Changes in prevalence and incidence of dementia and risk factors for dementia: an analysis from cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: Some cohort studies have reported a decline in dementia prevalence and incidence over time, although these findings have not been consistent across studies. We reviewed evidence on changes in dementia prevalence and incidence over time using published population-based cohort studies that had used consistent methods with each wave and aimed to quantify associated changes in risk factors over time using population attributable fractions (PAFs). METHODS: We searched for systematic reviews of cohort studies examining changes in dementia prevalence or incidence over time. We searched PubMed for publications from database inception up to Jan 12, 2023, using the search terms "systematic review" AND "dementia" AND ("prevalence" OR "incidence"), with no language restrictions. We repeated this search on March 28, 2024. From eligible systematic reviews, we searched the references and selected peer-reviewed publications about cohort studies where dementia prevalence or incidence was measured in the same geographical location, at a minimum of two timepoints, and that reported age-standardised prevalence or incidence of dementia. Additionally, data had to be from population-based samples, in which participants' cognitive status was assessed and where validated criteria were used to diagnose dementia. We extracted summary-level data from each paper about dementia risk factors, contacting authors when such data were not available in the published paper, and calculated PAFs for each risk factor at all available timepoints. Where possible, we linked changes in dementia prevalence or incidence with changes in the prevalence of risk factors. FINDINGS: We identified 1925 records in our initial search, of which five eligible systematic reviews were identified. Within these systematic reviews, we identified 71 potentially eligible primary papers, of which 27 were included in our analysis. 13 (48%) of 27 primary papers reported change in prevalence of dementia, ten (37%) reported change in incidence of dementia, and four (15%) reported change in both incidence and prevalence of dementia. Studies reporting change in dementia incidence over time in Europe (n=5) and the USA (n=5) consistently reported a declining incidence in dementia. One study from Japan reported an increase in dementia prevalence and incidence and a stable incidence was reported in one study from Nigeria. Overall, across studies, the PAFs for less education or smoking, or both, generally declined over time, whereas PAFs for obesity, hypertension, and diabetes generally increased. The decrease in PAFs for less education and smoking was associated with a decline in the incidence of dementia in the Framingham study (Framingham, MA, USA, 1997-2013), the only study with sufficient data to allow analysis. INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggest that lifestyle interventions such as compulsory education and reducing rates of smoking through country-level policy changes could be associated with an observed reduction, and therefore future reduction, in the incidence of dementia. More studies are needed in low-income and middle-income countries, where the burden of dementia is highest, and continues to increase. FUNDING: National Institute for Health and Care Research Three Schools' Dementia Research Programme.

Frailty trajectories preceding dementia: an individual-level analysis of four cohort studies in the United States and United Kingdom.

Frailty may represent a modifiable risk factor for dementia, but the direction of that association remains uncertain. We investigated frailty trajectories in the years preceding dementia onset using data from 23,672 participants (242,760 person-years of follow-up, 2,906 cases of incident dementia) across four cohort studies in the United States and United Kingdom. Bayesian non-linear models revealed accelerations in frailty trajectories 4-9 years before incident dementia. Among participants whose time between frailty measurement and incident dementia exceeded that prodromal period, frailty remained positively associated with dementia risk (adjusted hazard ratios ranged from 1.20 [95% confidence interval, CI = 1.15-1.26] to 1.43 [95% CI = 1.14-1.81]). This observational evidence suggests that frailty increases dementia risk independently of any reverse causality. These findings indicate that frailty measurements can be used to identify high-risk population groups for preferential enrolment into clinical trials for dementia prevention and treatment. Frailty itself may represent a useful upstream target for behavioural and societal approaches to dementia prevention.

Population-level interventions for the primary prevention of dementia: a complex evidence review.

Dementia risk reduction is a global public health priority. Existing primary prevention approaches have favored individual-level interventions, with a research and policy gap for population-level interventions. We conducted a complex, multi-stage, evidence review to identify empirical evidence on population-level interventions for each of the modifiable risk factors identified by the Lancet Commission on dementia (2020). Through a comprehensive series of targeted searches, we identified 4604 articles, of which 135 met our inclusion criteria. We synthesized evidence from multiple sources, including existing non-communicable disease prevention frameworks, and graded the consistency and comprehensiveness of evidence. We derived a population-level intervention framework for dementia risk reduction, containing 26 high- and moderate-confidence policy recommendations, supported by relevant information on effect sizes, sources of evidence, contextual information, and implementation guidance. This review provides policymakers with the evidence they need, in a useable format, to address this critical public health policy gap. Funding: SW is funded by a National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Doctoral Fellowship. WW and LF are part funded by the NIHR Applied Research Collaboration East of England. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care.

Frailty is associated with the clinical expression of neuropsychological deficits in older adults.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The aim was to determine whether frailty is associated with the relationship between neuropsychological markers and global cognition in older adults. METHODS: Cross-sectional analyzes were conducted of baseline data from three large cohort studies: National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (NACC), Rush Memory and Aging Project (MAP) and Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI). Studies recruited North American participants along the spectrum of cognitive functioning (44% no cognitive impairment at baseline). A frailty index was computed in each dataset. Frailty indices, neuropsychological tests (including measures of processing speed, episodic, semantic and working memory) and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores were the variables of interest, with age, sex, education and apolipoprotein E ε4 evaluated as confounders. RESULTS: Across all studies, 23,819 participants aged 55-104 (57% female) were included in analyzes. Frailty index scores were significantly and inversely associated with MMSE scores and significantly moderated relationships between neuropsychological test scores and MMSE scores. In participants with higher frailty index scores, lower neuropsychological test scores were more strongly associated with lower MMSE scores (standardized interaction coefficients ranged from -0.19 to -1.17 in NACC, -0.03 to -2.27 in MAP and -0.04 to -0.38 in ADNI, depending on the neuropsychological test). These associations were consistent across the different databases and were mostly independent of the composition of frailty indices (i.e., after excluding possible symptoms of dementia). CONCLUSIONS: Amongst older Americans, frailty is associated with the cognitive expression of neuropsychological deficits. Implementation of frailty assessment in routine neurological and neuropsychological practice should be considered to optimize care outcomes for older adults.

How to construct a frailty index from an existing dataset in 10 steps.

BACKGROUND: The frailty index is commonly used in research and clinical practice to quantify health. Using a health deficit accumulation model, a frailty index can be calculated retrospectively from data collected via survey, interview, performance test, laboratory report, clinical or administrative medical record, or any combination of these. Here, we offer a detailed 10-step approach to frailty index creation, with a worked example. METHODS: We identified 10 steps to guide the creation of a valid and reliable frailty index. We then used data from waves 5 to 12 of the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) to illustrate the steps. RESULTS: The 10 steps are as follows: (1) select every variable that measures a health problem; (2) exclude variables with more than 5% missing values; (3) recode the responses to 0 (no deficit) through 1 (deficit); (4) exclude variables when coded deficits are too rare (< 1%) or too common (> 80%); (5) screen the variables for association with age; (6) screen the variables for correlation with each other; (7) count the variables retained; (8) calculate the frailty index scores; (9) test the characteristics of the frailty index; (10) use the frailty index in analyses. In our worked example, we created a 61-item frailty index following these 10 steps. CONCLUSIONS: This 10-step procedure can be used as a template to create one continuous health variable. The resulting high-information variable is suitable for use as an exposure, predictor or control variable, or an outcome measure of overall health and ageing.

Population-level interventions for the primary prevention of dementia: a complex evidence review.

BACKGROUND: Dementia is a leading, global public health challenge. Recent evidence supporting a decrease in age-specific incidence of dementia in high-income countries (HICs) suggests that risk reduction is possible through improved life-course public health. Despite this, efforts to date have been heavily focused on individual-level approaches, which are unlikely to significantly reduce dementia prevalence or inequalities in dementia. In order to inform policy, we identified the population-level interventions for dementia risk reduction with the strongest evidence base. METHODS: We did this complex, multistage, evidence review to summarise the empirical, interventional evidence for population-level interventions to reduce or control each of the 12 modifiable life-course risk factors for dementia identified by the Lancet commission. We conducted a series of structured searches of peer-reviewed and grey literature databases (eg, Medline, Trip database, Cochrane library, Campbell Collaboration, the WHO, and Google Scholar), in January, March, and June, 2023. Search terms related to risk factors, prevention, and population-level interventions, without language restrictions. We extracted evidence of effectiveness and key contextual information to aid consideration and implementation of interventions by policymakers. We performed a narrative synthesis and evidence grading, and we derived a population-level dementia risk reduction intervention framework, structured by intervention type. This study is registered with PROSPERO, ID:CRD42023396193. FINDINGS: We identified clear and consistent evidence for the effectiveness of 26 population-level interventions to reduce the prevalence of nine of the risk factors, of which 23 have been empirically evaluated in HICs, and 16 in low-income and middle-income countries. We identified interventions that acted through fiscal levers (n=5; eg, removing primary school fees), marketing or advertising levers (n=5; eg, plain packaging of tobacco products), availability levers (n=8; eg, cleaner fuel replacement programmes for cooking stoves), and legislative levers (n=8; eg, mandated provision of hearing protective equipment at noisy workplaces). We were not able to recommend any interventions for diabetes (other than indirectly through action on obesity and physical inactivity), depression, or social isolation. INTERPRETATION: This complex evidence review provides policymakers and public health professionals with an evidence-based framework to help develop and implement population-level approaches for dementia risk reduction that could significantly reduce the population's risk of dementia and reduce health inequalities. FUNDING: None.

Exploring English policymakers' attitudes towards dementia risk reduction: A qualitative study.

AIM: A growing evidence-base indicates that dementia occurrence can be changed. This has been linked to potentially modifiable risk factors. Risk reduction and primary prevention strategies are increasingly recognized as needing to include population-level policies to tackle the social and commercial determinants of health. How this knowledge can influence policymaking on dementia prevention is unknown. Understanding attitudes of policymakers is an important step in translating evidence into practice, helping to gauge system readiness for implementation, and potential barriers and enablers for influencing policy. The aim of this qualitative study is to explore the understanding of, and attitudes to, dementia risk reduction and population-level prevention strategies amongst English policymakers at national, regional, and local level. METHODS: Semi-structured interviews were undertaken with a range of dementia and prevention policymakers, with purposive sampling of national and local policymakers, including politicians, government officials, health system leaders, academics, and dementia charity directors. Analysis of interview transcripts was undertaken by thematic analysis. RESULTS: 14 policymakers were interviewed between November 2021 and February 2022. Three main themes were identified (1) Preventability of dementia, (2) Prevention approach, (3) Barriers and facilitators to improving the approach. DISCUSSION: Policymakers generally held dementia to be partially preventable. Policymakers recognised that both individual- and population-level approaches to primary prevention of dementia are required - with some policymakers perceiving that population-level approaches are under-utilised. Key barriers to implementing more population-level approaches were identified as the complexity and co-ordination required to effectively tackle upstream determinants of health.

Single-cell and spatial transcriptomics identify a macrophage population associated with skeletal muscle fibrosis.

Macrophages are essential for skeletal muscle homeostasis, but how their dysregulation contributes to the development of fibrosis in muscle disease remains unclear. Here, we used single-cell transcriptomics to determine the molecular attributes of dystrophic and healthy muscle macrophages. We identified six clusters and unexpectedly found that none corresponded to traditional definitions of M1 or M2 macrophages. Rather, the predominant macrophage signature in dystrophic muscle was characterized by high expression of fibrotic factors, galectin-3 (gal-3) and osteopontin (Spp1). Spatial transcriptomics, computational inferences of intercellular communication, and in vitro assays indicated that macrophage-derived Spp1 regulates stromal progenitor differentiation. Gal-3+ macrophages were chronically activated in dystrophic muscle, and adoptive transfer assays showed that the gal-3+ phenotype was the dominant molecular program induced within the dystrophic milieu. Gal-3+ macrophages were also elevated in multiple human myopathies. These studies advance our understanding of macrophages in muscular dystrophy by defining their transcriptional programs and reveal Spp1 as a major regulator of macrophage and stromal progenitor interactions.

Post-Translational Modifications of the DUX4 Protein Impact Toxic Function in FSHD Cell Models.

OBJECTIVE: Facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy (FSHD) is caused by abnormal de-repression of the myotoxic transcription factor DUX4. Although the transcriptional targets of DUX4 are known, the regulation of DUX4 protein and the molecular consequences of this regulation are unclear. Here, we used in vitro models of FSHD to identify and characterize DUX4 post-translational modifications (PTMs) and their impact on the toxic function of DUX4. METHODS: We immunoprecipitated DUX4 protein and performed mass spectrometry to identify PTMs. We then characterized DUX4 PTMs and potential enzyme modifiers using mutagenesis, proteomics, and biochemical assays in HEK293 and human myoblast cell lines. RESULTS: We identified 17 DUX4 amino acids with PTMs, and generated 55 DUX4 mutants designed to prevent or mimic PTMs. Five mutants protected cells against DUX4-mediated toxicity and reduced the ability of DUX4 to transactivate FSHD biomarkers. These mutagenesis results suggested that DUX4 toxicity could be counteracted by serine/threonine phosphorylation and/or inhibition of arginine methylation. We therefore sought to identify modifying enzymes that could play a role in regulating DUX4 PTMs. We found several enzymes capable of modifying DUX4 protein in vitro, and confirmed that protein kinase A (PKA) and protein arginine methyltransferase (PRMT1) interact with DUX4. INTERPRETATION: These results support that DUX4 is regulated by PTMs and set a foundation for developing FSHD drug screens based mechanistically on DUX4 PTMs and modifying enzymes. ANN NEUROL 2023;94:398-413.

Single-cell and spatial transcriptomics identify a macrophage population associated with skeletal muscle fibrosis.

The monocytic/macrophage system is essential for skeletal muscle homeostasis, but its dysregulation contributes to the pathogenesis of muscle degenerative disorders. Despite our increasing knowledge of the role of macrophages in degenerative disease, it still remains unclear how macrophages contribute to muscle fibrosis. Here, we used single-cell transcriptomics to determine the molecular attributes of dystrophic and healthy muscle macrophages. We identified six novel clusters. Unexpectedly, none corresponded to traditional definitions of M1 or M2 macrophage activation. Rather, the predominant macrophage signature in dystrophic muscle was characterized by high expression of fibrotic factors, galectin-3 and spp1. Spatial transcriptomics and computational inferences of intercellular communication indicated that spp1 regulates stromal progenitor and macrophage interactions during muscular dystrophy. Galectin-3 + macrophages were chronically activated in dystrophic muscle and adoptive transfer assays showed that the galectin-3 + phenotype was the dominant molecular program induced within the dystrophic milieu. Histological examination of human muscle biopsies revealed that galectin-3 + macrophages were also elevated in multiple myopathies. These studies advance our understanding of macrophages in muscular dystrophy by defining the transcriptional programs induced in muscle macrophages, and reveal spp1 as a major regulator of macrophage and stromal progenitor interactions.

What would a population-level approach to dementia risk reduction look like, and how would it work?

Dementia is a leading global public health challenge. Prevention approaches have traditionally focused on individual-level strategies. However, such approaches have limited potential, particularly for resource-constrained populations in which exposure to risk factors is greatest, and exposure to protective factors is lowest. A population-level approach to dementia risk reduction is therefore essential to meet the scale of the challenge and to tackle global inequalities in risk and incidence of disease. Such approaches can be highly cost effective. In this viewpoint article, we describe what such an approach should look like, barriers and facilitators to success, and how we should go about achieving it. We include 10 strategic goals to achieve population-level dementia risk reduction and protection enhancement, targeted at researchers, professionals, funders, science communicators, governments, businesses, and policy makers. If we are to significantly reduce the prevalence of dementia there must be increased emphasis on population-level approaches. HIGHLIGHTS: Dementia risk reduction is a global public health priority Population-level approaches change societal conditions to make them less conducive to dementia's modifiable risk factors, and increase exposure to protective factors. Urgent development of population-level approaches is required to reduce the prevalence of, and inequalities in, dementia Action is required from researchers, governments and business, funders, public health professionals, and science communicators.

Physical demands at work and physical activity are associated with frailty in retirement.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between occupational physical activity and frailty is complex and understudied. OBJECTIVE: We explore whether moderate-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) in retirement and main lifetime occupation physical demands (OPD) are associated with frailty in retirement. METHODS: Retired adults aged 50 + who participated in waves 3-4 of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe were included. We constructed a 65-item frailty index (FI; Wave 4). Linear regressions tested the independent associations between OPD (Wave 3) and retirement MVPA (Wave 4) with FI (B: 95% CI) controlling for occupation characteristics (Wave 3) and demographics (Wave 4). These models were repeated across country groups (Nordic; Mediterranean; Continental) and sexes. RESULTS: We included 8,411 adults (51.1% male) aged 72.4 years (SD 8.0). Frequent MVPA was consistently associated with lower FI (-0.09 : 0.10--0.08, p < .001) while OPD was associated with higher FI (0.02 : 0.01-0.03, p < .001). The MVPA*OPD interaction (-0.02: -0.04--0.00, p = .043) was weakly associated with FI, but did not explain additional model variance or was significant among any country group or sex. CONCLUSIONS: For a sample of European community-dwelling retirees, a physically demanding main lifetime occupation independently predicts worse frailty, even in individuals who are physically active in retirement.

A translatable RNAi-driven gene therapy silences PMP22/Pmp22 genes and improves neuropathy in CMT1A mice.

Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease type 1A (CMT1A), the most common inherited demyelinating peripheral neuropathy, is caused by PMP22 gene duplication. Overexpression of WT PMP22 in Schwann cells destabilizes the myelin sheath, leading to demyelination and ultimately to secondary axonal loss and disability. No treatments currently exist that modify the disease course. The most direct route to CMT1A therapy will involve reducing PMP22 to normal levels. To accomplish this, we developed a gene therapy strategy to reduce PMP22 using artificial miRNAs targeting human PMP22 and mouse Pmp22 mRNAs. Our lead therapeutic miRNA, miR871, was packaged into an adeno-associated virus 9 (AAV9) vector and delivered by lumbar intrathecal injection into C61-het mice, a model of CMT1A. AAV9-miR871 efficiently transduced Schwann cells in C61-het peripheral nerves and reduced human and mouse PMP22 mRNA and protein levels. Treatment at early and late stages of the disease significantly improved multiple functional outcome measures and nerve conduction velocities. Furthermore, myelin pathology in lumbar roots and femoral motor nerves was ameliorated. The treated mice also showed reductions in circulating biomarkers of CMT1A. Taken together, our data demonstrate that AAV9-miR871-driven silencing of PMP22 rescues a CMT1A model and provides proof of principle for treating CMT1A using a translatable gene therapy approach.

Frailty in Parkinson's disease and its association with early dementia: A longitudinal study.

INTRODUCTION: Frailty is recognized as a clinical condition associated with increased vulnerability for developing negative health outcomes but has been little studied in patients with Parkinson's disease (PD). Here, we investigated the risk of frailty in de novo PD patients and its association with subsequent development of dementia. METHODS: We conducted a three-year longitudinal population-based study of 192 drug-naive newly diagnosed PD patients and 172 controls (No-PD) matched for age, sex, and education. Frailty was measured using the frailty index (FI). Logistic regression models, adjusting for potential confounders, were conducted to assess the association between frailty at the time of PD diagnosis and the subsequent odds for developing PD dementia during follow-up. RESULTS: The mean baseline FI score was higher in the PD (0.21 ± 0.10) than in the No-PD group (0.11 ± 0.07, p < 0.001). One-third of PD patients had high-FI (>0,25), compared to 5% in the no-PD group. Participants with PD had an increased risk to present frailty with an odds ratio (OR) of 6.68 (SE 2.70 IC 95% [3.15; 15.62], p-value <0.001) compared to the No-PD group. PD Participants with greater FI measured at baseline had increased odds of having dementia within three years of follow-up, after adjustment for age and sex (OR 2.91 SE 1.00 IC 95% [1.54; 5.99] p-value = 0.002). CONCLUSION: Frailty is common in people with newly diagnosed PD and associated with increased odds for subsequent development of dementia in a three-year follow-up. This study emphasizes the prognostic importance of frailty in PD from the earliest clinical stages.

Frailty, lifestyle, genetics and dementia risk.

OBJECTIVE: To optimise dementia prevention strategies, we must understand the complex relationships between lifestyle behaviours, frailty and genetics. METHODS: We explored relationships between frailty index, healthy lifestyle and polygenic risk scores (all assessed at study entry) and incident all-cause dementia as recorded on hospital admission records and death register data. RESULTS: The analytical sample had a mean age of 64.1 years at baseline (SD=2.9) and 53% were women. Incident dementia was detected in 1762 participants (median follow-up time=8.0 years). High frailty was associated with increased dementia risk independently of genetic risk (HR 3.68, 95% CI 3.11 to 4.35). Frailty mediated 44% of the relationship between healthy lifestyle behaviours and dementia risk (indirect effect HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.95 to 0.96). Participants at high genetic risk and with high frailty had 5.8 times greater risk of incident dementia compared with those at low genetic risk and with low frailty (HR 5.81, 95% CI 4.01 to 8.42). Higher genetic risk was most influential in those with low frailty (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.40) but not influential in those with high frailty (HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.28). CONCLUSION: Frailty is strongly associated with dementia risk and affects the risk attributable to genetic factors. Frailty should be considered an important modifiable risk factor for dementia and a target for dementia prevention strategies, even among people at high genetic risk.

10-year frailty trajectory is associated with Alzheimer's dementia after considering neuropathological burden.

MAIN PROBLEM: Frailty is an established risk factor for cognitive decline and Alzheimer's disease. Few studies have examined the longitudinal relationship between frailty and cognition. METHODS: Participants of Rush Memory and Aging project (n = 625, 67.5% female, 83.2 ± 5.9 years at baseline) underwent annual clinical evaluations (average follow-up 5.6 ± 3.7 years) followed by neuropathologic assessment after death. A frailty index was calculated from 41 health variables at each evaluation. Clinical diagnosis of MCI and/or dementia was ascertained by clinical data review (blinded to neuropathological data) after death. Age, sex, education, and neuropathological burden (10-item index) were evaluated as covariates. Frailty trajectories were calculated using a mixed effects model. RESULTS: At baseline the mean frailty index = 0.24 ± 0.12 and increased at rate of 0.026 or ~1 deficit per year. At death, 27.7% of the sample had MCI, and 38.6% had dementia. Frailty trajectories were significantly steeper among those individuals who were ultimately diagnosed as clinically impaired prior to death, even after controlling for age, sex, education, and neuropathological index. CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest a strong link between health status (frailty index) and dementia, even after considering neuropathology. Frailty trajectories were associated with risk for MCI and dementia, underscoring the importance of addressing frailty to manage dementia risk.

Frailty and Risk of Dementia in Mild Cognitive Impairment Subtypes.

Risk factors for developing dementia from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) probably differ between MCI subtypes. We investigated how frailty relates to dementia risk in amnestic MCI (a-MCI; n = 2,799) and non-amnestic MCI (na-MCI; n = 629) in the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center database. Although higher frailty increased dementia risk for people with either a-MCI or na-MCI, the larger risk was in na-MCI (interaction hazard ratio = 1.35 [95% confidence interval = 1.15-1.59], p < 0.001). Even after the onset of clinically significant cognitive impairment, poor general health, quantified by a high degree of frailty, is a significant risk for dementia. ANN NEUROL 2021;89:1221-1225.