Can we better advise our patients with nodular thyroid disease?

BACKGROUND: The 2014 British Thyroid Association guidelines acknowledged the value of risk-stratifying thyroid nodules by utilising an ultrasound reporting system ('U' classification). This study assessed whether using pre-existing parameters in combination can better stratify patients' malignancy and completion thyroidectomy risks. METHOD: A multicentre, retrospective, observational review identified 936 NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde patients from pathology records who underwent hemithyroidectomy between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2019. RESULTS: A total of 308 patients had thyroid malignancy, 180 (58.4 per cent) progressed to completion thyroidectomy. A nodule classified as 'U3' (indeterminate) was associated with a 35.4 per cent chance of malignancy and a 21.6 per cent risk of requiring completion surgery. Amalgamation of 'U' score with Thy score enhanced risk prediction. The malignancy rate in U3, Thy-3f nodules was 38 per cent, and 21 per cent required completion surgery. The malignancy and completion thyroidectomy rates were comparatively lower for U3, Thy-3a nodules (22 per cent and 14.3 per cent, respectively). CONCLUSION: Combining ultrasound 'U' score and Thy score improves pre-operative thyroid nodule risk stratification, leading to better informed patients regarding the risks of malignancy and completion surgery. A move towards an integrated assessment approach should be considered.

Value of surveillance ultrasound following hemithyroidectomy.

BACKGROUND: There is limited evidence or agreement on the benefit, duration and frequency of post-operative surveillance neck ultrasound in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer treated with hemithyroidectomy alone. This study's primary aim was to assess the benefit of neck ultrasound in this situation, with a secondary aim to assess the detection of malignancy in the contralateral lobe in patients undergoing completion surgery. METHODS: A retrospective observational study was conducted involving patients who had differentiated thyroid cancer found at diagnostic hemithyroidectomy between 1 December 2013 and 31 December 2016. RESULTS: Of 105 patients, 74 underwent completion thyroidectomy. Thirty-five per cent of these patients had malignancy identified in the contralateral lobe, the majority were unsuspected sonographically. Of 31 hemithyroidectomy patients, 1 had a nodule classified as 'U3' (indeterminate) at the first ultrasound surveillance, ultimately identified as incidental papillary microcarcinomas on completion thyroidectomy. There was no other disease recurrence or malignancy at a median of 3.8 years' follow up. CONCLUSION: The findings indicate a limited role for ultrasound follow up of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer treated with hemithyroidectomy alone.

Patterns of recurrence amongst patients undergoing resection of oral squamous cell carcinoma with curative intent.

This study was aimed to identify key clinicopathological variables that predict recurrence in those undergoing curative resection of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) with emphasis on initial treatment failure patterns. Between February 2006 to May 2020, clinicopathological data on 833 patients who underwent curative resection of OSCC were gathered. Outcomes of interest included local, regional, distant, and overall recurrence. Univariate analysis was performed to identify significant clinicopathological variables for each recurrence type, and a multivariate regression analysis was utilised to generate predictive models. A total of 187 patients (22.4%) developed recurrent disease; 79 local, 63 regional, and 46 distant. For local recurrence: tumour depth of invasion (DOI) >5--10 mm, tumour DOI >10 mm and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) 2 were independently predictive (c-index 0.708). For regional recurrence: primary OSCC of hard palate/maxilla, pN1, pN3b, and non-cohesive invasive front were independently predictive (c-index 0.738). For distant recurrence: pN1 pN2a, pN2b, pN2c, pN3b, and tumour DOI >10 mm were independently predictive (c-index 0.809). For recurrence at any site; pN1, pN2a, pN2b, pN2c, pN3b, tumour DOI >5-10 mm, tumour DOI >10 mm, mGPS 2, and involved surgical margins were independently predictive (c-index 0.750). Recurrence events after curative treatment for OSCC are relatively predictable on the basis of available clinicopathological characteristics. It seems likely that trials of adjuvant systemic therapy in high-risk OSCC will continue to be designed with emerging therapeutic agents. Trials should focus on those of highest risk of relapse and this study adds clarity to the selection of the correct target population.

Germline determinants of humoral immune response to HPV-16 protect against oropharyngeal cancer.

Although several oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) susceptibility loci have been identified, most previous studies lacked detailed information on human papillomavirus (HPV) status. We conduct a genome-wide analysis by HPV16 serology status in 4,002 oral cancer cases (OPC and oral cavity cancer (OCC)) and 5,256 controls. We detect four susceptibility loci pointing to a distinct genetic predisposition by HPV status. Our most notable finding in the HLA region, that is now confirmed to be specific of HPV(+)OPC risk, reveal two independent loci with strong protective effects, one refining the previously reported HLA class II haplotype association. Antibody levels against HPV16 viral proteins strongly implicate the protective HLA variants as major determinants of humoral response against L1 capsid protein or E6 oncoprotein suggesting a natural immune response against HPV(+)OPC promoted by HLA variants. This indicates that therapeutic vaccines that target E6 and attenuate viral response after established HPV infections might protect against HPV(+)OPC.

What is Thy3a? A study of 336 Thy3a (AUS/FLUS) thyroid FNAs with histology compares UK RCPath with other reporting systems and shows how Thy3a subclassification can improve risk stratification and help address overuse of this category.

INTRODUCTION: Thy3a (AUS/FLUS) is an indeterminate and heterogeneous category in thyroid cytology. Thy3a reporting rates vary widely, with many laboratories documenting overuse. Subclassification of Thy3a helps with risk stratification. We aimed to investigate whether subclassification can also help address Thy3a overuse. We compare the UK reporting system with other terminologies. METHODS: An audit of thyroid fine needle aspirations (FNAs) reported at our institution between 2012 and 2017 was performed. Thy3a FNAs followed by histology were reviewed and subcategorised into four subgroups: Scanty Atypia (SA), Scanty Microfollicular (SMF), Favour Benign (FB) and Thyroiditis versus Neoplasm (TVN). Review and subclassification were blinded to histology outcomes. FNAs were correlated with histology and statistical analysis was performed. RESULTS: Our Thy3a rate was high (24% of all thyroid FNAs). For 336 Thy3a FNAs with histology, the malignancy rates of the four subgroups were: SA 68%, SMF 20%, FB 4%, TVN 31%. There were significant associations between subgroup and malignancy risk, and between subgroup and tumour risk. On histology, SA had more malignancies than expected and FB had fewer. SA and SMF had more tumours than expected and FB had fewer. SMF and Thy3f FNAs were similar in terms of tumour and malignancy outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Subclassification of Thy3a FNAs into these four subgroups is recommended. This can improve risk stratification and help address overuse of Thy3a. We propose that some FB and SMF cases could be safely diverted to Thy2 and Thy3f respectively. We compare various reporting terminologies and question how indeterminate FNAs should be classified.

The Chief Scientist Office Cardiovascular and Pulmonary Imaging in SARS Coronavirus disease-19 (CISCO-19) study.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 is typically a primary respiratory illness with multisystem involvement. The prevalence and clinical significance of cardiovascular and multisystem involvement in COVID-19 remain unclear. METHODS: This is a prospective, observational, multicentre, longitudinal, cohort study with minimal selection criteria and a near-consecutive approach to screening. Patients who have received hospital care for COVID-19 will be enrolled within 28 days of discharge. Myocardial injury will be diagnosed according to the peak troponin I in relation to the upper reference limit (URL, 99th centile) (Abbott Architect troponin I assay; sex-specific URL, male: >34 ng/L; female: >16 ng/L). Multisystem, multimodality imaging will be undertaken during the convalescent phase at 28 days post-discharge (Visit 2). Imaging of the heart, lung, and kidneys will include multiparametric, stress perfusion, cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging, and computed tomography coronary angiography. Health and well-being will be assessed in the longer term. The primary outcome is the proportion of patients with a diagnosis of myocardial inflammation. CONCLUSION: CISCO-19 will provide detailed insights into cardiovascular and multisystem involvement of COVID-19. Our study will inform the rationale and design of novel therapeutic and management strategies for affected patients. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT04403607.

The influence of smoking, age and stage at diagnosis on the survival after larynx, hypopharynx and oral cavity cancers in Europe: The ARCAGE study.

Head and neck cancer (HNC) is a preventable malignancy that continues to cause substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide. Using data from the ARCAGE and Rome studies, we investigated the main predictors of survival after larynx, hypopharynx and oral cavity (OC) cancers. We used the Kaplan-Meier method to estimate overall survival, and Cox proportional models to examine the relationship between survival and sociodemographic and clinical characteristics. 604 larynx, 146 hypopharynx and 460 OC cancer cases were included in this study. Over a median follow-up time of 4.6 years, nearly 50% (n = 586) of patients died. Five-year survival was 65% for larynx, 55% for OC and 35% for hypopharynx cancers. In a multivariable analysis, we observed an increased mortality risk among older (≥71 years) versus younger (≤50 years) patients with larynx/hypopharynx combined (LH) and OC cancers [HR = 1.61, 95% CI 1.09-2.38 (LH) and HR = 2.12, 95% CI 1.35-3.33 (OC)], current versus never smokers [HR = 2.67, 95% CI 1.40-5.08 (LH) and HR = 2.16, 95% CI 1.32-3.54 (OC)] and advanced versus early stage disease at diagnosis [IV versus I, HR = 2.60, 95% CI 1.78-3.79 (LH) and HR = 3.17, 95% CI 2.05-4.89 (OC)]. Survival was not associated with sex, alcohol consumption, education, oral health, p16 expression, presence of HPV infection or body mass index 2 years before cancer diagnosis. Despite advances in diagnosis and therapeutic modalities, survival after HNC remains low in Europe. In addition to the recognized prognostic effect of stage at diagnosis, smoking history and older age at diagnosis are important prognostic indicators for HNC.

Geographic heterogeneity in the prevalence of human papillomavirus in head and neck cancer.

Human papillomavirus (HPV) causes oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC), although strongly divergent results have been reported regarding the prevalence of HPV16 in different countries, whether this represents important differences in etiology remains unclear. Applying rigorous protocols for sample processing, we centrally evaluated 1,420 head and neck tumors (533 oropharynx, 395 oral cavity and 482 larynx) from studies conducted in the US, Europe and Brazil for mucosal HPV DNA and p16INK4a expression to evaluate regional heterogeneity in the proportion of HPV16-associated OPSCC and other head and neck cancer, and to assess covariates associated with the risk of HPV16-positive OPSCC. While majority of OPSCC in the US (60%) were HPV16-positive, this proportion was 31% in Europe and only 4% in Brazil (p < 0.01). Similar differences were observed for other head and neck tumors, ranging from 7% in the US and 5% in Europe, to 0% in South America. The odds of HPV16-positive OPSCC declined with increasing pack years of smoking (OR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.64-0.87) and drink years of alcohol use (OR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.54-0.76). These results suggest that while the contribution of HPV16 is substantial for the oropharynx, it remains limited for oral cavity and laryngeal cancers.

Effect of HPV on head and neck cancer patient survival, by region and tumor site: A comparison of 1362 cases across three continents.

OBJECTIVES: To explore whether HPV-related biomarkers predict oropharyngeal squamous cell cancer (OPSCC) survival similarly across different global regions, and to explore their prognostic utility among non-oropharyngeal (non-OP) head and neck cancers. METHODS: Data from 1362 head and neck SCC (HNSCC) diagnosed 2002-2011 was used from epidemiologic studies in: Brazil (GENCAPO study, n=388), U.S. (CHANCE study, n=472), and Europe (ARCAGE study, n=502). Tumors were centrally tested for p16INK4a and HPV16 DNA (by PCR). Risk of mortality was examined using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: There were 517 OPSCC and 845 non-OP HNSCC. Cases were primarily male (81%), ever smokers (91%), with median age of 58yearsandmedian follow-up of 3.1years (IQR=1.4-5.9). Among OPSCC, the risk of mortality was significantly lower among 184 HPV-related (i.e., p16+/HPV16+) compared to 333 HPV-unrelated (p16- and/or HPV16-) cases (HR=0.25, 95%CI=0.18-0.34). Mortality was reduced among HPV-related OPSCC cases from the U.S., Europe, and Brazil (each p⩽0.01) and after adjustment, remained significantly reduced (aHR=0.34, 95%CI=0.24-0.49). Among non-OP HNSCC, neither p16 (aHR=0.83, 95%CI=0.60-1.14), HPV16 DNA (aHR=1.20, 95%CI=0.89-1.63), or p16+/HPV16+ (aHR=0.59, 95%CI=0.32-1.08) was a significantly predictor of mortality. When interaction was tested, the effect of HPV16/p16 was significantly different in OPSCC than non-OP HNSCC (p-interaction=0.02). CONCLUSION: HPV-related OPSCCs had similar survival benefits across these three regions. Prognostic utility of HPV among non-OP HNSCC is limited so tumor HPV/p16 testing should not be routinely done among non-OP HNSCC.