Update on the management of ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast: current approach and future perspectives.

The standard treatment for ductal carcinoma in situ became well established through the results of several valuable clinical trials, and its therapeutic benefits have now come to be taken for granted. Ductal carcinoma in situ has an extremely good prognosis with the current treatment approach, with a 10-year breast cancer-specific survival rate of 97-98%. According to one retrospective cohort study, the breast cancer-specific survival rate of patients with low-grade ductal carcinoma in situ does not differ significantly between patients undergoing and not undergoing surgery. Some patients with ductal carcinoma in situ are not at a risk of progression to invasive cancer, but the predictors of such progression have not yet been clearly identified. Therefore, the same therapeutic strategies have been used to treat ductal carcinoma in situ and under the assumption that they have risks of invasive breast cancer, and a well-balanced risk/benefit ratio in respect of treatment has not yet been achieved. Based on the results of several recent clinical trials aimed at ensuring provision of a well-balanced treatment for patients with ductal carcinoma in situ which carries a good prognosis, de-escalation of postoperative adjuvant therapy has now begun. Currently, not only is the optimization of postoperative adjuvant therapy accelerating, but also clinical trials to de-escalate basic surgical treatments are under way. There is a possibility of achieving individualized treatment for patients with ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast with reduced treatment intervention. In this review, we present an overview of the current treatment approaches and potential future management strategies for ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast.

Late subsequent Merkel cell carcinoma after 21 years of the first primary diagnosis: When to de-escalate surveillance?

Key Clinical Message: Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) presents challenges in surveillance due to varied recurrence rates and uncertain follow-up protocols, especially in late recurrent cases. These cases need personalized monitoring strategies beyond traditional timelines, such as clinical and molecular factors, in order to optimize patient outcomes. Abstract: Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) is a rare, aggressive skin cancer with neuroendocrine differentiation with a propensity for recurrence following initial treatment. Surveillance strategies for MCC patients lack specificity, and the duration of surveillance remains uncertain, posing challenges in identifying appropriate follow-up intervals. Therefore, we present a 94-year-old woman, with history of stage IA MCC in her left nasal wall 21 years prior, that presented with a dome-shaped eroded nodule on her left fifth finger. Biopsy showed characteristic MCC features with positive immunohistochemistry for CD56, synaptophysin, and CK20 (perinuclear dotting). The patient opted against further imaging or lymph node biopsy and underwent Mohs micrographic surgery. To date, there has not been any evidence of recurrence at previous sites or development of new primary lesions. This case underscores the need for ongoing surveillance despite long disease-free intervals. It also stands out as the case demonstrating the longest latency/recurrence-free interval following the initial diagnosis of MCC in the literature. While most recurrences occur within the first few years post-diagnosis, our case highlights the exceptional nature of late recurrences and prompts reevaluation of surveillance protocols. Current guidelines recommend surveillance for up to 3 years post-treatment, but factors, such as patient demographics and tumor characteristics, may warrant extended monitoring periods. Emerging biomarkers, such as Merkel cell polyomavirus status and circulating tumor DNA, show promise in predicting and monitoring recurrences, but their utility in late recurrence detection requires further investigation.

A multidisciplinary team and patient perspective on omission of surgery after neoadjuvant systemic therapy for early breast cancer: A European Society of Surgical Oncology (ESSO) Research Academy survey.

BACKGROUND: Surgical de-escalation aims to reduce morbidity without compromising oncological outcomes. Trials to de-escalate breast cancer (BC) surgery among exceptional responders after neoadjuvant systemic therapy (NST) are ongoing. Combined patient and clinician insights on this strategy are unknown. METHODS: The European Society of Surgical Oncology Young Surgeons Alumni Club (EYSAC) performed an online survey to evaluate the perspective of multidisciplinary teams (MDTs) on omission of surgery ("no surgery") following complete response to NST for early BC. The aim was to identify MDT considerations and perceived barriers to omission of BC surgery. Patient insights were obtained through a focused group discussion (FGD) with four members of the patient advocacy group, Guiding Researchers and Advocates to Scientific Partnerships (GRASP). RESULTS: The MDT survey had 248 responses, with 229 included for analysis. Criteria for a "no surgery" approach included: patient's tumor and nodal status before (39.7 %) and after (45.9 %) NST and comorbidities (44.3 %). The majority chose standard surgery for hypothetical cases with a complete response to NST. Barriers for implementation were lack of definitive trials (55.9 %), "no surgery" not being discussed in MDTs (28.8 %) and lack of essential diagnostic or therapeutic options (24 %). Patients expressed communication gaps about BC surgery, lack of trust regarding accuracy of imaging, fear of regret and psychosocial burden of choosing less extensive surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Before accepting "no surgery" after complete response to NST, MDTs and patients need level 1 evidence from clinical trials, access to standard diagnostic modalities and treatments. Patient's fear of regretting less surgery need to be acknowledged and addressed.

Strategies for optimal management of pediatric acute agitation in emergency settings.

Acute agitation in youth is a challenging presentation to the emergency department. In many cases, however, youth can be behaviorally de-escalated using a combination of environmental modification and verbal de-escalation. In cases where additional strategies such as pharmacologic de-escalation or physical restraint are needed, using the least restrictive means possible, including the youth in the decision-making process, and providing options are important. This paper reviews specific considerations on the approach to a youth with acute agitation and strategies and techniques to successfully de-escalate agitated youth who pose a danger to themselves and/or others.

Re-Evaluating the Omission of Radiation Therapy in Low-Risk Patients With Early-Stage Breast Cancer.

Traditionally, management of early-stage breast cancer has required adjuvant radiation therapy following breast conserving surgery, due to decreased local recurrence and breast cancer mortality. However, over the past decade, there has been an increasing emphasis on potential overtreatment of patients with early-stage breast cancer. This has given rise to questions of how to optimize deintensification of treatment in this cohort of patients while maintaining clinical outcomes. A multitude of studies have focused on identification of a subset of patients with invasive breast cancer who were at low risk of local recurrence based on clinicopathologic features and therefore suitable for RT omission. These studies have failed to identify a subset that does not from RT with respect to local control. Several ongoing trials are evaluating alternative approaches to deintensification while focusing on tumor biology. With regards to ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS), the role of RT has been questioned since breast conservation was utilized. Paralleling invasive disease studies, studies have sought to use clinicopathologic features to identify low risk patients suitable for RT omission but have failed to identify a subset that does not from RT with respect to local control. Use of new assays in patients with DCIS may represent the ideal approach for risk stratification and appropriate deintensification. At this time, when considering deintensification, individualizing treatment decisions with a focus on shared decision making is paramount.

New Insight for Axillary De-Escalation in Breast Cancer Surgery: "SoFT Study" Retrospective Analysis.

Background: The SOUND study demonstrated that an axillary de-escalation may be sufficient in locoregional and distant disease control in selected early breast cancer (EBC) patients. To establish any preoperative variables that may drive sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) omission, a study named sentinel omission risk factor (SOFT) 1.23 was planned. Methods: A single-center retrospective study from a prospectively maintained database was designed, aiming at underlying preoperative prognostic factors involved in sentinel lymph node (SLN) metastasis (lymph node involvement (LN+) vs. negative lymph node (LN-) group). Secondary outcomes included surgical room occupancy analysis for SLNB in patients fulfilling the SOUND study inclusion criteria. The institutional ethical committee Area Territoriale Lazio 2 approved the study (n° 122/23). Results: Between 1 January 2022 and 30 June 2023, 160 patients were included in the study and 26 (%) were included in the LN+ group. Multifocality, higher cT stage, and larger tumor diameter were reported in the LN+ group (p = 0.020, p = 0.014, and 0.016, respectively). Tumor biology, including estrogen and progesterone receptors, and molecular subtypes showed association with the LN+ group (p < 0.001; p = 0.001; and p = 0.001, respectively). A total of 117 (73.6%) patients were eligible for the SOUND study and the potential operating room time saved was 2696.81 min. Conclusions: De-escalating strategies may rationalize healthcare activities. Multifactorial risk stratification may further refine the selection of patients who could benefit from SLNB omission.

CALMER Conflict: A Novel Curriculum for Graduating Medical Students to Manage and Defuse Patient-Provider Conflict.

BACKGROUND: Workplace violence disproportionately affects healthcare workers and verbal aggression from patients frequently occurs. While verbal de-escalation is the first-line approach to defusing anger, there is a lack of consistent curricula or robust evaluation in undergraduate medical education. AIM: To develop a medical school curriculum focused on de-escalation skills for adult patients and evaluate effectiveness with surveys and an objective structured clinical examination (OSCE). SETTING: We implemented this curriculum in the "Get Ready for Residency Bootcamp" of a single large academic institution in 2023. PARTICIPANTS: Forty-four fourth-year medical students PROGRAM DESCRIPTION: The curriculum consisted of an interactive didactic focused on our novel CALMER framework that prioritized six evidence-based de-escalation skills and a separate standardized patient practice session. PROGRAM EVALUATION: The post-curriculum survey (82% response rate) found a significant increase from 2.79 to 4.11 out of 5 (p ≤ 0.001) in confidence using verbal de-escalation. Preparedness improved with every skill and curriculum satisfaction averaged 4.79 out of 5. The OSCE found no differences in skill level between students who received the curriculum and those who did not. DISCUSSION: This evidence-based and replicable de-escalation skill curriculum improves medical student confidence and preparedness in managing agitated patients.

Assessing aortic flow with doppler echocardiography in cardiogenic shock: A crucial diagnostic tool.

PURPOSE: Cardiogenic shock still has a high mortality. In order to correctly manage these patients, it is useful to have available haemodynamic parameters, invasive and non-invasive. The aim of this review is to show the current evidence on the use of echocardiographic aortic flow assessment by left ventricular outflow tract - velocity time integral. METHODS: Publications relevant to the discussion of echocardiographic aortic flow assessment by left ventricular outflow tract - velocity time integral and cardiogenic shock, were retrieved from PubMed®. RESULTS: Left ventricular outflow tract - velocity time integral is an easily sampled and reproducible parameter that has already been shown to have prognostic value in various cardiovascular pathologies, including myocardial infarction and heart failure. Although there are still few data available in the literature, the LVOT-VTI also seems to have an important role in CS from prognosis to guidance in the escalation/de-escalation of vasoactive therapy and to support devices by allowing an estimate of patient's probability of response to fluid administration. CONCLUSION: Aortic flow assessment can become a very useful invasive parameter in the management of cardiogenic shock.

De-escalating aggression in acute inpatient mental health settings: a behaviour change theory-informed, secondary qualitative analysis of staff and patient perspectives.

BACKGROUND: De-escalation is often advocated to reduce harm associated with violence and use of restrictive interventions, but there is insufficient understanding of factors that influence de-escalation behaviour in practice. For the first time, using behaviour change and implementation science methodology, this paper aims to identify the drivers that will enhance de-escalation in acute inpatient and psychiatric intensive care mental health settings. METHODS: Secondary analysis of 46 qualitative interviews with ward staff (n = 20) and patients (n = 26) informed by the Theoretical Domains Framework. RESULTS: Capabilities for de-escalation included knowledge (impact of trauma on memory and self-regulation and the aetiology and experience of voice hearing) and skills (emotional self-regulation, distress validation, reducing social distance, confirming autonomy, setting limits and problem-solving). Opportunities for de-escalation were limited by dysfunctional risk management cultures/ relationships between ward staff and clinical leadership, and a lack of patient involvement in safety maintenance. Motivation to engage in de-escalation was limited by negative emotion associated with moral formulations of patients and internal attributions for behaviour. CONCLUSION: In addition to training that enhances knowledge and skills, interventions to enhance de-escalation should target ward and organisational cultures, as well as making fundamental changes to the social and physical structure of inpatient mental health wards. Psychological interventions targeting negative emotion in staff are needed to increase motivation. This paper provides a new evidence-based framework of indicative changes that will enhance de-escalation in adult acute mental health inpatient and PICU settings.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by transoral robotic surgery versus upfront surgery for locoregionally advanced oropharyngeal carcinoma: A propensity score matched analysis.

BACKGROUND: Transoral robotic surgery (TORS) performed after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is a promising treatment for advanced-stage oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPSCC) able to reduce the adjuvant therapy administration rate. METHODS: A retrospective bi-centric study was conducted to analyze NAC + TORS versus upfront TORS patients. A 1:1 propensity score matching was used to compare the two groups. RESULTS: Among the 300 patients with stage III-IV OPSCC, 204 patients were matched for comparing NAC + TORS versus upfront TORS. Between the two groups, no significant difference was observed in recurrences and in survival for RFS, OS, and DSS. In the NAC + TORS p16-positive population, adjuvant therapy could be spared in 51% versus 16% in the upfront surgery cohort (p < 0.001) due to the lower frequency of pathological risk factors after NAC. CONCLUSIONS: NAC followed by TORS for locoregionally advanced OPSCC demonstrated to achieve non-inferior survival outcomes to upfront surgery, while in the p16-positive population allowed to significantly spare adjuvant therapy.

Antibiotic Use in the Surgical Intensive Care Unit.

Judicious use of antibiotics in the critically ill starts with the evaluation for suspected infection, including close consideration of the patient's history. If infection is present or strongly suspected, empiric antibiotics should be promptly initiated and selected based on the source of infection, patient factors, and local resistance patterns. If the surgeon decides source control is indicated, they must determine the optimal approach and timing. As soon as culture and sensitivity data are available, de-escalation to narrower spectrum agents is essential to decrease the risks of antibiotic toxicity and resistance. Importantly, surgeons should participate in antibiotic stewardship in their patients.

MS treatment de-escalation: review and commentary.

Almost all currently licensed disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for MS treatment require prolonged if not lifelong administration. Yet, as people age, the immune system has increasingly reduced responsiveness, known as immunosenescence. Many MS DMTs reduce the responsiveness of the immune system, increasing the risks for infections and possibly cancers. As people with MS (pwMS) age, it is recognized that inflammatory MS activity declines. Several studies have addressed de-escalation of DMTs for relapsing MS under special circumstances. Here, we review evidence for de-escalating DMTs as a strategy that is particularly relevant to pwMS of older age. Treatment de-escalation can involve various strategies, such as extended or reduced dosing, switching from high-efficacy DMTs having higher risks to moderately effective DMTs with lesser risks, or treatment discontinuation. Studies have suggested that for natalizumab extended dosing maintained clinical efficacy while reducing the risk of PML. Extended interval dosing of ocrelizumab mitigated the decline of Ig levels. Retrospective and observational discontinuation studies demonstrate that age is an essential modifier of drug efficacy. Discontinuation of MS treatment in older patients has been associated with a stable disease course, while younger patients who discontinued treatment were more likely to experience new clinical activity. A recently completed 2-year randomized-controlled discontinuation study in 260 stable pwMS > 55 years found stable clinical multiple sclerosis with only a small increased risk of new MRI activity upon discontinuation. DMT de-escalation or discontinuation in MS patients older than 55 years may be non-inferior to continued treatment with immunosuppressive agents having higher health risks. However, despite several small studies, a definite conclusion about treatment de-escalation in older pwMS will require larger and longer studies. Ideally, comparison of de-escalation versus continuation versus discontinuation of DMTs should be done by prospective randomized-controlled trials enrolling sufficient numbers of subjects to allow comparisons for MS patients of both sexes within age groups, such as 55-59, 60-65, 66-69, etc. Optimally, such studies should be 3 years or longer and should incorporate testing for specific markers of immunosenescence (such as T-cell receptor excision circles) to account for differential aging of individuals.

De-Escalation Strategies in HPV-Associated Oropharynx Cancer: A Historical Perspective with Future Direction.

The incidence of HPV-related oropharyngeal cancers has increased in recent decades. While cure rates exceed those of HPV-negative head and neck cancers, both acute and long-term sequelae of chemotherapy, radiation and surgery have led to clinical investigation into de-escalation of treatment. De-escalation trials have sought to reduce long-term treatment-related morbidity by altering or omitting chemotherapy, reducing radiation, or incorporating less invasive surgical resection through transoral surgery. More recent approaches include the use of novel agents such as immunotherapy in place of cisplatin. With the advent of tumor-tissue-modified HPV DNA detection and monitoring in blood, new strategies incorporating this biomarker are being developed.

Less is more: Exploring neoadjuvant immunotherapy as a de-escalation strategy in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treatment.

Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) constitutes a significant global cancer burden, given its high prevalence and associated mortality. Despite substantial progress in survival rates due to the enhanced multidisciplinary approach to treatment, these methods often lead to severe tissue damage, compromised function, and potential toxicity. Thus, there is an imperative need for novel, effective, and minimally damaging treatment modalities. Neoadjuvant treatment, an emerging therapeutic strategy, is designed to reduce tumor size and curtail distant metastasis prior to definitive intervention. Currently, neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) has optimized the treatment approach for a subset of HNSCC patients, yet it has not produced a noticeable enhancement in overall survival (OS). In the contemporary cancer therapeutics landscape, immunotherapy is gaining traction at an accelerated pace. Notably, neoadjuvant immunotherapy (NAIT) has shown promising radiological and pathological responses, coupled with encouraging efficacy in several clinical trials. This potentially paves the way for a myriad of possibilities in treatment de-escalation of HNSCC, which warrants further exploration. This paper reviews the existing strategies and efficacies of neoadjuvant immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), along with potential de-escalation strategies. Furthermore, the challenges encountered in the context of the de-escalation strategies of NAIT are explored. The aim is to inform future research directions that strive to improve the quality of life (QoL) for patients battling HNSCC.

Evaluating Antibiotic De-escalation for Autologous Stem Cell Transplant Patients With Febrile Neutropenia in a Real-World Clinical Setting.

Febrile neutropenia (FN) is a complication in approximately 90% of autologous stem cell transplant (SCT) patients. Guidelines support early broad-spectrum antibiotics (BSA) to prevent morbidity and mortality. However, in patients who are clinically stable and deemed to have a fever of unknown origin, the optimal duration of BSA is unknown. Accumulating evidence suggests that de-escalation of BSA in select patients may decrease duration of BSA exposure without compromising clinical outcomes such as infection, recurrent fever, and readmission. With this, a de-escalation protocol was implemented at Vanderbilt University Medical Center (VUMC) to identify autologous SCT patients who may benefit from early de-escalation of BSA. The objectives of this study were to analyze the impact of early empiric antibiotic de-escalation on the duration of BSA as well as its impact on the incidence of recurrent fever and documented infection in autologous SCT patients. This was a single-center, retrospective study evaluating patients older than 18 years of age who underwent autologous SCT and experienced an episode of FN from January 2018 to December 2022 at VUMC (N = 195). The protocol was initiated on January 1, 2020, to de-escalate BSA back to prophylaxis in stable neutropenic patients determined to have a fever of unknown origin. The primary outcome was the number of BSA days within 30 days. Secondary clinical outcomes included recurrent fever, documented infection, readmission, 30-day mortality, and 90-day non-relapsed mortality (NRM). Outcomes were compared across pre- and postprotocol groups with a Wilcoxon rank sum test, Pearson chi-square test, or regression analysis as appropriate. The median BSA duration was 4.7 and 2.7 days in the pre- and postprotocol groups, respectively (P < .001). Recurrent fever (14.2% versus 16.0%, P = .726), documented infection (1.7% versus 6.7%, P = .068), and readmission (13.3% versus 22.7%, P = .091) within 30 days were not significantly different between the two groups. Neither 30-day mortality (0.8% versus 1.3%, P = .736) nor 90-day NRM (0.8% versus 1.3%, P = .736) differed. The implementation of an early de-escalation protocol for autologous SCT patients who develop FN was associated with a reduction in duration of BSA compared to the preprotocol group without a significant difference in readmission, recurrent fevers, and documented infections. This study adds to existing evidence that early de-escalation of BSA in FN patients with a fever of unknown origin who are afebrile and clinically stable is safe and reduces unnecessary antibiotic use.

De-escalation and Discontinuation of Disease-Modifying Therapies in Multiple Sclerosis.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Long-term use of multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) is standard practice to prevent accumulation of disability. Immunosenescence and other age-related changes lead to an altered risk-benefit ratio for older patients on DMTs. This article reviews recent research on the topic of de-escalation and discontinuation of MS DMTs. RECENT FINDINGS: Observational and interventional studies have shed light on what happens to patients who de-escalate or discontinue DMTs and the factors, such as age, treatment type, and presence of recent disease activity, that influence outcomes. Though many questions remain, recent findings have been valuable for the development of an evidence-based approach to making de-escalation and discontinuation decisions in MS.

Clinical impacts of immunomodulator withdrawal from anti-tumor necrosis factor combination therapy in pediatric inflammatory bowel disease.

OBJECTIVES: Combination therapy consists of both anti-tumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF) and an immunomodulator (IMM) and has been shown to improve outcomes in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). This study assesses the impacts of IMM withdrawal from combination therapy to anti-TNF monotherapy in children with IBD. METHODS: This single-center retrospective cohort study included children with IBD initiated on combination therapy between 2014 and 2019 who discontinued the IMM. We evaluated whether IMM withdrawal impacts laboratory values and disease activity. Linear mixed effects models with random intercepts were used to compare differences between groups. Chi-square and Kruskal-Wallis tests were used for comparisons between patients who did and did not require subsequent escalation of therapy. RESULTS: One hundred and fifty-two patients discontinued the IMM which did not significantly affect disease activity. However, 18% of patients escalated therapy after IMM withdrawal, primarily due to low anti-TNF levels. Lower anti-TNF and higher erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels before IMM withdrawal were associated with subsequent escalation of therapy. Overall, there was no statistically significant effect on anti-TNF drug levels. Patients with Crohn's disease (CD) on infliximab (IFX) and methotrexate (MTX) who discontinued the IMM had an increase in mean ESR and CRP (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: IMM withdrawal from anti-TNF combination therapy may be considered safe in the setting of higher anti-TNF levels and normal serum inflammatory markers. Clinicians should consider assessing anti-TNF levels and inflammatory markers after IMM withdrawal, especially in patients with CD receiving IFX who discontinued MTX.

Therapeutic strategies aiming at the reduction of the antiplatelet intensity should not overlook the ischemic risk in patients with coronary syndromes.

De-escalation of dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) is gaining traction as a strategy to reduce bleeding risks while ensuring ischemic outcomes. Undiscriminating de-escalation, notably in patients with high ischemic risk, might expose them to major adverse cardiac events. Platelet function and genetic tests are emerging tools to guide de-escalation, but both present specific drawbacks. Recent meta-analyses have aimed to consolidate the findings of individual trials to provide clearer insights. Yet, limitations remain for patients with concomitant high bleeding and ischemic risks. These high-risk patients are frequently underrepresented in clinical trials, and, therefore, currently available guidelines lack evidence-based recommendations for this subset. While DAPT de-escalation strategies hold promise, the choice of approach, whether clinically or assay-guided, remains complex and should be individualized.

An uncommon case of POLE mutated uterine carcinosarcoma - complemented by a review of literature.

Carcinosarcomas are high-grade endometrial cancers which enclose mesenchymal and epithelial differentiated components. The vast majority of these cancers belong to the p53 abnormal molecular subgroup and usually come with an unfavorable prognosis. POLE mutant carcinosarcomas are a rarity and only make up about 5% of this histologic subtype. Recent literature even suggests that this number is still an overestimation and the result of misclassification of undifferentiated or dedifferentiated endometrial cancers. Here we present a case of a 56-years old patient diagnosed with carcinosarcoma of the uterus. Hysterectomy, bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy with pelvic lymph node staging was performed and complete molecular workup of the tumor revealed an abnormal p53 expression as well as a pathologic POLE mutation. NGS was performed separately on the epithelial and mesenchymal component of this high-grade cancer and both components shared two identical POLE mutations, a known pathologic mutation, and a variant of unknown significance (VUS). This finding hints to a clonal origin of both histologic components of this tumor and supports conversion theory as mechanism of carcinosarcoma emergence. The cancer was correctly staged as FIGO 2023 Stage IAmPOLEmut and according to ESGO-ESTRO-ESP guidelines adjuvant chemotherapy no longer considered and our patient entered follow-up after a detailed discussion.

Preoperative prediction of nodal status using clinical data and artificial intelligence derived mammogram features enabling abstention of sentinel lymph node biopsy in breast cancer.

Introduction: Patients with clinically node-negative breast cancer have a negative sentinel lymph node status (pN0) in approximately 75% of cases and the necessity of routine surgical nodal staging by sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) has been questioned. Previous prediction models for pN0 have included postoperative variables, thus defeating their purpose to spare patients non-beneficial axillary surgery. We aimed to develop a preoperative prediction model for pN0 and to evaluate the contribution of mammographic breast density and mammogram features derived by artificial intelligence for de-escalation of SLNB. Materials and methods: This retrospective cohort study included 755 women with primary breast cancer. Mammograms were analyzed by commercially available artificial intelligence and automated systems. The additional predictive value of features was evaluated using logistic regression models including preoperative clinical variables and radiological tumor size. The final model was internally validated using bootstrap and externally validated in a separate cohort. A nomogram for prediction of pN0 was developed. The correlation between pathological tumor size and the preoperative radiological tumor size was calculated. Results: Radiological tumor size was the strongest predictor of pN0 and included in a preoperative prediction model displaying an area under the curve of 0.68 (95% confidence interval: 0.63-0.72) in internal validation and 0.64 (95% confidence interval: 0.59-0.69) in external validation. Although the addition of mammographic features did not improve discrimination, the prediction model provided a 21% SLNB reduction rate when a false negative rate of 10% was accepted, reflecting the accepted false negative rate of SLNB. Conclusion: This study shows that the preoperatively available radiological tumor size might replace pathological tumor size as a key predictor in a preoperative prediction model for pN0. While the overall performance was not improved by mammographic features, one in five patients could be omitted from axillary surgery by applying the preoperative prediction model for nodal status. The nomogram visualizing the model could support preoperative patient-centered decision-making on the management of the axilla.