Comparing Carotid Artery Velocities with Current ASCVD Risk Stratification: A Novel Approach to Simpler Risk Assessment.

PURPOSE: To explore the potential of a novel approach to simplify risk assessment by comparing carotid artery velocities with current atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk stratification method using nonlinear measurements. METHODS: In this prospective study conducted at a medical center in southern Taiwan from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2021, 1636 participants aged 40-75 years without prior ASCVD events were enrolled. Carotid flow velocity was obtained through duplex ultrasonography. ASCVD risk was categorized into two groups according to the 2022 USPSTF guidelines for primary prevention. We analyzed associations between flow indices and ASCVD risk using logistic regression and generalized additive models (GAMs). RESULTS: The end diastolic velocity (EDV) of common carotid artery (CCA) and the peak systolic velocity (PSV) of internal carotid artery (ICA) were inversely and nonlinearly associated with cardiovascular event risk. Multivariate logistic regression analysis with ROC curves revealed that the optimal speed for the EDV of CCA was approximately 23.75 cm/s, and the optimal PSV and EDV of ICA were approximately 81.75 cm/s and 26.75 cm/s, respectively. The GAMs showed U-shaped relationships between elevated ASCVD risk and blood flow velocity in the carotid arteries, with inflection points of approximately 82 cm/s in the PSV of ICA and near 25 cm/s in the EDV of CCA. Both methods revealed similar results. CONCLUSIONS: The EDVs and PSVs of the CCA and ICA are associated with the development of cardiovascular events. Optimal velocity ranges were identified; however, further hemodynamic investigations are warranted.

Changes in Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Scores in a Predominantly Black Cohort with HIV and Associated Comorbidities: A Preliminary Study.

INTRODUCTION: People with HIV (PWH) have an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) compared to non-PWH, but the reasons for this increased risk remain elusive. We investigated the change in ASCVD risk scores over 4 years to identify clinical factors associated with change in risk scores or high-risk scores. METHODS: We conducted a preliminary study using retrospective analysis of PWH, between 40 and 75 years old, seen at the Evelyn Jordan Center with at least two routine HIV visits. We collected clinical and demographic data and calculated the ASCVD risk scores using the Pooled Cohort Equation. Exploratory analyses examined change in risk score categories over time. Final adjusted analysis examined factors associated with change in continuous risk scores over time. RESULTS: Our sample included 187 PWH; 166 were black/African American and 79 were female. We found no significant change in ASCVD risk score over time. The risk score was significantly higher in PWH with hepatitis C (7.34%; 95% CI: 2.59, 12.09; p = 0.003) and trended higher in those with dual hepatitis B/C and hepatitis B compared to those without hepatitis (p = 0.07). CONCLUSION: We found that ASCVD risk did not change over a 4-year period among predominantly black young PWH, but infection with hepatitis C and dual hepatitis B/C were associated with higher ASCVD risk scores. Our findings illustrate the need for further longitudinal studies evaluating change in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and investigating viral hepatitis as an added potential contributor to increased CVD risk in high-risk, vulnerable populations.

Associations of 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk scores with cerebral small vessel disease: the PolyvasculaR Evaluation for Cognitive Impairment and vaScular Events (PRECISE) study.

BACKGROUND: 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk scores were useful for predicting large vessel disease, but the relationships between them and cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) were unclear. Our study aimed to evaluate associations of 10-year ASCVD risk scores with CSVD and its magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) markers. METHODS: Community-dwelling residents from the PolyvasculaR Evaluation for Cognitive Impairment and vaScular Events study were included in this cross-sectional study. At baseline, we collected data related to the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), pooled cohort equation (PCE), prediction for ASCVD risk in China (China-PAR) and Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation model 2 (SCORE2), and classified participants into low, moderate and high groups. Participants underwent brain MRI scans. We evaluated white matter hyperintensity (WMH), lacunes, cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) and enlarged perivascular spaces in basal ganglia (BG-EPVS) according to criteria of Wardlaw and Rothwell, and calculated total CSVD score and modified total CSVD score. RESULTS: A total of 3063 participants were included, and 53.5% of them were female. A higher FRS was associated with higher total CSVD score (moderate vs. low: cOR 1.89, 95% CI 1.53-2.34; high vs. low: cOR 3.23, 95%CI 2.62-3.97), and the PCE, China-PAR or SCORE2 score was positively related to total CSVD score (P < 0.05). Moreover, higher 10-year ASCVD scores were associated with higher odds of WMH (P < 0.05), lacunes (P < 0.05), CMBs (P < 0.05) and BG-EPVS (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The 10-year ASCVD scores were positively associated with CSVD and its MRI markers. These scores provided a method of risk stratification in the population with CSVD.

Changes in bile acid subtypes and improvements in lipid metabolism and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk: the Preventing Overweight Using Novel Dietary Strategies (POUNDS Lost) trial.

BACKGROUND: Distinct circulating bile acid (BA) subtypes may play roles in regulating lipid homeostasis and atherosclerosis. OBJECTIVES: We investigated whether changes in circulating BA subtypes induced by weight-loss dietary interventions were associated with improved lipid profiles and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk estimates. METHODS: This study included adults with overweight or obesity (n = 536) who participated in a randomized weight-loss dietary intervention trial. Circulating primary and secondary unconjugated BAs and their taurine-/glycine-conjugates were measured at baseline and 6 mo after the weight-loss diet intervention. The ASCVD risk estimates were calculated using the validated equations. RESULTS: At baseline, higher concentrations of specific BA subtypes were related to higher concentrations of atherogenic very low-density lipoprotein lipid subtypes and ASCVD risk estimates. Weight-loss diet-induced decreases in primary BAs were related to larger reductions in triglycerides and total cholesterol [every 1 standard deviation (SD) decrease of glycocholate, glycochenodeoxycholate, or taurochenodeoxycholate was related to ß (standard error) -3.3 (1.3), -3.4 (1.3), or -3.8 (1.3) mg/dL, respectively; PFDR < 0.05 for all]. Greater decreases in specific secondary BA subtypes were also associated with improved lipid metabolism at 6 mo; there was ß -4.0 (1.1) mg/dL per 1-SD decrease of glycoursodeoxycholate (PFDR =0.003) for changes in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. We found significant interactions (P-interaction < 0.05) between dietary fat intake and changes in BA subtypes on changes in ASCVD risk estimates; decreases in primary and secondary BAs (such as conjugated cholate or deoxycholate) were significantly associated with improved ASCVD risk after consuming a high-fat diet, but not after consuming a low-fat diet. CONCLUSIONS: Decreases in distinct BA subtypes were associated with improved lipid profiles and ASCVD risk estimates, highlighting the importance of changes in circulating BA subtypes as significant factors linked to improved lipid metabolism and ASCVD risk estimates in response to weight-loss dietary interventions. Habitual dietary fat intake may modify the associations of changes in BAs with ASCVD risk. This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT00072995.

Associations of coal mine dust exposure with arterial stiffness and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk in chinese coal miners.

OBJECTIVE: Whether coal mine dust exposure increases cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) risk was rarely explored. Our objective was to examine the association between coal mine dust exposure and cardiovascular risk. METHODS: We estimated cumulative coal mine dust exposure (CDE) for 1327 coal miners by combining data on workplace dust concentrations and work history. We used brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV, a representative indicator of arterial stiffness) and ten-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk to assess potential CVD risk, exploring their associations with CDE. RESULTS: Positive dose-response relationships of CDE with baPWV and ten-year ASCVD risk were observed after adjusting for covariates. Specifically, each 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in CDE was related to a 0.27 m/s (95% CI: 0.21, 0.34) increase in baPWV and a 1.29 (95% CI: 1.14, 1.46) elevation in OR (odds ratio) of risk of abnormal baPWV. Moreover, each 1 SD increase in CDE was associated with a 0.74% (95% CI: 0.63%, 0.85%) increase in scores of ten-year ASCVD and a 1.91 (95% CI: 1.62, 2.26) increase in OR of risk of ten-year ASCVD. When compared with groups unexposed to coal mine dust, significant increase in the risk of arterial stiffness and ten-year ASCVD in the highest CDE groups were detected. CONCLUSION: The study suggested that cumulative exposure to coal mine dust was associated with elevated arterial stiffness and ten-year ASCVD risk in a dose-response manner. These findings contribute valuable insights for cardiovascular risk associated with coal mine dust.

Sex differences in the perception of cardiovascular risk in familial hypercholesterolemia.

BACKGROUND: Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH), a common genetic condition, is characterized by elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and premature atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Recent data indicate an undertreatment of females with FH. OBJECTIVE: To characterize the role of sex in the perception of FH, its associated ASCVD risk and treatment. METHODS: A survey investigating for sex differences in the perception of FH was sent to 1073 patients with FH using a cross sectional study design. RESULTS: A total of 412 patients (51.9 % male) responded to the survey; mean age was 56.2 ± 14.4 years. There was a higher proportion of males with ASCVD than females (41.5 % vs. 16.5 %, respectively, p<0.001). Analyses of the survey responses showed that a majority of both males and females agreed that their risk of ASCVD is higher than healthy individuals of same age (70.8 % vs. 74.7 %, respectively, p = 0.434). Females were more concerned about having high LDL-C levels (67.5 % vs. 56.5 % in males, p = 0.024), especially those in secondary prevention programs. As for treatment of FH, approximately 75 % of both sex groups considered statins to be efficient in reducing the risk of myocardial infarction, but less than half of the females considered statins to be safe (44.8 % vs. 60.0 % in males, p = 0.003). No major sex differences were noted regarding the influence of the doctor in their understanding of FH as a disease. CONCLUSION: Overall, both males and females with FH were well informed about FH, although females were more concerned about having high LDL-C levels and they feared the safety of statins.

Normal-weight visceral obesity promotes a higher 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus-a multicenter study in China.

BACKGROUND: Visceral obesity is associated with high cardiovascular events risk in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Whether normal-weight visceral obesity will pose a higher atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk than body mass index (BMI)-defined overweight or obese counterparts with or without visceral obesity remains unclear. We aimed to explore the relationship between general obesity and visceral obesity and 10-year ASCVD risk in patients with T2DM. METHODS: Patients with T2DM (6997) who satisfied the requirements for inclusion were enrolled. Patients were considered to have normal weight when 18.5 kg/m2 ≤ BMI < 24 kg/m2; overweight when 24 kg/m2 ≤ BMI < 28 kg/m2; and obesity when BMI ≥ 28 kg/m2. Visceral obesity was defined as a visceral fat area (VFA) ≥ 100 cm2. Patients were separated into six groups based on BMI and VFA. The odd ratios (OR) for a high 10-year ASCVD risk for different combinations of BMI and VFA were analysed using stepwise logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for diagnosing the high 10-year ASCVD risk were constructed, and areas under the ROC curves were estimated. Potential non-linear relationships between VFA levels and high 10-year ASCVD risk were examined using restricted cubic splines (knot = 4). Multilinear regression was used to identify factors affecting VFA in patients with T2DM. RESULTS: In patients with T2DM, subjects with normal-weight visceral obesity had the highest 10-year ASCVD risk among the six groups, which had more than a 2-fold or 3-fold higher OR than those who were overweight or obese according to BMI but did not have visceral obesity (all P < 0.05). The VFA threshold for high 10-year ASCVD risk was 90 cm2. Multilinear regression showed significant differences in the effect of age, hypertension, drinking, fasting serum insulin, fasting plasma glucose, 2 h postprandial C-peptide, triglyceride, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol on VFA in patients with T2DM (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: T2DM patients with normal-weight visceral obesity had a higher 10-year ASCVD risk than BMI-defined overweight or obese counterparts with or without visceral obesity, which should initiate standardised management for ASCVD primary prevention.

Effectiveness of SCORE2 and ASCVD Risk Scores in Combination With Aortic Arch Calcification on Chest Radiograph in Predicting Significant Coronary Artery Disease.

The present study evaluated 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk using ASCVD and Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE2) risk models in combination with aortic arch calcification (AAC) to identify those at high risk for significant coronary artery disease (CAD) in patients undergoing coronary angiography. Of the 402 patients enrolled, 48 had normal coronary angiograms and served as group 1. The 131 patients with CAD with stenosis of <70% as group 2 and 223 patients with CAD with stenosis of ≥70% as group 3. ASCVD and SCORE2 risk scores, and the presence of AAC differed significantly among these groups. For prediction of significant CAD, the area under the curve (AUC) of ASCVD and SCORE2 risk scores in receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were statistically similar ([AUC: .647, P < .001] and [AUC: .654, P < .001], respectively). When AAC was added to ASCVD risk and SCORE2, it increased their predictive value for significant CAD in the ROC curve analysis (P = .003, and P = .019, respectively). In addition, significant net reclassification improvement (NRI) values were obtained by adding AAC to ASCVD and SCORE2 risk models ([NRI = .10, P = .04], and [NRI = .19, P = .04], respectively). These results suggest that the predictive value of ASCVD and SCORE2 increases when AAC is combined.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Increases Cardiovascular Risk in Inflammatory Bowel Diseases.

Background: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is strongly associated with cardiovascular disease in the general population. Both conditions seem more frequent in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We aimed to assess the effect of NAFLD and liver fibrosis on intermediate-high cardiovascular risk in IBD. Methods: We prospectively included IBD patients undergoing a routine screening program for NAFLD by transient elastography (TE) with associated controlled attenuation parameter (CAP). NAFLD and significant liver fibrosis were defined as CAP ≥275 dB m-1 and liver stiffness measurement by TE ≥8 kPa, respectively. Cardiovascular risk was assessed with the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk estimator and categorized as low if <5%, borderline if 5%-7.4%, intermediate if 7.5%-19.9%, and high if ≥20% or if previous cardiovascular event. Predictors of intermediate-high cardiovascular risk were investigated by multivariable logistic regression analysis. Results: Of 405 patients with IBD included, 278 (68.6%), 23 (5.7%), 47 (11.6%), and 57 (14.1%) were categorized as at low, borderline, intermediate, and high ASCVD risk, respectively. NAFLD and significant liver fibrosis were found in 129 (31.9%) and 35 (8.6%) patients, respectively. After adjusting for disease activity, significant liver fibrosis and body mass index, predictors of intermediate-high ASCVD risk were NAFLD (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.97, 95% CI, 1.56-5.68), IBD duration (aOR 1.55 per 10 years, 95% CI, 1.22-1.97), and ulcerative colitis (aOR 2.32, 95% CI, 1.35-3.98). Conclusions: Assessment of cardiovascular risk should be targeted in IBD patients with NAFLD, particularly if they have longer IBD duration and ulcerative colitis.

Association between pulse wave velocity and the 10-year risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in the Chinese population: A community-based study.

Accumulated evidence has shown that carotid-femoral and brachial-ankle PWV well predict cardiovascular events but it is still unclear if the predictability is same or not. In this cross-sectional study based on a community atherosclerosis cohort in Beijing, China, a total of 5282 participants without previous coronary heart disease and stroke were enrolled from a community atherosclerosis cohort in Beijing, China. The 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk were calculated by the China-PAR model, and < 5%, 5%-10% and > 10% were defined as low, intermediate, and high risk, respectively. The average baPWV and cfPWV values were 16.63 ± 3.35 m/s and 8.45 ± 1.78 m/s, respectively. The mean 10-year ASCVD risk was 6.98% (interquartile range: 3.90%-12.01%). The patients with low, intermediate, and high 10-year ASCVD risk accounted for 34.84% (1840), 31.94% (1687),, and 33.23% (1755) respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that for every 1 m/s increase in baPWV and cfPWV, the 10-year ASCVD risk increased by 0.60% (95% confidence interval: 0.56%-0.65%, p < .001) and 1.17% (95% confidence interval: 1.09%-1.25%, p < .001), respectively. The diagnostic ability of the baPWV was comparable to the cfPWV (area under the curve: 0.870 [0.860-0.879] vs. 0.871 [0.861-0.881], p = .497). In conclusion, baPWV and cfPWV are positively associated with the 10-year risk of ASCVD in the Chinese community-based population, with a nearly identical association with a high 10-year risk of ASCVD.

Comparative performance of cardiovascular risk prediction models in people living with HIV.

Background: Current cardiovascular risk assessment in people living with HIV is based on general risk assessment tools; however, whether these tools can be applied in sub-Saharan African populations has been questioned. Objectives: The study aimed to assess cardiovascular risk classification of common cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction models compared to the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) 2010 and 2016 models in people living with HIV. Method: Cardiovascular disease risk was estimated by Framingham Cardiovascular and Heart Disease (FHS-CVD, FHS-CHD), Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) and D:A:D 2010 and 2016 risk prediction models for HIV-infected participants of the Ndlovu Cohort Study, Limpopo, rural South Africa. Participants were classified to be at low (< 10%), moderate (10% - 20%), or high-risk (> 20%) of CVD within 10 years for general CVD and five years for D:A:D models. Kappa statistics were used to determine agreement between CVD risk prediction models. Subgroup analysis was performed according to age. Results: The analysis comprised 735 HIV-infected individuals, predominantly women (56.7%), average age 43.9 (8.8) years. The median predicted CVD risk for D:A:D 2010 and FHS-CVD was 4% and for ASCVD and FHS-CHD models, 3%. For the D:A:D 2016 risk prediction model, the figure was 5%. High 10-year CVD risk was predicted for 2.9%, 0.5%, 0.7%, 3.1% and 6.6% of the study participants by FHS-CVD, FHS-CHD, ASCVD, and D:A:D 2010 and 2016. Kappa statistics ranged from 0.34 for ASCVD to 0.60 for FHS-CVD as compared to the D:A:D 2010 risk prediction model. Conclusion: Overall, predicted CVD risk is low in this population. Compared to D:A:D 2010, CVD risk estimated by the FHS-CVD model showed similar overall results for risk classification. With the exception of the D:A:D model, all other risk prediction models classified fewer people to be at high estimated CVD risk. Prospective studies are needed to develop and validate CVD risk algorithms in people living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa.

Prediction of cardiovascular events by central blood pressure using radial tonometry in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients.

BACKGROUND: High blood pressure (BP) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are major causes of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and heart failure (HF). Central blood pressure (CBP) is more predictive of ASCVD than is brachial BP; however, an association of CBP with ASCVD has not been found in T2DM patients. We evaluated the impact of CBP and the association between optimal level of noninvasively measured CBP and office BP in T2DM patients based on composite outcome of ASCVD, HF, and complications of hypertension. METHODS: Patients were enrolled from June 2011 to December 2015 and were followed up through December 2019. CBP was measured using radial tonometry. The primary endpoints were composite outcome of ASCVD, HF, and hypertension-induced complications such as left ventricular hypertrophy, retinopathy, and proteinuria. RESULTS: During the 6.5-year follow-up period, 515 patients were enrolled in the study. A total of 92 patients (17.9%) developed primary endpoints. The mean age of subjects was 61.3 ± 12.1 years and 55% (n = 283) were male. Patients who developed primary endpoints were older (65.3 ± 9.5 years vs. 60.5 ± 12.4 years) and had lower high-density lipoprotein (36.6 ± 9.4 mg/dL vs. 41.8 ± 11.1 mg/dL), higher CBP (123.6 ± 20.6 mmHg vs. 118.0 ± 20.6 mmHg), and higher pulse pressure (61.3 ± 16.6 mmHg vs. 56.5 ± 15.1 mmHg) than subjects without primary endpoint development. After adjustment for various risk factors, CBP was an independent predictor for primary endpoints (hazard ratio, 1.14; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.27; P = 0.016). In addition, the association of CBP and primary endpoints showed a U-shaped curve with the lowest incidence at CBP 118 mmHg and systolic BP about 128 mmHg. CONCLUSIONS: We show the importance of CBP measurements in T2DM patients and present a cutoff value for ASCVD events and hypertension-induced complications.

Efficacy and safety of hybutimibe in combination with atorvastatin for treatment of hypercholesteremia among patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk equivalent: A multicenter, randomized, double-blinded phase III study.

Background: To evaluate the safety and efficacy of hybutimibe plus atorvastatin for lipid control in hypercholesterolemia patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk equivalent. Methods: In this double-blind phase III study, we 1:1 randomly assigned 255 hypercholesterolemia patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease to receive hybutimibe plus atorvastatin or placebo plus atorvastatin. The primary endpoint was the rate of change of plasma low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) level at 12 weeks from baseline. The secondary endpoints were plasma total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG), high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C), non-HDL-C, apoprotein (Apo) B, and 2-, 4-, 8-, and 12-week Apo A1 levels change rate and rates of change of plasma LDL-C levels at 2, 4, and 8 weeks from baseline. Results: From April 2016 to January 2018, 128 in the hybutimibe plus atorvastatin group and 125 in the atorvastatin group were included in modified intention-to-treat (mITT) analysis. After 12 weeks of treatment, LDL-C level changed from 2.61 mmol/L (±0.30) at baseline to 2.18 mmol/L (±0.45) in the hybutimibe plus atorvastatin group and from 2.58 (±0.31) mmol/L to 2.40 (± 0.46) mmol/L in the atorvastatin group (P < 0.0001), in mITT. The change rate in the hybutimibe plus atorvastatin group was significantly higher than that in the atorvastatin group (P < 0.0001); the estimated mean rates of change were -16.39 (95% confidence interval: -19.04, -13.74) and -6.75 (-9.48, -4.02), respectively. Consistently, in per-protocol set (PPS) analysis, the rate of change of LDL-C in the hybutimibe plus atorvastatin group was significantly higher than that in atorvastatin group. Significant decreases in the change rates of non-HDL-C, TC, and Apo B at 2, 4, 8, and 12 weeks (all P < 0.05) were observed for hybutimibe plus atorvastatin, while the differences were not significant for HDL-C, TG, and Apo-A1 (all P > 0.05). During the study period, no additional side effects were reported. Conclusions: Hybutimibe combined with atorvastatin resulted in significant improvements in LDL-C, non-HDL-C, TC, and Apo B compared with atorvastatin alone. The safety and tolerability were also acceptable, although additional benefits of hybutimibe plus atorvastatin were not observed compared with atorvastatin alone in HDL-C, TG, and Apo-A1.

The association between low-density and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol with incident cardiovascular disease among low-risk Iranians during 2 decades follow-up.

INTRODUCTION: To examine the associations between low-density and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C and non-HDL-C, respectively) with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) in low-risk subjects. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From a total of 2467 non-diabetic aged 40-70 years, free of CVD with LDL-C range 1.81 ≤ LDL-C < 4.91 mmol/L with 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk < 7.5 %, the associations of LDL-C and non-HDL-C with incident CVD were assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analyses adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, waist circumference, HDL-C, triglycerides, chronic kidney disease, current smoking, hypertension, and family history of CVD. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 18 years, 559 CVD events occurred. Compared to the LDL-C < 2.59 mmol/L as reference, the categories of 2.59 ≤ LDL-C < 3.36, 3.36 ≤ LDL-C < 4.14, and ≥ 4.14 mmol/L were associated with hazard ratios (95 % confidence intervals) of 1.39(0.89-2.18), 1.72(1.11-2.68), and 2.19(1.36-3.51) for incident CVD (P for trend <0.0001), respectively. Compared to the non-HDL-C < 3.36 as reference, the categories of 3.36 ≤ non-HDL-C < 4.14, 4.14 ≤ non-HDL-C < 4.91, and ≥ 4.91 mmol/L were associated with 1.48(0.96-2.30), 1.37(0.89-2.16), and 2.15(1.36-3.39) higher risk for incident CVD (P for trend = 0.001), respectively. Among those with ASCVD score <5 % (n = 2070), even the 2.59 ≤ LDL-C < 3.36 mmol/L increased the risk for CVD [1.73(1.01-2.97)]. Results for non-HDL-C categories remained unchanged compared to those with ASCVD risk < 7.5%. CONCLUSIONS: Among Iranian individuals with ASCVD risk as little as < 5 %, LDL-C ≥ 2.59 mmol/L and non-HDL-C ≥ 3.36 mmol/L, independent of traditional risk factors, were associated with a significantly higher risk of incident CVD, individuals that might potentially benefit from pharmacological therapy.

Hypertension among adults enrolled in HIV care in northern Tanzania: comorbidities, cardiovascular risk, and knowledge, attitudes and practices.

Cite this article: Preeti Manavalan et al. Hypertension among adults enrolled in HIV care in northern Tanzania: comorbidities, cardiovascular risk, and knowledge, attitudes and practices. Pan African Medical Journal. 2022;41(285). 10.11604/pamj.2022.41.285.26952. Introduction: the epidemiology of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) among people living with HIV (PLHIV) in sub-Saharan Africa is poorly described. In this observational study we examined a cohort of hypertensive PLHIV in northern Tanzania and described comorbidities, cardiovascular risk, and hypertension knowledge, attitudes and practices. Methods: consecutive patients attending an HIV clinic were screened for hypertension; those who met hypertension study criteria were enrolled. Participants completed a hypertension knowledge, attitudes and practices survey, and underwent height, weight, and waist circumference measurements and urine dipstick, fasting blood sugar, and lipid panel analyses. Kidney disease was defined as 1+ proteinuria, diabetes mellitus was defined as fasting glucose >126mg/dL, and 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk was defined per the Pooled Cohorts Equations. Results: of 555 screened patients, 105 met hypertension criteria and 91 (86.7%) were enrolled. The prevalence of diabetes mellitus, kidney disease, and overweight or obesity was 8.8%, 28.6%, and 86.7%, respectively. Almost all participants (n=86, 94.5%) had two or more medical comorbidities. More than half (n=39, 52.7%) had intermediate or high 10-year risk for an ASCVD event. While only 3 (3.3%) participants were able to define hypertension correctly, most would seek care at a medical facility (n=89, 97.8%) and take medication chronically for hypertension (n=79, 87.8%). Conclusion: we found a high burden of medical comorbidity and ASCVD risk among hypertensive PLHIV in northern Tanzania. Integration of routine NCD screening in the HIV clinical setting, in combination with large-scale educational campaigns, has the potential to impact clinical outcomes in this high-risk population.

Risk of all-cause mortality according to the European Society of Cardiology risk categories in individuals with type 2 diabetes: the Renal Insufficiency And Cardiovascular Events (RIACE) Italian Multicenter Study.

AIMS: The 2019 and 2021 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) classifications stratified patients with type 2 diabetes into three categories according to the 10-year risk of death from atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). The very high-risk category included individuals with established ASCVD, target organ damage (TOD), and/or, in the 2019 classification only, ≥ 3 additional ASCVD risk factors. We assessed risk of all-cause mortality according to the two ESC classifications in the Renal Insufficiency And Cardiovascular Events cohort. METHODS: Participants (n = 15,773) were stratified based on the presence of ASCVD, TOD, and ASCVD risk factors at baseline (2006-2008). Vital status was retrieved in 2015. RESULTS: Less than 1% of participants fell in the moderate-risk category. According to the 2019 classification, ~ 1/3 fell in the high-risk and ~ 2/3 in the very high-risk category, whereas the opposite occurred with the 2021 classification. Mortality risk increased across categories according to both classifications. Among very high-risk patients, mortality was much lower in those with ≥ 3 additional ASCVD risk factors and almost equal in those with TOD and ASCVD ± TOD, using the 2019 classification, whereas it was much higher in those with ASCVD + TOD and, to a lesser extent, TOD only than in those with ASCVD only, using the 2021 classification. CONCLUSIONS: The negligible number of moderate-risk patients suggests that these classifications might overestimate risk of ASCVD death. Downgrading patients with ≥ 3 additional ASCVD risk factors to the high-risk category is consistent with mortality data. Risk of death is very high in the presence of TOD irrespective of established ASCVD. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00715481.

Influence of shift work on cardiovascular disease risk in Southern African long-distance truck drivers: a cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major problem globally. Truck drivers have an increased risk of CVD due to a sedentary lifestyle, irregular working hours and behavioural choices. We aimed to get insight into the contribution of night shift work to CVD risk in long-distance truck drivers in South Africa. DESIGN: A cross-sectional study. SETTING: Enrolment took place at three South African truck stop locations in two provinces; Bloemfontein (Free State), Pomona Road (Gauteng) and Soweto (Gauteng). PARTICIPANTS: 607 males aged ≥18 years with full-time employment as a long-distance truck driver were included. The criteria for inclusion were willingness and being able to provide informed consent and to complete the study procedures. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Information was collected on sociodemographics, occupational and health characteristics. Physical measurements, an ECG and carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) measurements were taken. A night shift was defined as working at least 3 hours between 22:00 and 6:00 hours once a week. CVD risk was defined with the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), the Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) risk algorithm, left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) and CIMT. RESULTS: In total, 607 truck drivers were included of which 305 (50.2%) worked in day shifts only and 302 (49.8%) worked day and night shifts. There was a high prevalence of CVD risk factors in both groups as 33% were hypertensive, 28% obese and 37% had abnormal lipid levels. Working day and night shifts compared with working only day shifts did not result in differences in FRS, ASCVD risk or LVH. No difference was found in CIMT measurements, except for the maximum bulb thickness which was higher in day shift workers. CONCLUSIONS: CVD risk factors are considerably present in male truck drivers in South Africa. CVD risk does not differ between dayshift and day-night shift workers in this cross-sectional analysis.

Prediction of presence and severity of coronary artery disease using prediction for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk in China scoring system.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is one of the leading causes of death and disease burden in China and worldwide. A practical and reliable prediction scoring system for CAD risk and severity evaluation is urgently needed for primary prevention. AIM: To examine whether the prediction for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk in China (China-PAR) scoring system could be used for this purpose. METHODS: A total of 6813 consecutive patients who underwent diagnostic coronary angiography were enrolled. The China-PAR score was calculated for each patient and CAD severity was assessed by the Gensini score (GS). RESULTS: Correlation analysis demonstrated a significant relationship between China-PAR and GS (r = 0.266, P < 0.001). In receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the cut-off values of China-PAR for predicting the presence and the severity of CAD were 7.55% with a sensitivity of 55.8% and specificity of 71.8% [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.693, 95% confidence interval: 0.681 to 0.706, P < 0.001], and 7.45% with a sensitivity of 58.8% and specificity of 67.2% (AUC = 0.680, 95% confidence interval: 0.665 to 0.694, P < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSION: The China-PAR scoring system may be useful in predicting the presence and severity of CAD.

Comparison of Predicted Cardiovascular Risk Profiles by Different CVD Risk-Scoring Algorithms between HIV-1-Infected and Uninfected Adults: A Cross-Sectional Study in Tanzania.

PURPOSE: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk assessment is a suitable way to differentiate between high-risk individuals requiring intervention and risk modification, and those at low risk. However, concerns have been raised when adopting a CVD-risk prediction algorithm for HIV-infected patients in sub-Saharan Africa. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We compared cardiovascular risk profiles between HIV-infected (with and without antiretroviral therapy (ART)) and HIV-uninfected adults as predicted by the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ASCVD) and the Framingham cardiovascular risk score (FRS) algorithms and assessed the concordance of the algorithms in predicting 10-year CVD risk separately in HIV-infected and uninfected groups in a hospital-based cross-sectional study in Tanzania. A cross-sectional hospital-based study including 40 HIV-infected ART-naive, 64 HIV-infected on ART, and 50 HIV-uninfected adults was conducted. Traditional cardiovascular risk factors were determined by standard investigations. The primary outcome was the absolute 10-year CVD risk score based on the two algorithms. RESULTS: Compared to HIV-uninfected, HIV-infected adults were classified at a higher 10-year CVD risk. ASCVD algorithms predicted a higher proportion of high-risk individuals compared to FRS in both HIV-infected and uninfected groups. The concordance between ASCVD and FRS-lipid algorithms was reasonable for both HIV-infected and uninfected groups though relatively higher in the HIV-uninfected group. CONCLUSION: HIV-infected individuals have a higher 10-year cardiovascular risk compared to HIV-uninfected persons. The concordance between ASCVD and FRS-lipid algorithms is reasonable in both HIV-uninfected and infected persons in Tanzania. Development of an HIV-specific algorithm is needed to accurately predict CVD risk in this population at high-risk.

New sequential algorithm using Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer to detect advanced carotid artery atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Although carotid artery sonography is widely performed, most guidelines do not recommend this procedure in the general population. Appropriate indications and effective algorithms are needed to detect advanced carotid artery atherosclerosis in a community setting. METHODS: This study was designed as cross-sectional study. Adult subjects (n=228) who underwent a health check-up at our healthcare centre were included in the final analysis. Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) quantification was based on a lectin antibody sandwich immunoassay. Subclinical atherosclerosis was diagnosed by carotid ultrasonography. RESULTS: The prevalence of subclinical atherosclerosis and advanced atherosclerosis was 37.2% (85/228) and 11.8% (27/228), respectively, in a community-based setting. Serum M2BPGi level was significantly higher in subjects with calcified plaque (0.6317) and luminal stenosis (0.6373) than in control groups (0.4913, all P<0.05). Pearson correlation analysis between M2BPGi and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk index (R=0.410, P<0.001) showed a positive relationship. The AUROC of serum M2BPGi for identifying calcified plaque or luminal stenosis was 0.679. The sequential algorithm using ASCVD and M2BPGi showed good negative predictive value (NPV) (93.6%) and reasonable positive predictive value (PPV) (53.8%) for identifying calcified plaque or luminal stenosis. When the sequential algorithm was used as an indicator for carotid ultrasonography, 35.0% (14/40) of subjects with intermediate-risk by ASCVD (≥7.5%) could avoid unnecessary carotid ultrasonography. CONCLUSIONS: The sequential algorithm using ASCVD (≥7.5) and M2BPGi (≥0.525) provided reasonable indication for carotid artery sonography in a community-based setting.