The unequal impact of the pandemic at subnational levels and educational attainment-related inequalities in COVID-19 mortality, Brazil, 2020-2021.

OBJECTIVES: We estimated COVID-19 mortality indicators in 2020-2021 to show the epidemic's impact at subnational levels and to analyze educational attainment-related inequalities in COVID-19 mortality in Brazil. STUDY DESIGN: This was an ecological study with secondary mortality information. METHODS: Crude and age-standardized COVID-19 mortality rates were calculated by gender, major regions, and states. The COVID-19 proportional mortality (percentage) was estimated by gender and age in each region. Measures of education-related inequalities in COVID-19 mortality were calculated per state, in each of which the COVID-19 maternal mortality rate (MMR) was estimated by the number of COVID-19 maternal deaths per 100,000 live births (LBs). RESULTS: The analysis of mortality rates at subnational levels showed critical regional differences. The North region proved to be the most affected by the pandemic, followed by the Center-West, with age-standardized COVID-19 mortality rates above 2 per 1000 inhabitants. The peak of COVID-19 mortality occurred in mid-March/April 2021 in all regions. Great inequality by educational level was found, with the illiterate population being the most negatively impacted in all states. The proportional mortality showed that males and females aged 50-69 years were the most affected. The MMR reached critical values (>100/100,000 LB) in several states of the North, Northeast, Southeast, and Center-West regions. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights stark regional and educational disparities in COVID-19 mortality in Brazil. Exacerbated by the pandemic, these inequalities reveal potential areas for intervention to reduce disparities. The results also revealed high MMRs in certain states, underscoring pre-existing healthcare access challenges that worsened during the pandemic.

Relationship between salt consumption measured by 24-h urine collection and blood pressure in the adult population of Vitória (Brazil).

High salt intake is related to an increase in blood pressure and development of hypertension. However, currently, there are no national representative data in Brazil using the gold standard method of 24-h urine collection to measure sodium consumption. This study aimed to determine salt intake based on 24-h urine collection in a sample of 272 adults of both genders and to correlate it with blood pressure levels. We used a rigorous protocol to assure an empty bladder prior to initiating urine collection. We excluded subjects with a urine volume <500 mL, collection period outside of an interval of 23-25 h, and subjects with creatinine excretion that was not within the range of 14.4-33.6 mg/kg (men) and 10.8-25.2 mg/kg (women). The mean salt intake was 10.4±4.1 g/day (d), and 94% of the participants (98% of men and 90% of women) ingested more than the recommended level of 5 g/d. We found a positive association between salt and body mass index (BMI) categories, as well as with salt and blood pressure, independent of age and BMI. The difference in systolic blood pressure reached 13 mmHg between subjects consuming less than 6 g/d of salt and those ingesting more than 18 g/d. Subjects with hypertension had a higher estimated salt intake than normotensive subjects (11.4±5.0 vs 9.8±3.6 g/d, P<0.01), regardless of whether they were under treatment. Our data indicate the need for interventions to reduce sodium intake, as well the need for ongoing, appropriate monitoring of salt consumption in the general population.

[Living conditions and infant mortality: intra-urban differentials in Recife, Pernambuco State, Brazil]. / Condição de vida e mortalidade infantil: diferenciais intra-urbanos no Recife, Pernambuco, Brasil.

The objective of this study was to show infant mortality differentials in different areas of Recife, analyzing the relationship between living conditions and mortality risk. An ecological study design compared infant mortality coefficients in 1995 with living conditions indicators obtained from the 1991 National Demographic Census. Information on the 770 infant deaths and 27,965 live births were collected from death and birth certificates. Information on water supply, sanitation, garbage collection, literacy, schooling, income, and overcrowding were used to establish a compound indicator for living conditions, constructed through factor analysis. The neighborhoods were then ordered according to the level of living conditions and grouped in 4 clusters, through hierarchical cluster analysis. Infant, neonatal, and post-neonatal mortality coefficients were 23.94, 17.66, and 6.28, respectively, for cluster I; and 32.04, 20.24, and 11.80 for cluster IV. In general, an inverse relationship was found between infant mortality and living conditions in clusters from Recife, revealing inequalities that are disguised when coefficients are expressed as averages for the entire city.

Willingness to participate in HIV vaccine trials among a sample of men who have sex with men, with and without a history of commercial sex, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

The study objective was to assess willingness of men who have sex with men (MSM) enrolled in a vaccine preparedness study ('Projeto Rio') to participate in phase III anti-HIV/AIDS vaccine trials. Overall, 57% of Projeto Rio participants stated they would participate in a putative vaccine trial. MSM who reported commercial sex work were significantly (p < 0.05) more likely to engage in risky behaviours than others. In bivariate analysis, commercial sex workers (CSWs) were significantly (p < 0.05) more likely than non-commercial sex workers (NCSWs) to be willing to participate in vaccine trials (62.6% versus 51.4%). Among those willing, CSWs reported significantly more often (p < 0.05) (50.5%) than NCSWs (38.0%) that they would enroll to protect themselves from HIV. In multivariate analyses, variables associated with willingness to participate (WTP) were lower educational level, positive serology for syphilis, and 'engagement, under the influence of alcohol, in risky sexual practices that would normally be avoided', but not commercial sex work. The potential enrollment in vaccine trials of MSM CWSs, as well as participants of low socio-economic status and high risk, seems thus to be possible.

On the World Health Organisation's measurement of health inequalities.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To review the World Health Organisation's methodological approach for the purpose of measuring health inequalities presented in the WHR 2000 and reference papers. MAIN FINDINGS: Recommending that health inequalities be assessed by measuring interindividual differences, without regard for the distribution of health status among specific population subgroups, the approach taken by WHO does not take into account the socioeconomic dimension, is strongly influenced by the extent of socioeconomic inequalities in the population, and suffers from the health redistribution problem. Apart from the conceptual issues, the estimation procedure also has methodological problems hidden in a sophisticated statistical procedure, which is confusingly explained in one of the referred discussion papers. The results presented in the WHR 2000 are based on Demographic and Health Survey data that refer to more than 10 years ago. OTHER METHODOLOGICAL PROBLEMS: The WHO's individual differences measure of health inequalities is expressed in units of survival time raised to the power of 2.5. Besides the difficulty of interpretation, the individual differences index is not a relative measure. However, the index of equality of child survival was defined as the complement of the individual differences index, as though it were a relative measure. NEGLECT TO THE SPECIALISED LITERATURE: The WHO's index is a particular case in a family of measures that provides generalisations of the Gini coefficient. However, concerns on the adequacy and validity of this procedure for the purposes of measuring health inequalities were completely ignored. CONCLUSIONS: The need to open up the debate with the scientific community has been recently recognised by the executive board of the WHO. In view of the new prospect, the paper concludes by raising some points that can contribute to the discussion on the measurement of health inequalities, with regard to the evaluation of the health system performance.

[Spatial analysis of early neonatal mortality in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro, 1995-1996]. / Análise espacial da mortalidade neonatal precoce no Município do Rio de Janeiro, 1995-1996.

The objective of this study was to establish the spatial distribution of the early neonatal mortality rate (0-3 days) in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro for 1995-1996, identifying the best explanatory factors for spatial variations. By considering Rio de Janeiro's 153 neighborhoods as ecological units of analysis, socioeconomic and maternal indicators were analyzed according to place of residence. Spatial statistical analysis was performed using the Cliff & Ord methodology, appropriate for lattice data. From the 0-3 day mortality thematic map, we clearly identified two clusters of high early neonatal mortality rates. Spatial dependence was also confirmed by the statistical results of the spatial analysis. The variables that explain the clusters are the proportions of "adolescent mothers", "slum-dwellers", and "heads of households below the poverty level". Spatial statistics provided a better understanding of the geographic distribution of early neonatal mortality and suggested potential hypotheses for further investigation, which could support preventive programs and contribute to a decrease in infant mortality.

[AIDS epidemic dynamics in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 1988-1996: Spatial-temporal statistic modeling]. / Dinâmica da epidemia de AIDS no Município do Rio de Janeiro, no período de 1988-1996: uma aplicação de análise estatística espaço-temporal.

This study uses a spatial-temporal model to analyze the spatial spread of the AIDS epidemic (adult cases) in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, during three periods: 1988-1990, 1991-1993, and 1994-1996. City districts were used as the geographic units of analysis. A spatial analysis was also performed for pediatric AIDS cases due to vertical HIV transmission, according to period of birth, 1985-90 and 1991-96. For total adult AIDS cases, the initial period was characterized by a polygonal cluster located around the harbor area, which expanded from west to east. Among homosexual cases, in situ growth predominated, and a decrease in the intensity of the diffusion process was observed from the second to the final period. Among heterosexual cases, the epidemic displayed a relevant geographic spread, mainly from 1988-1990 to 1991-1993. Among female cases in the final time period, a cluster of high incidence rates was found towards the northwest, including very poor areas. Among pediatric cases in 1991-1996, a significant correlation was found between AIDS incidence rates and poverty levels in the respective municipal districts. The results suggest that a more complete understanding of AIDS spatial-temporal dynamics can make a major contribution to preventive measures.

[AIDS and HIV infection in Brazil: a multifaceted epidemic]. / AIDS e infecção pelo HIV no Brasil: uma epidemia multifacetada.

The HIV/AIDS epidemic is a dynamic unstable global phenomenon, constituting a veritable mosaic of regional sub-epidemics. As a consequence of the deep inequalities that exist in Brazilian society, the spread of HIV infection has revealed an epidemic of multiple dimensions undergoing extensive epidemiological transformations. Initially restricted to large urban centers and markedly masculine, the HIV/AIDS epidemic is currently characterized by heterosexualization, feminization, interiorization and pauperization. The evolution of the profile of AIDS in Brazil is above all due to the geographical diffusion of the disease from large urban centers towards medium and small municipalities in the interior, to the increase in heterosexual transmission and the persistent growth of cases among injecting drug users. The increase in transmission through heterosexual contact has resulted in substantial growth of cases among women, which has been pointed out as the most important characteristic of the epidemic's current dynamic in Brazil.

Considerations on methodology used in the World Health Organization 2000 Report.

The article analyzes the World Health Organization Report for 2000, with emphasis placed on the methodology used to analyze the indicators utilized to compare and classify the performance of the health systems of the 191 member countries. The Report's contribution was the compromise of monitoring the performance of the health systems of member countries, but because of the inconsistent way it was elaborated, and the utilization of questionable scientific evaluation methodologies, the Report fails to give a clear picture. A criterion-based methodology revision is imposed. The main problems in evidence are the choice of individual indicators of disparity in health that discount the population profile, the inadequate control of the impact of social disparities over the performance of the systems, the evaluation of the responsibility of systems that are only partially articulated to the right of the citizens, the lack of data for a great number of countries, consequently having inconsistent estimations, and the lack of transparency in the methodological procedures in the calculation of some indicators. The article suggests a wide methodological revision of the Report.

[The pregnancy during adolescence as a risk factor for low birth weight, Brazil]. / Gravidez na adolescência como fator de risco para baixo peso ao nascer no Município do Rio de Janeiro, 1996 a 1998.

OBJECTIVE: To identify the role of pregnancy during adolescence as a risk factor to low birth weight (LBW). METHODS: A stratified sample of live births from the Information System of Live Births in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro, in the period 1996-98, was selected. The risk factors of LBW were analyzed for the two strata composed by the mother age, 15-19 and 20-24 years old. For the statistical analysis, odds ratios and correspondent confidence intervals were estimated. Logistic regression procedures were used. RESULTS: The LBW was significantly greater among the adolescent mothers group than the 20-24 years one. Regarding prenatal care, adolescents had a lower number of appointments and a higher percentage of no attendance. More than 50% of the older mothers completed high school, but only 31.5% among the younger mothers had the same level of instruction. The percentage of premature live births in this group was significantly greater. Differences were observed by type of hospital (public or private) and there was a predominant use of public hospitals by the adolescents. The logistic regression analysis showed a significant effect of the mother age on LBW, even when controlled for other variables. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that further investigation on the mechanisms that underlie the association between LBW and pregnancy during adolescence should be carried out, taking into consideration sociocultural factors such as poverty and social deprivation, as well as biological and nutritional factors during pregnancy.

AIDS e infecção pelo HIV no Brasil: uma epidemia multifacetada / AIDS and HIV infection in Brazil: a multifaceted epidemic

The HIV/AIDS epidemic is a dynamic unstable global phenomenon, constituting a veritable mosaic of regional sub-epidemics. As a consequence of the deep inequalities that exist in Brazilian society, the spread of HIV infection has revealed an epidemic of multiple dimensions undergoing extensive epidemiological transformations. Initially restricted to large urban centers and markedly masculine, the HIV/AIDS epidemic is currently characterized by heterosexualization, feminization, interiorization and pauperization. The evolution of the profile of AIDS in Brazil is above all due to the geographical diffusion of the disease from large urban centers towards medium and small municipalities in the interior, to the increase in heterosexual transmission and the persistent growth of cases among injecting drug users. The increase in transmission through heterosexual contact has resulted in substantial growth of cases among women, which has been pointed out as the most important characteristic of the epidemic's current dynamic in Brazil.

A epidemia da infecção pelo HIV e da AIDS constitui fenômeno global, dinâmico e instável, traduzindo-se por verdadeiro mosaico de sub-epidemias regionais. Resultante das profundas desigualdades da sociedade brasileira, a propagação da infecção pelo HIV e da AIDS revela epidemia de múltiplas dimensões que vem sofrendo transformações epidemiológicas significativas. Inicialmente restrita aos grandes centros urbanos e marcadamente masculina, a atual epidemia do HIV e da AIDS caracteriza-se pelos processos de heterossexualização, feminização, interiorização e pauperização. As mudanças no perfil da AIDS no Brasil devem-se à difusão geográfica da doença a partir dos grandes centros urbanos em direção aos municípios de médio e pequeno porte, ao aumento da transmissão por via heterossexual e ao persistente crescimento dos casos entre usuários de drogas injetáveis. O aumento da transmissão por contato heterossexual implica no crescimento substancial de casos em mulheres, o qual tem sido apontado como uma das mais importantes características do atual quadro da epidemia no Brasil.

[Economic crisis and infant mortality in Latin America since the 1980's]. / Crisis económica y mortalidad infantil en Latinoamérica desde los años ochenta.

In the present study, based on data from nine Latin American countries, we found evidence of an association between the economic crisis and infant mortality during the last decades. The paper initially review previous studies on this issue and shows the need for a greater research focus on shorter time intervals. We then describe the deterioration and unequal conditions among the countries based on trends in selected social and economic indicators and the evolution of infant mortality rates. According to our statistical analysis, infant mortality bore an inverse association to short-term economic variations. We also found a significant and negative correlation between decreasing infant mortality rates and increasing poverty. The economic crisis displayed effects of varying intensity among the countries we analyzed, with social inequality appearing as the most probable explanatory variable.

[Hospital system as a source of information to estimate stillbirth and neonatal mortality rates]. / Sistema hospitalar como fonte de informações para estimar a mortalidade neonatal e a natimortalidade.

OBJECTIVE: Studies on the evolution of infant mortality rate are very relevant. Nevertheless, lack of vital statistics in Brazil limits the temporal and spatial analysis of this indicator. This study aims to investigate the possible use of the Brazilian Hospital Information System as an alternative information source for stillbirth and neonatal mortality rates by age group. METHODS: A new method to estimate the stillbirth and neonatal mortality rates is proposed. It was applied in a set of selected Brazilian states in the year of 1995. For comparative purposes, the Brazilian Death Information System was assessed to estimate the mortality rates under study, after adjusting the registered number of live births by using a demographic tool. RESULTS: By assessing the Hospital Information System a larger number of fetal and early neonatal deaths were observed when compared to data given by the death information system of the Northeastern states. Besides, in the Southern and Southeastern states, where death records are more thorough, the mortality rates calculated using both information sources were very similar. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that the proposed methodology could greatly contribute to the analysis of the spatial-time evolution of stillbirth and neonatal death rates in recent years in Brazil, as data on death registration in the majority of the Brazilian states are less thorough than those from the hospital information system.

[The spread of the AIDS epidemic in Brazil from 1987 to 1996: a spatial analysis]. / A disseminação da epidemia da AIDS no Brasil, no período de 1987-1996: uma análise espacial.

Mean AIDS incidence rates were calculated for three time periods, 1987-89, 1990-92, and 1993-96, using reported adult AIDS cases by county. The analysis included the following variables: "population of counties for resident AIDS cases"; "proportion of population residing in urban areas", and "concentration of poverty", stratifying by gender and exposure categories. The Southeast region has experienced the lowest increase, contrasting with the steep rise observed in the North and South between the second and third study periods. Comparing variations in incidence rates from 1990-92 and 1993-96 by region or population, the greatest increase was among women. In the larger cities, AIDS cases among "homo/bisexual men" predominate, although the proportion of cases among men who have sex with men has decreased as heterosexual cases have undergone a continuous increase. IDUs have been the core stratum in medium-sized counties. For the smallest counties, heterosexual transmission has been the basic element in local dynamics. Even though AIDS is still an urban phenomenon in Brazil, the epidemic is spreading to rural counties. Until recently it has mainly affecting relatively more affluent areas, but there is now an evident spread of the epidemic to poorer areas.

[AIDS and pauperization: principal concepts and empirical evidence]. / AIDS e pauperização: principais conceitos e evidências empíricas.

This paper discusses methodologies for analyzing relations between social inequalities, marginalization, prejudice, and vulnerability to HIV/AIDS, highlighting current difficulties and alternative research strategies. It also reviews the international and Brazilian literature, emphasizing: economic and macropolitical dimensions in the spread of HIV/AIDS; the role of drug policies and consumption; gender inequalities and prejudice; racial/ethnic inequalities and prejudice; and interaction with other STIs and their relationship to poverty; HIV/AIDS and health care standards, especially access to antiretroviral therapy; and human rights violations. Despite current methodological dilemmas in analyzing relations between psychosocial, cultural, and sociopolitical variables and vulnerability to HIV/AIDS and the limited Brazil literature, such themes merit further investigation, addressing Brazilian social and cultural specificities and profiting from recently developed research strategies.

[AIDS and level of education in Brazil: temporal evolution from 1986 to 1996]. / AIDS e grau de escolaridade no Brasil: evolução temporal de 1986 a 1996.

This article analyzes the temporal distribution of reported AIDS cases by level of education used as a proxy variable for individual socioeconomic status. All AIDS cases aged 20-69 years and reported through May 29, 1999, with date of diagnosis between 1986-1996, were included in the study. Incidence rates were calculated for men and women according to level of education ("level 1" up to 8 years of schooling and "level 2" with over 8 years of schooling), by five geographic regions, and by year of diagnosis. Incidence rates for men with less schooling were close to or higher than those for men with more schooling (particularly in the Southeast region). For women, a time series showed that incidence rates increased at a higher rate among women with less schooling in all regions of the country; in the Southeast, the incidence rate for women with less schooling was already greater than for women with more schooling by 1989. According to the present analysis, the AIDS epidemic in Brazil began among people from the more highly educated social strata and progressed steadily through to the less educated social strata, especially among women.

[Risk behavior among Brazilian Military conscripts, 1998: an study of HIV infections following socioeconomic differences]. / Comportamento de risco dos conscritos do Exército Brasileiro, 1998: uma apreciação da infecção pelo HIV segundo diferenciais sócio-econômicos.

A study of HIV-related risk behavior was carried out in 1998 among Brazilian military conscripts aged 17-20 years. A sample of 30,318 subjects was selected in three strata, pertaining to counties from: 1) the North and Central-West (N/CW); 2) South (S); and the states of Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo. HIV prevalence rates were estimated in all strata. The objective of this paper was to analyze the results according to differences in socioeconomic status (SES). The statistical analysis used an index of sexual risk behavior and logistic regression models. The N/CW stratum showed the worst indicators for SES, sexual risk behavior, and sexually transmitted infections (STIs), as well as the highest HIV seroprevalence rate. The best indicators for all variables were found in the RJ/SP stratum. The South showed intermediate results. Level of schooling also played a relevant role. In all three strata the conscripts with an incomplete high school education displayed the worst sexual risk behavior index, shown to be a relevant predictor of STI-related problems, including HIV infection.

[Estimated number of orphans due to maternal AIDS in Brazil, 1987-99]. / Estimativa do número de órfãos decorrentes da AIDS materna, Brasil, 1987-1999.

This study proposes a procedure to estimate the number of orphans due to maternal AIDS. The procedure estimates the number of orphans by calendar year, multiplying the cumulative fertility rate by the number of AIDS deaths among women aged 15-49 years. Because the procedure refers to the number of children that are alive, the estimate is adjusted by contemplating the proportion of pediatric AIDS cases due to vertical transmission and the probability of survival in the 5-9-year age group. To estimate the number of AIDS orphans in Brazil from 1987 to 1999, the procedure was applied by stratifying according to geographical region, taking into account the differences in regional fertility rates, completeness of death reporting, and misclassification of AIDS-related deaths as due to other causes. The total number of cumulative AIDS orphans for 1987-99 was estimated at approximately 30,000.

[Estimated number of HIV-infected individuals aged 15-49 years in Brazil, 1998]. / Estimativa do número de pessoas de 15 a 49 anos infectadas pelo HIV, Brasil, 1998.

This study estimates the number of HIV-infected individuals from 15 to 49 years of age in Brazil in 1998 based on sentinel population studies in pregnant women, with a selection bias in the sample. A principal components procedure was used to group 44 counties in homogeneous 13 clusters. Two indicators were constructed for each cluster: a) the logarithm of the accumulated AIDS incidence rate among women from 15 to 34 years of age (1996) and b) the logarithm of the growth ratio for the mean AIDS incidence rate for women from 15 to 34 years of age for the period from 1990-1992 to 1993-1996. Taking the log of the proportion of HIV-infected pregnant women as the dependent variable and the two above-mentioned indicators as the independent variables, a regression line was fitted to the aggregate data. Estimation of the model's parameters allowed us to calculate the proportion of infected individuals by macro-region, by age (15-34 and 35-49 years) and gender. The point estimate was 536 thousand HIV-infected adults with a 68% CI (470.689 - 603.305).