A clinical decision aid for patients with suspected midfacial and mandibular fractures (the REDUCTION-I study): a prospective multicentre cohort study.

PURPOSE: To assess physical examination findings related to maxillofacial trauma to identify patients at risk of midfacial and mandibular fractures and then to construct a clinical decision aid to rule out the presence of midfacial and mandibular fractures in emergency department patients. METHODS: We performed a prospective multicentre cohort study in four hospitals in the Netherlands, including consecutive patients with maxillofacial trauma. Each patient received a standardized physical examination consisting of 15 and 14 findings for midfacial and mandibular traumas, respectively. Consequently, clinical decision aids were constructed with the focus being on ruling out the presence of midfacial and mandibular fractures, and diagnostic accuracy was calculated. RESULTS: A total of 993 consecutive patients were identified of whom 766 and 280 patients were suspected of midfacial and mandibular fractures, respectively. Midfacial fractures were diagnosed in 339 patients (44.3%), whereas mandibular fractures were observed in 66 patients (23.6%). The decision aid for midfacial trauma consisting of peri-orbital hematoma, epistaxis, ocular movement limitation, infra-orbital nerve paresthesia, palpable step-off and tooth mobility or avulsion, produced a sensitivity of 89.7 (86.0-92.5), a specificity of 42.6 (38.0-47.4), and a negative predictive value of 83.9% (78.4-88.2). The decision aid for mandibular trauma consisting of the angular compression test, axial chin pressure test, objective malocclusion, tooth mobility or avulsion and the tongue blade bite test resulted in a sensitivity of 98.5 (91.9-99.7), a specificity of 34.6 (28.5-41.2), and a negative predictive value of 98.7% (92.8-99.8). CONCLUSION: The constructed clinical decision aids for maxillofacial trauma may aid in stratifying patients suspected for midfacial and mandibular fractures to reduce unnecessary diagnostic imaging. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov with the identifier NCT03314480.

A clinical decision aid to discern patients without and with midfacial and mandibular fractures that require treatment (the REDUCTION-II study): a prospective multicentre cohort study.

PURPOSE: To assess the diagnostic accuracy of physical examination findings and to construct clinical decision aids to discern emergency department patients without and with midfacial and mandibular fractures that require treatment. METHODS: A prospective multicentre cohort study was conducted in four hospitals in the Netherlands. Consecutive maxillofacial trauma patients were included whereupon each patient underwent a standardized physical examination consisting of 15 and 14 findings for midfacial and mandibular trauma, respectively. The primary outcome was the decision whether to treat during the emergency department stay or within 24 h of admission. The diagnostic accuracy was calculated for the individual physical examination findings and ensuing clinical decision aids with the focus being on detecting midfacial and mandibular fractures that require active treatment. RESULTS: A total of 766 midfacial trauma patients were identified of whom 339 (44.3%) had midfacial fractures. Of those, 74 (21.8%) required active treatment. A total of 280 mandibular trauma patients were identified of whom 66 (23.6%) had mandibular fractures. Of those, 37 (56.0%) required active treatment. The decision aid for midfacial trauma consisting of facial depression, epistaxis, ocular movement limitation, palpable step-off, objective malocclusion and tooth mobility or avulsion had a sensitivity of 97.3 (90.7-99.3), a specificity of 38.6 (35.0-42.3), and a negative predictive value of 99.3 (97.3-99.8). The decision aid for mandibular trauma consisting of mouth opening limitation, jaw movement pain, objective malocclusion and tooth mobility or avulsion resulted in a sensitivity of 100.0 (90.6-100.0), a specificity of 39.1 (33.2-45.4), and a negative predictive value of 100.0 (96.1-100.0). CONCLUSION: The clinical decision aids successfully identified midfacial and mandibular trauma patients requiring active fracture treatment and so may be useful in preventing unnecessary radiological procedures in the future. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov with the identifier NCT03314480.

A validation study for a clinical decision rule for acute wrist injury.

PURPOSE: Acute wrist injury is a common reason for visiting the emergency department. To date, there are no implemented clinical decision rules to predict a fracture in this group of patients. We previously identified six clinical predictors in adult patients with acute wrist trauma. The aim of this study was to validate these predictors as a decision rule in a validation cohort. METHODS: This prospective cohort study was conducted in the emergency department at five hospitals in the Netherlands and included adults with acute wrist injury. All collaborating physicians performed a standardized physical examination and data were collected in a case report form. The main outcome was defined as the radiographic presence of a wrist fracture. Six clinical variables that were significantly associated with a fracture (ρ < 0.01) were included in a model to develop the clinical decision rule. RESULTS: A total of 493 fractures in 724 patients were identified by radiographic assessment. Almost all of the clinical variables were associated with the presence of a fracture. Our decision rule had a sensitivity of 0.97 (95% CI 0.96-0.99) with a specificity of 0.26 (95% CI 0.20-0.32) in this validation cohort. Application of the decision rule resulted in a reduction in radiographic assessment rate of 10% at the cost of missing 2% of the fractures. CONCLUSION: The decision rule showed a high sensitivity and low specificity, possible due to the high pre-test probability of a wrist fracture in the cohort. Our study needs further validation in other populations.