An End-to-End Integrated Clinical and CT-Based Radiomics Nomogram for Predicting Disease Severity and Need for Ventilator Support in COVID-19 Patients: A Large Multisite Retrospective Study.

Objective: The disease COVID-19 has caused a widespread global pandemic with ~3. 93 million deaths worldwide. In this work, we present three models-radiomics (MRM), clinical (MCM), and combined clinical-radiomics (MRCM) nomogram to predict COVID-19-positive patients who will end up needing invasive mechanical ventilation from the baseline CT scans. Methods: We performed a retrospective multicohort study of individuals with COVID-19-positive findings for a total of 897 patients from two different institutions (Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, D1 = 787, and University Hospitals, US D2 = 110). The patients from institution-1 were divided into 60% training, D 1 T ( N = 473 ) , and 40% test set D 1 V ( N = 314 ) . The patients from institution-2 were used for an independent validation test set D 2 V ( N = 110 ) . A U-Net-based neural network (CNN) was trained to automatically segment out the COVID consolidation regions on the CT scans. The segmented regions from the CT scans were used for extracting first- and higher-order radiomic textural features. The top radiomic and clinical features were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) with an optimal binomial regression model within D 1 T . Results: The three out of the top five features identified using D 1 T were higher-order textural features (GLCM, GLRLM, GLSZM), whereas the last two features included the total absolute infection size on the CT scan and the total intensity of the COVID consolidations. The radiomics model (MRM) was constructed using the radiomic score built using the coefficients obtained from the LASSO logistic model used within the linear regression (LR) classifier. The MRM yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.754 (0.709-0.799) on D 1 T , 0.836 on D 1 V , and 0.748 D 2 V . The top prognostic clinical factors identified in the analysis were dehydrogenase (LDH), age, and albumin (ALB). The clinical model had an AUC of 0.784 (0.743-0.825) on D 1 T , 0.813 on D 1 V , and 0.688 on D 2 V . Finally, the combined model, MRCM integrating radiomic score, age, LDH and ALB, yielded an AUC of 0.814 (0.774-0.853) on D 1 T , 0.847 on D 1 V , and 0.771 on D 2 V . The MRCM had an overall improvement in the performance of ~5.85% ( D 1 T : p = 0.0031; D 1 V p = 0.0165; D 2 V : p = 0.0369) over MCM. Conclusion: The novel integrated imaging and clinical model (MRCM) outperformed both models (MRM) and (MCM). Our results across multiple sites suggest that the integrated nomogram could help identify COVID-19 patients with more severe disease phenotype and potentially require mechanical ventilation.

Combined Radiomic and Visual Assessment for Improved Detection of Lung Adenocarcinoma Invasiveness on Computed Tomography Scans: A Multi-Institutional Study.

Objective: The timing and nature of surgical intervention for semisolid abnormalities are dependent upon distinguishing between adenocarcinoma-in-situ (AIS), minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA), and invasive adenocarcinoma (INV). We sought to develop and evaluate a quantitative imaging method to determine invasiveness of small, ground-glass lesions on computed tomography (CT) chest scans. Methods: The study comprised 268 patients from 4 institutions with resected (<=3 cm) semisolid lesions with confirmed histopathological diagnosis of MIA/AIS or INV. A total of 248 radiomic texture features from within the tumor nodule (intratumoral) and adjacent to the nodule (peritumoral) were extracted from manually annotated lung nodules of chest CT scans. The datasets were randomly divided, with 40% of patients used for training and 60% used for testing the machine classifier (Training DTrain, N=106; Testing, DTest, N=162). Results: The top five radiomic stable features included four intratumoral (Laws and Haralick feature families) and one peritumoral feature within 3 to 6 mm of the nodule (CoLlAGe feature family), which successfully differentiated INV from MIA/AIS nodules with an AUC of 0.917 [0.867-0.967] on DTrain and 0.863 [0.79-0.931] on DTest. The radiomics model successfully differentiated INV from MIA cases (<1 cm AUC: 0.76 [0.53-0.98], 1-2 cm AUC: 0.92 [0.85-0.98], 2-3 cm AUC: 0.95 [0.88-1]). The final integrated model combining the classifier with the radiologists' score gave the best AUC on DTest (AUC=0.909, p<0.001). Conclusions: Addition of advanced image analysis via radiomics to the routine visual assessment of CT scans help better differentiate adenocarcinoma subtypes and can aid in clinical decision making. Further prospective validation in this direction is warranted.

Novel MRI deformation-heterogeneity radiomic features are associated with molecular subgroups and overall survival in pediatric medulloblastoma: Preliminary findings from a multi-institutional study.

Introduction: Medulloblastoma (MB) is a malignant, heterogenous brain tumor. Advances in molecular profiling have led to identifying four molecular subgroups of MB (WNT, SHH, Group 3, Group 4), each with distinct clinical behaviors. We hypothesize that (1) aggressive MB tumors, growing heterogeneously, induce pronounced local structural deformations in the surrounding parenchyma, and (b) these local deformations as captured on Gadolinium (Gd)-enhanced-T1w MRI are independently associated with molecular subgroups, as well as overall survival in MB patients. Methods: In this work, a total of 88 MB studies from 2 institutions were analyzed. Following tumor delineation, Gd-T1w scan for every patient was registered to a normal age-specific T1w-MRI template via deformable registration. Following patient-atlas registration, local structural deformations in the brain parenchyma were obtained for every patient by computing statistics from deformation magnitudes obtained from every 5mm annular region, 0 < d < 60 mm, where d is the distance from the tumor infiltrating edge. Results: Multi-class comparison via ANOVA yielded significant differences between deformation magnitudes obtained for Group 3, Group 4, and SHH molecular subgroups, observed up to 60-mm outside the tumor edge. Additionally, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the local deformation statistics, combined with the current clinical risk-stratification approaches (molecular subgroup information and Chang's classification), could identify significant differences between high-risk and low-risk survival groups, achieving better performance results than using any of these approaches individually. Discussion: These preliminary findings suggest there exists significant association of our tumor-induced deformation descriptor with overall survival in MB, and that there could be an added value in using the proposed radiomic descriptor along with the current risk classification approaches, towards more reliable risk assessment in pediatric MB.

Integrated Clinical and CT Based Artificial Intelligence Nomogram for Predicting Severity and Need for Ventilator Support in COVID-19 Patients: A Multi-Site Study.

Almost 25% of COVID-19 patients end up in ICU needing critical mechanical ventilation support. There is currently no validated objective way to predict which patients will end up needing ventilator support, when the disease is mild and not progressed. N = 869 patients from two sites (D1: N = 822, D2: N = 47) with baseline clinical characteristics and chest CT scans were considered for this study. The entire dataset was randomly divided into 70% training, D1train (N = 606) and 30% test-set (Dtest: D1test (N = 216) + D2 (N = 47)). An expert radiologist delineated ground-glass-opacities (GGOs) and consolidation regions on a subset of D1train, (D1train_sub, N = 88). These regions were automatically segmented and used along with their corresponding CT volumes to train an imaging AI predictor (AIP) on D1train to predict the need of mechanical ventilators for COVID-19 patients. Finally, top five prognostic clinical factors selected using univariate analysis were integrated with AIP to construct an integrated clinical and AI imaging nomogram (ClAIN). Univariate analysis identified lactate dehydrogenase, prothrombin time, aspartate aminotransferase, %lymphocytes, albumin as top five prognostic clinical features. AIP yielded an AUC of 0.81 on Dtest and was independently prognostic irrespective of other clinical parameters on multivariable analysis (p<0.001). ClAIN improved the performance over AIP yielding an AUC of 0.84 (p = 0.04) on Dtest. ClAIN outperformed AIP in predicting which COVID-19 patients ended up needing a ventilator. Our results across multiple sites suggest that ClAIN could help identify COVID-19 with severe disease more precisely and likely to end up on a life-saving mechanical ventilation.

A prognostic and predictive computational pathology image signature for added benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in early stage non-small-cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: We developed and validated a prognostic and predictive computational pathology risk score (CoRiS) using H&E stained tissue images from patients with early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (ES-NSCLC). METHODS: 1330 patients with ES-NSCLC were acquired from 3 independent sources and divided into four cohorts D1-4. D1 comprised 100 surgery treated patients and was used to identify prognostic features via an elastic-net Cox model to predict overall and disease-free survival. CoRiS was constructed using the Cox model coefficients for the top features. The prognostic performance of CoRiS was evaluated on D2 (N=331), D3 (N=657) and D4 (N=242). Patients from D2 and D3 which comprised surgery + chemotherapy were used to validate CoRiS as predictive of added benefit to adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) by comparing survival between different CoRiS defined risk groups. FINDINGS: CoRiS was found to be prognostic on univariable analysis, D2 (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.41, adjusted (adj.) P = .01) and D3 (HR = 1.35, adj. P < .001). Multivariable analysis showed CoRiS was independently prognostic, D2 (HR = 1.41, adj. P < .001) and D3 (HR = 1.35, adj. P < .001), after adjusting for clinico-pathologic factors. CoRiS was also able to identify high-risk patients who derived survival benefit from ACT D2 (HR = 0.42, adj. P = .006) and D3 (HR = 0.46, adj. P = .08). INTERPRETATION: CoRiS is a tissue non-destructive, quantitative and low-cost tool that could potentially help guide management of ES-NSCLC patients. FUNDING: Data collection, anlaysis, and computation resources of the research reported in this publication was supported by the National Cancer Institute of the National Institutes of Health under award numbers: 1U24CA199374-01, R01CA202752-01A1, R01CA208236-01A1, R01 CA216579-01A1, R01 CA220581-01A1, 1U01 CA239055-01. National Center for Research Resources under award number 1 C06 RR12463-01. VA Merit Review Award IBX004121A from the United States Department of Veterans Affairs Biomedical Laboratory Research and Development Service, the DOD Prostate Cancer Idea Development Award (W81XWH-15-1-0558), the DOD Lung Cancer Investigator-Initiated Translational Research Award (W81XWH-18-1-0440), the DOD Peer Reviewed Cancer Research Program (W81XWH-16-1-0329), the Ohio Third Frontier Technology Validation Fund, the Wallace H. Coulter Foundation Program in the Department of Biomedical Engineering and the Clinical and Translational Science Award Program (CTSA) at Case Western Reserve University.

CT derived radiomic score for predicting the added benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy following surgery in stage I, II resectable non-small cell lung cancer: a retrospective multicohort study for outcome prediction.

BACKGROUND: Use of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with early-stage lung cancer is controversial because no definite biomarker exists to identify patients who would receive added benefit from it. We aimed to develop and validate a quantitative radiomic risk score (QuRiS) and associated nomogram (QuRNom) for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) that is prognostic of disease-free survival and predictive of the added benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy following surgery. METHODS: We did a retrospective multicohort study of individuals with early-stage NSCLC (stage I and II) who either received surgery alone or surgery plus adjuvant chemotherapy. We selected patients for whom we had available pre-treatment diagnostic CT scans and corresponding survival information. We used radiomic texture features derived from within and outside the primary lung nodule on chest CT scans of patients from the Cleveland Clinic Foundation (Cleveland, OH, USA; cohort D1) to develop QuRiS. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-Cox regularisation model was used for data dimension reduction, feature selection, and QuRiS construction. QuRiS was independently validated on a cohort of patients from the University of Pennsylvania (Philadephia, PA, USA; cohort D2) and a cohort of patients whose CT scans were derived from The Cancer Imaging Archive (cohort D3). QuRNom was constructed by integrating QuRiS with tumour and node descriptors (according to the tumour, node, metastasis staging system) and lymphovascular invasion. The primary endpoint of the study was the assessment of the performance of QuRiS and QuRNom in predicting disease-free survival. The added benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy estimated using QuRiS and QuRNom was validated by comparing patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy versus patients who underwent surgery alone in cohorts D1-D3. FINDINGS: We included: 329 patients in cohort D1 (73 [22%] had surgery plus adjuvant chemotherapy and 256 (78%) had surgery alone); 114 patients in cohort D2 (33 [29%] had surgery plus adjuvant chemotherapy and 81 (71%) had surgery alone); and 82 patients in cohort D3 (24 [29%] had surgery plus adjuvant chemotherapy and 58 (71%) had surgery alone). QuRiS comprised three intratumoral and 10 peritumoral CT-radiomic features and was found to be significantly associated with disease-free survival (ie, prognostic validation of QuRiS; hazard ratio for predicted high-risk vs predicted low-risk groups 1·56, 95% CI 1·08-2·23, p=0·016 for cohort D1; 2·66, 1·24-5·68, p=0·011 for cohort D2; and 2·67, 1·39-5·11, p=0·0029 for cohort D3). To validate the predictive performance of QuRiS, patients were partitioned into three risk groups (high, intermediate, and low risk) on the basis of their corresponding QuRiS. Patients in the high-risk group were observed to have significantly longer survival with adjuvant chemotherapy than patients who underwent surgery alone (0·27, 0·08-0·95, p=0·042, for cohort D1; 0·08, 0·01-0·42, p=0·0029, for cohorts D2 and D3 combined). As concerns QuRNom, the nomogram-estimated survival benefit was predictive of the actual efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy (0·25, 0·12-0·55, p<0·0001, for cohort D1; 0·13, <0·01-0·99, p=0·0019 for cohort D3). INTERPRETATION: QuRiS and QuRNom were validated as being prognostic of disease-free survival and predictive of the added benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy, especially in clinically defined low-risk groups. Since QuRiS is based on routine chest CT imaging, with additional multisite independent validation it could potentially be employed for decision management in non-invasive treatment of resectable lung cancer. FUNDING: National Cancer Institute of the US National Institutes of Health, National Center for Research Resources, US Department of Veterans Affairs Biomedical Laboratory Research and Development Service, Department of Defence, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Wallace H Coulter Foundation, Case Western Reserve University, and Dana Foundation.

Novel, non-invasive imaging approach to identify patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer at risk of hyperprogressive disease with immune checkpoint blockade.

PURPOSE: Hyperprogression is an atypical response pattern to immune checkpoint inhibition that has been described within non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The paradoxical acceleration of tumor growth after immunotherapy has been associated with significantly shortened survival, and currently, there are no clinically validated biomarkers to identify patients at risk of hyperprogression. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: A total of 109 patients with advanced NSCLC who underwent monotherapy with Programmed cell death protein-1 (PD1)/Programmed death-ligand-1 (PD-L1) inhibitors were included in the study. Using RECIST measurements, we divided the patients into responders (n=50) (complete/partial response or stable disease) and non-responders (n=59) (progressive disease). Tumor growth kinetics were used to further identify hyperprogressors (HPs, n=19) among non-responders. Patients were randomized into a training set (D1=30) and a test set (D2=79) with the essential caveat that HPs were evenly distributed among the two sets. A total of 198 radiomic textural patterns from within and around the target nodules and features relating to tortuosity of the nodule associated vasculature were extracted from the pretreatment CT scans. RESULTS: The random forest classifier using the top features associated with hyperprogression was able to distinguish between HP and other radiographical response patterns with an area under receiver operating curve of 0.85±0.06 in the training set (D1=30) and 0.96 in the validation set (D2=79). These features included one peritumoral texture feature from 5 to 10 mm outside the tumor and two nodule vessel-related tortuosity features. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed a clear stratification between classifier predicted HPs versus non-HPs for overall survival (D2: HR=2.66, 95% CI 1.27 to 5.55; p=0.009). CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that image-based radiomics markers extracted from baseline CTs of advanced NSCLC treated with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors may help identify patients at risk of hyperprogressions.

Stable and discriminating radiomic predictor of recurrence in early stage non-small cell lung cancer: Multi-site study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether combining stability and discriminability criteria in building radiomic classifiers will improve the prognosis of cancer recurrence in early stage non-small cell lung cancer on non-contrast computer tomography (CT). MATERIALS AND METHODS: CT scans of 610 patients with early stage (IA, IB, IIA) NSCLC from four independent cohorts were evaluated. A total of 350 patients from Cleveland Clinic Foundation and University of Pennsylvania were divided into two equal sets for training (D1) and validation set (D2). 80 patients from The Cancer Genome Atlas Lung Adenocarcinoma and Squamous Cell Carcinoma and 195 patients from The Cancer Imaging Archive, were used as independent second (D3) and third (D4) validation sets. A linear discriminant analysis (LDA) classifier was built based on the most stable and discriminate features. In addition, a radiomic risk score (RRS) was generated by using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, Cox regression model to predict time to progression (TTP) following surgery. RESULTS: A feature selection strategy focusing on both feature discriminability and stability resulted in the classifier having a higher discriminability on validation datasets compared to the discriminability alone criteria in discriminating cancer recurrence (D2, AUC of 0.75 vs. 0.65; D3, 0.74 vs. 0.62; D4, 0.76 vs. 0.63). The RRS generated by most stable-discriminating features was significantly associated with TTP compared to discriminating alone criteria (HR = 1.66, C-index of 0.72 vs. HR = 1.04, C-index of 0.62). CONCLUSION: Accounting for both stability and discriminability yielded a more generalizable classifier for predicting cancer recurrence and TTP in early stage NSCLC.

CT derived radiomic score for predicting the added benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy following surgery in Stage I, II resectable Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: a retrospective multi-cohort study for outcome prediction.

Background: Development and validation of a quantitative radiomic risk score (QuRiS) and associated nomogram (QuRNom) for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (ES-NSCLC) that is prognostic of disease-free survival (DFS) and predictive of the added benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) following surgery. Methods: QuRiS was developed using radiomic texture features derived from within and outside the primary lung nodule on chest CT scans using a cohort D1 of 329 patients from the Cleveland Clinic. A LASSO-Cox regularization model was used for data dimension reduction, feature selection, and QuRiS construction. QuRiS was independently validated on D2(N=114; University of Pennsylvania) and D3(N=82; TCIA). QuRNom was constructed by integrating QuRiS with T-, N-Descriptors, and LVI. The added benefit of ACT using QuRiS and QuRNom was validated by comparing patients who received ACT against patients who underwent surgery alone in D1-D3. To explore the underlying morphologic basis of the QuRiS, we explored associations with corresponding whole-slide tissue scans (WSIs) and mRNA sequencing data using subsets of D1 and D3. Findings: QuRiS consisted three intra- and ten peri-tumoral CT-radiomic features and was found to be significantly associated with DFS (D1: HR=1.60 [1.10-2.20];p<·05; D2:HR=2.70 [1.40-5.10]; p<·01; D3:HR=2.70 [1.20-5.70];p<·01). Patients were partitioned into three risk groups (QH, QI, QL) based off their corresponding QuRiS score. High QuRiS group, QH, patients were observed to have significantly prolonged survival with ACT when compared to surgery alone (D1: HR=0·27[0.07-0.95],p<0.05; D2+D3: HR=0·08[0.01-0.42],p<0.01). For developed QuRNom, the actual efficacy of ACT was predictive of nomogram-estimated survival benefit (D1: HR= D1:0·25 [0·12-0·55], D3: HR=0·13 [0·004-0·99]). QuRiS features were found to be associated with the spatial arrangement of TILs and cancer nuclei on corresponding WSIs (D1: Rho=0·23,p<0·05, N=70). They were also observed to have an association with biological pathways implicated in chemotaxis (D3,p<0·05, N=86) and other immune specific biological pathways. Interpretation: QuRiS and QuRNom were validated as being prognostic of DFS and predictive of the added benefit of ACT.