Interactive and lag effects of environmental factors on the density of schistosome-transmitting Oncomelania hupensis: A twelve-year monthly repeated survey.

Schistosomiasis is a significant public health threat, and Oncomelania hupensis is the only intermediate host for schistosoma japonicum. We conducted 12-year monthly repeated surveys to explore the interactive and lag effects of environmental factors on snail density and to monitor their long-term and seasonal trends in a bottomland around the Dongting Lake region in China. Relevant environmental data were obtained from multiple sources. A Bayesian kernel machine regression model and a Bayesian temporal model combined with a distributed lag model were constructed to analyze interactive and lag effects of environmental factors on snail density. The results indicated the average annual snail density in the study site exhibited an increasing and then decreasing trend, peaking in 2013. Snail densities were the highest in October and the lowest in January in a year. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and water level were the most effective predictors of snail density, with potential interactions among temperature, precipitation, and NDVI. The mean minimum temperature in January, water level, precipitation and NDVI were positively correlated with snail density at lags ranging from 1 to 4 months. These findings could serve as references for relevant authorities to monitor the changing trend of snail density and implement control measures, thereby reducing the occurrence of schistosomiasis.

Relationships between water quality of a long-distance inter-basin water diversion project and air pollution emissions along the canal: Distributions, lag effects, and nonlinear responses.

Understanding and quantifying the influences and contributions of air pollution emissions on water quality variations is critically important for surface water quality protection and management. To address this, we created a five-year daily data matrix of six water quality indicators-permanganate index (CODMn), NH3-N, pH, turbidity, conductivity, and dissolved organic matter (DOM)-and six air pollution indicators-O3, CO, NO2, SO2, 2.5 µm particulate matter (PM2.5), and inhalable particles (PM10)-using data from seven national monitoring stations along the world's longest water-diversion project, the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project in China (MR-SNWD). Multivariate techniques (Mann-Kendall, Spearman's correlation, lag correlation, and Generalized Additive Models [GAMs]) were applied to examine the nonlinear relationships and lag effects of air pollution on water quality. Air pollution and water quality exhibited marked spatial heterogeneity along the MR-SNWD, with all water quality parameters meeting Class I or II national standards and the air pollution indicators exceeding those thresholds. Except for CODMn and DOM, the other water quality and air pollution indicators exhibited significant seasonal differences. Air pollution exhibited significant lag effects on water quality at the northern stations, with NO2, SO2, PM2.5, and PM10 being highly correlated with changes in pH, with an average lag of 17 d. Based on the GAMs, lag effects enhanced the significant nonlinear relationships between air pollution and water quality, increasing the average deviance explained for CODMn, NH3-N, and pH by 93%, 24%, and 41%, respectively. These findings provide a scientific basis for protecting water quality along the long-distance inter-basin water-diversion project under anthropogenic air pollution.

Vegetation growth responses to climate change: A cross-scale analysis of biological memory and time lags using tree ring and satellite data.

Vegetation growth is affected by past growth rates and climate variability. However, the impacts of vegetation growth carryover (VGC; biotic) and lagged climatic effects (LCE; abiotic) on tree stem radial growth may be decoupled from photosynthetic capacity, as higher photosynthesis does not always translate into greater growth. To assess the interaction of tree-species level VGC and LCE with ecosystem-scale photosynthetic processes, we utilized tree-ring width (TRW) data for three tree species: Castanopsis eyrei (CE), Castanea henryi (CH, Chinese chinquapin), and Liquidambar formosana (LF, Chinese sweet gum), along with satellite-based data on canopy greenness (EVI, enhanced vegetation index), leaf area index (LAI), and gross primary productivity (GPP). We used vector autoregressive models, impulse response functions, and forecast error variance decomposition to analyze the duration, intensity, and drivers of VGC and of LCE response to precipitation, temperature, and sunshine duration. The results showed that at the tree-species level, VGC in TRW was strongest in the first year, with an average 77% reduction in response intensity by the fourth year. VGC and LCE exhibited species-specific patterns; compared to CE and CH (diffuse-porous species), LF (ring-porous species) exhibited stronger VGC but weaker LCE. For photosynthetic capacity at the ecosystem scale (EVI, LAI, and GPP), VGC and LCE occurred within 96 days. Our study demonstrates that VGC effects play a dominant role in vegetation function and productivity, and that vegetation responses to previous growth states are decoupled from climatic variability. Additionally, we discovered the possibility for tree-ring growth to be decoupled from canopy condition. Investigating VGC and LCE of multiple indicators of vegetation growth at multiple scales has the potential to improve the accuracy of terrestrial global change models.

Decline in reproductive health and its transgenerational lag effect.

In the last two decades, there has been a fast-growing prevalence of infertility reported in China. Moreover, Chinese reproductive health has shown a clear decline. Thus, it is imperative to determine the precipitating causes and the root causes of this decline. Environmental and climate risks (ECRs) may cause the decline in reproductive health. Experimental findings have shown that the impact of ECRs on reproductive health can be passed down from both males and females to their offspring, demonstrating an intergenerational and transgenerational lag effect. We perceive that the declined reproductive health may lead to negative demographic consequences in China; therefore, we suggest the following five regulations be implemented: (i) prevent Chinese of childbearing age from exposure to ECRs; (ii) further develop and promote assisted reproductive technology and set up sperm and ovum banks on a national scale; (iii) quantitatively establish the causality between fathers and mothers who suffer from ECRs and the impaired reproductive health in their progeny; (iv) teach ECRs-health knowledge in psychotherapeutic training and continuing education; and (v) propagate and further promote common prosperity.

Responses of vegetation cover to hydro-climatic variations in Bosten Lake Watershed, NW China.

Amidst the backdrop of global climate change, it is imperative to comprehend the intricate connections among surface water, vegetation, and climatic shifts within watersheds, especially in fragile, arid ecosystems. However, these relationships across various timescales remain unclear. We employed the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) method to analyze the multifaceted dynamics of surface water and vegetation in the Bosten Lake Watershed across multiple temporal scales. This analysis has shed light on how these elements interact with climate change, revealing significant insights. From March to October, approximately 14.9-16.8% of the areas with permanent water were susceptible to receding and drying up. Both the annual and monthly values of Bosten Lake's level and area exhibited a trend of initial decline followed by an increase, reaching their lowest point in 2013 (1,045.0 m and 906.6 km2, respectively). Approximately 7.7% of vegetated areas showed a significant increase in the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). NDVI volatility was observed in 23.4% of vegetated areas, primarily concentrated in the southern part of the study area and near Lake Bosten. Regarding the annual components (6 < T < 24 months), temperature, 3-month cumulative NDVI, and 3-month-leading precipitation exhibited the strongest correlation with changes in water level and surface area. For the interannual components (T≥ 24 months), NDVI, 3-month cumulative precipitation, and 3-month-leading temperature displayed the most robust correlation with alterations in water level and surface area. In both components, NDVI had a negative impact on Bosten Lake's water level and surface area, while temperature and precipitation exerted positive effects. Through comparative analysis, this study reveals the importance of temporal periodicity in developing adaptive strategies for achieving Sustainable Development Goals in dryland watersheds. This study introduces a robust methodology for dissecting trends within scale components of lake level and surface area and links these trends to climate variations and NDVI changes across different temporal scales. The inherent correlations uncovered in this research can serve as valuable guidance for future investigations into surface water dynamics in arid regions.

Risk of heavy metal(loid) compositions in fine particulate matter on acute cardiovascular mortality: a poisson analysis in Anyang, China.

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a risk factor of cardiovascular disease. Associations between PM2.5 compositions and cardiovascular disease are a point of special interest but inconsistent. This study aimed to explore the cardiovascular effects of heavy metal(loid) compositions in PM2.5. Data for mortality, air pollutants and meteorological factors in Anyang, China from 2017 to 2021 were collected. Heavy metal(loid) in PM2.5 were monitored and examined monthly. A Case-crossover design was applied to the estimated data set. The interquartile range increase in cadmium (Cd), antimony (Sb) and arsenic (As) at lag 1 was associated with increment of 8.1% (95% CI: 3.3, 13.2), 4.8% (95% CI: 0.2, 9.5) and 3.5% (95% CI: 1.1, 6.0) cardiovascular mortality. Selenium in lag 2 was inversely associated with cerebrovascular mortality (RR = 0.920 95% CI: 0.862, 0.983). Current-day exposure of aluminum was positively associated with mortality from ischemic heart disease (RR = 1.083 95% CI: 1.001, 1.172). Stratified analysis indicated sex, age and season modified the cardiovascular effects of As (P < 0.05). Our study reveals that heavy metal(loid) play key roles in adverse effects of PM2.5. Cd, Sb and As were significant risk factors of cardiovascular mortality. These findings have potential implications for accurate air pollutants control and management to improve public health benefits.

Quantifying the Impact of Environment Loads on Displacements in a Suspension Bridge with a Data-Driven Approach.

Long-span bridges are susceptible to damage, aging, and deformation in harsh environments for a long time. Therefore, structural health monitoring (SHM) systems need to be used for reasonable monitoring and maintenance. Among various indicators, bridge displacement is a crucial parameter reflecting the bridge's health condition. Due to the simultaneous bearing of multiple environmental loads on suspension bridges, determining the impact of different loads on displacement is beneficial for the better understanding of the health conditions of the bridges. Considering the fact that extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) has higher prediction performance and robustness, the authors of this paper have developed a data-driven approach based on the XGBoost model to quantify the impact between different environmental loads and the displacement of a suspension bridge. Simultaneously, this study combined wavelet threshold (WT) denoising and the variational mode decomposition (VMD) method to conduct a modal decomposition of three-dimensional (3D) displacement, further investigating the interrelationships between different loads and bridge displacements. This model links wind speed, temperature, air pressure, and humidity with the 3D displacement response of the span using the bridge monitoring data provided by the GNSS and Earth Observation for Structural Health Monitoring (GeoSHM) system of the Forth Road Bridge (FRB) in the United Kingdom (UK), thus eliminating the temperature time-lag effect on displacement data. The effects of the different loads on the displacement are quantified individually with partial dependence plots (PDPs). Employing testing, it was found that the XGBoost model has a high predictive effect on the target variable of displacement. The analysis of quantification and correlation reveals that lateral displacement is primarily affected by same-direction wind, showing a clear positive correlation, and vertical displacement is mainly influenced by temperature and exhibits a negative correlation. Longitudinal displacement is jointly influenced by various environmental loads, showing a positive correlation with atmospheric pressure, temperature, and vertical wind and a negative correlation with longitudinal wind, lateral wind, and humidity. The results can guide bridge structural health monitoring in extreme weather to avoid accidents.

Effects of Daily Mean Temperature on Daily Hospital Admissions for Coronary Artery Disease: A Retrospective Study.

Purpose: Temperature changes unfavorably impact on cardiovascular disease. However, the association between temperature changes and coronary artery disease (CAD) is not well documented. This study aimed to explore the association between daily mean temperature and daily CAD hospital admissions on the southeast coast of China (Fuzhou City). Methods: A total of 1883 CAD patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention between 2017 and 2019 were obtained. The severity of CAD was evaluated by the Gensini score. Distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) combined with a quasi-Poisson regression model was used to examine the delayed effect between daily mean temperature and daily CAD hospital admissions. Stratified analyses were performed by Gensini score and severity of lesions. The relative risk (RR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to assess the relationship. Results: Extreme cold (8°C) (RR=0.49, 95% CI: 0.25-0.99) and moderate cold (10°C) (RR=0.56, 95% CI: 0.31-0.99) daily mean temperature with a lag of 0-20 days were correlated with lower risk of daily CAD hospital admissions. Moderate heat (30°C) (RR=1.80, 95% CI: 1.01-3.20) and extreme heat (32°C) (RR=2.02, 95% CI: 1.01-4.04) daily mean temperature with a lag of 0-20 days related to a higher risk of daily CAD hospital admissions. Similar results were observed for daily mean temperature with a lag of 0-25 days. Stratified analysis showed the lagged effect of daily mean temperature (lag 0, 0-5, 0-15, 0-20, and 0-25 days) on the daily CAD hospital admissions was observed only in patients with a Gensini score ≤39 (tertile 1). Conclusion: Cold temperatures may have a protective effect on daily CAD hospital admissions in the Fuzhou area, whereas hot temperatures can have an adverse effect.

Neuroimaging evidence of visual-vestibular interaction accounting for perceptual mislocalization induced by head rotation.

Significance: A fleeting flash aligned vertically with an object remaining stationary in the head-centered space would be perceived as lagging behind the object during the observer's horizontal head rotation. This perceptual mislocalization is an illusion named head-rotation-induced flash-lag effect (hFLE). While many studies have investigated the neural mechanism of the classical visual FLE, the hFLE has been hardly investigated. Aim: We measured the cortical activity corresponding to the hFLE on participants experiencing passive head rotations using functional near-infrared spectroscopy. Approach: Participants were asked to judge the relative position of a flash to a fixed reference while being horizontally rotated or staying static in a swivel chair. Meanwhile, functional near-infrared spectroscopy signals were recorded in temporal-parietal areas. The flash duration was manipulated to provide control conditions. Results: Brain activity specific to the hFLE was found around the right middle/inferior temporal gyri, and bilateral supramarginal gyri and superior temporal gyri areas. The activation was positively correlated with the rotation velocity of the participant around the supramarginal gyrus and negatively related to the hFLE intensity around the middle temporal gyrus. Conclusions: These results suggest that the mechanism underlying the hFLE involves multiple aspects of visual-vestibular interactions including the processing of multisensory conflicts mediated by the temporoparietal junction and the modulation of vestibular signals on object position perception in the human middle temporal complex.

Upland forest retreat lags behind sea-level rise in the mid-Atlantic coast.

Ghost forests consisting of dead trees adjacent to marshes are striking indicators of climate change, and marsh migration into retreating coastal forests is a primary mechanism for marsh survival in the face of global sea-level rise. Models of coastal transgression typically assume inundation of a static topography and instantaneous conversion of forest to marsh with rising seas. In contrast, here we use four decades of satellite observations to show that many low-elevation forests along the US mid-Atlantic coast have survived despite undergoing relative sea-level rise rates (RSLRR) that are among the fastest on Earth. Lateral forest retreat rates were strongly mediated by topography and seawater salinity, but not directly explained by spatial variability in RSLRR, climate, or disturbance. The elevation of coastal tree lines shifted upslope at rates correlated with, but far less than, contemporary RSLRR. Together, these findings suggest a multi-decadal lag between RSLRR and land conversion that implies coastal ecosystem resistance. Predictions based on instantaneous conversion of uplands to wetlands may therefore overestimate future land conversion in ways that challenge the timing of greenhouse gas fluxes and marsh creation, but also imply that the full effects of historical sea-level rise have yet to be realized.

The relationship between hot temperatures and hospital admissions for psychosis in adults diagnosed with schizophrenia: A case-crossover study in Quebec, Canada.

INTRODUCTION: Some studies have found hot temperatures to be associated with exacerbations of schizophrenia, namely psychoses. As climate changes faster in Northern countries, our understanding of the association between temperature and hospital admissions (HA) for psychosis needs to be deepened. OBJECTIVES: 1) Among adults diagnosed with schizophrenia, measure the relationship between mean temperatures and HAs for psychosis during summer. 2) Determine the influence of individual and ecological characteristics on this relationship. METHODS: A cohort of adults diagnosed with schizophrenia (n = 30,649) was assembled using Quebec's Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System (QICDSS). The follow-up spanned summers from 2001 to 2019, using hospital data from the QICDSS and meteorological data from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Daymet database. In four geographic regions of the province of Quebec, a conditional logistic regression was used for the case-crossover analysis of the relationship between mean temperatures (at lags up to 6 days) and HAs for psychosis using a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM). The analyses were adjusted for relative humidity, stratified according to individual (age, sex, and comorbidities) and ecological (material and social deprivation index and exposure to green space) factors, and then pooled through a meta-regression. RESULTS: The statistical analyses revealed a statistically significant increase in HAs three days (lag 3) after elevated mean temperatures corresponding to the 90th percentile relative to a minimum morbidity temperature (MMT) (OR 1.040; 95% CI 1.008-1.074), while the cumulative effect over six days was not statistically significant (OR 1.052; 95% IC 0.993-1.114). Stratified analyses revealed non statistically significant gradients of increasing HAs relative to increasing material deprivation and decreasing green space levels. CONCLUSIONS: The statistical analyses conducted in this project showed the pattern of admissions for psychosis after hot days. This finding could be useful to better plan health services in a rapidly changing climate.

Assessing the policy benefits of constructing "Zero-waste Cities" in China: From the perspective of hazardous waste lifecycle management.

Based on China's quasi-natural experiment of constructing "Zero-waste Cities", this study assessed its policy benefits on hazardous waste lifecycle management. Utilizing the theory of difference-in-differences analysis, the study quantifies the net benefits of the policy in 10 pilot cities using an average treatment effect formula, and the results indicate a reduction of 162,900 tons/year in waste generation, an increase of 2.3 % in utilization and disposal rate, and a decrease of 28,200 tons/year in end-of-pipe storage. By constructing a regression model and employing robustness tests such as changing control variables, substituting the explained variable, re-matching control groups, and random assignment of pilot sites, the study confirms that the significant policy benefits primarily lie in source reduction, with a reduction intensity of approximately 1.73 tons/100 million yuan of industrial GDP. Additionally, by applying the mixed-effects model and mediation-analysis model, the study finds that the policy benefit of source reduction exhibits a lag effect, and during the pilot period, the main approach to achieving the benefit was through enhancing cleaner production in companies rather than adjusting industrial structures in cites.

Impacts of short-term low-level exposure to air pollutants on hospital admissions for pulmonary sepsis in elderly patients.

BACKGROUND: Acute exposures to high levels of air pollutants are thought to be associated with hospitalization of patients with lung infection, while relatively little is known about the association between air pollutants and HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS FOR pulmonary sepsis. OBJECTIVES: To assess the correlation between low-level exposure to air pollutants and the hospitalizations for pulmonary sepsis in elderly patients. METHODS: A total of 249 elderly patients with pulmonary sepsis from January 2018 to December 2020 in Shenzhen people's hospital were included. The data regarding hospitalizations for pulmonary sepsis, meteorological factors, and daily average levels of air pollutants on single-day lags (Lag0 to Lag7) in Shenzhen were collected. Low-level exposure was defined as the annual means of air pollutants below the levels of the Ambient Air Quality Standard (AAQS) in China (NO. GB3095-2012) and/or Global Air Quality Guidelines (AQG). A time-stratified case-crossover study design approach was used to evaluate the associations between exposure to air pollutants and incidence of the disease, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis to analyze the association between levels of air pollutants and hospitalizations for pulmonary sepsis in elderly patients. RESULTS: Exposure to PM1(P = 0.007, Lag 2 day; P = 0.038, Lag6 day), PM2.5(P = 0.046, Lag2 day), PM10(P = 0.048, Lag4 day), and O3(P = 0.044, Lag6 day) was positively correlated with elevated risk of hospitalizations for pulmonary sepsis. In addition, logistic regression analysis revealed that exposure to PM1 (OR = 1.833, 95%CI:1.032 ~ 3.256, Lag6 day) and O3 (OR = 2.091, 95%CI:1.019 ~ 4.289, Lag6 day) were the independent risk factors of pulmonary sepsis in elderly patients. CONCLUSION: Our results demonstrate that short-term low-level exposure to PM1 and O3 could elevate the risk of hospitalizations for pulmonary sepsis in elderly patients in Shenzhen, providing evidence for developing early warning and screening systems for pulmonary sepsis.

Response of vegetation normalized different vegetation index to different meteorological disaster indexes in karst region of Guangxi, China.

Fragile karst areas of Guangxi are the key areas of vegetation protection and restoration work of the government. It is of great significance to study the effects of meteorological disasters on vegetation change for disaster prevention and reduction and ecological protection in the karst areas. The Normalized Differential Vegetation Index (NDVI), as a tool for monitoring vegetation growth, has a strong responsiveness to vegetation and can qualitatively and quantitatively evaluate the vegetation cover and its growth vitality. Therefore, in this study, we analyzed the trend of vegetation change and the impacts of multiple meteorological hazards, such as drought, torrential rainfall, high temperature, and low temperature, on the vegetation of the karst region in Guangxi by using the linear trend method, GIS spatial analysis, and correlation analysis, using the MODIS NDVI and temperature and precipitation information from 2000 to 2020 in the karst region of Guangxi. The results show that: (1) NDVI increased significantly in the karst areas, and 32.2% of the areas had significant improvement in vegetation. The improvement was the most obvious mainly in the central part of the study area, while the vegetation degradation trend was obvious in partial scattered areas in northeast and southwest. (2) On the interannual scale, NDVI was negatively correlated with some meteorological disaster indexes, such as relative humidity index, the number of drought days, the amount of extremely heavy rainstorm, the amount of heavy rainstorm, the number of days with high temperature of ≥35 °C, the number of days with high temperature of 35-37 °C, the number of days with high temperature of ≥37 °C, the minimum temperature, and the effective accumulated temperature of ≤0 °C. The obvious negative effect area of drought on vegetation was mainly concentrated in the middle of the study area, and that of rainfall was mainly distributed in the southwest, northeast and northwest; that of high temperature was mainly distributed in the northwest and northeast, and that of low temperature was mainly concentrated in the southwest and north. (3) On the multi-year monthly scale, the responses of NDVI to drought, high temperature and low temperature disaster indexes had a lag effect, but had no lag effect on rainfall disaster indexes. The lag time of vegetation to drought was 1 month, and the lag time to high temperature and low temperature was 3 months.

Short-term effect of meteorological factors and extreme weather events on daily outpatient visits for dry eye disease between 2013 and 2020: a time-series study in Urumqi, China.

Dry eye disease (DED) is a common disorder of tear secretion on the ocular surface caused by multiple factors with dry eyes as the main symptom, but until now studies focusing on relationship between local meteorological factors and ocular surface diseases in Urumqi are very limited. Besides, the effects of long-term and extreme meteorological factors on DED and the lag effect have not been fully evaluated. Electronic case information of 9970 DED outpatients from the Ophthalmology Department of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University (Urumqi, Xinjiang, China) between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2020, was screened and analyzed. We used a time-series analysis design and a quasi-Poisson generalized linear regression model combined with a distributed lagged nonlinear model (DLNM) to fit the effects of exposure to different meteorological factors and extreme weather on DED outpatient visits. Subgroup analyses were further performed for gender, age, and season. The results showed that exposure to extremely low mean temperature (P1:RR = 1.18), atmospheric pressure (P1:RR = 1.11), and extremely high relative humidity (P99:RR = 1.35) were the risk factors, while extremely high atmospheric pressure (P90:RR = 0.883) and extremely low humidity (P10:RR = 0.856) appeared to have a positive effect on reduced risk of DED. Relative humidity exhibited a 1-day lag effect (RR = 1.06). Increased mean temperature positively affected female DED patients (RR = 0.761) with similar effects in the cold season (RR = 0.926). However, elevated relative humidity had a negative effect on female patients (RR = 1.14). We conducted the first large sample size time-series analysis study in this major city at the farthest distance from the ocean in the world and in northwest China, confirming the association of DED outpatient visits with the remaining three meteorological factors except wind speed in Urumqi, and a larger sample size multi-center epidemiological study with a longer duration is still needed.

Grassland cover dynamics and their relationship with climatic factors in China from 1982 to 2021.

China possesses abundant grassland resources, making it imperative to comprehend the influence of climate change on Chinese grassland ecosystems. Nonetheless, the impact pathways and lag effects of climate factors on various grassland types in this region at multiple temporal scales are still to be investigated in long-term sequences. This study investigated the dynamics of grassland FVC (fractional vegetation cover), temperature, precipitation, and drought from 1982 to 2021 using trend analysis, multiple linear regression, path analysis, and correlation analysis and explored the dominant, direct, indirect, and time-lag effects of climate factors on different grassland types at multiple time scales. Precipitation-grassland correlation pathways dominated the annual-scale grassland FVC. The correlation path of temperature to grassland FVC and the direct path of temperature dominated spring grassland FVC. The correlation path of drought to grassland FVC and the direct path of drought dominated summer grassland FVC. The correlation path of temperature to grassland FVC and the direct path of temperature dominated autumn and winter grassland FVC. The effects of temperature and precipitation on alpine and subalpine meadows, desert grasslands, and alpine and subalpine plains grasslands had a 1-month lag. The response to drought exhibited a 1-month lag in desert grasslands, a 2-month lag in alpine and subalpine meadows, plains grasslands, meadows, and alpine and subalpine plains grasslands, and a 3-month lag in sloped grasslands. This study seeks to provide a scientific reference to reveal the impact of climate change on grasslands and to protect grassland ecosystems.

The Mediating Role of Affective States in Short-Term Effects of Activity Engagement on Working Memory in Older Age.

INTRODUCTION: It has been shown that activity engagement is associated with cognitive ability in older age, but mechanisms behind the associations have rarely been examined. Following a recent study which showed short-term effects of activity engagement on working memory performance appearing 6 h later, this study examined the mediating role of affective states in this process. METHODS: For 7 times per day over 2 weeks, 150 Swiss older adults (aged 65-91 years) reported their present (sociocognitive/passive leisure) activities and affective states (high-arousal positive, low-arousal positive, high-arousal negative, and low-arousal negative) and completed an ambulatory working memory task on a smartphone. RESULTS: Multilevel vector autoregression models showed that passive leisure activities were associated with worse working memory performance 6 h later. Passive leisure activities were negatively associated with concurrent high-arousal positive affect (and high-arousal negative affect); high-arousal positive affect was negatively associated with working memory performance 6 h later. A Sobel test showed a significant mediation effect of high-arousal positive affect linking the time-lagged relationship between passive leisure activities and working memory. Additionally, sociocognitive activities were associated with better working memory performance 6 h later. Sociocognitive activities were associated with concurrent higher high- and low-arousal positive affect, which, however, were not associated with working memory performance 6 h later. Thus, a mediation related to sociocognitive activities was not found. DISCUSSION: Passive leisure activities could influence working memory performance through high-arousal positive affect within a timeframe of several hours. Results are discussed in relation to an emotional, and possibly a neuroendocrine, pathway explaining the time-lagged effects of affective states on working memory performance.

Machine Learning Big Data Analysis of the Impact of Air Pollutants on Rhinitis-Related Hospital Visits.

This study seeks to elucidate the intricate relationship between various air pollutants and the incidence of rhinitis in Seoul, South Korea, wherein it leveraged a vast repository of data and machine learning techniques. The dataset comprised more than 93 million hospital visits (n = 93,530,064) by rhinitis patients between 2013 and 2017. Daily atmospheric measurements were captured for six major pollutants: PM10, PM2.5, O3, NO2, CO, and SO2. We employed traditional correlation analyses alongside machine learning models, including the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), random forest (RF), and gradient boosting machine (GBM), to dissect the effects of these pollutants and the potential time lag in their symptom manifestation. Our analyses revealed that CO showed the strongest positive correlation with hospital visits across all three categories, with a notable significance in the 4-day lag analysis. NO2 also exhibited a substantial positive association, particularly with outpatient visits and hospital admissions and especially in the 4-day lag analysis. Interestingly, O3 demonstrated mixed results. Both PM10 and PM2.5 showed significant correlations with the different types of hospital visits, thus underlining their potential to exacerbate rhinitis symptoms. This study thus underscores the deleterious impacts of air pollution on respiratory health, thereby highlighting the importance of reducing pollutant levels and developing strategies to minimize rhinitis-related hospital visits. Further research considering other environmental factors and individual patient characteristics will enhance our understanding of these intricate dynamics.

Natural and socio-environmental factors contribute to the transmissibility of COVID-19: evidence from an improved SEIR model.

COVID-19 has ravaged Brazil, and its spread showed spatial heterogeneity. Changes in the environment have been implicated as potential factors involved in COVID-19 transmission. However, considerable research efforts have not elucidated the risk of environmental factors on COVID-19 transmission from the perspective of infectious disease dynamics. The aim of this study is to model the influence of the environment on COVID-19 transmission and to analyze how the socio-ecological factors affecting the probability of virus transmission in 10 states dramatically shifted during the early stages of the epidemic in Brazil. First, this study used a Pearson correlation to analyze the interconnection between COVID-19 morbidity and socio-ecological factors and identified factors with significant correlations as the dominant factors affecting COVID-19 transmission. Then, the time-lag effect of dominant factors on the morbidity of COVID-19 was investigated by constructing a distributed lag nonlinear model and standard two-stage meta-analytic model, and the results were considered in the improved SEIR model. Lastly, a machine learning method was introduced to explore the nonlinear relationship between the environmental propagation probability and socio-ecological factors. By analyzing the impact of environmental factors on virus transmission, it can be found that population mobility directly caused by human activities had a greater impact on virus transmission than temperature and humidity. The heterogeneity of meteorological factors can be accounted for by the diverse climate patterns in Brazil. The improved SEIR model was adopted to explore the interconnection of COVID-19 transmission and the environment, which revealed a new strategy to probe the causal links between them.

Precipitation governing vegetation patterns in an arid or semi-arid environment.

In an arid or semi-arid environment, precipitation plays a vital role in vegetation growth. Recent researches reveal that the response of vegetation growth to precipitation has a lag effect. To explore the mechanism behind the lag phenomenon, we propose and investigate a water-vegetation model with spatiotemporal nonlocal effects. It is shown that the temporal kernel function does not affect Turing bifurcation. For better understanding the influences of lag effect and nonlocal competition on the vegetation pattern formation, we choose some special kernel functions and obtain some insightful results: (i) Time delay does not trigger the vegetation pattern formation, but can postpone the evolution of vegetation. In addition, in the absence of diffusion, time delay can induce the occurrence of stability switches, while in the presence of diffusion, spatially nonhomogeneous time-periodic solutions may emerge, but there are no stability switches; (ii) The spatial nonlocal interaction may trigger the pattern onset for small diffusion ratio of water and vegetation, and can change the number and size of isolated vegetation patches for large diffusion ratio. (iii) The interaction between time delay and spatial nonlocal competition may induce the emergence of traveling wave patterns, so that the vegetation remains periodic in space, but is oscillating in time. These results demonstrate that precipitation can significantly affect the growth and spatial distribution of vegetation.