Study on blood pressure rhythm in hypertensive patients withdeficiency syndrome and a random forest model for predicting hypertension withdeficiency syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate blood pressure rhythm (BPR) in Yin deficiency syndrome of hypertension (YDSH) patients and develop a random forest model for predicting YDSH. METHODS: Our study was consistent with technical processes and specification for developing guidelines of Evidence-based Chinese medicine clinical practice (T/CACM 1032-2017). We enrolled 234 patients who had been diagnosed with primary hypertension without antihypertensive medications prior to the enrollment. All participants were divided into Yin deficiency group (YX, n = 74) and non-Yin deficiency group (NYX, n = 160). Participants were professionally grouped by three experienced chief Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) physicians according to four examinations (i.e., inspection, listening and smelling, inquiry and palpation). We collected data on 24 h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) and YDSH rating scale. We divided 24 h of a day into 12 two-hour periods [Chen-Shi (7:00-9:00), Si-Shi (9:00-11:00), Wu-Shi (11:00-13:00), Wei-Shi (13:00-15:00), Shen-Shi (15:00-17:00), You-Shi (17:00-19:00), Xu-Shi (19:00-21:00), Hai-Shi (21:00-23:00), Zi-Shi (23:00-1:00), Chou-Shi (1:00-3:00), Yin-Shi (3:00-5:00), Mao-Shi (5:00-7:00)] according to the theory of "midnight-midday ebb flow". We used random forest to build the diagnostic model of YDSH, with whether it was Yin deficiency syndrome as the outcome. RESULTS: Compared with NYX group, YX group had more female participants with older age, lower waist circumference, body mass index (BMI), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), and smoking and drinking rate (all P ＜ 0.05). The YDSH rating scores of YX group [28.5 (21.0-36.0)] were significantly higher than NYX group [13.0 (8.0-22.0)] (P < 0.001), and the typical symptoms of YX group included vexing heat in the chest, palms and soles, dizziness, dry eyes, string-like and fine pulse, soreness and weakness of lumbus and knees, palpitations, reddened cheeks, and tinnitus (all P < 0.05). The ratio of non-dipper hypertension in YX group was higher than in NYX group (56.9% vs 44.4%, P = 0.004). Compared with NYX group, 24 h DBP standard deviation (SD), nighttime DBP SD, Si-Shi DBP, Si-Shi mean arterial pressure (MAP), Hi-Shi systolic blood pressure (SBP), Hi-Shi DBP, Hi-Shi MAP, Zi-Shi SBP, Zi-Shi DBP, Zi-Shi MAP, Chou-Shi SBP SD, Chou-Shi DBP SD, Chou-Shi SBP coefficient of variation (CV) were lower in YX group (all P ＜ 0.05). Binary Logistic Regression analysis showed that the diagnosis of YDSH was positively correlated with age, heart rate, YDSH rating scores, and four TCM symptoms including vexing heat in the chest, palms and soles, string-like and fine pulse, soreness and weakness of lumbus and knees, and reddened cheeks (all P ＜ 0.05), but was negatively correlated with smoking (P﹥0.05). In addition, the diagnosis of YDSH was positively correlated with daytime SBP SD, nighttime SBP SD, nighttime SBP CV, and Hi-Shi SBP CV, but was negatively correlated with 24 h SBP CV, daytime DBP SD, nighttime DBP SD, and Hi-Shi DBP (all P ＜ 0.05). Hi-Shi SBP CV had independent and positive correlation with the diagnosis of YDSH after adjusting the variables of age, gender, course of hypertension, BMI, waist circumference, SBP, DBP, heart rate, smoking and drinking (P = 0.029). Diagnostic model of YDSH was established and verified based on the random forest. The results showed that the calculation accuracy, specificity and sensitivity were 77.3%, 77.8% and 76.9%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The BPR was significantly attenuated in YDSH patients, including lower 24 h DBP SD and nighttime DBP SD, and Hi-Shi SBP CV is independently correlated with the diagnosis of YDSH. The prediction accuracy of diagnosis model of YDSH based on the random forest was good, which could be valuable for clinicians to differentiate YDSH and non-Yin deficiency patients for more effective hypertensive treatment of TCM.

Consensus on diagnostic criteria for deficiency syndrome in hypertension: a modified Delphi study.

OBJECTIVE: To reach consensus on the diagnostic criteria for deficiency syndrome in hypertension (YDSH) patients by a modified Delphi method. METHODS: Our study was consistent with T/CACM 1032-2017. The methodology of RAND/UCLA appr-opriateness was used to develop consensus guidance statements. A nationwide panel of experienced clinical experts from 19 provinces was constructed. These experts were all prominent in Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) of cardiovascular diseases. This con-sensus process consisted of two rounds of ques-tionnaires and a final round of consultation to analyze the weight score of each item. Moreover, the data extraction process is carried out independently by third-party researchers (LIANG Junya, SUN Yang, and DU Xiaona). When there is disagreement in all three rounds, the expert panel group (odd number) are invited to vote, and the one with more votes wins. In the questionnaires, participants were asked to rate the appropriateness of each syndrome item using a nine-point Likert scale. The consensus was defined as a panel median rating 1-3 or 7-9 without disagreement. And then the diagnostic criteria of YDSH were formed according to the weight score in the final round. RESULTS: Twenty-eight experts (84.8%) participated in the first round, and thirty-one (93.9%) finished the second round. After two rounds, the consensus of YDSH was reached on 11 items (25.6%), including symptoms, signs, and pulse condition. Twenty-one experts (63.6%) com-pleted the final round in which they used a grading system for each item. Red tongue with scanty fur had the highest weighting (22.8%), followed by heat in the palms and soles (20.1%). CONCLUSIONS: The consensus-based diagnostic criteria for YDSH, formed by a modified Delphi method, can be widely incorporated in TCM. A further clinical study will be conducted to analyze the diagnosis value and cut-off score of our YDSH criteria.