ABSTRACT
High-grade serous tubo-ovarian carcinoma (HGSC) is a major cause of cancer-related death. Treatment is not uniform, with some patients undergoing primary debulking surgery followed by chemotherapy (PDS) and others being treated directly with chemotherapy and only having surgery after three to four cycles (NACT). Which strategy is optimal remains controversial. We developed a mathematical framework that simulates hierarchical or stochastic models of tumor initiation and reproduces the clinical course of HGSC. After estimating parameter values, we infer that most patients harbor chemoresistant HGSC cells at diagnosis and that, if the tumor burden is not too large and complete debulking can be achieved, PDS is superior to NACT due to better depletion of resistant cells. We further predict that earlier diagnosis of primary HGSC, followed by complete debulking, could improve survival, but its benefit in relapsed patients is likely to be limited. These predictions are supported by primary clinical data from multiple cohorts. Our results have clear implications for these key issues in HGSC management.
Subject(s)
Computer Simulation , Early Detection of Cancer , Ovarian Neoplasms/diagnosis , Ovarian Neoplasms/therapy , Aged , Cohort Studies , Cystadenocarcinoma, Serous/diagnosis , Cystadenocarcinoma, Serous/pathology , Cystadenocarcinoma, Serous/therapy , Cytoreduction Surgical Procedures , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , Models, Biological , Neoadjuvant Therapy , Neoplasm Grading , Ovarian Neoplasms/pathology , Ovarian Neoplasms/surgery , Survival Analysis , Treatment Outcome , Tumor BurdenABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in optimally cytoreduced epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) patients have demonstrated an impressive survival benefit of intraperitoneal (IP) platinum over intravenous (IV), but its use has been limited by significant toxicity from cisplatin. The aim of this study was to compare the toxicity and tolerability of IP cisplatin to IP carboplatin in women with optimally cytoreduced EOC. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of 141 women with EOC who underwent optimal surgical cytoreduction followed by IV paclitaxel and IP cisplatin or IP carboplatin was performed. Toxicities of the two treatment regimens were compared. As a secondary outcome, overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) probabilities were obtained using the Kaplan-Meier estimate; the log-rank test was used to compare survival curves. RESULTS: Of the 141 patients, 77 (54.6%) received IP cisplatin and 64 (45.4%) received IP carboplatin. Eighty-six percent received at least 4 cycles of IP chemotherapy. IP cisplatin was associated with significantly more grade 3 nausea and vomiting (10.4% vs. 1.6%, p=0.033), grade 3 neuropathy (7.8% vs. 0%, p=0.013) and grade 2-3 neutropenia (22.1% vs. 9.4%, p=0.042). No difference in PFS (p=0.602) or OS (p=0.107) was found between the groups. CONCLUSION: IP chemotherapy had a high completion rate in both groups of patients. IP carboplatin required a less resource intense protocol and was tolerated better than IP cisplatin with less gastrointestinal, neurologic and hematologic toxicities.
