Global, regional, national trends of femur fracture and machine learning prediction: Comprehensive findings and questions from global burden of disease 1990-2019.

Background: Femur fracture is a type of fracture with high disability and mortality. There is no comprehensive analysis and prediction of the global distribution of femur fractures, so we conducted this study. Methods: Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and years living with disability (YLDs) of femur fractures (excluding femoral neck) were downloaded from the Global burden of disease database. Trend analysis was performed, and 6 time-series machine learning algorithms were applied to predict the global ASIR, ASPR, and YLDs. Results: ASPR for femur fracture had been increasing in most countries worldwide from 1990 to 2019, with the highest in East Asia (AAPC = 1.25 95%Confidence Interval (1.2, 1.3)) and lowest in Central Latin America (AAPC = -0.74 95%CI (-0.81, -0.67)). However, ASIR showed a significant downward trend worldwide, with East Saharan Africa decreasing the most (AAPC = -4.04 95%CI (-5.56, -2.47)), and East Asia elevating the most (AAPC = 1.11 95%CI (0.87, 1.42)). YLDs were increasing over the world, with East Asia still elevating the most AAPC= (3.9 95%CI (3.85, 3.95)), with the only region of decrease being Eastern Europe (AAPC = -0.28 95%CI (-0.3, -0.26)). Both ASPR and ASIR were higher in women than in men in the >75 year group, whereas YLDs was lower in women than in men in the >60 year group. Globally, the ARIMA model was optimal in the prediction of ASPR, the PROPHET model effected in the prediction of ASIR, and the PROPHET WITH XGBOOST model was the best in the prediction of YLDs. The projections showed increase in both ASPR and YLDs, except for ASIR decreasing by 2030. Conclusions: Our study found a rise in femur fracture ASPR and ASIR from 1990 to 2019 in war conflict areas and East Asia, meanwhile, the YLDs of femur fracture increased in populous countries. In both 1990 and 2019, both ASPR and ASIR were higher in women over 75 years than that in men, but YLDs was higher in men over 60 years than that in women. In 2020-2030, while global femur fracture ASIR might decline, both ASPR and YLDs might rise. The Translational Potential of this article: Femur fracture is a high-energy injury due to direct violence, and in war, conflicting and underdeveloped regions such as East Asia. Accidental injuries may occur due to the rapid development of industry and the frequent traffic accidents. This study suggests that we should focus on elderly women (≥75 years) in the above regions in the future. For older men (>60 years old), more attention should be paid to post-fracture functional rehabilitation and early reintegration into society to reduce the disability rate and lower the socio-economic burden.

Evaluation of diagnostic potential of CD38 in rickets.

BACKGROUND: Rickets occurs in infants and children (aged 2 months to 3 years), compromising their skeletal development and damaging nervous, hematopoietic, immune, and other system functions. This study aimed to explore the significance of CD38 in rickets. METHODS: The microarray dataset GSE22523 was analyzed to obtain differentially expressed genes in rickets patients. A total of 36 rickets patients and healthy controls were recruited for the study, and their blood samples were collected, followed by detecting mRNA levels of CD38 using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR). Moreover, the significance of CD38 in rickets patients was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, while the correlation between CD38 and 25-hydroxy-vitamin D (25OHD)/parathyroid hormone (PTH) was analyzed with Pearson's correlation. RESULTS: Results showed that CD38 mRNA levels and PTH contents were significantly increased in the rickets patients while 25OHD contents were decreased. Correlation analysis indicated that CD38 was positively correlated with PTH and negatively correlated with 25OHD in both serum and plasma samples of rickets patients. Moreover, ROC analysis showed that serum CD38 was 0.9005 (95 % CI: 0.8313-0.9696), and the AUCs of plasma CD38 was 0.7215 (95 % CI: 0.6031-0.8398) in differentiating rickets patients from healthy persons, advocating serum CD38 had better diagnostic value. CONCLUSION: CD38 mRNA levels were upregulated in rickets patients and closely correlated with PTH and 25OHD contents, indicating CD38 might be a diagnostic marker of rickets patients. Further research on the diagnostic utility of CD38 is necessary for the diagnosis and treatment of ricketsin rickets in the future.

Evaluation of phase-adjusted interventions for COVID-19 using an improved SEIR model.

A local COVID-19 outbreak with two community clusters occurred in a large industrial city, Shaoxing, China, in December 2021 after serial interventions were imposed. We aimed to understand the reason by analysing the characteristics of the outbreak and evaluating the effects of phase-adjusted interventions. Publicly available data from 7 December 2021 to 25 January 2022 were collected to analyse the epidemiological characteristics of this outbreak. The incubation period was estimated using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method. A well-fitted extended susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model was used to simulate the impact of different interventions under various combination of scenarios. There were 387 SARS-CoV-2-infected cases identified, and 8.3% of them were initially diagnosed as asymptomatic cases. The estimated incubation period was 5.4 (95% CI 5.2-5.7) days for all patients. Strengthened measures of comprehensive quarantine based on tracing led to less infections and a shorter duration of epidemic. With a same period of incubation, comprehensive quarantine was more effective in containing the transmission than other interventions. Our findings reveal an important role of tracing and comprehensive quarantine in blocking community spread when a cluster occurred. Regions with tense resources can adopt home quarantine as a relatively affordable and low-impact intervention measure compared with centralized quarantine.

Prediction of Oncomelania hupensis distribution in association with climate change using machine learning models.

BACKGROUND: Oncomelania hupensis is the sole intermediate host of Schistosoma japonicum. Its emergence and recurrence pose a constant challenge to the elimination of schistosomiasis in China. It is important to accurately predict the snail distribution for schistosomiasis prevention and control. METHODS: Data describing the distribution of O. hupensis in 2016 was obtained from the Yunnan Institute of Endemic Disease Control and Prevention. Eight machine learning algorithms, including eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), generalized boosting model (GBM), neural network (NN), classification and regression trees (CART), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), and generalized additive model (GAM), were employed to explore the impacts of climatic, geographical, and socioeconomic variables on the distribution of suitable areas for O. hupensis. Predictions of the distribution of suitable areas for O. hupensis were made for various periods (2030s, 2050s, and 2070s) under different climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585). RESULTS: The RF model exhibited the best performance (AUC: 0.991, sensitivity: 0.982, specificity: 0.995, kappa: 0.942) and the CART model performed the worst (AUC: 0.884, sensitivity: 0.922, specificity: 0.943, kappa: 0.829). Based on the RF model, the top six important variables were as follows: Bio15 (precipitation seasonality) (33.6%), average annual precipitation (25.2%), Bio2 (mean diurnal temperature range) (21.7%), Bio19 (precipitation of the coldest quarter) (14.5%), population density (13.5%), and night light index (11.1%). The results demonstrated that the overall suitable habitats for O. hupensis were predominantly distributed in the schistosomiasis-endemic areas located in northwestern Yunnan Province under the current climate situation and were predicted to expand north- and westward due to climate change. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that the prediction of the current distribution of O. hupensis corresponded well with the actual records. Furthermore, our study provided compelling evidence that the geographical distribution of snails was projected to expand toward the north and west of Yunnan Province in the coming decades, indicating that the distribution of snails is driven by climate factors. Our findings will be of great significance for formulating effective strategies for snail control.

Do gut microbiome-targeted therapies improve liver function in cirrhotic patients? A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Microbiome-targeted therapies (MTTs) are considered as promising interventions for cirrhosis, but the impact of gut microbiome modulation on liver function and disease severity has not been fully assessed. We comprehensively evaluated the efficacy of MTTs in patients with liver cirrhosis. METHODS: Data from randomized controlled trials were collected through MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and ClinicalTrial.gov from inception to February 20, 2023. Clinical outcomes were pooled and expressed in terms of risk ratios or mean differences (MD). Additional subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed to validate the robustness of findings. A trial sequential analysis was applied to calculate the required information size and evaluate the credibility of the meta-analysis results. RESULTS: Twenty-one studies with a total of 1699 cirrhotic patients were included for meta-analysis. MTTs were associated with a significant reduction in aspartate aminotransferase (MD, -3.62; 95% CI, -6.59 to -0.65), the risk of hepatic encephalopathy (risk ratio = 0.56, 95% CI: 0.46 to 0.68), model for end-stage liver disease score (MD, -0.90; 95% CI, -1.17 to -0.11), ammonia (MD, -11.86; 95% CI, -16.39 to -7.33), and endotoxin (MD, -0.14; 95% CI, -0.23 to -0.04). The trial sequential analysis yielded reliable results of these outcomes. No effects were observed on the changes of other hepatic function indicators. CONCLUSION: MTTs appeared to be associated with a slowed deterioration in liver cirrhosis, which could provide reference for clinicians in treatment of cirrhotic patients based on their conditions.

Identifying determinants for the seropositive rate of schistosomiasis in Hunan province, China: A multi-scale geographically weighted regression model.

BACKGROUND: Schistosomiasis is of great public health concern with a wide distribution and multiple determinants. Due to the advances in schistosomiasis elimination and the need for precision prevention and control, identifying determinants at a fine scale is urgent and necessary, especially for resource deployment in practice. Our study aimed to identify the determinants for the seropositive rate of schistosomiasis at the village level and to explore their spatial variations in local space. METHODOLOGY: The seropositive rates of schistosomiasis were collected from 1714 villages or communities in Human Province, and six spatial regression models including ordinary least squares (OLS), spatial lag model (SLM), spatial error model (SEM), geographically weighted regression (GWR), robust GWR (RGWR) and multiscale GWR (MGWR) were used to fit the data. PRINCIPAL/FINDINGS: MGWR was the best-fitting model (R2: 0.821, AICc:2727.092). Overall, the nearest distance from the river had the highest mean negative correlation, followed by proportion of households using well water and the annual average daytime surface temperature. The proportions of unmodified toilets showed the highest mean positive correlation, followed by the snail infested area, and the number of cattle. In spatial variability, the regression coefficients for the nearest distance from the river, annual average daytime surface temperature and the proportion of unmodified toilets were significant in all villages or communities and varied little in local space. The other significant determinants differed substantially in local space and had significance ratios ranging from 41% to 70%, including the number of cattle, the snail infested area and the proportion of households using well water. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Our study shows that MGWR was well performed for the spatial variability of schistosomiasis in Hunan province. The spatial variability was different for different determinants. The findings for the determinants for the seropositive rate and mapped variability for some key determinants at the village level can be used for developing precision intervention measure for schistosomiasis control.

Three Gorges Dam: Potential differential drivers and trend in the spatio-temporal evolution of the change in snail density based on a Bayesian spatial-temporal model and 5-year longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: Snail abundance varies spatially and temporally. Few studies have elucidated the different effects of the determinants affecting snail density between upstream and downstream areas of the Three Gorges Dam (TGD). We therefore investigated the differential drivers of changes in snail density in these areas, as well as the spatial-temporal effects of these changes. METHODS: A snail survey was conducted at 200 sites over a 5-year period to monitor dynamic changes in snail abundance within the Yangtze River basin. Data on corresponding variables that might affect snail abundance, such as meteorology, vegetation, terrain and economy, were collected from multiple data sources. A Bayesian spatial-temporal modeling framework was constructed to explore the differential determinants driving the change in snail density and the spatial-temporal effects of the change. RESULTS: Volatility in snail density was unambiguously detected in the downstream area of the TGD, while a small increment in volatility was detected in the upstream area. Regarding the downstream area of the TGD, snail density was positively associated with the average minimum temperature in January of the same year, the annual Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) of the previous year and the second, third and fourth quartile, respectively, of average annual relative humidity of the previous year. Snail density was negatively associated with the average maximum temperature in July of the previous year and annual nighttime light of the previous year. An approximately inverted "U" curve of relative risk was detected among sites with a greater average annual ground surface temperature in the previous year. Regarding the upstream area, snail density was positively associated with NDVI and with the second, third and fourth quartile, respectively, of total precipitation of the previous year. Snail density was negatively associated with slope. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated a rebound in snail density between 2015 and 2019. In particular, temperature, humidity, vegetation and human activity were the main drivers affecting snail abundance in the downstream area of the TGD, while precipitation, slope and vegetation were the main drivers affecting snail abundance in the upstream area. These findings can assist authorities to develop and perform more precise strategies for surveys and control of snail populations.

Good outcomes of elbow arthroscopy-assisted absorbable screw fixation for capitellum fracture of the humerus in children: a case series.

Background: Capitellum fractures are rare coronal fractures of the distal humerus which accounts for 6% of all distal humeral fractures and only 1% of all elbow fractures. The purpose of this study was to investigate the efficacy and complications of arthroscopically assisted reduction and fixation with absorbable screws for capitellar fracture of the humerus in children. Methods: This was a retrospective case series study, which considered four patients (4 elbows), ranging from 10 to 15 years old, who were treated by arthroscopic-assisted percutaneous absorbable screw between 2018 and 2020. The elbow flexion-extension and forearm supination-pronation ranges of motion (ROM) were measured at the preoperative examination and last follow-up examination. Finally, the clinical and radiological results were assessed. Results: The result of operations is satisfactory. The mean follow-up was 3.0 years (range 2-3.8 years). Average range of motion significantly improved from pre- to postoperation, with forearm supination from 60°(50°-60°) to 90°(90°) and pronation improved from 75°(70°-80°) to 90°(90°). The postoperative elbow flexion-extension range of motion was significantly higher compared with range of motion before surgery (P < 0.001; r = 0.949). At the final follow-up examination, the Mayo Elbow Performance Score was excellent. Satisfactory clinical results were achieved in all patients, and no postoperative complications were observed. Conclusions: It is an effective and safe surgical option to use arthroscopic-assisted percutaneous absorbable screw fixation for treating capitellum fracture of the humerus without any complications in children. Level of evidence: Level IV; case series.

Three Gorges Dam: the changing trend of snail density in the Yangtze River basin between 1990 and 2019.

BACKGROUND: The area of Oncomelania hupensis snail remains around 3.6 billion m2, with newly emerging and reemergent habitats continuing to appear in recent years. This study aimed to explore the long-term dynamics of snail density before and after the operation of Three Gorges Dam (TGD). METHODS: Data of snail survey between 1990 and 2019 were collected from electronic databases and national schistosomiasis surveillance. Meta-analysis was conducted to estimate the snail density. Joinpoint model was used to identify the changing trend and inflection point. Inverse distance weighted interpolation (IDW) was used to determine the spatial distribution of recent snail density. RESULTS: A total of 3777 snail survey sites with a precise location of village or beach were identified. For the downstream area, snail density peaked in 1998 (1.635/0.11 m2, 95% CI: 1.220, 2.189) and fluctuated at a relatively high level before 2003, then declined steadily from 2003 to 2012. Snail density maintained lower than 0.150/0.11 m2 between 2012 and 2019. Joinpoint model identified the inflection of 2003, and a significant decreasing trend from 2003 to 2012 with an annual percentage change (APC) being - 20.56% (95% CI: - 24.15, - 16.80). For the upstream area, snail density peaked in 2005 (0.760/0.11 m2, 95% CI: 0.479, 1.207) and was generally greater than 0.300/0.11 m2 before 2005. Snail density was generally lower than 0.150/0.11 m2 after 2011. Snail density showed a significant decreasing trend from 1990 to 2019 with an APC being - 6.05% (95% CI: - 7.97, - 7.09), and no inflection was identified. IDW showed the areas with a high snail density existed in Poyang Lake, Dongting Lake, Jianghan Plain, and the Anhui branch of the Yangtze River between 2015 and 2019. CONCLUSIONS: Snail density exhibited a fluctuating downward trend in the Yangtze River basin. In the downstream area, the operation of TGD accelerated the decline of snail density during the first decade period, then snail density fluctuated at a relatively low level. There still exists local areas with a high snail density. Long-term control and monitoring of snails need to be insisted on and strengthened.

Global Distribution of Culex tritaeniorhynchus and Impact Factors.

Culex tritaeniorhynchus is the primary vector of Japanese encephalitis (JE) and has a wide global distribution. However, the current and future geographic distribution maps of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus in global are still incomplete. Our study aims to predict the potential distribution of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus in current and future conditions to provide a guideline for the formation and implementation of vector control strategies all over the world. We collected and screened the information on the occurrence of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus by searching the literature and online databases and used ten algorithms to investigate its global distribution and impact factors. Cx. tritaeniorhynchus had been detected in 41 countries from 5 continents. The final ensemble model (TSS = 0.864 and AUC = 0.982) indicated that human footprint was the most important factor for the occurrence of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus. The tropics and subtropics, including southeastern Asia, Central Africa, southeastern North America and eastern South America, showed high habitat suitability for Cx. tritaeniorhynchus. Cx. tritaeniorhynchus is predicted to have a wider distribution in all the continents, especially in Western Europe and South America in the future under two extreme emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5 and SSP1-2.6). Targeted strategies for the control and prevention of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus should be further strengthened.

Prediction of the Risk Distributions for Anopheles sinensis, a Vector for Malaria in Shanghai, China.

Malaria is a parasitic disease caused by Plasmodium, and Anopheles sinensis is a vector of malaria. Although malaria is no longer indigenous to China, a high risk remains for local transmission of imported malaria. This study aimed to identify the risk distribution of vector An. sinensis and malaria transmission. Using data collected from routine monitoring in Shanghai from 2010 to 2020, online databases for An. sinensis and malaria, and environmental variables including climate, geography, vegetation, and hosts, we constructed 10 algorithms and developed ensemble models. The ensemble models combining multiple algorithms (An. sinensis: area under the curve [AUC] = 0.981, kappa = 0.920; malaria: AUC = 0.959, kappa = 0.800), with the best out-of-sample performance, were used to identify important environmental predictors for the risk distributions of An. sinensis and malaria transmission. For An. sinensis, the most important predictor in the ensemble model was moisture index, which reflected degree of wetness; the risk of An. sinensis decreased with higher degrees of wetness. For malaria transmission, the most important predictor in the ensemble model was the normalized differential vegetation index, which reflected vegetation cover; the risk of malaria transmission decreased with more vegetation cover. Risk levels for An. sinensis and malaria transmission for each district of Shanghai were presented; however, there was a mismatch between the risk classification maps of An. sinensis and malaria transmission. Facing the challenge of malaria transmission in Shanghai, in addition to precise An. sinensis monitoring in risk areas of malaria transmission, malaria surveillance should occur even in low-risk areas for An. sinensis.

Life expectancy and healthy life expectancy of patients with advanced schistosomiasis in Hunan Province, China.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have investigated the change in life expectancy (LE) and the healthy lifespan among patients with advanced schistosomiasis. This study was to evaluate the LE and healthy life expectancy (HLE) for patients and assess the mechanism responsible for the LE inequality. METHODS: We utilized data from a dynamic advanced schistosomiasis cohort (10,362 patients) for the period from January 2008 to December 2019 in Hunan Province, China, to calculate the LEs of patients, and made a comparison with that of general population (19,642 schistosomiasis-free individuals) in the schistosomiasis endemic areas. LEs were estimated from 15 years of age by constructing period life tables. Arriaga's decomposition method was applied to quantify the influence of the age structure on the difference in LE. HLE for advanced schistosomiasis patients was calculated by using Sullivan method with age-specific disability weight. The LE and HLE were calculated for both males and females to perform further analyses on gender gap. RESULTS: The estimated LE for advanced schistosomiasis patients aged 15-19 was 49.51 years (48.86 years for males and 51.07 years for females), which was 20.14 years lower compared with general population (69.65 years), and the LE gap between patients and general population decreased with age. The largest age-specific mortality contribution to the gap (32.06%) occurred at age 80-84 years. Women had a lower LE and HLE than men at age ≥ 60 years (both gender gaps in LE and HLE < 0). For advanced schistosomiasis patients, the gender gap in LE was largely attributed to the difference in mortality among those under the age of 55; the age-specific mortality in women exerted positive influence on the gap at age 25-64 and 75-79 years, with the contribution rate ranging from 0.59% to 57.02%, and made the negative contribution at other age groups. CONCLUSIONS: The LE of advanced schistosomiasis patients was still much lower compared with general population. Strengthened prevention strategies and targeted treatments are needed to reduce morbidity and mortality due to advanced schistosomiasis, especially for younger population and elderly female patients.

Changing trend of sickness absenteeism among students during 2010-2017 academic years and its correlation with the incidence of acute infectious diseases in Jiading District，Shanghai / 中国学校卫生

Objective@#To describe the sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Jiading District and to analyze its correlation with the incidence of infectious diseases and associated lead or lag times, so as,to provide a scientific basis for the health and education departments to take measures.@*Methods@#The regularity and symptom composition of school sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Jiading District from the 2010-2017 were described. The Joinpoint model was applied to analyze the changing trend of absenteeism. And the rate of school sickness absenteeism and incidences of 7 acute infectious diseases were compared through visual analysis. The time lagged correlation coefficients and Granger causality tests were applied to quantitatively analyze the correlation and lead/lag patterns.@*Results@#The average rate of school sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Jiading District, Shanghai was 0.27%. Since the 2012 academic year, the overall rate of sickness absenteeism has been on the rise. Fever was the most common symptom of absenteeism (47.49%). The trend of sickness absenteeism rate was mainly consistent with the incidence of influenza, and showed a one way Granger causality. The maximum time lagged correlation coefficient was obtained in the second semester of the 2017 academic year with a value of 0.43 (95% CI =0.25-0.58). The maximum time lagged correlation coefficient between the rate of sickness absenteeism with fever and other respiratory symptoms and the incidence of influenza was also obtained in the second semester of the 2017 academic year and the maximum correlation coefficient was 0.50(95% CI =0.33-0.65).@*Conclusion@#The sickness absenteeism rate in primary and secondary school students is correlated to influenza incidence, and it has potential application value in supplementing early warning of influenza activities in the community.

Environmental Determinants for Snail Density in Dongting Lake Region: An Ecological Study Incorporating Spatial Regression.

This study explored the environmental determinants of different months on snail density measured in April at different types of snail habitats (marshlands, inner embankments, and hills) by considering spatial effects. Data were gathered from surveys on snails that were conducted in Hunan Province in April 2016, and information was collected on environmental variables. To investigate the environmental factors influencing snail density in various types of snail habitats, the ordinary least square model, spatial lag model, and spatial error model were all used. The environmental determinants for snail density showed different effects in the three types of snail habitats. In marshlands, snail density measured in April was associated positively with the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and was associated negatively with flooding duration and annual hours of sunshine. Extreme temperatures correlated strongly to snail density measured in April (P < 0.05). In areas inside embankments, snail density measured in April increased with a decreased distance between snail habitat and the nearest river (P < 0.05). In hills, extreme heat, annual hours of sunshine, NDVI in September, and annual average land surface temperature (LST) were associated negatively with snail density measured in April, whereas index of moisture (IM) was associated positively with snail density measured in April (P < 0.05). The effects of LST and hours of sunshine on snail density measured in April varied with months of the year in the three different types of snail habitats (P < 0.05). Our study might provide a theoretical foundation for preventing snail transmission and subsequent spread of schistosomiasis.

Gut microbiome-targeted therapies in liver cirrhosis: a protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Microbiome-targeted therapies (MTTs), including probiotics, prebiotics, synbiotics, and fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT), have been proposed as a potential treatment for cirrhosis via modulation of gut microbiome, while the impact of gut microflora alteration on liver function in cirrhosis trajectory is unclear, and no related systematic review has been published. We aim to comprehensively assess the effects of MTTs in patients with liver cirrhosis. METHODS: We will search databases of MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) with no time restriction. Only randomized controlled trials published in English will be included. Two independent reviewers will be responsible for study identification and selection, data extraction, and risk of bias assessment, with discrepancies resolved by consensus or referral to a third author. Heterogeneity of studies will be examined using Cochrane Q-test and I2 statistics. The data will be pooled using either a fixed- or random-effects model based on I2 statistics. The results will be presented as risk ratios (RR) or mean differences (MD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). We will perform subgroup analysis on the type of MTTs and assess the reporting biases. Sensitivity analysis will be conducted to test the stability of each outcome result. DISCUSSION: There is no current study about the role of MTTs in developing the liver function, and the therapeutic effects of MTTs are inconsistent. By investigating the liver-specific indicators when treating with multiple MTTs on course of cirrhosis, our findings will give more conclusive and stronger evidence about the efficacy of MTTs and provide new insight into the action mechanisms of these MTTs. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42021253198.

Comparison of arthroscopic internal drainage and open excision for the treatment of popliteal cysts.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to introduce the arthroscopic internal drainage with anterior-anteromedial approach for the treatment of popliteal cysts in children. To compare its clinical efficacy with open surgery. METHODS: This was a retrospective case-control study of 102 patients diagnosed with popliteal cysts from January 2018 to February 2020 who received surgery. The study included 27 cases with minimally invasive group (MI group) and 75 cases with open surgery group (OS group). The MI group included 21 males and 6 females, age 6.71 ± 2.16 years who received arthroscopic internal drainage of the cysts to adequately widen the valve opening between the cyst and the articular cavity, excised the fibrous diaphragm without complete excision of the cyst wall. The OS group included 57 males and 18 females, age 6.21 ± 1.67 years who received open excision. The clinical parameters regarding the preoperative characteristics and surgical results were compared. Ultrasound or MRI was used to identify the recurrence of the popliteal cysts. Rauschning-Lindgren grade was recorded to evaluate the clinical outcome. RESULTS: All patients were followed up for at least 24 months. There were no significant differences between the two groups in age, gender, left and right sides, disease time, cyst size, length of hospitalization, preoperative Rauschning-Lindgren grade (p > 0.05). At the last follow-up, the preoperative and postoperative Rauschning-Lindgren grade was improved in both groups. Compared with the OS group, operation time was significantly shortened in the MI group (28.89 ± 4.51 min vs 52.96 ± 29.72 min, p < 0.05). The MI group was superior to the OS group in terms of blood loss and plaster fixation, with statistical significance (p < 0.05). There was obvious difference in recurrence rate between the two groups (0% vs 17.33%, p = 0.018). No postoperative complications occurred during the follow-up period. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with open excision, the treatment of popliteal cyst in children by arthroscopic internal drainage to expand the articular cavity and eliminate the "one-way valve" mechanism between the cyst and the articular cavity exhibits better clinical outcomes and significantly reduces the recurrence rate, which is worthy of further clinical promotion.

Effects of prophylactic antibiotic administration and antibiotic timing on culture results and clinical outcomes of paediatric musculoskeletal infection: a protocol for a randomised controlled clinical trial.

INTRODUCTION: Musculoskeletal infection (MSI) is a common cause of morbidity among the paediatric population. Some clinicians recommend withholding prophylactic antibiotics until culture collection with an aim to improve the culture sensitivity. However, a recent retrospective study reported that prophylactic antibiotic administration did not affect culture sensitivities in either disseminated or local MSI in paediatric population, which is surprising. The aim of the present study is to investigate the effects of prophylactic antibiotic administration and the timing of antibiotic administration on culture sensitivity and clinical outcomes of paediatric MSI. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A randomised controlled clinical trial will be carried out. Individuals aged 0-18 years with a diagnosis of MSI will be screened and evaluated at the Shenzhen Children's Hospital. The participants will be randomly allocated into four groups, and they will receive the antibiotic treatment at different time points, that is, 1 week, 3 days, 1 day prior to tissue culture collection and 1 day after tissue culture collection, respectively. The primary outcome will be culture sensitivity. In addition, the disease-related markers including white blood cell count, C reactive protein, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, vital signs as well as the length of hospital stay will be measured or recorded accordingly. Using χ2 tests, the rates of positive cultures will be compared between different groups. Statistical comparisons between the different patient groups regarding the confounding and outcome variables will be conducted using independent t-tests, Mann-Whitney U tests, χ2 tests and Fisher's exact tests as appropriate with the significance level set to 5% (p<0.05). ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study has received ethical approval. The findings will be disseminated both in scientific conferences and peer-reviewed journal. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ChiCTR2100041631.

Association of Daily Exposure to Air Pollutants with the Risk of Tuberculosis in Xuhui District of Shanghai, China.

Previous studies have suggested that air pollutant exposure is related to tuberculosis (TB) risk, but results have not been consistent. This study evaluated the relation between daily air pollutant exposure and TB incidence in Shanghai from 2014 to 2019. Overall, there were four pollutants that were positively related to the risk of new TB cases. After a 5 µg/m3 increase, the maximum lag-specific and cumulative relative risk (RR) of SO2 were 1.081, (95% CI: 1.035-1.129, lag: 3 days) and 1.616 (95% CI: 1.119-2.333, lag: 0-13 days), while for NO2, they were 1.061 (95% CI: 1.015-1.11, lag: 4 days) and 1.8 (95% CI: 1.113-2.91, lag: 0-15 days). As for PM2.5, with a 50 µg/m3 increase, the lag-specific and cumulative RR were 1.064 (95% CI: 1-1.132, lag: 6 days) and 3.101 (95% CI: 1.096-8.777, lag: 0-21 days), while for CO, the lag-specific RR was 1.03 (95% CI: 1.005-1.057, lag: 8 days) and the cumulative RR was 1.436 (95% CI: 1.004-2.053, lag: 0-16 days) with a 100 µg/m3 increase. The associations tended to be stronger in male and elderly patients and differed with seasons. Air pollutant exposure may be a risk factor for TB incidence.

Diagnosis of Schistosoma infection in non-human animal hosts: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Reliable and field-applicable diagnosis of schistosome infections in non-human animals is important for surveillance, control, and verification of interruption of human schistosomiasis transmission. This study aimed to summarize uses of available diagnostic techniques through a systematic review and meta-analysis. METHODOLOGY AND PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We systematically searched the literature and reports comparing two or more diagnostic tests in non-human animals for schistosome infection. Out of 4,909 articles and reports screened, 19 met our inclusion criteria, four of which were considered in the meta-analysis. A total of 14 techniques (parasitologic, immunologic, and molecular) and nine types of non-human animals were involved in the studies. Notably, four studies compared parasitologic tests (miracidium hatching test (MHT), Kato-Katz (KK), the Danish Bilharziasis Laboratory technique (DBL), and formalin-ethyl acetate sedimentation-digestion (FEA-SD)) with quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR), and sensitivity estimates (using qPCR as the reference) were extracted and included in the meta-analyses, showing significant heterogeneity across studies and animal hosts. The pooled estimate of sensitivity was 0.21 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.03-0.48) with FEA-SD showing highest sensitivity (0.89, 95% CI: 0.65-1.00). CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Our findings suggest that the parasitologic technique FEA-SD and the molecular technique qPCR are the most promising techniques for schistosome diagnosis in non-human animal hosts. Future studies are needed for validation and standardization of the techniques for real-world field applications.

Loss of correction in cubitus varus deformity after osteotomy.

ABSTRACT: We aimed to investigate the rate of loss of correction and the factors thereof in pediatric patients undergoing osteotomy for treatment of cubitus varus deformity.Between July 2008 and July 2017, we treated 30 patients who underwent osteotomy for cubital varus. We compared the preoperative and postoperative clinical and imaging findings, including the H-Cobb and Baumman angles, in all patients. Postoperative evaluation was performed by telephonic interviews.Our patients consisted of 17 males and 13 females. The mean age was 75 months. At the first follow-up, approximately 80% of patients had experienced a loss of correction of the humerus-cobb angle (H-Cobb angle); at the second follow-up, the incidence was 83%. Meanwhile, 57% and 43% of patients experienced a loss of correction of the Baumman angle at the first and second follow-ups, respectively. The average interval between the first and second follow-ups was 24 days, and the mean loss in the H-Cobb angle was 2.4°. There was a significant difference between the H-Cobb angles as measured before and after surgery (P < .05). There was no significant difference between the H-Cobb angles of the affected side and the contralateral healthy elbow at the third postoperative follow-up; however, there was a significant difference between the Baumman angle between before and after surgery (P < .05). The Baumman angles as measured at the second and third postoperative follow-ups differed significantly from those of the contralateral healthy elbow joint. According to the survival curve analysis, the median survival times of the H-Cobb and Baumman angles were 27 and 34 months, respectively.The postoperative loss of the 2 angles occurred mainly during the first and second follow-up periods. Therefore, patient follow-up is particularly important in the period directly following the operation. Additional measures may be necessary to avoid rapid angle loss.