Combined polygenic scores for ischemic stroke risk factors aid risk assessment of ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND: Current risk assessment for ischemic stroke (IS) is limited to clinical variables. We hypothesize that polygenic scores (PGS) of IS (PGSIS) and IS-associated diseases such as atrial fibrillation (AF), venous thromboembolism (VTE), coronary artery disease (CAD), hypertension (HTN), and Type 2 diabetes (T2D) may improve the performance of IS risk assessment. METHODS: Incident IS was followed for 479,476 participants in the UK Biobank who did not have an IS diagnosis prior to the recruitment. Lifestyle variables (obesity, smoking and alcohol) at the time of study recruitment, clinical diagnoses of IS-associated diseases, PGSIS, and five PGSs for IS-associated diseases were tested using the Cox proportional-hazards model. Predictive performance was assessed using the C-statistic and net reclassification index (NRI). RESULTS: During a median average 12.5-year follow-up, 8374 subjects were diagnosed with IS. Known clinical variables (age, gender, clinical diagnoses of IS-associated diseases, obesity, and smoking) and PGSIS were all independently associated with IS (P < 0.001). In addition, PGSIS and each PGS for IS-associated diseases was also independently associated with IS (P < 0.001). Compared to the clinical model, a joint clinical/PGS model improved the C-statistic for predicting IS from 0.71 to 0.73 (P < 0.001) and significantly reclassified IS risk (NRI = 0.017, P < 0.001), and 6.48% of subjects were upgraded from low to high risk. CONCLUSIONS: Adding PGSs of IS and IS-associated diseases to known clinical risk factors statistically improved risk assessment for IS, demonstrating the supplementary value of inherited susceptibility measurement . However, its clinical utility is likely limited due to modest improvements in predictive values.

Utility of Polygenic Scores for Differentiating Diabetes Diagnosis Among Patients With Atypical Phenotypes of Diabetes.

CONTEXT: Misclassification of diabetes type occurs in people with atypical presentations of type 1 diabetes (T1D) or type 2 diabetes (T2D). Although current clinical guidelines suggest clinical variables and treatment response as ways to help differentiate diabetes type, they remain insufficient for people with atypical presentations. OBJECTIVE: This work aimed to assess the clinical utility of 2 polygenic scores (PGSs) in differentiating between T1D and T2D. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with diabetes in the UK Biobank were studied (N = 41 787), including 464 (1%) and 15 923 (38%) who met the criteria for classic T1D and T2D, respectively, and 25 400 (61%) atypical diabetes. The validity of 2 published PGSs for T1D (PGST1D) and T2D (PGST2D) in differentiating classic T1D or T2D was assessed using C statistic. The utility of genetic probability for T1D based on PGSs (GenProb-T1D) was evaluated in atypical diabetes patients. RESULTS: The joint performance of PGST1D and PGST2D for differentiating classic T1D or T2D was outstanding (C statistic = 0.91), significantly higher than that of PGST1D alone (0.88) and PGST2D alone (0.70), both P less than .001. Using an optimal cutoff of GenProb-T1D, 23% of patients with atypical diabetes had a higher probability of T1D and its validity was independently supported by clinical presentations that are characteristic of T1D. CONCLUSION: PGST1D and PGST2D can be used to discriminate classic T1D and T2D and have potential clinical utility for differentiating these 2 types of diseases among patients with atypical diabetes.

Cancer-associated thrombosis by cancer sites and inherited factors in a prospective population-based cohort.

Cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) is common and associated with mortality. We estimated CAT rate by cancer sites and inherited factors among cancer patients from the UK Biobank (N =70,406). The 12-month CAT rate after cancer diagnosis was 2.37% overall but varied considerably among cancer sites. Among the 10 cancer sites classified as 'high-risk' of CAT by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines, 6 had CAT rate <5%. In contrast, 5 cancer sites classified as 'average-risk' by the guidelines had CAT rate >5%. For inherited risk factors, both known mutation carriers in two genes (F5/F2) and polygenic score for venous thromboembolism (VTE) (PGSVTE) were independently associated with increased CAT risk. While F5/F2 identified 6% patients with high genetic-risk for CAT, adding PGSVTE identified 13 % patients at equivalent/higher genetic-risk to CAT than that of F5/F2 mutations. Findings from this large prospective study, if confirmed, provide critical data to update guidelines for CAT risk assessment.

Refining Risk for Alzheimer's Disease Among Heterozygous APOEɛ4 Carriers.

In a large population-based cohort, we show not all heterozygous APOEɛ4 carriers are at increased risk for Alzheimer's disease (AD); a significantly higher AD proportion was only found for ɛ3/ɛ4, not ɛ2/ɛ4. Among ɛ3/ɛ4 carriers (24% in the cohort), the AD proportion differed considerably by polygenic risk score (PRS). In particular, the AD proportion was lower than the entire cohort for subjects in the bottom 20-percentile PRS and was higher than that of homozygous ɛ4 carriers for subjects at the top 5th-percentile PRS. Family history was no longer a significant predictor of AD risk after adjusting APOE and PRS.

Association of sickle cell trait with adverse pregnancy outcomes in a population-based cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Sickle cell trait (SCT) is common in African descendants. Its association with several adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) has been reported but remains inconsistent. The objectives of this study are to test associations of SCT with APOs in non-Hispanic Black women, including (1) validate the associations of SCT with previously reported APOs, (2) test novel associations of SCT with broad spectrum of APOs, and (3) estimate the attributable risk of SCT for implicated APOs. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of a prospectively designed population-based cohort. Women/participants were self-reported non-Hispanic Black women from the UK Biobank (UKB). SCT status was determined based on heterozygous Glu6Val in the HBB gene. Several APOs were studied, including four previously reported SCT-associated APOs (preeclampsia, bacteriuria, pregnancy loss, and preterm delivery), and broad conditions related to pregnancy, childbirth, and the puerperium. APOs were curated by experts' peer review and consensus processes. Associations of SCT with APOs were tested by estimating its relative risk and 95% confidence interval (95% CI), adjusting for number of live births and age at first birth. Attributable risk proportion (ARP) and population attributable risk proportion (PARP) of SCT to APOs were estimated. RESULTS: Among the 4057 self-reported non-Hispanic Black women with pregnancy records in the UKB, 581 (14.32%) were SCT carriers. For four previously reported SCT-associated APOs, two were confirmed at a nominal P < 0.05; relative risk (RR) was 2.39 (95% CI 1.09-5.23) for preeclampsia, and 4.85 (95% CI 1.77-13.27) for bacteriuria. SCT contributed substantially to these two APOs among SCT carriers, with attributable risk proportion estimated at 61.00% and 68.96% for preeclampsia and bacteriuria, respectively. SCT also contributed substantially to these two APOs in the population (self-reported Black UK women), with population attributable risk proportion estimated at 18.30% and 24.14% for preeclampsia and bacteriuria, respectively. In addition, novel associations were found for seven other APOs (nominal P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: SCT is significantly associated with APOs in this study and contributes substantially to APOs among self-reported Black women in the UK. Confirmation of these findings in independent study populations is required.

Assessing the performance of genetic risk score for stratifying risk of post-sepsis cardiovascular complications.

Background: Patients with sepsis are at increased risk for cardiovascular complications, including myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic stroke (IS), and venous thromboembolism (VTE). Our objective is to assess whether genetic risk score (GRS) can differentiate risk for these complications. Methods: A population-based prospective cohort of 483,177 subjects, derived from the UK Biobank, was followed for diagnosis of sepsis and its complications (MI, IS, and VTE) after the study recruitment. GRS for each complication was calculated based on established risk-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Time to incident MI, IS, and VTE was compared between subjects with or without sepsis and GRS risk groups using Kaplan-Meier log-rank test and Cox-regression analysis. Results: During an average of 12.6 years of follow-up, 10,757 (2.23%) developed sepsis. Patients with sepsis had an overall higher risk than non-sepsis subjects for each complication, but the risk differed by time after a sepsis diagnosis; exceedingly high in short-term (0-30 days), considerably high in mid-term (31 days to 2 years), and reduced in long-term (>2 years). Furthermore, in White subjects, GRS was a significant predictor of complications, independent of sepsis and other risk factors. For example, GRSMI further differentiated their risk in patients with sepsis; 3.49, 4.73, and 9.03% in those with low- (<0.5), intermediate- (0.5-1.99), high- GRSMI (≥2.0), Ptrend < 0.001. Conclusion: Risk for post-sepsis cardiovascular complications differed considerably by time after a sepsis diagnosis and GRS. These findings, if confirmed in other ancestry-specific populations, may guide personalized management for preventing post-sepsis cardiovascular complications.

Systematic review of reported association studies of monogenic genes and bladder cancer risk and confirmation analysis in a large population cohort.

Objectives: To evaluate which of previously reported monogenic genes are associated with increased bladder cancer risk, we reviewed published papers on associations of genes and bladder cancer risk and performed a confirmation study of these genes in a large population-based cohort. Subjects and methods: A systematic review of published papers prior to June 2022 was performed first to identify all genes where germline mutations were associated with bladder cancer risk. The associations of these candidate genes with bladder cancer risk were then tested among 1695 bladder cancer cases and 186 271 controls in the UK Biobank (UKB). The robust SKAT-O, a gene-based analysis that properly controls for type I error rates due to unbalanced case-control ratio, was used for association tests adjusting for age at recruitment, gender, smoking status, and genetic background. Results: The systematic review identified nine genes that were significantly associated with bladder cancer risk in at least one study (p < 0.05), including MUTYH, MSH2, MSH6, MLH1, ATM, BRCA2, ERCC5, TGFB1 and CHEK2. When pathogenic/likely pathogenic mutations were aggregated within each gene, the association was confirmed for three genes in the UKB at p < 0.0056 (Bonferroni correction for nine tests), including CHEK2, ATM and BRCA2, all also known to be associated with hereditary breast cancer. Suggestive evidence of association was found for two other genes, including MLH1 (p = 0.006) and MSH2 (p = 0.007), both known to be associated with Lynch syndrome. Among these five genes, the bladder cancer risks range from 1.60 (ATM) to 4.88 (MLH1), and mutation carrier rates in cases range from 0.06% (MSH2) to 2.01% (CHEK2). Conclusion: This study provides statistical evidence for association of previously reported genes and bladder cancer risk and has clinical utility for risk assessment and genetic counselling.

Association of rare, recurrent nonsynonymous variants in the germline of prostate cancer patients of African ancestry.

BACKGROUND: Although men of African ancestry (AA) have the highest mortality rate from prostate cancer (PCa), relatively little is known about the germline variants that are associated with PCa risk in AA men. The goal of this study is to systematically evaluate rare, recurrent nonsynonymous variants across the exome for their association with PCa in AA men. METHODS: Whole exome sequencing (WES) of germline DNA in two AA PCa patient cohorts of Johns Hopkins Hospital (N = 960) and Wayne State University (N = 747) was performed. All nonsynonymous variants present in both case cohorts, with a carrier rate between 0.5% and 1%, were identified. Their carrier rates were compared with rates from 8128 African/African American (AFR) control subjects from The Genome Aggregation Database (gnomAD) using Fisher's exact test. Significant variants, defined as false discovery rate (FDR) adjusted p-value ≤ 0.05, were further evaluated in AA PCa cases (N = 132) and controls (N = 1184) from the UK Biobank (UKB). RESULTS: Two variants reached a pre-specified statistical significance level. The first was p.R14Q in GPRC5C (found in 0.47% of PCa cases and 0.01% of population controls); odds ratio (OR) for PCa was 37.46 (95% confidence interval CI 4.68-299.72), pexact = 7.01E-06, FDR-adjusted p-value = 0.05. The second was p.R511Q in IGF1R (found in 0.53% of PCa cases and 0.01% of population controls); OR for PCa was 21.54 (95%CI 4.65-99.76), pexact = 5.51E-06, FDR-adjusted p-value = 0.05. The mean percentage of African ancestry was similar between variant carriers and noncarriers of each variant, p > 0.05. In the UKB AA men, GPRC5C R14Q was 0.76% and 0.08% in cases and controls, respectively, OR for PCa was 9.00 (95%CI 0.56-145.23), pexact = 0.19. However, IGF1R R511Q was not found in cases or controls. CONCLUSIONS: This WES study identified two rare, recurrent nonsynonymous PCa risk-associated variants in AA. Confirmation in additional large populations of AA PCa cases and controls is required.

Reliability of Ancestry-specific Prostate Cancer Genetic Risk Score in Four Racial and Ethnic Populations.

Background: Reliability of prostate cancer (PCa) genetic risk score (GRS), that is, the concordance between its estimated risk and observed risk, is required for genetic testing at the individual level. Reliability data are lacking for non-European racial/ethnic populations, which hinders its clinical use and exacerbates racial disparity. Objective: To calibrate PCa ancestry-specific GRS in four racial/ethnic populations. Design setting and participants: PCa ancestry-specific GRSs, calculated from published risk-associated single-nucleotide polymorphisms in corresponding racial/ethnic populations, were evaluated in men who participated in 23andMe, Inc. genetic testing and consented for research, including 888 086 of European (EUR), 81 109 of Hispanic (HIS), 30 472 of African (AFR), and 13 985 of East Asian (EAS) ancestry, as classified by 23andMe's ancestry composition algorithm. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: The concordance between the observed and estimated PCa risks at ten ancestry-specific GRS deciles was measured primarily by using the calibration slope (ß), where 1 represents a perfect calibration. Platt scaling was used to correct the systematic bias of GRS. Results and limitations: A linear trend of an increased observed PCa prevalence in men with higher ancestry-specific GRS deciles was found in each racial population (all p -trend < 0.001). A calibration analysis revealed a systematic bias of GRS; ß was considerably lower than 1 (0.73, 0.64, 0.66, and 0.75 in EUR, HIS, AFR, and EAS ancestries, respectively). This bias was reduced after the Platt scaling correction: ß for scaled GRS in the testing dataset (40% of individuals) approximated 1 for all groups (0.95, 1.05, 1.02, and 1.01 in EUR, HIS, AFR, and EAS populations, respectively). The generalizability of the Platt correction needs to be validated in independent cohorts. Conclusions: A systematic bias of ancestry-specific GRS in the direction of an overestimated risk for men in the highest decile was found in EUR and non-EUR populations. GRS is well calibrated after correction and is appropriate for genetic testing at the individual level for personalized PCa screening. Patient summary: A corrected genetic risk score is more reliable (supported by the observed prostate cancer [PCa] risk) and appropriate for genetic testing for personalized PCa screening.

Sickle Cell Trait and Risk for Common Diseases: Evidence from the UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: Sickle cell trait is typically considered benign. Although evidence remains inconsistent, recent studies suggest that it is associated with several common diseases. We systematically assessed associations of sickle cell trait with reported diseases in a large population-based cohort. METHODS: Study subjects were self-reported Blacks from the UK Biobank (UKB), a United Kingdom population-based cohort of subjects aged 40-69 years at recruitment in the United Kingdom. Sickle cell status was based on the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) or mutations in the HBB gene. Diagnoses of diseases were obtained from ICD-10 and self-reports. Associations of sickle cell trait and diseases were tested using logistic regression, adjusting for age at recruitment, sex, and genetic background (top 10 principal components). RESULTS: Among the 8019 Blacks in the UKB, 699 (8.72%) were sickle cell trait carriers; the rate was significantly higher in females (9.74%) than males (7.48%), P = .0005. Sickle cell trait was under-diagnosed; most heterozygous hemoglobin subunit beta (HBB) gene Glu6Val carriers did not have a sickle cell trait ICD-10 record. Compared with non-sickle cell trait, sickle cell trait carriers had significantly increased risk for type 2 diabetes; odds ratio 1.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-1.68; P = .002. Sickle cell trait was also significantly associated with increased risk for renal diseases (rhabdomyolysis, end-stage renal disease, chronic kidney disease, renal papillary necrosis) and vascular diseases (hypertension, retinopathy, non-ischemic stroke), P < .05. While most of these diseases are complications/comorbidities of diabetes, their associations with sickle cell trait remained significant after adjusting for diabetes. Association with end-stage renal disease was stronger in subjects without diabetes, odds ratio 6.45; 95% confidence interval, 1.93-19.61; P = .001. CONCLUSIONS: Sickle cell trait is significantly associated with increased risk for diabetes and diabetes-related complications/comorbidities.

Identifying Phased Mutations and Complex Rearrangements in Human Prostate Cancer Cell Lines through Linked-Read Whole-Genome Sequencing.

A limited number of cell lines have fueled the majority of preclinical prostate cancer research, but their genomes remain incompletely characterized. Here, we utilized whole-genome linked-read sequencing for comprehensive characterization of phased mutations and rearrangements in the most commonly used cell lines in prostate cancer research including PC3, LNCaP, DU145, CWR22Rv1, VCaP, LAPC4, MDA-PCa-2b, RWPE-1, and four derivative castrate-resistant (CR) cell lines LNCaP_Abl, LNCaP_C42b, VCaP-CR, and LAPC4-CR. Phasing of mutations allowed determination of "gene-level haplotype" to assess whether genes harbored heterozygous mutations in one or both alleles. Phased structural variant analysis allowed identification of complex rearrangement chains consistent with chromothripsis and chromoplexy. In addition, comparison of parental and derivative CR lines revealed previously known and novel genomic alterations associated with the CR phenotype. IMPLICATIONS: This study therefore comprehensively characterized phased genomic alterations in the commonly used prostate cancer cell lines, providing a useful resource for future prostate cancer research.

Inherited risk assessment and its clinical utility for predicting prostate cancer from diagnostic prostate biopsies.

BACKGROUND: Many studies on prostate cancer (PCa) germline variants have been published in the last 15 years. This review critically assesses their clinical validity and explores their utility in prediction of PCa detection rates from prostate biopsy. METHODS: An integrative review was performed to (1) critically synthesize findings on PCa germline studies from published papers since 2016, including risk-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), polygenic risk score methods such as genetic risk score (GRS), and rare pathogenic mutations (RPMs); (2) exemplify the findings in a large population-based cohort from the UK Biobank (UKB); (3) identify gaps for implementing inherited risk assessment in clinic based on experience from a healthcare system; (4) evaluate available GRS data on their clinical utility in predicting PCa detection rates from prostate biopsies; and (5) describe a prospective germline-based biopsy trial to address existing gaps. RESULTS: SNP-based GRS and RPMs in four genes (HOXB13, BRCA2, ATM, and CHEK2) were significantly and consistently associated with PCa risk in large well-designed studies. In the UKB, positive family history, RPMs in the four implicated genes, and a high GRS (>1.5) identified 8.12%, 1.61%, and 17.38% of men to be at elevated PCa risk, respectively, with hazard ratios of 1.84, 2.74, and 2.39, respectively. Additionally, the performance of GRS for predicting PCa detection rate on prostate biopsy was consistently supported in several retrospective analyses of transrectal ultrasound (TRUS)-biopsy cohorts. Prospective studies evaluating the performance of all three inherited measures in predicting PCa detection rate from contemporary multiparametric MRI (mpMRI)-based biopsy are lacking. A multicenter germline-based biopsy trial to address these gaps is warranted. CONCLUSIONS: The complementary performance of three inherited risk measures in PCa risk stratification is consistently supported. Their clinical utility in predicting PCa detection rate, if confirmed in prospective clinical trials, may improve current decision-making for prostate biopsy.

KLK3 germline mutation I179T complements DNA repair genes for predicting prostate cancer progression.

BACKGROUND: Germline mutations in DNA repair genes and KLK3 have been associated with adverse prostate cancer (PCa) outcomes in separate studies but never jointly. The objective of this study is to simultaneously assess these two types of germline mutations. METHODS: Germline rare pathogenic mutations (RPMs) in 9 commonly tested DNA repair genes and KLK3 variants were tested for their associations with PCa progression in two PCa cohorts: (1) hospital-based PCa patients treated with radical surgery at the Johns Hopkins Hospital (JHH, N = 1943), and (2) population-based PCa patients in the UK Biobank (UKB, N = 10,224). Progression was defined as metastasis and/or PCa-specific death (JHH) and PCa-specific death (UKB). RPMs of DNA repair genes were annotated using the American College of Medical Genetics recommendations. Known KLK3 variants were genotyped. Associations were tested using a logistic regression model adjusting for genetic background (top ten principal components). RESULTS: In the JHH, 3.2% (59/1,843) of patients had RPMs in 9 DNA repair genes; odds ratio (OR, 95% confidence interval) for progression was 2.99 (1.6-5.34), P < 0.001. In comparison, KLK3 I179T mutation was more common; 9.7% (189/1,943) carried the mutation, OR = 1.6 (1.05-2.37), P = 0.02. Similar results were found in the UKB. Both types of mutations remained statistically significant in multivariable analyses. In the combined cohort, compared to patients without any mutations (RPMs-/KLK3-), RPMs-/KLK3+ patients had modestly increased risk for progression [OR = 1.54 (1.15-2.02), P = 0.003], and RPMs+/KLK3+ patients had greatly increased risk for progression [OR = 5.41 (2.04-12.99), P < 0.001]. Importantly, associations of mutations with PCa progression were found in patients with clinically defined low- or intermediate risk for disease progression. CONCLUSIONS: Two different cohorts consistently demonstrate that KLK3 I179T and RPMs of nine commonly tested DNA repair genes are complementary for predicting PCa progression. These results are highly relevant to PCa germline testing and provide critical information for KLK3 I179T to be considered in guidelines.

Germline mutations in high penetrance genes are associated with worse clinical outcomes in patients with non-small cell lung cancer.

Objective: To determine the frequency of pathogenic mutations in high-penetrance genes (HPGs) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and identify whether such mutations are associated with clinicopathologic outcomes. Methods: Patients with NSCLC who had consented to participate in a linked clinical database and biorepository underwent germline DNA sequencing using a next-generation sequencing panel that included cancer-associated HPGs and cancer risk-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). These data were linked to the clinical database to assess for associations between germline variants and clinical phenotype using Fisher's exact test and multivariable logistic and Cox regression. Results: We analyzed 151 patients, among whom 33% carried any pathogenic HPG mutation and 23% had a genetic risk score (GRS) >1.5. Among the patients without any pathogenic mutation, 31% were at cancer stage II or higher, compared with 55% of those with 2 types of HPG mutations (P = .0293); 40% of patients with both types of HPG mutations had cancer recurrence, compared with 21% of patients without both types (P = .0644). In multivariable analysis, the presence of 2 types of HPG mutations was associated with higher cancer stage (odds ratio [OR], 3.32; P = .0228), increased recurrence of primary tumor (OR, 2.93; P = .0527), shorter time to recurrence (hazard ratio [HR], 3.03; P = .0119), and decreased cancer-specific (HR, 3.53; P = .0039) and overall survival (HR, 2.44; P = .0114). Conclusions: The presence of mutations in HPGs is associated with higher cancer stage, increased risk of recurrence, and worse cancer-specific and overall survival in patients with NSCLC. Further large studies are needed to better delineate the role of HPGs in cancer recurrence and the potential benefit of adjuvant treatment in patients harboring such mutations.

Calibration of polygenic risk scores is required prior to clinical implementation: results of three common cancers in UKB.

BACKGROUND: SNP-based polygenic risk scores have recently been adopted in the clinic for risk assessment of some common diseases. Their validity is supported by a consistent trend between their percentile rank and disease risk in populations. However, for clinical use at the individual level, the reliability of score values is necessary considering they are directly used to calculate remaining lifetime risk. OBJECTIVES: We assessed the reliability of polygenic score values to estimate prostate cancer (PCa), breast cancer (BCa) and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk in three incident cohorts from the UK Biobank (n>500 000). METHODS: Cancer-specific Genetic Risk Score (GRS), a well-established population-standardised polygenic risk score, was calculated. RESULTS: A systematic bias was found between estimated risks (GRS values) and observed risks; ß (95% CI) was 0.67 (0.58-0.76), 0.74 (0.65-0.84) and 0.82 (0.75-0.89), respectively, for PCa, BCa and CRC, all significantly lower than 1.00 (perfect calibration), p<0.001. After applying a correction factor derived from a training data set, the ß for corrected GRS values in an independent testing data set were 1.09 (1.05-1.13), 1.00 (0.88-1.12) and 1.08 (0.96-1.21), respectively, for PCa, BCa and CRC. CONCLUSION: Assessing the calibration of polygenic risk scores is necessary and feasible to ensure their reliability prior to clinical implementation.

Genetic Susceptibility for Low Testosterone in Men and Its Implications in Biology and Screening: Data from the UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: Despite strong evidence of heritability, few studies have attempted to unveil the genetic underpinnings of testosterone levels. OBJECTIVE: To identify testosterone-associated loci in a large study and assess their biological and clinical implications. DESIGN SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: The participants were men from the UK Biobank. A two-stage genome-wide association study (GWAS) was first used to identify/validate loci for low testosterone (LowT, <8 nmol/l) in 80% of men (N = 148 902). The cumulative effect of independent LowT risk loci was then evaluated in the remaining 20% of men. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Associations of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with LowT were tested using an additive model. Analyses of the expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) were performed to assess the associations between significant SNPs and expression of nearby genes (within 1 Mbp). A genetic risk score (GRS) was used to assess the cumulative effect of multiple independent SNPs on LowT risk. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: The two-stage GWAS found SNPs in 141 loci of 41 cytobands that were significantly associated with LowT (p < 5 × 10-8), including 94 novel loci from 38 cytobands. An eQTL analysis of these 141 loci revealed significant associations with RNA expression of 155 genes, including previously implicated (SHBG and JMJD1C) and novel (LIN28B, LCMT2, and ZBTB4) genes. Among the 141 loci, 42 were independently associated with LowT after a multivariable analysis. The GRS based on these 42 loci was significantly associated with LowT risk in independent individuals (N = 37 225, p trend = 3.16 × 10-162). The risk ratio for LowT between men in the top and those in the bottom GRS deciles was 4.98-fold. Results are limited in generalizability as only Caucasians were studied. CONCLUSIONS: Identification of the genetic variants associated with LowT may improve our understanding of its etiology and identify high-risk men for LowT screening. PATIENT SUMMARY: We identified 141 new genetic loci that can be incorporated into a genetic risk score that can potentially identify men with low testosterone.

Observed evidence for guideline-recommended genes in predicting prostate cancer risk from a large population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND: Germline testing for prostate cancer (PCa) is now recommended by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network. While multi-gene testing has been proposed, evidence for their association with PCa risk is not well established. METHODS: We tested associations of pathogenic/likely pathogenic mutations in 10 guideline-recommended genes (ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, CHEK2, PALB2, MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, PMS2, and HOXB13) with PCa risk in the UK Biobank, a population-based cohort. Mutations were annotated based on prostate-specific transcripts using the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics standards. Associations were tested in 4399 PCa cases and 85,403 unaffected male controls using logistic regression adjusting for age and genetic background. p < .005 was considered significant based on Bonferroni correction. RESULTS: Among the 10 tested genes, significantly higher mutation carrier rates in PCa cases versus controls were found for four genes at p < .005; HOXB13, BRCA2, ATM, and CHEK2, with odds ratios (95% confidence interval) estimated at 4.96 (3.62-6.69), 3.23 (2.23-4.56), 2.95 (2.01-4.22), 1.94 (1.43-2.58), respectively. No significant association was found between mutation carrier status and age at PCa diagnosis or family history of PCa. Despite the large sample size of this study, statistical power remains limited, especially for genes where pathogenic mutation carrier rates are extremely rare (<0.03%). CONCLUSION: Observed evidence for PCa risk was found for four of the 10 guideline-recommended genes in this large population-based study. Mutations in these four genes can be interpreted with confidence in genetic counseling for PCa risk assessment. Evidence for the remaining six genes needs to be further evaluated in larger studies.

Association of Sickle Cell Trait with Risk and Mortality of COVID-19: Results from the United Kingdom Biobank.

Sickle cell trait (SCT) carriers inherit one copy of the Glu6Val mutation in the hemoglobin gene and is particularly common in Black individuals (5-10%). Considering the roles of hemoglobin in immune responses and the higher risk for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) among Black individuals, we tested whether Black SCT carriers were at increased risk for COVID-19 infection and mortality according to the United Kingdom Biobank. Among Black individuals who were tested for COVID-19, we found similar infection rates among SCT carriers (14/72; 19.7%) and noncarriers (167/791; 21.1%), but higher COVID-19 mortality rates among SCT carriers (4/14; 28.6%) than among noncarriers (21/167; 12.6%) (odds ratio [OR], 3.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.69-11.82; P = 0.12). Notably, SCT carriers with preexisting diabetes had significantly higher COVID-19 mortality (4/4; 100%) than those without diabetes (0/10; 0%; (OR, 90.71; 95% CI, 5.66-infinite; P = 0.0005). These findings suggest that Black SCT carriers with preexisting diabetes are at disproportionally higher risk for COVID-19 mortality. Confirmation by larger studies is warranted.

Association of prostate cancer polygenic risk score with number and laterality of tumor cores in active surveillance patients.

BACKGROUND: Prostate cancer (PCa) is characterized by its tendency to be multifocal. However, few studies have investigated the endogenous factors that explain the multifocal disease. The primary objective of the current study is to test whether inherited PCa risk is associated with multifocal tumors in PCa patients. METHODS: Subjects in this study were PCa patients of European ancestry undergoing active surveillance at Johns Hopkins Hospital (N = 805) and NorthShore University HealthSystem (N = 432). The inherited risk was measured by genetic risk score (GRS), an odds ratio-weighted and population-standardized polygenic risk score based on known risk-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms. PCa multifocality was indirectly measured by the number and laterality of positive tumor cores from a 12-core systematic biopsy. RESULTS: In the combined cohort, 35.7% and 66.3% of patients had ≥2 tumor cores at the initial diagnostic biopsy and on at least one subsequent surveillance biopsy, respectively. For tumor laterality, 7.8% and 47.8% of patients had bilateral tumor cores at diagnostic and surveillance biopsies, respectively. We found, for the first time, that patients with higher numbers of positive cores at diagnostic and surveillance biopsies, respectively, had significantly higher mean GRS values; p = .01 and p = 5.94E-04. Additionally, patients with bilateral tumors at diagnostic and surveillance biopsies, respectively, had significantly higher mean GRS values than those with unilateral tumors; p = .04 and p = .01. In contrast, no association was found between GRS and maximum core length of tumor or tumor grade at diagnostic/surveillance biopsies (all p > .05). Finally, we observed a modest trend that patients with higher GRS quartiles had a higher risk for tumor upgrading on surveillance biopsies. The trend, however, was not statistically significant (p > .05). CONCLUSIONS: The associations of GRS with two measurements of PCa multifocality (core numbers and laterality) provide novel and consistent evidence for the link between inherited PCa risk and multifocal tumors.