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BackgroundSince the pandemic outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), the health system capacity in highly endemic areas has been overwhelmed. Approaches to efficient management are urgently needed. We aimed to develop and validate a score for early prediction of clinical deterioration of COVID-19 patients. MethodsIn this retrospective multicenter cohort study, we included 1138 mild to moderate COVID-19 patients admitted to 33 hospitals in Guangdong Province from December 27, 2019 to March 4, 2020 (N =818; training cohort), as well as two hospitals in Hubei Province from January 21 to February 22, 2020 (N =320; validation cohort) in the analysis. ResultsThe 14-day cumulative incidences of clinical deterioration were 7.9% and 12.1% in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. An Early WArning Score (EWAS) (ranging from 0 to 4.5), comprising of age, underlying chronic disease, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive protein, and D-dimer levels, was developed (AUROC: 0.857). By applying the EWAS, patients were categorized into low-, medium-, and high risk groups (cut-off values: two and three). The 14-day cumulative incidence of clinical deterioration in the low-risk group was 1.8%, which was significantly lower than the incidence rates in the medium-(14.4%) and high-risk (40.9%) groups (P <.001). The predictability of EWAS was similar in the validation cohort (AUROC =0.781), patients in the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups had 14-day cumulative incidences of 2.6%, 10.0%, and 25.7%, respectively (P <.001). ConclusionThe EWAS, which is based on five common parameters, can predict COVID-19-related clinical deterioration and may be a useful tool for a rapid triage and establishing a COVID-19 hierarchical management system that will greatly focus clinical management and medical resources to reduce mortality in highly endemic areas.
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BackgroundSince the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) disease (COVID-19) outbreaks in Wuhan, China, healthcare systems capacities in highly endemic areas have been overwhelmed. Approaches to efficient management are urgently needed and key to a quicker control of the outbreaks and casualties. We aimed to characterize the clinical features of hospitalized patients with confirmed or suspected COVID-19, and develop a mortality risk index for COVID-19 patients. MethodsIn this retrospective one-centre cohort study, we included all the confirmed or suspected COVID-19 patients hospitalized in a COVID-19-designated hospital from January 21 to February 5, 2020. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, radiological and clinical outcome data were collected from the hospital information system, nursing records and laboratory reports. ResultsOf 577 patients with at least one post-admission evaluation, the median age was 55 years (interquartile range [IQR], 39 - 66); 254 (44.0%) were men; 22.8% (100/438) were severe pneumonia on admission, and 37.7% (75/199) patients were SARS-CoV-2 positive. The clinical, laboratory and radiological data were comparable between positive and negative SARS-CoV-2 patients. During a median follow-up of 8.4 days (IQR, 5.8 - 12.0), 39 patients died with a 12-day cumulative mortality of 8.7% (95% CI, 5.9% to 11.5%). A simple mortality risk index (called ACP index), composed of Age and C-reactive Protein, was developed. By applying the ACP index, patients were categorized into three grades. The 12-day cumulative mortality in grade three (age [≥] 60 years and CRP [≥] 34 mg/L) was 33.2% (95% CI, 19.8% to 44.3%), which was significantly higher than those of grade two (age [≥] 60 years and CRP < 34 mg/L; age < 60 years and CRP [≥] 34 mg/L; 5.6% [95% CI, 0 to 11.3%]) and grade one (age < 60 years and CRP < 34 mg/L, 0%) (P <0.001), respectively. ConclusionThe ACP index can predict COVID-19 related short-term mortality, which may be a useful and convenient tool for quickly establishing a COVID-19 hierarchical management system that can greatly reduce the medical burden and therefore mortality in highly endemic areas.
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The World Health Organization(WHO)has set the goal to eliminate viral hepatitis as a public health threat by 2030, and the key to achieve this ambitious goal lies on the standardized and precise management of pregnant women and their infants by effectively blocking mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of hepatitis B virus (HBV). Standardized management includes screening and antiviral intervention during pregnancy, infant immunization, and evaluation of immune effect, breastfeeding and mode of delivery. The results of randomized controlled clinical trials and real-world data have confirmed that the comprehensive prevention strategy based on combined immune prophylaxis of neonates can effectively block MTCT of HBV. It is one of the key links to eliminate viral hepatitis in our country, and to formulate a new strategy in line with the public health needs at home and abroad and thereby promote the implementation and application of standardized management process to improve the public's awareness of the disease.
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Objective@#To investigate the impact of immediate cessation of antiviral therapy on postpartum liver function and the factors influencing postpartum abnormality in mothers with chronic hepatitis B virus infection.@*Methods@#A retrospective cohort study was conducted. One hundred eighty-eight pregnant women with HBV DNA level > 2×106 IU/ml were enrolled from June 2014 to June 2018. Demographic information and clinical data of liver function and HBV DNA load during gravidity, intrapartum and postpartum period were collected. According to the antiviral treatment recommendations during pregnancy, the women were divided into three groups, namely, tenofovir (TDF), telbivudine (LdT) and control group. Liver function abnormalities among the three groups were compared within 6 months after delivery, and the factors influencing abnormal liver function were analyzed by unconditional logistic regression.@*Results@#Of the 188 cases, 72 cases were in the TDF group, 80 cases in the LdT group, and 36 cases in the control group. Pregnant women in the TDF and LdT groups received oral TDF (300 mg/d) and LdT (600 mg/d) from 28 ± 4 weeks of gestation till delivery. Among the 188 patients, 30 (16.0%) had abnormal postpartum liver function abnormality. The incidence of postpartum liver function abnormality [alanine aminotransferase (ALT) > 2 × upper limit of normal (ULN)] in the TDF, LdT, and control groups was 19.4%, 12.5%, and 16.7%, respectively. The postpartum peak levels of ALT (median, range) in the three groups were 34.5 (12.0-946.0) U/L, 37.5 (12.0-733.8) U/L, and 39.0 (7.0-513.0) U/L, respectively. There was no significant difference between the two indexes among the three groups (P > 0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in the degree of postpartum liver function abnormalities between the three groups (P = 0.944). Most of the liver function abnormalities were mild to moderate (2 × ULN≤ALT < 10 × ULN), and usually resolved spontaneously or by treatment. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that baseline ALT level during pregnancy was an independent factor associated with postpartum liver function abnormality (OR = 1.031, CI 95%: 1.005-1.058; χ2 = 5.340, P = 0.021), whereas age, antiviral therapy, HBeAg-positivity, baseline HBV DNA levels, gravidity, parity, preterm delivery and delivery mode were not significantly associated with postpartum liver function abnormality.@*Conclusion@#Cessation of antiviral therapy after delivery did not significantly increase the risk of postpartum liver function abnormality in pregnant women with chronic HBV infection. The ALT level during pregnancy is a factor influencing postpartum liver function abnormality.
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Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a global public health problem. Hepatitis B core antibody (anti-HBc) is one of the serum immunological markers in human body after HBV infection. Previous studies have shown that the low serum level of anti-HBc in HBeAg-positive mothers are associated with immunoprophylaxis failure in infants. In addition, anti-HBc is an important biomarker associated with liver inflammatory activity and therapeutic outcome and can be used to evaluate liver inflammation and predict the efficacy of antiviral therapy and sustained response after drug withdrawal. Anti-HBc quantification provides a new direction for individualized treatment of hepatitis B patients.
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To eliminate viral hepatitis as a public health threat, the World Health Organization has set the ambitious goal of reducing the prevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) in children to 0.1% by 2030, and the key to this grand goal is cutting off hepatitis B virus (HBV) transmission from mother-to-child. Previously, national and international guidelines for the management of chronic hepatitis B recommended the use of hepatitis B vaccine and hepatitis B immunoglobulin (HBIG) or combination of any in neonates and antiviral drugs for pregnant women with high viral load in late pregnancy. However, a recent study in Thailand found that the addition of antiviral drugs in pregnant women with high viral load in the third trimester did not significantly lower the incidence of mother-to-child HBV transmission, but no case of chronic HBV infection was seen with strict standards hepatitis B vaccine and HBIG combined immunoprophylaxis and the use of tenofovir disoproxil in pregnant women with high viral load in the third trimester. In addition, the incidence of mother –to- child transmission of HBV in the antiviral group was 0, while the incidence of HBV transmission in the placebo group was 2%. Therefore, it is not possible to deny the efficacy of adding antiviral drugs in treating pregnant women with high viral load in the third trimester with combined immunoprophylaxis. There is an urgent need for more real-world studies in clinical practice to further reveal the principles and existing problems of mother- to- child transmission of HBV.
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Chronic hepatitis B virus infection is a great threat to public health around the world.National,Asian-Pacific,or global clinical research collaborative network plays an important role in exploring new therapeutic strategies and biological markers and preventing mother-to-child transmission of hepatitis B.We believe that such network may help to realize a future without hepatitis B.
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Chronic hepatitis B is a serious public health issue in China. The clinical management of hepatitis B is effective with the emergence of antiviral agents. The outcome of long-term therapy and nucleos(t)ide analogues stopping rules are currently unresolved issues and unmet needs. Thus, we need to pay more attention to clinical research to build large-sample and long-term follow-up cohorts and begin with the end in mind. We believe that the way to resolve the issues above will be found with the efforts of generations.
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Objective To evaluate the rational preventive application of antibiotics during perioperative period of intracranial operations.Methods A prospective study was adopted to investigate the differences of infection rate of surgical site between the group of rational application of antibiotics (406 patients with type Ⅰ incision intracranial operations of neurosurgery in 2011) and the control group (479 patients with type Ⅰ incision intracranial operations ofneurosurgery in 2012).Results The antibiotic treatment period was shortened from (5.16±3.90) days in the control group to (2.77± 1.81) days in group of rational application of antibiotics (t=11.994,P=0.000); while surgical site infection rate was decreased from 14.61％ to 10.10％ (x2=.084,P=0.043).Conclusion Surgical site infection rate in type Ⅰ incision intracranial operations could be reduced and the antibiotic treatment period would be shortened if rational preventive application of antibiotics during the perioperative period could be applied.