Design of ANCHOR-RA: a multi-national cross-sectional study on screening for interstitial lung disease in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are at risk of developing interstitial lung disease (ILD), which is associated with high mortality. Screening tools based on risk factors are needed to decide which patients with RA should be screened for ILD using high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT). The ANCHOR-RA study is a multi-national cross-sectional study that will develop a multivariable model for prediction of RA-ILD, which can be used to inform screening for RA-ILD in clinical practice. METHODS: Investigators will enrol consecutive patients with RA who have ≥ 2 of the following risk factors for RA-ILD: male; current or previous smoker; age ≥ 60 years at RA diagnosis; high-positive rheumatoid factor and/or anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (titre > 3 x upper limit of normal); presence or history of certain extra-articular manifestations of RA (vasculitis, Felty's syndrome, secondary Sjögren's syndrome, cutaneous rheumatoid nodules, serositis, and/or scleritis/uveitis); high RA disease activity in the prior 12 months. Patients previously identified as having ILD, or who have had a CT scan in the prior 2 years, will not be eligible. Participants will undergo an HRCT scan at their local site, which will be assessed centrally by two expert radiologists. Data will be collected prospectively on demographic and RA-related characteristics, patient-reported outcomes, comorbidities and pulmonary function. The primary outcomes will be the development of a probability score for RA-ILD, based on a multivariable model incorporating potential risk factors commonly assessed in clinical practice, and an estimate of the prevalence of RA-ILD in the study population. It is planned that 1200 participants will be enrolled at approximately 30 sites in the USA, UK, Germany, France, Italy, Spain. DISCUSSION: Data from the ANCHOR-RA study will add to the body of evidence to support recommendations for screening for RA-ILD to improve detection of this important complication of RA and enable early intervention. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov NCT05855109 (submission date: 3 May 2023).

The electroneutral Na+-HCO3- cotransporter NBCn1 (SLC4A7) modulates colonic enterocyte pHi, proliferation and migration.

NBCn1 (SLC4A7) is one of the two major Na+-HCO3- cotransporters in the human colonic epithelium, expressed predominantly in the highly proliferating colonocytes at the cryptal base. Increased NBCn1 expression levels are reported in tumours, including colorectal cancer. The study explores its importance for maintenance of the intracellular pH (pHi),as well as the proliferative, adhesive, and migratory behavior of the self-differentiating Caco2bbe colonic tumour cell line. In the self-differentiating Caco2BBe cells, NBCn1 mRNA was highly expressed from the proliferative stage until full differentiation. The downregulation of NBCn1 expression by RNA interference affected proliferation and differentiation, and decreased intracellular pH (pHi)of the cells in correlation with the degree of knockdown. In addition, a disturbed cell adhesion and reduced migratory speed were associated with NBCn1 knockdown. Murine colonic Nbcn1-/- enteroids also displayed reduced proliferative activity. In the migrating Caco2BBe cells, NBCn1 was found at the leading edge and in colocalization with the focal adhesion markers vinculin and paxillin, which suggests that NBCn1 is involved in the establishment of cell-matrix adhesion. Our data highlight the physiological significance of NBCn1 in modulating epithelial pH-homeostasis and cell-matrix interactions in the proliferative region of the colonic epithelium, and unravel the molecular mechanism behind pathological overexpression of this transporter in human colorectal cancers.

pH-regulated single cell migration.

Over the last two decades, extra- and intracellular pH have emerged as fundamental regulators of cell motility. Fundamental physiological and pathological processes relying on appropriate cell migration, such as embryonic development, wound healing, and a proper immune defense on the one hand, and autoimmune diseases, metastatic cancer, and the progression of certain parasitic diseases on the other, depend on surrounding pH. In addition, migrating single cells create their own localized pH nanodomains at their surface and in the cytosol. By this means, the migrating cells locally modulate their adhesion to, and the re-arrangement and digestion of, the extracellular matrix. At the same time, the cytosolic nanodomains tune cytoskeletal dynamics along the direction of movement resulting in concerted lamellipodia protrusion and rear end retraction. Extracellular pH gradients as found in wounds, inflamed tissues, or the periphery of tumors stimulate directed cell migration, and long-term exposure to acidic conditions can engender a more migratory and invasive phenotype persisting for hours up to several generations of cells after they have left the acidic milieu. In the present review, the different variants of pH-dependent single cell migration are described. The underlying pH-dependent molecular mechanisms such as conformational changes of adhesion molecules, matrix protease activity, actin (de-)polymerization, and signaling events are explained, and molecular pH sensors stimulated by H+ signaling are presented.

Estimating the effect of nintedanib on forced vital capacity in children and adolescents with fibrosing interstitial lung disease using a Bayesian dynamic borrowing approach.

BACKGROUND: The rarity of childhood interstitial lung disease (chILD) makes it challenging to conduct powered trials. In the InPedILD trial, among 39 children and adolescents with fibrosing ILD, there was a numerical benefit of nintedanib versus placebo on change in forced vital capacity (FVC) over 24 weeks (difference in mean change in FVC % predicted of 1.21 [95% confidence interval: -3.40, 5.81]). Nintedanib has shown a consistent effect on FVC across populations of adults with different diagnoses of fibrosing ILD. METHODS: In a Bayesian dynamic borrowing analysis, prespecified before data unblinding, we incorporated data on the effect of nintedanib in adults and the data from the InPedILD trial to estimate the effect of nintedanib on FVC in children and adolescents with fibrosing ILD. The data from adults were represented as a meta-analytic predictive (MAP) prior distribution with mean 1.69 (95% credible interval: 0.49, 3.08). The adult data were weighted according to expert judgment on their relevance to the efficacy of nintedanib in chILD, obtained in a formal elicitation exercise. RESULTS: Combined data from the MAP prior and InPedILD trial analyzed within the Bayesian framework resulted in a median difference between nintedanib and placebo in change in FVC % predicted at Week 24 of 1.63 (95% credible interval: -0.69, 3.40). The posterior probability for superiority of nintedanib versus placebo was 95.5%, reaching the predefined success criterion of at least 90%. CONCLUSION: These findings, together with the safety data from the InPedILD trial, support the use of nintedanib in children and adolescents with fibrosing ILDs.

Effects of nintedanib in patients with limited cutaneous systemic sclerosis and interstitial lung disease.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the course of interstitial lung disease (ILD) and the effects of nintedanib in patients with limited cutaneous systemic sclerosis (lcSSc). METHODS: In the SENSCIS trial, patients with SSc-ILD were randomized to receive nintedanib or placebo. Patients who completed the SENSCIS trial were eligible to enter SENSCIS-ON, in which all patients received open-label nintedanib. RESULTS: Among 277 patients with lcSSc treated in the SENSCIS trial, the rate (s.e.) of decline in forced vital capacity (FVC; ml/year) over 52 weeks was -74.5 (19.2) in the placebo group and -49.1 (19.8) in the nintedanib group (difference: 25.3 [95% CI -28.9, 79.6]). Among 249 patients with data at week 52, mean (s.e.) change in FVC at week 52 was -86.4 (21.1) ml in the placebo group and -39.1 (22.2) ml in the nintedanib group. Among 183 patients with lcSSc who participated in SENSCIS-ON and had data at week 52, mean (s.e.) change in FVC from baseline to week 52 of SENSCIS-ON was -41.5 (24.0) ml in patients who took placebo in the SENSCIS trial and initiated nintedanib in SENSCIS-ON and -45.1 (19.1) ml in patients who took nintedanib in the SENSCIS trial and continued it in SENSCIS-ON. CONCLUSION: Patients with lcSSc may develop progressive fibrosing ILD. By targeting pulmonary fibrosis, nintedanib slows decline in lung function in patients with lcSSc and ILD. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov (https://clinicaltrials.gov), NCT02597933 and NCT03313180.

Intraoperative liver deformation and organ motion caused by ventilation, laparotomy, and pneumoperitoneum in a porcine model for image-guided liver surgery.

BACKGROUND: Image-guidance promises to make complex situations in liver interventions safer. Clinical success is limited by intraoperative organ motion due to ventilation and surgical manipulation. The aim was to assess influence of different ventilatory and operative states on liver motion in an experimental model. METHODS: Liver motion due to ventilation (expiration, middle, and full inspiration) and operative state (native, laparotomy, and pneumoperitoneum) was assessed in a live porcine model (n = 10). Computed tomography (CT)-scans were taken for each pig for each possible combination of factors. Liver motion was measured by the vectors between predefined landmarks along the hepatic vein tree between CT scans after image segmentation. RESULTS: Liver position changed significantly with ventilation. Peripheral regions of the liver showed significantly higher motion (maximal Euclidean motion 17.9 ± 2.7 mm) than central regions (maximal Euclidean motion 12.6 ± 2.1 mm, p < 0.001) across all operative states. The total average motion measured 11.6 ± 0.7 mm (p < 0.001). Between the operative states, the position of the liver changed the most from native state to pneumoperitoneum (14.6 ± 0.9 mm, p < 0.001). From native state to laparotomy comparatively, the displacement averaged 9.8 ± 1.2 mm (p < 0.001). With pneumoperitoneum, the breath-dependent liver motion was significantly reduced when compared to other modalities. Liver motion due to ventilation was 7.7 ± 0.6 mm during pneumoperitoneum, 13.9 ± 1.1 mm with laparotomy, and 13.5 ± 1.4 mm in the native state (p < 0.001 in all cases). CONCLUSIONS: Ventilation and application of pneumoperitoneum caused significant changes in liver position. Liver motion was reduced but clearly measurable during pneumoperitoneum. Intraoperative guidance/navigation systems should therefore account for ventilation and intraoperative changes of liver position and peripheral deformation.

Decline in forced vital capacity as a surrogate for mortality in patients with pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Surrogate endpoints enable determination of meaningful treatment effects more efficiently than applying the endpoint of ultimate interest. We used data from trials of nintedanib in subjects with pulmonary fibrosis to assess decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) as a surrogate for mortality. METHODS: Data from the nintedanib and placebo groups of trials in subjects with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, other forms of progressive pulmonary fibrosis, and pulmonary fibrosis due to systemic sclerosis (NCT00514683, NCT01335464, NCT01335477, NCT01979952, NCT02999178, NCT02597933) were pooled. Using joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data, we assessed the association between decline in FVC % predicted and time to death over 52 weeks. The rate of change in FVC % predicted and the current value of FVC % predicted were modelled longitudinally and estimates applied as predictors in time-to-event models. RESULTS: Among 2583 subjects with pulmonary fibrosis, both a greater rate of decline in FVC % predicted and a lower current value of FVC % predicted were associated with an increased risk of death over 52 weeks (HR 1.79 [95% CI: 1.57, 2.03] and HR 1.24 [1.17, 1.32] per 5-percentage point decrease, respectively). Associations between the rate of change in FVC % predicted and the risk of death were consistent between patients with IPF and other ILDs. CONCLUSION: Data from clinical trials in subjects with pulmonary fibrosis of diverse aetiology demonstrate a strong association between decline in FVC % predicted and mortality over 52 weeks, supporting FVC decline as a surrogate for mortality in these patients.

A Bayesian approach to clinical trial designs in dermatology with multiple simultaneous treatments per subject and multiple raters.

We consider the statistical analysis of clinical trial designs with multiple simultaneous treatments per subject and multiple raters. The work is motivated by a clinical research project in dermatology where different hair removal techniques were assessed based on a within-subject comparison. We assume that clinical outcomes are assessed by multiple raters as continuous or categorical scores, e.g. based on images, comparing two treatments on the subject-level in a pairwise manner. In this setting, a network of evidence on relative treatment effects is generated, which bears strong similarities to the data underlying a network meta-analysis of clinical trials. We therefore build on established methodology for complex evidence synthesis and propose a Bayesian approach to estimate relative treatment effects and to rank the treatments. The approach is, in principle, applicable to situations with any number of treatment arms and/or raters. As a major advantage, all available data is brought into a network and analyzed in one single model, which ensures consistent results among the treatment comparisons. We obtain operating characteristics via simulation and illustrate the method with a real clinical trial example.

Effect of nintedanib in patients with systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease and risk factors for rapid progression.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the rate of decline in forced vital capacity (FVC), and the effect of nintedanib on the rate of decline in FVC, in subjects with systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) who had risk factors for rapid decline in FVC. METHODS: The SENSCIS trial enrolled subjects with SSc and fibrotic ILD of ≥10% extent on high-resolution CT. The rate of decline in FVC over 52 weeks was analysed in all subjects and in those with early SSc (<18 months since first non-Raynaud symptom), elevated inflammatory markers (C reactive protein ≥6 mg/L and/or platelets ≥330×109/L) or significant skin fibrosis (modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) 15-40 or mRSS ≥18) at baseline. RESULTS: In the placebo group, the rate of decline in FVC was numerically greater in subjects with <18 months since first non-Raynaud symptom (-167.8 mL/year), elevated inflammatory markers (-100.7 mL/year), mRSS 15-40 (-121.7 mL/year) or mRSS ≥18 (-131.7 mL/year) than in all subjects (-93.3 mL/year). Nintedanib reduced the rate of FVC decline across subgroups, with a numerically greater effect in patients with these risk factors for rapid FVC decline. CONCLUSION: In the SENSCIS trial, subjects with SSc-ILD who had early SSc, elevated inflammatory markers or extensive skin fibrosis had a more rapid decline in FVC over 52 weeks than the overall trial population. Nintedanib had a numerically greater effect in patients with these risk factors for rapid ILD progression.

Extent of fibrosis and lung function decline in patients with systemic sclerosis and interstitial lung disease: data from the SENSCIS trial.

OBJECTIVE: To assess associations between the extent of fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD) and forced vital capacity (FVC) at baseline and change in FVC over 52 weeks in patients with systemic sclerosis-associated ILD (SSc-ILD) in the SENSCIS trial. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We used generalized additive models, which involve few assumptions and allow for interaction between non-linear effects, to assess associations between the extent of fibrotic ILD on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT), and the interplay of extent of fibrotic ILD on HRCT and FVC % predicted, at baseline and FVC decline over 52 weeks. RESULTS: In the placebo group (n = 288), there was weak evidence of a modest association between a greater extent of fibrotic ILD at baseline and a greater decline in FVC % predicted at week 52 [r: -0.09 (95% CI -0.2, 0.03)]. Higher values of both the extent of fibrotic ILD and FVC % predicted at baseline tended to be associated with greater decline in FVC % predicted at week 52. In the nintedanib group (n = 288), there was no evidence of an association between the extent of fibrotic ILD at baseline and decline in FVC % predicted at week 52 [r: 0.01 (95% CI: -0.11, 0.12)] or between the interplay of extent of fibrotic ILD and FVC % predicted at baseline and decline in FVC % predicted at week 52. CONCLUSIONS: Data from the SENSCIS trial suggest that patients with SSc-ILD are at risk of ILD progression and benefit from nintedanib largely irrespective of their extent of fibrotic ILD at baseline. STUDY REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, https://clinicaltrials.gov, NCT02597933.

The ACE Inhibitor Lisinopril Stimulates Melanoma Cell Invasiveness by Inducing MMP2 Secretion.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Hypertension is treated primarily with angiotensin II (ATII) receptor blockers (ARBs) and angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors (ACEIs). Both ATII and ACEIs can trigger signal transduction via ACE, and a possible correlation between ARB/ACEI therapy and an increased risk of cancer is highly controversial. The question of whether or not ACE as a potential signal transducer affects human melanoma (MV3) cell behavior prompted the present study. METHODS: Expression of ACE, ATII receptor types 1, 2 (AT1R, AT2R), COX2 and MMP2 in MV3 cells was examined by qPCR. AT1R, AT2R and ACE were inhibited with losartan, EMA401 and lisinopril, respectively. Adhesion, migration and invasiveness of MV3 cells seeded on a hepatocyte (Huh7) monolayer or a reconstituted collagen type I matrix were analyzed using video microscopy and Boyden chambers. Integrity of the Huh7 cell layer was confirmed by measuring transepithelial electrical resistance (TEER). ERK1/2 phosphorylation and MMP2 secretion were evaluated by Western blotting. MMP2 activity was inhibited with ARP-100. RESULTS: Losartan, EMA401 and lisinopril stimulated MV3 melanoma cell migration and invasion in a coculture model with Huh7 cells while leaving proliferation and adhesion largely unaffected. The drugs did not interfere with TEER of the hepatocyte monolayer nor with MV3 cell proliferation, but tended to increase the phosphorylation of ERK1/2 and the expression of both COX2 and MMP2. Lisinopril caused a significant increase in MV3 cells' MMP2 secretion and an accelerated MV3 cell-mediated TEER breakdown. The MMP2 inhibitor ARP-100 could antagonize the lisinopril-stimulated invasion of the hepatocyte layer. CONCLUSION: Lisinopril stimulates MV3 cell invasion by increasing the expression and secretion of MMP2.

Decline in forced vital capacity in subjects with systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease in the SENSCIS trial compared with healthy reference subjects.

BACKGROUND: The forced vital capacity (FVC) of healthy individuals depends on their age, sex, ethnicity and height. Systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) is characterised by loss of FVC. We compared FVC values in the subjects with SSc-ILD in the SENSCIS trial of nintedanib versus placebo with values from hypothetical matched healthy references. METHODS: The SENSCIS trial enrolled subjects with SSc with first non-Raynaud symptom in the prior ≤ 7 years, extent of fibrotic ILD on HRCT ≥ 10%, and FVC ≥ 40% predicted. FVC at baseline and decline in FVC over 52 weeks were compared with FVC values in hypothetical healthy reference subjects matched 1:1 to the subjects in the trial for age, sex, ethnicity and height, determined using equations published by the European Respiratory Society Global Lung Function Initiative. RESULTS: At baseline, mean (SD) FVC was 2460 (737) mL in the nintedanib group (n = 287) compared with 3403 (787) mL in the hypothetical matched healthy references. Mean (SD) FVC was 2544 (817) mL in the placebo group (n = 286) compared with 3516 (887) mL in the hypothetical matched healthy references. Mean (SE) changes in FVC at week 52, i.e., age-related loss of lung function, in the hypothetical healthy references matched to the nintedanib and placebo groups, respectively, were - 26.3 (0.5) mL and - 25.8 (0.5) mL. The difference in the change in FVC at week 52 between the nintedanib group and the hypothetical healthy references was 26.6 mL (95% CI: 1.2, 52.0; p = 0.04). The difference in the change in FVC at week 52 between the placebo group and the hypothetical healthy references was 77.5 mL (95% CI: 51.4, 103.7; p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Subjects with SSc-ILD in the SENSCIS trial had impaired lung function at baseline and experienced further deterioration over 52 weeks. The decline in FVC in the placebo group was four-fold greater than in a hypothetical group of matched healthy references, whereas the decline in FVC in patients who received nintedanib was two-fold greater than in hypothetical healthy references. These data highlight the clinical relevance of the slowing of FVC decline provided by nintedanib. Trial registration Registered 5 November 2015, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02597933 .

The Role of Plasma Membrane Sodium/Hydrogen Exchangers in Gastrointestinal Functions: Proliferation and Differentiation, Fluid/Electrolyte Transport and Barrier Integrity.

The five plasma membrane Na+/H+ exchanger (NHE) isoforms in the gastrointestinal tract are characterized by distinct cellular localization, tissue distribution, inhibitor sensitivities, and physiological regulation. NHE1 (Slc9a1) is ubiquitously expressed along the gastrointestinal tract in the basolateral membrane of enterocytes, but so far, an exclusive role for NHE1 in enterocyte physiology has remained elusive. NHE2 (Slc9a2) and NHE8 (Slc9a8) are apically expressed isoforms with ubiquitous distribution along the colonic crypt axis. They are involved in pHi regulation of intestinal epithelial cells. Combined use of a knockout mouse model, intestinal organoid technology, and specific inhibitors revealed previously unrecognized actions of NHE2 and NHE8 in enterocyte proliferation and differentiation. NHE3 (Slc9a3), expressed in the apical membrane of differentiated intestinal epithelial cells, functions as the predominant nutrient-independent Na+ absorptive mechanism in the gut. The new selective NHE3 inhibitor (Tenapanor) allowed discovery of novel pathophysiological and drug-targetable NHE3 functions in cystic-fibrosis associated intestinal obstructions. NHE4, expressed in the basolateral membrane of parietal cells, is essential for parietal cell integrity and acid secretory function, through its role in cell volume regulation. This review focuses on the expression, regulation and activity of the five plasma membrane Na+/H+ exchangers in the gastrointestinal tract, emphasizing their role in maintaining intestinal homeostasis, or their impact on disease pathogenesis. We point to major open questions in identifying NHE interacting partners in central cellular pathways and processes and the necessity of determining their physiological role in a system where their endogenous expression/activity is maintained, such as organoids derived from different parts of the gastrointestinal tract.

Circulating Tumor Cells: Does Ion Transport Contribute to Intravascular Survival, Adhesion, Extravasation, and Metastatic Organotropism?

Survival in the circulation, extravasation from vasculature, and colonizing new tissues represent major steps of the metastatic cascade and pose a big challenge for metastasizing tumor cells. Tumor cells circulating in blood and lymph vessels need to overcome anoikis, cope with mechanical stimuli including shear stress, and defeat attacks by the immune system. Once adhered to the vessel wall, a circulating tumor cell (CTC) can trick the endothelial cells into loosening their intercellular junctions so that the endothelium becomes penetrable for the tumor cell. Since tumor cells tend to metastasize to predestinated target organs and tissues, called organotropism, the distribution of metastases is anything but random. The molecular-physiological mechanisms underlying CTC survival, extravasation, and organotropism are very likely to include the presence and activity of ion channels/transporters due to the latter's key function in cytophysiological processes. To date, a very limited number of studies explicitly show the involvement of ion transport. This review describes the contribution of ion channels and transporters to CTC survival, extravasation, and organotropism where known and possible. In addition, supposed connections between ion transport and CTC behavior are demonstrated and imply the potential to be therapeutically taken advantage of.

Impact of lung function decline on time to hospitalisation events in systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD): a joint model analysis.

BACKGROUND: Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a common organ manifestation in systemic sclerosis (SSc) and is the leading cause of death in patients with SSc. A decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) is an indicator of ILD progression and is associated with mortality in patients with SSc-associated ILD (SSc-ILD). However, the relationship between FVC decline and hospitalisation events in patients with SSc-ILD is largely unknown. The objective of this post hoc analysis was to investigate the relationship between FVC decline and clinically important hospitalisation endpoints. METHODS: We used data from SENSCIS®, a phase III trial investigating the efficacy and safety of nintedanib in patients with SSc-ILD. Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data were used to assess the association between rate of decline in FVC% predicted and hospitalisation-related endpoints (including time to first all-cause hospitalisation or death; time to first SSc-related hospitalisation or death; and time to first admission to an emergency room [ER] or admission to hospital followed by admission to intensive care unit [ICU] or death) during the treatment period, over 52 weeks in patients with SSc-ILD. RESULTS: There was a statistically significant association between FVC decline and the risk of all-cause (n = 78) and SSc-related (n = 42) hospitalisations or death (both P < 0.0001). A decrease of 3% in FVC corresponded to a 1.43-fold increase in risk of all-cause hospitalisation or death (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.24, 1.65) and a 1.48-fold increase in risk of SSc-related hospitalisation or death (95% CI 1.23, 1.77). No statistically significant association was observed between FVC decline and admission to ER or to hospital followed by admission to ICU or death (n = 75; P = 0.15). The estimated slope difference for nintedanib versus placebo in the longitudinal sub-model was consistent with the primary analysis in SENSCIS®. CONCLUSIONS: The association of lung function decline with an increased risk of hospitalisation suggests that slowing FVC decline in patients with SSc-ILD may prevent hospitalisations. Our findings also provide evidence that FVC decline may serve as a surrogate endpoint for clinically relevant hospitalisation-associated endpoints. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02597933 . Registered on 8 October 2015.

Socioeconomic deprivation is inversely associated with measles incidence: a longitudinal small-area analysis, Germany, 2001 to 2017.

BackgroundAlthough measles is endemic throughout the World Health Organization European Region, few studies have analysed socioeconomic inequalities and spatiotemporal variations in the disease's incidence.AimTo study the association between socioeconomic deprivation and measles incidence in Germany, while considering relevant demographic, spatial and temporal factors.MethodsWe conducted a longitudinal small-area analysis using nationally representative linked data in 401 districts (2001-2017). We used spatiotemporal Bayesian regression models to assess the potential effect of area deprivation on measles incidence, adjusted for demographic and geographical factors, as well as spatial and temporal effects. We estimated risk ratios (RR) for deprivation quintiles (Q1-Q5), and district-specific adjusted relative risks (ARR) to assess the area-level risk profile of measles in Germany.ResultsThe risk of measles incidence in areas with lowest deprivation quintile (Q1) was 1.58 times higher (95% credible interval (CrI): 1.32-2.00) than in those with highest deprivation (Q5). Areas with medium-low (Q2), medium (Q3) and medium-high deprivation (Q4) had higher adjusted risks of measles relative to areas with highest deprivation (Q5) (RR: 1.23, 95%CrI: 0.99-1.51; 1.05, 95%CrI: 0.87-1.26 and 1.23, 95%CrI: 1.05-1.43, respectively). We identified 54 districts at medium-high risk for measles (ARR > 2) in Germany, of which 22 were at high risk (ARR > 3).ConclusionSocioeconomic deprivation in Germany, one of Europe's most populated countries, is inversely associated with measles incidence. This association persists after demographic and spatiotemporal factors are considered. The social, spatial and temporal patterns of elevated risk require targeted public health action and policy to address the complexity underlying measles epidemiology.

Methods of spatial cluster detection in rare childhood cancers: Benchmarking data and results from a simulation study on nephroblastoma.

The potential existence of spatial clusters in childhood cancer incidence is a debated topic. Identification of rare disease clusters in general may help to better understand disease etiology and develop preventive strategies against such entities. The incidence of newly diagnosed childhood malignancies under 15 years of age is 140/1,000,000. In this context, the subgroup of nephroblastoma represents an extremely rare entity with an annual incidence of 7/1,000,000. We evaluated widely used statistical approaches for spatial cluster detection in childhood cancer (Ref. Schündeln et al., 2021, Cancer Epidemiology). For the simulation study, random high risk clusters of 1 to 50 adjacent districts (NUTS-level 3, nomenclature des unités territoriales statistiques) were generated on the basis of the 402 German administrative districts. Each cluster was simulated with different relative risk levels (1 to 100). For each combination of cluster size and risk level 2000 iterations were performed. Simulated data was then analyzed by three local clustering tests: Besag-Newell method, spatial scan statistic and the Bayesian Besag-York-Mollié approach (fit by Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation). The performance characteristics of all three methods were systematically documented (sensitivity, specificity, positive/negative predictive values, exact- and minimum power, correct classification, positive/negative diagnostic likelihood and false positive/negative rate). This data article links to a Mendeley online repository which includes the raw data of simulated high-risk clusters and simulated cases on the district level for an all-childhood-malignancy scenario as well as for cases of nephroblastoma. These data was used for the evaluation of the three cluster detection methods. The R code for simulation and analysis are available from GitHub. The article also includes analyzed data summarizing the performance of the cluster detection tests in very rare disease entities, using the example of simulated nephroblastoma cases. The raw data from the study can be used for benchmarking analyses applying different spatial statistical methods systematically and evaluating their performance characteristics comparatively. The analyzed data from the nephroblastoma example can be useful to interpret the performance of the three applied local cluster detection tests in the setting of extremely rare disease entities. As a practical application, data and R code can be used for performance analyses when planning to establish surveillance systems for rare disease entities.

Effects of laparoscopy, laparotomy, and respiratory phase on liver volume in a live porcine model for liver resection.

BACKGROUND: Hepatectomy, living donor liver transplantations and other major hepatic interventions rely on precise calculation of the total, remnant and graft liver volume. However, liver volume might differ between the pre- and intraoperative situation. To model liver volume changes and develop and validate such pre- and intraoperative assistance systems, exact information about the influence of lung ventilation and intraoperative surgical state on liver volume is essential. METHODS: This study assessed the effects of respiratory phase, pneumoperitoneum for laparoscopy, and laparotomy on liver volume in a live porcine model. Nine CT scans were conducted per pig (N = 10), each for all possible combinations of the three operative (native, pneumoperitoneum and laparotomy) and respiratory states (expiration, middle inspiration and deep inspiration). Manual segmentations of the liver were generated and converted to a mesh model, and the corresponding liver volumes were calculated. RESULTS: With pneumoperitoneum the liver volume decreased on average by 13.2% (112.7 ml ± 63.8 ml, p < 0.0001) and after laparotomy by 7.3% (62.0 ml ± 65.7 ml, p = 0.0001) compared to native state. From expiration to middle inspiration the liver volume increased on average by 4.1% (31.1 ml ± 55.8 ml, p = 0.166) and from expiration to deep inspiration by 7.2% (54.7 ml ± 51.8 ml, p = 0.007). CONCLUSIONS: Considerable changes in liver volume change were caused by pneumoperitoneum, laparotomy and respiration. These findings provide knowledge for the refinement of available preoperative simulation and operation planning and help to adjust preoperative imaging parameters to best suit the intraoperative situation.