Battling against the great disruption to surgical care in a pandemic: experiences of 11 South and Southeast Asian countries.

OBJECTIVES: The majority of the cancelled elective surgeries caused by the COVID-19 pandemic globally were estimated to occur in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where surgical services had long been in short supply even before the pandemic. Therefore, minimising disruption to existing surgical care in LMICs is of crucial importance during a pandemic. This study aimed to explore contributory factors to the continuity of surgical care in LMICs in the face of a pandemic. DESIGN: Semistructured interviews were conducted over zoom with surgical leaders of 25 tertiary hospitals from 11 LMICs in South and Southeast Asia in September to October 2020. Key themes were subsequently identified from the interview transcripts using the Braun and Clarke's method of thematic analysis. RESULTS: The COVID-19 pandemic affected all surgical services of participating institutions to varying degrees. Overall, elective surgeries suffered the gravest disruption, followed by outpatient surgical care, and finally emergency surgeries. Keeping healthcare workers safe and striving for continuity of essential surgical care emerged as notable response strategies observed across all participating institutions. CONCLUSION: This study suggested that four factors are important for the resilience of surgical care against COVID-19: adequate COVID-19 testing capacity and effective institutional infection control measures, designated COVID-19 treatment facilities, whole-system approach to balancing pandemic response and meeting essential surgical needs, and active community engagement. These findings can inform healthcare institutions in other countries, especially LMICs, in their effort to tread a fine line between preserving healthcare capacity for pandemic response and protecting surgical services against pandemic disruption.

The Effect of Building-Level Socioeconomic Status on Bystander Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Understanding the social determinants of bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) receipt can inform the design of public health interventions to increase bystander CPR. The association of socioeconomic status with bystander CPR is generally poorly understood. We evaluated the relationship between socioeconomic status and bystander CPR in cases of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study based on the Singapore cohort of the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study registry between 2010 and 2018. We categorized patients into low, medium, and high Singapore Housing Index (SHI) levels-a building-level index of socioeconomic status. The primary outcome was receipt of bystander CPR. The secondary outcomes were prehospital return of spontaneous circulation and survival to discharge. RESULTS: A total of 12,730 OHCA cases were included, the median age was 71 years, and 58.9% were male. The bystander CPR rate was 56.7%. Compared to patients in the low SHI category, those in the medium and high SHI categories were more likely to receive bystander CPR (medium SHI: adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.48, 95% CI 1.30-1.69; high SHI: aOR 1.93, 95% CI 1.67-2.24). High SHI patients had higher survival compared to low SHI patients on unadjusted analysis (OR 1.79, 95% CI 1.08-2.96), but not adjusted analysis (adjusted for age, sex, race, witness status, arrest time, past medical history of cancer, and first arrest rhythm). When comparing high with low SHI, females had larger increases in bystander CPR rates than males. CONCLUSIONS: Lower building-level socioeconomic status was independently associated with lower rate of bystander CPR, and females were more susceptible to the effect of low socioeconomic status on lower rate of bystander CPR.

Negative and positive experiences of caregiving among family caregivers of older blunt trauma patients.

OBJECTIVES: Family caregivers play a fundamental role in the care of the older blunt trauma patient. We aim to identify risk factors for negative and positive experiences of caregiving among family caregivers. DESIGN: Prospective, nationwide, multi-center cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: 110 family caregivers of Singaporeans aged≥55 admitted for unintentional blunt trauma with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) or New Injury Severity Score (NISS)≥10 were assessed for caregiving-related negative (disturbed schedule and poor health, lack of family support, lack of finances) and positive (esteem) experiences using the modified-Caregiver Reaction Assessment (m-CRA) three months post-injury. METHODS: The association between caregiver and patient factors, and the four m-CRA domains were evaluated via linear regression. RESULTS: Caregivers of retired patients and caregivers of functionally dependent patients (post-injury Barthel score <80) reported a worse experience in terms of disturbed schedule and poor health (ß-coefficient 0.42 [95% Confidence Interval 0.10, 0.75], p = .01; 0.77 [0.33, 1.21], p = .001), while male caregivers and caregivers who had more people in the household reported a better experience (-0.39 [-0.73, -0.06], p = .02; -0.16 [-0.25, -0.07], p = .001). Caregivers of male patients, retired patients, and patients living in lower socioeconomic housing were more likely to experience lack of family support (0.28, [0.03, -0.53], p = .03; 0.26, [0.01, 0.52], p = .05; 0.34, [0.05, -0.66], p = .02). In the context of lack of finances, caregivers of male patients and caregivers of functionally dependent patients reported higher financial strain (0.74 [0.31, 1.17], p = .001; 0.84 [0.26, 1.43], p = .01). Finally, caregivers of male patients reported higher caregiver esteem (0.36 [0.15, 0.57], p = .001). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Negative and positive experiences of caregiving among caregivers of older blunt trauma patients are associated with pre-injury disability and certain patient and caregiver demographics. These factors should be considered when planning the post-discharge support of older blunt trauma patients.

The modified frailty index-11 predicts medium-term outcomes after endovascular revascularisation for chronic limb threatening ischaemia in Asian patients.

OBJECTIVE: The aim was to evaluate the utility of frailty, as defined by the modified Frailty Index-1 1 (mFI-11) on predicting outcomes following endovascular revascularisation in Asian patients with chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI). METHODS: CLTI patients who underwent endovascular revascularisation between January 2015 and March 2017 were included. Patients were retrospectively scored using the mFI-11 to categorise frailty as low, medium or high risk. Observed outcomes included 30-day complication rate and unplanned readmissions, 1-, 6- and 12-month mortality, and ambulation status at 6- and 12 months post-intervention. RESULTS: A total of 233 patients (250 procedures) were included; 137 (58.8%) were males and the mean age was 69.0 (±10.7) years. 202/233 (86.7%) were diabetic and 196/233 (84.1%) had a prior diagnosis of peripheral arterial disease (PAD). The mean mFI-11 score was 4.2 (±1.5). 28/233 (12.0%), 155/233 (66.5%), and 50/233 (21.5%) patients were deemed low (mF-11 score 0-2), moderate (mFI-11 score 3-5) and high (mFI-11 score 5-7) frailty risk, respectively. High frailty was associated with an increased 12-month mortality (OR 8.54, 95% CI 1.05-69.5; p = 0.05), 30-day complication rate (OR 9.41, 95% CI 2.01-44.1; p < 0.01) and 30-day unplanned readmission (OR 5.06, 95% CI 1.06-24.2; p = 0.04). Furthermore, a high score was associated with a significantly worse 6- (OR 0.320, 95% CI 0.120-0.840; p = 0.02) and 12-month (OR 0.270, 95% CI 0.100-0.710; p < 0.01) ambulatory status. CONCLUSION: The mFI-11 is a useful, non-invasive tool that can be readily calculated using readily available patient data, for prediction of medium-term outcomes for Asian CLTI patients following endovascular revascularisation. Early recognition of short- and mid-term loss of ambulation status amongst high-frailty patients in this challenging cohort of patients could aid decision-making for whether a revascularisation or amputation-first policy is appropriate, and manage patient and caregiver expectations on potential improvement in functional outcome.

Health Services Use and Functional Recovery Following Blunt Trauma in Older Persons - A National Multicentre Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Frailty is associated with morbidity and mortality in older injured patients. However, for older blunt-trauma patients, increased frailty may not manifest in longer length of stay at index admission. We hypothesized that owing to time spent in hospital from readmissions, frailty would be associated with less total time at home in the 1-year postinjury period. DESIGN: Prospective, nationwide, multicenter cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: All Singaporean residents aged ≥55 years admitted for blunt trauma with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) or New Injury Severity Score (NISS) ≥10 from March 2016 to July 2018. METHODS: Frailty (by modified Fried criteria) was assessed at index admission, based on questions on preinjury weight loss, slowness, exhaustion, physical activity, and grip strength at the time of recruitment. Low time at home was defined as >14 hospitalized days within 1 year postinjury. The contribution of planned and unplanned readmission to time at home postinjury was explored. Functional trajectory (by Barthel Index) over 1 year was compared by frailty. RESULTS: Of the 218 patients recruited, 125 (57.3%) were male, median age was 72 years, and 48 (22.0%) were frail. On univariate analysis, frailty [relative to nonfrail: odds ratio (OR) 3.45, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33-8.97, P = .01] was associated with low time at home. On multivariable analysis, after inclusion of age, gender, ISS, intensive care unit admission, and surgery at index admission, frailty (OR 5.21, 95% CI 1.77-15.34, P < .01) remained significantly associated with low time at home in the 1-year postinjury period. Unplanned readmissions were the main reason for frail participants having low time at home. Frail participants had poorer function in the 1-year postinjury period. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: In the year following blunt trauma, frail older patients experience lower time at home compared to patients who were not frail at baseline. Screening for frailty should be considered in all older blunt-trauma patients, with a view to being prioritized for postdischarge support.

Patterns of orthopaedic injury among hospitalised personal mobility device users and bicycle riders: a comparative study.

Introduction: Personal mobility devices (PMDs), such as electronic scooters or motorised bicycles, are efficient modes of transportation. Their recent popularity has also resulted in an increase in PMD-related injuries. We aimed to characterise and compare the nature of injuries sustained by PMD users and bicycle riders. Methods: This retrospective study compared injury patterns among PMD and bicycle users. 140 patients were admitted between November 2013 and September 2018. Parameters studied included patients' demographics (e.g. age, gender and body mass index), type of PMD, nature of injury, surgical intervention required, duration of hospitalisation and time off work. Results: Of 140 patients, 46 (32.9%) patients required treatment at the department of orthopaedic surgery. 19 patients were PMD users while 27 were bicycle riders. 16 (84.2%) patients with PMD-related injuries were men. PMD users were significantly younger (mean age 45 ± 15 years) when compared to bicycle riders (mean age 56 ± 17 years; P <0.05). A quarter (n = 5, 26.3%) of PMD users sustained open fractures and over half (n = 10, 52.6%) required surgical intervention. Among 27 bicycle users, 7.4% (n = 2) of patients sustained open fractures and 70.4% (n = 19) required surgical intervention. Both groups had comparable inpatient stay duration and time off work. Conclusion: PMD-related orthopaedic traumas are high-energy injuries, with higher rates of open fractures, when compared to bicycle injuries. In addition, PMD users are significantly younger and of economically viable age. Prolonged hospitalisation and time off work have socioeconomic implications. Caution should be exercised when using PMDs.

The impact of preoperative glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) on postoperative complications after elective major abdominal surgery: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes is a risk factor for postoperative complications. Previous meta-analyses have shown that elevated glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels are associated with postoperative complications in various surgical populations. However, this is the first meta-analysis to investigate the association between preoperative HbA1c levels and postoperative complications in patients undergoing elective major abdominal surgery. METHODS: PRISMA guidelines were adhered to for this study. Six databases were searched up to April 1, 2020. Primary studies investigating the effect of HbA1c levels on postoperative complications after elective major abdominal surgery were included. Risk of bias and quality of evidence assessments were performed. Data were pooled using a random effects model. Meta-regression was performed to evaluate different HbA1c cut-off values. RESULTS: Twelve observational studies (25,036 patients) were included. Most studies received a 'good' and 'moderate quality' score using the NOS and GRADE, respectively. Patients with a high HbA1c had a greater risk of anastomotic leaks (odds ratio [OR]: 2.80, 95% CI [1.63, 4.83], P < 0.001), wound infections (OR: 1.21, 95% CI [1.08, 1.36], P = 0.001), major complications defined as Clavien-Dindo [CD] 3-5 (OR: 2.16, 95% CI [1.54, 3.01], P < 0.001), and overall complications defined as CD 1-5 (OR: 2.12, 95% CI [1.48, 3.04], P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: An HbA1c between 6% and 7% is associated with higher risks of anastomotic leaks, wound infections, major complications, and overall postoperative complications. Therefore, guidelines with an HbA1c threshold > 7% may be putting pre-optimized patients at risk. Future randomized controlled trials are needed to explore causation before policy changes are made.

Leveraging open data to reconstruct the Singapore Housing Index and other building-level markers of socioeconomic status for health services research.

BACKGROUND: Socioeconomic status (SES) is an important determinant of health, and SES data is an important confounder to control for in epidemiology and health services research. Individual level SES measures are cumbersome to collect and susceptible to biases, while area level SES measures may have insufficient granularity. The 'Singapore Housing Index' (SHI) is a validated, building level SES measure that bridges individual and area level measures. However, determination of the SHI has previously required periodic data purchase and manual parsing. In this study, we describe a means of SHI determination for public housing buildings with open government data, and validate this against the previous SHI determination method. METHODS: Government open data sources (e.g. DATA: gov.sg, Singapore Land Authority OneMAP API, Urban Redevelopment Authority API) were queried using custom Python scripts. Data on residential public housing block address and composition from the HDB Property Information dataset (data.gov.sg) was matched to postal code and geographical coordinates via OneMAP API calls. The SHI was calculated from open data, and compared to the original SHI dataset that was curated from non-open data sources in 2018. RESULTS: Ten thousand seventy-seven unique residential buildings were identified from open data. OneMAP API calls generated valid geographical coordinates for all (100%) buildings, and valid postal code for 10,012 (99.36%) buildings. There was an overlap of 10,011 buildings between the open dataset and the original SHI dataset. Intraclass correlation coefficient was 0.999 for the two sources of SHI, indicating almost perfect agreement. A Bland-Altman plot analysis identified a small number of outliers, and this revealed 5 properties that had an incorrect SHI assigned by the original dataset. Information on recently transacted property prices was also obtained for 8599 (85.3%) of buildings. CONCLUSION: SHI, a useful tool for health services research, can be accurately reconstructed using open datasets at no cost. This method is a convenient means for future researchers to obtain updated building-level markers of socioeconomic status for policy and research.

Effects of housing value and medical subsidy on treatment and outcomes of breast cancer patients in Singapore: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Socioeconomic status (SES) is likely to affect survival in breast cancer patients. Housing value is a reasonable surrogate for SES in Singapore where most residents own their own homes, which could be public (subsidised) or private housing. We evaluated effects of housing value and enhanced medical subsidies on patients' presentation, treatment choices, compliance and survival in a setting of good access to healthcare. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of breast cancer patients treated in a tertiary hospital cluster from 2000 to 2016 was performed. Individual-level Housing value Index (HI) was derived from each patient's address and then grouped into 3 tiers: HI(high)(minimal subsidy), HI(med)(medium subsidy) and HI(low)(high subsidy). Cox regression was performed to evaluate the associations between overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) with HI and various factors. FINDINGS: We studied a multiracial cohort of 15,532 Stage 0-IV breast cancer patients. Median age was 53.7 years and median follow-up was 7.7 years. Patients with lower HI presented with more advanced disease and had lower treatment compliance. On multivariable analysis, compared to HI(high) patients, HI(med) patients had decreased OS (HR=1.14, 95% CI 1.05-1.23) and CSS (HR=1.15, 95% CI 1.03-1.27), and HI(low) patients demonstrated reduced OS (HR=1.16, 95% CI 1.01-1.33). Ten-year non-cancer mortality was higher in lower HI-strata. Enhanced medical subsidy approximately halved treatment noncompliance rates but its receipt was not an independent prognostic factor for survival. INTERPRETATION: Despite good healthcare access, lower-HI patients have poorer survival from both cancer and non-cancer causes, possibly due to delayed health-seeking and poorer treatment compliance. Enhanced subsidies may mitigate socioeconomic disadvantages. FUNDING: None.

Frailty and length of stay in older adults with blunt injury in a national multicentre prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Patients suffering moderate or severe injury after low falls have higher readmission and long-term mortality rates compared to patients injured by high-velocity mechanisms such as motor vehicle accidents. We hypothesize that this is due to higher pre-injury frailty in low-fall patients, and present baseline patient and frailty demographics of a prospective cohort of moderate and severely injured older patients. Our second hypothesis was that frailty was associated with longer length of stay (LOS) at index admission. METHODS: This is a prospective, nation-wide, multi-center cohort study of Singaporean residents aged ≥55 years admitted for ≥48 hours after blunt injury with an injury severity score or new injury severity score ≥10, or an Organ Injury Scale ≥3, in public hospitals from 2016-2018. Demographics, mechanism of injury and frailty were recorded and analysed by Chi-square, or Kruskal-Wallis as appropriate. RESULTS: 218 participants met criteria and survived the index admission. Low fall patients had the highest proportion of frailty (44, 27.3%), followed by higher level fallers (3, 21.4%) and motor vehicle accidents (1, 2.3%) (p < .01). Injury severity, extreme age, and surgery were independently associated with longer LOS. Frail patients were paradoxically noted to have shorter LOS (p < .05). CONCLUSION: Patients sustaining moderate or severe injury after low falls are more likely to be frail compared to patients injured after higher-velocity mechanisms. However, this did not translate into longer adjusted LOS in hospital at index admission.

Emergency laparoscopic repair of an incarcerated obturator hernia, a case report.

Obturator hernias are rare hernias with high morbidity and mortality if not diagnosed and treated promptly. Various minimally invasive techniques have been reported in literature. Here we describe a novel technique of repairing an obturator hernia complicated by small bowel incarceration and obstruction, via a laparoscopic trans-abdominal approach.

The Modified Frailty Index Does Not Predict Mortality After Major Lower Extremity Amputation for Peripheral Arterial Disease in an Asian Population.

BACKGROUND: Patients with critical limb ischemia (CLI) who undergo major lower extremity amputation (LEA) have been associated with high one-year mortality rates. Previous western-based studies have identified risk factors that exponentiate these poor outcomes, including nonambulatory status and cardiovascular morbidity. We assessed the effect of frailty, using the modified frailty index (mFI) in a cohort undergoing major LEA for CLI to predict mortality, perioperative complications, and unplanned readmissions in a tertiary institution from Singapore. METHODS: Data on patients who had undergone major LEA from January 2016 to December 2017 were collected retrospectively. Inclusion criteria were below-knee amputations (BKAs) or above-knee amputations (AKAs) performed for peripheral arterial disease-related tissue loss or sepsis only. Patients were categorized into 3 risk groups based on the 11-variable mFI: low mFI, 0-0.27; moderate mFI, 0.36-0.54; and high mFI ≥0.63. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: 211 patients underwent major LEA, of whom 133 (63.0%) had undergone BKA. The mean mFI was 0.41 (range 0-0.81). 84/211 (39.8%) died within 1 year after the procedure, with mortality rates of 25/65 (38.4%), 49/127 (38.6%), and 10/19 (52.6%) in the low-, moderate-, high-mFI categories, respectively. High and moderate mFI had failed to demonstrate an increased risk of mortality when compared with the low-mFI group (P > 0.05). 91/211 (43.1%) patients had perioperative complications, whereas 27/211 (12.8%) patients were readmitted within 30 days of discharge. Myocardial infarction, chronic kidney disease, and atrial fibrillation were found to be predictive of poor outcomes after major LEA. CONCLUSIONS: Frailty as measured with the mFI did not predict outcome after major LEA. This could be due to confounding effects such as high prevalence of renal dysfunction and the constancy of diabetes and peripheral vascular disease in this population that would reduce the differentiation of patients using the mFI.

Sociodemographic and clinical factors for non-hospital deaths among cancer patients: A nationwide population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Factors associated with place of death inform policies with respect to allocating end-of-life care resources and tailoring supportive measures. OBJECTIVE: To determine factors associated with non-hospital deaths among cancer patients. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study of cancer decedents, examining factors associated with non-hospital deaths using multinomial logistic regression with hospital deaths as the reference category. SETTING/SUBJECTS: Cancer patients (n = 15254) in Singapore who died during the study period from January 1, 2012 till December 31, 2105 at home, acute hospital, long-term care (LTC) or hospice were included. RESULTS: Increasing age (categories ≥65 years: RRR 1.25-2.61), female (RRR 1.40; 95% CI 1.28-1.52), Malays (RRR 1.67; 95% CI 1.47-1.89), Brain malignancy (RRR 1.92; 95% CI 1.15-3.23), metastatic disease (RRR 1.33-2.01) and home palliative care (RRR 2.11; 95% CI 1.95-2.29) were associated with higher risk of home deaths. Patients with low socioeconomic status were more likely to have hospice or LTC deaths: those living in smaller housing types had higher risk of dying in hospice (1-4 rooms apartment: RRR 1.13-3.17) or LTC (1-5 rooms apartment: RRR 1.36-4.11); and those with Medifund usage had higher risk of dying in LTC (RRR 1.74; 95% CI 1.36-2.21). Patients with haematological malignancies had increased risk of dying in hospital (categories of haematological subtypes: RRR 0.06-0.87). CONCLUSIONS: We found key sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with non-hospital deaths in cancer patients. More can be done to enable patients to die in the community and with dignity rather than in a hospital.

Utilizing Machine Learning Methods for Preoperative Prediction of Postsurgical Mortality and Intensive Care Unit Admission.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance of machine learning models against the traditionally derived Combined Assessment of Risk Encountered in Surgery (CARES) model and the American Society of Anaesthesiologists-Physical Status (ASA-PS) in the prediction of 30-day postsurgical mortality and need for intensive care unit (ICU) stay >24 hours. BACKGROUND: Prediction of surgical risk preoperatively is important for clinical shared decision-making and planning of health resources such as ICU beds. The current growth of electronic medical records coupled with machine learning presents an opportunity to improve the performance of established risk models. METHODS: All patients aged 18 years and above who underwent noncardiac and nonneurological surgery at Singapore General Hospital (SGH) between 1 January 2012 and 31 October 2016 were included. Patient demographics, comorbidities, preoperative laboratory results, and surgery details were obtained from their electronic medical records. Seventy percent of the observations were randomly selected for training, leaving 30% for testing. Baseline models were CARES and ASA-PS. Candidate models were trained using random forest, adaptive boosting, gradient boosting, and support vector machine. Models were evaluated on area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC). RESULTS: A total of 90,785 patients were included, of whom 539 (0.6%) died within 30 days and 1264 (1.4%) required ICU admission >24 hours postoperatively. Baseline models achieved high AUROCs despite poor sensitivities by predicting all negative in a predominantly negative dataset. Gradient boosting was the best performing model with AUPRCs of 0.23 and 0.38 for mortality and ICU admission outcomes respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning can be used to improve surgical risk prediction compared to traditional risk calculators. AUPRC should be used to evaluate model predictive performance instead of AUROC when the dataset is imbalanced.

Integrating advance care planning as part of comprehensive geriatric assessment for hospitalised frail elderly patients: findings of a cross-sectional study.

INTRODUCTION: The integration of advance care planning (ACP) as part of the comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) of hospitalised frail elderly patients, together with the clinical and demographic factors that determine successful ACP discussion, has not been previously explored. METHODS: A cross-sectional study on patients and family caregivers admitted under the geriatric medicine department of a tertiary hospital was conducted from October 2015 to December 2016. RESULTS: Among 311 eligible patients, 116 (37.3%) patients completed ACP discussion while 166 (53.4%) patients declined, with 62 (37.3%) of the decliners providing reasons for refusal. Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that older age, higher Charlson Comorbidity Index, poorer functional status and cognitive impairment had statistically significant associations with agreeing to ACP discussion (p < 0.05). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, only poorer functional status was significantly associated (odds ratio 2.22 [95% confidence interval 1.27-3.87]; p = 0.005). Among those who completed ACP discussion, a majority declined cardiopulmonary resuscitation (79.3%), preferred limited medical intervention or comfort care (82.8%), and opted for blood transfusion (62.9%), antibiotics (73.3%) and intravenous fluid (74.1%) but declined haemodialysis (50.9%). Decision-making was divided for enteral feeding. Among decliners, the main reasons for refusal were 'not keen' (33.9%), 'deferring to doctors' decision' (11.3%) and 'lack of ACP awareness' (11.3%). CONCLUSION: The feasibility and utility of integrating ACP as part of CGA has been demonstrated. Poorer functional status is significantly associated with successful ACP discussion. Greater public education on end-of-life care choices (besides cardiopulmonary resuscitation) and follow-up with decliners are recommended.

Survey on Willingness to Pay for Life-Saving Treatment, Functional Recovery, and Cosmesis in a Neuroscience Outpatient Clinic Setting in Singapore.

BACKGROUND: Neurologic disorders impose a heavy burden on healthcare in Singapore. To date, no data on the willingness to pay (WTP) for neurologic treatments has been reported in the local population. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to quantify the value of various health domains to neuroscience patients and their caregivers by comparing their WTP for different types of treatments. METHODS: A questionnaire using a mixed open-ended and closed-ended contingent valuation method was developed to elicit WTP and self-administered by 112 visitors to a neuroscience outpatient clinic. The WTP for treatments in 3 health domains (advanced restoration of function, life extension, and cosmesis) was evaluated and compared. Subgroup regression analysis was performed to investigate the impact of demographic and socioeconomic factors. RESULTS: Treatment that improved cosmesis had the highest median WTP of Singapore dollar (SGD) 35 000, followed by treatment that provided 1 year of life extension (SGD 20 000) and 1 year of advanced restored function (SGD 10 000; P < .001). Respondents with a university education were willing to pay as much as 2 to 3 times of those without across all health domains. CONCLUSION: This is the first study to provide data on how different health domains are valued by neuroscience patients and caregivers in our population. Respondents valued treatment that restored or improved their physical appearances the most. These findings could contribute to future policies on the improvement of neuroscience care.

Post-stroke patients with moderate function have the greatest risk of falls: a National Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Stroke patients have increased risks of falls. We examined national registry data to evaluate the association between post-stroke functional level and the risk of low falls among post-stroke patients. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study analyzed data from national registries to examine the risk factors for post-stroke falls. Data for patients who suffered ischemic strokes and survived the index hospital admission was obtained from the Singapore National Stroke Registry and matched to the National Trauma Registry, from 2011 to 2015. The primary outcome measure was a low fall (fall height ≤ 0.5 m). Competing risk analysis was performed to examine the association between functional level (by modified Rankin score [mRS] at discharge) and the risk of subsequent low falls. RESULTS: In all, 2255 patients who suffered ischemic strokes had recorded mRS. The mean age was 66.6 years and 58.5% were men. By the end of 2015, 54 (2.39%) had a low fall while 93 (4.12%) died. After adjusting for potential confounders, mRS was associated with fall risk with an inverted U-shaped relationship. Compared to patients with a score of zero, the sub-distribution hazard ratio (SHR) increased to a maximum of 3.42 (95%CI:1.21-9.65, p = 0.020) for patients with a score of 2. The SHR then declined to 2.45 (95%CI:0.85-7.12, p = 0.098), 2.86 (95%CI:0.95-8.61, p = 0.062) and 1.93 (95%CI:0.44-8.52, p = 0.38) for patients with scores of 3, 4 and 5 respectively. CONCLUSIONS: An inverted U-shaped relationship between functional status and fall risk was observed. This is consistent with the complex interplay between decreasing mobility (hence decreased opportunity to fall) and increasing susceptibility to falls. Fall prevention intervention could be targeted accordingly. (263 words).

Factors driving frequent attendance at emergency departments for patients with head and neck cancer.

BACKGROUND: Patients with head and neck cancer have a higher risk of emergency department (ED) frequent attender (FA). We hypothesized that FAs present with issues different from non-FAs. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on Singapore residents with head and neck cancers using de-identified registry merged with electronic medical record data. A competing risk regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with FA. Aggregated primary diagnoses were compared for patients with and without FA risk factors. RESULTS: Thirteen percent of patients with head and neck cancer were FAs. FA risk factors were Charlson comorbidity index (3+), and socioeconomic status (SES). FAs had a higher proportion of respiratory infections. The spectrum of diagnosis was similar for patients with low and high SES. Current smokers had a greater proportion of respiratory complaints, relative to never smokers. CONCLUSION: Patients with greater comorbidity scores or higher SES were more likely to be FA. FAs were more likely to present with respiratory complaints, likely related to cancer treatment, or smoking status.