Do newer drugs treat fewer diseases, controlling for time since launch? Evidence from France and the U.S.

Background: More recently approved drugs have significantly fewer indications than drugs approved many years ago. One possible reason for this may be that, controlling for the number of years since approval or launch, more recently approved drugs have fewer indications (e.g. at the time of launch). The role of precision and personalised medicine has increased, and the goal of precision medicine is to provide a more precise approach for the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of disease. Drugs that have fewer indications may be 'more precise' than drugs that have many indications. Methods: We use different kinds of data from two countries - France and the U.S. - to analyze the relationship across many drugs between the number of indications of a drug, the drug's vintage - i.e. the year in which the drug was first marketed or approved - and its age - the number of years it has been marketed. Results: All the evidence from both countries indicates that, controlling for drug age, more recently approved drugs tend to have fewer indications than drugs approved many years ago. In the U.S., a 10-year increase in vintage is associated with a 10.7% decline in the effective number of indications of all drugs, and a 19.4% decline in the effective number of indications of drugs approved after 1989. In France, the positive effect on the number of indications of the increase in drug age was more than offset by the negative effect of the increase in drug vintage. Conclusions: More recently approved drugs are less likely to be 'general-purpose technologies' (or even multi-purpose technologies) than older drugs. The relative importance of 'precision medicine' has increased in recent decades. Drugs that have fewer indications may be 'more precise' than drugs that have many indications.

Indirect comparisons of relative efficacy estimates of zuranolone and selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors for postpartum depression.

AIMS: Estimate relative efficacy of zuranolone, a novel oral, Food and Drug Administration-approved treatment for postpartum depression (PPD) in adults vs. selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) and combination therapies used for PPD in the United States. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for zuranolone and SSRIs, identified from systematic review, were used to construct evidence networks, linking via common comparator arms. Due to heterogeneity in placebo responses, matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) was applied, statistically weighting the zuranolone treatment arm of Phase 3 SKYLARK Study (NCT04442503) to the placebo arm of RCTs investigating SSRIs for PPD. MAIC outputs were applied in Bucher indirect treatment comparisons (ITCs) and network meta-analysis (NMA), using Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) and 17-item Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression (HAMD-17) change from baseline (CFB) on Days 3, 15, 28 (Month 1), 45, and last observation (Day 45, Week 12/18). RESULTS: Larger EPDS CFB was observed among zuranolone-treated vs. SSRI-treated patients from Day 15 onward. Zuranolone-treated (vs. SSRI-treated) patients exhibited 4.22-point larger reduction in EPDS by Day 15 (95% confidence interval: -6.16, -2.28) and 7.43-point larger reduction at Day 45 (-9.84, -5.02) with Bucher ITC. NMA showed EPDS reduction for zuranolone was 4.52 (-6.40, -2.65) points larger than SSRIs by Day 15 and 7.16 (-9.47, -4.85) larger at Day 45. Lack of overlap between study populations substantially reduced effective sample size post-matching, making HAMD-17 CFB analysis infeasible. LIMITATIONS: Limited population overlap between SKYLARK Study and RCTs reduced feasibility of undertaking HAMD-17 CFB ITCs and may introduce uncertainty to EPDS CFB ITC results. CONCLUSIONS: Analysis showed zuranolone-treated patients with PPD experienced greater symptom improvement than SSRI-treated patients from Day 15 onward, with largest mean difference at Day 45. Adjusting for differences between placebo arms, zuranolone may be associated with greater PPD symptom improvement (measured by EPDS) vs. SSRIs.

The cost-effectiveness of zuranolone versus selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors for the treatment of postpartum depression in the United States.

AIMS: The objective of this research is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of zuranolone, the first oral treatment indicated for postpartum depression (PPD) in adults approved by the United States Food and Drug Administration. METHODS: Zuranolone and selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI) trial-based efficacy was derived from an indirect treatment comparison. Long-term efficacy outcomes were based on a large longitudinal cohort study. Maternal health utility values were derived from trial-based, short-form 6-D responses. Other inputs were derived from literature and economic data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. We estimated costs (2023 US dollars) and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for patients with PPD treated with zuranolone (14-day dosing) or SSRIs (chronic dosing). The indirect costs and QALYs of the children and partners were also estimated. RESULTS: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for zuranolone versus SSRIs was $94,741 per QALY gained over an 11-year time horizon. Maternal total direct medical costs averaged $84,318 in the zuranolone arm, compared to $86,365 in the SSRI arm. Zuranolone-treated adults averaged 6.178 QALYs compared to 6.116 QALYs for the SSRI arm. Costs and utilities for the child and partner were also included in the base case. Drug and administration costs for zuranolone averaged $15,902, compared to $30 for SSRIs over the studied time horizon. Results were sensitive to the model time horizon. LIMITATIONS: As head-to-head trials were not available to permit direct comparison, efficacy inputs were derived from an indirect treatment comparison which can be confounded by cross-trial differences. The data used are reflective of a general PPD population rather than marginalized individuals who may be at a greater risk for adverse PPD outcomes. The model likely excludes unmeasured effects for patient, child, and partner. CONCLUSIONS: This economic model's results suggest that zuranolone is a more cost-effective therapy compared to SSRIs for treating adults with PPD.

QUESTION: Is zuranolone cost-effective compared to selective serotonin-reuptake inhibitors for the treatment of postpartum depression (PPD) in adults in a United States (US) health care setting? FINDINGS: The model, which incorporated clinical trial data, long-term longitudinal cohort data, US Bureau of Labor Statistics data on compensation, and other peer-reviewed literature, projects that zuranolone is cost-effective compared to selective serotonin-reuptake inhibitors for the treatment of PPD at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000 (USD).Meaning: For adults with PPD requiring pharmacological intervention, zuranolone may be a cost-effective treatment option with the potential to confer quality-of-life benefits for these patients and their families as well as economic benefits for society.

Prevalence and impact of antipsychotic discontinuation among commercially-insured patients with bipolar disorder.

BACKGROUND: Antipsychotic discontinuation is common among patients with bipolar disorder, especially when psychotic symptoms are remitted. This analysis describes the prevalence, predictors, and economic impact of antipsychotic discontinuation among patients with bipolar disorder. METHODS: A retrospective, observational study was conducted using administrative claims data in the IBM MarketScan Commercial Database. Patients with ≥1 claim with a diagnosis for bipolar disorder (manic or mixed) and newly-initiating antipsychotic therapy between 1 January 2011 and 30 June 2016 were included. Baseline characteristics were assessed in the 12 months prior to the initiation. Outcomes were assessed during a 24-month follow-up. Discontinuation of antipsychotic therapy was utilized as a predictor of healthcare costs in models adjusted for baseline characteristics. Using limited set of variables in the claims database, predictors of discontinuation were also assessed. RESULTS: A total of 18,259 commercially-insured patients were identified as initiators of antipsychotics. Common comorbidities among the cohorts included major depressive disorder and dyslipidemia. Discontinuation was very common among these patients (85%). Major depressive disorder, drug abuse, and other substance abuse/dependency were predictive of discontinuation. Controlling for differences in baseline characteristics, discontinuation was associated with 33% higher inpatient and emergency visit costs (p <.001) among those using these services, and 24% higher total healthcare costs (p <.001) for the overall cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Most patients with bipolar mania or mixed states discontinue antipsychotic treatment in less than 2 years. Antipsychotic discontinuation contributes to excess healthcare costs. Future research focusing on the reasons for discontinuation and tailoring disease management based on comorbidities may inform adherence improvement initiatives.

Impact of using the International Risk Scoring Tool on the cost-utility of palivizumab for preventing severe respiratory syncytial virus infection in Canadian moderate-to-late preterm infants.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: To assess the cost-utility of palivizumab versus no prophylaxis in preventing severe respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection in Canadian moderate-to-late preterm (32-35 weeks' gestational age) infants using an (i) International Risk Scoring Tool (IRST) and (ii) Canadian RST (CRST). METHODS: A decision tree was developed to assess cost-utility. Infants assessed at moderate- and high-risk of RSV-related hospitalization (RSVH) by the IRST or CRST received palivizumab or no prophylaxis and then progressed to either (i) RSVH; (ii) emergency room/outpatient medically attended RSV-infection (MARI) or (iii) were uninfected/non-medically attended. Infants admitted to intensive care could incur mortality (0.43%). Respiratory morbidity was accounted in all uninfected surviving infants for 6 years or 18 years (RSVH/MARI). Palivizumab efficacy (72.2% RSVH reduction) and hospital outcomes were from the Canadian CARESS, PICNIC and RSV-Quebec studies. Palivizumab costs (50 mg: CAN$752; 100 mg: $1,505) were calculated from Canadian birth statistics combined with a growth algorithm. Healthcare/payer and societal costs (May 2022; 1.5% discounting) were included. RESULTS: Cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) was $29,789 with the IRST (0.79 probability of being <$50,000) and $15,833 with the CRST (0.96 probability). The model was most sensitive to utility scores, long-term sequelae and palivizumab cost. Vial sharing improved the incremental cost-utility ratio (IRST: $22,319; CRST: $9,231). CONCLUSIONS: Palivizumab was highly cost-effective (vs no prophylaxis) in Canadian moderate-to-late preterm infants using either the IRST or CRST. The IRST has fewer risk factors than the CRST (3 vs 7, respectively), captures more potential RSVHs (85% vs 54%) and provides another option to guide cost-effective RSV prophylaxis in Canada.

GJB2 gene therapy and conditional deletion reveal developmental stage-dependent effects on inner ear structure and function.

Pathogenic variants in GJB2, the gene encoding connexin 26, are the most common cause of autosomal-recessive hereditary deafness. Despite this high prevalence, pathogenic mechanisms leading to GJB2-related deafness are not well understood, and cures are absent. Humans with GJB2-related deafness retain at least some auditory hair cells and neurons, and their deafness is usually stable. In contrast, mice with conditional loss of Gjb2 in supporting cells exhibit extensive loss of hair cells and neurons and rapidly progress to profound deafness, precluding the application of therapies that require intact cochlear cells. In an attempt to design a less severe Gjb2 animal model, we generated mice with inducible Sox10iCre ERT2 -mediated loss of Gjb2. Tamoxifen injection led to reduced connexin 26 expression and impaired function, but cochlear hair cells and neurons survived for 2 months, allowing phenotypic rescue attempts within this time. AAV-mediated gene transfer of GJB2 in mature mutant ears did not demonstrate threshold improvement and in some animals exacerbated hearing loss and resulted in hair cell loss. We conclude that Sox10iCre ERT2 ;Gjb2 flox/flox mice are valuable for studying the biology of connexin 26 in the cochlea. In particular, these mice may be useful for evaluating gene therapy vectors and development of therapies for GJB2-related deafness.

FOUR FACTS CONCERNING COMPETITION IN U.S. GENERIC PRESCRIPTION DRUG MARKETS.

We establish four facts concerning competition among U.S. generic drug suppliers, using IQVIA's National Sales Perspective™ 2004Q4 - 2016Q3 data. We define a unique product market ("molform"), consisting of the combination of a molecule active ingredient and a route of administration formulation, aggregated over different dosages and strengths. We find: (i) supply exhibits substantial churning in entrants and exits; (ii) volume-weighted use concentrates in older generic molform cohorts; (iii) the extent of competition is greatest for the oldest molform cohorts and is smallest for the youngest molform cohorts. With a median of one competitor, the extent of competition in the youngest molform cohort is very limited; and (iv) supplier-molform annual revenues are typically small, are largest for relatively young drugs, but are heavily right skewed. These four facts provide an empirical platform on which to construct and empirically evaluate hypotheses regarding generic drug market structure, performance, and possible policy reforms.

Updated cost-effectiveness analysis of palivizumab (Synagis) for the prophylaxis of respiratory syncytial virus in infant populations in the UK.

AIMS: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a common cause of respiratory infection in infants and severe infection can result in hospitalization. The passive immunization, palivizumab, is used as prophylaxis against RSV, however, use in the UK is restricted to populations at high risk of hospitalization. This study assesses the cost-effectiveness (CE) of palivizumab in premature infants with and without risk factors for hospitalization (congenital heart disease [CHD], bronchopulmonary dysplasia [BPD]). METHODS: A decision tree model, based on earlier CE analyses, was updated using data derived from targeted literature reviews and advice gained from a Round Table meeting. All costs were updated to 2019 prices. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the degree of uncertainty surrounding the results. RESULTS: Palivizumab is dominant (i.e. clinically superior and cost saving) when used in premature infants born ≤35 weeks gestational age (wGA) without CHD or BPD and aged <6 months at the start of the RSV season, infants aged <24 months with CHD and infants aged <24 months requiring treatment for BPD within the last 6 months. LIMITATIONS: One-way sensitivity analysis suggests that these results are highly sensitive to the efficacy of prophylaxis, number of doses, impact of long-term respiratory sequalae, rate of hospitalization and mortality due to RSV. A conservative approach has been taken toward long-term respiratory sequalae due to uncertainty around epidemiology and etiology and a lack of recent cost and utility data. CONCLUSIONS: Palivizumab prophylaxis is cost-effective in preventing severe RSV infection requiring hospital admission in a wider population than currently recommended in UK guidelines. Prophylaxis in premature infants born <29 wGA, 29-32 wGA and 33-35 wGA without CHD or BPD aged <6 months at the start of the RSV season is not funded under current guidance, however, prophylaxis has been demonstrated to be cost-effective in this analysis.

Efficient in Utero Gene Transfer to the Mammalian Inner Ears by the Synthetic Adeno-Associated Viral Vector Anc80L65.

Sensorineural hearing loss is one of the most common sensory disorders worldwide. Recent advances in vector design have paved the way for investigations into the use of adeno-associated vectors (AAVs) for hearing disorder gene therapy. Numerous AAV serotypes have been discovered to be applicable to inner ears, constituting a key advance for gene therapy for sensorineural hearing loss, where transduction efficiency of AAV in inner ear cells is critical for success. One such viral vector, AAV2/Anc80L65, has been shown to yield high expression in the inner ears of mice treated as neonates or adults. Here, to evaluate the feasibility of prenatal gene therapy for deafness, we assessed the transduction efficiency of AAV2/Anc80L65-eGFP (enhanced green fluorescent protein) after microinjection into otocysts in utero. This embryonic delivery method achieved high transduction efficiency in both inner and outer hair cells of the cochlea. Additionally, the transduction efficiency was high in the hair cells of the vestibules and semicircular canals and in spiral ganglion neurons. Our results support the potential of Anc80L65 as a gene therapy vehicle for prenatal inner ear disorders.

The cost-effectiveness of biologic versus non-biologic treatments and the health-related quality of life among a sample of patients with inflammatory bowel disease in a tertiary care center in Saudi Arabia.

AIMS: This study's objectives were to examine and compare the cost-effectiveness of biologic and non-biologic therapies in the improvement of the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in Saudi Arabia. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study analyzed data from the medical records of patients with IBD treated at a tertiary-care hospital in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Drug utilization costs and HRQoL scores were evaluated at baseline and after six months of treatment. Patients' HRQoL was measured using the Arabic version of the standardized EuroQol 5 Dimensional 3 Level (EQ-5D-3L) questionnaire with a visual analog scale (VAS). RESULTS: Eighty-seven patients with Crohn's disease (CD) and 69 patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) were included in the study (N = 156), and 59 (37.82%) were treated with biologics. Similar effects of both types of medications were found on the HRQoL domains of mobility, usual activities, and pain and discomfort, while biologics outperformed non-biologics on the self-care domain. The mean utilization cost of a biologic-based treatment over a six-month period was SAR 25,690.46 (USD 6,850.79) higher than that of the non-biologic treatment (95% confidence interval (CI): 24,548.55-27,465.11), and the change in the ED-5D-3L VAS score from baseline to follow-up was 4.78 points (95% CI: 1.96-14.00). A probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that IBD therapy with biologic-based treatment is always more expensive, but also more effective in improving HRQoL 99.45% of the time. Adalimumab was found to be less cost effective than infliximab in the management of CD. LIMITATIONS: Information bias cannot be ruled out, as this investigation was a retrospective cohort study with a relatively small sample that was not randomized. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this analysis can serve as a foundation to introduce HRQoL-based recommendations for the use of biologics in the management of IBD in Saudi Arabia.

In Vivo Delivery of Cassettes Encoding Anti-HBV Primary MicroRNAs Using an Ancestral Adeno-Associated Viral Vector.

Chronic hepatitis B, a liver disease resulting from persisting hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, remains a global health challenge despite the availability of an effective vaccine. Various preclinical studies using adeno-associated viruses (AAVs) to deliver anti-HBV RNA interference (RNAi) activators to mediate long-lasting HBV silencing show promise. Recent positive outcomes observed in clinical trials and the FDA approval of AAV-based drugs further demonstrate the potential of AAVs in antiviral therapeutic development. However, the prevalence of neutralizing antibodies against vectors based on extant AVV capsids limits the application of these vectors in human. The exciting reports on in silico designed and in vitro synthesized ancestral AAV (Anc80L65) with a potential to evade prevailing AAV neutralizing antibodies will significantly contribute to the success of these vectors in humans. Here, we describe methods for production and in vivo characterization of Anc80L65 expressing anti-HBV RNAi activators.

Gene Therapy for Human Sensorineural Hearing Loss.

Hearing loss is the most common sensory impairment in humans and currently disables 466 million people across the world. Congenital deafness affects at least 1 in 500 newborns, and over 50% are hereditary in nature. To date, existing pharmacologic therapies for genetic and acquired etiologies of deafness are severely limited. With the advent of modern sequencing technologies, there is a vast compendium of growing genetic alterations that underlie human hearing loss, which can be targeted by therapeutics such as gene therapy. Recently, there has been tremendous progress in the development of gene therapy vectors to treat sensorineural hearing loss (SNHL) in animal models in vivo. Nevertheless, significant hurdles remain before such technologies can be translated toward clinical use. These include addressing the blood-labyrinth barrier, engineering more specific and effective delivery vehicles, improving surgical access, and validating novel targets. In this review, we both highlight recent progress and outline challenges associated with in vivo gene therapy for human SNHL.

Efficient Gene Transfer to the Central Nervous System by Single-Stranded Anc80L65.

Adeno-associated viral vectors (AAVs) have demonstrated potential in applications for neurologic disorders, and the discovery that some AAVs can cross the blood-brain barrier (BBB) after intravenous injection has further expanded these opportunities for non-invasive brain delivery. Anc80L65, a novel AAV capsid designed from in silico reconstruction of the viral evolutionary lineage, has previously demonstrated robust transduction capabilities after local delivery in various tissues such as liver, retina, or cochlea, compared with conventional AAVs. Here, we compared the transduction efficacy of Anc80L65 with conventional AAV9 in the CNS after intravenous, intracerebroventricular (i.c.v.), or intraparenchymal injections. Anc80L65 was more potent at targeting the brain and spinal cord after intravenous injection than AAV9, and mostly transduced astrocytes and a wide range of neuronal subpopulations. Although the efficacy of Anc80L65 and AAV9 is similar after direct intraparenchymal injection in the striatum, Anc80L65's diffusion throughout the CNS was more extensive than AAV9 after i.c.v. infusion, leading to widespread EGFP expression in the cerebellum. These findings demonstrate that Anc80L65 is a highly efficient gene transfer vector for the murine CNS. Systemic injection of Anc80L65 leads to notable expression in the CNS that does not rely on a self-complementary genome. These data warrant further testing in larger animal models.

Ancestral Adeno-Associated Virus Vector Delivery of Opsins to Spiral Ganglion Neurons: Implications for Optogenetic Cochlear Implants.

Optogenetics is a transformative technology based on light-sensitive microbial proteins, known as opsins, that enable precise modulation of neuronal activity with pulsed radiant energy. Optogenetics has been proposed as a means to improve auditory implant outcomes by reducing channel interaction and increasing electrode density, but the introduction of opsins into cochlear spiral ganglion neurons (SGNs) in vivo has been challenging. Here we test opsin delivery using a synthetically developed ancestral adeno-associated virus (AAV) vector called Anc80L65. Wild-type C57BL/6 mouse pups were injected via the round window of cochlea with Anc80L65 carrying opsin Chronos under the control of a CAG promoter. Following an incubation of 6-22 weeks, pulsed blue light was delivered to cochlear SGNs via a cochleosotomy approach and flexible optical fiber. Optically evoked auditory brainstem responses (oABRs) and multiunit activity in inferior colliculus (IC) were observed. Post-experiment cochlear histology demonstrated opsin expression in SGNs (mean = 74%), with an even distribution of opsin along the cochlear basal/apical gradient. This study is the first to describe robust SGN transduction, opsin expression, and optically evoked auditory electrophysiology in neonatal mice. Ultimately, this work may provide the basis for a new generation of cochlear implant based on light.

The determinants of pricing in pharmaceuticals: are US prices really so high?

This paper studies price determination in pharmaceutical markets using data for 25 countries, 6 years, and a comprehensive list of products from the MIDAS IMS database. A key finding is that the USA has prices that are not significantly higher than those of countries with similar income levels, especially those that are 'lightly regulated'. More importantly, price differences to the US levels increase for 'branded', world top selling, or innovative products, and decrease, regardless of the level of regulation for mature or widely diffused molecules. Because prices for top selling molecules may be easier to perceive and recollect and more important for companies, they may bias the public discussion about international price differences.