COVID-19: Technology-Supported Remote Assessment of Pediatric Asthma at Home.

The COVID-19 crisis has pressured hospital-based care for children with high-risk asthma as they have become deprived of regular clinical evaluations. However, COVID-19 also provided important lessons about implementing novel directions for care. Personalized eHealth technology, tailored to the individual and the healthcare system, could substitute elements of hospital care and facilitate early and appropriate medical anticipation in response to imminent loss of control. This perspective article discusses new approaches to the clinical, organizational, and scientific aspects of the use of eHealth technology in pediatric asthma care in times of COVID-19, as illustrated by a case report of an acute asthma exacerbation possibly caused by COVID-19 infection.

[Assessment instruments in frail older patients; a call for more standardisation]. / Meetinstrumenten bij kwetsbare ouderen: een pleidooi voor meer standaardisatie.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the frequency and background of the use of assessment instruments for the Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment by clinical geriatricians and internists in geriatric medicine; the secondary aim was to make an inventory of the willingness to standardise the assessment instruments used. DESIGN: A descriptive questionnaire study. METHOD: In December 2016, we sent out a digital questionnaire (Survey Monkey) to all the hospitals in the Netherlands. Respondents were asked which instruments they used for specific domains of the Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment, what their choice of instruments was based on, if these instruments had added value, and if they were prepared to change the instruments they used. RESULTS: We received 66 responses (response: 82%). The most frequently-used instruments were: Mini Mental State Examination in combination with the clock drawing test (21%), Geriatric Depression Scale-15 (45%), Katz Index of Independence in Activities of Daily Living-6 (75%), Lawton and Brody (48%), Mini Nutritional Assessment(-short form) (outpatient; 56%) and Short Nutritional Assessment Questionnaire (inpatient: 36%), Experienced Burden Informal Care (46%), Charlson Comorbidity Index (35%), Timed Up and Go (76%), and the Safety Management System (VMS) fall risk question (21%). The most frequently used instruments were used in a large number of hospitals (35-97%).The variation of tests was the greatest in the domains of cognition, malnutrition, and mobility/physical functioning. Many respondents saw the added value of a consensus set of instruments (median: 70%; interquartile range (IQR): 50-86), and most were willing to change the instruments they use (median: 80%; IQR: 65-90). CONCLUSION: This inventory shows that the instruments used in most domains were reasonably uniform. Taking the willingness to change into account, a national set of basis instruments seems to be an achievable aim.

Care trajectories of chronically ill older adult patients discharged from hospital: a quantitative cross-sectional study using health insurance claims data.

BACKGROUND: For older adults, a good transition from hospital to the primary or long-term care setting can decrease readmissions. This paper presents the 6-month post-discharge healthcare utilization of older adults and describes the numbers of readmissions and deaths for the most frequently occurring aftercare arrangements as a starting point in optimizing the post-discharge healthcare organization. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included older adults insured with the largest Dutch insurance company. We described the utilization of healthcare within 180 days after discharge from their first hospital admission of 2015 and the most frequently occurring combinations of aftercare in the form of geriatric rehabilitation, community nursing, long-term care, and short stay during the first 90 days after discharge. We calculated the proportion of older adults that was readmitted or had died in the 90-180 days after discharge for the six most frequent combinations. We performed all analyses in the total group of older adults and in a sub-group of older adults who had been hospitalized due to a hip fracture. RESULTS: A total of 31.7% of all older adults and 11.4% of the older adults with a hip fracture did not receive aftercare. Almost half of all older adults received care of a community nurse, whereas less than 5% received long-term home care. Up to 18% received care in a nursing home during the 6 months after discharge. Readmissions were lowest for older adults with a short stay and highest in the group geriatric rehabilitation + community nursing. Mortality was lowest in the total group of older aldults and subgroup with hip fracture without aftercare. CONCLUSIONS: The organization of post-discharge healthcare for older adults may not be organized sufficiently to guarantee appropriate care to restore functional activity. Although receiving aftercare is not a clear predictor of readmissions in our study, the results do seem to indicate that older adults receiving community nursing in the first 90 days less often die compared to older adults with other types of aftercare or no aftercare. Future research is necessary to examine predictors of readmissions and mortality in both older adult patients discharged from hospital.

[Factors influencing professional decision making on acute hospital referral in the case of elderly patients with cognitive impairment among general practitioners (GPs) in The Netherlands: a qualitative study]. / Overwegingen van huisartsen bij het verwijzen van ouderen met een cognitieve stoornis naar het ziekenhuis: een kwalitatief onderzoek.

BACKGROUND: Elderly patients with cognitive impairment have a limited life expectancy and are often acutely admitted to the hospital. Hospitalization can negatively affect their quality of life. More knowledge on considerations prior to these referrals is needed to improve care for these patients. AIM: The aim of this research is to describe the aspects that can relate to the process of referring to the hospital in the acute situation by GPs in the case of elderly patients with cognitive impairment. METHOD: Semi-structured interviews with 21 GPs from The Netherlands were conducted and afterwards transcribed verbatim. From these transcripts categories were extracted by using 131 focused codes according to the grounded theory. RESULTS: Twelve categories were constructed. Six categories relate to whether it is desirable to treat or refer. These are the illness itself, the patient's wishes, the condition of the patient, the patient's burden, the possibilities in the hospital, and the vision of the GP. Six categories relate to the options available to the GP. These include medical options, care options, available time and information, the support available to the GP, and referrals without involvement of the GP. CONCLUSION: The referral of elderly patients with cognitive impairment is a complex process that is influenced by different types of factors. With these findings, specialists in hospitals, GPs, and policy makers can improve the quality of care for this group.

Variability of Delirium Motor Subtype Scale-Defined Delirium Motor Subtypes in Elderly Adults with Hip Fracture: A Longitudinal Study.

OBJECTIVES: To examine changes in motor subtype profile in individuals with delirium. DESIGN: Observational, longitudinal study; substudy of a multicenter, randomized controlled trial. SETTING: Departments of surgery and orthopedics, Academic Medical Center and Tergooi Hospital, the Netherlands. PARTICIPANTS: Elderly adults acutely admitted for hip fracture surgery who developed delirium according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition, for 2 days or longer (n = 76, aged 86.4 ± 6.1, 68.4% female). MEASUREMENTS: Delirium Motor Subtype Scale (DMSS), Delirium Rating Scale R98 (DRS-R98), comorbidity, and function. RESULTS: Median delirium duration was 3 days (interquartile range 2.0 days). At first assessment, the hyperactive motor subtype was most common (44.7%), followed by hypoactive motor subtype (28.9%), mixed motor subtype (19.7%), and no motor subtype (6.6%). Participants with no motor subtype had lower DRS-R98 scores than those with the other subtypes (P < .001). The DMSS-defined motor subtype of 47 (61.8%) participants changed over time. Katz Index of Activities of Daily Living, Charlson Comorbidity Index, cognitive impairment, age, sex, and delirium duration or severity were not associated with change in motor subtype. CONCLUSION: Motor subtype profile was variable in the majority of participants, although changes that occurred were often related to changes from or to no motor subtype, suggesting evolving or resolving delirium. Changes appeared not be associated with demographic or clinical characteristics, suggesting that evidence from cross-sectional studies of motor subtypes could be applied to many individuals with delirium. Further longitudinal studies should be performed to clarify the stability of motor subtypes in different clinical populations.

Preoperative CSF Melatonin Concentrations and the Occurrence of Delirium in Older Hip Fracture Patients: A Preliminary Study.

BACKGROUND: Delirium is characterized by disturbances in circadian rhythm. Melatonin regulates our circadian rhythm. Our aim was to compare preoperative cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) melatonin levels in patients with and without postoperative delirium. METHODS: Prospective cohort study with hip fracture patients ≥ 65 years who were acutely admitted to the hospital for surgical treatment and received spinal anaesthesia. CSF was collected after cannulation, before administering anaesthetics. Melatonin was measured by radioimmunoassay (RIA). Data on delirium was obtained from medical and nursing records. Nurses screened every shift for delirium using the Delirium Observation Screening Scale (DOSS). If the DOSS was ≥3, a psychiatrist was consulted to diagnose possible delirium using the DSM-IV criteria. At admission, demographic data, medical history, and information on functional and cognitive status was obtained. RESULTS: Seventy-six patients met the inclusion criteria. Sixty patients were included in the analysis. Main reasons for exclusion were technical difficulties, insufficient CSF or exogenous melatonin use. Thirteen patients (21.7%) experienced delirium during hospitalisation. Baseline characteristics did not differ between patients with and without postoperative delirium. In patients with and without postoperative delirium melatonin levels were 12.88 pg/ml (SD 6.3) and 11.72 pg/ml (SD 4.5) respectively, p-value 0.47. No differences between patients with and without delirium were found in mean melatonin levels in analyses stratified for cognitive impairment or age. CONCLUSION: Preoperative CSF melatonin levels did not differ between patients with and without postoperative delirium. This suggests that, if disturbances in melatonin secretion occur, these might occur after surgery due to postoperative inflammation.

[Implementation and (cost-)effectiveness of case management for people with dementia and their informal caregivers: results of the COMPAS study]. / Implementatie en (kosten-)effectiviteit van casemanagement voor mensen met dementie en hun mantelzorgers: resultaten van de COMPAS-studie.

BACKGROUND: Different forms of case management for dementia have emerged over the past few years. In the COMPAS study (Collaborative dementia care for patients and caregivers study), two prominent Dutch case management forms were studied: the linkage and the integrated care form. AIM OF STUDY: Evaluation of the (cost)effectiveness of two dementia case management forms compared to usual care as well as factors that facilitated or impeded their implementation. METHODS: A mixed methods design with a) a prospective, observational controlled cohort study with 2 years follow-up among 521 dyads of people with dementia and their primary informal caregiver with and without case management; b) interviews with 22 stakeholders on facilitating and impeding factors of the implementation and continuity of the two case management models. Outcome measures were severity and frequency of behavioural problems (NPI) for the person with dementia and mental health complaints (GHQ-12) for the informal caregiver, total met and unmet care needs (CANE) and quality adjusted life years (QALYs). RESULTS: Outcomes showed a better quality of life of informal caregivers in the integrated model compared to the linkage model. Caregivers in the control group reported more care needs than those in both case management groups. The independence of the case management provider in the integrated model facilitated the implementation, while the rivalry between multiple providers in the linkage model impeded the implementation. The costs of care were lower in the linkage model (minus 22 %) and integrated care model (minus 33 %) compared to the control group. CONCLUSION: The integrated care form was (very) cost-effective in comparison with the linkage form or no case management. The integrated care form is easy to implement.

Physiological melatonin levels in healthy older people: A systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: Melatonin plays a major role in maintaining circadian rhythm. Previous studies showed that its secretion pattern and levels could be disturbed in persons with dementia, psychiatric disorders, sleep disorders or with cancer. Also ageing is a factor that could alter melatonin levels, although previous research provides contradicting results. As melatonin supplementation is increasingly applied in older persons as sleep medication, it is important to know if melatonin levels decrease in healthy ageing and/or secretion patterns change. The objective of this study is to determine physiological levels and secretion patterns of melatonin in healthy older people. METHODS: We performed a systematic review and searched PubMed and Embase for studies published between January 1st 1980 and October 5th 2015 that measured melatonin in healthy persons aged ≥65years. RESULTS: Nineteen studies were retrieved. The number of participants ranged from 5 to 60 per study. Melatonin was mostly measured by radioimmunoassay (RIA) and the number of measurements per 24hours varied from 1 to 96. Sixteen studies showed a secretion pattern with a clear peak concentration, mostly at 0200h or 0300h. Maximum concentrations varied greatly from 11.2 to 91.3pgml(-1). Maximum melatonin level in studies with participants mean aged 65-70years was 49.3pgml(-1) and in studies with participants mean aged ≥75years 27.8pgml(-1), p-value <0.001. CONCLUSION: Total melatonin production in 24hours seems not to change in healthy ageing, but the maximal nocturnal peak concentration of melatonin might decline. It is important to take this into account when prescribing melatonin supplementation to older people.

Psychometric evaluation of the DMSS-4 in a cohort of elderly post-operative hip fracture patients with delirium.

BACKGROUND: Delirium is a common neuropsychiatric syndrome with considerable heterogeneity in clinical profile. Rapid reliable identification of clinical subtypes can allow for more targeted research efforts. METHODS: We explored the concordance in attribution of motor subtypes between the Delirium Motor Subtyping Scale 4 (DMSS-4) and the original Delirium Motor Subtyping Scale (DMSS) (assessed cross-sectionally) and subtypes defined longitudinally using the Delirium Symptom Interview (DSI). RESULTS: We included 113 elderly patients developing DSM-IV delirium after hip-surgery [mean age 86.9 ± 6.6 years; range 65-102; 68.1% females; 25 (22.1%) had no previous history of cognitive impairment]. Concordance for the first measurement was high for both the DMSS-4 and original DMSS (k = 0.82), and overall for the DMSS-4 and DSI (k = 0.84). The DMSS-4 also demonstrated high internal consistency (McDonald's omega = 0.90). The DSI more often allocated an assessment to "no subtype" compared to the DMSS-4 and DMSS-11, which showed higher inclusion rates for motor subtypes. CONCLUSIONS: The DMSS-4 provides a rapid method of identifying motor-defined clinical subtypes of delirium and appears to be a reliable alternative to the more detailed and time-consuming original DMSS and DSI methods of subtype attribution. The DMSS-4, so far translated into three languages, can be readily applied to further studies of causation, treatment and outcome in delirium.

[Manifestations of polymialgia rheumatica in elderly]. / Presentaties van polymyalgia rheumatica bij oudere patienten.

In particular in (very) old patients other comorbidities may cover symptoms evoked by polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR). By describing three different patients we show that the diagnosis PMR should be considered in the elderly when symptoms are atypical for those belonging to the comorbidity. PMR is an invalidating disease that rapidly reacts to prednisone. Doctors delay results in a later start with adequate treatment. Side effects of pain medication and loss of mobility can be prevented by starting early with adequate treatment.

Outcomes Associated With the Nationwide Introduction of Rapid Response Systems in The Netherlands.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the effect of implementation of a rapid response system on the composite endpoint of cardiopulmonary arrest, unplanned ICU admission, or death. DESIGN: Pragmatic prospective Dutch multicenter before-after trial, Cost and Outcomes analysis of Medical Emergency Teams trial. SETTING: Twelve hospitals participated, each including two surgical and two nonsurgical wards between April 2009 and November 2011. The Modified Early Warning Score and Situation-Background-Assessment-Recommendation instruments were implemented over 7 months. The rapid response team was then implemented during the following 17 months. The effects of implementing the rapid response team were measured in the last 5 months of this period. PATIENTS: All patients 18 years old and older admitted to the study wards were included. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: In total, 166,569 patients were included in the study representing 1,031,172 hospital admission days. No differences were observed in patient demographics between periods. The composite endpoint of cardiopulmonary arrest, unplanned ICU admission, or death per 1,000 admissions was significantly reduced in the rapid response team versus the before phase (adjusted odds ratio, 0.847; 95% CI, 0.725-0.989; p = 0.036). Cardiopulmonary arrests and in-hospital mortality were also significantly reduced (odds ratio, 0.607; 95% CI, 0.393-0.937; p = 0.018 and odds ratio, 0.802; 95% CI, 0.644-1.0; p = 0.05, respectively). Unplanned ICU admissions showed a declining trend (odds ratio, 0.878; 95% CI, 0.755-1.021; p = 0.092), whereas severity of illness at the moment of ICU admission was not different between periods. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, introduction of nationwide implementation of rapid response systems was associated with a decrease in the composite endpoint of cardiopulmonary arrests, unplanned ICU admissions, and mortality in patients in general hospital wards. These findings support the implementation of rapid response systems in hospitals to reduce severe adverse events.

[Predictive value of the VMS theme 'Frail elderly': delirium, falling and mortality in elderly hospital patients]. / Voorspellende waarde VMS-thema 'Kwetsbare ouderen': delirium, valincidenten en overlijden bij oudere ziekenhuispatiënten.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the predictive value of safety management system (VMS) screening questions for falling, delirium, and mortality, as punt down in the VMS theme 'Frail elderly'. DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. METHOD: We selected all patients ≥ 70 years who were admitted to non-ICU wards at the Deventer Hospital, the Netherlands, for at least 24 hours between 28 March 2011 and 10 June 2011. On admission, patients were screened with the VMS instrument by a researcher. Delirium and falls were recorded during hospitalisation. Six months after hospitalisation, data on mortality were collected. RESULTS: We included 688 patients with a median age of 78.7 (range: 70.0-97.1); 50.7% was male. The sensitivity of the screening for delirium risk was 82%, the specificity 62%. The sensitivity of the screening for risk of falling was 63%, the specificity 65%. Independent predictors for mortality within 6 months were delirium risk (odds ratio (OR): 2.3; 95% CI 1.1-3.2), malnutrition (OR: 2.1; 95% CI 1.3-3.5), admission to a non-surgical ward (OR: 3.0; 95% CI 1.8-5.1), and older age (OR: 1.1; 95%CI 1.0-1.1). Patients classified by the VMS theme 'Frail elderly' as having more risk factors had a higher risk of dying (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The VMS screening for delirium is a reasonably reliable instrument for identifying those elderly people with a high risk of developing this condition; the VMS sensitivity for fall risk is moderate. The number of positive VMS risk factors correlates with mortality and may therefore be regarded as a measure of frailty.

[Revised practice guidelines 'Delirium in adults and the elderly']. / Herziene richtlijn 'Delier volwassenen en ouderen'.

A multidisciplinary workgroup has revised the 2004 practice guidelines on 'Delirium' on the initiative of the Dutch Geriatrics Society. In comparison with the previous version, the new guidelines place more emphasis on screening and non-pharmaceutical prevention and treatment. They recommend a degree of restraint when prescribing medication. Both the patient's and the caregiver's perspectives are discussed. The guidelines also focus on delirium in patients in a nursing home setting, and describe what the workgroup regards as optimal care for patients suffering from delirium. The revised guidelines consider the diagnosis and treatment of delirium as a part of basic medical care and primarily the responsibility of the attending physician. The workgroup advises consulting an expert in the field of delirium only in cases of lack of experience, and for complex cases. The guidelines also include recommendations for the organization of follow-up care for the delirium patient.

SSRIs increase risk of blood transfusion in patients admitted for hip surgery.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have shown that an increased bleeding tendency can be caused by Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitors (SSRI) use. We aimed to investigate the occurrence and risk of blood transfusion in SSRI users compared to non-SSRI users in a cohort of patients admitted for hip-surgery. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients who underwent planned or emergency hip surgery from 1996 to 2011 in the Academic Medical Center in Amsterdam. Primary outcome measure was risk of blood transfusion. Secondary outcome measures were pre- and postoperative hemoglobin level. Multivariate logistic regression was used to adjust for potential confounders. RESULTS: One-hundred and fourteen SSRI users were compared to 1773 non-SSRI users. Risk of blood transfusion during admission was increased for SSRI users in multivariate analyses (OR 1.7 [95% CI 1.1-2.5]). Also, pre-operative hemoglobin levels were lower in SSRI users (7.8 ± 1.0 mmol/L) compared to non-SSRI users (8.0 ± 1.0 mmol/L) (p  =  0.042)), as were postoperative hemoglobin levels (6.2 ± 1.0 mmol/L vs. 6.4 ± 1.0 mmol/L respectively) (p  =  0.017)). CONCLUSIONS: SSRI users undergoing hip surgery have an increased risk for blood transfusion during admission, potentially explained by a lower hemoglobin level before surgery. SSRI use should be considered as a potential risk indicator for increased blood loss in patients admitted for hip surgery. These results need to be confirmed in a prospective study.

An analytical framework for delirium research in palliative care settings: integrated epidemiologic, clinician-researcher, and knowledge user perspectives.

CONTEXT: Delirium often presents difficult management challenges in the context of goals of care in palliative care settings. OBJECTIVES: The aim was to formulate an analytical framework for further research on delirium in palliative care settings, prioritize the associated research questions, discuss the inherent methodological challenges associated with relevant studies, and outline the next steps in a program of delirium research. METHODS: We combined multidisciplinary input from delirium researchers and knowledge users at an international delirium study planning meeting, relevant literature searches, focused input of epidemiologic expertise, and a meeting participant and coauthor survey to formulate a conceptual research framework and prioritize research questions. RESULTS: Our proposed framework incorporates three main groups of research questions: the first was predominantly epidemiologic, such as delirium occurrence rates, risk factor evaluation, screening, and diagnosis; the second covers pragmatic management questions; and the third relates to the development of predictive models for delirium outcomes. Based on aggregated survey responses to each research question or domain, the combined modal ratings of "very" or "extremely" important confirmed their priority. CONCLUSION: Using an analytical framework to represent the full clinical care pathway of delirium in palliative care settings, we identified multiple knowledge gaps in relation to the occurrence rates, assessment, management, and outcome prediction of delirium in this population. The knowledge synthesis generated from adequately powered, multicenter studies to answer the framework's research questions will inform decision making and policy development regarding delirium detection and management and thus help to achieve better outcomes for patients in palliative care settings.

Association between acute geriatric syndromes and medication-related hospital admissions.

BACKGROUND: Elderly patients are at a 4-fold higher risk of adverse drug events (ADEs) and drug-related hospitalization. Hospitalization of an elderly patient is often preceded by geriatric syndromes, like falls or delirium. OBJECTIVES: The primary aim of this study was to investigate whether geriatric syndromes were associated with ADEs in acutely admitted elderly patients. METHODS: Consecutive medical patients, aged 65 years or more, who were acutely admitted, were enrolled. An initial multidisciplinary evaluation was completed and baseline characteristics were collected. A fall before admission was retrieved from medical charts. Delirium was determined by the Confusion Assessment Method. RESULTS: A total of 641 patients were included. Over 25% had an ADE present at admission, 26% presented with delirium and 12% with a fall. Delirium was associated with the use of antidepressants, antipsychotics and antiepileptics. In all ADEs (n = 167), ADEs were associated with a fall, with non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs or diuretics, but not with pre-existing functioning, delirium or older age. For ADEs involving psychoactive medication (n = 35), an association was found between delirium, falls, opioids and antipsychotics in bivariate analyses. A fall just before hospitalization (odds ratio [OR] 3.69 [95% CI 1.41, 9.67]), antipsychotics (OR 3.70 [95% CI 1.19, 11.60]) and opioids (OR 14.57 [95% CI 2.02, 105.30]) remained independently associated with an ADE involving psychoactive medication. CONCLUSION: This prospective study demonstrated that, in a cohort of elderly hospital patients, a fall before admission and prevalent delirium are associated with several pharmacological groups and/or with ADE-related hospital admission.

Rest-activity patterns in patients with delirium.

OBJECTIVE: Delirium is a frequent syndrome in elderly hospital patients. Symptoms typically show a fluctuating course during the day, with patients exhibiting disturbances of their sleep-wake rhythm. Delirium is frequently underdiagnosed, especially the so-called hypoactive subtype. Devices measuring 24-hr motor patterns could contribute to the recognition of delirium. The purpose of this paper is two-fold. First, the results of a pilot study are presented, in which 24-hr motor patterns of delirious patients are measured with a wrist-actigraph. Second, studies reporting 24-hr motor patterns in delirious patients are systematically reviewed. METHODS: The pilot study included 9 patients, 65 years or older, with a hip fracture in need of surgical repair. For the review, MEDLINE and Embase were searched for studies on motor activity assessment in delirious patients. RESULTS: In the pilot study, the 24-hr activity rhythm was severely disturbed during delirium, and most actigraphic sleep parameter estimates indicated significantly worse sleep during delirious nights. The systematic search resulted in 10 papers. In 3 papers, the sleep-wake rhythm of delirious patients was significantly different from that of nondelirious patients. In 5 papers, delirious patients could be classified into delirium subtypes. In the 2 remaining papers, 24-hr motor patterns of delirium subtypes were not significantly different. CONCLUSION: Activity patterns revealed differences between delirious and nondelirious patients and between the different subtypes, even in small samples of patients. Future studies, with preferably larger sample sizes, should confirm the potential of activity pattern measuring devices in the early detection of delirium.

Characterizing predictive models of mortality for older adults and their validation for use in clinical practice.

OBJECTIVES: To systematically identify and characterize prognostic models of mortality for older adults, their reported potential use, and the actual level of their (external) validity. DESIGN: The Scopus database until January 2010 was searched for articles that developed and validated new models or validated existing prognostic models of mortality or survival in older adults. SETTING: All domains of health care. PARTICIPANTS: Adults aged 50 and older. MEASUREMENTS: Study and model characteristics were summarized, including the model's development method and degree of validation, data types used, and outcomes. RESULTS: One hundred three articles describing 193 models in 10 domains and mostly originating from the United States were included. These domains were mostly secondary or tertiary care settings (54%) such as intensive care (7%) or geriatric units (8%). Half of the studies (50%) were not disease specific. Heart failure-related diseases (9%) and pneumonia (9%) constituted the major disease-specific subgroups. Most studies (67%) reported support of clinical individual (treatment) decisions as use of prognostic models, but only 34% were externally validated, and only four models (2%) were validated in more than two studies. Most studies (68%) developed at least one new model, but they did not often go beyond addressing their apparent validation (49%). CONCLUSION: Although prognostic models are regularly developed to support clinical individual decisions and could be useful for this purpose, their use is premature. Because clinical credibility and evidence of external validity build trust in prognostic models, both require much more consideration to enhance model acceptance in the future.