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PURPOSE: Existing studies found that school closure during the COVID-19 pandemic negatively influenced adolescents' mental health. Yet, it remains unclear how adolescent mental health changed during the transition of school reopening as well as the academic-related risk and protective factors. METHODS: Immediately before (April 2020) and three months (July 2020) after school reopening, 879 adolescents in Shanghai, China (mean age = 13.14 years, standard deviation = 1.31, 51% girls) completed online surveys and reported on their mental health (i.e., depressive symptoms, anxiety symptoms, and anger problems). Adolescents also reported perceived academic stress and academic orientations (i.e., performance orientation and mastery orientation) before school reopening. RESULTS: Adolescents reported decreased depressive symptoms, anxiety symptoms, and anger problems three months after school reopening. Adolescents who reported higher perceived academic stress and performance orientation showed elevated mental health symptoms after school reopening, whereas those reported higher mastery orientation showed decreased anger problems. Higher mastery orientation buffered the negative influence of academic stress on mental health. DISCUSSION: The findings not only demonstrate the positive influence of school reopening on Chinese adolescents' mental health but also highlight the role of perceived academic stress and academic orientations in contributing to individual differences during this transition.
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In response to the global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, international and national authorities, including those in Catalonia (Spain), recognized the crucial need to ensure proper ventilation in classrooms, emphasizing the importance of safe and healthy indoor environments for face-to-face learning. The present work, conducted within the COVID-19 Sentinel Schools Network of Catalonia (CSSNC) framework, aimed to monitor carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations in 23 schools, ensuring a comprehensive sample regarding educational levels, daily scholar schedules, and classroom typologies distributed across the four provinces of Catalonia. The research spanned three study periods: March and April 2021, October 2021 to January 2022, and March to June 2022. Briefly, 28%, 25%, and 37% of classrooms surpassed the 700 parts per million (ppm) CO2 limit in each study period, respectively. Generally, CO2 averages were lower in preschool classrooms (mean ± SD = 486 ± 106 ppm), while high school classrooms displayed the highest CO2 concentrations (mean ± SD = 710 ± 253 ppm). Moreover, classrooms in towns (<30000 inhabitants) exhibited higher CO2 levels as compared to classrooms from schools located in cities. As for NO2, the highest averages were obtained in urban areas, particularly in the Barcelona metropolitan area (e.g. mean indoor levels of 24.56 µg m-3 as compared to 11.05 µg m-3 in towns). In addition, the Indoor/Outdoor ratio (I/O ratio) in towns was the lowest (0.60). These results, together with the higher concentration of CO2 indoors, could indicate poorer ventilation in town schools. The results of this study are anticipated to contribute to implementing evidence-based measures to improve indoor air quality (IAQ) in educational settings.
Subject(s)
Air Pollution, Indoor , COVID-19 , Carbon Dioxide , Environmental Monitoring , Nitrogen Dioxide , Schools , Carbon Dioxide/analysis , Spain , Schools/statistics & numerical data , COVID-19/epidemiology , Humans , Nitrogen Dioxide/analysis , Air Pollution, Indoor/analysis , Air Pollution, Indoor/statistics & numerical data , Environmental Monitoring/methods , Air Pollutants/analysis , SARS-CoV-2 , VentilationABSTRACT
PURPOSE: Spontaneous closure of idiopathic full-thickness macular holes (iFTMH) has been reported regularly. However, little is known about its probability and timeline. METHODS: In this retrospective study all consecutive patients who presented between August 2008 and August 2019 were screened for the presence of a macular hole and only iFTMHs were included. The primary outcome measure was the spontaneous closure of the iFTMH. RESULTS: Of 1256 eyes with macular holes, 338 fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Spontaneous closure of the iFTMH was detected in 31 eyes (9.2%) with a median time of 44 days after diagnosis. Eyes exhibiting spontaneous closure demonstrated a higher baseline best-corrected visual-acuity (BCVA) and smaller iFTMH diameter (p < 0.0001 and p < 0.0001, respectively). The mean BCVA improved from 0.4 logMAR (SD ± 0.21) to 0.29 logMAR (SD ± 0.20) after spontaneous closure (p = 0.031). The iFTMH diameter was positively correlated with the time to spontaneous closure (Pearson-r = 0.37, p = 0.0377). Spontaneously closed iFTMHs reopened in 16% (n = 5) of cases, with a median of 136 days after closure. A logistic regression model showed the hole diameter was associated with spontaneous closure (odds-Ratio 0.97, 95%CI [0.96, 0.98]). The Kaplan-Meier-Curve revealed that approximately 25% of small-iFTMH (n = 124) and 55% of iFTMH with a diameter < 150µm (n = 48) closed spontaneously within two months. CONCLUSION: The established gold-standard for the treatment of iFTMHs is macular surgery. However, the potential for spontaneous closure of small iFTMHs must be acknowledged. Therefore, if surgical treatment is delayed in individual cases, close observation is recommended.
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PURPOSE: This study retrospectively evaluated the efficacy and versatility of reopening procedures for the permanent occlusion of the cartilaginous Eustachian tube (POET) by analyzing four consecutive cases. METHODS: The study included all patients diagnosed with POET who suffered from Eustachian tube occlusion and glue ear. A combined approach of endoscopic transnasal/transoral laser surgery was utilized to reopen the POET. This was subsequently followed by balloon dilation (BET) and stenting for a duration of six weeks. In one distinct case, the Eustachian tube orifice was approached via a transtympanic method, where a balloon catheter was placed. The primary outcome measures targeted the success rate of reopening, which was quantified using audiological outcomes and Eustachian tube patency verified by a positive Valsalva maneuver. RESULTS: Four patients, with an age range of 14-62 years (mean age of 29.3 years), were subject to Eustachian tube reopening. The duration of follow-up varied between 10 and 24 months, averaging at 16.2 months. Notably, 75% of the surgically treated ears displayed no evidence of glue ear upon their last follow-up and showed restoration of Eustachian tube patency. The procedures were executed without any surgical complications. The causes for POET in these patients were heterogeneous: two were attributed to scarring post adenoidectomy, one to occlusion following orthognathic surgery and the remaining one due to prior radiotherapy treatment for squamous cell carcinoma located at the soft palate. DISCUSSION: Total occlusion of the cartilaginous Eustachian tube may be linked to persistent middle ear diseases. It is imperative to conduct nasopharyngeal endoscopy in these cases. The findings from this study suggest that the Eustachian tube reopening procedure is predominantly effective and safe for patients with POET stemming from a variety of pathologies. Future research should focus on exploring advanced stenting devices and necessitate longer follow-up periods for comprehensive understanding.
Subject(s)
Ear Diseases , Eustachian Tube , Laser Therapy , Otitis Media , Humans , Adult , Adolescent , Young Adult , Middle Aged , Eustachian Tube/surgery , Eustachian Tube/pathology , Retrospective Studies , Ear Diseases/surgery , Otitis Media/surgery , Laser Therapy/methods , Dilatation/methods , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
Introduction: School-based COVID-19 testing may be an effective strategy for reducing transmission in schools and keeping schools open. The study objective was to examine community perspectives on school-based COVID-19 testing as a mitigation strategy to support safe school reopening. Methods: We conducted a qualitative study in Yakima County, an agricultural region of Washington state, where over half of residents are Hispanic/Latino. From June to July 2021, we interviewed 18 students (13 years old, on average) and 19 school employees, and conducted four focus groups (2 in Spanish, 2 in English) with 26 parents. We audio-recorded the semi-structured interviews and focus group discussions which were then transcribed. We used an inductive, constant comparison approach to code the transcripts and conducted a thematic analysis to generate themes. Results: We identified four main themes. Students, parents, and school employees desired a return to in-person learning (Theme 1). Schools implemented numerous COVID-19 mitigation strategies (e.g., masking) to facilitate a safe return to school but felt that adding testing would not be feasible due to a lack of resources and overworked staff (Theme 2). Parents and school employees' familiarity with COVID-19 testing procedures influenced their support for testing (Theme 3). Parents and school employees felt there were inadequate resources for individuals who test positive for COVID-19 (Theme 4). Discussion: Schools require adequate resources and medical personnel to implement COVID-19 testing. Individuals also need resources after testing positive, including physical space to isolate, financial resources for those without paid time off, and delivery of food and other necessities to households in rural communities.
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COVID-19 , Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice , Adolescent , Humans , Agriculture , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Testing , Emotions , Schools , Rural Population , Health Services AccessibilityABSTRACT
The COVID-19 pandemic produced the most significant disruption in education in history. More than 190 countries suspended in-person instruction, affecting an estimated 1.6 billion students. The reopening of schools has been unequal. Schools in more affluent areas reopened sooner than poorer ones, exacerbating preexisting inequalities. There is limited research about the reopening processes in Latin America, where schools were closed for extended periods. Using a rich administrative dataset, we investigate the gaps in the resumption of in-person instruction in Chilean schools across socioeconomic groups in the fall of 2021. Schools with lower socioeconomic status were significantly less likely to offer in-person instruction. Disparities in reopening decisions were associated with administrative factors rather than economic or local epidemiological conditions.
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U.S. states are often the primary decision makers during a public health crisis. The COVID-19 pandemic led to several different reopening processes across states based on their unique characteristics. We analyze whether states' reopening policy decisions were driven by their public health preparedness, resources, COVID-19 impact, or state politics and political culture. To do so, we summarized state characteristics and compared them across three categories of reopening scores in a bivariate analysis using the chi-square or Fisher exact test for the categorical variables and a one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) for the continuous variables. A cumulative logit model was used to assess the primary research question. A significant factor in a state's reopening decision was the party of the governor, regardless of the party in control of the legislature, state political culture, public health preparedness, cumulative number of deaths per 100,000, and Opportunity Index score.
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COVID-19 , Mustelidae , Humans , Animals , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pandemics , Analysis of Variance , Correlation of Data , PoliticsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: To investigate the prevalence and predictors of retinal breaks reopening after vitrectomy with air tamponade in rhegmatogenous retinal detachment (RRD). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted in Shanghai General Hospital. Chart review was performed among 1715 patients with primary RRD who received pars plana vitrectomy (PPV) with air tamponade as initial management. Patients were followed up for recurrence. The clinical features of the eyes with retinal breaks reopening were recorded. Logistic regression was constructed to investigate the predictors for breaks reopening. RESULTS: A total of 137 (7.99%) patients had recurrent retinal detachment after PPV with air tamponade. The causes of surgery failure included new or missed retinal breaks (48.9%), reopening of original tears (43.8%) and proliferative vitreoretinopathy (7.3%). The median time to recurrence for the patients with breaks reopening was 18.0 days. Multivariate logistic regression indicated that the presence of retinal break(s) ≥ 1.5 disc diameters (DD) (odds ratio [OR]: 2.68, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 11.04-6.92, P = 0.041), and shorter period for restricted activities (OR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89-0.99, P = 0.020) were the independent predictors for breaks reopening. CONCLUSIONS: Breaks reopening is an important cause for retinal redetachment after PPV with air tamponade in primary RRD. The first 2-4 weeks after surgery is the "risk period" for breaks reopening. Special attention should be paid for patients with retinal break(s) ≥ 1.5 DD. A prolonged period for restricted activities is recommended.
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This paper focuses on a new test method and theoretical model for measuring and evaluating the reopening pressure during hot dry rock hydraulic fracturing. Firstly, rock blocks of four lithologies were collected from the hot dry rock strata. Hydraulic fracturing tests at high temperatures in real-time were conducted using drilled cubic specimens and drilled cubic specimens with a pre-crack. Breakdown pressure, reopening pressure, and fracture toughness were measured, respectively. In addition, Brazilian splitting tests at high temperatures in real-time were performed using Brazilian disc specimens to measure tensile strength. Secondly, an empirical equation for evaluating the reopening pressure during hot dry rock secondary fracturing was developed based on fracture mechanics and hydraulic fracturing theory. Third, the values calculated by the new equation, considering breakdown pressure, fracture toughness, and tensile strength, were compared to the values determined by the classical equation and to measurement results. It was found that the new equation predicted closer reopening pressure to the measurement results, regardless of the lithology of the hot dry rock. Moreover, with increasing temperature in the specimens, the error between the value calculated by the new equation and the measurement value remained low. In contrast, the difference between the classical equation predictions and the measurement results was widened. In addition, the reopening pressure was positively correlated with tensile strength and fracture toughness. Variations in lithology and temperature affected tensile strength and fracture toughness, which then changed the hot dry rock reopening pressure.
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BACKGROUND: Hyperhomocysteinemia is associated with an increased risk for cardiovascular diseases. The influence of hyperhomocysteinemia on post-operative events, after coronary artery bypass surgery graft, is less studied. METHODS: This cross-sectional study aimed to determine if hyperhomocysteinemia was associated with post-operative complications in patients < 50 years who underwent off-pump coronary artery bypass graft for coronary artery disease. A set of major post-operative complications were considered as primary outcome measures. The independent effect of hyperhomocysteinemia and other risk factors in the incidence of post-operative complications was determined by multivariate analysis. RESULTS: The mean homocysteine levels among the study participants who had post-operative complications were significantly higher than those without post-operative complications (17.37â mmol/L vs. 12.84â mmol/L). On multivariate analysis, hyperhomocysteinemia, diabetes mellitus, and higher body mass index (> 25) were significant predictors of adverse events during the post-operative period. CONCLUSION: Hyperhomocysteinemia was a significant predictor of immediate post-operative adverse events after coronary artery bypass surgery graft. Necessary precautions and management strategies have to be evolved for these high-risk subsets.
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Coronary Artery Bypass, Off-Pump , Coronary Artery Disease , Hyperhomocysteinemia , Humans , Hyperhomocysteinemia/complications , Hyperhomocysteinemia/diagnosis , Hyperhomocysteinemia/epidemiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Coronary Artery Bypass/adverse effects , Coronary Artery Disease/surgery , Coronary Artery Bypass, Off-Pump/adverse effects , Risk Factors , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Treatment Outcome , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Past research has demonstrated a "reopening phenomenon" of increased firearm violence associated with the initial lifting of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic-related restrictions after the first wave. Now, with widespread societal reemergence from stay-at-home measures, we hypothesize another spike in firearm violence in the United States (US). Thus, the purpose of this study was to evaluate the trends in firearm violence before and after extensive community reopenings during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: The Gun Violence Archive was utilized to collect data on daily firearm violence incidents, injuries, and deaths as well as on types of firearm violence. Mann-Whitney U-tests were performed for trends and types of firearm violence "before" (12/14/20-4/9/21) versus "after" (4/10/21-7/31/21) widespread societal reopening in the US. Additional analyses also sought to compare the after reopening time-period to historical data (2017-2020) of similar calendar dates, to better control for possible annual/seasonal variation. RESULTS: Median daily firearm violence incidents (153 versus 176, P < 0.001), injuries (89 versus 121, P < 0.001) and deaths (54 versus 58, P < 0.001) increased from before versus after reopening. Compared to all historical years, in the after reopening time-period there were consistent increases in total as well as mass shooting incidents/injuries/deaths (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Firearm violence incidents, injuries, and deaths increased after societal reemergence from the COVID-19 pandemic. In addition, there has been an increase in mass shootings despite a relative lull initially brought on by the pandemic. This suggests the "reopening phenomenon" has worsened an already substantial national firearm epidemic.
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COVID-19 , Firearms , Gun Violence , Wounds, Gunshot , Humans , United States , Pandemics , COVID-19/epidemiology , Violence , Wounds, Gunshot/epidemiologyABSTRACT
During the COVID-19 pandemic, some countries, such as Australia, China, Iceland, New Zealand, Thailand, and Vietnam successfully implemented an elimination strategy, enacting strict border control and periods of lockdowns to end community transmission. Atlantic Canada and Canada's territories implemented similar policies, and reported long periods with no community cases. In Newfoundland and Labrador (NL), Nova Scotia, and Prince Edward Island a median of 80% or more of daily reported cases were travel-related from July 1, 2020 to May 31, 2021. With increasing vaccination coverage, it may be appropriate to exit an elimination strategy, but most existing epidemiological frameworks are applicable only to situations where most cases occur in the community, and are not appropriate for regions that have implemented an elimination strategy. To inform the pandemic response in regions that are implementing an elimination strategy, we extend importation modelling to consider post-arrival travel restrictions, and pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions in the local community. We find that shortly after the Omicron variant had begun spreading in Canada, the expected daily number of spillovers, infections spread to NL community members from travellers and their close contacts, was higher than any time previously in the pandemic. By December 24, 2021, the expected number of spillovers was 44% higher than the previous high, which occurred in late July 2021 shortly after travel restrictions were first relaxed. We develop a method to assess the characteristics of potential future community outbreaks in regions that are implementing an elimination strategy. We apply this method to predict the effect of variant and vaccination coverage on the size of hypothetical community outbreaks in Mount Pearl, a suburb of the St. John's metropolitan area in NL. Our methodology can be used to evaluate alternative plans to relax public health restrictions when vaccine coverage is high in regions that have implemented an elimination strategy. This manuscript was submitted as part of a theme issue on "Modelling COVID-19 and Preparedness for Future Pandemics".
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COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Pandemics/prevention & control , Travel , Communicable Disease Control , Travel-Related IllnessABSTRACT
COVID-19 remains a major public health concern, with large resurgences even where there has been widespread uptake of vaccines. Waning immunity and the emergence of new variants will shape the long-term burden and dynamics of COVID-19. We explore the transition to the endemic state, and the endemic incidence in British Columbia (BC), Canada and South Africa (SA), to compare low and high vaccination coverage settings with differing public health policies, using a combination of modelling approaches. We compare reopening (relaxation of public health measures) gradually and rapidly as well as at different vaccination levels. We examine how the eventual endemic state depends on the duration of immunity, the rate of importations, the efficacy of vaccines and the transmissibility. These depend on the evolution of the virus, which continues to undergo selection. Slower reopening leads to a lower peak level of incidence and fewer overall infections in the wave following reopening: as much as a 60% lower peak and a 10% lower total in some illustrative simulations; under realistic parameters, reopening when 70% of the population is vaccinated leads to a large resurgence in cases. The long-term endemic behaviour may stabilize as late as January 2023, with further waves of high incidence occurring depending on the transmissibility of the prevalent variant, duration of immunity, and antigenic drift. We find that long term endemic levels are not necessarily lower than current pandemic levels: in a population of 100,000 with representative parameter settings (Reproduction number 5, 1-year duration of immunity, vaccine efficacy at 80% and importations at 3 cases per 100K per day) there are over 100 daily incident cases in the model. Predicted prevalence at endemicity has increased more than twofold after the emergence and spread of Omicron. The consequent burden on health care systems depends on the severity of infection in immunized or previously infected individuals.
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COVID-19 , Pandemics , Humans , Pandemics/prevention & control , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Vaccination , Biological Transport , Public HealthABSTRACT
This study aimed to analyze the risk and protective factors affecting the COVID-19 anxiety of primary school students after the reopening. It was investigated how primary school students' parents' vaccination, and COVID-19 cases seen at school, knowledge and awareness directly or indirectly explained their individual and social COVID-19 anxiety. The data were obtained from 227 primary school students living in different regions of Turkey. Pandemic Awareness Scale, Pandemic Anxiety Scale, Pandemic Information Test and Information Form were used to obtain the data. The data were analyzed by path analysis. According to the results, the case seen at school, knowledge and awareness of COVID-19 directly and significantly predicted primary school students' individual and social COVID-19 anxiety. Vaccination of parents, on the other hand, directly significantly predicted social COVID-19 anxiety of primary school students, but did not significantly predict individual COVID-19 anxiety. In addition, in this effect, awareness of COVID-19 mediates the knowledge of COVID-19, and cases seen at school mediate the vaccination of parents. The obtained model showed a good fit. According to the results, primary school students' knowledge and awareness about COVID-19 and parents' vaccination reduced their anxieties, and COVID-19 cases seen at school increased their anxiety.
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Objective: To quantify students' risk tolerance for in-person classes and willingness-to-pay for online-only instruction during the COVID-19 pandemic. Participants: 46 Columbia University public health graduate students. Methods: We developed a survey tool with a "standard gamble" exercise administered online by an interactive chat bot with full anonymity by students. Students were asked to trade between the risk of infection with COVID-19 and: (1) attending classes in-person, and (2) attending community parties. We also assessed willingness-to-pay for online-only tuition. Results: Students accepted a 23% (standard error [SE]: 4%) risk of infection to attend classes in-person and 15% of them expressed willingness to attend community parties even if the COVID-19 prevalence were high. Students were willing-to-pay only 48% (SE: 3%) of the regular, in-person tuition fees for online instruction. Conclusions: Public health students with a strong knowledge of COVID-19 transmission were willing to accept a significant risk of infection for in-person instruction.Trial registration:NA.
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COVID-19 , Students , Humans , Pandemics , Students, Public Health , Universities , COVID-19/epidemiology , Risk-TakingABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Hypothesis: School reopening had a significant impact on COVID-19 infection rates across USA states. METHODS: Eight states with fully reopened public schools were studied. States who did not previously have stay-at-home orders for a minimum of 30 days were excluded from the study so that increases in infection rates would be solely due to the economies of reopening. This study used event study methodology with a 30-day estimation window. This allowed us to determine if increases in COVID-19 infection rates were significant following schools reopening. RESULTS: Eight states were analyzed, and seven of the states had positive and significant COVID-19 infection increases. The other state's increase was negative and significant. CONCLUSIONS: This study found that reopening of schools had an initial 5-day increase in COVID-19 infections in seven of eight states whose data were examined. With schools being re-opened nationwide in Fall 2021, this indicates that with the Delta variant there is an expected significant increase in infections.
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COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , SchoolsABSTRACT
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused major disruptions to U.S. school systems since March 2020. To facilitate our understanding of how school nurses participated in school reopening and what support school nurses needed beginning the 2020-2021 school year during the COVID-19 pandemic, we conducted a national survey in late summer 2020. A sample of 747 school nurses from 43 states responded to an online survey about roles, practices, and concerns. Over one-third (36.9%) reported not being included in school reopening planning. Mitigation practices reported by respondents primarily included measuring temperatures of students before school (21.3%), mask wearing by students (79.9%), and 6 feet social distancing (76.7%). The respondents' greatest concerns were the educational impact on students with individualized education plans, parents sending children to school with COVID-19 symptoms, and the economic impact on families. Our results point to opportunities for greater school nurse involvement, improvements in practices, and measures to address school nurses' concerns.
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COVID-19 , Nurses , Child , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pandemics , Students , SchoolsABSTRACT
Purpose: Nearly all schools in the United States closed in spring 2020, at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. We analyze traditional public and charter school reopenings for the 2020-21 school year in five urban districts. We provide a rich and theoretically grounded description of how and why educational leaders made reopening decisions in each of our case districts. Research Methods: We used data from a multiple-case study from March 2020 to July 2021. The research team conducted 56 interviews with school, district, and system-level leaders; triangulated with publicly available data; and also drew on interview data from a subsample of parents and guardians in each of our sites. We analyzed these data through qualitative coding and memo writing and conducted detailed single- and cross-case analyses. Findings: School system leaders in our case sites generally consulted public health authorities, accounted for state-level health and educational guidance, and engaged with and were responsive to the interests of different stakeholders. Districts' adherence to and strategic uses of public health guidance, as well as a combination of union-district relations and labor market dynamics, influenced reopening. Parents, city, and state lawmakers, and local institutional conditions also played a role, helping to explain differences across cases. Implications: In contrast to the "politics or science" framing that has dominated research and public discourse on school reopening, we show that local pandemic conditions and local political dynamics both mattered and in fact were interrelated. Our findings have some implications for how educational leaders might navigate future crises.
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Due to the COVID-19 Pandemic, the decision to reopen schools for in-person instruction has become a pressing policy issue. This study examines what overall factors drive public support for schools re-opening in person and whether members of the public are willing to comply with school re-opening decisions based on their own preferences and/or the level of government from which the order comes. Through two rounds of national surveys with an embedded experiment, I find consistent evidence that 1) trust in information from elites - not contact with COVID - best explain preferences for reopening, 2) political ideology and racial and class identification help explain preferences as well, and 3) the President of the United States is best positioned to generate compliance with a school reopening mandate. This study suggests that politics - not public health - drives public support for schools reopening and compliance with government orders to reopen.
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Objective: After emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent restrictions, countries worldwide have sought to reopen as quickly as possible. However, reopening involves the risk of epidemic rebound. In this study, we investigated the effective policy combination to ensure safe reopen. Methods: On the basis of the classical SEIR epidemic model, we constructed a COVID-19 system dynamics model, incorporating vaccination, border screening, and fever clinic unit monitoring policies. The case of China was used to validate the model and then to test policy combinations for safe reopening. Findings: Vaccination was found to be crucial for safe reopening. When the vaccination rate reached 60%, the daily number of newly confirmed COVID-19 cases began to drop significantly and stabilized around 1,400 [1/1,000,000]. The border screening policy alone only delayed epidemic spread for 8 days but did not reduce the number of infections. Fever clinic unit monitoring alone could reduce the peak of new confirmed cases by 44% when the case identification rate rose from 20 to 80%. When combining polices, once the vaccination rate reached 70%, daily new confirmed cases stabilized at 90 [0.64/1,000,000] with an 80% case identification rate at fever clinic units and border screening. For new variants, newly confirmed cases did not stabilize until the vaccination rate reached 90%. Conclusion: High vaccination rate is the base for reopening. Vaccination passport is less effective compared with a strong primary care monitoring system for early detection and isolation of the infected cases.