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1.
Animals (Basel) ; 14(15)2024 Aug 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39123765

ABSTRACT

Animal personalities play a crucial role in invasion dynamics. During the invasion process, the behavioral strategies of native species vary among personalities, just as the invasive species exhibit variations in behavior strategies across personalities. However, the impact of personality interactions between native species and invasive species on behavior and growth are rarely illustrated. The red-eared slider turtle (Trachemys scripta elegans) is one of the worst invasive species in the world, threatening the ecology and fitness of many freshwater turtles globally. The Chinese pond turtle (Mauremys reevesii) is one of the freshwater turtles most threatened by T. scripta elegans in China. In this study, we used T. scripta elegans and M. reevesii to investigate how the personality combinations of native and invasive turtles would impact the foraging strategy and growth of both species during the invasion process. We found that M. reevesii exhibited bolder and more exploratory personalities than T. scripta elegans. The foraging strategy of M. reevesii was mainly affected by the personality of T. scripta elegans, while the foraging strategy of T. scripta elegans was influenced by both their own personality and personalities of M. reevesii. Additionally, we did not find that the personality combination would affect the growth of either T. scripta elegans or M. reevesii. Differences in foraging strategy may be due to the dominance of invasive species and variations in the superficial exploration and thorough exploitation foraging strategies related to personalities. The lack of difference in growth may be due to the energy allocation trade-offs between personalities or be masked by the slow growth rate of turtles. Overall, our results reveal the mechanisms of personality interaction effects on the short-term foraging strategies of both native and invasive species during the invasion process. They provide empirical evidence to understand the effects of personality on invasion dynamics, which is beneficial for enhancing comprehension understanding of the personality effects on ecological interactions and invasion biology.

2.
Environ Res ; 252(Pt 4): 119119, 2024 Jul 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38734290

ABSTRACT

Hexabromocyclododecane (HBCD), as a monitored chemical of the Chemical Weapons Convention, the Stockholm Convention and the Action Plan for New Pollutants Treatment in China, raises significant concerns on its impact of human health and food security. This study investigated enantiomer-specific biomarkers of HBCD in maize (Zea mays L.). Upon exposure to HBCD enantiomers, the maize root tip cell wall exhibited thinning, uneven cell gaps, and increased deposition on the cell outer wall. Elevated malondialdehyde (MDA) indicated lipid peroxidation, with higher mitochondrial membrane potential (MMP) inhibition in (+)-enantiomer treatments (47.2%-57.9%) than (-)-enantiomers (14.4%-37.4%). The cell death rate significantly increased by 37.7%-108.8% in roots and 16.4%-62.4% in shoots, accompanied by the upregulation of superoxide dismutase isoforms genes. Molecular docking presenting interactions between HBCD and target proteins, suggested that HBCD has an affinity for antioxidant enzyme receptors with higher binding energy for (+)-enantiomers, further confirming their stronger toxic effects. All indicators revealed that oxidative damage to maize seedlings was more severe after treatment with (+)-enantiomers compared to (-)-enantiomers. This study elucidates the biomarkers of phytotoxicity evolution induced by HBCD enantiomers, providing valuable insights for the formulation of more effective policies to safeguard environmental safety and human health in the future.


Subject(s)
Biomarkers , Hydrocarbons, Brominated , Molecular Docking Simulation , Zea mays , Zea mays/drug effects , Zea mays/genetics , Hydrocarbons, Brominated/toxicity , Stereoisomerism , Flame Retardants/toxicity , Lipid Peroxidation/drug effects
3.
Gut and Liver ; : 520-530, 2024.
Article in English | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-1042953

ABSTRACT

Background/Aims@#The occurrence and development of hepatitis B virus-associated acute-onchronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is closely related to the immune pathway. We explored the heterogeneity of peripheral blood T cell subsets and the characteristics of exhausted T lymphocytes, in an attempt to identify potential therapeutic target molecules for immune dysfunction in ACLF patients. @*Methods@#A total of 83,577 T cells from HBV-ACLF patients and healthy controls were screened for heterogeneity by single-cell RNA sequencing. In addition, exhausted T-lymphocyte subsets were screened to analyze their gene expression profiles, and their developmental trajectories were investigated. Subsequently, the expression of exhausted T cells and their capacity in secreting cytokines (interleukin 2, interferon γ, and tumor necrosis factor α) were validated by flow cytometry. @*Results@#A total of eight stable clusters were identified, among which CD4 + TIGIT + subset and CD8 + LAG-3 + subset, with high expression of exhaust genes, were significantly higher in the HBV-ACLF patients than in normal controls. As shown by pseudotime analysis, T cells experienced a transition from naïve T cells to effector T cells and then exhausted T cells. Flow cytometry confirmed that the CD4 + TIGIT + subset and CD8 + LAG-3 + subset in the peripheral blood of the ACLF patients were significantly higher than those in the healthy controls. Moreover, in vitro cultured CD8 + LAG-3 + T cells were significantly fewer capable of secreting cytokines than CD8 + LAG-3- subset. @*Conclusions@#Peripheral blood T cells are heterogeneous in HBV-ACLF. The exhausted T cells markedly increase during the pathogenesis of ACLF, suggesting that T-cell exhaustion is involved in the immune dysfunction of HBV-ACLF patients.

4.
Chinese Journal of Endemiology ; (12): 190-196, 2024.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-1024008

ABSTRACT

Objective:To analyze the epidemic characteristics of brucellosis in China from 2004 to 2018, in order to understand the development trend of brucellosis.Methods:The surveillance data of brucellosis in China from 2004 to 2018 were collected from National Public Health Science Data Center. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze the trend of brucellosis incidence in China and various provinces. Overall trends were estimated by the average annual percentage change (AAPC). Seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) was used to analyze the seasonal characteristics of brucellosis in China and various provinces. The age-related thermodynamic diagram of incidence rate was used to analyze the characteristics of age-onset changes.Results:From 2004 to 2018, a total of 524 980 brucellosis cases and 16 deaths were reported nationwide, with a incidence rate of 2.61/100 000 and a case fatality rate of (3.05 × 10 -3)%. The incidence of brucellosis in China was on the rise (AAPC = 11.58%, 95% CI: 7.91% - 15.25%, P < 0.001). There was no significant trend of change in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, Shanxi and Shaanxi provinces ( P > 0.05). Tibet Autonomous Region showed a downward trend (AAPC = - 55.19%, P < 0.001). All other provinces were showing an upward trend (AAPC > 0, P < 0.05). The peak incidence in China occurred from April to June. In terms of provinces, the peak incidence in Hainan, Sichuan, Guizhou, Fujian and Anhui provinces occurred from April to August, the peak incidence in Chongqing and Shanghai cities occurred from June to August, and the peak incidence in other provinces was generally from April to June. There were reports of brucellosis cases in all age groups nationwide, and the age distribution showed an inverted "V" shape. The peak incidence occurred in the 50 - 54 years old (5.43/100 000), followed by the 60 - 64 years old (4.94/100 000). From 2004 to 2018, the top 3 age groups of incidence rate changed from 40 - 44, 50 - 54 and 35 - 39 years old in 2004 to 50 - 54, 60 - 64 and 55 - 59 years old in 2018. Conclusions:The incidence of brucellosis is on the rise nationwide and in most provinces from 2004 to 2018. The high incidence age is gradually changing to the elderly population.

5.
Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) ; 14: 1295787, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38155955

ABSTRACT

Objective: To explore the cycle characteristics and pregnancy outcomes of progestin-primed ovarian stimulation (PPOS) using fixed versus degressive doses of medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA) in conjunction with letrozole (LE) in infertile women by propensity score matching (PSM) analysis. Design: A retrospective cohort study. Setting: Tertiary-care academic medical center. Population: A total of 3173 infertile women undergoing their first in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI) treatment within the period from January 2017 to December 2020. Methods: A total of 1068 and 783 patients who underwent a fixed dose of MPA combined with LE and a degressive dose of MPA combined with LE protocols, respectively, were enrolled in this study. The freeze-all approach and later frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET) were performed in both groups. Propensity score matching (1:1) was performed. Main outcome measures: The primary outcomes were the dosage of MPA and the incidence of premature luteinizing hormone (LH) surges. The secondary outcomes were the number of oocytes retrieved, the cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) and the fetal malformation rate. Results: We created a perfect match of 478 patients in each group. The dosage of MPA, the LH serum level on the eighth day of stimulation, progesterone (P) level and LH level on the hCG trigger day were significantly higher in the LE + fixed MPA group than in the LE + degressive MPA group (52.1 ± 13.1 mg vs. 44.9 ± 12.5 mg; 5.0 ± 2.7 IU/L vs. 3.7 ± 1.7 IU/L; 0.9 ± 0.5 ng/ml vs. 0.8 ± 0.5 ng/ml; 3.3 ± 2.4 IU/L vs. 2.8 ± 1.9 IU/L; P < 0.01). The duration of Gn, the number of follicles with diameter more than 16 mm on trigger day, the estradiol (E2) level on the hCG trigger day were lower in the LE + fixed MPA group than in the LE + degressive MPA group (9.7 ± 1.7 days vs. 10.3 ± 1.5 days; 5.6 ± 3.0 vs. 6.3 ± 3.0; 1752.5 ± 1120.8 pg/ml vs. 1997.2 ± 1108.5 pg/ml; P < 0.001). No significant difference was found in the incidence of premature LH surge, the number of oocytes retrieved, the number of top-quality embryos, clinical pregnancy rate (CPR), CLBR or fetal malformation rate between the two groups. Conclusion: The combination of a degressive MPA dose with LE proved effective in reducing the total MPA dosage with comparable premature LH surge and pregnancy outcomes in women undergoing the PPOS protocol.


Subject(s)
Infertility, Female , Progestins , Pregnancy , Humans , Female , Male , Medroxyprogesterone Acetate , Letrozole , Infertility, Female/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Propensity Score , Semen , Ovulation Induction/methods , Luteinizing Hormone
6.
J Geriatr Cardiol ; 20(5): 330-340, 2023 May 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37397870

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The validation of various risk scores in elderly patients with comorbid atrial fibrillation (AF) and acute coronary syndrome (ACS) has not been reported. The present study compared the predictive performance of existing risk scores in these patients. METHODS: A total of 1252 elderly patients with AF and ACS comorbidities (≥ 65 years old) were consecutively enrolled from January 2015 to December 2019. All patients were followed up for one year. The predictive performance of risk scores in predicting bleeding and thromboembolic events was calculated and compared. RESULTS: During the 1-year follow-up, 183 (14.6%) patients had thromboembolic events, 198 (15.8%) patients had BARC class ≥ 2 bleeding events, and 61 (4.9%) patients had BARC class ≥ 3 bleeding events. For the BARC class ≥ 3 bleeding events, discrimination of the existing risk scores was low to moderate, PRECISE-DAPT (C-statistic: 0.638, 95% CI: 0.611-0.665), ATRIA (C-statistic: 0.615, 95% CI: 0.587-0.642), PARIS-MB (C-statistic: 0.612, 95% CI: 0.584-0.639), HAS-BLED (C-statistic: 0.597, 95% CI: 0.569-0.624) and CRUSADE (C-statistic: 0.595, 95% CI: 0.567-0.622). However, the calibration was good. PRECISE-DAPT showed a higher integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) than PARIS-MB, HAS-BLED, ATRIA, and CRUSADE (P < 0.05) and the best decision curve analysis (DCA). For thromboembolic events, the discrimination of GRACE (C-statistic: 0.636, 95% CI: 0.608-0.662) was higher than CHA2DS2-VASc (C-statistic: 0.612, 95% CI: 0.584-0.639), OPT-CAD (C-statistic: 0.602, 95% CI: 0.574-0.629) and PARIS-CTE (C-statistic: 0.595, 95% CI: 0.567-0.622). The calibration was good. Compared to OPT-CAD and PARIS-CTE, the IDI of the GRACE score slightly improved (P < 0.05). However, NRI analysis showed no significant difference. DCA showed that the clinical practicability of thromboembolic risk scores was similar. CONCLUSIONS: The discrimination and calibration of existing risk scores in predicting 1-year thromboembolic and bleeding events were unsatisfactory in elderly patients with comorbid AF and ACS. PRECISE-DAPT showed higher IDI and DCA than other risk scores in predicting BARC class ≥ 3 bleeding events. The GRACE score showed a slight advantage in predicting thrombotic events.

7.
Int J Gynaecol Obstet ; 162(3): 913-921, 2023 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37010882

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To explore the effect of abnormally elevated serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) on pregnancy outcomes in patients with moderate and severe ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS) at disease onset. METHODS: This was a single-center retrospective cohort study conducted between January 1, 2014 and October 31, 2021. A total of 3550 fresh in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection embryo transfer cycles were included, using Golan's three-degree, five-level classification to diagnose patients with OHSS. According to the patient's ALT level after diagnosis of OHSS, 123 (3.46%) patients with moderate-to-severe OHSS were divided into two groups. A control group included 3427 (96.54%) non-OHSS patients, and 91 (2.56%) abnormal ALT patients were matched with the control group for propensity scores. RESULTS: There was no difference in baseline data between the abnormal ALT and matched control groups. The incidence of obstetric complications was significantly higher in the abnormal ALT group than in the matched control group (P < 0.05). After adjusting for confounding factors, the incidence of obstetric complications in the abnormal ALT group was still higher than that in the normal ALT group (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: In patients with moderate and severe OHSS, higher ALT levels resulted in an increased risk of obstetric and neonatal complications.


Subject(s)
Alanine Transaminase , Ovarian Hyperstimulation Syndrome , Female , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Pregnancy , Alanine Transaminase/blood , Fertilization in Vitro/methods , Ovarian Hyperstimulation Syndrome/epidemiology , Ovulation Induction/adverse effects , Pregnancy Rate , Retrospective Studies
8.
Sci Total Environ ; 874: 162508, 2023 May 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36863582

ABSTRACT

Sediment is the internal and external source of water environment pollution, so sediment remediation is the premise of water body purification. Sediment microbial fuel cell (SMFC) can remove the organic pollutants in sediment by electroactive microorganisms, compete with methanogens for electrons, and realize resource recycling, methane emission inhibiting and energy recovering. Due to these characteristics, SMFC have attracted wide attention for sediment remediation. In this paper, we comprehensively summarized the recent advances of SMFC in the following areas: (1) The advantages and disadvantages of current applied sediment remediation technologies; (2) The basic principles and influencing factors of SMFC; (3) The application of SMFC for pollutant removal, phosphorus transformation and remote monitoring and power supply; (4) Enhancement strategies for SMFC in sediments remediation such as SMFC coupled with constructed wetland, aquatic plant and iron-based reaction. Finally, we have summarized the drawback of SMFC and discuss the future development directions of applying SMFC for sediment bioremediation.


Subject(s)
Bioelectric Energy Sources , Biodegradation, Environmental , Electrons , Plants , Water , Electrodes , Geologic Sediments
9.
Cell Death Discov ; 9(1): 77, 2023 Feb 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36841811

ABSTRACT

Understanding the complex pathogenesis in myocardial ischemia/reperfusion (I/R) injury (IRI) is an urgent problem in clinical trials. Increasing pieces of evidence have suggested that miRNAs are involved in the occurrence and development of heart diseases by regulating mitochondria-related gene expression. Mitochondria have been acknowledged as the key triggers of cardiac I/R injury. However, the potential impact of miR-130a on mitochondria remains unclear in myocardial IRI. Exploring the regulatory mechanism of miR-130a on mitochondria may provide a new target for IRI therapy. In the present study, we found that miR-130a significantly increased in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients and myocardial I/R rats. MiR-130a could downregulate the viability of cardiomyocytes and the knockdown of miR-130a could protect the viability of cardiomyocytes under hypoxia-reoxygenation (HR). Over-expression of miR-130a resulted in mitochondrial dysfunction. It was evidenced by decreases in mitochondrial ATP production, mitochondrial membrane potential (MMP), and an increase in reactive oxygen species (ROS) production. However, suppression of miR-130a could protect against mitochondrial damage, show elevation of mitochondrial ATP production rate and MMP, and reduce ROS production. We further explored the effect of miR-130a on the mitochondrial quality control (QMC) system by determining mitochondrial-protein-specific proteases and analyzed mitochondrial morphology by fluorescence imaging and electron microscopy, respectively. It was noted that miR-130a could suppress mitochondrial fusion and FUNDC1-mediated mitophagy to accelerate myocardial IRI. Moreover, we investigated the potential miR-130a targeted mitochondria-related genes to understand the regulatory mechanism of miR-130a in the setting of myocardial IRI. It was revealed that miR-130a targeted GJA1, and GJA1 rescued IRI by enhancing ATP production rate and oxidative phosphorylation, meanwhile protecting cell viability, MMP, and activating mitophagy. In addition, the knockdown of miR-130a significantly activated FUNDC1-mediated mitophagy, while the knockdown of GJA1 reversed the relevant response. Collectively, our findings suggest that miR-130a regulates FUNDC1-mediated mitophagy by targeting GJA1 in myocardial IRI.

10.
iScience ; 26(1): 105839, 2023 Jan 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36660475

ABSTRACT

The oral microbiome has been implicated in a growing number of diseases; however, determinants of the oral microbiome and their roles remain elusive. Here, we investigated the oral (saliva and tongue dorsum) metagenome, the whole genome, and other omics data in a total of 4,478 individuals and demonstrated that the oral microbiome composition and its major contributing host factors significantly differed between sexes. We thus conducted a sex-stratified metagenome-genome-wide-association study (M-GWAS) and identified 11 differential genetic associations with the oral microbiome (p sex-difference  < 5 × 10-8). Furthermore, we performed sex-stratified Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses and identified abundant causalities between the oral microbiome and serum metabolites. Notably, sex-specific microbes-hormonal interactions explained the mostly observed sex hormones differences such as the significant causalities enrichments for aldosterone in females and androstenedione in males. These findings illustrate the necessity of sex stratification and deepen our understanding of the interplay between the oral microbiome and serum metabolites.

11.
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion ; (12): 1118-1122, 2023.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-1007453

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE@#To observe the effect of acupuncture exercise therapy synchronizing isokinetic muscle strength training on the motor function, stability and proprioception of knee joint, as well as the anxiety emotion in patients after meniscectomy under arthroscopy.@*METHODS@#A total of 70 patients after meniscectomy under arthroscopy were randomized into an observation group (35 cases, 2 cases were eliminated, 2 cases dropped off) and a control group (35 cases, 2 cases were eliminated, 1 case dropped off). Acupuncture was applied at Chize (LU 5), Neixiyan (EX-LE 4), Dubi (ST 35),Yanglingquan (GB 34), etc. on the affective side in the two groups. After 30 min, the needles of the knee joint area were withdrew, while the needle at elbow was continuously retained, the observation group was given acupuncture exercise therapy synchronizing isokinetic muscle strength training, and the control group was given conventional acupuncture exercise therapy. The treatment was given once a day, 7-day treatment was taken as one course, and totally 4 courses were required in the two groups. Before and after treatment, the knee joint Lysholm score, the knee joint isokinetic muscle strength flexion/extension ratio (H/Q), joint position sense measurement (JPS) and Hamilton anxiety scale (HAMA) score were compared in the two groups.@*RESULTS@#After treatment, the knee joint Lysholm scores and H/Q were increased compared with those before treatment in the two groups (P<0.001), and the knee joint Lysholm score and H/Q in the observation group were higher than those in the control group (P<0.001); the JPS and HAMA scores were decreased compared with those before treatment in the two groups (P<0.001), the JPS and HAMA score in the observation group were lower than those in the control group (P<0.05).@*CONCLUSION@#Acupuncture exercise therapy synchronizing isokinetic muscle strength training can effectively improve the motor function, stability and proprioception of knee joint, as well as the anxiety emotion in patients after meniscectomy under arthroscopy.


Subject(s)
Humans , Arthroscopy , Meniscectomy , Resistance Training , Treatment Outcome , Osteoarthritis, Knee/therapy , Acupuncture Therapy , Exercise Therapy , Muscles , Muscle Strength , Acupuncture Points
12.
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion ; (12): 1219-1220, 2023.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-1007468

ABSTRACT

The needle-thread integrative embedding needle consists of needle handle, needle core, thread, locker and needle guard. The thread is fixed in the core by the locker. With the needle inserted into acupoint, the locker is separated from the thread, while the thread is embedded directly into acupoint, to achieve one acupoint with one needle. This type of thread embedding needle is operated simply and safely without cross infection occurrence, easy to carry.


Subject(s)
Acupuncture Therapy , Acupuncture Points
13.
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin ; (12): 1036-1041, 2023.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-1013778

ABSTRACT

Aim To investigate the effect of overexpression of silent information regulator 1 (Sirtl) on cardiac function in mice with myocardial ischemia. Methods Myocardial specific Sirtl overexpression transgenic mice (Sirtl-Tg) and littermate control mice (C57BL/6J), half male and half female, were randomly divided into control sham operation group (Con), control model group (Con +ISO), Sirtl overexpression sham operation group (Sirtl-Tg) and Sirtl overexpression model group (Sirtl-Tg + ISO). Isoproterenol (ISO) was injected subcutaneously into the back of the neck at 100 mg • kg

14.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-990187

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate and analyze the correlation between family function and disease benefit perception among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).Methods:A cross-sectional study, convenient sampling method, family function Assessment Scale (APGAR) and disease benefit scale were used to investigate the family function assessment and disease benefit of 172 COPD patients in the respiratory department of Yinchuan First People ′s Hospital from January to April 2021. Results:The total score of family function in COPD patients was (7.74 ± 2.50) points, and the total score of disease benefit was (53.24 ± 7.03) points. There was a positive correlation between family function and disease benefit in COPD patients ( r values were 0.041-0.275, P<0.05). Conclusions:The disease benefit of COPD patients was closely related to family function, and improving the level of family function support can improve the disease benefit of COPD patients.

15.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-998520

ABSTRACT

Objective To compare the prediction effect of combined model and single model in HFRS incidence fitting and prediction, and to provide a reference for optimizing HFRS prediction model. Methods The province with the highest incidence in China (Heilongjiang Province) in recent years was selected as the research site. The monthly incidence data of HFRS in Heilongjiang Province from 2004 to 2017 were collected. The data from 2004 to 2016 was used as training data, and the data from January to December 2017 was used as test data. The training data was used to train SARIMA , ETS and NNAR models, respectively. The reciprocal variance method and particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) were used to calculate the model coefficients of SARIMA, ETS and NNAR, respectively, to construct combined model A and combined model B. The established models were used to predict the incidence of HFRS from January to December 2017. The fitted and predicted values of the five models were compared with the training data and test data, respectively. Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Standard Deviation (RMSE), and Mean Error Rate (MER) were used to evaluate the model fitting and prediction effects. Results The optimal SARIMA model was SARIMA(1,0,2)(2,1,1)12. The optimal ETS model was ETS(M, N, M), and the smoothing parameter =0.738,=1*10. The optimal NNAR model was NNAR(13,1,7)12. The residuals of the three single models were white noise (P>0.05). The expression of combined model A was ŷ=0.134*ySARIMA+0.162*yETS+0.704*yNNAR; the expression of combined model B was ŷ=0.246*ySARIMA+0.435*yETS+0.319*yNNAR. The MAPE, MAE, RMSE, and MER fitted by SARIMA, ETS, NNAR, combined model A and combined model B were 24.10%, 0.11, 0.17, 23.29%; 17.14%, 0.08, 0.14, 17.96%; 6.33%, 0.02, 0.03, 4.25%; 9.03%, 0.03, 0.05, 7.51%; 13.16%, 0.06, 0.09, 12.33%, respectively. The MAPE, MAE, RMSE, and MER predicted by the five models were 18.70%, 0.05, 0.06, 19.62%; 23.83%, 0.06, 0.07, 24.49%; 28.30%, 0.07, 0.10, 29.21%; 21.69%, 0.06, 0.08, 22.63%; 17.39%, 0.05, 0.07, 18.76%, respectively. Conclusion The fitting and prediction effects of the combined models are better than the single models. The combined model based on PSO to calculate the weight of the single model is the optimal model.

16.
Chinese Journal of Endemiology ; (12): 817-822, 2023.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-1023933

ABSTRACT

Objective:To analyze the epidemic characteristics and periodicity of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) in Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, and provide a basis for scientific prevention and control of HFRS in Jingzhou City.Methods:Retrospective analysis was used to collect HFRS case data and population data of Jingzhou City and 8 counties (cities, districts) within its jurisdiction, including Shashi District, Jingzhou District, Gongan County, Jianli City, Jiangling County, Shishou City, Honghu City, and Songzi City from 1962 to 2020, from the Archives of the Jingzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the Infectious Disease Report Information Management System of the China Disease Control and Prevention Information System; and the epidemic characteristics of HFRS was analyzed in Jingzhou City and 8 counties (cities, districts) within its jurisdiction. The periodicity of HFRS onset was determined using wavelet analysis.Results:From 1962 to 2020, 18 936 HFRS cases were reported in Jingzhou City, with an average incidence rate of 5.95/100 000. There were a total of three epidemic peaks, namely from 1972 to 1973 (24.82/100 000, 24.84/100 000), 1983 (60.08/100 000), and 1995 (14.57/100 000). According to different regions, the high incidence areas of HFRS showed a phased transfer trend: from the 1960s to the 1970s, the Jiangbei area (Honghu City, Jianli City) was the highest incidence area; in the 1980s and 1990s, the high incidence areas were transferred to Jiangnan area (Songzi City, Shishou City, and Gongan County); after 2005, high incidence areas were relocated to Jiangbei area (Honghu City, Jianli City, Jiangling County). The wavelet analysis results showed that there were 12.30 and 21.77 years of HFRS epidemic cycles in Jingzhou City before 2000 ( P < 0.05); among them, the periodicity of Shashi District, Gongan County, Jiangling County, Shishou City, and Honghu City was relatively consistent with that of Jingzhou City, with epidemic cycles of about 12 or 22 years ( P < 0.05). Conclusions:Jingzhou City is currently at the peak of a 22-year epidemic cycle of HFRS, with Jiangbei area as the high incidence areas. The 12-year epidemic cycle in Jingzhou City has ended after 2000.

17.
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology ; (12): 589-596, 2023.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-1027217

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the prevalence of influenza, pneumococcal, hepatitis B virus (HBV), human papillomavirus (HPV), and varicella zoster virus (VZV) vaccination in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and to analyze the factors related to vaccination.Methods:Data were obtained from 1 203 patients with SLE, via a multi-center web-based survey using an online questionnaire. Data about their social conditions, clinical presentations, willingness for being vaccinated, vaccination within 5 years were collected. Demographic data were shown by descriptive analysis. Chi-square and logistic regression analysis were used to assess the power of related indexes as predictors of vaccination.Results:The vaccination rates of influenza, pneumococcal, HBV, HPV, and VZV were 5.49% (66/1 203), 0.66% (8/1 203), 2.08% (25/1 203), 3.82% (46/1 203), and 0.17% (2/1 203), respectively. Data analysis showed that higher education ( χ2=30.94, P<0.001) and higher income ( χ2=10.70, P=0.001) had greater effects on influenza vaccination. There was a relationship between HPV vaccination and higher education ( χ2=20.96, P<0.001), higher income ( χ2=20.56, P<0.001), younger age ( χ2=8.54, P=0.001), and single ( χ2=5.63, P=0.018). Male ( χ2=10.27, P=0.001) and higher education ( χ2=4.52, P=0.034) were associated with HBV vaccination. The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that higher education [ OR (95% CI)=2.14 (1.10, 4.18), P=0.026], having children under 18 years-old [ OR(95% CI)=1.802(1.02, 3.18), P=0.042], and hydroxychloroquine usage [ OR(95% CI)=2.55(1.06, 6.15), P=0.037], had a positive correlation with influenza vaccination. Male [ OR(95% CI)=4.24(1.37, 13.08), P=0.012], had an impact on HBV vaccination. The factors related to HPV vaccination included age <45 [ OR (95% CI)=0.93(0.89, 0.97), P=0.001], higher education [ OR(95% CI)=2.28(1.11, 4.65), P=0.024], higher income [ OR(95% CI)=2.68(1.32, 3.41), P=0.006] and the usage of immunosuppressive agents [ OR(95% CI)=1.92(1.03, 3.59), P=0.041]. Conclusion:The prevalence of vaccination in patients with SLE is low. Patients with higher education and income are more likely to being vaccinated.

18.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-1028589

ABSTRACT

Objective:To analyze the clinical characteristics of elderly-onset gouty arthritis and risk factors of tophi.Methods:A total of 1 239 gout patients were retrospective selected in the outpatient department of the Gout Clinical Medical Center of the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University from 2016 to 2022. According to age of onset, they were divided into the young and middle-aged group(aged<60) consisted of 826 cases, and the elderly group(aged≥60) consisted of 413 cases. Compare the clinical characteristics of elderly with Young and Middle-aged patients.Results:The systolic blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, creatinine, regular exercise, comorbidities, and tophi in the elderly group was higher than that in the middle-aged and young group. The proportion of diastolic blood pressure, serum triglycerides, eGFR, serum uric acid, alcohol consumption rate, and family history of gout was lower than that of young and middle-aged group( P<0.05); In the elderly-onset group, the initial site of arthritis was commonly observed in the first metatarsophalangeal joint. The proportion of the first attack with the upper limb joint was higher in old age group than in young and middle age group( P<0.05). Renal underexcretion type was the main subtype in the elderly group, and the proportion of overproduction type was higher than that of the young and middle-aged group( P<0.05). The logistic regression analysis showed that age, urea nitrogen, disease duration≥10 years and family history of gout were risk factors for tophi in elderly patients( P<0.05). Conclusion:The elderly-onset gout has unique clinical characteristics, characterized by a higher prevalence of tophi, a higher rate of complications. An initial site of arthritis commonly observed in the first metatarsophalangeal joint and the predominant type of uric acid excretion is renal excretion impairment. Early diagnosis and treatment, control of blood uric acid levels, smoking cessation and alcohol, regular exercise should be applied to prevent or delay the formation of tophi.

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Article in Chinese | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-1028590

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the clinical characteristics and risk factors of multiple tophi among gout patients.Methods:Gout patients treated at Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University from September 2017 to September 2021 were included retrospectively. According to the number of tophi, the patients were divided into the multiple tophi group, the single tophi group and the non-tophi group. Clinical data were collected, biochemical indices and urine pH value were determined. One- way ANOVA or Chi-square test was used to compare groups, and multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors. Results:The age, disease course, blood pressure, serum uric acid, urea nitrogen, and the rate of family history, smoking, drinking, gout attacks≥2 twice per year, hypertension, cardio-cerebrovascular diseases, kidney stones in the multiple tophi group were significantly higher than those in the single tophi group and the non-tophi group. The glomerular filtration rate, urine pH value and the rate of regular exercise were significantly lower than those of single tophi group and non-tophi group. In the multiple tophi group, 245 cases(44.46%) were involved in the interphalangeal joint or metacarpophalangeal joint, 212 cases(38.47%) were involved in other joints of the upper limb, which was second only to the first metatarsophalangeal joint(349 cases, 63.33%). Logistic regression analysis showed that the course of disease, urea nitrogen, serum uric acid, positive family history, drinking, gout attacks ≥twice per year and hypertension were the risk factors for multiple tophi in gout patients. Conclusion:Patients with a long disease course, elevated uric acid, high urea nitrogen, positive family history, alcohol consumption, frequent gout flare and hypertension are more likely to develop multiple tophi.

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Chinese Journal of Radiology ; (12): 889-896, 2023.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-993017

ABSTRACT

Objective:To assess the effectiveness of a model created using clinical features and preoperative chest CT imaging features in predicting the chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) among patients diagnosed with lung cancer.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical (age, gender, smoking history, smoking index, etc.) and imaging (lesion size, location, density, lobulation sign, etc.) data from 444 lung cancer patients confirmed by pathology at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Naval Medical University between June 2014 and March 2021. These patients were randomly divided into a training set (310 patients) and an internal test set (134 patients) using a 7∶3 ratio through the random function in Python. Based on the results of pulmonary function tests, the patients were further categorized into two groups: lung cancer combined with COPD and lung cancer non-COPD. Initially, univariate analysis was performed to identify statistically significant differences in clinical characteristics between the two groups. The variables showing significance were then included in the logistic regression analysis to determine the independent factors predicting lung cancer combined with COPD, thereby constructing the clinical model. The image features underwent a filtering process using the minimum absolute value convergence and selection operator. The reliability of these features was assessed through leave-P groups-out cross-validation repeated five times. Subsequently, a radiological model was developed. Finally, a combined model was established by combining the radiological signature with the clinical features. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) curves were plotted to evaluate the predictive capability and clinical applicability of the model. The area under the curve (AUC) for each model in predicting lung cancer combined with COPD was compared using the DeLong test.Results:In the training set, there were 182 cases in the lung cancer combined with COPD group and 128 cases in the lung cancer non-COPD group. The combined model demonstrated an AUC of 0.89 for predicting lung cancer combined with COPD, while the clinical model achieved an AUC of 0.82 and the radiological model had an AUC of 0.85. In the test set, there were 78 cases in the lung cancer combined with COPD group and 56 cases in the lung cancer non-COPD group. The combined model yielded an AUC of 0.85 for predicting lung cancer combined with COPD, compared to 0.77 for the clinical model and 0.83 for the radiological model. The difference in AUC between the radiological model and the clinical model was not statistically significant ( Z=1.40, P=0.163). However, there were statistically significant differences in the AUC values between the combined model and the clinical model ( Z=-4.01, P=0.010), as well as between the combined model and the radiological model ( Z=-2.57, P<0.001). DCA showed the maximum net benifit of the combined model. Conclusion:The developed synthetic diagnostic combined model, incorporating both radiological signature and clinical features, demonstrates the ability to predict COPD in patients with lung cancer.

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