Management of radioiodine refractory differentiated thyroid cancer: the Latin American perspective.

Radioiodine (RAI) refractory differentiated thyroid cancer is an uncommon and challenging situation that requires a multidisciplinary approach to therapeutic strategies. The definition of RAI-refractoriness is usually a clear situation in specialized centers. However, the right moment for initiation of multikinase inhibitors (MKI), the time and availability for genomic testing, and the possibility of prescribing MKI and selective kinase inhibitors differ worldwide.Latin America (LA) refers to the territories of the world that stretch across two regions: North America (including Central America and the Caribbean) and South America, containing 8.5% of the world's population. In this manuscript, we critically review the current standard approach recommended for patients with RAI refractory differentiated thyroid cancer, emphasizing the challenges faced in LA. To achieve this objective, the Latin American Thyroid Society (LATS) convened a panel of experts from Brazil, Argentina, Chile, and Colombia. Access to MKI compounds continues to be a challenge in all LA countries. This is true not only for MKI but also for the new selective tyrosine kinase inhibitor, which will also require genomic testing, that is not widely available. Thus, as precision medicine advances, significant disparities will be made more evident, and despite efforts to improve coverage and reimbursement, molecular-based precision medicine remains inaccessible to most of the LA population. Efforts should be undertaken to alleviate the discrepancies between the current state-of-the-art care for RAI-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer and the present situation in Latin America.

Clinical and histopathological features of follicular thyroid cancer in Chile

ABSTRACT Objective: Follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC) is less frequent but has a worse prognosis than papillary carcinoma. The available evidence on pre-operative characteristics of FTC is controversial. Our objective was to characterize the clinical, ultrasound and histopathological presentation of FTC patients treated Chile. Subjects and methods: Retrospective analysis of 97 patients treated for FTC in 6 large centers in Chile. We analyzed their ultrasonographic features and classified the nodules according to ATA risk of malignancy and TI-RADS score, as well as the cytological findings according to the Bethesda system. We described their clinical and histopathological findings at diagnosis and classified their risk of recurrence and mortality according to ATA 2015 recurrence risk category and the eighth edition of the AJCC/UICC staging system, respectively. Results: Median age was 48 years and 73.2% were females. The median diameter was 38.8 mm; only 9.5% of them were microtumors. According to ATA risk of malignancy, 86% of the nodules were low or intermediate suspicious, while 78% were category 3 or 4A nodules according to the TI-RADS. Regarding the Bethesda system, 65.9% had indeterminate cytology (20.6% category III and 45.3% category IV). At histological examination, most were minimally-invasive and angio-invasive tumors with less than 4 foci (54.7% and 28.4% respectively). More than 90% of FTC were unifocal and there was no lymphovascular or extrathyroidal invasion or lymph node involvement. Four patients (4.1%) had distant metastases at diagnosis. Most patients (95%) had stage I or II disease according to the AJCC/UICC staging system, while the risk of recurrence was low at 51.5% when using the ATA risk of recurrence scale. Conclusions: At diagnosis, most FTCs were nodules of low or intermediate suspicion at ultrasound, nearly two thirds had indeterminate cytology according to the Bethesda system, and nearly 50% of them were of low risk of recurrence.

Clinical and histopathological features of follicular thyroid cancer in Chile.

Objective: Follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC) is less frequent but has a worse prognosis than papillary carcinoma. The available evidence on pre-operative characteristics of FTC is controversial. Our objective was to characterize the clinical, ultrasound and histopathological presentation of FTC patients treated Chile. Subjects and methods: Retrospective analysis of 97 patients treated for FTC in 6 large centers in Chile. We analyzed their ultrasonographic features and classified the nodules according to ATA risk of malignancy and TI-RADS score, as well as the cytological findings according to the Bethesda system. We described their clinical and histopathological findings at diagnosis and classified their risk of recurrence and mortality according to ATA 2015 recurrence risk category and the eighth edition of the AJCC/UICC staging system, respectively. Results: Median age was 48 years and 73.2% were females. The median diameter was 38.8 mm; only 9.5% of them were microtumors. According to ATA risk of malignancy, 86% of the nodules were low or intermediate suspicious, while 78% were category 3 or 4A nodules according to the TI-RADS. Regarding the Bethesda system, 65.9% had indeterminate cytology (20.6% category III and 45.3% category IV). At histological examination, most were minimally-invasive and angio-invasive tumors with less than 4 foci (54.7% and 28.4% respectively). More than 90% of FTC were unifocal and there was no lymphovascular or extrathyroidal invasion or lymph node involvement. Four patients (4.1%) had distant metastases at diagnosis. Most patients (95%) had stage I or II disease according to the AJCC/UICC staging system, while the risk of recurrence was low at 51.5% when using the ATA risk of recurrence scale. Conclusion: At diagnosis, most FTCs were nodules of low or intermediate suspicion at ultrasound, nearly two thirds had indeterminate cytology according to the Bethesda system, and nearly 50% of them were of low risk of recurrence.

Radioiodine-Induced Salivary Gland Damage Detected by Ultrasonography in Patients Treated for Papillary Thyroid Cancer: Radioactive Iodine Activity and Risk.

Background: An important side effect of radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy in patients treated for papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is chronic sialadenitis. Neck ultrasonography (US) easily recognizes radioiodine-induced salivary gland abnormalities. The objectives of this study were to determine the prevalence of US-detected sialadenitis caused by RAI and to identify the risk factors associated with this damage. Methods: This nonconcurrent cohort study includes all PTC-operated patients who were treated with RAI between 2007 and 2017 and were systematically evaluated with preoperative and follow-up neck US that included targeted exploration of the major salivary glands. Patients with pre-existing salivary gland diseases were excluded. The anatomical damage (diminished glandular volume, wavy contours, hypoechogenicity, and heterogeneity) was qualitatively assessed and compared with the preoperative study. RAI activity, sex, age, and preparation method were evaluated as risk factors using univariate and multivariate analyses with logistic regression. Results: Enrolled in this study were 570 patients who received a median RAI activity of 3700 MBq (100 mCi). On US, we found 143 patients (25.1%) with damage in at least one of their salivary glands: all had parotid damage (77 bilaterally) and 14 (9.8%) also had submandibular gland damage (7 of them bilaterally). The multivariate analysis indicated that the risk of sialadenitis was significantly (p < 0.01) correlated with both RAI activity and sex (14.1% of males vs. 28.5% of females). However, the main risk factor was RAI activity; no injury was detected in 156 patients who received 1110 MBq (30 mCi) and 1850 MBq (50 mCi) of RAI. In the groups of patients receiving 3700 MBq (100 mCi), 5550 MBq (150 mCi) and ≥7400 MBq (≥200 mCi), atrophy was found in 21%, 46.9%, and 77.7% of patients, respectively. Age and preparation method were not related to an increased risk of atrophy in this study. Conclusions: Chronic sialadenitis is common and affects approximately one fourth of patients who receive 3700 MBq (100 mCi) or higher RAI activity. The main risk factor for this injury is the total RAI activity administered. By using the lowest effective activity possible, irreversible anatomical damage in salivary glands can be minimized. US is an excellent tool to diagnose post-RAI atrophy.

A Thyroid Genetic Classifier Correctly Predicts Benign Nodules with Indeterminate Cytology: Two Independent, Multicenter, Prospective Validation Trials.

Background: Although most thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology are benign, in most of the world, surgery remains as the most frequent diagnostic approach. We have previously reported a 10-gene thyroid genetic classifier, which accurately predicts benign thyroid nodules. The assay is a prototype diagnostic kit suitable for reference laboratory testing and could potentially avoid unnecessary diagnostic surgery in patients with indeterminate thyroid cytology. Methods: Classifier performance was tested in two independent, ethnically diverse, prospective multicenter trials (TGCT-1/Chile and TGCT-2/USA). A total of 4061 fine-needle aspirations were collected from 15 institutions, of which 897 (22%) were called indeterminate. The clinical site was blind to the classifier score and the clinical laboratory blind to the pathology report. A matched surgical pathology and valid classifier score was available for 270 samples. Results: Cohorts showed significant differences, including (i) clinical site patient source (academic, 43% and 97% for TGCT-1 and -2, respectively); (ii) ethnic diversity, with a greater proportion of the Hispanic population (40% vs. 3%) for TGCT-1 and a greater proportion of African American (11% vs. 0%) and Asian (10% vs. 1%) populations for TGCT-2; and (iii) tumor size (mean of 1.7 and 2.5 cm for TGCT-1 and -2, respectively). Overall, there were no differences in the histopathological profile between cohorts. Forty-one of 155 and 45 of 115 nodules were malignant (cancer prevalence of 26% and 39% for TGCT-1 and -2, respectively). The classifier predicted 37 of 41 and 41 of 45 malignant nodules, yielding a sensitivity of 90% [95% confidence interval; CI 77-97] and 91% [95% CI 79-98] for TGCT-1 and -2, respectively. One hundred one of 114 and 61 of 70 nodules were correctly predicted as benign, yielding a specificity of 89% [95% CI 82-94] and 87% [95% CI 77-94], respectively. The negative predictive values for TGCT-1 and TGCT-2 were 96% and 94%, respectively, whereas the positive predictive values were 74% and 82%, respectively. The overall accuracy for both cohorts was 89%. Conclusions: Clinical validation of the classifier demonstrates equivalent performance in two independent and ethnically diverse cohorts, accurately predicting benign thyroid nodules that can undergo surveillance as an alternative to diagnostic surgery.

[Study and management of thyroid nodes by non specialist physicians: SOCHED consensus]. / Estudio y manejo de nódulos tiroideos por médicos no especialistas. Consenso SOCHED.

The thyroid nodule is a frequent cause of primary care consultation. The prevalence of a palpable thyroid nodule is approximately 4-7%, increasing up to 67% by the incidental detection of nodules on ultrasound. The vast majority are benign and asymptomatic, staying stable over time. The clinical importance of studying a thyroid nodule is to exclude thyroid cancer, which occurs in 5 to 10% of the nodules. The Board of SOCHED (Chilean Society of Endocrinology and Diabetes) asked the Thyroid Study Group to develop a consensus regarding the diagnostic management of the thyroid nodule in Chile, aimed at non-specialist physicians and adapted to the national reality. To this end, a multidisciplinary group of 31 experts was established among university academics, active researchers with publications on the subject and prominent members of scientific societies of endocrinology, head and neck surgery, pathology and radiology. A total of 14 questions were developed with key aspects for the diagnosis and subsequent referral of patients with thyroid nodules, which were addressed by the participants. In those areas where the evidence was insufficient or the national reality had to be considered, the consensus opinion of the experts was used through the Delphi methodology. The consensus was approved by the SOCHED board for publication.

Estudio y manejo de nódulos tiroideos por médicos no especialistas. Consenso SOCHED / Study and management of thyroid nodes by non specialist physicians: SOCHED consensus

The thyroid nodule is a frequent cause of primary care consultation. The prevalence of a palpable thyroid nodule is approximately 4-7%, increasing up to 67% by the incidental detection of nodules on ultrasound. The vast majority are benign and asymptomatic, staying stable over time. The clinical importance of studying a thyroid nodule is to exclude thyroid cancer, which occurs in 5 to 10% of the nodules. The Board of SOCHED (Chilean Society of Endocrinology and Diabetes) asked the Thyroid Study Group to develop a consensus regarding the diagnostic management of the thyroid nodule in Chile, aimed at non-specialist physicians and adapted to the national reality. To this end, a multidisciplinary group of 31 experts was established among university academics, active researchers with publications on the subject and prominent members of scientific societies of endocrinology, head and neck surgery, pathology and radiology. A total of 14 questions were developed with key aspects for the diagnosis and subsequent referral of patients with thyroid nodules, which were addressed by the participants. In those areas where the evidence was insufficient or the national reality had to be considered, the consensus opinion of the experts was used through the Delphi methodology. The consensus was approved by the SOCHED board for publication.

A 10-Gene Classifier for Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules: Development and Multicenter Accuracy Study.

BACKGROUND: In most of the world, diagnostic surgery remains the most frequent approach for indeterminate thyroid cytology. Although several molecular tests are available for testing in centralized commercial laboratories in the United States, there are no available kits for local laboratory testing. The aim of this study was to develop a prototype in vitro diagnostic (IVD) gene classifier for the further characterization of nodules with an indeterminate thyroid cytology. METHODS: In a first stage, the expression of 18 genes was determined by quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) in a broad histopathological spectrum of 114 fresh-tissue biopsies. Expression data were used to train several classifiers by supervised machine learning approaches. Classifiers were tested in an independent set of 139 samples. In a second stage, the best classifier was chosen as a model to develop a multiplexed-qPCR IVD prototype assay, which was tested in a prospective multicenter cohort of fine-needle aspiration biopsies. RESULTS: In tissue biopsies, the best classifier, using only 10 genes, reached an optimal and consistent performance in the ninefold cross-validated testing set (sensitivity 93% and specificity 81%). In the multicenter cohort of fine-needle aspiration biopsy samples, the 10-gene signature, built into a multiplexed-qPCR IVD prototype, showed an area under the curve of 0.97, a positive predictive value of 78%, and a negative predictive value of 98%. By Bayes' theorem, the IVD prototype is expected to achieve a positive predictive value of 64-82% and a negative predictive value of 97-99% in patients with a cancer prevalence range of 20-40%. CONCLUSIONS: A new multiplexed-qPCR IVD prototype is reported that accurately classifies thyroid nodules and may provide a future solution suitable for local reference laboratory testing.

Prospective validation of the ultrasound based TIRADS (Thyroid Imaging Reporting And Data System) classification: results in surgically resected thyroid nodules.

OBJECTIVE: To assess performance of TIRADS classification on a prospective surgical cohort, demonstrating its clinical usefulness. METHODS: Between June 2009 and October 2012, patients assessed with pre-operative ultrasound (US) were included in this IRB-approved study. Nodules were categorised according to our previously described TIRADS classification. Final pathological diagnosis was obtained from the thyroidectomy specimen. Sensitivity, specificity, positive/negative predictive values and likelihood ratios were calculated. RESULTS: The study included 210 patients with 502 nodules (average: 2.39 (±1.64) nodules/patient). Median size was 7 mm (3-60 mm). Malignancy was 0 % (0/116) in TIRADS 2, 1.79 % (1/56) in TIRADS 3, 76.13 % (185/243) in TIRADS 4 [subgroups: TIRADS 4A 5.88 % (1/17), TIRADS 4B 62.82 % (49/78), TIRADS 4C 91.22 % (135/148)], and 98.85 % (86/87) in TIRADS 5. With a cut-off point at TIRADS 4-5 to perform FNAB, we obtained: sensitivity 99.6 % (95 % CI: 98.9-100.0), specificity 74.35 % (95 % CI: 68.7-80.0), PPV 82.1 % (95 % CI: 78.0-86.3), NPV 99.4 % (95 % CI: 98.3-100.0), PLR 3.9 (95 % CI: 3.6-4.2) and an NLR 0.005 (95 % CI: 0.003-0.04) for malignancy. CONCLUSION: US-based TIRADS classification allows selection of nodules requiring FNAB and recognition of those with a low malignancy risk. KEY POINTS: • TIRADS classification allows accurate selection of thyroid nodules requiring biopsy (TIRADS 4-5). • The recognition of benign/possibly benign patterns can avoid unnecessary procedures. • This classification and its sonographic patterns are validated using surgical specimens.

Comparison of Empiric Versus Whole-Body/-Blood Clearance Dosimetry-Based Approach to Radioactive Iodine Treatment in Patients with Metastases from Differentiated Thyroid Cancer.

The optimal management of radioactive iodine (RAI) treatment in patients with metastatic thyroid cancer (TC) is still a matter of debate. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 352 patients with RAI-avid metastatic well-differentiated TC treated with 131I by an empiric fixed activity of 3.7 GBq at Gustave Roussy (GR, n = 231) or by personalized activity (2.7-18.6 GBq) based on whole-body/-blood clearance (WB/BC) dosimetry at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC, n = 121). The primary endpoint was to compare overall survival (OS) in the 2 groups of patients by log-rank test. Results: Patients received a median cumulative activity of 14.8 GBq at GR and 24.2 GBq at MSKCC (P < 0.0001). The median follow-up after the diagnosis of metastases was 7.2 y (0.4-31 y). Five-year OS was 86.8% and 78.8% for patients treated at GR and at MSKCC, respectively (P < 0.01). However, there was no statistical difference in OS after correction for sex, age at the diagnosis of distant metastases, metastases site, and metastases extension between the 2 centers (P = 0.16). OS at 5 y was 96% and 96% for patients younger than 40 y with micrometastases, 70% and 65% for patients older than 40 y with macrometastases or multiple metastases, and 92% and 87% for younger patients with macrometastases or older patients with micrometastases treated at GR and MSKCC, respectively (P = not significant). Conclusion: Routine use of WB/BC dosimetry without lesional dosimetry provided no OS advantage when compared with empiric fixed RAI activity in the management of thyroid cancer patients with RAI-avid distant metastases.

Biochemical persistence in thyroid cancer: is there anything to worry about?

To evaluate the outcome of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients with biochemical persistence of disease (BP) after initial treatment (total thyroidectomy with or without lymph node dissection (LND) and thyroid remnant ablation). BP was defined as suppressed thyroglobulin (Tg) levels <1 ng/ml and rhTSH-stimulated thyroglobulin (St-Tg) >1ng/ml, with no evidence of structural disease. Structural persistence/recurrence (SPR): clinically identifiable disease. We reviewed 278 records of DTC patients. Tg-Ab positive patients (n = 73) were excluded and 32 were included in the analysis (median age 45 years, range 18-77 years); risk of recurrence ATA was: low in 38 %, Intermediate in 47 %, and high in 15 % of patients. All subjects had Tg levels <1 ng/ml under thyroid hormone therapy. Patients were divided into three groups: Group 1: St-Tg 1-2 ng/ml, n = 6; Group 2: St-Tg 2-10 ng/ml, n = 17; Group 3: St-Tg > 10 ng/ml, n = 9. In 5/32 (16 %) patients, SPR was observed after a median follow-up of 6 years (range 2-23 years). In Group 1: all patients were considered with no evidence of disease after a median follow-up of 2 years (range 1-2.5 years). In Group 2: 13/17 (76.5 %) patients continued with only a BP after a median follow-up of 4 years (range 2-10 years) and 4/17 (23.5 %) patients with intermediate risk of recurrence had a structural persistence (lymph nodes metastasis) diagnosed between 1 and 3.5 years after initial assessment. Following LND, all of them remained with BP after a median of 2 years (range 1.5-5 years). In Group 3: 8/9 (89 %) patients had BP after a median follow-up of 7 years (range 2-23 years) and 1/9 (11 %) had a SPR diagnosed 28 months after initial assessment, LND was indicated but he continued with BP, 5 years after the second surgery. Most patients with DTC and BP present an indolent course of the disease. In these patients the diagnosis of the structural recurrence did not change the outcome because all of them continued with BP.

Clinical outcomes following empiric radioiodine therapy in patients with structurally identifiable metastatic follicular cell-derived thyroid carcinoma with negative diagnostic but positive post-therapy 131I whole-body scans.

BACKGROUND: While radioiodine (RAI) therapy remains the most effective treatment modality for RAI-avid distant metastatic follicular cell-derived thyroid cancer, the therapeutic utility of empiric RAI therapy in patients with structurally identifiable distant metastases that demonstrate RAI avidity only on the post-therapy scan (negative diagnostic whole-body scan [DxWBS]) remains uncertain. METHODS: We report a retrospective assessment of the structural response to RAI therapy in 27 patients (median age 54 years, 59% male) with metastatic thyroid cancer (45% classical papillary thyroid cancer, 21% poorly differentiated, 15% tall-cell variant, 15% follicular variant, and 4% Hurthle cell carcinoma) with structurally identifiable distant metastases (86% pulmonary metastases) in whom a properly conducted DxWBS was negative, and the post-therapy scan showed RAI-avid metastatic lesions at the time of RAI remnant ablation. RESULTS: In response to the initial RAI ablation, none of the selected patients demonstrated structural disease regression, and no patient was rendered free of disease. However, 12 patients (44%) demonstrated stable lesions on serial structural imaging after an RAI ablation. Structural disease progression was seen in the remaining 56% (15/27), a median of 6 months after ablation. Unfortunately, additional RAI therapies given to 12/15 patients with progressive disease and 5/12 patients with stable lesions failed to cause structural disease regression, cure, or conversion from progressive to stable disease in any patient. All of the disease-specific deaths (7/27) were in patients who had structural disease progression (n=15) in response to RAI ablation. None of the patients with persistent but stable lesions on structural imaging (n=12) have died of thyroid cancer over a median follow-up period of 3.7 years. CONCLUSIONS: While 44% of patients with the DxWBS-negative/post-therapy scan-positive macroscopic distant metastasis will have stable cross-sectional imaging after RAI remnant ablation, the other 56% will demonstrate structural disease progression that cannot be effectively treated with repeated empiric RAI activities. Furthermore, the high disease-specific mortality rate seen within the first few years of remnant ablation in this small subset of patients with persistent progressive disease despite a positive post-therapy RAI scan argues that treatments other than repeated empiric RAI dosing be strongly considered.

Skeletal-related events due to bone metastases from differentiated thyroid cancer.

BACKGROUND: In oncology, the clinical impact of metastatic bone disease is conveyed via a composite end point termed skeletal-related events (SRE), which encompasses spinal cord compression, pathological fracture, a need for external beam radiation or surgery to bone, and hypercalcemia of malignancy. An appreciation for the high incidence of SRE in other advanced cancers involving the bone has led to the approval of potent antiresorptive agents because they delay the time to the first SRE and decrease the incidence of SRE. The risk and rate of SRE after diagnosis of bone metastasis have not been described in thyroid cancer; antiresorptive agents are not routinely used. METHODS: This was a retrospective review of 245 differentiated thyroid cancer patients with bone metastases identified as part of routine clinical care at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center between 1960 and 2011. The occurrence of SRE was recorded from the initial diagnosis of bone metastasis until final follow-up or death. RESULTS: Seventy-eight percent of patients (192 of 245) either presented with or developed at least one SRE after the diagnosis of metastatic bone disease. The median time from identification of bone metastasis to first SRE was 5 months (excluding the 97 patients in whom first SRE occurred at the time of the bone metastasis diagnosis). Of the patients who sustained an initial SRE, 65% (120 of 192) went on to sustain a second SRE at a median of 10.7 months after the first event. SRE were frequently multiple; 39% (74 of 192) sustained three or more discrete SRE. CONCLUSION: Thyroid cancer bone metastases identified as part of routine clinical follow-up frequently cause significant and recurrent morbidity. The incidence of SRE and median time to first SRE in metastatic thyroid cancer to bone are similar to those reported in other solid tumors. Prospective clinical trials to assess the efficacy of antiresorptive agents in this population are needed.

In differentiated thyroid cancer, an incomplete structural response to therapy is associated with significantly worse clinical outcomes than only an incomplete thyroglobulin response.

BACKGROUND: We previously demonstrated the clinical utility of using response to therapy variables obtained during the first 2 years of follow-up to actively modify initial risk estimates which were obtained using standard clinic-pathologic staging systems. While our proposed dynamic risk stratification system accurately reclassified patients who demonstrated an excellent response to therapy as low-risk patients, it grouped patients with either biochemical or structural evidence of disease into a single incomplete response to therapy cohort. This cohort included a wide variety of patients ranging from very minor thyroglobulin (Tg) elevations in the absence of structurally identifiable disease to widespread, progressive structural disease. Here we determined whether subdivision of the incomplete response to therapy category more precisely predicted clinical outcomes. We hypothesized that patients with an incomplete response to therapy based on persistently abnormal Tg values alone would have better clinical outcomes than patients having structurally identifiable disease. METHODS: Following total thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine (RAI) ablation, 192 adult thyroid cancer patients were retrospectively identified as having either a biochemical incomplete response (abnormal Tg without structural evidence of disease) or structural incomplete response (structurally identifiable disease with or without abnormal Tg) as the best response to initial therapy within the first 24 months after RAI ablation. Clinical outcomes evaluated included structural disease progression, biochemical disease progression, and overall survival. RESULTS: Sixty-three patients (33%) had a biochemical incomplete response while 129 (67%) had a structural incomplete response. Eleven to 156 months after evaluation of their responses (mean=70 months), patients with structural incomplete response were significantly more likely to have structural evidence of disease at final follow-up (37% vs. 17%, p=0.0004), structural progression (52% vs. 5%, p<0.001), biochemical progression (45% vs. 11%, p<0.001), and death from disease (38% vs. 0%, p<0.0001) than patients demonstrating a biochemical incomplete response. Overall survival was significantly better in patients with either a biochemical incomplete response or a loco-regional structural incomplete response than patients demonstrating a structural incomplete response with distant metastasis (Kaplan-Meier analysis, p<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: A structural incomplete response to initial therapy is associated with significantly worse clinical outcome than a biochemical incomplete response to therapy.

Estimating risk of recurrence in differentiated thyroid cancer after total thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine remnant ablation: using response to therapy variables to modify the initial risk estimates predicted by the new American Thyroid Association staging system.

BACKGROUND: A risk-adapted approach to management of thyroid cancer requires risk estimates that change over time based on response to therapy and the course of the disease. The objective of this study was to validate the American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk of recurrence staging system and determine if an assessment of response to therapy during the first 2 years of follow-up can modify these initial risk estimates. METHODS: This retrospective review identified 588 adult follicular cell-derived thyroid cancer patients followed for a median of 7 years (range 1-15 years) after total thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine remnant ablation. Patients were stratified according to ATA risk categories (low, intermediate, or high) as part of initial staging. Clinical data obtained during the first 2 years of follow-up (suppressed thyroglobulin [Tg], stimulated Tg, and imaging studies) were used to re-stage each patient based on response to initial therapy (excellent, acceptable, or incomplete). Clinical outcomes predicted by initial ATA risk categories were compared with revised risk estimates obtained after response to therapy variables were used to modify the initial ATA risk estimates. RESULTS: Persistent structural disease or recurrence was identified in 3% of the low-risk, 21% of the intermediate-risk, and 68% of the high-risk patients (p < 0.001). Re-stratification during the first 2 years of follow-up reduced the likelihood of finding persistent structural disease or recurrence to 2% in low-risk, 2% in intermediate-risk, and 14% in high-risk patients, demonstrating an excellent response to therapy (stimulated Tg < 1 ng/mL without structural evidence of disease). Conversely, an incomplete response to initial therapy (suppressed Tg > 1 ng/mL, stimulated Tg > 10 ng/mL, rising Tg values, or structural disease identification within the first 2 years of follow-up) increased the likelihood of persistent structural disease or recurrence to 13% in low-risk, 41% in intermediate-risk, and 79% in high-risk patients. CONCLUSIONS: Our data confirm that the newly proposed ATA recurrence staging system effectively predicts the risk of recurrence and persistent disease. Further, these initial ATA risk estimates can be significantly refined based on the assessment of response to initial therapy, thereby providing a dynamic risk assessment that can be used to more effectively tailor ongoing follow-up recommendations.