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1.
J Aging Health ; : 8982643241247583, 2024 Apr 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38621720

ABSTRACT

Objectives: We investigated whether self-reported vision and hearing were associated with cognitive function and loneliness among Mexican adults aged 50 and older. Methods: Mexican Health and Aging Study data. Vision/hearing status was self-reported (excellent-very good, good, fair-poor). Cognition was measured using nine tasks. Loneliness was measured using the UCLA Loneliness Scale. Analyses controlled for demographic and health characteristics. Results: Among 12,353 participants (mean age = 67, 58% female), poor vision, but not hearing, was associated with lower global cognition (ß = -0.03, p < .05). Poor vision (OR = 1.57, 95% CI = 1.30-1.91) and hearing (OR = 1.35, 95% CI = 1.14-1.61) were associated with higher odds of being lonely after adjusting for demographics and comorbidities, but not when adjusting for limitations in daily activities and depressive symptoms. Discussion: Poor vision is a potentially modifiable risk factor for lower cognition and loneliness among Mexican adults. These associations are partly due to functional characteristics of older adults with poor vision.

4.
Hernia ; 28(1): 109-117, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38017324

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Umbilical hernia is common in patients with cirrhosis; however, there is a paucity of dedicated studies on postoperative outcomes in this group of patients. This population-based cohort study aimed to determine the outcomes after emergency and elective umbilical hernia repair in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: Two linked electronic healthcare databases from England were used to identify all patients undergoing umbilical hernia repair between January 2000 and December 2017. Patients were grouped into those with and without cirrhosis and stratified by severity into compensated and decompensated cirrhosis. Length of stay, readmission, 90-day case fatality rate and the odds ratio of 90-day postoperative mortality were defined using logistic regression. RESULTS: In total, 22,163 patients who underwent an umbilical hernia repair were included and 297 (1.34%) had cirrhosis. More patients without cirrhosis had an elective procedure, 86% compared with 51% of those with cirrhosis (P < 0.001). In both the elective and emergency settings, patients with cirrhosis had longer hospital length of stay (elective: 0 vs 1 day, emergency: 2 vs 4 days, P < 0.0001) and higher readmission rates (elective: 4.87% vs 11.33%, emergency:11.39% vs 29.25%, P < 0.0001) than those without cirrhosis. The 90-day case fatality rates were 2% and 0.16% in the elective setting, and 19% and 2.96% in the emergency setting in patients with and without cirrhosis respectively. CONCLUSION: Emergency umbilical hernia repair in patients with cirrhosis is associated with poorer outcomes in terms of length of stay, readmissions and mortality at 90 days.


Subject(s)
Hernia, Umbilical , Humans , Hernia, Umbilical/complications , Hernia, Umbilical/surgery , Cohort Studies , Herniorrhaphy/methods , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , England/epidemiology
5.
Nanoscale ; 15(45): 18241-18249, 2023 Nov 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37947459

ABSTRACT

In order to trap nanoparticles with dielectrophoresis, high electric field gradients are needed. Here we created large area (>mm2) conductive carbon nanofiber mats to trap nanoparticles with dielectrophoresis. The electrospun fiber mats had an average diameter of 267 ± 94 nm and a conductivity of 2.55 S cm-1. Relative to cleanroom procedures, this procedure is less expensive in creating bulk conductive nanoscale features. The electrospun fiber mat was used as one electrode, with an indium-tin-oxide glass slide serving as the other (separated approximately 150 µm). Numerical models showed that conductive nanoscale fibers can generate significant field gradients sufficient to overcome Brownian transport of nanoparticles. Our experiments trapped 20 nm fluorescent polystyrene beads at 7 Vrms and 1 kHz. Trapping is further enhanced through simultaneous electrohydrodynamic motion. Overall, this straightforward electrospun fiber mat can serve as a foundation for future use in microscale electrokinetic devices.

6.
BMJ Open Ophthalmol ; 8(Suppl 3): A2, 2023 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37797983

ABSTRACT

Peripapillary hyperreflective ovoid mass-like structures (PHOMS) are a recently described entity. They are a common and non-specific cause of pseudopapilloedema. We aim to determine if there is a relationship between optical coherence tomography (OCT) measurements and refractive status on the presence of PHOMS.Retrospective analysis of optic nerve head OCT scans from children seen in the suspected papilledema virtual clinic between August 2016 and March 2021 at University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff. Three assessors graded each scan for the presence of PHOMS. Numerical data on the disc morphology (disc area (DA (mm2)) and scleral canal diameter (SCD (µm)) was obtained from the OCT scans. Refractive data was obtained from the initial optometric referral where available. Logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the effect of age, sex, spherical equivalent, DA and SCD on the likelihood of the presence of PHOMS.The SCD was significantly larger in eyes with PHOMS (mean diameter 1771 µm) vs no PHOMS (mean diameter 1621 µm). Odds ratio 1.0042 (1.0016 to 1.0069). The other variables were not significantly associated, but there was a tendency towards a younger age, larger disc area and the presence of a refractive error if PHOMS were present.Anatomical and developmental differences in the size of the scleral canal and optic nerve may explain the presence of PHOMS in children. In contrast to other recently published studies, we show that a wider scleral canal diameter was significantly associated with the presence of PHOMS.


Subject(s)
Optic Disk , Optic Nerve Diseases , Humans , Child , Tomography, Optical Coherence/methods , Retrospective Studies , Optic Disk/diagnostic imaging , Optic Nerve
7.
Ann Oncol ; 34(10): 867-884, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37777307

ABSTRACT

Cancer research has traditionally focused on developing new agents, but an underexplored question is that of the dose and frequency of existing drugs. Based on the modus operandi established in the early days of chemotherapies, most drugs are administered according to predetermined schedules that seek to deliver the maximum tolerated dose and are only adjusted for toxicity. However, we believe that the complex, evolving nature of cancer requires a more dynamic and personalized approach. Chronicling the milestones of the field, we show that the impact of schedule choice crucially depends on processes driving treatment response and failure. As such, cancer heterogeneity and evolution dictate that a one-size-fits-all solution is unlikely-instead, each patient should be mapped to the strategy that best matches their current disease characteristics and treatment objectives (i.e. their 'tumorscape'). To achieve this level of personalization, we need mathematical modeling. In this perspective, we propose a five-step 'Adaptive Dosing Adjusted for Personalized Tumorscapes (ADAPT)' paradigm to integrate data and understanding across scales and derive dynamic and personalized schedules. We conclude with promising examples of model-guided schedule personalization and a call to action to address key outstanding challenges surrounding data collection, model development, and integration.


Subject(s)
Decision Support Systems, Clinical , Neoplasms , Humans , Neoplasms/drug therapy , Precision Medicine , Models, Theoretical
8.
Geohealth ; 7(8): e2023GH000812, 2023 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37593109

ABSTRACT

Elevated surface concentrations of ozone and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) can lead to poor air quality and detrimental impacts on human health. These pollutants are also termed Near-Term Climate Forcers (NTCFs) as they can also influence the Earth's radiative balance on timescales shorter than long-lived greenhouse gases. Here we use the Earth system model, UKESM1, to simulate the change in surface ozone and PM2.5 concentrations from different NTCF mitigation scenarios, conducted as part of the Aerosol and Chemistry Model Intercomparison Project (AerChemMIP). These are then combined with relative risk estimates and projected changes in population demographics, to estimate the mortality burden attributable to long-term exposure to ambient air pollution. Scenarios that involve the strong mitigation of air pollutant emissions yield large future benefits to human health (25%), particularly across Asia for black carbon (7%), when compared to the future reference pathway. However, if anthropogenic emissions follow the reference pathway, then impacts to human health worsen over South Asia in the short term (11%) and across Africa (20%) in the longer term. Future climate change impacts on air pollutants can offset some of the health benefits achieved by emission mitigation measures over Europe for PM2.5 and East Asia for ozone. In addition, differences in the future chemical environment over regions are important considerations for mitigation measures to achieve the largest benefit to human health. Future policy measures to mitigate climate warming need to also consider the impact on air quality and human health across different regions to achieve the maximum co-benefits.

9.
Environ Int ; 178: 108005, 2023 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37437316

ABSTRACT

Many United States (US) cities are experiencing urban heat islands (UHIs) and climate change-driven temperature increases. Extreme heat increases cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, yet little is known about how this association varies with UHI intensity (UHII) within and between cities. We aimed to identify the urban populations most at-risk of and burdened by heat-related CVD morbidity in UHI-affected areas compared to unaffected areas. ZIP code-level daily counts of CVD hospitalizations among Medicare enrollees, aged 65-114, were obtained for 120 US metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) between 2000 and 2017. Mean ambient temperature exposure was estimated by interpolating daily weather station observations. ZIP codes were classified as low and high UHII using the first and fourth quartiles of an existing surface UHII metric, weighted to each have 25% of all CVD hospitalizations. MSA-specific associations between ambient temperature and CVD hospitalization were estimated using quasi-Poisson regression with distributed lag non-linear models and pooled via multivariate meta-analyses. Across the US, extreme heat (MSA-specific 99th percentile, on average 28.6 °C) increased the risk of CVD hospitalization by 1.5% (95% CI: 0.4%, 2.6%), with considerable variation among MSAs. Extreme heat-related CVD hospitalization risk in high UHII areas (2.4% [95% CI: 0.4%, 4.3%]) exceeded that in low UHII areas (1.0% [95% CI: -0.8%, 2.8%]), with upwards of a 10% difference in some MSAs. During the 18-year study period, there were an estimated 37,028 (95% CI: 35,741, 37,988) heat-attributable CVD admissions. High UHII areas accounted for 35% of the total heat-related CVD burden, while low UHII areas accounted for 4%. High UHII disproportionately impacted already heat-vulnerable populations; females, individuals aged 75-114, and those with chronic conditions living in high UHII areas experienced the largest heat-related CVD impacts. Overall, extreme heat increased cardiovascular morbidity risk and burden in older urban populations, with UHIs exacerbating these impacts among those with existing vulnerabilities.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Hot Temperature , Aged , Female , Humans , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cities/epidemiology , Medicare , Time Factors , United States/epidemiology , Aged, 80 and over
10.
QJM ; 116(1): 63-67, 2023 Feb 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36066450

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Pulse oximeters are widely used to monitor blood oxygen saturations, although concerns exist that they are less accurate in individuals with pigmented skin. AIMS: This study aimed to determine if patients with pigmented skin were more severely unwell at the period of transfer to intensive care units (ICUs) than individuals with White skin. METHODS: Using data from a large teaching hospital, measures of clinical severity at the time of transfer of patients with COVID-19 infection to ICUs were assessed, and how this varied by ethnic group. RESULTS: Data were available on 748 adults. Median pulse oximetry demonstrated similar oxygen saturations at the time of transfer to ICUs (Kruskal-Wallis test, P = 0.51), although median oxygen saturation measurements from arterial blood gases at this time demonstrated lower oxygen saturations in patients classified as Indian/Pakistani ethnicity (91.6%) and Black/Mixed ethnicity (93.0%), compared to those classified as a White ethnicity (94.4%, Kruskal-Wallis test, P = 0.005). There were significant differences in mean respiratory rates in these patients (P < 0.0001), ranging from 26 breaths/min in individuals with White ethnicity to 30 breaths/min for those classified as Indian/Pakistani ethnicity and 31 for those who were classified as Black/Mixed ethnicity. CONCLUSIONS: These data are consistent with the hypothesis that differential measurement error for pulse oximeter readings negatively impact on the escalation of clinical care in individuals from other than White ethnic groups. This has implications for healthcare in Africa and South-East Asia and may contribute to differences in health outcomes across ethnic groups globally.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Ethnicity , Adult , Humans , Oximetry , Oxygen , Intensive Care Units
11.
Lancet Planet Health ; 6(12): e958-e967, 2022 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36495890

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Data on long-term trends of ozone exposure and attributable mortality across urban-rural catchment areas worldwide are scarce, especially for low-income and middle-income countries. This study aims to estimate trends in ozone concentrations and attributable mortality for urban-rural catchment areas worldwide. METHODS: In this modelling study, we used a health impact function to estimate ozone concentrations and ozone-attributable chronic respiratory disease mortality for urban areas worldwide, and their surrounding peri-urban, peri-rural, and rural areas. We estimated ozone-attributable respiratory health outcomes using a modified Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2019 Study approach. We evaluate long-term trends with linear regressions of annual ozone concentrations and ozone-attributable mortality against time in years, and examined the influence of each health impact function input parameter to temporal changes in ozone-attributable disease burden estimates for 12 946 cities worldwide by region, from 2000 to 2019. FINDINGS: Ozone-attributable mortality worldwide increased by 46% from 2000 (290 400 deaths [95% CI 151 800-457 600]) to 2019 (423 100 deaths [95% CI 223 200-659 400]). The fraction of global ozone-attributable mortality occurring in peri-urban areas remained unchanged from 2000 to 2019 (56%), whereas urban areas gained in their share of global ozone-attributable burden (from 35% to 37%; 54 000 more deaths). Across all cities studied, average population-weighted mean ozone concentration increased by 11% (46 parts per billion [ppb] to 51 ppb). The number of cities with concentrations above the WHO peak season ozone standard (60 µg/m3) increased from 11 568 (89%) of 12 946 cities in 2000 to 12 433 (96%) cities in 2019. Percent change in ozone-attributable mortality averaged across 11 032 cities within each region from 2000 to 2019 ranged from -62% in eastern Europe to 350% in tropical Latin America. The contribution of ozone concentrations, population size, and baseline chronic respiratory disease rates to the change in ozone-attributable mortality differed regionally. INTERPRETATION: Ozone exposure is increasing worldwide, contributing to disproportionate ozone mortality in peri-urban areas and increasing ozone exposure and attributable mortality in urban areas worldwide. Reducing ozone precursor emissions in areas affecting urban and peri-urban exposure can yield substantial public health benefits. FUNDING: NASA Health and Air Quality Applied Sciences Team, the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, and the NOAA Co-operative Agreement with the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences.


Subject(s)
Air Pollution , Ozone , Respiratory Tract Diseases , United States , Humans , Ozone/adverse effects , Ozone/analysis , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Latin America , Seasons , Respiratory Tract Diseases/chemically induced
12.
Circ Cardiovasc Interv ; 15(12): e012183, 2022 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36472194

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Left atrial appendage occlusion is an important alternative to anticoagulation in select patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. Trends in real-world device sizing and associated short-term complications have not been characterized. METHODS: Using the National Cardiovascular Data Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion (NCDR LAAO) Registry, patients who underwent left atrial appendage occlusion with a Watchman 2.5 device from January 1, 2016, to June 30, 2020, were identified. Patients were stratified by device size based on left atrial appendage orifice size, and categorized as receiving a device that was undersized, oversized, or per manufacturer recommendation. Relationships between device sizing and short-term outcomes, including pericardial effusion, device embolism, and significant leak, were assessed. RESULTS: Of the 68 456 patients, 6539 (10.5%) of patients received undersized devices, 17 791 (26.0%) according to manufacturer recommendations, and 44 126 (64.4%) received an oversized device. The 27-mm device was most commonly deployed [21 736 (31.8%)], whereas the smallest and largest devices (21 and 33 mm) were least commonly deployed [7695 (11.2%) and 9077 (13.3%), respectively]. Compared with manufacturer recommended sizing, there was no difference in the odds of pericardial effusion for either undersized (1.048 [95% CI' 0.801-1.372]; P=0.733) or oversized (1.101 [95% CI' 0.933-1.298]; P=0.254) devices. Similarly, relative to manufacturer recommended sizing, the odds of a composite adverse outcome of device migration or embolization and significant peridevice leak at 45 days were similar among undersized devices (1.030 [95% CI' 0.735-1.444]; P=0.863) and favorable for oversized devices (0.701 [95% CI' 0.561-0.876]; P=0.002) devices, primarily driven by lower odds of leak. Selection of oversized devices increased significantly over the study period (from 60.3% in 2016 to 66.0% in 2020; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients undergoing left atrial appendage occlusion with the first-generation Watchman device, receipt of oversized devices was common and increased over time. The high prevalence of oversizing was associated with lower odds of significant leak or device embolization without increased odds of other adverse events.


Subject(s)
Atrial Appendage , Atrial Fibrillation , Pericardial Effusion , Stroke , Humans , Atrial Appendage/diagnostic imaging , Pericardial Effusion/epidemiology , Pericardial Effusion/etiology , Treatment Outcome , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Atrial Fibrillation/therapy , Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Registries , Stroke/etiology , Cardiac Catheterization/adverse effects
13.
Environ Health Perspect ; 130(6): 67005, 2022 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35700064

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is increasing evidence that long-term exposure to fine particulate matter [PM ≤2.5µm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5)] may adversely impact cognitive performance. Wildfire smoke is one of the biggest sources of PM2.5 and concentrations are likely to increase under climate change. However, little is known about how short-term exposure impacts cognitive function. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to evaluate the associations between daily and subdaily (hourly) PM2.5 and wildfire smoke exposure and cognitive performance in adults. METHODS: Scores from 20 plays of an attention-oriented brain-training game were obtained for 10,228 adults in the United States (U.S.). We estimated daily and hourly PM2.5 exposure through a data fusion of observations from multiple monitoring networks. Daily smoke exposure in the western U.S. was obtained from satellite-derived estimates of smoke plume density. We used a longitudinal repeated measures design with linear mixed effects models to test for associations between short-term exposure and attention score. Results were also stratified by age, gender, user behavior, and region. RESULTS: Daily and subdaily PM2.5 were negatively associated with attention score. A 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 in the 3 h prior to gameplay was associated with a 21.0 [95% confidence interval (CI): 3.3, 38.7]-point decrease in score. PM2.5 exposure over 20 plays accounted for an estimated average 3.7% (95% CI: 0.7%, 6.7%) reduction in final score. Associations were more pronounced in the wildfire-impacted western U.S. Medium and heavy smoke density were also negatively associated with score. Heavy smoke density the day prior to gameplay was associated with a 117.0 (95% CI: 1.7, 232.3)-point decrease in score relative to no smoke. Although differences between subgroups were not statistically significant, associations were most pronounced for younger (18-29 y), older (≥70y), habitual, and male users. DISCUSSION: Our results indicate that PM2.5 and wildfire smoke were associated with reduced attention in adults within hours and days of exposure, but further research is needed to elucidate these relationships. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP10498.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Wildfires , Air Pollutants/analysis , Brain , Cognition , Environmental Exposure , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Particulate Matter/analysis , Smoke/adverse effects , United States/epidemiology
14.
BMC Nutr ; 8(1): 29, 2022 Apr 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35392969

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Optimal infant and young child feeding practices (IYCFP) reduce childhood stunting and are associated with additional health benefits. In Tanzania, IYCFP are far from optimal where 32% of children under the age of 5 years are stunted. The purpose of this study was to examine whether behavior change communication focused on reducing child undernutrition was associated with improved IYCFP in Tanzania. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was administered to approximately 10,000 households with children under the age of 2 at baseline and endline. Bivariate analyses and logistic regression was used to examine the relationship between exposure to behavior change communication and timely initiation of breastfeeding, exclusive breastfeeding, continued breastfeeding at one year, timely complementary feeding (CF), minimum meal frequency (MMF), minimum dietary diversity (MDD), and minimum acceptable diet (MAD). RESULTS: Mothers who heard a radio spot about IYCFP were more likely than mothers who had not heard a radio spot about IYCFP to begin complementary foods at six months. Their children were also more likely to achieve MMF, MDD, and MAD with odds ratios of 2.227 (p = 0.0061), 1.222 (p = 0.0454), 1.618 (p = < .0001), and 1.511 (p = 0.0002), respectively. Mothers who saw a TV spot about IYCFP were more likely to have greater odds of knowing when to begin complementary feeding, feeding their child a minimally diverse diet (4 food groups or more), and serving a minimum acceptable diet with odds ratios of 1.335 (p = 0.0081), 1.360 (p = 0.0003), and 1.268 (p = 0.0156), respectively. CONCLUSION: Exposure to behavior change communication in Tanzania was generally associated with some increased knowledge of optimal IYCFP as well as practicing IYCF behaviors. Behavior change communication planners and implementers may want to consider conducting similar campaigns as an important component of behavior change to reduce undernutrition and poor health outcomes in developing settings.

15.
JMIR Med Inform ; 9(12): e29225, 2021 Dec 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34874889

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The identification of an appropriate rhythm management strategy for patients diagnosed with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains a major challenge for providers. Although clinical trials have identified subgroups of patients in whom a rate- or rhythm-control strategy might be indicated to improve outcomes, the wide range of presentations and risk factors among patients presenting with AF makes such approaches challenging. The strength of electronic health records is the ability to build in logic to guide management decisions, such that the system can automatically identify patients in whom a rhythm-control strategy is more likely and can promote efficient referrals to specialists. However, like any clinical decision support tool, there is a balance between interpretability and accurate prediction. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to create an electronic health record-based prediction tool to guide patient referral to specialists for rhythm-control management by comparing different machine learning algorithms. METHODS: We compared machine learning models of increasing complexity and used up to 50,845 variables to predict the rhythm-control strategy in 42,022 patients within the University of Colorado Health system at the time of AF diagnosis. Models were evaluated on the basis of their classification accuracy, defined by the F1 score and other metrics, and interpretability, captured by inspection of the relative importance of each predictor. RESULTS: We found that age was by far the strongest single predictor of a rhythm-control strategy but that greater accuracy could be achieved with more complex models incorporating neural networks and more predictors for each participant. We determined that the impact of better prediction models was notable primarily in the rate of inappropriate referrals for rhythm-control, in which more complex models provided an average of 20% fewer inappropriate referrals than simpler, more interpretable models. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that any health care system seeking to incorporate algorithms to guide rhythm management for patients with AF will need to address this trade-off between prediction accuracy and model interpretability.

16.
Annu Rev Biomed Data Sci ; 4: 417-447, 2021 07 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34465183

ABSTRACT

Data from satellite instruments provide estimates of gas and particle levels relevant to human health, even pollutants invisible to the human eye. However, the successful interpretation of satellite data requires an understanding of how satellites relate to other data sources, as well as factors affecting their application to health challenges. Drawing from the expertise and experience of the 2016-2020 NASA HAQAST (Health and Air Quality Applied Sciences Team), we present a review of satellite data for air quality and health applications. We include a discussion of satellite data for epidemiological studies and health impact assessments, as well as the use of satellite data to evaluate air quality trends, support air quality regulation, characterize smoke from wildfires, and quantify emission sources. The primary advantage of satellite data compared to in situ measurements, e.g., from air quality monitoring stations, is their spatial coverage. Satellite data can reveal where pollution levels are highest around the world, how levels have changed over daily to decadal periods, and where pollutants are transported from urban to global scales. To date, air quality and health applications have primarily utilized satellite observations and satellite-derived products relevant to near-surface particulate matter <2.5 µm in diameter (PM2.5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2). Health and air quality communities have grown increasingly engaged in the use of satellite data, and this trend is expected to continue. From health researchers to air quality managers, and from global applications to community impacts, satellite data are transforming the way air pollution exposure is evaluated.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Air Pollution , Air Pollutants/adverse effects , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Humans , Nitrogen Dioxide/analysis , Particulate Matter/adverse effects
17.
Geohealth ; 5(7): e2021GH000414, 2021 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34250370

ABSTRACT

Exposure to wildfire smoke increases the risk of respiratory and cardiovascular hospital admissions. Health impact assessments, used to inform decision-making processes, characterize the health impacts of environmental exposures by combining preexisting epidemiological concentration-response functions (CRFs) with estimates of exposure. These two key inputs influence the magnitude and uncertainty of the health impacts estimated, but for wildfire-related impact assessments the extent of their impact is largely unknown. We first estimated the number of respiratory, cardiovascular, and asthma hospital admissions attributable to fire-originated PM2.5 exposure in central California during the October 2017 wildfires, using Monte Carlo simulations to quantify uncertainty with respect to the exposure and epidemiological inputs. We next conducted sensitivity analyses, comparing four estimates of fire-originated PM2.5 and two CRFs, wildfire and nonwildfire specific, to understand their impact on the estimation of excess admissions and sources of uncertainty. We estimate the fires accounted for an excess 240 (95% CI: 114, 404) respiratory, 68 (95% CI: -10, 159) cardiovascular, and 45 (95% CI: 18, 81) asthma hospital admissions, with 56% of admissions occurring in the Bay Area. Although differences between impact assessment methods are not statistically significant, the admissions estimates' magnitude is particularly sensitive to the CRF specified while the uncertainty is most sensitive to estimates of fire-originated PM2.5. Not accounting for the exposure surface's uncertainty leads to an underestimation of the uncertainty of the health impacts estimated. Employing context-specific CRFs and using accurate exposure estimates that combine multiple data sets generates more certain estimates of the acute health impacts of wildfires.

18.
Environ Sci Atmos ; 1(4): 176-191, 2021 May 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34278306

ABSTRACT

A small fraction of aerosol particles known as Ice-Nucleating Particles (INPs) have the potential to trigger ice formation in cloud droplets at higher temperatures than homogeneous freezing. INPs can strongly reduce the water content and albedo of shallow mixed-phase clouds and also influence the development of convective clouds. Therefore, it is important to understand which aerosol types serve as INPs and how effectively they nucleate ice. Using a combination of INP measurements and Scanning Electron Microscopy with Energy Dispersive Spectroscopy (SEM-EDS), we quantify both the INP concentrations over a range of activation temperatures and the size-resolved composition. We show that the INP population of aerosol samples collected from an aircraft over the UK during July of 2017 is consistent with ice-nucleation on mineral dust below about -20 °C, but some other INP type must account for ice-nucleation at higher temperatures. Biological aerosol particles above ∼2 µm were detected based on visual detection of their morphological features in all the analysed samples at concentrations of at least 10 to 100 L-1 in the boundary layer. We suggest that given the presence of biological material, it could substantially contribute to the enhanced ice-nucleation ability of the samples at above -20 °C. Organic material attached to mineral dust could be responsible for at least part of this enhancement. These results are consistent with a growing body of data which suggests mineral dust alone cannot explain the INP population in the mid-latitude terrestrial atmosphere and that biological ice nucleating particles are most likely important for cloud glaciation.

20.
BJS Open ; 5(2)2021 03 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33889950

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The management of perforated diverticular disease has changed in the past 10 years with a move towards less surgical intervention. This population-based cohort study aimed to define the risk of death and readmission following non-operative management of perforated diverticular disease. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with perforated diverticular disease and managed without surgery were identified from the linked Clinical Practice Research Datalink and Hospital Episode Statistics data from 2000 to 2013. The outcomes were 1-year case fatality, readmissions, and surgery at readmission. RESULTS: In total, 880 patients with perforated diverticular disease were managed without surgery, comprising 523 women (59.4 per cent). The 1-year case fatality rate was 33.2 per cent (293 of 880). The majority of deaths occurred in the first 90 days after the index admission, with a 90-day case fatality rate of 28.8 per cent. The 90-day survival rate varied by age, and was 97.2 per cent among those aged less than 65 years, compared with 85.0 per cent for those aged between 65 and 74 years, and 47.7 per cent in those at least 75 years old. Of 767 patients discharged from hospital, 250 (32.6 per cent) were readmitted (47 elective, 6.1 per cent; 203 emergency, 26.5 per cent) during a median of 1.6 (i.q.r. 0.1-3.9) years of follow-up, with similar proportions in each age category. In the first year of follow-up, only 5.1 per cent of patients required surgery, of whom 16 of 767 (2.1 per cent) required elective and 23 (3.0 per cent) emergency operation. CONCLUSION: Non-operative management of perforated diverticulitis in those aged less than 65 years is feasible and safe. Reintervention rates following conservative management were low across all age categories.


Subject(s)
Diverticular Diseases/mortality , Diverticular Diseases/therapy , Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Conservative Treatment , Databases, Factual , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Risk Factors , Spontaneous Perforation , Survival Analysis , Treatment Outcome , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Young Adult
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