Assessment of Social Vulnerabilities of Care and Prognosis in Adult Ocular Melanomas in the US.

BACKGROUND: Prior works have studied the impact of social determinants on various cancers but there is limited analysis on eye-orbit cancers. Current literature tends to focus on socioeconomic status and race, with sparse analysis of interdisciplinary contributions. We examined social determinants as measured by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Social Vulnerability Index (SVI), quantifying eye and orbit melanoma disparities across the United States. METHODS: A retrospective review of 15,157 patients diagnosed with eye-orbit cancers in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 1975 to 2017 was performed, extracting 6139 ocular melanomas. SVI scores were abstracted and matched to SEER patient data, with scores generated by weighted averages per population density of county's census tracts. Primary outcome was months survived, while secondary outcomes were advanced staging, high grading, and primary surgery receipt. RESULTS: With increased total SVI score, indicating more vulnerability, we observed significant decreases of 23.1% in months survival for melanoma histology (p < 0.001) and 19.6-39.7% by primary site. Increasing total SVI showed increased odds of higher grading (odds ratio [OR] 1.20, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.43) and decreased odds of surgical intervention (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.92-0.96). Of the four themes, higher magnitude contributions were observed with socioeconomic status (26.0%) and housing transportation (14.4%), while lesser magnitude contributions were observed with minority language status (13.5%) and household composition (9.0%). CONCLUSIONS: Increasing social vulnerability, as measured by the CDC SVI and its subscores, displayed significant detrimental trends in prognostic and treatment factors for adult eye-orbit melanoma. Subscores quantified which social determinants contributed most to disparities. This lays groundwork for providers to target the highest-impact social determinant for non-clinical factors in patient care.

Prediction Models for Glaucoma in a Multicenter Electronic Health Records Consortium: The Sight Outcomes Research Collaborative.

Purpose: Advances in artificial intelligence have enabled the development of predictive models for glaucoma. However, most work is single-center and uncertainty exists regarding the generalizability of such models. The purpose of this study was to build and evaluate machine learning (ML) approaches to predict glaucoma progression requiring surgery using data from a large multicenter consortium of electronic health records (EHR). Design: Cohort study. Participants: Thirty-six thousand five hundred forty-eight patients with glaucoma, as identified by International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes from 6 academic eye centers participating in the Sight OUtcomes Research Collaborative (SOURCE). Methods: We developed ML models to predict whether patients with glaucoma would progress to glaucoma surgery in the coming year (identified by Current Procedural Terminology codes) using the following modeling approaches: (1) penalized logistic regression (lasso, ridge, and elastic net); (2) tree-based models (random forest, gradient boosted machines, and XGBoost), and (3) deep learning models. Model input features included demographics, diagnosis codes, medications, and clinical information (intraocular pressure, visual acuity, refractive status, and central corneal thickness) available from structured EHR data. One site was reserved as an "external site" test set (N = 1550); of the patients from the remaining sites, 10% each were randomly selected to be in development and test sets, with the remaining 27 999 reserved for model training. Main Outcome Measures: Evaluation metrics included area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) on the test set and the external site. Results: Six thousand nineteen (16.5%) of 36 548 patients underwent glaucoma surgery. Overall, the AUROC ranged from 0.735 to 0.771 on the random test set and from 0.706 to 0.754 on the external test site, with the XGBoost and random forest model performing best, respectively. There was greatest performance decrease from the random test set to the external test site for the penalized regression models. Conclusions: Machine learning models developed using structured EHR data can reasonably predict whether glaucoma patients will need surgery, with reasonable generalizability to an external site. Additional research is needed to investigate the impact of protected class characteristics such as race or gender on model performance and fairness. Financial Disclosures: Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Using Natural Language Processing to Identify Different Lens Pathology in Electronic Health Records.

PURPOSE: Nearly all published ophthalmology-related Big Data studies rely exclusively on International Classification of Diseases (ICD) billing codes to identify patients with particular ocular conditions. However, inaccurate or nonspecific codes may be used. We assessed whether natural language processing (NLP), as an alternative approach, could more accurately identify lens pathology. DESIGN: Database study comparing the accuracy of NLP versus ICD billing codes to properly identify lens pathology. METHODS: We developed an NLP algorithm capable of searching free-text lens exam data in the electronic health record (EHR) to identify the type(s) of cataract present, cataract density, presence of intraocular lenses, and other lens pathology. We applied our algorithm to 17.5 million lens exam records in the Sight Outcomes Research Collaborative (SOURCE) repository. We selected 4314 unique lens-exam entries and asked 11 clinicians to assess whether all pathology present in the entries had been correctly identified in the NLP algorithm output. The algorithm's sensitivity at accurately identifying lens pathology was compared with that of the ICD codes. RESULTS: The NLP algorithm correctly identified all lens pathology present in 4104 of the 4314 lens-exam entries (95.1%). For less common lens pathology, algorithm findings were corroborated by reviewing clinicians for 100% of mentions of pseudoexfoliation material and 99.7% for phimosis, subluxation, and synechia. Sensitivity at identifying lens pathology was better for NLP (0.98 [0.96-0.99] than for billing codes (0.49 [0.46-0.53]). CONCLUSIONS: Our NLP algorithm identifies and classifies lens abnormalities routinely documented by eye-care professionals with high accuracy. Such algorithms will help researchers to properly identify and classify ocular pathology, broadening the scope of feasible research using real-world data.

Reliability of Intraocular Pressure Measurements in a Low-Contact Drive-Through Setting.

PRCIS: Drive-through intraocular pressure (IOP) measurement using iCare tonometry is a promising method of low-contact, high-throughput IOP monitoring. However, owing to its vulnerability to variable measurement technique and local air currents, the iCare may overestimate IOPs. PURPOSE: During the COVID-19 pandemic, a drive-through IOP measurement protocol using the iCare tonometer was established to facilitate low-contact monitoring of select glaucoma patients. As the iCare may be prone to error due to variable measurement technique and local air currents, we endeavored to assess the reliability of drive-through IOP measurements by comparing them with recent measurements taken in clinic settings. METHODS: Inclusion criteria were patients with drive-through IOP measurements performed from April 28 to October 11, 2020; exclusion criteria were pre-drive-through IOPs >21 mmHg. Drive-through IOP measurements were compared with the closest previous and/or subsequent in-clinic IOP measurements. Data were gathered using the Sight Outcomes Research Collaborative (SOURCE) data repository. RESULTS: The post-exclusion study group consisted of 314 patients receiving a total of 868 drive-through IOP measurements, all of whom had prior in-clinic measurements, and 56.8% of whom had subsequent in-clinic measurements. Drive-through IOPs were, on average, +2.4 mmHg (+14.5%; SD 4.9) higher than in-clinic IOPs. Further sub-analysis of the data showed a difference of +2.1 mmHg OD and +2.6 mmHg OS. Compared with the closest previous in-clinic visit, the difference was +2.4 mmHg OU (+2.1 mmHg OD, +2.7 mmHg OS); compared with the closest subsequent in-clinic visit, the difference was +2.3 mmHg OU (+2.1 mmHg OD, +2.5 mmHg OS). 68.6% of all drive-through IOPs were higher than corresponding in-clinic IOPs; 21.1% were lower. 25.9% of drive-through IOPs were higher by more than 5 mmHg, whereas 3.9% of drive-through IOPs were lower by more than 5 mmHg. DISCUSSION: As teleophthalmology becomes an ever more important tool in glaucoma patient care, drive-through or walk-through IOP monitoring methods are likely to play an increasing role. However, our data reveals potential inaccuracies in drive-through iCare IOP measurements which tended to overestimate IOP. It is advisable to confirm large changes in IOP with in-clinic measurement before making management decisions. CONCLUSION: With better optimization of accuracy and reliability of measurements, drive-through tonometry is a promising, high-throughput, low-contact method of measuring IOP.

MAEPI and CIR: New Metrics for Robust Evaluation of the Prediction Performance of AI-Based IOL Formulas.

Purpose: To develop a class of new metrics for evaluating the performance of intraocular lens power calculation formulas robust to issues that can arise with AI-based methods. Methods: The dataset consists of surgical information and biometry measurements of 6893 eyes of 5016 cataract patients who received Alcon SN60WF lenses at University of Michigan's Kellogg Eye Center. We designed two types of new metrics: the MAEPI (Mean Absolute Error in Prediction of Intraocular Lens [IOL]) and the CIR (Correct IOL Rate) and compared the new metrics with traditional metrics including the mean absolute error (MAE), median absolute error, and standard deviation. We evaluated the new metrics with simulation analysis, machine learning (ML) methods, as well as existing IOL formulas (Barrett Universal II, Haigis, Hoffer Q, Holladay 1, PearlDGS, and SRK/T). Results: Results of traditional metrics did not accurately reflect the performance of overfitted ML formulas. By contrast, MAEPI and CIR discriminated between accurate and inaccurate formulas. The standard IOL formulas received low MAEPI and high CIR, which were consistent with the results of the traditional metrics. Conclusions: MAEPI and CIR provide a more accurate reflection of the real-life performance of AI-based IOL formula than traditional metrics. They should be computed in conjunction with conventional metrics when evaluating the performance of new and existing IOL formulas. Translational Relevance: The proposed new metrics would help cataract patients avoid the risks caused by inaccurate AI-based formulas, whose true performance cannot be determined by traditional metrics.

Systematic User-centered Design of a Prototype Clinical Decision Support System for Glaucoma.

Purpose: To rigorously develop a prototype clinical decision support (CDS) system to help clinicians determine the appropriate timing for follow-up visual field testing for patients with glaucoma and to identify themes regarding the context of use for glaucoma CDS systems, design requirements, and design solutions to meet these requirements. Design: Semistructured qualitative interviews and iterative design cycles. Participants: Clinicians who care for patients with glaucoma, purposefully sampled to ensure a representation of a range of clinical specialties (glaucoma specialist, general ophthalmologist, optometrist) and years in clinical practice. Methods: Using the established User-Centered Design Process framework, we conducted semistructured interviews with 5 clinicians that addressed the context of use and design requirements for a glaucoma CDS system. We analyzed the interviews using inductive thematic analysis and grounded theory to generate themes regarding the context of use and design requirements. We created design solutions to address these requirements and used iterative design cycles with the clinicians to refine the CDS prototype. Main Outcome Measures: Themes regarding decision support for determining the timing of visual field testing for patients with glaucoma, CDS design requirements, and CDS design features. Results: We identified 9 themes that addressed the context of use for the CDS system, 9 design requirements for the prototype CDS system, and 9 design features intended to address these design requirements. Key design requirements included the preservation of clinician autonomy, incorporation of currently used heuristics, compilation of data, and increasing and communicating the level of certainty regarding the decision. After completing 3 iterative design cycles using this preliminary CDS system design solution, the design was satisfactory to the clinicians and was accepted as our prototype glaucoma CDS system. Conclusions: We used a systematic design process based on the established User-Centered Design Process to rigorously develop a prototype glaucoma CDS system, which will be used as a starting point for a future, large-scale iterative refinement and implementation process. Clinicians who care for patients with glaucoma need CDS systems that preserve clinician autonomy, compile and present data, incorporate currently used heuristics, and increase and communicate the level of certainty regarding the decision. Financial Disclosures: Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

Ray tracing intraocular lens calculation performance improved by AI-powered postoperative lens position prediction.

AIMS: To assess whether incorporating a machine learning (ML) method for accurate prediction of postoperative anterior chamber depth (ACD) improves cataract surgery refraction prediction performance of a commonly used ray tracing power calculation suite (OKULIX). METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A dataset of 4357 eyes of 4357 patients with cataract was gathered at the Kellogg Eye Center, University of Michigan. A previously developed machine learning (ML)-based method was used to predict the postoperative ACD based on preoperative biometry measured with the Lenstar LS900 optical biometer. Refraction predictions were computed with standard OKULIX postoperative ACD predictions and ML-based predictions of postoperative ACD. The performance of the ray tracing approach with and without ML-based ACD prediction was evaluated using mean absolute error (MAE) and median absolute error (MedAE) in refraction prediction as metrics. RESULTS: Replacing the standard OKULIX postoperative ACD with the ML-predicted ACD resulted in statistically significant reductions in both MAE (1.7% after zeroing mean error) and MedAE (2.1% after zeroing mean error). ML-predicted ACD substantially improved performance in eyes with short and long axial lengths (p<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Using an ML-powered postoperative ACD prediction method improves the prediction accuracy of the OKULIX ray tracing suite by a clinically small but statistically significant amount, with the greatest effect seen in long eyes.

Quality of life associated with no light perception vision.

OBJECTIVE: Time trade-off (TTO) utility analysis quantifies the quality of life associated with best-seeing-eye (BSE) vision. We compared the patient quality of life associated with unilateral and bilateral no light perception (NLP) with that of a control cohort without NLP. DESIGN: Cross-sectional interviews using a validated, reliable TTO vision utility analysis instrument. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1598 consecutive ophthalmology patients from the authors' practices. METHODS: Patient records were reviewed in a case-control fashion The utilities of participants with unilateral or bilateral NLP vision were compared with those from patients without NLP vision. RESULTS: Among 99 NLP patients, 93 (94%) had unilateral NLP and 6 (6%) had bilateral NLP, for a total of 105 NLP eyes. Multiple regression analysis demonstrated the highest correlation between utility and BSE acuity (p = 0.001), with no correlation with age, ophthalmic disease, time of vision loss, race, or education. Mean unilateral NLP utility ranged from 0.55 in the counting fingers to light perception subcohort to 0.80 in the 20/20-20/25 subcohort. The 6-person bilateral NLP subcohort had a 0.54 utility. The 99-patient NLP cohort mean utility was 0.69, a 55% quality-of-life decrease versus a BSE vision-matched 0.80 in 1499 non-NLP patients (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: TTO utility in unilateral NLP patients correlated with BSE vision at a lower utility than in patients with matched BSE vision without fellow-eye NLP. Decreased unilateral NLP patient quality of life should be considered in cost-utility analysis and clinical management. Bilateral NLP patient utility (0.54) was slightly less than that (0.55) in blind unilateral NLP patients with fellow-eye counting fingers to light perception vision, suggesting that more study is needed.

Augmenting Kalman Filter Machine Learning Models with Data from OCT to Predict Future Visual Field Loss: An Analysis Using Data from the African Descent and Glaucoma Evaluation Study and the Diagnostic Innovation in Glaucoma Study.

Purpose: To assess whether the predictive accuracy of machine learning algorithms using Kalman filtering for forecasting future values of global indices on perimetry can be enhanced by adding global retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) data and whether model performance is influenced by the racial composition of the training and testing sets. Design: Retrospective, longitudinal cohort study. Participants: Patients with open-angle glaucoma (OAG) or glaucoma suspects enrolled in the African Descent and Glaucoma Evaluation Study or Diagnostic Innovation in Glaucoma Study. Methods: We developed a Kalman filter (KF) with tonometry and perimetry data (KF-TP) and another KF with tonometry, perimetry, and global RNFL data (KF-TPO), comparing these models with one another and with 2 linear regression (LR) models for predicting mean deviation (MD) and pattern standard deviation values 36 months into the future for patients with OAG and glaucoma suspects. We also compared KF model performance when trained on individuals of European and African descent and tested on patients of the same versus the other race. Main Outcome Measures: Predictive accuracy (percentage of MD values forecasted within the 95% repeatability interval) differences among the models. Results: Among 362 eligible patients, the mean ± standard deviation age at baseline was 71.3 ± 10.4 years; 196 patients (54.1%) were women; 202 patients (55.8%) were of European descent, and 139 (38.4%) were of African descent. Among patients with OAG (n = 296), the predictive accuracy for 36 months in the future was higher for the KF models (73.5% for KF-TP, 71.2% for KF-TPO) than for the LR models (57.5%, 58.0%). Predictive accuracy did not differ significantly between KF-TP and KF-TPO (P = 0.20). If the races of the training and testing set patients were aligned (versus nonaligned), the mean absolute prediction error of future MD improved 0.39 dB for KF-TP and 0.48 dB for KF-TPO. Conclusions: Adding global RNFL data to existing KFs minimally improved their predictive accuracy. Although KFs attained better predictive accuracy when the races of the training and testing sets were aligned, these improvements were modest. These findings will help to guide implementation of KFs in clinical practice.

Potentially Missed Opportunities in Prevention of Acute Angle-Closure Crisis.

Importance: If an anatomic narrow angle is not appropriately diagnosed and treated, it can result in acute angle-closure crisis (AACC) and lead to substantial vision loss. Objective: To identify patients who presented with AACC and assess for factors that may have been associated with risk of developing it. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based retrospective cohort study conducted from January 1, 2001, to December 31, 2015, included a 20% nationwide sample of 1179 Medicare beneficiaries. Patients aged 40 years or older with AACC were identified with billing codes. A 2-year lookback period from the date of initial presentation of AACC was used to identify patients who had at least 1 eye care visit, received a diagnosis of open-angle glaucoma (OAG) or suspected OAG, or received at least 1 medication associated with risk of AACC. Of the patients who had at least 1 eye care visit, those who underwent gonioscopy, received a diagnosis of an anatomic narrow angle before developing AACC, or both were identified. Main Outcomes and Measures: Proportions of patients who had at least 1 eye care visit, had OAG or suspected OAG, received at least 1 medication associated with risk of AACC, underwent gonioscopy, or received a diagnosis of an anatomic narrow angle before development of AACC. Results: A total of 1179 patients had a confirmed diagnosis of AACC. The mean (SD) age of patients with AACC was 66.7 (11.8) years (range, 40-96 years), 766 were women (65.0%), 57 were Asian (4.8%), 109 were Black (9.2%), 126 were Latino (10.7%), 791 were White (67.1%), and 96 were other race and ethnicity (8.1%). Of these patients, only 796 (67.5%) consulted an optometrist or ophthalmologist at least once during the 2-year lookback period. A total of 464 individuals (39.4%) had OAG or suspected OAG, and 414 (35.1%) had received at least 1 medication associated with increased risk of AACC before developing it. Of the 796 patients who consulted an optometrist or ophthalmologist in the lookback period, less than one-third underwent gonioscopy in the 2 years before developing AACC (n = 264 [33.2%]), and less than one-half of all patients undergoing gonioscopy received a diagnosis of an anatomic narrow angle (n = 113 [42.8%]). Most patients underwent gonioscopy in the 1 to 4 weeks preceding the AACC. Conclusions and Relevance: In this group of Medicare patients, there appear to have been multiple opportunities for interventions that may have averted AACC. Interventions aimed at addressing risk factors associated with AACC and improving performance of gonioscopy might be associated with reduced risk for ocular morbidity.

The Frequency of Visual Field Testing in a US Nationwide Cohort of Individuals with Open-Angle Glaucoma.

PURPOSE: Visual field testing that is not frequent enough results in delayed identification of open-angle glaucoma (OAG) progression. Guidelines recommend at least annual testing. It is not known how frequently patients with OAG across the United States receive visual field testing and how patient characteristics and circumstances influence this frequency. If US patients with OAG do not receive visual field tests frequently enough, interventions to increase this frequency or to develop other forms of testing visual function may reduce unidentified OAG vision loss. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: The TruvenHealth MarketScan Commercial Claims Database (IBM) contains demographic and claims data for > 160 million individuals across the United States from 2008 to 2017. We identified enrollees in the database with a recorded diagnosis of OAG (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification and International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification codes 356.1x and H40.1x, respectively). We excluded those aged < 40 years at the time of their first OAG diagnosis, those without at least 1 confirmatory OAG diagnosis at a subsequent visit, and those with < 4 years of follow-up data after OAG diagnosis. METHODS: We calculated the number of visual field tests that each enrollee with OAG underwent per year and categorized the enrollees based on that number (0, > 0 to < 0.9, ≥ 0.9 to ≤ 1.1, > 1.1 to ≤ 2.1, and > 2.1). We used negative binomial regression to investigate the demographic or health variables that were associated with the frequency of visual field tests that enrollees with OAG received. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Frequency of visual field testing among enrollees with OAG. RESULTS: Of the 380 029 enrollees included in the study, 33 267 (8.8%) did not receive a visual field test during the study period, 259 349 (68.2%) underwent > 0 to < 0.9 visual field tests per year, 42 129 (11.1%) underwent ≥ 0.9 to ≤ 1.1 visual field tests per year, 42 301 (11.1%) underwent > 1.1 to ≤ 2.1 visual field tests per year, and 2983 (0.8%) underwent ≥ 2.1 visual field tests per year. The median number of visual field tests per year was 0.63 (interquartile range, 0.33-0.88; mean, 0.65). CONCLUSIONS: More than 75% of enrollees with OAG received < 1 visual field test per year and, thus, did not receive guideline-adherent glaucoma monitoring.

The Impact of COVID-19 and Pandemic Mitigation Measures on Persons With Sensory Impairment.

PURPOSE: To assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and associated mitigation measures on persons with sensory impairments (SI), including visual impairments (VI) and hearing impairments (HI). DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey. METHODS: Adults with VI (best-corrected visual acuity <20/60 in the better-seeing eye), HI (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, codes), and age- and sex-matched controls (n = 375) were recruited from the University of Michigan. The 34-item Coronavirus Disability Survey was administered. Both χ2 tests and logistic regression were used to compare survey responses between groups. RESULTS: All groups reported high levels of disruption of daily life, with 80% reporting "a fair amount" or "a lot" of disruption (VI: 76%, HI: 83%, CT: 82%, P = .33). Participants with VI had greater difficulty with day-to-day activities and were more likely to cite the following reasons: caregiver was worried about COVID-19 (odds ratio [OR]VI = 7.2, 95% CI = 3.5-14.4, P < .001) and decreased availability of public transportation (ORVI = 5.0, 95% CI = 1.5-15.6, P = .006). Participants with VI, but not HI, showed a trend toward increased difficulty accessing medical care (ORVI = 2.0, 95% CI = 0.99-4.0, P = .052) and began relying more on others for day-to-day assistance (ORVI = 3.1, 95% CI = 1.6-5.7, P < .001). Overall, 30% reported difficulty obtaining trusted information about the pandemic. Those with VI reported more difficulty seeing or hearing trusted information (ORVI = 6.1, 95% CI = 1.6-22.1, P = .006). Employed participants with HI were more likely to report a reduction in wages (ORHI = 2.5, 95% CI = 1.2-5.3, P = .02). CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with VI have experienced increased disruption and challenges in daily activities related to the pandemic. People with SI may benefit from targeted policy approaches to the current pandemic and future stressors. Minimal differences in some survey measures may be due to the large impact of the pandemic on the population as a whole. The SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic and public health mitigation measures have had an exceedingly large impact around the globe. As of the time of writing, more than 114 million global cases (28 million US) had been diagnosed, and there had been more than 2.5 million fatalities attributed to COVID-19 (517,000 US).1,2.

Board Certification Is Associated With a Reduced Risk of Endophthalmitis After Intravitreal Injections.

Purpose: This work investigates associations between physician qualifications and the risk of postintravitreal injection endophthalmitis. Methods: This retrospective analysis of data from medical claims studied Medicare beneficiaries undergoing 1 or more intravitreal injections between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2017. Logistic regression analysis was performed to assess whether board certification status or retina subspecialty training was associated with lower risk of postinjection endophthalmitis, controlling for patient's age, race, and sex, type of agent injected, diagnosis, and year of injection. The main outcome measure was odds ratio (OR) of receiving a diagnosis of endophthalmitis in the 14 days after intravitreal injection. Clinical outcome and quality of care were not evaluated in this study. Results: A total of 2 907 324 intravitreal injections were performed on 219 640 patients by 4315 ophthalmologists, 3196 (74%) of whom were retina specialists and 4021 (92%) of whom were certified by the American Board of Ophthalmology (ABO). Overall, there were 1088 (0.037%) cases of postinjection endophthalmitis, of which 1024 (0.037%) were injected by ABO-certified ophthalmologists and 64 (0.050%) by non-board-certified ophthalmologists. Injections by ABO-certified ophthalmologist had 28% reduced odds of endophthalmitis (OR = 0.72; 95% CI, 0.523-0.996, P = .05). Higher odds of endophthalmitis were observed for corticosteroid injections (OR = 3.91; 95% CI, 2.75-5.56, P < .001) and aflibercept injections (OR = 1.47; 95% CI, 1.19-1.80, P < .001). Patients' sex and race, the diagnosis associated with the injection, and providers' retina subspeciality training were not associated with the rate of endophthalmitis (P < .20 for all comparisons). Conclusions: We found evidence that endophthalmitis may be reduced when ABO-certified physicians perform an intravitreal injection.

Predicting rapid progression phases in glaucoma using a soft voting ensemble classifier exploiting Kalman filtering.

In managing patients with chronic diseases, such as open angle glaucoma (OAG), the case treated in this paper, medical tests capture the disease phase (e.g. regression, stability, progression, etc.) the patient is currently in. When medical tests have low residual variability (e.g. empirical difference between the patient's true and recorded value is small) they can effectively, without the use of sophisticated methods, identify the patient's current disease phase; however, when medical tests have moderate to high residual variability this may not be the case. This paper presents a framework for handling the latter case. The framework presented integrates the outputs of interacting multiple model Kalman filtering with supervised learning classification. The purpose of this integration is to estimate the true values of patients' disease metrics by allowing for rapid and non-rapid phases; and dynamically adapting to changes in these values over time. We apply our framework to classifying whether a patient with OAG will experience rapid progression over the next two or three years from the time of classification. The performance (AUC) of our model increased by approximately 7% (increased from 0.752 to 0.819) when the Kalman filtering results were incorporated as additional features in the supervised learning model. These results suggest the combination of filters and statistical learning methods in clinical health has significant benefits. Although this paper applies our methodology to OAG, the methodology developed is applicable to other chronic conditions.

Surgical repair of primary non-complex rhegmatogenous retinal detachment in the modern era of small-gauge vitrectomy.

OBJECTIVE: To report anatomic and visual outcomes of pars plana vitrectomy (PPV), as well as scleral buckling (SB) and PPV/SB as surgical treatments for the management of primary, non-complex rhegmatogenous retinal detachment (RRD). METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Data from 751 eyes that underwent PPV, SB or combined PPV/SB as a surgical treatment for primary non-complex RRD with at least 3 months of follow-up were analysed to determine rates of single surgery anatomic success (SSAS) and final anatomic success (FAS). Patients or the public were not involved in the design, conduct or reporting of this research. RESULTS: PPV accounted for 89.0% (n=668), PPV/SB for 6.8% (n=51) and SB for 4.2% (n=32) cases. Overall SSAS (91.2% PPV, 84.3% PPV/SB, 93.8% SB; p=0.267) and FAS (96.7% PPV, 94.1% PPV/SB and 100.0% SB; p=0.221) were reported for the three surgical groups. SSAS and FAS were similar for lens status, macular detachment status and the presence or absence of inferior retinal breaks for each of the PPV, PPV/SB and SB groups. CONCLUSIONS: In this large, single institution, retrospective case series, we report surgical outcomes for patients with primary non-complex RRD managed with PPV, SB or PPV/SB in the modern era of small-gauge vitrectomy. We demonstrate that primary PPV without adjunct SB provides excellent anatomic and visual outcomes irrespective of lens status, macular involvement or pathology location.

Patient-Reported Outcomes After Corneal Transplantation.

PURPOSE: To characterize vision-related quality of life after penetrating keratoplasty (PKP), deep anterior lamellar keratoplasty (DALK), Descemet stripping automated endothelial keratoplasty (DSAEK), and Descemet membrane endothelial keratoplasty (DMEK) using the National Eye Institute Visual Function Questionnaire (NEI-VFQ 9). METHODS: Using the Sight Outcomes Research Collaborative ophthalmology electronic health record repository, questionnaire responses were obtained from 103 PKP patients, 24 DALK patients, 42 DSAEK patients, and 50 DMEK patients undergoing postoperative examination. No exclusions were made based on preoperative diagnosis, age, complications, or comorbidities. Associations between clinical characteristics and vision-related quality of life were analyzed using nonparametric and linear regression methods. RESULTS: Patients were surveyed an average of 1.5 years postoperatively (range 24 d to 4.4 yrs). Participants who had undergone DALK, DMEK, DSAEK, and PKP had median composite VFQ scores of 77.8, 84.2, 76.1, and 70.6, respectively (P= 0.002). There were no significant differences in VFQ scores between patients treated with DMEK versus DSAEK (P = 0.440) or between patients treated with PKP versus DALK (P = 1.000). Higher postoperative acuities in the operative and fellow eyes were associated with higher VFQ scores (P < 0.001 and P < 0.001). When controlling for postoperative acuity by regression modeling, surgery type was not associated with patient-reported composite VFQ scores. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, patient-reported vision-related quality of life was similar among DMEK and DSAEK participants and also among DALK and PKP participants. When controlling for postoperative acuity, vision-related quality of life was similar among all study participants, irrespective of the keratoplasty technique.

Costs of Managing Diabetic Macular Edema With Good Visual Acuity With Aflibercept, Laser, or Observation: DRCR Retina Network Protocol V.

PURPOSE: Because eyes with center-involved diabetic macular edema (CI-DME) and good baseline visual acuity (VA) showed no difference in VA loss when managed initially with observation, laser, or aflibercept, understanding the estimated costs of these strategies to the US population is relevant for health care planning. DESIGN: Preplanned cost analysis from a randomized controlled trial (DRCR Retina Network Protocol V). METHODS: Total costs for managing participants with CI-DME and good baseline VA assigned to aflibercept (n = 226), laser (n = 240), or observation (n = 236) during the 2-year multicenter trial were calculated. Observation or laser groups initiated aflibercept if VA decreased. The aflibercept group received injections up to every 4 weeks. Using epidemiological data and extrapolating costs, 10-year costs of care for all persons with CI-DME and good baseline VA throughout the United States were caluclated. RESULTS: Assuming that all patients in the United States with CI-DME and good baseline VA received aflibercept initially, 10-year costs were projected to be $28.80 billion compared with $14.42 billion if initially receiving laser treatment or $15.70 billion if initially observed, with aflibercept added if VA worsened in the laser or observation arms. CONCLUSIONS: Similar VA outcomes on average are obtained by initially managing CI-DME and good baseline VA with laser or observation strategies instead of immediately using aflibercept. Although any 1 of these 3 strategies might be warranted depending on an individual's specific circumstances, on a societal level, cost savings might be achieved with these first 2 approaches.