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1.
N Engl J Med ; 390(13): 1163-1175, 2024 Apr 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38598571

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Trials evaluating the omission of completion axillary-lymph-node dissection in patients with clinically node-negative breast cancer and sentinel-lymph-node metastases have been compromised by limited statistical power, uncertain nodal radiotherapy target volumes, and a scarcity of data on relevant clinical subgroups. METHODS: We conducted a noninferiority trial in which patients with clinically node-negative primary T1 to T3 breast cancer (tumor size, T1, ≤20 mm; T2, 21 to 50 mm; and T3, >50 mm in the largest dimension) with one or two sentinel-node macrometastases (metastasis size, >2 mm in the largest dimension) were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to completion axillary-lymph-node dissection or its omission (sentinel-node biopsy only). Adjuvant treatment and radiation therapy were used in accordance with national guidelines. The primary end point was overall survival. We report here the per-protocol and modified intention-to-treat analyses of the prespecified secondary end point of recurrence-free survival. To show noninferiority of sentinel-node biopsy only, the upper boundary of the confidence interval for the hazard ratio for recurrence or death had to be below 1.44. RESULTS: Between January 2015 and December 2021, a total of 2766 patients were enrolled across five countries. The per-protocol population included 2540 patients, of whom 1335 were assigned to undergo sentinel-node biopsy only and 1205 to undergo completion axillary-lymph-node dissection (dissection group). Radiation therapy including nodal target volumes was administered to 1192 of 1326 patients (89.9%) in the sentinel-node biopsy-only group and to 1058 of 1197 (88.4%) in the dissection group. The median follow-up was 46.8 months (range, 1.5 to 94.5). Overall, 191 patients had recurrence or died. The estimated 5-year recurrence-free survival was 89.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 87.5 to 91.9) in the sentinel-node biopsy-only group and 88.7% (95% CI, 86.3 to 91.1) in the dissection group, with a country-adjusted hazard ratio for recurrence or death of 0.89 (95% CI, 0.66 to 1.19), which was significantly (P<0.001) below the prespecified noninferiority margin. CONCLUSIONS: The omission of completion axillary-lymph-node dissection was noninferior to the more extensive surgery in patients with clinically node-negative breast cancer who had sentinel-node macrometastases, most of whom received nodal radiation therapy. (Funded by the Swedish Research Council and others; SENOMAC ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02240472.).


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Lymph Node Excision , Lymphadenopathy , Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy , Sentinel Lymph Node , Female , Humans , Axilla , Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Breast Neoplasms/secondary , Breast Neoplasms/therapy , Disease-Free Survival , Lymph Node Excision/methods , Lymph Nodes/pathology , Lymph Nodes/surgery , Lymphadenopathy/pathology , Lymphadenopathy/radiotherapy , Lymphadenopathy/surgery , Sentinel Lymph Node/pathology , Sentinel Lymph Node/surgery , Combined Modality Therapy , Follow-Up Studies
2.
Br J Surg ; 110(3): 344-352, 2023 02 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36511352

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Mastectomy rates in breast cancer are higher in older patients. The aim was to compare postoperative complication rates after breast-conserving surgery (BCS) to mastectomy in women aged 70-79 and older than 80 years versus those aged 50-69 years, and to evaluate survival effects. METHODS: This population-based cohort included women aged 50 years and older with invasive breast cancer T1-3 N0-3 M0 operated on in Sweden 2008-2017. Major surgical and medical 30-day postoperative complications were assessed in adjusted logistic regression models. Overall survival was assessed in Cox models adjusted for clinical confounders, socio-economics, and comorbidity. RESULTS: Of 34 139 women, 8372 (24.5 per cent) were aged 70-79 years, 3928 (11.5 per cent) were 80 years of age or older, and 21 839 (64.0 per cent) were aged 50-69 years. Major surgical postoperative complications did not differ between age groups receiving equivalent surgery (BCS: 2.1 per cent and 2.0 per cent versus 2.1 per cent (P = 0.90); mastectomy: 4.6 per cent and 5.1 per cent versus 4.6 per cent (P = 0.49)). Major medical postoperative complications were higher in women aged >70 years than in women aged 50-69 years (BCS: 1.0 per cent and 2.3 per cent versus 0.4 per cent (P < 0.001); mastectomy: 3.1 per cent and 6.2 per cent versus 1.1 per cent (P < 0.001)), which persisted after adjustments. In women treated by mastectomy, major medical and surgical postoperative complications were associated with worse overall survival in all but the middle age group. CONCLUSION: Mastectomy has higher medical and surgical postoperative complication rates than BCS. Major medical postoperative complications increase significantly with age. Major postoperative complications are associated with worse survival after mastectomy, which should be used with caution in older women.


In breast cancer, either a bit of the breast or the whole breast is removed. Older women more often have their whole breast removed. Such larger surgery may have a higher risk of complications. Complications after surgery can lower the chances of survival. The aim of this project was to find out whether older age comes with more complications after breast surgery. The authors also wanted to know whether this has an effect on survival. This work used information on women aged 50 years and older operated on for breast cancer in Sweden from 2008 to 2017. Major surgical and medical complications after breast surgery were compared in three different age groups. In addition, death of any cause was analysed. Of 34 139 women, 8372 were 70­79 years old and 3928 were aged 80 years or older. These older women were compared to 21 839 women who were 50­69 years old. Major surgical complications did not increase with age. However, medical complications were more common in older women. Removing the whole breast gave more complications than removing only part of the breast. In women aged 80 years or older who had their whole breast removed, complications after surgery increased the risk of death. This was true even when considering how severe the cancer was, how it was treated, and also what kind of socio-economic background and afflictions other than breast cancer the women had. Therefore, removal of the whole breast should be done with caution in older women.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Middle Aged , Female , Humans , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Breast Neoplasms/surgery , Mastectomy/adverse effects , Sweden/epidemiology , Mastectomy, Segmental/adverse effects , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Postoperative Complications/surgery
3.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 22(1): 290, 2022 11 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36352351

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There are situations when we need to model multiple time-scales in survival analysis. A usual approach in this setting would involve fitting Cox or Poisson models to a time-split dataset. However, this leads to large datasets and can be computationally intensive when model fitting, especially if interest lies in displaying how the estimated hazard rate or survival change along multiple time-scales continuously. METHODS: We propose to use flexible parametric survival models on the log hazard scale as an alternative method when modelling data with multiple time-scales. By choosing one of the time-scales as reference, and rewriting other time-scales as a function of this reference time-scale, users can avoid time-splitting of the data. RESULT: Through case-studies we demonstrate the usefulness of this method and provide examples of graphical representations of estimated hazard rates and survival proportions. The model gives nearly identical results to using a Poisson model, without requiring time-splitting. CONCLUSION: Flexible parametric survival models are a powerful tool for modelling multiple time-scales. This method does not require splitting the data into small time-intervals, and therefore saves time, helps avoid technological limitations and reduces room for error.


Subject(s)
Models, Statistical , Humans , Survival Analysis , Time Factors , Proportional Hazards Models
4.
Br J Surg ; 109(10): 977-983, 2022 09 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35929050

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Postoperative complications may activate prometastatic systemic pathways through tissue damage, wound healing, infection, and inflammation. Postoperative complications are associated with inferior survival in several types of cancer. The aim was to determine the association between postoperative complications and survival in breast cancer. METHODS: This population-based cohort included women operated for T1-3 N0-3 M0 invasive breast cancer in Sweden from 2008 to 2017. Only major surgical postoperative complications leading to readmission and/or reoperation within 30 days were considered. Main outcomes were overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS). Prospectively collected nationwide register data were used. Multivariable Cox models were adjusted for clinical and socioeconomic confounders and co-morbidity. RESULTS: Among 57 152 women, major surgical postoperative complications were registered for 1854 patients. Median follow-up was 6.22 (0.09-11.70) years. Overall, 9163 patients died, and 3472 died from breast cancer. Major surgical postoperative complications were more common after mastectomy with or without immediate reconstruction (7.3 and 4.3 per cent respectively) than after breast-conserving surgery (2.3 per cent). Unadjusted 5-year OS and BCSS rates were 82.6 (95 per cent c.i. 80.8 to 84.5) and 92.1 (90.8 to 93.5) per cent respectively for women with a major surgical postoperative complication, and 88.8 (88.6 to 89.1) and 95.0 (94.8 to 95.2) per cent for those without a complication (P < 0.001). After adjustment, all-cause and breast cancer mortality rates remained higher after a major surgical postoperative complication (OS: HR 1.32, 95 per cent c.i. 1.15 to 1.51; BCSS: HR 1.31, 1.04 to 1.65). After stratification for type of breast surgery, this association remained significant only for women who had mastectomy without reconstruction (OS: HR 1.41, 1.20 to 1.66; BCSS: HR 1.36, 1.03 to 1.79). CONCLUSION: Major surgical postoperative complications are associated with inferior survival, especially after mastectomy. These results underline the importance of surgical de-escalation.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Female , Humans , Mastectomy/methods , Mastectomy, Segmental/methods , Postoperative Complications/surgery , Sweden/epidemiology
5.
Vaccine ; 40(27): 3797-3801, 2022 06 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35610103

ABSTRACT

Repurposing of existing drugs and vaccines for diseases that they were not originally intended for is a promising research field. Recently there has been evidence that oral cholera vaccine might be used in the treatment of inflammatory disease and some common cancers. Specifically, Ji et al showed that the administration of cholera vaccine after a prostate cancer diagnosis reduced prostate cancer specific mortality rates by almost 50%. In a cohort of men from Stockholm, Sweden, with more detailed cancer data and a higher coverage of exposure to vaccine, we replicated these findings using a marginal structural Cox model. We showed that administration of cholera vaccine after prostate cancer diagnosis is associated with a significant reduction in mortality (HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.31-0.69, p-value 0.0001) even after adjusting for all known confounders. However, the same effect (or even stronger) could be seen for several other traveling vaccines and malaria prophylaxis. Therefore, we conclude that this effect is most likely due to a healthy traveler bias and is an example of residual confounding.


Subject(s)
Cholera Vaccines , Cholera , Prostatic Neoplasms , Administration, Oral , Cholera/prevention & control , Cohort Studies , Disease Progression , Humans , Male , Sweden/epidemiology , Travel
7.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 12579, 2021 06 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34131261

ABSTRACT

The association between type 2 diabetes (T2D) and ischemic heart disease (IHD) is well established but the potential causal association needs further studying. In an attempt to elucidate the causal effect of T2D on IHD, we used three different analytical approaches in two different datasets. A well-defined cohort of 6047 women aged 50-59 years were included at baseline (1995 to 2000) and followed until 2015 for IHD. The median follow-up was 16.3 years. We used a Marginal Structural Cox model (MSM Cox) to account for time-varying exposure (time at onset of T2D) and for ten confounders (using inverse probability weighting, IPW). We also compared the MSM-Cox models with traditional Cox regression modelling in the cohort. Finally, we analyzed information on individuals from Swedish population-based registers with national coverage in a comprehensive co-relative design and extrapolated the results to MZ twins. The Hazard Ratio (HR) for IHD in relation to T2D at baseline and T2D occurring during the follow-up in the MSM Cox model weighted by IPW (based on the ten included confounders) was 1.43 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-1.92). The corresponding HR from the traditional Cox regression model was of similar effect size. The average extrapolated MZ twin estimate from our co-relative model was 1.61 (95% CI 1.48-1.86). Our findings, based on a triangular approach, support the existence of a causal association between T2D and IHD and that preventive long-term measures in order to avoid or postpone IHD should include monitoring and treatment of both the T2D itself as well as other cardiovascular risk factors.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Myocardial Ischemia/epidemiology , Proportional Hazards Models , Age Factors , Body Mass Index , Cholesterol/blood , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/blood , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/pathology , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , Myocardial Ischemia/blood , Myocardial Ischemia/complications , Myocardial Ischemia/pathology , Risk Factors
8.
JAMA Surg ; 156(7): 628-637, 2021 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33950173

ABSTRACT

Importance: Cohort studies show better survival after breast-conserving surgery (BCS) with postoperative radiotherapy (RT) than after mastectomy (Mx) without RT. It remains unclear whether this is an independent effect or a consequence of selection bias. Objective: To determine whether the reported survival benefit of breast conservation is eliminated by adjustment for 2 pivotal confounders, comorbidity and socioeconomic status. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cohort study using prospectively collected national data. Swedish public health care; nationwide clinical data from the National Breast Cancer Quality Register, comorbidity data from Patient Registers at the National Board of Health and Welfare, and individual-level education and income data from Statistics Sweden. The cohort included all women diagnosed as having primary invasive T1-2 N0-2 breast cancer and undergoing breast surgery in Sweden from 2008 to 2017. Data were analyzed between August 19, 2020, and November 12, 2020. Exposures: Locoregional treatment comparing 3 groups: breast-conserving surgery with radiotherapy (BCS+RT), mastectomy without radiotherapy (Mx-RT), and mastectomy with radiotherapy (Mx+RT). Main Outcomes and Measures: Overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS). Main outcomes were determined before initiation of data retrieval. Results: Among 48 986 women, 29 367 (59.9%) had BCS+RT, 12413 (25.3%) had Mx-RT, and 7206 (14.7%) had Mx+RT. Median follow-up was 6.28 years (range, 0.01-11.70). All-cause death occurred in 6573 cases, with death caused by breast cancer in 2313 cases; 5-year OS was 91.1% (95% CI, 90.8-91.3) and BCSS was 96.3% (95% CI, 96.1-96.4). Apart from expected differences in clinical parameters, women receiving Mx-RT were older, had a lower level of education, and lower income. Both Mx groups had a higher comorbidity burden irrespective of RT. After stepwise adjustment for all covariates, OS and BCSS were significantly worse after Mx-RT (hazard ratio [HR], 1.79; 95% CI, 1.66-1.92 and HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.45-1.90, respectively) and Mx+RT (HR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.13-1.37 and HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.08-1.46, respectively) than after BCS+RT. Conclusions and Relevance: Despite adjustment for previously unmeasured confounders, BCS+RT yielded better survival than Mx irrespective of RT. If both interventions are valid options, mastectomy should not be regarded as equal to breast conservation.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Breast Neoplasms/therapy , Mastectomy , Adult , Aged , Breast Neoplasms/complications , Comorbidity , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Middle Aged , Radiotherapy, Adjuvant , Social Class , Survival Rate , Sweden
9.
Front Neurol ; 11: 828, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32982905

ABSTRACT

The pathophysiology of myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS) is unknown. In this study, we test the hypothesis that hypermobility, signs of intracranial hypertension (IH), and craniocervical obstructions may be overrepresented in patients with ME/CFS and thereby explain many of the symptoms. Our study is a retrospective, cross-sectional study, performed at a specialist clinic for referred patients with severe ME/CFS as defined by the Canada Consensus Criteria. The first 272 patients with ME/CFS were invited to participate, and 229 who provided prompt informed consent were included. Hypermobility was assessed using the Beighton Score. IH was assessed indirectly by the quotient of the optic nerve sheet diameter (ONSD)/eyeball transverse diameter on both sides as measured on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the brain. We also included assessment of cerebellar tonsil position in relation to the McRae line, indicating foramen magnum. Craniocervical obstructions were assessed on MRI of the cervical spine. Allodynia was assessed by quantitative sensory testing (QST) for pain in the 18 areas indicative of fibromyalgia syndrome (FMS). A total of 190 women, mean age 45 years, and 39 males, mean age 44 years, were included. Hypermobility was identified in 115 (50%) participants. MRI of the brain was performed on 205 participants of whom 112 (55%) had an increased ONSD and 171 (83%) had signs of possible IH, including 65 (32%) who had values indicating more severe states of IH. Cerebellar tonsils protruding under the McRae line into the foramen magnum were identified in 115 (56%) of the participants. MRI of the cervical spine was performed on 125 participants of whom 100 (80%) had craniocervical obstructions. Pain at harmless pressure, allodynia, was found in 96% of the participants, and FMS was present in 173 participants or 76%. Compared to a general population, we found a large overrepresentation of hypermobility, signs of IH, and craniocervical obstructions. Our hypothesis was strengthened for future studies on the possible relation between ME/CFS symptoms and hypermobility, IH, and craniocervical obstructions in a portion of patients with ME/CFS. If our findings are confirmed, new diagnostic and therapeutic approaches to this widespread neurological syndrome should be considered.

10.
Tuberculosis (Edinb) ; 123: 101959, 2020 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32741535

ABSTRACT

Interferon-γ release assays cannot differentiate latent from active tuberculosis (TB), nor identify the recently infected with increased risk of active disease. The objective of this study was to identify biomarkers of recent infection following exposure to tuberculosis, to increase the positive predictive value for incipient TB. Contacts to patients with pulmonary TB were tested repeatedly with interferon-γ release assays and flow-cytometry. Proliferative CD4+ T cell responses to purified protein derivative (PPD) and 11 M. tuberculosis antigens were analysed. The individual probability of recent and remote infection was estimated using clinical data in a novel mathematical model and compared with CD4+ responses in a prediction model. The most specific prediction of recent infection was high CD4+ proliferative responses to CFP-10 and PPD and a low CD4+ response to ESAT-6. CD4+ proliferative responses to Rec85a, Rec85b and Rv1284 were also observed in recent infection, but did not reach significance in the prediction model. CONCLUSIONS: High CD4+ proliferative responses to CFP-10 and PPD and a low response to ESAT-6 may be used as biomarkers to improve positive predictive values for recent LTBI and thus, increased risk of incipient TB. Rec85a, Rec85b and Rv1284 are also of interest to study further in this context.


Subject(s)
Bacterial Proteins/immunology , CD4-Positive T-Lymphocytes/immunology , Cell Proliferation , Latent Tuberculosis/immunology , Lymphocyte Activation , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/immunology , Tuberculin/immunology , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/immunology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Antigens, Bacterial/immunology , CD4-Positive T-Lymphocytes/metabolism , CD4-Positive T-Lymphocytes/microbiology , Case-Control Studies , Cells, Cultured , Disease Progression , Female , Host-Pathogen Interactions , Humans , Interferon-gamma/metabolism , Interferon-gamma Release Tests , Latent Tuberculosis/metabolism , Latent Tuberculosis/microbiology , Male , Middle Aged , Models, Immunological , Predictive Value of Tests , Prospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/metabolism , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/microbiology , Young Adult
11.
BMC Fam Pract ; 21(1): 20, 2020 01 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31996137

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patient safety issues in primary health care and in emergency departments have not been as thoroughly explored as patient safety issues in the hospital setting. Knowledge is particularly sparse regarding which patients have a higher risk of harm in these settings. The objective was to evaluate which patient-related factors were associated with risk of harm in patients with reports of safety incidents. METHODS: A case-control study performed in primary health care and emergency departments in Sweden. In total, 4536 patients (cases) and 44,949 controls were included in this study. Cases included patients with reported preventable harm in primary health care and emergency departments from January 1st, 2011 until December 31st, 2016. RESULTS: Psychiatric disease, including all psychiatric diagnoses regardless of severity, nearly doubled the risk of being a reported case of preventable harm (odds ratio, 1.96; p < 0.001). Adjusted for income and education there was still an increased risk (odds ratio, 1.69; p < 0.001). The preventable harm in this group was to 46% diagnostic errors of somatic disease. CONCLUSION: Patients with psychiatric illness are at higher risk of preventable harm in primary care and the emergency department. Therefore, this group needs extra attention to prevent harm.


Subject(s)
Diagnostic Errors/statistics & numerical data , Emergency Service, Hospital , Mental Disorders/epidemiology , Patient Harm/statistics & numerical data , Primary Health Care , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Case-Control Studies , Child , Child, Preschool , Educational Status , Emigrants and Immigrants/statistics & numerical data , Female , Humans , Income/statistics & numerical data , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Medication Errors/statistics & numerical data , Middle Aged , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Patient Harm/prevention & control , Risk Factors , Suicide/statistics & numerical data , Sweden/epidemiology , Young Adult
12.
Breast Cancer Res Treat ; 172(3): 703-712, 2018 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30225620

ABSTRACT

RATIONALE: Survival after loco-regional failure (LRF) of breast cancer was investigated at the population level. METHODS: Using the Stockholm cancer registry, 2698 patients diagnosed with LRF between 1980 and 2014 were identified and divided into three cohorts by year of LRF diagnosis. Post-relapse event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed separately in local and loco-regional relapses and compared across the cohorts by Kaplan-Meier method. Relative survival was estimated and Poisson regression models, adjusted for clinically relevant prognostic factors, were fitted for excess mortality ratio calculation. Age-related survival trends were also explored. RESULTS: Among 1922 patients diagnosed with local relapse, 1032 (54%) EFS events and 931 (48%) deaths were registered. A significant improvement in EFS (p < 0.001) and OS (p < 0.001) was demonstrated in tumors that recurred locally in the years 1990-1999 and 2000-2014 compared with 1980-1989, regardless of age at relapse (≤ 60 years; > 60 years). In women with loco-regional relapse, 557 out of 776 (72%) experienced a post-relapse event and 522 (67%) died. Significantly longer EFS and OS were seen over time in the whole group (p < 0.001 and p = 0.003, respectively) and in younger (p < 0.001; p < 0.001) but not in older women (p = 0.55; p = 0.80). Relative survival was consistent with OS and a statistically significant decrease in mortality after loco-regional recurrence over time was seen only in women aged ≤ 60 years. CONCLUSIONS: Survival after loco-regional failure of breast cancer has improved over time, especially in younger women.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/mortality , Adult , Age Factors , Aged , Female , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Registries
13.
Prostate ; 77(8): 900-907, 2017 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28247425

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is a strong genetic component in prostate cancer development with an estimated heritability of 58%. In addition, recent epidemiological assessments show a familial component in prostate cancer-specific survival, which could be due to either common genetics or environment. In this study we sought to estimate the heritability of prostate cancer-specific survival by studying brothers and father-son pairs in Sweden. METHODS: We used linkage records from three Swedish national registers: the Multi-Generation Register, the Cancer Register, and the Cause of Death Register. One thousand seven hundred twenty-eight brother pairs and 6,444 father-son pairs, where both family members were diagnosed with prostate cancer, were followed for prostate cancer mortality. By assuming that (i) brothers on average share 50% of their segregating alleles and 100% environment and (ii) fathers and sons share 50% of their segregating alleles and no environment, we implemented a model including influences of additive genetics (heritability), shared environment and non-shared environment for survival data. A conditional likelihood estimation procedure was developed to fit the model. Data simulation was applied to validate model assumptions. RESULTS: In a model that adjusted for age at diagnosis and calendar period, the estimated heritability of prostate cancer-specific survival was 0.10 (95% CI = 0.00-0.20) that was borderline significantly different from zero (P = 0.057). The shared environment component was not significantly different from zero with a point estimate of 0.00 (95% CI = 0.00-0.13). Simulation studies and sensitivity analysis revealed that the estimated heritability component was robust, whereas the shared environmental component may be underestimated. CONCLUSIONS: Heritability of prostate cancer-specific survival is considerably lower than for prostate cancer incidence. This supports a hypothesis that susceptibility of disease and progression of disease are separate mechanisms that involve different genes. Further assessment of the genetic basis of prostate cancer-specific survival is warranted. Prostate 77:900-907, 2017. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.


Subject(s)
Disease Progression , Disease Susceptibility/epidemiology , Inheritance Patterns , Prostatic Neoplasms , Adult , Aged , Family , Gene-Environment Interaction , Humans , Incidence , Likelihood Functions , Male , Middle Aged , Prostatic Neoplasms/genetics , Prostatic Neoplasms/mortality , Registries , Survival Analysis , Sweden/epidemiology
14.
PLoS One ; 11(5): e0153924, 2016.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27145079

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), epidermal growth factor (EGF) and monocyte chemotactic protein-1 (MCP-1) have previously been suggested to be potential biomarkers for chronic stress induced exhaustion. The knowledge about VEGF has increased during the last decades and supports the contention that VEGF plays an important role in stress and depression. There is scarce knowledge on the possible relationship of EGF and MCP-1 in chronic stress and depression. This study further examines the role of VEGF, EGF and MCP-1 in women with chronic stress induced exhaustion and healthy women during a follow-up period of two years. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Blood samples were collected from 105 women with chronic stress induced exhaustion on at least 50% sick leave for at least three months, at inclusion (T0), after 12 months (T12) and after 24 months (T24). Blood samples were collected at inclusion (T0) in 116 physically and psychiatrically healthy women. The plasma levels of VEGF, EGF and MCP-1 were analyzed using Biochip Array Technology. Women with chronic stress induced exhaustion had significantly higher plasma levels of VEGF and EGF compared to healthy women at baseline, T12 and at T24. There was no significant difference in plasma levels of MCP-1. Plasma levels of VEGF and EGF decreased significantly in women with chronic stress induced exhaustion during the two years follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: The replicated findings of elevated levels of VEGF and EGF in women with chronic stress induced exhaustion and decreasing plasma levels of VEGF and EGF during the two years follow-up add important knowledge to the pathophysiology of chronic stress induced exhaustion.


Subject(s)
Biomarkers/blood , Depression/blood , Stress, Psychological/blood , Adult , Chemokine CCL2/blood , Epidermal Growth Factor/blood , Female , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Middle Aged , Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor A/blood
15.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 24(11): 1796-800, 2015 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26307654

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Unnecessary intervention and overtreatment of indolent disease are common challenges in clinical management of prostate cancer. Improved tools to distinguish lethal from indolent disease are critical. METHODS: We performed a genome-wide survival analysis of cause-specific death in 24,023 prostate cancer patients (3,513 disease-specific deaths) from the PRACTICAL and BPC3 consortia. Top findings were assessed for replication in a Norwegian cohort (CONOR). RESULTS: We observed no significant association between genetic variants and prostate cancer survival. CONCLUSIONS: Common genetic variants with large impact on prostate cancer survival were not observed in this study. IMPACT: Future studies should be designed for identification of rare variants with large effect sizes or common variants with small effect sizes.


Subject(s)
Prostatic Neoplasms/mortality , Genome-Wide Association Study , Humans , Male , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide/genetics , Prostatic Neoplasms/genetics , Survival Analysis
16.
Prostate ; 75(13): 1467-74, 2015 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26177737

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk scores comprising established susceptibility variants have shown to be informative classifiers for several complex diseases including prostate cancer. For prostate cancer it is unknown if inclusion of genetic markers that have so far not been associated with prostate cancer risk at a genome-wide significant level will improve disease prediction. METHODS: We built polygenic risk scores in a large training set comprising over 25,000 individuals. Initially 65 established prostate cancer susceptibility variants were selected. After LD pruning additional variants were prioritized based on their association with prostate cancer. Six-fold cross validation was performed to assess genetic risk scores and optimize the number of additional variants to be included. The final model was evaluated in an independent study population including 1,370 cases and 1,239 controls. RESULTS: The polygenic risk score with 65 established susceptibility variants provided an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.67. Adding an additional 68 novel variants significantly increased the AUC to 0.68 (P = 0.0012) and the net reclassification index with 0.21 (P = 8.5E-08). All novel variants were located in genomic regions established as associated with prostate cancer risk. CONCLUSIONS: Inclusion of additional genetic variants from established prostate cancer susceptibility regions improves disease prediction.


Subject(s)
Genetic Markers , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Prostatic Neoplasms/genetics , Genetic Variation , Humans , Linkage Disequilibrium , Male , Risk Factors
17.
Cancer Causes Control ; 25(8): 933-43, 2014 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24810654

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Body mass index (BMI) is a modifiable lifestyle factor that has been associated with an increased risk of fatal prostate cancer and biochemical recurrence. The main purpose of the present study was to investigate the association between the exposure BMI at the time of a prostate cancer diagnosis and weight change after diagnosis, and the outcomes of prostate cancer progression and mortality in a large cohort study. METHODS: Data from 4,376 men diagnosed with clinically localized prostate cancer between 1997 and 2002 were analyzed. BMI and weight change were self-reported in 2007. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated in complete-case analysis (n = 3,214) using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Progression was experienced among 639 (14.6 %) of the study participants, and in total, 450 (10.3 %) deaths of any cause and 134 (3.1 %) prostate cancer-specific deaths were recorded during follow-up. Obese men had a 47 % increased rate of overall mortality compared to normal weight men (HR 1.47, 95 % CI 1.03-2.10). No statistically significant associations were found for BMI and prostate cancer progression or prostate cancer-specific mortality. A weight loss >5 % after diagnosis almost doubled the rate of overall mortality compared to maintaining a stable weight (HR 1.94, 95 % CI 1.41-2.66), while a weight gain >5 % was associated with an almost doubled increased rate of prostate cancer-specific mortality (HR 1.93, 95 % CI 1.18-3.16). CONCLUSIONS: Being obese was associated with an increased rate of overall mortality, and gaining weight after a prostate cancer diagnosis was associated with an increased rate of prostate cancer-specific mortality.


Subject(s)
Body Mass Index , Prostatic Neoplasms/mortality , Weight Gain , Weight Loss , Aged , Disease Progression , Humans , Life Style , Male , Middle Aged , Obesity/epidemiology , Proportional Hazards Models , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Prostatic Neoplasms/pathology , Sweden/epidemiology
18.
Nat Genet ; 46(2): 126-35, 2014 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24390282

ABSTRACT

Genome-wide association studies have identified thousands of SNPs associated with predisposition to various diseases, including prostate cancer. However, the mechanistic roles of these SNPs remain poorly defined, particularly for noncoding polymorphisms. Here we find that the prostate cancer risk-associated SNP rs339331 at 6q22 lies within a functional HOXB13-binding site. The risk-associated T allele at rs339331 increases binding of HOXB13 to a transcriptional enhancer, conferring allele-specific upregulation of the rs339331-associated gene RFX6. Suppression of RFX6 diminishes prostate cancer cell proliferation, migration and invasion. Clinical data indicate that RFX6 upregulation in human prostate cancers correlates with tumor progression, metastasis and risk of biochemical relapse. Finally, we observe a significant association between the risk-associated T allele at rs339331 and increased RFX6 mRNA levels in human prostate tumors. Together, our results suggest that rs339331 affects prostate cancer risk by altering RFX6 expression through a functional interaction with the prostate cancer susceptibility gene HOXB13.


Subject(s)
Chromatin/metabolism , Chromosomes, Human, Pair 6/genetics , DNA-Binding Proteins/genetics , Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic/genetics , Genetic Predisposition to Disease/genetics , Homeodomain Proteins/metabolism , Prostatic Neoplasms/genetics , Transcription Factors/genetics , Base Sequence , Chromatin Immunoprecipitation , Chromosome Mapping , Cloning, Molecular , Cohort Studies , Electrophoretic Mobility Shift Assay , Finland , Genotype , Homeodomain Proteins/genetics , Humans , Male , Molecular Sequence Data , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide/genetics , RNA, Small Interfering/genetics , Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction , Regulatory Factor X Transcription Factors , Sequence Analysis, DNA , Sweden
19.
Eur J Heart Fail ; 15(9): 995-1002, 2013 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23645498

ABSTRACT

AIMS: The epidemiology of congestive heart failure (CHF) is likely to have changed due to changes in demography, risk factors, diagnostic procedures, and medical care. Prevailing information is in part old, incomplete, and to some extent contradictory. We determined the current prevalence, incidence, mortality, and 5-year survival rate of CHF, and possible temporal changes in Sweden. METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a cross-sectional study on individual patient data from an administrative health data register in the Stockholm region, Sweden, comprising 2.1 million inhabitants. This contained all recorded diagnoses on all consultations in primary and secondary care (defined as specialist outpatient care), and on all hospitalizations. Prevalence, incidence, and mortality were estimated for the entire Swedish population, adjusted for demographic composition in 2010. The study population consisted of 88 038 patients (51% women). The prevalence was 2.2% (both women and men), the incidence was 3.8/1000 person-years (both women and men), and mortality was 3.2/1000 person-years in women and 3.0/1000 person-years in men (P < 0.001); the 5-year survival rate was 48%. Mortality (age adjusted; hazard ratio and 95% confidence intervals) was higher in men, 1.29, 1.24-1.34; P < 0.001. Prevalence remained essentially unchanged from 2006 to 2010, while incidence decreased by 24% (P < 0.001) and mortality by 19% (both women and men; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The estimated prevalence of CHF in Sweden is 2.2%, incidence 3.8/1000 person-years, and mortality 3.1/1000 person-years. There has been a decrease in incidence and mortality from 2006 to 2010 in both women and men, with no major change in prevalence over time.


Subject(s)
Heart Failure/epidemiology , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Heart Failure/mortality , Hospitalization , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Registries , Risk Factors , Sex Distribution , Survival Rate , Sweden/epidemiology
20.
Nord J Psychiatry ; 67(1): 53-8, 2013 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22563736

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The relapse rate for psychiatric disorders after postpartum psychosis is high. Apart from subsequent puerperal periods, previous studies have not examined when relapses in psychiatric disorders occur. In addition, little is known about the impact of certain individual factors on the risk of non-puerperal readmission among women with previous postpartum psychosis. AIMS: The first aim was to examine the association between non-puerperal readmission due to psychiatric disorders and years of follow-up (in total, 30 years) in women with postpartum psychosis. The second aim was to examine the impact of age, type of psychosis, previous hospitalization for psychiatric disorders and level of education on the risk of non-puerperal readmission due to psychiatric disorders. METHODS: All Swedish women aged 20-44 with postpartum psychosis (n =3140) were followed between 1975 and 2004 for non-puerperal readmission due to psychiatric disorders. A Cox frailty regression model was used to estimate hazard ratios for non-puerperal readmission. RESULTS: The risk of non-puerperal readmission, although gradually decreasing with time, remained high many years after the postpartum psychosis. The risk of non-puerperal readmission was significantly higher among women with schizophrenia, lower levels of education and previous psychiatric hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Postpartum psychosis is often part of a lifelong recurrent psychiatric disorder. Women with schizophrenia, lower levels of education and hospitalization due to a psychiatric disorder prior to postpartum psychosis have a higher risk of non-puerperal readmission. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: The findings constitute important knowledge for all healthcare workers encountering women with a previous postpartum psychosis.


Subject(s)
Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Psychotic Disorders/psychology , Puerperal Disorders/psychology , Adult , Female , Humans , Incidence , Postpartum Period/psychology , Psychotic Disorders/epidemiology , Puerperal Disorders/epidemiology , Recurrence , Risk , Schizophrenia , Sweden/epidemiology , Young Adult
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