lower midlife psychomotor-attention [up to -1.09 (-1.92, -0.26) SD], and lower global cognition [up to -0.71 (-1.41, -0.01) SD]. No associations were detected with learning-working memory. CONCLUSIONS: Strategies that improve low fitness and decrease obesity levels in childhood could contribute to improvements in cognitive performance in midlife.


Subject(s)
Pediatric Obesity , Adult , Australia/epidemiology , Cognition , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Pediatric Obesity/epidemiology , Prospective Studies
13.
JAMA Netw Open ; 5(5): e2214647, 2022 05 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35639376

ABSTRACT

Importance: Dual decline in gait speed and cognition has been found to be associated with increased dementia risk in previous studies. However, it is unclear if risks are conferred by a decline in domain-specific cognition and gait. Objective: To examine associations between dual decline in gait speed and cognition (ie, global, memory, processing speed, and verbal fluency) with risk of dementia. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used data from older adults in Australia and the US who participated in a randomized clinical trial testing low-dose aspirin between 2010 and 2017. Eligible participants in the original trial were aged 70 years or older, or 65 years or older for US participants identifying as African American or Hispanic. Data analysis was performed between October 2020 and November 2021. Exposures: Gait speed, measured at 0, 2, 4, and 6 years and trial close-out in 2017. Cognitive measures included Modified Mini-Mental State examination (3MS) for global cognition, Hopkins Verbal Learning Test-Revised (HVLT-R) for memory, Symbol Digit Modalities (SDMT) for processing speed, and Controlled Oral Word Association Test (COWAT-F) for verbal fluency, assessed at years 0, 1, 3, 5, and close-out. Participants were classified into 4 groups: dual decline in gait and cognition, gait decline only, cognitive decline only, and nondecliners. Cognitive decline was defined as membership of the lowest tertile of annual change. Gait decline was defined as a decline in gait speed of 0.05 m/s or greater per year across the study. Main Outcomes and Measures: Dementia (using Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders [Fourth Edition] criteria) was adjudicated by an expert panel using cognitive tests, functional status, and clinical records. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate risk of dementia adjusting for covariates, with death as competing risk. Results: Of 19 114 randomized participants, 16 855 (88.2%) had longitudinal gait and cognitive data for inclusion in this study (mean [SD] age, 75.0 [4.4] years; 9435 women [56.0%], 7558 participants [44.8%] with 12 or more years of education). Compared with nondecliners, risk of dementia was highest in the gait plus HVLT-R decliners (hazard ratio [HR], 24.7; 95% CI, 16.3-37.3), followed by the gait plus 3MS (HR, 22.2; 95% CI, 15.0-32.9), gait plus COWAT-F (HR, 4.7; 95% CI, 3.5-6.3), and gait plus SDMT (HR, 4.3; 95% CI, 3.2-5.8) groups. Dual decliners had a higher risk of dementia than those with either gait or cognitive decline alone for 3MS and HVLT-R. Conclusions and Relevance: Of domains examined, the combination of decline in gait speed with memory had the strongest association with dementia risk. These findings support the inclusion of gait speed in dementia risk screening assessments.


Subject(s)
Dementia , Walking Speed , Aged , Cognition , Cohort Studies , Dementia/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Neuropsychological Tests
14.
BMJ Open ; 12(4): e054617, 2022 04 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35459666

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We compared the performance of laboratory-based cardiovascular risk prediction tools in a low-income and middle-income country setting, and estimated the use of antihypertensive and lipid-lowering medications in those deemed at high risk of a cardiovascular event. DESIGN: A cross-sectional study. SETTING: The study population comprised adult residents (aged ≥18 years) of the Rishi Valley region located in Chittoor District, south-western Andhra Pradesh, India. PARTICIPANTS: 7935 participants were surveyed between 2012 and 2015. We computed the 10-year cardiovascular risk and undertook pair-to-pair analyses between various risk tools used to predict a fatal or non-fatal cardiovascular event (Framingham Risk Score (FRS), World Health Organization Risk Score (WHO-RS) and Australian Risk Score (ARS)), or a fatal cardiovascular event (Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE-high and SCORE-low)). Concordance was assessed by ordinary least-products (OLP) regression (for risk score) and quadratic weighted kappa (κw, for risk category). RESULTS: Of participants aged 35-74 years, 3.5% had prior cardiovascular disease. The relationships between risk scores were quasi-linear with good agreement between the FRS and ARS (OLP slope=0.96, κw=0.89). However, the WHO-RS underestimated cardiovascular risk compared with all other tools. Twenty per cent of participants had ≥20% risk of an event using the ARS; 5% greater than the FRS and nearly threefold greater than the WHO-RS. Similarly, 16% of participants had a risk score ≥5% using SCORE-high which was 6% greater than for SCORE-low. Overall, absolute cardiovascular risk increased with age and was greater in men than women. Only 9%-12% of those deemed 'high risk' were taking lipid-lowering or antihypertensive medication. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiovascular risk prediction tools perform disparately in this setting of disadvantage. Few deemed at high risk were receiving the recommended treatment.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Adolescent , Adult , Antihypertensive Agents/therapeutic use , Australia , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Heart Disease Risk Factors , Humans , India/epidemiology , Lipids , Male , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors
15.
J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci ; 77(9): 1819-1826, 2022 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35363862

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To examine the effect of frailty on cognitive decline independent of cerebral small vessel disease (cSVD) and brain atrophy, and whether associations between neuropathology and cognition differed depending on frailty status. METHODS: The Tasmanian Study of Cognition and Gait was a population-based longitudinal cohort study with data collected at 3 phases from 2005 to 2012. Participants aged 60-85 were randomly selected from the electoral roll. Various data were used to operationalize a 36-item frailty index (FI) at baseline. Brain MRI was undertaken to obtain baseline measures of neuropathology. A neuropsychological battery was used to assess cognition at each time point. Generalized linear mixed models were used to examine the effect of frailty and MRI measures on cognition over time. The associations between MRI measures and cognition were explored after stratifying the sample by baseline frailty status. All analyses were adjusted for age, sex, and education. RESULTS: A total of 385 participants were included at baseline. The mean age was 72.5 years (standard deviation [SD] 7.0), 44% were female (n = 171). In fully adjusted linear mixed models, frailty (FI × time ß -0.001, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.003, -0.001, p = .03) was associated with decline in global cognition, independent of brain atrophy, and cSVD. The association between cSVD and global cognition was significant only in those with low levels of frailty (p = .03). CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that frailty is an important factor in early cognitive dysfunction, and measuring frailty may prove useful to help identify future risk of cognitive decline.


Subject(s)
Cerebral Small Vessel Diseases , Cognitive Dysfunction , Frailty , Neurodegenerative Diseases , Aged , Atrophy , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Cerebral Small Vessel Diseases/complications , Cognition , Cognitive Dysfunction/psychology , Female , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Male
16.
Qual Life Res ; 31(8): 2445-2455, 2022 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35067819

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Health-related quality of life (QoL) is poor after stroke, but may be improved with comprehensive care plans. We aimed to determine the effects of an individualized management program on QoL in people with stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA), describe changes in QoL over time, and identify variables associated with QoL. METHODS: This was a multicenter, cluster randomized controlled trial with blinded assessment of outcomes and intention-to-treat analysis. Patients with stroke or TIA aged ≥ 18 years were randomized by general practice to receive usual care or an intervention comprising a tailored chronic disease management plan and education. QoL was assessed at baseline and 3, 12, and 24 months after baseline using the Assessment of Quality of Life instrument. Patient responses were converted to utility scores ranging from - 0.04 (worse than death) to 1.00 (good health). Mixed-effects models were used for analyses. RESULTS: Among 563 participants recruited (mean age 68.4 years, 64.5% male), median utility scores ranged from 0.700 to 0.772 at different time points, with no difference observed between intervention and usual care groups. QoL improved significantly from baseline to 3 months (ß = 0.019; P = 0.015) and 12 months (ß = 0.033; P < 0.001), but not from baseline to 24 months (ß = 0.013; P = 0.140) in both groups combined. Older age, females, lower educational attainment, greater handicap, anxiety and depression were longitudinally associated with poor QoL. CONCLUSION: An individualized management program did not improve QoL over 24 months. Those who are older, female, with lower educational attainment, greater anxiety, depression and handicap may require greater support. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://www.anzctr.org.au . Unique identifier: ACTRN12608000166370.


Subject(s)
Ischemic Attack, Transient , Stroke , Aged , Anxiety/therapy , Female , Humans , Ischemic Attack, Transient/complications , Male , Quality of Life/psychology , Stroke/complications
17.
Qual Life Res ; 31(8): 2267-2279, 2022 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35064414

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To appraise the measurement properties of generic patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) measuring postoperative quality of life in adults undergoing elective abdominal surgery. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of PROMs administered after elective abdominal surgery. We systematically searched Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, the Cumulative Index to Nursing & Allied Health Literature database, and the Cochrane Library from earliest available dates to July 24, 2021, using relevant search terms. Articles were included if they reported assessment of measurement properties of a generic PROM/s measuring postoperative quality of life in adults who had undergone elective abdominal surgery. We used the Consensus-based Standards for the selection of health status Measurement Instruments (COSMIN) Risk of Bias checklist to assess methodological quality. We synthesized the data and used the COSMIN criteria for good measurement properties and the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations criteria to rate the certainty of evidence. RESULTS: Of 12,121 identified articles, nine articles assessing five PROMs (SF-6D, EQ-5D, SF-36, SF-12, PROMIS-10) met inclusion criteria. Measurement properties assessed included internal consistency (n = 2), construct validity (n = 5), and responsiveness (n = 8). Two PROMs had high quality evidence for a single measurement property each. The SF-6D demonstrated high quality evidence for responsiveness and the EQ-5D had high quality evidence for construct validity. CONCLUSION: There is insufficient evidence to support the choice of a specific generic PROM to evaluate quality of life following elective abdominal surgery. Clinicians and researchers should be aware of the current limitations in knowledge of the measurement properties of available PROMs.


Subject(s)
Patient Reported Outcome Measures , Quality of Life , Adult , Checklist , Consensus , Health Status , Humans , Quality of Life/psychology
18.
J Hum Hypertens ; 36(11): 1011-1020, 2022 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34535756

ABSTRACT

We assessed the association of hypertension with markers of inflammation and infection in a rural and disadvantaged Indian population. In a case-control study, we age- and gender-matched 300 cases with hypertension to 300 controls without hypertension. Blood pressure was measured according to a strict protocol. We measured markers of inflammation and infection including serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), blood lymphocyte count, serum homocysteine, tooth loss, overcrowding and exposure to fecal contamination. Multivariable conditional logistic regression was used to determine their association with hypertension. Median serum hs-CRP was 42% greater in cases than controls, while median serum homocysteine was 10% greater. In multivariable conditional logistic regression, elevated homocysteine (OR 1.75, 95% CI 1.09-2.82), greater lymphocyte count (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.01-2.01) and exposure to fecal contamination, defined as a distance from the field used for toilet purposes to the household of ≤50 m (OR 2.38, 95% CI 1.07-5.29), were independently associated with hypertension in this rural population. In separate analyses for each gender, elevated hs-CRP (OR 2.62, 95% CI 1.04-6.58) was associated with hypertension in men, whereas edentulism (OR 4.75, 95% CI 1.62-13.96) was associated with greater odds of hypertension in women. Our findings demonstrate specific associations between hypertension and markers of inflammation and infection including hs-CRP, homocysteine, lymphocyte count, edentulism and exposure to fecal contamination. Thus, strategies aimed at reducing inflammation and infection may reduce the burden of hypertension in such settings of disadvantage in rural India.


Subject(s)
C-Reactive Protein , Hypertension , Male , Female , Humans , C-Reactive Protein/metabolism , Case-Control Studies , Rural Population , Hypertension/diagnosis , Hypertension/epidemiology , Hypertension/complications , Inflammation/diagnosis , Inflammation/epidemiology , India/epidemiology , Biomarkers , Homocysteine
19.
Front Med (Lausanne) ; 8: 771822, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34881267

ABSTRACT

Background: To improve the control of hypertension in low- and middle-income countries, we trialed a community-based group program co-designed with local policy makers to fit within the framework of India's health system. Trained accredited social health activists (ASHAs), delivered the program, in three economically and developmentally diverse settings in rural India. We evaluated the program's implementation and scalability. Methods: Our mixed methods process evaluation was guided by the United Kingdom Medical Research Council guidelines for complex interventions. Meeting attendance reports, as well as blood pressure and weight measures of attendees and adherence to meeting content and use of meeting tools were used to evaluate the implementation process. Thematic analysis of separate focus group discussions with participants and ASHAs as well as meeting reports and participant evaluation were used to investigate the mechanisms of impact. Results: Fifteen ASHAs led 32 community-based groups in three rural settings in the states of Kerala and Andhra Pradesh, Southern India. Overall, the fidelity of intervention delivery was high. Six meetings were delivered over a 3-month period to each of the intervention groups. The mean number of meetings attended by participants at each site varied significantly, with participants in Rishi Valley attending fewer meetings [mean (SD) = 2.83 (1.68)] than participants in West Godavari (Tukeys test, p = 0.009) and Trivandrum (Tukeys test, p < 0.001) and participants in West Godavari [mean (SD) = 3.48 (1.72)] attending significantly fewer meetings than participants in Trivandrum [mean (SD) = 4.29 (1.76), Tukeys test, p < 0.001]. Culturally appropriate intervention resources and the training of ASHAs, and supportive supervision of them during the program were critical enablers to program implementation. Although highly motivated during the implementation of the program ASHA reported historical issues with timely remuneration and lack of supportive supervision. Conclusions: Culturally appropriate community-based group programs run by trained and supported ASHAs are a successful and potentially scalable model for improving the control of hypertension in rural India. However, consideration of issues related to unreliable/insufficient remuneration for ASHAs, supportive supervision and their formal role in the wider health workforce in India will be important to address in future program scale up. Trial Registration: Clinical Trial Registry of India [CTRI/2016/02/006678, Registered prospectively].

20.
Gait Posture ; 89: 206-210, 2021 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34340157

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Greater double support time (DST) variability is associated with falls and memory decline. The underlying neurophysiological mechanisms of DST variability are poorly understood. Simple reaction time (SRT) variability, a measure of attention-processing speed is associated with falls and dementia and, may underlie greater DST variability. The aims of this study were to examine the association between SRT and DST variability and if SRT variability mediates the associations between poorer cognition/brain structure and DST variability. METHODS: Participants (n = 408) were community-dwelling older people without dementia (mean age 72.0 ± 7.0). DST variability was the standard deviation (SD) of DST, assessed with a walkway and averaged across steps of 6 walks. SRT variability was the SD of a button pressing task in response to a visual stimulus. Executive function and processing speed were assessed with neuropsychological tests. Magnetic Resonance Imaging was used to obtain cortical thickness (total and in frontal regions) and cerebral small vessel disease (cSVD). Multivariable linear regression models were used to examine the association between SRT and DST variability and if SRT variability mediated any associations of cognition/brain structure with DST variability. RESULTS: Greater SRT variability was associated with greater DST variability (p = 0.002). SRT variability partially mediated the association between poorer executive function and greater DST variability. Smaller mean thickness in orbitofrontal regions and greater cSVD burden were only associated with DST variability (p < 0.05), not with SRT variability (p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Greater SRT variability, which may occur due to inefficient executive functioning, could be an underlying neurophysiological mechanism of greater DST variability.


Subject(s)
Cognition , Gait , Aged , Executive Function , Humans , Neuropsychological Tests , Reaction Time
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