Determinants of lung function development from birth to age 5 years: an interrupted time series analysis of a South African birth cohort.

BACKGROUND: Early life is a key period that determines long-term health. Lung development in childhood predicts lung function attained in adulthood and morbidity and mortality across the life course. We aimed to assess the effect of early-life lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and associated risk factors on lung development from birth to school age in a South African birth cohort. METHODS: We prospectively followed children enrolled in a population-based cohort from birth (between March 5, 2012 and March 31, 2015) to age 5 years with annual lung function assessment. Data on multiple early-life exposures, including LRTI, were collected. The effect of early-life risk factors on lung function development from birth to age 5 years was assessed using the Generalised Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape and Interrupted Time Series approach. FINDINGS: 966 children (475 [49·2%] female, 491 [50·8%] male) had lung function measured with oscillometry, tidal flow volume loops, and multiple breath washout. LRTI occurred in 484 (50·1%) children, with a median of 2·0 LRTI episodes (IQR 1·0-3·0) per child. LRTI was independently associated with altered lung function, as evidenced by lower compliance (0·959 [95% CI 0·941-0·978]), higher resistance (1·028 [1·016-1·041]), and higher respiratory rate (1·018 [1·063-1·029]) over 5 years. Additional impact on lung function parameters occurred with each subsequent LRTI. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) LRTI was associated with lower expiratory flow ratio (0·97 [0·95-0·99]) compared with non-RSV LRTI. Maternal factors including allergy, smoking, and HIV infection were also associated with altered lung development, as was preterm birth, low birthweight, female sex, and coming from a less wealthy household. INTERPRETATION: Public health interventions targeting LRTI prevention, with RSV a priority, are vital, particularly in low-income and middle-income settings. FUNDING: UK Medical Research Council Grant, The Wellcome Trust, The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, US National Institutes of Health Human Heredity and Health in Africa, South African Medical Research Council, Hungarian Scientific Research Fund, and European Respiratory Society.

Distinct T cell polyfunctional profile in SARS-CoV-2 seronegative children associated with endemic human coronavirus cross-reactivity.

SARS-CoV-2 infection in children typically results in asymptomatic or mild disease. There is a paucity of studies on SARS-CoV-2 antiviral immunity in African children. We investigated SARS-CoV-2-specific T cell responses in 71 unvaccinated asymptomatic South African children who were seropositive or seronegative for SARS-CoV-2. SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4+ T cell responses were detectable in 83% of seropositive and 60% of seronegative children. Although the magnitude of the CD4+ T cell response did not differ significantly between the two groups, their functional profiles were distinct, with SARS-CoV-2 seropositive children exhibiting a higher proportion of polyfunctional T cells compared to their seronegative counterparts. The frequency of SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4+ T cells in seronegative children was associated with the endemic human coronavirus (HCoV) HKU1 IgG response. Overall, the presence of SARS-CoV-2-responding T cells in seronegative children may result from cross-reactivity to endemic coronaviruses and could contribute to the relative protection from disease observed in SARS-CoV-2-infected children.

Diagnosis of childhood febrile illness using a multi-class blood RNA molecular signature.

BACKGROUND: Appropriate treatment and management of children presenting with fever depend on accurate and timely diagnosis, but current diagnostic tests lack sensitivity and specificity and are frequently too slow to inform initial treatment. As an alternative to pathogen detection, host gene expression signatures in blood have shown promise in discriminating several infectious and inflammatory diseases in a dichotomous manner. However, differential diagnosis requires simultaneous consideration of multiple diseases. Here, we show that diverse infectious and inflammatory diseases can be discriminated by the expression levels of a single panel of genes in blood. METHODS: A multi-class supervised machine-learning approach, incorporating clinical consequence of misdiagnosis as a "cost" weighting, was applied to a whole-blood transcriptomic microarray dataset, incorporating 12 publicly available datasets, including 1,212 children with 18 infectious or inflammatory diseases. The transcriptional panel identified was further validated in a new RNA sequencing dataset comprising 411 febrile children. FINDINGS: We identified 161 transcripts that classified patients into 18 disease categories, reflecting individual causative pathogen and specific disease, as well as reliable prediction of broad classes comprising bacterial infection, viral infection, malaria, tuberculosis, or inflammatory disease. The transcriptional panel was validated in an independent cohort and benchmarked against existing dichotomous RNA signatures. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that classification of febrile illness can be achieved with a single blood sample and opens the way for a new approach for clinical diagnosis. FUNDING: European Union's Seventh Framework no. 279185; Horizon2020 no. 668303 PERFORM; Wellcome Trust (206508/Z/17/Z); Medical Research Foundation (MRF-160-0008-ELP-KAFO-C0801); NIHR Imperial BRC.

Distinct T cell functional profiles in SARS-CoV-2 seropositive and seronegative children associated with endemic human coronavirus cross-reactivity.

SARS-CoV-2 infection in children typically results in asymptomatic or mild disease. There is a paucity of studies on antiviral immunity in African children. We investigated SARS-CoV-2-specific T cell responses in 71 unvaccinated asymptomatic South African children who were seropositive or seronegative for SARS-CoV-2. SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4+ T cell responses were detectable in 83% of seropositive and 60% of seronegative children. Although the magnitude of the CD4+ T cell response did not differ significantly between the two groups, their functional profiles were distinct, with SARS-CoV-2 seropositive children exhibiting a higher proportion of polyfunctional T cells compared to their seronegative counterparts. The frequency of SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4+ T cells in seronegative children was associated with the endemic human coronavirus (HCoV) HKU1 IgG response. Overall, the presence of SARS-CoV-2-responding T cells in seronegative children may result from cross-reactivity to endemic coronaviruses and could contribute to the relative protection from disease observed in SARS-CoV-2-infected children.

Succession and determinants of the early life nasopharyngeal microbiota in a South African birth cohort.

BACKGROUND: Bacteria colonizing the nasopharynx play a key role as gatekeepers of respiratory health. Yet, dynamics of early life nasopharyngeal (NP) bacterial profiles remain understudied in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where children have a high prevalence of risk factors for lower respiratory tract infection. We investigated longitudinal changes in NP bacterial profiles, and associated exposures, among healthy infants from low-income households in South Africa. METHODS: We used short fragment (V4 region) 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing to characterize NP bacterial profiles from 103 infants in a South African birth cohort, at monthly intervals from birth through the first 12 months of life and six monthly thereafter until 30 months. RESULTS: Corynebacterium and Staphylococcus were dominant colonizers at 1 month of life; however, these were rapidly replaced by Moraxella- or Haemophilus-dominated profiles by 4 months. This succession was almost universal and largely independent of a broad range of exposures. Warm weather (summer), lower gestational age, maternal smoking, no day-care attendance, antibiotic exposure, or low height-for-age z score at 12 months were associated with higher alpha and beta diversity. Summer was also associated with higher relative abundances of Staphylococcus, Streptococcus, Neisseria, or anaerobic gram-negative bacteria, whilst spring and winter were associated with higher relative abundances of Haemophilus or Corynebacterium, respectively. Maternal smoking was associated with higher relative abundances of Porphyromonas. Antibiotic therapy (or isoniazid prophylaxis for tuberculosis) was associated with higher relative abundance of anerobic taxa (Porphyromonas, Fusobacterium, and Prevotella) and with lower relative abundances of health associated-taxa Corynebacterium and Dolosigranulum. HIV-exposure was associated with higher relative abundances of Klebsiella or Veillonella and lower relative abundances of an unclassified genus within the family Lachnospiraceae. CONCLUSIONS: In this intensively sampled cohort, there was rapid and predictable replacement of early profiles dominated by health-associated Corynebacterium and Dolosigranulum with those dominated by Moraxella and Haemophilus, independent of exposures. Season and antibiotic exposure were key determinants of NP bacterial profiles. Understudied but highly prevalent exposures prevalent in LMICs, including maternal smoking and HIV-exposure, were associated with NP bacterial profiles. Video Abstract.

Gene Expression in Cord Blood and Tuberculosis in Early Childhood: A Nested Case-Control Study in a South African Birth Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Transcriptomic profiling of adults with tuberculosis (TB) has become increasingly common, predominantly for diagnostic and risk prediction purposes. However, few studies have evaluated signatures in children, particularly in identifying those at risk for developing TB disease. We investigated the relationship between gene expression obtained from umbilical cord blood and both tuberculin skin test conversion and incident TB disease through the first 5 years of life. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study in the Drakenstein Child Health Study, a longitudinal, population-based birth cohort in South Africa. We applied transcriptome-wide screens to umbilical cord blood samples from neonates born to a subset of selected mothers (N = 131). Signatures identifying tuberculin conversion and risk of subsequent TB disease were identified from genome-wide analysis of RNA expression. RESULTS: Gene expression signatures revealed clear differences predictive of tuberculin conversion (n = 26) and TB disease (n = 10); 114 genes were associated with tuberculin conversion and 30 genes were associated with the progression to TB disease among children with early infection. Coexpression network analysis revealed 6 modules associated with risk of TB infection or disease, including a module associated with neutrophil activation in immune response (P < .0001) and defense response to bacterium (P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest multiple detectable differences in gene expression at birth that were associated with risk of TB infection or disease throughout early childhood. Such measures may provide novel insights into TB pathogenesis and susceptibility.

The Long-Term Impact of Early-Life Tuberculosis Disease on Child Health: A Prospective Birth Cohort Study.

Rationale: There is growing concern that post-tuberculosis disease (TB) sequelae and morbidity are substantial, but no studies have controlled for preexisting factors before disease. Whether children have post-TB morbidity is not well characterized. Objectives: To assess the effect of a TB diagnosis on wheezing episodes, lung function, and anthropometric measurements among children enrolled in a prospective birth cohort study in South Africa. Methods: We prospectively followed children from birth through 5 years for TB using diagnostic tests including chest radiography and repeated induced sputum sample testing with Xpert MTB/RIF and liquid culture. We longitudinally measured health outcomes including growth, wheezing, and lung function up to 5 years. Mixed-effects linear regression models were used to assess growth and lung function after TB. Poisson regression was used to assess risk of subsequent wheezing. Measurements and Main Results: Among 1,068 participants, 96 TB cases occurred (1,228 cases per 100,000 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI), 1,006-1,500]) occurred over 7,815 child-years of follow-up. TB was associated with lower length-for-age (-0.40 [95% CI, -0.68 to -0.11]), weight-for-age (-0.30 [95% CI, -0.59 to -0.01]), and body mass index (-0.54 [95% CI, -0.83 to -0.25]) z-scores at 5 years. Children developing TB were consistently more likely to wheeze regardless of the timing of TB. Children with diagnoses of TB between 0 and 1 year of age had reduced time to peak tidal expiratory flow over total expiratory time (-2.35% [95% CI, -4.86% to -0.17%]) and higher fractional exhaled nitric oxide (2.88 ppb [95% CI, 0.57-5.19 ppb]) at 5 years. Children with diagnoses of TB between 1 and 4 years of age had impaired Vt (-9.32 ml [95% CI, -14.89 to -3.75 ml]) and time to peak tidal expiratory flow over total expiratory time (-2.73% [95% CI, -5.45% to -0.01%]) at 5 years. Conclusions: Prevention of TB disease in the first few years of life may have substantial long-term benefits through childhood.

Early childhood wheezing phenotypes and determinants in a South African birth cohort: longitudinal analysis of the Drakenstein Child Health Study.

BACKGROUND: Developmental trajectories of childhood wheezing in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) have not been well described. We aimed to derive longitudinal wheeze phenotypes from birth to 5 years in a South African birth cohort and compare those with phenotypes derived from a UK cohort. METHODS: We used data from the Drakenstein Child Health Study (DCHS), a longitudinal birth cohort study in a peri-urban area outside Cape Town, South Africa. Pregnant women (aged ≥18 years) were enrolled during their second trimester at two public health clinics. We followed up children from birth to 5 years to derive six multidimensional indicators of wheezing (including duration, temporal sequencing, persistence, and recurrence) and applied Partition Around Medoids clustering to derive wheeze phenotypes. We compared phenotypes with a UK cohort (the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children [ALSPAC]). We investigated associations of phenotypes with early-life exposures, including all-cause lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and virus-specific LRTI (respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, influenza, and parainfluenza virus) up to age 5 years. We investigated the association of phenotypes with lung function at 6 weeks and 5 years. FINDINGS: Between March 5, 2012, and March 31, 2015, we enrolled 1137 mothers and there were 1143 livebirths. Four wheeze phenotypes were identified among 950 children with complete data: never (480 children [50%]), early transient (215 children [23%]), late onset (104 children [11%]), and recurrent (151 children [16%]). Multivariate adjusted analysis indicated that LRTI and respiratory syncytial virus-LRTI, but not other respiratory viruses, were associated with increased risk of recurrent wheeze (odds ratio [OR] 2·79 [95% CI 2·05-3·81] for all LTRIs; OR 2·59 [1·30-5·15] for respiratory syncytial virus-LRTIs). Maternal smoking (1·88 [1·12-3·02]), higher socioeconomic status (2·46 [1·23-4·91]), intimate partner violence (2·01 [1·23-3·29]), and male sex (2·47 [1·50-4·04]) were also associated with recurrent wheeze. LRTI and respiratory syncytial virus-LRTI were also associated with early transient and late onset clusters. Wheezing illness architecture differed between DCHS and ALSPAC; children included in ALSPAC in the early transient cluster wheezed for a longer period before remission and late-onset wheezing started at an older age, and no persistent phenotype was identified in DCHS. At 5 years, airway resistance was higher in children with early or recurrent wheeze compared with children who had never wheezed. Airway resistance increased from 6 weeks to 5 years among children with recurrent wheeze. INTERPRETATION: Effective strategies to reduce maternal smoking and psychosocial stressors and new preventive interventions for respiratory syncytial virus are urgently needed to optimise child health in LMICs. FUNDING: UK Medical Research Council; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; National Institutes of Health Human Heredity and Health in Africa; South African Medical Research Council; Wellcome Trust.

Impact of Dolutegravir-Based Antiretroviral Therapy on Piperaquine Exposure following Dihydroartemisinin-Piperaquine Intermittent Preventive Treatment of Malaria in Pregnant Women Living with HIV.

Dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine, an artemisinin-based combination therapy, has been identified as a promising agent for intermittent preventive treatment of malaria in pregnancy. However, in pregnant women living with HIV (PLWH), efavirenz-based antiretroviral therapy (ART) significantly reduces the plasma exposure of piperaquine. In an open-label, nonrandomized, fixed-sequence, pharmacokinetic study, we compared piperaquine plasma concentrations in 13 pregnant women during a 3-day treatment course of dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine when coadministered with efavirenz-based versus dolutegravir-based ART in the second or third trimester of pregnancy. Piperaquine concentrations were measured over a 28-day period, while on efavirenz-based ART and after switching to dolutegravir-based ART. Noncompartmental analysis was performed, and geometric mean ratios (GMRs) and 90% confidence intervals (CIs) were generated to compare piperaquine pharmacokinetic parameters between these two treatment periods. Compared with efavirenz-based ART, coadministration of dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine and dolutegravir-based ART resulted in a 57% higher overall piperaquine exposure (area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 672 h [AUC0-672 h]) (GMR, 1.57; 90% CI, 1.28 to 1.93). Piperaquine's day 7 concentrations were also 63% higher (GMR, 1.63; 90% CI, 1.29 to 2.11), while day 28 concentrations were nearly three times higher (GMR, 2.96; 90% CI, 2.25 to 4.07). However, the maximum piperaquine concentration (Cmax) remained similar (GMR, 1.09; 90% CI, 0.79 to 1.49). Dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine was well tolerated, with no medication-related serious adverse events observed in this small study. Compared with efavirenz-based ART, a known inducer of piperaquine metabolism, dolutegravir-based ART resulted in increased overall piperaquine exposure with pharmacokinetic parameter values that were similar to those published previously for pregnant and nonpregnant women. Our findings suggest that the efficacy of dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine will be retained in pregnant women on dolutegravir. (The study was registered on PACTR.samrc.ac.za [PACTR201910580840196].).

Natural and hybrid immunity following four COVID-19 waves: A prospective cohort study of mothers in South Africa.

Background: More than half the global population has been exposed to SARS-CoV-2. Naturally induced immunity influences the outcome of subsequent exposure to variants and vaccine responses. We measured anti-spike IgG responses to explore the basis for this enhanced immunity. Methods: A prospective cohort study of mothers in a South African community through ancestral/beta/delta/omicron SARS-CoV-2 waves (March 2020-February 2022). Health seeking behaviour/illness were recorded and post-wave serum samples probed for IgG to Spike (CoV2-S-IgG) by ECLISA. To estimate protective CoV2-S-IgG threshold levels, logistic functions were fit to describe the correlation of CoV2-S-IgG measured before a wave and the probability for seroconversion/boosting thereafter for unvaccinated and vaccinated adults. Findings: Despite little disease, 176/339 (51·9%) participants were seropositive following wave 1, rising to 74%, 89·8% and 97·3% after waves 2, 3 and 4 respectively. CoV2-S-IgG induced by natural exposure protected against subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection with the greatest protection for beta and least for omicron. Vaccination induced higher CoV2-S-IgG in seropositive compared to naïve vaccinees. Amongst seropositive participants, proportions above the 50% protection against infection threshold were 69% (95% CrI: 62, 72) following 1 vaccine dose, 63% (95% CrI: 63, 75) following 2 doses and only 11% (95% CrI: 7, 14) in unvaccinated during the omicron wave. Interpretation: Naturally induced CoV2-S-IgG do not achieve high enough levels to prevent omicron infection in most exposed individuals but are substantially boosted by vaccination leading to significant protection. A single vaccination in those with prior immunity is more immunogenic than 2 doses in a naïve vaccinee and may provide adequate protection. Funding: UK NIH GECO award (GEC111), Wellcome Trust Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa (CIDRI), Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, USA (OPP1017641, OPP1017579) and NIH H3 Africa (U54HG009824, U01AI110466]. HZ is supported by the SA-MRC. MPN is supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator Grant (APP1174455). BJQ is supported by a grant from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1139859). Stefan Flasche is supported by a Sir Henry Dale Fellowship jointly funded by the Wellcome Trust and the Royal Society (Grant number 208812/Z/17/Z).

Making data map-worthy-enhancing routine malaria data to support surveillance and mapping of Plasmodium falciparum anti-malarial resistance in a pre-elimination sub-Saharan African setting: a molecular and spatiotemporal epidemiology study.

BACKGROUND: Independent emergence and spread of artemisinin-resistant Plasmodium falciparum malaria have recently been confirmed in Africa, with molecular markers associated with artemisinin resistance increasingly detected. Surveillance to promptly detect and effectively respond to anti-malarial resistance is generally suboptimal in Africa, especially in low transmission settings where therapeutic efficacy studies are often not feasible due to recruitment challenges. However, these communities may be at higher risk of anti-malarial resistance. METHODS: From March 2018 to February 2020, a sequential mixed-methods study was conducted to evaluate the feasibility of the near-real-time linkage of individual patient anti-malarial resistance profiles with their case notifications and treatment response reports, and map these to fine scales in Nkomazi sub-district, Mpumalanga, a pre-elimination area in South Africa. RESULTS: Plasmodium falciparum molecular marker resistance profiles were linked to 55.1% (2636/4787) of notified malaria cases, 85% (2240/2636) of which were mapped to healthcare facility, ward and locality levels. Over time, linkage of individual malaria case demographic and molecular data increased to 75.1%. No artemisinin resistant validated/associated  Kelch-13 mutations were detected in the 2385 PCR positive samples. Almost all 2812 samples assessed for lumefantrine susceptibility carried the wildtype mdr86ASN and crt76LYS alleles, potentially associated with decreased lumefantrine susceptibility. CONCLUSION: Routine near-real-time mapping of molecular markers associated with anti-malarial drug resistance on a fine spatial scale provides a rapid and efficient early warning system for emerging resistance. The lessons learnt here could inform scale-up to provincial, national and regional malaria elimination programmes, and may be relevant for other antimicrobial resistance surveillance.

Oral Swab Specimens Tested With Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra Assay for Diagnosis of Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Children: A Diagnostic Accuracy Study.

BACKGROUND: Microbiologic diagnosis of childhood tuberculosis may be difficult. Oral swab specimens are a potential noninvasive alternative to sputum specimens for diagnosis. METHODS: This was a prospective diagnostic accuracy study of oral swab specimens (buccal and tongue) for pulmonary tuberculosis diagnosis in children (aged ≤ 15 years) in 2 South African hospital sites. Children with cough of any duration as well as a positive tuberculin skin test result, tuberculosis contact, loss of weight, or chest radiograph suggestive of pulmonary tuberculosis were enrolled. Two induced sputum specimens were tested with Xpert MTB/RIF (or Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra) assay and liquid culture. Oral swab specimens were obtained before sputum specimens, frozen, and later tested with Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra. Children were classified as microbiologically confirmed tuberculosis, unconfirmed tuberculosis (receipt of tuberculosis treatment), or unlikely tuberculosis according to National Institutes of Health consensus definitions based on sputum microbiologic results. RESULTS: Among 291 participants (median age [interquartile range], 32 [14-73] months), 57 (20%) had human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), and 87 (30%) were malnourished; 90 (31%) had confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis (rifampicin resistant in 6 [7%] ), 157 (54%), unconfirmed pulmonary tuberculosis, and 44 (15%), unlikely tuberculosis. A single oral swab specimen was obtained from 126 (43%) of the participants (tongue in 96 and buccal in 30) and 2 swab specimens from 165 (57%) (tongue in 110 and buccal in 55). Sensitivity was low (22% [95% confidence interval, 15%-32%]) for all swab specimens combined (with confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis as reference), but specificity was high (100% [91%-100%]). The highest sensitivity was 33% (95% confidence interval, 15%-58%) among participants with HIV. The overall yield was 6.9% with 1 oral swab specimen and 7.2% with 2. CONCLUSIONS: Use of the Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra assay with oral swab specimens provides poor yield for microbiologic pulmonary tuberculosis confirmation in children.

Treatment Response in Pediatric Pulmonary Tuberculosis-A Prospective Longitudinal Study.

BACKGROUND: Data are limited on the resolution of symptoms and signs in children treated for pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) and whether this resolution differs from children with other lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs). METHODS: A prospective study of children ≤ 15 years presenting with features suggestive of PTB was performed. Clinical, microbiological, and radiological investigations were done at enrollment. Symptoms and clinical features were measured 1, 3, and 6 months after enrollment. Participants were categorized into 3 groups based on National Institutes of Health consensus definitions: confirmed PTB, unconfirmed PTB, and unlikely PTB (children with other LRTIs). Univariable and multivariable logistic regression modeling was used to investigate predictors of persistence of symptoms or signs. RESULTS: Among 2019 participants, there were 427 (21%) confirmed, 810 (40%) unconfirmed, and 782 (39%) with unlikely PTB. Of 1693/2008 (84%) with cough and 1157/1997 (58%) with loss of appetite at baseline, persistence at 3 months was reported in 24/1222 (2%) and 23/886 (3%), respectively. Of 934/1884 (50%) with tachypnoea and 947/1999 (47%) with abnormal auscultatory findings at baseline, persistence at 3 months occurred in 410/723 (57%) and 216/778 (28%), respectively. HIV infection and abnormal baseline chest radiography were associated with persistence of symptoms or signs at month 3 (adjusted odds ration [aOR] 1.6; 95% confidence interval [CI]: [1.1, 2.3] and aOR 2.3; 95% CI: [1.5, 3.3], respectively]. The resolution of symptoms and signs was similar across categories. CONCLUSIONS: Symptoms resolved rapidly in most children with PTB, but signs resolved more slowly. The pattern and resolution of symptoms or signs did not distinguish children with PTB from those with other LRTIs.

Klebsiella pneumoniae Lower Respiratory Tract Infection in a South African Birth Cohort: a Longitudinal Study.

OBJECTIVES: The role of Klebsiella pneumoniae (KP) in lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) is not well studied. We longitudinally investigated KP colonization and its association with LRTI in a South African birth cohort. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study of infants who developed LRTI and age-matched controls, followed twice weekly through infancy. Nasopharyngeal swabs taken fortnightly and at LRTI for 33-multipex Quantitative multiplex real-time polymerase chain reaction were tested at LRTI and twice weekly from 90 days preceding LRTI. Controls were tested over the equivalent period. Multivariate models investigated the factors associated with LRTI or with KP-associated LRTI (KP-LRTI). RESULTS: Among 885 infants, there were 439 LRTI episodes, of which 68 (15.5%) were KP-LRTI (OR 1.93; 95% CI 1.25-3.03). Infants with KP-LRTI were younger than those without KP-LRTI (median [IQR] 3.7 [2.1-5.9] vs 4.7 [2.8-7.9] months, P-value=0.009). Clinical features of KP and non-KP-LRTI were similar with 114 (26%) infants hospitalized. Prematurity (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 11.86; 95% CI 5.22-26.93), HIV exposure (aOR 3.32; 95% CI 1.69-6.53), lower birthweight (aOR 0.68; 95% CI 0.51-0.91), and shorter breastfeeding time (aOR 0.79; 95% CI 0.65-0.96) were associated with KP-LRTI versus non-LRTI. These factors and younger age were associated with KP-LRTI versus non-KP-LRTI. CONCLUSION: KP was associated with a substantial proportion of LRTI, particularly in premature or HIV-exposed infants in whom strategies for treatment and prevention should be strengthened.

Effect of dihydroartemisinin/piperaquine for malaria intermittent preventive treatment on dolutegravir exposure in pregnant women living with HIV.

BACKGROUND: In sub-Saharan Africa, the burdens of malaria and HIV infections overlap. In settings with moderate-to-high malaria transmission intensity, pregnant women living with HIV (PLWH) require both ART and malaria intermittent preventive treatment (IPTp). Dihydroartemisinin/piperaquine has been identified as a promising alternative to sulfadoxine/pyrimethamine for IPTp. However, another antimalarial drug, artesunate/amodiaquine, similar to dihydroartemisinin/piperaquine, was previously shown to reduce dolutegravir exposure in non-pregnant adults. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the effect of dihydroartemisinin/piperaquine on dolutegravir plasma exposure in pregnant women on dolutegravir-based ART. METHODS: We conducted an open-label, non-randomized, fixed-sequence, pharmacokinetic study in PLWH in Malawi. Dolutegravir concentrations were measured over a 24 h period, before and after the recommended 3 day treatment dose of dihydroartemisinin/piperaquine in 12 pregnant women in their second or third trimester. Non-compartmental analysis was performed, and geometric mean ratios (GMRs) and 90% CIs were generated to compare dolutegravir pharmacokinetic parameters between the two treatment periods. RESULTS: Co-administration of dihydroartemisinin/piperaquine and dolutegravir increased dolutegravir's overall exposure (AUC0-24) and Cmax by 30% (GMR 1.30; 90% CI 1.11-1.52) and 31% (GMR 1.31; 90% CI 1.13-1.51), respectively. The dolutegravir trough (C24) concentration increased by 42% (GMR 1.42; 90% CI 1.09-1.85). The combined treatments were well tolerated with no serious adverse events observed. CONCLUSIONS: Dihydroartemisinin/piperaquine may be administered with dolutegravir-based ART in pregnant women as the modest increase in dolutegravir exposure, similar to pharmacokinetic parameter values published previously, ensures its efficacy without any clinically significant adverse events observed in this small study.

Vitamin D Concentrations in Infancy and the Risk of Tuberculosis Disease in Childhood: A Prospective Birth Cohort in Cape Town, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Low vitamin D levels may increase the risk of tuberculosis disease; however, previous observational cohort studies showed variable results. We investigated the relationship between vitamin D levels in infancy and subsequent development of tuberculosis disease throughout childhood. METHODS: We enrolled pregnant women at 20-28 weeks' gestation attending antenatal care in a periurban South African setting in the Drakenstein Child Health Study. Serum 25(OH)D concentrations were measured in newborn infants aged 6-10 weeks. Children were followed prospectively for tuberculosis infection and disease using annual tuberculin skin testing, radiographic examinations, and microbiological diagnosis with GeneXpert, culture, and smear testing. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression was performed and HRs with 95% CIs were calculated. RESULTS: Children were followed for tuberculosis disease for a median of 7.2 years (IQR, 6.2-7.9). Among 744 children (<1% with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), 21% HIV-exposed without HIV), those who were vitamin D deficient in early infancy were not at increased risk of developing tuberculosis disease (adjusted HR, .8; 95% CI, .4-1.6). Infants in the lowest vitamin D concentration tertile were at similar risk of tuberculosis as the highest tertile (adjusted HR, .7; 95% CI, .4-1.4). Vitamin D deficiency was associated with tuberculin conversion ≤2 years of age at a <30-nmol/L (adjusted OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2-3.2), but not <50-nmol/L (adjusted OR, 1.5; 95% CI, .8-2.9), cutoff. CONCLUSIONS: In a setting with hyperendemic rates of tuberculosis, vitamin D concentrations in infancy did not predict tuberculosis disease at any point in childhood. However, very low vitamin D levels were associated with tuberculin conversion in young children.

Towards a population-based threshold of protection for COVID-19 vaccines.

Correlates of protection for COVID-19 vaccines are urgently needed to license additional vaccines. We measured immune responses to four COVID-19 vaccines of proven efficacy using a single serological platform. IgG anti-Spike antibodies were highly correlated with ID50 neutralization in a validated pseudoviral assay and correlated significantly with efficacies for protection against infection with wild-type, alpha and delta variant SARS-CoV-2 virus. The protective threshold for each vaccine was calculated for IgG anti-Spike antibody. The mean protective threshold for all vaccine studies for WT virus was 154 BAU/ml (95 %CI 42-559), and for studies with antibody distributions that enabled precise estimation of thresholds (i.e. leaving out 2-dose mRNA regimens) was 60 BAU/ml (95 %CI 35-102). We propose that the proportion of individuals with responses above the appropriate protective threshold together with the geometric mean concentration can be used in comparative non-inferiority studies with licensed vaccines to ensure that new vaccines will be efficacious.

Cytomegalovirus acquisition in infancy and the risk of tuberculosis disease in childhood: a longitudinal birth cohort study in Cape Town, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: The risk of tuberculosis disease after recent exposure is greatest before age 5 years; however, the mechanisms explaining this increased risk are not well elucidated. Acquisition of viral infections, such as cytomegalovirus, in early life might modulate the immune system. We aimed to evaluate the acquisition of cytomegalovirus infection in infancy and the development of tuberculosis disease in children. METHODS: In this prospective, birth cohort study we enrolled pregnant women who were between 20 and 28 weeks of gestation attending antenatal care in Paarl, a periurban setting outside of Cape Town, South Africa. Participants were recruited from two clinics (TC Newman and Mbekweni). Infants were given Bacillus Calmette-Guérin vaccination at birth as per national policy. Nasopharyngeal swabs for cytomegalovirus detection using qPCR were done for infants at birth, age 3 and 6 weeks, and age 3, 6, 12, and 24 months. Children were prospectively followed up for tuberculosis disease until age 9 years using tuberculin skin testing, radiographic examinations, GeneXpert, and sputum testing. Tuberculin skin tests were done at the 6-month visit and then at age 12, 24, 36, 48, and 60 months, and at the time of lower respiratory tract infection. We compared tuberculosis disease incidence after age 1 year or after age 6 months in children with and without cytomegalovirus infection using Cox regression and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs. FINDINGS: Between March 5, 2012, and March 31, 2015, 1225 pregnant women were recruited and enrolled in the birth cohort. 88 (7%) women were excluded because of loss to antenatal follow-up or pregnancy losses. Of 1143 livebirths, 68 (6%) mother-infant pairs were excluded. In total, 963 children were serially tested for cytomegalovirus (7186 cytomegalovirus measurements taken; median six tests per child, IQR 2-11). The prevalence of congenital cytomegalovirus at age younger than 3 weeks was 2% (18 of 816). Cytomegalovirus positivity increased continuously with age from 3% (27 of 825) by age 6 weeks to 21% (183 of 882) by 3 months, 35% (315 of 909) by 6 months, and 42% (390 of 933) by 12 months. Mother-infant pairs were followed up for a median of 6·9 years (IQR 6·0-7·8). The risk of tuberculosis disease in children after age 1 year was higher in those with cytomegalovirus infection by age 6 weeks (adjusted HR 4·1, 95% CI 1·2-13·8; p=0·022), 3 months (2·8, 1·4-5·8; p=0·0040), 6 months (3·6, 1·7-7·3; p<0·0001), 12 months (3·2, 1·6-6·4; p=0·0010), and 24 months (4·2, 2·0-8·8; p<0·0001). The risk of microbiologically confirmed tuberculosis disease was also higher among children acquiring cytomegalovirus infection before age 3 months (adjusted HR 3·2, 95% CI 1·0-10·6; p=0·048), 6 months (3·9, 1·2-13·0; p=0·027), 12 months (4·4, 1·2-16·3; p=0·027), and 24 months (6·1, 1·3-27·9; p=0·020). In children older than 1 year, the risk of tuberculosis disease was consistently greater in those with high cytomegalovirus loads than in those with low cytomegalovirus loads that were acquired before age 3 months (adjusted HR 2·0 vs 3·7; ptrend=0·0020; both groups compared with cytomegalovirus negative reference) and before age 12 months (2·7 vs 3·7; ptrend=0·0009). INTERPRETATION: Infants that acquire cytomegalovirus in the first year of life are at high risk of subsequently developing tuberculosis disease. Efforts to prevent tuberculosis in early childhood in high-burden countries might need to deter or delay acquisition of cytomegalovirus perinatally or in the first months of life. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, MRC South Africa, National Research Foundation South Africa, and Wellcome Trust.