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Background: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a global health concern that often leads to poor prognosis. We designed this study to explore whether thiamine use is associated with a better prognosis of TBI. Methods: TBI patients selected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III database were included in the study. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to examine the relationship between thiamine use and mortality in TBI patients. Propensity score matching (PSM) was utilized to generate balanced cohorts of the non-thiamine use group and the thiamine use group. Subgroup analysis was performed in the cohort after PSM to verify the association between thiamine use and mortality in TBI patients across different stratifications. Results: The incidence of thiamine use in TBI was 18.3%. The thiamine use group had a lower 30-day mortality rate (p < 0.001), a longer length of ICU stay (p < 0.001), and a longer length of hospital stay (p < 0.001) than the non-thiamine use group, both in the primary cohort before PSM and the cohort after PSM. A multivariate Cox regression analysis confirmed that thiamine use was independently associated with mortality (OR = 0.454, p < 0.001) after adjusting for confounding effects. In the cohort after PSM, the subgroup analysis showed that thiamine use is associated with lower mortality in TBI patients with a Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score of < 13, but it is not associated with mortality in TBI patients whose GCS score is ≥13. Conclusion: Thiamine supplementation is effective in improving the outcome of TBI, except in cases of mild TBI. The optimal thiamine supplementation strategy for TBI is worthwhile to be explored in future studies.
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Background: Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) patients typically have poor prognoses. The anion gap (AG) has been proven to correlate with mortality in various critically ill patients. However, hypoalbuminemia can lead to underestimations of the true anion gap levels. This study was conducted to verify the prognostic value of single AG and albumin-corrected anion gap (ACAG) among aSAH patients. Methods: Significant factors in the univariate logistic regression analysis were included in the multivariate logistic regression analysis to explore the risk factors for mortality in aSAH patients and to confirm the independent relationship between ACAG and mortality. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) was used to visually show the relationship between ACAG level and mortality risk of aSAH patients. The predictive model for mortality was developed by incorporating significant factors into the multivariate logistic regression analysis. The prognostic value of ACAG and the developed model was evaluated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC). Results: Among 710 aSAH patients, a 30-day mortality was observed in 20.3% of the cases. A positive relationship was demonstrated between the ACAG level and mortality in aSAH patients using the RCS curve. The multivariate logistic regression analysis helped discover that only six factors were finally and independently related to mortality of aSAH patients after adjusting for confounding effects, including the Hunt-Hess scale score (p = 0.006), surgical options (p < 0.001), white blood cell count (p < 0.001), serum chloride levels (p = 0.023), ACAG (p = 0.039), and delayed cerebral ischemia (p < 0.001). The AUC values for the AG, albumin, and ACAG in predicting mortality among aSAH patients were 0.606, 0.536, and 0.617, respectively. A logistic regression model, which includes the Hunt-Hess scale score, surgical options, white blood cell count, serum chloride levels, ACAG, and delayed cerebral ischemia, achieved an AUC of 0.911 for predicting mortality. Conclusion: The ACAG is an effective prognostic marker for aSAH patients. A prognostic model incorporating ACAG could help clinicians evaluate the risk of poor outcomes among aSAH patients, thereby facilitating the development of personalized therapeutic strategies.
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Background: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients suffer high risks of mortality. Ondansetron has been verified to be effective in improving the prognosis of some kinds of critically ill patients. We design this study to explore whether ondansetron use is associated with lower risks of mortality among TBI patients. Methods: TBI patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III were collected. The usage of ondansetron, including intravenous injection and oral tablet, since admission to the Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center between 2001 and 2012 was identified. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were performed to analyze the relationship between the ondansetron use and mortality of TBI patients. Propensity score matching (PSM) was utilized to generate balanced cohorts of the non-ondansetron use group and ondansetron use group. Sub-group analysis was performed to verify the association between the ondansetron use and mortality of TBI patients in different TBI severity levels after PSM. Results: In TBI cohorts before PSM, the usage incidence of ondansetron was 37.2%. The 30-day mortality was significantly lower in the ondansetron group (p < 0.001). The multivariate logistic regression showed that ondansetron was associated with the lower mortality of TBI patients (p = 0.008). In TBI cohorts after PSM, the 30-day mortality of the ondansetron group was lower than that of the non-ondansetron group, although without statistical significance (p = 0.079). Logistic regression indicated ondansetron use was significantly associated with the lower mortality of moderate-to-severe TBI (p < 0.001) but not mild TBI (p = 0.051). In addition, Cox regression also presented that ondansetron use was significantly associated with the lower mortality of moderate-to-severe TBI (p < 0.001) but not mild TBI (p = 0.052). Conclusion: Ondansetron usage is associated with a lower mortality risk of moderate-to-severe TBI but not mild TBI patients. Ondansetron may be a novel adjunctive therapeutic strategy to improve the prognosis of moderate-to-severe TBI patients.
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BACKGROUND: The Endothelial Activation and Stress Index (EASIX) is a novel marker of endothelial injury and correlates with survival of various patients. The endothelial dysfunction plays an important role on the pathophysiological process of traumatic brain injury (TBI). This study was designed to explore the prognostic value of EASIX on TBI patients. METHODS: 358 TBI patients hospitalized in the West China hospital between October 2018 and October 2022 were enrolled for this study. The EASIX was calculated based on the formula: lactate dehydrogenase (U/L) × creatinine (mg/dL)/platelets (109 cells/L). The univariate and multivariate logistic regression with forward method was performed to explore the association between EASIX and mortality. A prognostic model was developed combining significant risk factors in the multivariate logistic regression. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to compare the predictive accuracy of the EASIX and the developed model. RESULTS: The 30-day mortality of enrolled 358 TBI patients was 51.1%. Non-survivors had higher EASIX than survivors (p < 0.001). The multivariate logistic regression confirmed seven risk factors for mortality of TBI including injury mechanism (p = 0.010), GCS (p < 0.001), glucose (p < 0.001), EASIX (p = 0.017), subdural hematoma (p = 0.012), coagulopathy (p = 0.001). The AUC of EASIX, SOFA, GCS was 0.747, 0.748 and 0.774, respectively. The AUC of developed predictive model was 0.874 with the sensitivity of 0.913 and specificity of 0.686. CONCLUSIONS: The EASIX is a reliable marker for predicting mortality of TBI patients. The predictive model incorporating EASIX is helpful for clinicians to evaluate the mortality risk of TBI patients.
Subject(s)
Biomarkers , Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Humans , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/mortality , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/blood , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/diagnosis , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Biomarkers/blood , Adult , Prognosis , ROC Curve , Aged , Risk Factors , China/epidemiologyABSTRACT
In diabetes, macrophages and inflammation are increased in the islets, along with ß-cell dysfunction. Here, we demonstrate that galectin-3 (Gal3), mainly produced and secreted by macrophages, is elevated in islets from both high-fat diet (HFD)-fed and diabetic db/db mice. Gal3 acutely reduces glucose-stimulated insulin secretion (GSIS) in ß-cell lines and primary islets in mice and humans. Importantly, Gal3 binds to calcium voltage-gated channel auxiliary subunit gamma 1 (CACNG1) and inhibits calcium influx via the cytomembrane and subsequent GSIS. ß-Cell CACNG1 deficiency phenocopies Gal3 treatment. Inhibition of Gal3 through either genetic or pharmacologic loss of function improves GSIS and glucose homeostasis in both HFD-fed and db/db mice. All animal findings are applicable to male mice. Here we show a role of Gal3 in pancreatic ß-cell dysfunction, and Gal3 could be a therapeutic target for the treatment of type 2 diabetes.
Subject(s)
Diet, High-Fat , Galectin 3 , Insulin Secretion , Insulin-Secreting Cells , Animals , Humans , Male , Mice , Calcium/metabolism , Calcium Channels/metabolism , Calcium Channels/genetics , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/metabolism , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/genetics , Diet, High-Fat/adverse effects , Galectin 3/metabolism , Galectin 3/genetics , Glucose/metabolism , Insulin/metabolism , Insulin Secretion/drug effects , Insulin-Secreting Cells/metabolism , Macrophages/metabolism , Mice, Inbred C57BL , Mice, KnockoutABSTRACT
Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is prevalent in hospitalized patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI), and increases the risk of poor outcomes. We designed this study to develop a visual and convenient decision-tree-based model for predicting AKI in TBI patients. Methods: A total of 376 patients admitted to the emergency department of the West China Hospital for TBI between January 2015 and June 2019 were included. Demographic information, vital signs on admission, laboratory test results, radiological signs, surgical options, and medications were recorded as variables. AKI was confirmed since the second day after admission, based on the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes criteria. We constructed two predictive models for AKI using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and classification and regression tree (CART), respectively. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of these two predictive models were drawn, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated to compare their predictive accuracy. Results: The incidence of AKI on the second day after admission was 10.4% among patients with TBI. Lasso regression identified five potent predictive factors for AKI: glucose, serum creatinine, cystatin C, serum uric acid, and fresh frozen plasma transfusions. The CART analysis showed that glucose, serum uric acid, and cystatin C ranked among the top three in terms of the feature importance of the decision tree model. The AUC value of the decision-tree predictive model was 0.892, which was higher than the 0.854 of the LASSO regression model, although the difference was not statistically significant. Conclusion: The decision tree model is valuable for predicting AKI among patients with TBI. This tree-based flowchart is convenient for physicians to identify patients with TBI who are at high risk of AKI and prompts them to develop suitable therapeutic strategies.
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Impeded autophagy can impair pancreatic ß cell function by causing apoptosis, of which DAP-related apoptosis-inducing kinase-2 (DRAK2) is a critical regulator. Here, we identified a marked up-regulation of DRAK2 in pancreatic tissue across humans, macaques, and mice with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Further studies in mice showed that conditional knockout (cKO) of DRAK2 in pancreatic ß cells protected ß cell function against high-fat diet feeding along with sustained autophagy and mitochondrial function. Phosphoproteome analysis in isolated mouse primary islets revealed that DRAK2 directly phosphorylated unc-51-like autophagy activating kinase 1 (ULK1) at Ser56, which was subsequently found to induce ULK1 ubiquitylation and suppress autophagy. ULK1-S56A mutation or pharmacological inhibition of DRAK2 preserved mitochondrial function and insulin secretion against lipotoxicity in mouse primary islets, Min6 cells, or INS-1E cells. In conclusion, these findings together indicate an indispensable role of the DRAK2-ULK1 axis in pancreatic ß cells upon metabolic challenge, which offers a potential target to protect ß cell function in T2D.
Subject(s)
Apoptosis Regulatory Proteins , Autophagy-Related Protein-1 Homolog , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Insulin-Secreting Cells , Overnutrition , Protein Serine-Threonine Kinases , Animals , Humans , Mice , Apoptosis , Autophagy , Autophagy-Related Protein-1 Homolog/metabolism , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/metabolism , Insulin-Secreting Cells/metabolism , Intracellular Signaling Peptides and Proteins , Protein Serine-Threonine Kinases/metabolism , Apoptosis Regulatory Proteins/metabolismABSTRACT
The immunomodulatory effect of divalent manganese cations (Mn2+ ), such as activation of the cGAS-STING pathway or NLRP3 inflammasomes, positions them as adjuvants for cancer immunotherapy. In this study, it is found that trace Mn2+ ions, bound to bovine serum albumin (BSA) to form Mn@BSA nanocomplexes, stimulate pro-inflammatory responses in human- or murine-derived macrophages through TLR4-mediated signaling cascades. Building on this, the assembly of Mn@BSA nanocomplexes to obtain nanowire structures enables stronger and longer-lasting immunostimulation of macrophages by regulating phagocytosis. Furthermore, Mn@BSA nanocomplexes and their nanowires efficiently activate peritoneal macrophages, reprogramme tumor-associated macrophages, and inhibit the growth of melanoma tumors in vivo. They also show better biosafety for potential clinical applications compared to typical TLR4 agonists such as lipopolysaccharides. Accordingly, the findings provide insights into the mechanism of metalloalbumin complexes as potential TLR agonists that activate macrophage polarization and highlight the importance of their nanostructures in regulating macrophage-mediated innate immunity.
Subject(s)
Nanowires , Toll-Like Receptor 4 , Mice , Humans , Animals , Toll-Like Receptor 4/metabolism , Manganese , Macrophages/metabolism , Serum Albumin, Bovine/chemistryABSTRACT
ABSTRACT: Purpose: We aimed to investigate the association between the early mean arterial pressure (MAP)/norepinephrine equivalent dose (NEQ) index and mortality risk in patients with shock on vasopressors and further identify the breakpoint value of the MAP/NEQ index for high mortality risk. Methods: Based on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database, we conducted a retrospective cohort study involving 19,539 eligible intensive care unit records assigned to three groups (first tertile, second tertile, and third tertile) by different MAP/NEQ indexes within 24 h of intensive care unit admission. The study outcomes were 7-, 14-, 21-, and 28-day mortality. A Cox model was used to examine the risk of mortality following different MAP/NEQ indexes. The receiving operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the predictive ability of the MAP/NEQ index. The restricted cubic spline was applied to fit the flexible correlation between the MAP/NEQ index and risk of mortality, and segmented regression was further used to identify the breakpoint value of the MAP/NEQ index for high mortality risk. Results: Multivariate Cox analysis showed that a high MAP/NEQ index was independently associated with decreased mortality risks. The areas under the receiving operating characteristic curve of the MAP/NEQ index for different mortality outcomes were nearly 0.7. The MAP/NEQ index showed an L-shaped association with mortality outcomes or mortality risks. Exploration of the breakpoint value of the MAP/NEQ index suggested that a MAP/NEQ index less than 183 might be associated with a significantly increased mortality risk. Conclusions: An early low MAP/NEQ index was indicative of poor prognosis in patients with shock on vasopressors.
Subject(s)
Norepinephrine , Shock , Humans , Arterial Pressure , Retrospective Studies , Vasoconstrictor Agents/therapeutic use , Intensive Care Units , PrognosisABSTRACT
Cancer patients may have increased risk of cardiovascular mortality than general population. We designed this study to investigate the incidence and risk factors of cardiovascular mortality in meningioma patients. Meningioma patients recorded in Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database between 2004 and 2016 were eligible for this study. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was calculated to present the relative risk of cardiovascular mortality (ICD-10 codes I00-I99) in meningioma patients compared with general population. Fine-Gray subdistribution proportional hazards regression was performed to identify risk factors of cardiovascular mortality and construct nomogram for predicting cardiovascular-specific survival in meningioma patients. Among 94,067 meningioma patients included in this study, 6145 (6.5%) and 16549 (17.6%) patients died due to cardiovascular diseases and other causes, respectively. The cardiovascular disease-related SMR of included meningioma patients was 25.31 compared with the general population. Results of multivariate competing risk analysis showed that age, male gender, race, marital status, insurance status, tumor size, tumor location, histologic type, and surgery options were risk factors of cardiovascular mortality. The C-index of our constructed nomogram for predicting cardiovascular specific survival was 0.730 (0.712-0.748) and 0.726 (0.696-0.756) in training cohort and validation cohort, respectively. Incorporating demographic and clinical variables, the nomogram we constructed is effective in predicting cardiovascular mortality in meningioma patients and could guide physicians to reasonably control clinical risk factors of cardiovascular mortality in meningioma patients.
Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Meningeal Neoplasms , Meningioma , Humans , Male , Nomograms , Prognosis , Meningioma/surgery , Risk Assessment , Meningeal Neoplasms/surgeryABSTRACT
Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer mortality worldwide. Preclinical studies in lung cancer hold the promise of screening for effective antitumor agents, but mechanistic studies and drug discovery based on 2D cell models have a high failure rate in getting to the clinic. Thus, there is an urgent need to explore more reliable and effective in vitro lung cancer models. Here, we prepared a series of three-dimensional (3D) waterborne biodegradable polyurethane (WBPU) scaffolds as substrates to establish biomimetic tumor models in vitro. These 3D WBPU scaffolds were porous and could absorb large amounts of free water, facilitating the exchange of substances (nutrients and metabolic waste) and cell growth. The scaffolds at wet state could simulate the mechanics (elastic modulus â¼1.9 kPa) and morphology (porous structures) of lung tissue and exhibit good biocompatibility. A549 lung cancer cells showed adherent growth pattern and rapidly formed 3D spheroids on WBPU scaffolds. Our results showed that the scaffold-based 3D lung cancer model promoted the expression of anti-apoptotic and epithelial-mesenchymal transition-related genes, giving it a more moderate growth and adhesion pattern compared to 2D cells. In addition, WBPU scaffold-established 3D lung cancer model revealed a closer expression of proteins to in vivo tumor, including tumor stem cell markers, cell proliferation, apoptosis, invasion and tumor resistance proteins. Based on these features, we further demonstrated that the 3D lung cancer model established by the WBPU scaffold was very similar to the in vivo tumor in terms of both resistance and tolerance to nanoparticulate drugs. Taken together, WBPU scaffold-based lung cancer model could better mimic the growth, microenvironment and drug response of tumor in vivo. This emerging 3D culture system holds promise to shorten the formulation cycle of individualized treatments and reduce the use of animals while providing valid research data for clinical trials.
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Background: The base deficit, international normalized ratio, and Glasgow Coma Scale (BIG) score was previously developed to predict the outcomes of pediatric trauma patients. We designed this study to explore and improve the prognostic value of the BIG score in adult patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI). Methods: Adult patients diagnosed with TBI in a public critical care database were included in this observational study. The BIG score was calculated based on the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), the international normalized ratio (INR), and the base deficit. Logistic regression analysis was performed to confirm the association between the BIG score and the outcome of included patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn to evaluate the prognostic value of the BIG score and novel constructed models. Results: In total, 1,034 TBI patients were included in this study with a mortality of 22.8%. Non-survivors had higher BIG scores than survivors (p < 0.001). The results of multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that age (p < 0.001), pulse oxygen saturation (SpO2) (p = 0.032), glucose (p = 0.015), hemoglobin (p = 0.047), BIG score (p < 0.001), subarachnoid hemorrhage (p = 0.013), and intracerebral hematoma (p = 0.001) were associated with in-hospital mortality of included patients. The AUC (area under the ROC curves) of the BIG score was 0.669, which was not as high as in previous pediatric trauma cohorts. However, combining the BIG score with age increased the AUC to 0.764. The prognostic model composed of significant factors including BIG had the highest AUC of 0.786. Conclusion: The age-adjusted BIG score is superior to the original BIG score in predicting mortality of adult TBI patients. The prognostic model incorporating the BIG score is beneficial for clinicians, aiding them in making early triage and treatment decisions in adult TBI patients.
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Platelet count is a key component of sepsis severity score. However, the predictive value of the platelet count at admission for mortality in sepsis remains unclear. We designed a retrospective observational study of patients with sepsis admitted to our hospital from January 2017 to September 2021 to explore the predictive value of platelet count at admission for mortality. A total of 290 patients with sepsis were included in this study. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the risk factors for mortality and construct a predictive model with statistically significant factors. Compared with survivors, nonsurvivors tended to be much older and had significantly higher acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II and sequential organ failure assessment scores (P < .001). The platelet count was significantly lower in the nonsurvivor group than in the survivor group (P < .001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that age (P = .003), platelet count (P < .001) and lactate level (P = .018) were independent risk factors for mortality in patients with sepsis. Finally, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of platelet count predicting mortality in sepsis was 0.763 (95% confidence interval, 0.709-0.817, P < .001), with a sensitivity of 55.6% and a specificity of 91.8%. In our study, platelet count at admission as a single biomarker showed good predictability for mortality in patients with sepsis.
Subject(s)
Sepsis , Humans , Platelet Count , APACHE , Hospitalization , HospitalsABSTRACT
The fibrosis-4 score is a marker of liver fibrosis and has been confirmed to be associated with the prognosis of various diseases. There is no study exploring the prognostic value of the fibrosis-4 score in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients. We design this study to explore the association between the fibrosis-4 score and mortality from TBI. TBI patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III database were extracted for the study. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were sequentially performed to analyze the association between fibrosis-4 and mortality in TBI. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was drawn to evaluate the prognostic value of fibrosis-4 and other scores. A total of 1018 TBI patients were included, with a 30-day mortality of 24.2%. Non-survivors had older age, lower Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), and higher injury severity score (ISS) than survivors. The aspartate aminotransferase platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis-4 score were significantly higher in non-survivors. Univariate logistic regression showed that age, GCS, ISS, white blood cell, hemoglobin, fibrosis-4 score, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and anticoagulants were associated with the mortality of TBI patients. Multivariate logistic regression presented that age, GCS, ISS, fibrosis-4 score, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and anticoagulants were independent risk factors of mortality in TBI patients after adjusting for confounding effects. The AUC of the GCS, ISS, APRI, and fibrosis-4 score for predicting mortality was 0.711, 0.625, 0.592, and 0.627, respectively. Composed of age, GCS, ISS, fibrosis-4 score, subarachnoid hemorrhage, and anticoagulants, the predictive model had the highest AUC value of 0.790. The fibrosis-4 score is an independent risk factor for mortality in TBI. The model incorporating fibrosis-4 performs well in predicting the prognosis of TBI patients.
Subject(s)
Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage , Humans , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/diagnosis , Glasgow Coma Scale , Prognosis , Liver Cirrhosis , AnticoagulantsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Ventilator associated pneumonia (VAP) is a common complication and associated with poor prognosis of traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients. OBJECTIVES: This study was conducted to explore the predictive performance of different machine-learning algorithms for VAP in TBI patients. METHODS: TBI patients receiving mechanical ventilation more than 48 hours from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) database were eligible for the study. The VAP was confirmed based on the ICD-9 code. Included patients were separated to the training cohort and the validation cohort with a ratio of 7:3. Predictive models based on different machine learning algorithms were developed using 5-fold cross validation in the training cohort and then verified in the validation cohort by evaluating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and F score. RESULTS: 786 TBI patients from the MIMIC-III were finally included with the VAP incidence of 44.0%. The random forest performed the best on predicting VAP in the training cohort with a AUC of 1.000. The XGBoost and AdaBoost were ranked the second and the third with a AUC of 0.915 and 0.789 in the training cohort. While the AdaBoost performed the best on predicting VAP in the validation cohort with a AUC of 0.706. The XGBoost and random forest were ranked the second and the third with the AUC of 0.685 and 0.683 in the validation cohort. Generally, the random forest and XGBoost were likely to be over-fitting while the AdaBoost was relatively stable in predicting the VAP. CONCLUSIONS: The AdaBoost performed well and stably on predicting the VAP in TBI patients. Developing programs using AdaBoost in portable electronic devices may effectively assist physicians in assessing the risk of VAP in TBI.
Subject(s)
Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Pneumonia, Ventilator-Associated , Humans , Pneumonia, Ventilator-Associated/diagnosis , Pneumonia, Ventilator-Associated/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Ventilator-Associated/etiology , Intensive Care Units , Critical Care , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/complications , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/epidemiology , Algorithms , Machine LearningABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Nosocomial pneumonia commonly develops in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) patients and is associated with poor prognosis of these patients. This study is designed to verify the predictive value of procalcitonin (PCT) on nosocomial pneumonia in aSAH patients. METHODS: 298 aSAH patients received treatments in the neuro-intensive care unit (NICU) of West China hospital were included. Logistic regression was conducted to verify the association between PCT level and nosocomial pneumonia and to construct a model for predicting pneumonia. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were calculated to evaluate the accuracy of the single PCT and the constructed model. RESULTS: 90 (30.2%) patients developed pneumonia during hospitalizations among included aSAH patients. Pneumonia group had higher procalcitonin level (p < 0.001) than non-pneumonia group. The mortality (p < 0.001), mRS (p < 0.001), length of ICU stay (p < 0.001), length of hospital stay (p < 0.001) were both higher or longer in pneumonia group. Multivariate logistic regression indicated WFNS (p = 0.001), acute hydrocephalus (p = 0.007), WBC (p = 0.021), PCT (p = 0.046) and C-reactive protein (CRP) (p = 0.031) were independently associated with the development of pneumonia in included patients. The AUC value of procalcitonin for predicting nosocomial pneumonia was 0.764. Composed of WFNS, acute hydrocephalus, WBC, PCT and CRP, the predictive model for pneumonia has higher AUC of 0.811. CONCLUSIONS: PCT is an available and effective predictive marker of nosocomial pneumonia in aSAH patients. Composed of WFNS, acute hydrocephalus, WBC, PCT and CRP, our constructed predictive model is helpful for clinicians to evaluate the risk of nosocomial pneumonia and guide therapeutics in aSAH patients.
Subject(s)
Cross Infection , Healthcare-Associated Pneumonia , Hydrocephalus , Pneumonia , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage , Humans , Procalcitonin , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/complications , Cross Infection/diagnosis , Biomarkers , C-Reactive Protein , ROC Curve , Pneumonia/diagnosis , Pneumonia/etiology , Intensive Care Units , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Evaluating risk of poor outcome for Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI) in early stage is necessary to make treatment strategies and decide the need for intensive care. This study is designed to verify the prognostic value of serum cystatin C in TBI patients. METHODS: 415 TBI patients admitted to West China hospital were included. Logistic regression was performed to explore risk factors of mortality and testify the correlation between cystatin C and mortality. Mediation analysis was conducted to test whether Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) and brain injury severity mediate the relationship between cystatin C level and mortality. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the prognostic value of cystatin C and the constructed model incorporating cystatin C. RESULTS: The mortality rate of 415 TBI patients was 48.9%. Non-survivors had lower GCS (5 vs 8, p < 0.001) and higher cystatin C (0.92 vs 0.71, p < 0.001) than survivors. After adjusting confounding effects, multivariate logistic regression indicated GCS (p < 0.001), glucose (p < 0.001), albumin (p = 0.009), cystatin C (p < 0.001) and subdural hematoma (p = 0.042) were independent risk factors of mortality. Mediation analysis showed both AKI and brain injury severity exerted mediating effects on relationship between cystatin C and mortality of included TBI patients. The AUC of combining GCS with cystatin C was 0.862, which was higher than that of GCS alone (Z = 1.7354, p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Both AKI and brain injury severity are mediating variables influencing the relationship between cystatin C and mortality of TBI patients. Serum cystatin C is an effective prognostic marker for TBI patients.
Subject(s)
Acute Kidney Injury , Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Cystatin C , Cystatin C/blood , Humans , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/blood , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/mortality , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/pathology , Acute Kidney Injury/blood , Acute Kidney Injury/pathology , Prognosis , Logistic Models , Risk Factors , Coma/pathologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) commonly develops among traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients and causes poorer outcomes. We perform this study to explore the relationship between serum magnesium and the risk of AKI among TBI. METHODS: TBI patients recorded in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III database were eligible for this research. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) was utilized to fit the correlation between serum magnesium level and the AKI. Univariate and subsequent multivariate logistic regression analysis were utilized to explore risk factors of AKI and confirmed the correlation between serum magnesium and AKI. RESULTS: The incidence of AKI in included TBI was 21.0%. The RCS showed that the correlation between magnesium level and risk of AKI was U-shaped. Compared with patients whose magnesium level was between 1.5 and 2.0 mg/dL, those with a magnesium level of <1.5 mg/dL or >2.0 mg/dL had a higher incidence of AKI. Multivariate logistic regression confirmed age, chronic renal disease, ISS, serum creatinine, vasopressor, mechanical ventilation, and serum magnesium <1.5 mg/dL were independently related with the AKI in TBI. CONCLUSION: Abnormal low serum magnesium level is correlated with AKI development in TBI patients. Physicians should pay attention on renal function of TBI patients especially those with hypomagnesemia.
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Background: The number of geriatric traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients is increasing every year due to the population's aging in most of the developed countries. Unfortunately, there is no widely recognized tool for specifically evaluating the prognosis of geriatric TBI patients. We designed this study to compare the prognostic value of different machine learning algorithm-based predictive models for geriatric TBI. Methods: TBI patients aged ≥65 from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) database were eligible for this study. To develop and validate machine learning algorithm-based prognostic models, included patients were divided into a training set and a testing set, with a ratio of 7:3. The predictive value of different machine learning based models was evaluated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and F score. Results: A total of 1123 geriatric TBI patients were included, with a mortality of 24.8%. Non-survivors had higher age (82.2 vs. 80.7, p = 0.010) and lower Glasgow Coma Scale (14 vs. 7, p < 0.001) than survivors. The rate of mechanical ventilation was significantly higher (67.6% vs. 25.9%, p < 0.001) in non-survivors while the rate of neurosurgical operation did not differ between survivors and non-survivors (24.3% vs. 23.0%, p = 0.735). Among different machine learning algorithms, Adaboost (AUC: 0.799) and Random Forest (AUC: 0.795) performed slightly better than the logistic regression (AUC: 0.792) on predicting mortality in geriatric TBI patients in the testing set. Conclusion: Adaboost, Random Forest and logistic regression all performed well in predicting mortality of geriatric TBI patients. Prognostication tools utilizing these algorithms are helpful for physicians to evaluate the risk of poor outcomes in geriatric TBI patients and adopt personalized therapeutic options for them.
ABSTRACT
Background: Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) commonly develops in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients and is a risk factor for poor prognosis. We designed this study to evaluate the performance of several machine learning algorithms for predicting ARDS in TBI patients. Methods: TBI patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) database were eligible for this study. ARDS was identified according to the Berlin definition. Included TBI patients were divided into the training cohort and the validation cohort with a ratio of 7:3. Several machine learning algorithms were utilized to develop predictive models with five-fold cross validation for ARDS including extreme gradient boosting, light gradient boosting machine, Random Forest, adaptive boosting, complement naïve Bayes, and support vector machine. The performance of machine learning algorithms were evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and F score. Results: 649 TBI patients from the MIMIC-III database were included with an ARDS incidence of 49.5%. The random forest performed the best in predicting ARDS in the training cohort with an AUC of 1.000. The XGBoost and AdaBoost ranked the second and the third with an AUC of 0.989 and 0.815 in the training cohort. The random forest still performed the best in predicting ARDS in the validation cohort with an AUC of 0.652. AdaBoost and XGBoost ranked the second and the third with an AUC of 0.631 and 0.620 in the validation cohort. Several mutual top features in the random forest and AdaBoost were discovered including age, initial systolic blood pressure and heart rate, Abbreviated Injury Score chest, white blood cells, platelets, and international normalized ratio. Conclusions: The random forest and AdaBoost based models have stable and good performance for predicting ARDS in TBI patients. These models could help clinicians to evaluate the risk of ARDS in early stages after TBI and consequently adjust treatment decisions.