Long-Term Oncological Outcomes of Papillary Thyroid Cancer and Follicular Thyroid Cancer in Children: A Nationwide Population-Based Study.

Introduction: Pediatric thyroid carcinoma is a rare malignancy and data on long-term oncological outcomes are sparse. The aim of this study was to describe the long-term oncological outcomes of pediatric papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC) in a national cohort, and to identify risk factors for recurrence. Methods: We conducted a nationwide, retrospective cohort study, in which we combined two national databases. Patients aged <18 years, diagnosed with PTC or FTC in the Netherlands between 2000 and 2016, were included. pT-stage, pN-stage, multifocality and angioinvasion were included in a Cox-regression analysis for the identification of risk factors for recurrence. Results: 133 patients were included: 110 with PTC and 23 with FTC. Patients with PTC most often presented with pT2 tumors (24%) and pN1b (45%). During a median follow-up of 11.3 years, 21 patients with PTC developed a recurrence (19%). Nineteen recurrences were regional (91%) and 2 were pulmonary (9%). No risk factors for recurrence could be determined. One patient who developed pulmonary recurrence died two years later. Cause of death was not captured. Patients with FTC most often presented with pT2 tumors (57%). One patient presented with pN1b (4%). In 70%, no lymph nodes were collected. None of the patients with FTC developed a recurrence or died. Conclusion: Pediatric PTC and FTC are two distinct diseases. Recurrence in pediatric PTC is common, but in FTC it is not. Survival for both pediatric PTC and FTC is very good.

Complications After Thyroidectomy in Children: Lymph Node Dissection Is a Risk Factor for Permanent Hypocalcemia.

Background: Thyroidectomy is a treatment option in some benign thyroid disorders and the definitive treatment option for thyroid cancer. As postoperative mortality is extremely rare data on postoperative complications and long-term health consequences are important. Objective: To evaluate the frequencies of short- and long-term complications, and their risk factors in pediatric patients (0-18 years) who underwent a thyroidectomy in a tertiary children's hospital. Methods: A retrospective single center study was performed including all pediatric patients who underwent a thyroidectomy between January 2013 and February 2020. Results: Forty-eight patients were included in this study (mean age 14.6 years). Twenty-nine total thyroidectomies and 19 hemithyroidectomies were conducted. Thyroid carcinoma was the indication to perform a thyroidectomy in 12 patients, 36 patients underwent a thyroidectomy because of a benign thyroid disorder. Postoperative hypocalcemia was evaluated in patients who underwent a total thyroidectomy. Rapidly resolved hypocalcemia was observed in three patients (10.3%), transient hypocalcemia in 10 patients (34.5%) and permanent hypocalcemia in six patients (20.7%). Permanent hypocalcemia was only seen in patients who underwent a thyroidectomy combined with additional lymph node dissection because of thyroid carcinoma [thyroid carcinoma: OR 43.73, 95% CI (2.11-904.95); lymph node dissection: OR 76.14, 95% CI (3.49-458.98)]. Transient and permanent recurrent laryngeal nerve injury was reported in four (8.3%) and one (2.1%) of all patients, respectively. Conclusion: Permanent postoperative complications after thyroidectomy are rare in pediatric patients undergoing a thyroidectomy without lymph node dissection. However, in this age group permanent hypocalcemia occurs more frequently after thyroidectomy with additional lymph node dissection because of thyroid cancer. With respect to quality of life, especially of pediatric thyroid cancer patients, reducing this complication is an important goal.

The first steps in the evaluation of a "black-box" decision support tool: a protocol and feasibility study for the evaluation of Watson for Oncology.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Medical specialists aim to provide evidence-based care based on the most recent scientific insights, but with the ongoing expansion of medical literature it seems unfeasible to remain updated. "Black-box" decision support tools such as Watson for Oncology (Watson) are gaining attention as they offer a promising opportunity to conquer this challenging issue, but it is not known if the advice given is congruent with guidelines or clinically valid in other settings. We present a protocol for the content evaluation of black-box decision support tools and a feasibility study to test the content and usability of Watson using this protocol. METHODS: The protocol consists of developing synthetic patient cases based on Dutch guidelines and expert opinion, entering the synthetic cases into Watson and Oncoguide, noting the response of each system and evaluating the result using a cross-tabulation scoring system resulting in a score range of -12 to +12. Treatment options that were not recommended according to the Dutch guideline were labeled with a "red flag" if Watson recommended it, and an "orange flag" if Watson suggested it for consideration. To test the feasibility of applying the protocol, we developed synthetic patient cases for the adjuvant treatment of stage I to stage III colon cancer based on relevant patient, clinical and tumor characteristics and followed our protocol. Additionally, for the feasibility study we also compared the recommendations from the NCCN guideline with Watson's advice, and evaluated usability by a cognitive walkthrough method. RESULTS: In total, we developed 190 synthetic patient cases (stage I: n=8; stage II: n=110; and stage III: n=72). Overall concordance scores per case for Watson versus Oncoguide ranged from a minimum score of -4 (n=6) to a maximum score of+12 (n=17) and from -4 (n=9) to +12 (n=24) for Watson versus the NCCN guidelines). In total, 69 cases (36%) were labeled with red flags, 96 cases (51%) with orange flags and 25 cases (13%) without flags. For the comparison of Watson with the NCCN guidelines, no red or orange flags were identified. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a research protocol for the evaluation of a black-box decision support tool, which proved useful and usable in testing the content and usability of Watson. Overall concordance scores ranged considerably between synthetic cases for both comparisons between Watson versus Oncoguide and Watson versus NCCN. Non-concordance is partially attributable to guideline differences between the United States and The Netherlands. This implies that further adjustments and localization are required before implementation of Watson outside the United States. RELEVANCE FOR PATIENTS: This study describes the first steps of content evaluation of a decision support tool before implementation in daily oncological patient care. The ultimate goal of the incorporation of decision support tools in daily practice is to improve personalized medicine and quality of care.