Outcome Analysis of a Series of Mixed-Grade, Non-muscle Invasive, Papillary Carcinomas of the Bladder.

Introduction. Papillary urothelial carcinomas are currently graded as either low- or high-grade tumors based on World Health Organization (WHO) 2022 guidelines for genitourinary tumors. However, a minority of tumors are mixed-grade tumors, composed predominantly of low-grade cancer with a minor high-grade component. In the 2022 WHO these cancers are recognized as having outcomes comparable to low-grade cancers, although data to date has been limited. Methods. The pathology records of a large academic institution were searched for mixed-grade, non-muscle invasive papillary carcinomas of the bladder and ureter in order to characterize prognosis of these cancers. Results. Of 136 cancers, the majority (n = 104, 76.5%) were solitary, mixed-grade tumors, while 21 (15.4%) had a concurrent low-grade cancer and 11 (8.1%) had multiple mixed-grade tumors at the time of diagnosis. At follow-up (median 48.3 months, range = 1.3 months-18.1 years), 71 cancers recurred (52.2%): 52 (38.2%) as low- or mixed-grade cancers and 18 (13.2%) as high-grade cancers. There were no instances of stage-progression to >pT2. Conclusions. The clinical outcome of mixed-grade carcinomas was similar to what has been reported for low-grade carcinomas. Based on our results, and prior congruent studies of mixed-grade lesions, these lesions may be regarded as a distinct sub-category with a better prognosis than high-grade tumors.

Phase 1/2 Randomized Clinical Trial of In-clinic acupuncture Prior to Bacillus Calmette-Guérin in Patients with High-risk Non-muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Treatment-related dose-limiting dysuria and irritative bladder symptoms are common in patients receiving intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) to treat non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). Acupuncture has been shown to reduce pain and urinary urgency/frequency in other patient populations. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the feasibility, safety, and tolerability of weekly in-clinic preprocedural acupuncture among patients receiving induction BCG. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Patients with high-risk NMIBC undergoing induction BCG were randomized 2:1 to a standardized acupuncture protocol (acupuncture) versus the standard-of-care control arm. INTERVENTION: In-office acupuncture prior to each BCG instillation. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSES: Feasibility was assessed via recruitment, retention, and intervention adherence. Acupuncture safety and tolerability were assessed via physician-reported Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0 and adverse events (AEs). Secondary endpoints included BCG treatment adherence, patient-reported BCG-related toxicity, and bladder cancer-specific and generic (European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer [EORTC]-QLQ-NMIBC-24 and EORTC-QLQ-NMIBC-C30) quality of life (QOL). Subjective assessments of acupuncture acceptability were performed through patient surveys. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: A total of 43 individuals were randomized 2:1 to the acupuncture (n = 28) versus control (n = 15) group. The median age was 70.3 yr, and 76% were male. Week 7 follow-up surveys were completed by 93%; six participants withdrew early due to disease progression, refractory gross hematuria, or preference. Acupuncture was delivered successfully prior to each BCG treatment, with no acupuncture-related AEs or interruptions to induction BCG. BCG-attributed AEs were reported by 91% acupuncture and 100% control individuals, including pain (28% vs 43%, p = 0.34) and urinary symptoms (62% vs 79%, p = 0.31). Comparing acupuncture patients with controls, change in QOL over the study period demonstrated greater improvements in median urinary symptoms (9.5, interquartile range [IQR] 0.0-19.0 vs 0.0, IQR -14.3 to 7.1; p = 0.02) among patients in the acupuncture arm. Of the acupuncture patients, 96% reported that acupuncture was "very/extremely helpful," and 91% would recommend acupuncture to other patients. Limitations include modest sample size and single-institution design. CONCLUSIONS: Acupuncture prior to induction BCG treatments is feasible and safe. In this phase 1/2 trial, improved urinary function scores were observed among patients undergoing acupuncture. Patients receiving acupuncture reported high degrees of satisfaction with treatments. PATIENT SUMMARY: We evaluated the safety and feasibility of delivering acupuncture in a urology clinic prior to weekly intravesical bladder cancer treatments with bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) in a randomized controlled trial. We found that acupuncture could be delivered safely prior to weekly BCG instillations and that the use of acupuncture was associated with high patient satisfaction and a decrease in patient-reported urinary symptoms compared with usual care.

Alignment of molecular subtypes across multiple bladder cancer subtyping classifiers.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) includes cisplatin-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by radical cystectomy (RC). Molecular subtypes have been associated with patient outcomes after NAC and RC, but the reported results have been highly inconsistent. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association of molecular subtypes from different classifiers with overall survival (OS) among patients with MIBC who underwent RC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed gene expression data generated from transurethral resection of MIBC from a previously assembled and published meta-cohort, NACmeta (N = 601, 247 treated with NAC+RC and 354 RC without NAC), where extended follow-up was available. Molecular subtypes were assigned using the Genomic Subtyping Classifier (GSC), the Consensus Classifier, The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) Classifier, and the Lund Classifier. For survival analysis, inverse probability weighting was used to balance the clinical NAC and non-NAC patient groups. RESULTS: A high consistency in gene expression patterns and nomenclature was observed between luminal-like subtypes, defined as GSC-Luminal, Consensus-Luminal Papillary (LumP), TCGA Luminal-Papillary (LumP) and Lund-UroA, but not for basal-like subtypes such GSC-Basal, Consensus Basal/Squamous, TCGA-Basal/Squamous and Lund-Basal/Squamous. Patients with luminal-like subtypes demonstrated no difference in 3-year OS when treated with or without NAC (P = 0.7 for GSC, P = 0.94 for Consensus, P = 0.87 for TCGA and P = 0.66 for Lund-UroA, respectively). CONCLUSION: Luminal-like molecular subtypes identify a subgroup of MIBC patients who do not appear to benefit from current NAC regimens, even for locally advanced disease. In addition, we were able to illustrate differences in subtyping nomenclature that are not reflected in the underlying biological definition of the subtypes. PATIENT SUMMARY: Muscle-invasive bladder cancer exhibits molecular diversity, and various classifications identify different groups who do not benefit from chemotherapy. On the other hand, there is a high inconsistency in the way cancer groupings are named.

The Prostate Cancer Active Lifestyle Study (PALS): A randomized controlled trial of diet and exercise in overweight and obese men on active surveillance.

BACKGROUND: Active surveillance (AS) is increasingly used to monitor patients with lower risk prostate cancer (PCa). The Prostate Cancer Active Lifestyle Study (PALS) was a randomized controlled trial to determine whether weight loss improves obesity biomarkers on the causal pathway to progression in patients with PCa on AS. METHODS: Overweight/obese men (body mass index >25 kg/m2 ) diagnosed with PCa who elected AS were recruited. The intervention was a 6-month, individually delivered, structured diet and exercise program adapted from the Diabetes Prevention Program with a 7% weight loss goal from baseline. Control participants attended one session reviewing the US Dietary and Physical Activity Guidelines. The primary outcome was change in glucose regulation from baseline to the end of the 6-month intervention, which was measured by fasting plasma glucose, C-peptide, insulin, insulin-like growth factor 1, insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3, adiponectin, and homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance. RESULTS: Among 117 men who were randomized, 100 completed the trial. The mean percentage weight loss was 7.1% and 1.8% in the intervention and control arms, respectively (adjusted between-group mean difference, -6.0 kg; 95% confidence interval, -8.0, -4.0). Mean percentage changes from baseline for insulin, C-peptide, and homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance in the intervention arm were -23%, -16%, and -25%, respectively, compared with +6.9%, +7.5%, and +6.4%, respectively, in the control arm (all p for intervention effects ≤ .003). No significant between-arm differences were detected for the other biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS: Overweight/obese men with PCa undergoing AS who participated in a lifestyle-based weight loss intervention successfully met weight loss goals with this reproducible lifestyle intervention and experienced improvements in glucose-regulation biomarkers associated with PCa progression.

A combinatorial genetic strategy for exploring complex genotype-phenotype associations in cancer.

Available genetically defined cancer models are limited in genotypic and phenotypic complexity and underrepresent the heterogeneity of human cancer. Here, we describe a combinatorial genetic strategy applied to an organoid transformation assay to rapidly generate diverse, clinically relevant bladder and prostate cancer models. Importantly, the clonal architecture of the resultant tumors can be resolved using single-cell or spatially resolved next-generation sequencing to uncover polygenic drivers of cancer phenotypes.

Chronic Glucocorticoid Use and Risk for Advanced Prostate Cancer at Presentation: A SEER-Medicare Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Examine the relationship between exposure to systemic glucocorticoids (steroids) and advanced prostate cancer (PCa) at presentation. Prior work suggested that steroid use may be associated with increased PCa risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We queried the linked SEER-Medicare database (2004-2015) to identify PSA screened patients diagnosed with PCa. Criteria for screening included a PSA lab test or DRE exam in both the 12 month and 13 to 36 month periods prior to diagnosis of PCa. Steroid exposure was determined using Medicare Part D and groups were divided based on duration of use in the 3 years prior to diagnosis: controls with no exposure, <30 days, 30 days - 1 year, 1 to 2 years, and >2+ years. Advanced PCa was defined as systemic metastases or regional lymph node metastasis at presentation. Risk estimates for advanced PCa at presentation for steroid exposure groups vs. controls were assessed with univariable and multivariable logistic regression models. RESULTS: We identified 22,920 PSA screened patients diagnosed with PCa of which 29% used glucocorticoids in the exposure period. The mean (SD) duration for glucocorticoid use (in days) among all steroid users was 76.7 days (192.1). On univariable and multivariable analyses, > 2 years of steroid exposure was associated with significantly increased risk for advanced PCa (OR 2.06, 95% CI 1.35-3.14 and OR 1.74, 95% CI 1.12-2.69, respectively). CONCLUSION: In this population-based PSA-screened cohort, prolonged steroid use was associated with increased risk of advanced PCa at diagnosis. With the widespread use of glucocorticoids, it is important to consider the role steroids may play in PCa pathogenesis.

The effect of cisplatin-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy on the renal function of patients undergoing radical cystectomy.

INTRODUCTION: Cisplatin-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is the standard of care for patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) undergoing radical cystectomy (RC). Cisplatin, however, can induce renal toxicity. Furthermore, RC is an independent risk factor for renal injury, with decreases in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of up to 6 mL/min/1.73 m2 reported at one year postoperatively. Our objective was to evaluate the effect of cisplatin-based NAC and RC on the renal function of patients undergoing both. METHODS: We analyzed a multicenter database of patients with MIBC, all of whom received cisplatin-based NAC prior to RC. eGFR values were collected at time points T1 (before NAC), T2 (after NAC but before RC), and T3 (one year post-RC). eGFR and proportion of patients with eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73m2 (chronic kidney disease [CKD] stage ≥3) were compared between these time points. As all patients in this dataset had received NAC, we identified a retrospective cohort of patients from one institution who had undergone RC during the same time period without NAC for context. RESULTS: We identified 234 patients with available renal function data. From T1 to T3, there was a mean decline in eGFR of 17% (13 mL/min/1.73 m2) in the NAC cohort and an increase in proportion of patients with stage ≥3 CKD from 27% to 50%. The parallel cohort of patients who did not receive NAC was comprised of 236 patients. The mean baseline eGFR in this cohort was lower than in the NAC cohort (66 vs. 75 mL/min/1.73 m2). The mean eGFR decline in this non-NAC cohort from T1 to T3 was 6% (4 mL/min/1.73 m2), and the proportion of those with stage ≥3 CKD increased from 37% to 51%. CONCLUSIONS: Administration of NAC prior to RC was associated with a 17% decline in eGFR and a nearly doubled incidence of stage ≥3 CKD at one year after RC. Patients who underwent RC without NAC had a higher rate of stage ≥3 CKD at baseline but appeared to have less renal function loss at one year.

Combinatorial genetic strategy accelerates the discovery of cancer genotype-phenotype associations.

Available genetically-defined cancer models are limited in genotypic and phenotypic complexity and underrepresent the heterogeneity of human cancer. Herein, we describe a combinatorial genetic strategy applied to an organoid transformation assay to rapidly generate diverse, clinically relevant bladder and prostate cancer models. Importantly, the clonal architecture of the resultant tumors can be resolved using single-cell or spatially resolved next-generation sequencing to uncover polygenic drivers of cancer phenotypes.

Pharmacological NF-κB inhibition decreases cisplatin chemoresistance in muscle-invasive bladder cancer and reduces cisplatin-induced toxicities.

Most patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) are not cured with platinum chemotherapy. Up-regulation of nuclear factor kappa light-chain enhancer of activated B cells (NF-κB) is a major mechanism underlying chemoresistance, suggesting that its pharmacological inhibition may increase platinum efficacy. NF-κB signaling was investigated in two patient cohorts. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) was used to correlate NF-κB signaling and patient survival. The efficacy of cisplatin plus the NF-κB inhibitor dimethylaminoparthenolide (DMAPT) versus cisplatin or DMAPT alone was tested in vitro. Xenografted and immunocompetent MIBC mouse models were studied in vivo. Platinum-naive claudin-low MIBC showed constitutive NF-κB signaling and this was associated with reduced disease-specific survival in TCGA patients. Chemotherapy up-regulated NF-κB signaling and chemoresistance-associated genes, including SPHK1, PLAUR, and SERPINE1. In mice, DMAPT significantly improved the efficacy of cisplatin in both models. The combination preserved body weight, renal function, and morphology, reduced muscle fatigue and IL-6 serum levels, and did not aggravate immuno-hematological toxicity compared with cisplatin alone. These data provide a rationale for combining NF-κB inhibition with platinum-based chemotherapy and conducting a clinical trial in MIBC patients.

Racial and sex differences in tumor genomics in urothelial carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Differences in bladder cancer outcomes have been demonstrated by sex and race/ethnicity, with studies showing a higher burden of adverse outcomes among women and racially minoritized populations. Despite these epidemiologic differences, populations with disproportionally adverse outcomes are often underrepresented in genomic cohorts. This exclusion impacts the accuracy and generalizability of genomic studies in bladder cancer and has the potential to widen disparities by sex and/or race/ethnicity. BASIC PROCEDURES: We analyzed pooled somatic mutational data from publicly available cohorts in the cBioPortal open access platform. FINDINGS: A total of 796 unique patients were identified. Average age for the cohort was 67 years (range: 25-98 years), 188 (24%) were female, and the majority were White (n = 423, 85% among those who report race). Median total mutation count was 91 (IQR: 20, 202) per patient. We used multivariable logistic regression to independently evaluate the association between race/sex and mutation status in each of 122 genes of interest, identified from TCGA, adjusting for age and bladder cancer invasive status. In adjusted analyses, male sex was associated with increased risk of mutation in ARID1A, CHD6, and NCOR1 compared with female sex. White race was associated with increased risk of mutation in ARID1A, EP300, PIK3CA, and TP53 and decreased risk of mutation in HRAS compared with non-White race. CONCLUSIONS: These differences highlight the importance of enriching cohorts for female and non-White patients in genomic studies and clinical trials, especially as we test the use of molecular biomarkers to personalize care for patients with bladder cancer.

Metastatic Bladder Cancer Expression and Subcellular Localization of Nectin-4 and Trop-2 in Variant Histology: A Rapid Autopsy Study.

BACKGROUND: Nectin-4 and Trop-2 are transmembrane targets of FDA-approved antibody-drug conjugates (ADC) Enfortumab-vedotin (EV) and Sacituzumab govitecan (SG), respectively, for the treatment of metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC). The expression and role of Nectin-4 and Trop-2 in mUC variant histology is poorly described. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We evaluate membranous and cytoplasmic protein expression, and mRNA levels of Nectin-4 and Trop-2 within matched primary and metastatic mUC samples to determine heterogeneity of ADC targets in mUC variants. RESULTS: Patients with mUC were consented for rapid autopsy immediately after death. Tissues from matched primary and metastatic lesions were collected. A total of 67 specimens from 20 patients were analyzed: 27 were UC, 17 plasmacytoid (PUC), 18 UC with squamous differentiation (UCSD), and 5 neuroendocrine (NE); 10 from primary and 57 from metastatic sites. All histology except NE expressed moderate-high levels of Nectin-4 and Trop-2 by both immunohistochemistry and RNAseq. Nectin-4 demonstrated prominent cytoplasmic staining in metastatic PUC and UCSD. Trop-2 demonstrated strong cytoplasmic and membrane staining in primary and metastatic tumors. Interestingly, Nectin-4 and Trop-2 expression are positively correlated at both mRNA and protein levels. CONCLUSION: UC and non-NE variants express notable level of Nectin-4 and Trop-2 in both primary and metastatic lesions. Membrane staining of Nectin-4 and Trop-2 is present but cytoplasmic staining is a more common event in both mUC and mUC variant histology. These findings support evaluation of EV and SG in heavily treated variant histology BC and urge attention on the clinical relevance of cytoplasmic localization of ADC targets.

Sarcomatoid Urothelial Carcinoma Is Associated With Limited Response to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy and Poor Oncologic Outcomes After Radical Cystectomy.

INTRODUCTION: To examine oncologic outcomes and response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in patients with sarcomatoid urothelial carcinoma (SUC) treated with radical cystectomy (RC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively queried our institutional database (2003-18) and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare (2004-2015) for patients with cT2-4, N0-2, M0 SUC and conventional UC (CUC) treated with RC. Clinicopathologic characteristics were described using descriptive statistics (t test, χ2-test and log-rank-test for group comparison). Overall (OS) and recurrence-free-survival (RFS) after RC were estimated with the Kaplan Meier method and associations with OS were evaluated with Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: We identified 38 patients with SUC and 287 patients with CUC in our database, and 190 patients with SUC in SEER-Medicare. In the institutional cohort, patients with SUC versus CUC had higher rates of pT3/4 stage (66% vs. 35%, P < 0.001), lower rates of ypT0N0 (6% vs. 35%, P = .02), and worse median OS (17.5 vs. 120 months, P < .001). Further, patients with SUC in the institutional versus SEER-Medicare cohort had similar median OS (17.5 vs. 21 months). In both cohorts, OS was comparable between patients with SUC undergoing NAC+RC vs. RC alone (17.5 vs. 18.4 months, P = .98, institutional cohort; 24 vs. 20 months, P = .56, SEER cohort). In Cox proportional hazards models for the institutional RC cohort, SUC was independently associated with worse OS (HR 2.3, CI 1.4-3.8, P = .001). CONCLUSION: SUC demonstrates poor pathologic response to NAC and worse OS compared with CUC, with no OS benefit associated with NAC. A unique pattern of rapid abdominopelvic cystic recurrence was identified.

Transcriptional-translational conflict is a barrier to cellular transformation and cancer progression.

We uncover a tumor-suppressive process in urothelium called transcriptional-translational conflict caused by deregulation of the central chromatin remodeling component ARID1A. Loss of Arid1a triggers an increase in a nexus of pro-proliferation transcripts, but a simultaneous inhibition of the eukaryotic elongation factor 2 (eEF2), which results in tumor suppression. Resolution of this conflict through enhancing translation elongation speed enables the efficient and precise synthesis of a network of poised mRNAs resulting in uncontrolled proliferation, clonogenic growth, and bladder cancer progression. We observe a similar phenomenon in patients with ARID1A-low tumors, which also exhibit increased translation elongation activity through eEF2. These findings have important clinical implications because ARID1A-deficient, but not ARID1A-proficient, tumors are sensitive to pharmacologic inhibition of protein synthesis. These discoveries reveal an oncogenic stress created by transcriptional-translational conflict and provide a unified gene expression model that unveils the importance of the crosstalk between transcription and translation in promoting cancer.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for overall and disease-specific survival in patients with sarcomatoid urothelial carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: Sarcomatoid urothelial carcinoma (SUC) is a rare and aggressive variant of bladder cancer with limited data guiding prognosis. In this study, we present the first prognostic nomograms in the literature for 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS), for patients with SUC derived from the surveillance, epidemiology and end results database (SEER). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with SUC were identified by using the ICD-10 topography codes C67.0-C67.9 (bladder cancer), and the morphologic code 8122 (SUC). Patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (TC) and a validation cohort (VC) (7:3 ratio). Variables significantly associated with OS and DSS were identified with multivariate Cox regression and were used to build the nomograms. Harrel's C-statistic with bootstrap resampling and calibration curves were used for internal (TC) and external (VC) validation. Clinical utility of the nomograms was assessed with the decision curve analysis (DCA). Goodness of fit between the nomograms and the AJCC 8th edition staging system was compared with the likelihood ratio test. RESULTS: A total of 741 patients with SUC were included (507 TC, 234 VC). No statistically significant differences in baseline characteristics were identified between the 2 cohorts. Sex, SEER stage, radical cystectomy and chemotherapy were common variables for the OS and the DSS nomograms with the addition of age in the former. Optimism-corrected C-statistic for the nomograms was 0.68 and 0.67 for OS and DSS respectively. In comparison, C-statistic for AJCC was 0.59 for OS and 0.60 for DSS (P < 0.001). Calibration curves constructed for the nomograms showed appropriate consistency between predicted and actual survival. The nomograms demonstrated optimal clinical utility in the DCA, outperforming the AJCC staging system, by maintaining a higher clinical net benefits than treat all, treat none and AJCC curves, across threshold probabilities. CONCLUSION: We present the first prognostic nomograms developed in patients with SUC. Our models demonstrated superior prognostic performance to the AJCC system, by utilizing a set of variables readily available in daily practice and may serve as useful tools for the individualized risk assessment of these patients.

Impact of Maximal Transurethral Resection on Pathological Outcomes at Cystectomy in a Large, Multi-institutional Cohort.

PURPOSE: While the presence of residual disease at the time of radical cystectomy for bladder cancer is an established prognostic indicator, controversy remains regarding the importance of maximal transurethral resection prior to neoadjuvant chemotherapy. We characterized the influence of maximal transurethral resection on pathological and survival outcomes using a large, multi-institutional cohort. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified 785 patients from a multi-institutional cohort undergoing radical cystectomy for muscle-invasive bladder cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. We employed bivariate comparisons and stratified multivariable models to quantify the effect of maximal transurethral resection on pathological findings at cystectomy and survival. RESULTS: Of 785 patients, 579 (74%) underwent maximal transurethral resection. Incomplete transurethral resection was more frequent in patients with more advanced clinical tumor (cT) and nodal (cN) stage (P < .001 and P < .01, respectively), with more advanced ypT stage at cystectomy and higher rates of positive surgical margins (P < .01 and P < .05, respectively). In multivariable models, maximal transurethral resection was associated with downstaging at cystectomy (adjusted odds ratio 1.6, 95% CI 1.1-2.5). In Cox proportional hazards analysis, maximal transurethral resection was not associated with overall survival (adjusted HR 0.8, 95% CI 0.6-1.1). CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing transurethral resection for muscle-invasive bladder cancer prior to neoadjuvant chemotherapy, maximal resection may improve pathological response at cystectomy. However, the ultimate effects on long-term survival and oncologic outcomes warrant further investigation.

Surrogate Endpoints as Predictors of Overall Survival in Metastatic Urothelial Cancer: A Trial-level Analysis.

Background: Surrogate endpoints (SEs), such as progression-free survival (PFS) and objective response rate (ORR), are frequently used in clinical trials. The relationship between SEs and overall survival (OS) has not been well described in metastatic urothelial cancer (MUC). Objective: We evaluated trial-level data to assess the relationship between SEs and OS. We hypothesize a moderate surrogacy relationship between both PFS and ORR with OS. Design setting and participants: We systematically reviewed phase 2/3 trials in MUC with two or more treatment arms, and report PFS and/or ORR, and OS. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: Linear regression was performed, and the coefficient of determination (R2) and surrogate threshold effect (STE) estimate were determined between PFS/ORR and OS. Results and limitations: Of 3791 search results, 59 trials and 62 comparisons met the inclusion criteria. Of the 53 trials that reported PFS, 31 (58%) reported proportional hazard regression for PFS and OS. Linear regression across trials demonstrated an R2 of 0.60 between hazard ratio (HR) for PFS (HRPFS) and HR for OS (HROS), and an STE of 0.41. Linear regression of ΔPFS (median PFS in months of the treatment arm - that of the control arm) and ΔOS demonstrated an R2 of 0.12 and an STE of 14.1 mo. Thirty trials reported ORRs. Linear regression for ORRratio and HROS among all trials found an R2 of 0.08; an STE of 95% was not reached at any value and ΔORR and HROS similarly demonstrated a poor correlation with an R2 value of 0.03. Conclusions: PFS provides only a moderate level of surrogacy for OS; An HRPFS of ≤0.41 provides 95% confidence of OS improvement. ORR is weakly correlated with OS and should be de-emphasized in MUC clinical trials. When PFS is discussed, proportional hazard regression should be reported. Patient summary: We examined the relationship between surrogate endpoints, common outcomes in clinical trials, with survival in urothelial cancer trials. Progression-free survival is moderately correlated, while objective response rate had a poor correlation with survival and should be de-emphasized as a primary endpoint.

A Phase 1/2 Study of Rapamycin and Cisplatin/Gemcitabine for Treatment of Patients With Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Cisplatin-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by cystectomy is the standard for muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), however, NAC confers only a small survival benefit and new strategies are needed to increase its efficacy. Pre-clinical data suggest that in response to DNA damage the tumor microenvironment (TME) adopts a paracrine secretory phenotype dependent on mTOR signaling which may provide an escape mechanism for tumor resistance, thus offering an opportunity to increase NAC effectiveness with mTOR blockade. PATIENTS & METHODS: We conducted a phase I/II clinical trial to assess the safety and efficacy of gemcitabine-cisplatin-rapamycin combination. Grapefruit juice was administered to enhance rapamycin pharmacokinetics by inhibiting intestinal enzymatic degradation. Phase I was a dose determination/safety study followed by a single arm Phase II study of NAC prior to radical cystectomy evaluating pathologic response with a 26% pCR rate target. RESULTS: In phase I, 6 patients enrolled, and the phase 2 dose of 35 mg rapamycin established. Fifteen patients enrolled in phase II; 13 were evaluable. Rapamycin was tolerated without serious adverse events. At the preplanned analysis, the complete response rate (23%) did not meet the prespecified level for continuing and the study was stopped due to futility. With immunohistochemistry, successful suppression of the mTOR signaling pathway in the tumor was achieved while limited mTOR activity was seen in the TME. CONCLUSION: Adding rapamycin to gemcitabine-cisplatin therapy for patients with MIBC was well tolerated but failed to improve therapeutic efficacy despite evidence of mTOR blockade in tumor cells. Further efforts to understand the role of the tumor microenvironment in chemotherapy resistance is needed.