Home Monitoring for Fever: An Inexpensive Screening Method to Prevent Household Spread of COVID-19.

The COVID-19 pandemic surge has exceeded testing capacities in many parts of the world. We investigated the effectiveness of home temperature monitoring for early identification of COVID-19 patients. Study Design ­: We compared home temperature measurements from a convenience sample of 1180 individuals who reported being test positive for SARS-CoV-2 to an age, sex, and location matched control group of 1249 individuals who had not tested positive. Methods ­: All individuals monitored their temperature at home using an electronic smartphone thermometer that relayed temperature measurements and symptoms to a centralized cloud based, de-identified data bank. Results -: Individuals varied in the number of times they monitored their temperature. When temperature was monitored for over 72 hours fever (≥ 37.6°C or 99.7°F or a change in temperature of ≥ 1°C or 1.8°F) was detected in 73% of test positive individuals, a sensitivity comparable to rapid SARS-CoV-2 antigen tests. When compared to our control group the specificity of fever for COVID-19 was 0.70. However, when fever was combined with complaints of loss of taste and smell, difficulty breathing, fatigue, chills, diarrhea, or stuffy nose the odds ratio of having COVID-19 was sufficiently high as to obviate the need to employ RTPCR or antigen testing to screen for and isolate coronavirus infected cases. Conclusions -: Our findings suggest that home temperature monitoring could serve as an inexpensive convenient screen for the onset of COVID-19, encourage earlier isolation of potentially infected individuals, and more effectively reduce the spread of infection in closed spaces.

The Value of Medical Registries and Observational Studies Early in Pandemics: The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Experience.

Whereas randomized clinical trials remain the gold standard for evaluating new therapies for infections, we argue that registries and observational studies early in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic provided invaluable understanding of the natural history and preliminary data on risk factors and possible treatments. We review the data from the current pandemic, the history of registries in general, and their value in public health emergencies. Lessons from these experiences should be incorporated into rigorous planning for the next pandemic.

Severe Sepsis: The Fragile Anatomy of Crude Mortality.

Clinical trials of severe sepsis that target crude mortality are underpowered to detect mortality differences due to intervention. We discuss the importance of including subcomponents of crude mortality in study design; how the proportion of attributable mortality affects sample size requirements; and how minor changes from predicted outcomes affect interpretation.

Patient characteristics and admitting vital signs associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related mortality among patients admitted with noncritical illness.

OBJECTIVE: To determine risk factors for mortality among COVID-19 patients admitted to a system of community hospitals in the United States. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of patient data collected from the routine care of COVID-19 patients. SETTING: System of >180 acute-care facilities in the United States. PARTICIPANTS: All admitted patients with positive identification of COVID-19 and a documented discharge as of May 12, 2020. METHODS: Determination of demographic characteristics, vital signs at admission, patient comorbidities and recorded discharge disposition in this population to construct a logistic regression estimating the odds of mortality, particular for those patients characterized as not being critically ill at admission. RESULTS: In total, 6,180 COVID-19+ patients were identified as of May 12, 2020. Most COVID-19+ patients (4,808, 77.8%) were admitted directly to a medical-surgical unit with no documented critical care or mechanical ventilation within 8 hours of admission. After adjusting for demographic characteristics, comorbidities, and vital signs at admission in this subgroup, the largest driver of the odds of mortality was patient age (OR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.06-1.08; P < .001). Decreased oxygen saturation at admission was associated with increased odds of mortality (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.06-1.12; P < .001) as was diabetes (OR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.21-2.03; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: The identification of factors observable at admission that are associated with mortality in COVID-19 patients who are initially admitted to non-critical care units may help care providers, hospital epidemiologists, and hospital safety experts better plan for the care of these patients.

Changes in hospitalized coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patient characteristics and resource use in a system of community hospitals in the United States.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has migrated to regions that were initially spared, and it is likely that different populations are currently at risk for illness. Herein, we present our observations of the change in characteristics and resource use of COVID-19 patients over time in a national system of community hospitals to help inform those managing surge planning, operational management, and future policy decisions.

A yellow flag on the horizon: The looming threat of yellow fever to North America.

OBJECTIVES: Yellow fever virus historically was a frequent threat to American and European coasts. Medical milestones such as the discovery of mosquitoes as vectors and subsequently an effective vaccine significantly reduced its incidence, in spite of which, thousands of cases of this deathly disease still occur regularly in Sub-Saharan Africa and the Amazonian basin in South America, which are usually not reported. An urban outbreak in Angola, consecutive years of increasing incidence near major Brazilian cities, and imported cases in China, South America and Europe, have brought this virus back to the global spotlight. The aim of this article is to underline that the preventive YFV measures, such as vaccination, need to be carefully revised in order to minimize the risks of new YFV outbreaks, especially in urban or immunologically vulnerable places. Furthermore, this article highlights the diverse factors that have favored the spread of other Aedes spp.-associated arboviral diseases like Dengue, Chikungunya and Zika, to northern latitudes causing epidemics in the United States and Europe, emphasizing the possibility that YFV might follow the path of these viruses unless enhanced surveillance and efficient control systems are urgently initiated.

Surgical site infections and the microbiome: An updated perspective.

OBJECTIVE: To address 3 questions: What are the origins of bacteria causing surgical site infections (SSIs)? Is there evidence that the offending bacteria are present at the incision site when surgery begins? What are the estimates of the proportion of SSIs that can be prevented with perioperative control of the microbiome? DESIGN: Review of the literature, examining recognized sources of bacteria causing surgical site infections. METHODS: Specifically, I examined the impact of improved control of the microbiome of the skin and nares on reducing SSIs. The initial effort was to examine the reduction of SSIs linked solely to preoperative skin preparation regimens and to either topical nasal antibiotics or pre- and postoperative nasal antiseptic regimens. To corroborate the concept of the importance of the microbiome, a review of studies showing the relationship of SSIs and marker organisms (eg, Propionobacterium acnes) present at the incision sites was performed. The relationships of SSIs to the microbiome of the skin and nares were summarized. RESULTS: Depending on key assumptions, ∼70%-95% of all SSIs arise from the microbiome of the patients' skin or nares. Data from the studies of marker organisms suggest that the infecting bacteria are present at the incision site at the time of surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Almost all SSIs arise from the patient's microbiome. The occurrence of SSIs can be viewed as a perioperative failure to control the microbiome.

Human immunodeficiency virus associated thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura, a clinical conundrum.

HIV complicates the diagnostic and therapeutic approaches to idiopathic thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (TTP), prompting debate in the literature regarding the benefit of plasma exchange versus simple plasma infusion. Herein we present a case of HIV-TTP, initially treated conservatively with plasma infusion but because of progressive neurologic decline, required urgent plasma exchange for resolution of hematologic derangements and neurologic sequelae. Based on the available literature, there appears to be a spectrum of HIV-associated TTP disorders. Patients with advanced HIV disease and opportunistic infections who present with thrombotic microangiopathy tend to respond to simple plasma infusion, while patients with less progressive HIV disease tend to behave like those with idiopathic TTP, requiring plasma exchange rather than simple plasma infusion. This article illustrates that in patients with HIV-TTP who do not respond to plasma infusion, early escalation to plasma exchange may help avoid life-threatening complications such as seizures and even death.