Short-term predictors of stereotactic radiosurgery outcome for untreated single non-small cell lung cancer brain metastases: a restrospective cohort study.

Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is an option for brain metastases (BM) not eligible for surgical resection, however, predictors of SRS outcomes are poorly known. The aim of this study is to investigate predictors of SRS outcome in patients with BM secondary to non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The secondary objective is to analyze the value of volumetric criteria in identifying BM progression. This retrospective cohort study included patients >18 years of age with a single untreated BM secondary to NSCLC. Demographic, clinical, and radiological data were assessed. The primary outcome was treatment failure, defined as a BM volumetric increase 12 months after SRS. The unidimensional measurement of the BM at follow-up was also assessed. One hundred thirty-five patients were included, with a median BM volume at baseline of 1.1 cm3 (IQR 0.4-2.3). Fifty-two (38.5%) patients had SRS failure at follow-up. Only right BM laterality was associated with SRS failure (p=0.039). Using the volumetric definition of SRS failure, the unidimensional criteria demonstrated a sensibility of 60.78% (46.11%-74.16%), specificity of 89.02% (80.18%-94.86%), positive LR of 5.54 (2.88-10.66) and negative LR of 0.44 (0.31-0.63). SRS demonstrated a 61.5% local control rate 12 months after treatment. Among the potential predictors of treatment outcome analyzed, only the right BM laterality had a significant association with SRS failure. The volumetric criteria were able to identify more subtle signs of BM increase than the unidimensional criteria, which may allow earlier diagnosis of disease progression and use of appropriate therapies.

Predictors of Survival After Stereotactic Radiosurgery for Untreated Single Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Brain Metastases: 5- and 10-year Results.

BACKGROUND: Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) presents as a good treatment option for smaller, deep-seated brain metastases (BMs). This study aims to determine predictors of SRS failure for patients with non-small cell lung cancer BMs. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of single non-small cell lung cancer BMs treated using SRS. We included patients >18 years with a single, previously untreated lesion. Primary outcome was treatment failure, defined as BMs dimension increase above the initial values. Demographic, clinical, and radiological data were collected to study potential predictors of treatment failure. RESULTS: Worse rates of progression-free survival (PFS) were associated with heterogeneous contrast enhancement (18.1 ± 4.1 vs. 41.9 ± 4 months; P < 0.001). Better rates of PFS were associated with volumes <1.06 cm3 (log-rank; P = 0.001). Graded prognostic assessment was significantly associated with survival at 120 months (log-rank; P < 0.001). Karnofsky Performance Scale was evaluated in 3 strata: 90-100, 80, and ≤70. Mean survival rates for these strata were 31.8 ± 3.9, 10.6 ± 2.2, and 9.8 ± 2.3 months, respectively (log-rank; P < 0.001). There were no differences regarding presence of extracranial metastases, age, or lesion location. A multivariable logistic regression found that volume <1.06 cm3 was associated with higher survival rates at 10 years (odds ratio: 3.2, 95% confidence interval: 1.3-8.0). CONCLUSIONS: Contrast-homogeneous metastases and lesions <1.06 cm3 are associated with better rates of PFS. Karnofsky Performance Scale and graded prognostic assessment were associated with more favorable survival rates after 10 years. Volume <1.06 cm3 was the only significant predictor of survival in the multivariable analysis.