Development and validation of DNA methylation scores in two European cohorts augment 10-year risk prediction of type 2 diabetes.

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) presents a major health and economic burden that could be alleviated with improved early prediction and intervention. While standard risk factors have shown good predictive performance, we show that the use of blood-based DNA methylation information leads to a significant improvement in the prediction of 10-year T2D incidence risk. Previous studies have been largely constrained by linear assumptions, the use of cytosine-guanine pairs one-at-a-time and binary outcomes. We present a flexible approach (via an R package, MethylPipeR) based on a range of linear and tree-ensemble models that incorporate time-to-event data for prediction. Using the Generation Scotland cohort (training set ncases = 374, ncontrols = 9,461; test set ncases = 252, ncontrols = 4,526) our best-performing model (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) = 0.872, area under the precision-recall curve (PRAUC) = 0.302) showed notable improvement in 10-year onset prediction beyond standard risk factors (AUC = 0.839, precision-recall AUC = 0.227). Replication was observed in the German-based KORA study (n = 1,451, ncases = 142, P = 1.6 × 10-5).

DE-STRESS: a user-friendly web application for the evaluation of protein designs.

De novo protein design is a rapidly growing field, and there are now many interesting and useful examples of designed proteins in the literature. However, most designs could be classed as failures when characterised in the lab, usually as a result of low expression, misfolding, aggregation or lack of function. This high attrition rate makes protein design unreliable and costly. It is possible that some of these failures could be caught earlier in the design process if it were quick and easy to generate information and a set of high-quality metrics regarding designs, which could be used to make reproducible and data-driven decisions about which designs to characterise experimentally. We present DE-STRESS (DEsigned STRucture Evaluation ServiceS), a web application for evaluating structural models of designed and engineered proteins. DE-STRESS has been designed to be simple, intuitive to use and responsive. It provides a wealth of information regarding designs, as well as tools to help contextualise the results and formally describe the properties that a design requires to be fit for purpose.