Targeting AFP-RARß complex formation: a potential strategy for treating AFP-positive hepatocellular carcinoma.

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a glycoprotein primarily expressed during embryogenesis, with declining levels postnatally. Elevated AFP levels correlate with pathological conditions such as liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Recent investigations underscore AFP's intracellular role in HCC progression, wherein it forms complexes with proteins like Phosphatase and tensin homolog (PTEN), Caspase 3 (CASP3), and Retinoic acid receptors and Retinoid X receptors (RAR/RXR). RAR and RXR regulate gene expression linked to cell death and tumorigenesis in normal physiology. AFP impedes RAR/RXR dimerization, nuclear translocation, and function, promoting gene expression favoring cancer progression in HCC that provoked us to target AFP as a drug candidate. Despite extensive studies, inhibitors targeting AFP to disrupt complex formation and activities remain scarce. In this study, employing protein-protein docking, amino acid residues involved in AFP-RARß interaction were identified, guiding the definition of AFP's active site for potential inhibitor screening. Currently, kinase inhibitors play a significant role in cancer treatment and, the present study explores the potential of repurposing FDA-approved protein kinase inhibitors to target AFP. Molecular docking with kinase inhibitors revealed Lapatinib as a candidate drug of the AFP-RARß complex. Molecular dynamics simulations and binding energy calculations, employing Mechanic/Poisson-Boltzmann Surface Area (MM-PBSA), confirmed Lapatinib's stability with AFP. The study suggests Lapatinib's potential in disrupting the AFP-RARß complex, providing a promising avenue for treating molecularly stratified AFP-positive HCC or its early stages.

Lasso-Cox interpretable model of AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: In AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma patients, markers for predicting tumor progression or prognosis are limited. Therefore, our objective is to establish an optimal predicet model for this subset of patients, utilizing interpretable methods to enhance the accuracy of HCC prognosis prediction. METHODS: We recruited a total of 508 AFP-negative HCC patients in this study, modeling with randomly divided training set and validated with validation set. At the same time, 86 patients treated in different time periods were used as internal validation. After comparing the cox model with the random forest model based on Lasso regression, we have chosen the former to build our model. This model has been interpreted with SHAP values and validated using ROC, DCA. Additionally, we have reconfirmed the model's effectiveness by employing an internal validation set of independent periods. Subsequently, we have established a risk stratification system. RESULTS: The AUC values of the Lasso-Cox model at 1, 2, and 3 years were 0.807, 0.846, and 0.803, and the AUC values of the Lasso-RSF model at 1, 2, and 3 years were 0.783, 0.829, and 0.776. Lasso-Cox model was finally used to predict the prognosis of AFP-negative HCC patients in this study. And BCLC stage, gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), diameter of tumor, lung metastases (LM), albumin (ALB), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and the number of tumors were included in the model. The validation set and the separate internal validation set both indicate that the model is stable and accurate. Using risk factors to establish risk stratification, we observed that the survival time of the low-risk group, the middle-risk group, and the high-risk group decreased gradually, with significant differences among the three groups. CONCLUSION: The Lasso-Cox model based on AFP-negative HCC showed good predictive performance for liver cancer. SHAP explained the model for further clinical application.

Disruption of TGF-ß signaling pathway is required to mediate effective killing of hepatocellular carcinoma by human iPSC-derived NK cells.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of primary liver cancer. Transforming growth factor beta (TGF-ß) is highly expressed in the liver tumor microenvironment and is known to inhibit immune cell activity. Here, we used human induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) to produce natural killer (NK) cells engineered to mediate improved anti-HCC activity. Specifically, we produced iPSC-NK cells with either knockout TGF-ß receptor 2 (TGFBR2-KO) or expression of a dominant negative (DN) form of the TGF-ß receptor 2 (TGFBR2-DN) combined with chimeric antigen receptors (CARs) that target either GPC3 or AFP. The TGFBR2-KO and TGFBR2-DN iPSC-NK cells are resistant to TGF-ß inhibition and improved anti-HCC activity. However, expression of anti-HCC CARs on iPSC-NK cells did not lead to effective anti-HCC activity unless there was also inhibition of TGF-ß activity. Our findings demonstrate that TGF-ß signaling blockade is required for effective NK cell function against HCC and potentially other malignancies that express high levels of TGF-ß.

Interleukin-41: a novel serum marker for the diagnosis of alpha-fetoprotein-negative hepatocellular carcinoma.

Background: For the lack of effective serum markers for hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC) diagnosis, it is difficult to detect liver cancer and identify its recurrence early. Methods: Databases were used to analyze the genes potentially associated with alpha-fetoprotein(AFP). ELISA assay was used to detect the serum IL-41 in HCC, liver metastases, hepatitis, and healthy people. Immunohistochemical staining was used to analyze the relative quantification of IL-41 in HCC and paracancer tissues. Various survival curves were plotted according to clinical pathological data and helped us draw the ROC curve of IL-41 diagnosis of HCC. Results: The serum expression of IL-41 was highest in AFP negative HCC patients and significantly higher than that in AFP positive HCC and metastatic cancer patients. There was a significant negative correlation between elevated serum IL-41 and AFP(<1500ng/ml). The clinicopathological features suggested that the serum IL-41 level was significantly correlated with capsule invasion, low differentiation and AFP. High serum expression of IL-41 suggests poorer survival and earlier recurrence after resection, and IL-41 upregulated in patients with early recurrence and death. The expression of IL-41 was higher in HCC tissues of patients with multiple tumors or microvascular invasion. The ROC curve showed that serum IL-41 had a sensitivity of 90.17 for HCC and a sensitivity of 96.63 for AFP-negative HCC, while the specificity was higher than 61%. Conclusion: IL-41 in serum and tissue suggests poor prognosis and postoperative recurrence in HCC patients and could be a new serum diagnostic marker for AFP negative patients.

The U-Box E3 Ubiquitin Ligase PUB35 Negatively Regulates ABA Signaling through AFP1-mediated Degradation of ABI5.

Abscisic acid (ABA) signaling is crucial for plant responses to various abiotic stresses. The Arabidopsis (Arabidopsis thaliana) transcription factor ABA INSENSITIVE 5 (ABI5) is a central regulator of ABA signaling. ABI5 BINDING PROTEIN 1 (AFP1) interacts with ABI5 and facilitates its 26S-proteasome-mediated degradation, although the detailed mechanism has remained unclear. Here, we report that an ABA-responsive U-box E3 ubiquitin ligase, PLANT U-BOX 35 (PUB35), physically interacts with AFP1 and ABI5. PUB35 directly ubiquitinated ABI5 in a bacterially reconstituted ubiquitination system and promoted ABI5 protein degradation in vivo. ABI5 degradation was enhanced by AFP1 in response to ABA treatment. Phosphorylation of the T201 and T206 residues in ABI5 disrupted the ABI5-AFP1 interaction and affected the ABI5-PUB35 interaction and PUB35-mediated degradation of ABI5 in vivo. Genetic analysis of seed germination and seedling growth showed that pub35 mutants were hypersensitive to ABA as well as to salinity and osmotic stresses, whereas PUB35 overexpression lines were hyposensitive. Moreover, abi5 was epistatic to pub35, whereas the pub35-2 afp1-1 double mutant showed a similar ABA response to the two single mutants. Together, our results reveal a PUB35-AFP1 module involved in fine-tuning ABA signaling through ubiquitination and 26S-proteasome-mediated degradation of ABI5 during seed germination and seedling growth.

Anti-BIRC5 autoantibody serves as a valuable biomarker for diagnosing AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma.

Background: Autoantibodies targeting tumor-associated antigens (TAAbs) have emerged as promising biomarkers for early cancer detection. This research aimed to assess the diagnostic capacity of anti-BIRC5 autoantibody in detecting AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (ANHCC). Methods: This research was carried out in three stages (discovery phase, validation phase, and evaluation phase) and included a total of 744 participants. Firstly, the anti-BIRC5 autoantibody was discovered using protein microarray, exhibiting a higher positive rate in ANHCC samples (ANHCCs) compared to normal control samples (NCs). Secondly, the anti-BIRC5 autoantibody was validated through enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) in 85 ANHCCs and 85 NCs from two clinical centers (Zhengzhou and Nanchang). Lastly, the diagnostic usefulness of the anti-BIRC5 autoantibody for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was evaluated by ELISA in a cohort consisting of an additional 149 AFP-positive hepatocellular carcinoma samples (APHCCs), 95 ANHCCs and 244 NCs. The association of elevated autoantibody to high expression of BIRC5 in HCC was further explored by the database from prognosis, immune infiltration, DNA methylation, and gene mutation level. Results: In the validation phase, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of anti-BIRC5 autoantibody to distinguish ANHCCs from NCs in Zhengzhou and Nanchang centers was 0.733 and 0.745, respectively. In the evaluation phase, the AUCs of anti-BIRC5 autoantibody for identifying ANHCCs and HCCs from NCs were 0.738 and 0.726, respectively. Furthermore, when combined with AFP, the AUC for identifying HCCs from NCs increased to 0.914 with a sensitivity of 77.5% and specificity of 91.8%. High expression of BIRC5 gene is not only correlated with poor prognosis of HCCs, but also significantly associated with infiltration of immune cells, DNA methylation, and gene mutation. Conclusion: The findings suggest that the anti-BIRC5 autoantibody could serve as a potential biomarker for ANHCC, in addition to its supplementary role alongside AFP in the diagnosis of HCC. Next, we can carry out specific verification and explore the function of anti-BIRC5 autoantibody in the occurrence and development of HCC.

Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer at 5 years of antiviral therapy predict hepatocellular carcinoma and mortality beyond year 5 in chronic hepatitis B patients with cirrhosis.

Whether serum Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) level at year 5 of treatment could predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development and mortality beyond year 5 of entecavir or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) treatment in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with cirrhosis remain unclear. This retrospective study investigated the role of M2BPGi level at year 5 of treatment in predicting HCC and mortality beyond year 5 in CHB patients with cirrhosis. This study analyzed 1385 cirrhotic patients receiving entecavir or TDF treatment. Of them, 899 patients who did not develop HCC within the first 5 years of treatment were enrolled. In the entire cohort, there was no significant difference in the annual incidence of HCC before and after year 5 of entecavir or TDF treatment (P = 0.455). Multivariable Cox analysis identified old age, higher AFP and M2BPGi levels at 5 years of treatment as independent predictors of HCC occurrence beyond year 5. We developed the HCC risk prediction model, AMA, based on age, M2BPGi and AFP levels at 5 years of treatment, with the total score ranging from 0 to 8. The AMA model accurately categorized patients into low (≤2), medium (2-5), and high (≥5) risk groups in the development and validation groups (P<0.001) and exhibited good discriminant function in predicting HCC beyond year 5 in cirrhotic patients (AUROC: 0.743 at 5 years). The M2BPGi of 1.0 COI at 5 years of treatment stratified the risk of all-cause and liver-related mortality beyond year 5 (P<0.001). In conclusions, M2BPGi level at 5 years of treatment is a useful marker for predicting HCC development and mortality beyond year 5 of entecavir or TDF therapy in CHB patients with cirrhosis.

Combinational zimberelimab plus lenvatinib and chemotherapy for alpha-fetoprotein elevated, advanced gastric cancer patients (AFPGC): a phase 1 dose-escalation study.

BACKGROUND: Alpha-fetoprotein elevated gastric cancer (AFPGC) got growing interests for its aggressive nature and unfavorable prognosis. Here, a phase 1 dose escalation study was conducted to evaluate safety and efficacy of zimberelimab (GLS-010, anti-PD-1) plus lenvatinib and chemotherapy (XELOX) as the first-line treatment for AFPGC. METHODS: Histologically confirmed HER2-negative, advanced GC patients with elevated serum AFP level (≥ 20 ng/ml) were screened. Using a 3 + 3 dose escalation design, patients were administered varying doses of lenvatinib (12, 16, 20 mg) with GLS-010 and XELOX. The primary endpoints were safety and determination of recommended phase II dose (RP2D). Secondary endpoints included overall response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS) and disease control rate. RESULTS: Nine patients were enrolled with no dose-limiting toxicities observed. Most frequent treatment-related AEs were fatigue (55.6%), hand-foot syndrome (55.6%) and rash (55.6%), and no grade ≥ 4 AEs were reported. All patients exhibited disease control with ORR reaching 33.3%. The median PFS and OS reached 7.67 months (95% CI 4.07-11.27) and 13.17 months (95% CI 2.78-23.56), respectively. Serum AFP level was found correlated with therapeutic responses. Further 16s rRNA sequencing analysis demonstrated altered gut microbiota with elevated abundance of Lachnospiraceae bacterium-GAM79 and Roseburia hominis A2-183. CONCLUSIONS: GLS-010 plus lenvatinib and XELOX demonstrated a manageable safety profile with promising efficacy for AFPGC. With RP2D of lenvatinib determined as 16 mg, further expansion cohort is now ongoing. Translational investigation suggested that serum AFP can be indictive for therapeutic responses and certain microbiota species indicating favorable responses to immunotherapy was elevated after the combinational treatment.

SOS2-AFP2 module regulates seed germination by inducing ABI5 degradation in response to salt stress in Arabidopsis.

Soil salinity pose a significant challenge to global agriculture, threatening crop yields and food security. Understanding the salt tolerance mechanisms of plants is crucial for improving their survival under salt stress. AFP2, a negative regulator of ABA signaling, has been shown to play a crucial role in salt stress tolerance during seed germination. Mutations in AFP2 gene lead to increased sensitivity to salt stress. However, the underline mechanisms by which AFP2 regulates seed germination under salt stress remain elusive. In this study, we identified a protein interaction between AFP2 and SOS2, a Ser/Thr protein kinase known to play a critical role in salt stress response. Using a combination of genetic, biochemical, and physiological approaches, we investigated the role of the SOS2-AFP2 module in regulating seed germination under salt stress. Our findings reveal that SOS2 physically interacts with AFP2 and stabilizes it, leading to the degradation of the ABI5 protein, a negative transcription factor in seed germination under salt stress. This study sheds light on previously unknown connections within salt stress and ABA signaling, paving the way for novel strategies to enhance plant resilience against environmental challenges.

Comprehensive approach to cancer immunotherapy - Simultaneous targeting of myeloid-derived suppressor cells and cancer cells with AFP conjugates.

The immune system plays a pivotal role in combating diseases, including cancer, with monocytes emerging as key regulators of immune response dynamics. This article describes a novel strategy for cancer treatment centered on depleting myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs), to enhance the overall immune response while simultaneously targeting cancer cells directly. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is an oncofetal protein that plays an important role in delivering nutrients to immature monocytes, embryonic, and cancer cells in a targeted manner. AFP can be repurposed, making it a vehicle for delivering toxins, rather than nutrients to kill cancer cells and deplete MDSCs in the tumor microenvironment (TME). Depleting monocytes not only stimulates the immune system but also improves the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), often low in cancer patients. AFP combined with cytotoxic drugs, offers dual benefit-immune stimulation and targeted chemotherapy. Studies in xenograft models demonstrated high efficacy and safety of AFP-toxin conjugates, surpassing conventional targeted chemotherapy. Such conjugates have also been reported to provide superior efficacy and safety in cancer patients compared to chemotherapy. This approach, using AFP conjugated with toxins, either covalently or non-covalently, presents a safe and highly effective option for cancer immuno/chemotherapy.

The evolution, facilitators, barriers, and additional activities of acute flaccid paralysis surveillance platform in polio eradication programme Bangladesh: a mixed-method study.

BACKGROUND: The Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) helped develop the standard acute flaccid paralysis surveillance (AFP) system worldwide, including, knowledge, expertise, technical assistance, and trained personnel. AFP surveillance can complement any disease surveillance system. OBJECTIVE: This study outlines AFP surveillance evolution in Bangladesh, its success and challenging factors, and its potential to facilitate other health goals. METHODS: This mixed-method study includes a grey literature review, survey, and key informant interviews (KIIs). We collected grey literature from online websites and paper documentation from GPEI stakeholders. Online and in-person surveys were conducted in six divisions of Bangladesh, including Dhaka, Rajshahi, Rangpur, Chittagong, Sylhet, and Khulna, to map tacit knowledge ideas, approaches, and experiences. We also conducted KIIs, and Data were then combined on focused emerging themes, including the history, challenges, and successes of AFP surveillance programme. RESULTS: According to the grey literature review, survey, and KII, AFP surveillance successfully contributed to decreasing polio in Bangladesh. The major facilitating factors were multi-sectoral collaboration, Surveillance Immunization Medical Officer (SIMO) network activities, social environment, community-based surveillance, and promising political commitment. On the other hand, high population growth, hard-to-reach areas, people residing in risky zones, and polio transition planning were significant challenges. Bangladesh is also utilizing these polio surveillance assets for other vaccine-preventable diseases. CONCLUSION: As the world is so close to eradicating polio, the knowledge, and other assets of the AFP surveillance, could be used for other health programmes. In addition, its strengths can be leveraged for combating new and emerging diseases.

Main findings: The research found that Bangladesh has achieved a world-standard surveillance system, with facilitating factors including multi-sectoral collaboration, GPEI partners, and political and community support. However, high population growth, hard-to-reach areas and people, and polio transition planning were found to be challenges.Added knowledge: In addition, Bangladesh is now utilizing these polio surveillance assets to monitor other vaccine-preventable diseases.Global health impact for policy and action: Since polio is still a threat to some LMICs, the knowledge gained from AFP surveillance of Bangladesh could assist those countries in eradicating the cases of polio from the earth and serve VPDs and other health programmes as well.

Radiomics model based on contrast-enhanced computed tomography imaging for early recurrence monitoring after radical resection of AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Although radical surgical resection is the most effective treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the high rate of postoperative recurrence remains a major challenge, especially in patients with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)-negative HCC who lack effective biomarkers for postoperative recurrence surveillance. Emerging radiomics can reveal subtle structural changes in tumors by analyzing preoperative contrast-enhanced computer tomography (CECT) imaging data and may provide new ways to predict early recurrence (recurrence within 2 years) in AFP-negative HCC. In this study, we propose to develop a radiomics model based on preoperative CECT to predict the risk of early recurrence after surgery in AFP-negative HCC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with AFP-negative HCC who underwent radical resection were included in this study. A computerized tool was used to extract radiomic features from the tumor region of interest (ROI), select the best radiographic features associated with patient's postoperative recurrence, and use them to construct the radiomics score (RadScore), which was then combined with clinical and follow-up information to comprehensively evaluate the reliability of the model. RESULTS: A total of 148 patients with AFP-negative HCC were enrolled in this study, and 1,977 radiographic features were extracted from CECT, 2 of which were the features most associated with recurrence in AFP-negative HCC. They had good predictive ability in both the training and validation cohorts, with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.709 and 0.764, respectively. Tumor number, microvascular invasion (MVI), AGPR and radiomic features were independent risk factors for early postoperative recurrence in patients with AFP-negative HCC. The AUCs of the integrated model in the training and validation cohorts were 0.793 and 0.791, respectively. The integrated model possessed the clinical value of predicting early postoperative recurrence in patients with AFP-negative HCC according to decision curve analysis, which allowed the classification of patients into subgroups of high-risk and low-risk for early recurrence. CONCLUSION: The nomogram constructed by combining clinical and imaging features has favorable performance in predicting the probability of early postoperative recurrence in AFP-negative HCC patients, which can help optimize the therapeutic decision-making and prognostic assessment of AFP-negative HCC patients.

Rapid and High-Density Antibody Immobilization Using Electropolymerization of Pyrrole for Highly Sensitive Immunoassay.

Polypyrrole (Ppy) is a biologically compatible polymer that is used as a matrix, in which drugs and enzymes can be incorporated by doping. Here, we suggest an inventive application of Ppy as a biorecognition film encapsulated with an antibody (Ab) as an alternative strategy for the on-site multistep functionalization of thiol-based self-assembled monolayers. The fabrication steps of the recognition films were followed by dropping pyrrole and Ab mixed solutions onto the electrode and obtaining a thin film by direct current electropolymerization. The efficiency of Ab immobilization was studied by using fluorescence microscopy and electrochemical (EC) methods. Finally, the Ab density was increased and immobilized in 1 min, and the sensing performance as an EC immunosensor was demonstrated using α-fetoprotein with a limit of detection of 3.13 pg/mL and sensing range from 1 pg/mL to 100 ng/mL. This study demonstrates the potential for electrochemical functionalization of biomolecules with high affinity and rapidity.

Serum interleukin-10 and alpha-fetoprotein: A combined diagnostic approach for hepatocellular carcinoma in Egyptians with HCV.

PURPOSE: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Although alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) has been used for 60+ years as an HCC diagnostic serum marker, its accuracy is debated. Notably, the role of interleukin 10 (IL-10) in cancer development and metastasis is elevated in various tumor types, including HCC and chronic HCV infection. Our study aimed to investigate the diagnostic performance of IL-10 and AFP as biomarkers for HCV-induced HCC in an Egyptian population. METHODS: Eighty participants were recruited and categorized into three groups: HCV-related HCC (n=40), HCV-related cirrhosis (n=40), and control (n=20).The collected blood samples were analyzed to evaluate liver function, AFP levels, and IL-10 levels. RESULTS: Our analysis showed that AFP demonstrated low sensitivity (40% false-negative) and low specificity (33% false-positive).IL-10 levels were significantly higher (P < 0.001) in patients with HCC than in the cirrhosis and control groups. The serum AFP and IL-10 combination revealed significantly increased sensitivity (97.5%), diagnostic accuracy (71.1%), AUC (0.798), PPV (73.3%), and NPV ( 69.5%) when compared with either of them alone. CONCLUSION: the reliability of AFP as a major HCC marker was poor. However, IL-10 levels are a novel biomarker for the degree of HCC inflammation, considering IL-10's potential role in HCV-HCC development. We suggest combining AFP with IL-10 to improve the diagnostic and prognostic value of HCC considerably. Future research on these biomarkers should prioritize their clinical validity, prognostic usefulness, and compatibility with other therapeutic approaches as immunotherapy.

Diagnostic value of serum STIP1 in HCC and AFP-negative HCC.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the diagnostic value of stress-induced phosphoprotein 1 (STIP1) in serum for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)-negative HCC (ANHC). METHODS: In this study, serum samples were collected from 158 HCC patients and 63 non-HCC patients. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors associated with HCC and ANHC. The diagnostic values of each index for HCC and ANHC were analyzed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: The STIP1, des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP), and AFP levels were higher in the HCC groups than in the non-HCC groups (P < .05). Age, DCP, STIP1, and hepatitis B virus infection were independent predictors of HCC (P < .05). The diagnostic value of STIP1 for HCC was higher than that of DCP. Additionally, age, STIP1, and hepatitis B virus infection were independent predictors for ANHC patients. The ROC curve exhibited an area under the curve value of 0.919 for STIP1, with a diagnostic cutoff value of 68.5 U/mL. Moreover, 36 ANHC patients and 19 AFP-negative non-HCC patients were included to validate the diagnostic model. A total of 20 patients had STIP1 levels greater than 68.5 U/mL, resulting in diagnostic accuracy of 67.3%, sensitivity of 55.6%, and specificity of 89.5%. CONCLUSION: STIP1 demonstrates excellent diagnostic value for HCC and ANHC.

Prognostic Role of Basal Serum Alpha-Fetoprotein in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Suitable for Curative Treatment.

Background and Objectives: Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a recognized affordable oncological marker in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, AFP's prognostic role has been assessed mainly after specific treatments, and no unanimously recognized cut-offs have been identified. The aim of this study is to investigate the prognostic role of different basal AFP cut-offs on survival and HCC course. Materials and Methods: In this single-center, retrospective study, all patients newly diagnosed with HCC between January 2009 and December 2021 were prospectively enrolled. Only patients suitable for curative HCC treatments were included in the analyses. Patients were stratified according to AFP cut-offs of 20, 200, 400, and 1000 ng/mL, which were correlated with survival outcomes and clinical parameters. Results: A total of 266 patients were analyzed, with a median follow-up time of 41.5 months. Median overall survival (OS) of all cohort was 43 months. At the multivariate Cox-regression analysis, AFP value ≥ 1000 ng/mL correlated with impaired OS (1-year OS: 67% vs. 88%, 5-year OS: 1% vs. 43%; p = 0.005); other risk factors were tumor dimension ≥ 5 cm (HR 1.73; p = 0.002), Child-Pugh class B-C (HR 1.72; p = 0.002), BCLC stage A (vs. 0) (HR 2.4; p = 0.011), and malignant portal vein thrombosis (HR 2.57; p = 0.007). AFP ≥ 1000 ng/mL was also associated with a reduced recurrence-free survival (HR 2.0; p = 0.038), while starting from AFP ≥ 20 ng/mL, a correlation with development of HCC metastases over time (HR 3.5; p = 0.002) was seen. AFP values ≥ 20 ng/mL significantly correlated with tumor size and higher histological grading; starting from AFP values ≥ 400 ng/mL, a significant correlation with Child-Pugh class B-C and female gender was also observed. Conclusions: Basal AFP correlates with relevant outcomes in patients with HCC. It could help identify patients at a higher risk of worse prognosis who might benefit from personalized surveillance and treatment programs. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these results.

Association of serum AFP trajectories and hepatocellular carcinoma outcomes after hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy: A longitudinal, multicenter study.

AIM: This study aims to investigate α-fetoprotein (AFP) trajectories for prediction of survival outcomes after hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) treatment in large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: From May 2014 to June 2020, 889 eligible patients with large HCC underwent HAIC were retrospectively enrolled from five hospitals. A latent class growth mixed (LCGM) model was applied to distinguish potential AFP level dynamic changing trajectories. Inverse-probability-of-treatment weighted (IPTW) analyses were performed to eliminate unmeasured confounders through marginal structural models. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were used to determine the overall survival (OS) in patients with large HCC. Performance of these serum markers for survival prediction was compared by areas under receiver operating characteristic analysis with the Delong test. RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 23.7 (interquartile range, 3.8-115.3). A total of 1009 patients with large HCC, who underwent HAIC with AFP repeatedly measured 3-10 times, were enrolled in the study. Three distinct trajectories of these serum AFP were identified using the LCGM model: high stable (37.0%; n = 373), low stable (15.7%; n = 159), and sharp-falling (47.3%; n = 477). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analyses found that ALBI stage 2-3, BCLC-C stage and high-stable AFP trajectories were associated with OS. AFP trajectories yield the optimal predictive performance in all risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: The AFP trajectories based on longitudinal AFP change showed outstanding performance for predicting survival outcomes after HAIC treatment in large HCC, which provide a potential monitoring tool for improving clinical decision-making.

Lysyl oxidase-like 2 as a predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C virus after sustained virological response.

Lysyl oxidase-like 2 (LOXL2) mediates the crosslinking of extracellular collagen, reflecting qualitative changes in liver fibrosis. This study aimed to validate the utility of serum LOXL2 levels as a predictive biomarker for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who achieved a sustained virological response (SVR). This retrospective study included 137 patients with chronic HCV infection without history of HCC development and who achieved SVR via direct-acting antiviral therapy. Median LOXL2 levels decreased significantly after SVR achievement (pre-Tx, 2.33 ng/mL; post-Tx, 1.31 ng/mL, p < 0.001). Post-Tx LOXL2 levels, fibrosis-4 index, platelet counts, Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive human Mac-2 binding protein levels, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels were identified as independent predictive factors for post-SVR HCC development in the univariate analysis. The incidence of post-SVR HCC development was significantly higher in patients with post-Tx LOXL2 levels ≥ 2.08 ng/mL and AFP levels ≥ 5.0 ng/mL than in patients with elevated levels of either marker or with lower marker levels. Serum LOXL2 levels can serve as a predictive biomarker for HCC development after achieving SVR. The combination of serum LOXL2 and AFP levels provides robust risk stratification for HCC development after SVR, suggesting an enhanced surveillance strategy.

New predictors of microvascular invasion for small hepatocellular carcinoma ≤ 3 cm.

BACKGROUND: Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a risk factor for postoperative recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), even in early-stage HCC. In small HCC ≤ 3 cm, treatment options include anatomical resection or non-anatomical resection, and MVI has a major effect on treatment decisions. We aimed to identify the predictors of MVI in small HCC ≤ 3 cm. METHODS: We retrospectively studied 129 patients with very early or early-stage HCC ≤ 3 cm who had undergone 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography and subsequent hepatic resection from January 2016 to August 2023. These patients were divided into the derivation cohort (n = 86) and validation cohort (n = 43). We examined the risk factors for MVI using logistic regression analysis, and established a predictive scoring system in the derivation cohort. We evaluated the accuracy of our scoring system in the validation cohort. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, a Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP-L3), prothrombin induced by vitamin K deficiency or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II), and metabolic tumor volume (MTV) were independent predictors of MVI. We established the scoring system using these three factors. In the validation test, there were no MVI-positive cases with a score of 0 and 1, and all cases were MVI-positive with a score of 4. Moreover, with a score ≥ 2, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of our scoring system were 100%, 71.4%, and 81.4%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our scoring system can accurately predict MVI in small HCC ≤ 3 cm, and could contribute to establishing an appropriate treatment strategy.