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1.
Tob Induc Dis ; 222024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38966818

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Assessing the burden of ischemic heart disease (IHD) attributable to secondhand smoke (SHS) exposure is crucial for informing evidence-based healthcare practices, prevention strategies, and resource allocation planning. METHODS: The burden of IHD attributable to SHS from 1990 to 2019 was assessed using the comparative risk assessment method as part of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. RESULTS: Globally, the absolute number of deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) from IHD due to SHS increased substantially from 270.0 thousand and 6971.3 thousand in 1990 to 397.4 thousand and 9566.1 thousand in 2019. The corresponding age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and age-standardized DALYs rates (ASDR) were both in a decreasing trend with estimate of the annual percentage change (EAPC) of -1.38 (-1.42 - -1.34) and -1.43 (-1.47 - -1.38). Central Asia has the highest ASMR (16 per 100000, 95% uncertainty interval, UI: 12.8-19.4), and Oceania has the highest ASDR (323.2 per 100000, 95% UI: 228.9-443.1 per 100000) in 2019. All sociodemographic index (SDI) category regions showed a decreasing trend in ASMR and ASDR, with the decrease being more obvious in high and high-middle SDI regions. Our analysis identified an escalating trend concerning ASMR and ASDR in Oceania from 1990 to 2019. In 2019, the most significant number of deaths and DALYs occurred in the age group of 80-84 years (5.4 thousand, 95% UI: 3.7-7.3 in thousands) and the age group of 55-59 years (1140.8 thousand, 95% UI: 876.1-1435 in thousands). CONCLUSIONS: Our study reveals an absolute global increase in deaths and DALYs from IHD due to SHS from 1990 to 2019. Despite a declining trend in ASMR and ASDR, regional disparities persist. The elderly and middle-aged populations bore the most significant burden. These findings highlight the ongoing global health impact of SHS on IHD and emphasize the need for targeted interventions in regions with rising trends and vulnerable age groups.

2.
Reprod Health ; 21(1): 111, 2024 Jul 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39075548

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer is ranked as the second most common cancer in India. This study aims to assess the cervical cancer burden at the national and subnational level in India, projecting it for the year 2025 in terms of years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). METHODS: Twenty-eight population based cancer registries within the National Cancer Registry Programme network contributed cancer incidence and mortality data for this analysis. The DisMod-II tool, WHO lifetables, disability weights, mortality to incidence ratio, sample registration system, and census data were used to estimate the burden of cervical cancer. The projection estimates for 2025 were performed using a negative binomial regression model. RESULTS: In 2016, the cervical cancer burden in India was 223.8 DALYs per 100,000 women. The highest age-standardised DALYs were found in the northeast region (290.1 DALYs per 100,000 women) and the lowest in the eastern region (156.1 DALYs per 100,000 women). The states of Mizoram, Arunachal Pradesh, Karnataka, and Nagaland had a higher cervical cancer burden with DALYs exceeding 300 per 100,000 women. The projected cervical cancer burden for India in 2025 was estimated to be 1.5 million DALYs. CONCLUSIONS: The study has found a significant cervical cancer burden across the regions of India, providing a baseline for monitoring impact of actions. Enhancing awareness of cervical cancer, advocating for the significance of screening, and promoting HPV vaccination among adolescents, families, and communities through informative communication campaigns are essential steps in managing and ultimately eliminating cervical cancer in India.


Subject(s)
Cost of Illness , Disability-Adjusted Life Years , Registries , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms , Humans , Female , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/mortality , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/epidemiology , India/epidemiology , Adult , Middle Aged , Incidence , Life Expectancy , Disabled Persons/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Young Adult , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Adolescent
3.
Infect Dis Poverty ; 13(1): 55, 2024 Jul 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39075616

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the prevalence, management, and control of the neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) highlighting the current or prospective impact of COVID-19 on research and development funding for, and execution of, NTD programmes. This review was conducted to determine if, and how, NTDs were affected by COVID-19, and whether those effects will delay the elimination goals of the Sustainable Development goals. METHODS: Using open-source available data from policy and documentation from official websites of the relevant stakeholders including but not limited to World Health Organization (WHO) documents and policies, government foreign aid documents, and the Policy Cures G-Finder reports, this scoping review explored ongoing challenges to supporting research and development (R&D) for the NTDs and in maintaining NTD control programs; examined the constraints posed for NTD management by the pandemic from disruptions to healthcare services, reduction of finance and explored the potential long-term implications and consequences for those poorer, neglected populations in low and middle income-countries (LMICs). This was done by a scoping review literature search, publications were subject to an initial practical screening step to ensure the most relevant publications were selected for full screening, with the focus on scoping the designated topic of the impact of COVID-19 on NTDs. We further undertook an evaluation of the socio-economic factors exacerbating the impact of COVID-19 on NTD burden. RESULTS: Multiple disruptions and setbacks, likely to affect NTD programmes and progress towards their elimination targets were identified in this study. R&D funding for the NTDs and AIDs and TB has declined since the funding high point of 2019, and for malaria since the high point of 2018. Significant changes in allocation of R&D funding within the NTDs are observed post pandemic, likely because of prioritization among donors. Diseases for which the least R&D investment was reported in place, prior to the pandemic (mycetoma, taeniasis/cysticercosis, trachoma and Buruli ulcer) have been particularly impacted post pandemic. We identified specific NTDs including schistosomiasis, leprosy, and rabies that have been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and disruptions caused to on ongoing NTD control and elimination programs. Pandemic restrictions disrupted essential medical supply manufacturing and distribution impacting immunization programs and hindered efforts to control the spread of infectious diseases. NTD programmes have experienced numerous setbacks including delays in mass drug administration programs (e.g. for schistosomiasis), cancelled or delayed vaccination programs (e.g. for rabies) and closure of testing facilities has resulted in reduced diagnosis, treatment, and disease elimination for all NTDs. Lockdowns and clinic closures causing disruption to essential healthcare services restricted NTD surveillance and treatment programs. Community fears around contracting COVID-19 exacerbated the constraints to service delivery. Disparities in global vaccine distribution have widened with LMICs facing limited access to vaccines and disruption to immunization programs. Finally, the pandemic has led to increased poverty with poor and marginalized communities, impacting nutrition, healthcare access and education all of which have long term implications for NTD management and control. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic profoundly impacted global health research and global health equity. Attention and funding were diverted from all sectors, significantly affecting research and development efforts set out in the World Health Organization's NTD elimination Roadmaps. Ongoing changes to funding, economic crises, logistics and supply chain disruptions as well as deepening poverty has put a strain on already weak healthcare systems and exacerbated LMIC healthcare challenges. In particular, the delays and constraints to NTD management and elimination programs will have long-reaching consequences highlighting the need for global cooperation and renewed investment to put the NTD roadmap back on track. Targets and milestones are unlikely to be met without significant investment for recovery, in place.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Neglected Diseases , Tropical Medicine , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Neglected Diseases/epidemiology , Neglected Diseases/prevention & control , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , Developing Countries
4.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1852, 2024 Jul 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38992625

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The growing prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in younger populations, particularly those of working age (15-64 years), has become a public health concern. Being diagnosed at a younger age implies a greater likelihood of accruing disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) later in life due to potential progression to conditions such as cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma. This study aims to analyze NAFLD prevalence trends over three decades globally, regionally, and nationally, with a focus on age, period, and birth cohort associations. METHODS: Global, regional, and country time trends in the prevalence of NAFLD among working-age people from 1990 to 2019: Age-period-cohort analysis based on Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 estimates and 95% uncertainty interval (UI) of NAFLD prevalence in the working age population was extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study 2019. Age-period-cohort models were used to estimate the prevalence within each age group from 1990 to 2019 (local drift, % per year), fitted longitudinal age-specific rates adjusted for period bias (age effect), and period/cohort relative risk (period/cohort effect). RESULTS: The global age-standardized prevalence (ASPR) of NAFLD increased significantly from 1990 (14,477.6 per 100 000) to 2019 (19,837.6 per 100 000). In the Western Pacific, there were 42,903.8 NAFLD cases in 2019, 54.15% higher than in 1990. The ASPR also increased significantly in the region over the past three decades. At the national level, Palau had the highest ASPR while Brunei Darussalam had the lowest. Age-period-cohort analysis showed that in the Western Pacific, unlike globally, the risk of NAFLD declined after age 60-64 years. Relative to 1980-1989, incidence and DALY risks decreased but prevalence increased in subsequent birth cohorts. Future predictions indicate an upward trend in NAFLD burden, especially among women and medium (SDI) regions like China. CONCLUSION: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease imparts an immense health burden that continues to grow globally and in the Asia Pacific region. Our work highlights working age adults as an at-risk group and calls attention to socioeconomic gradients within Western Pacific countries. Upward future projections demonstrate that NAFLD prevention is an urgent priority.


Subject(s)
Global Burden of Disease , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Humans , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Adult , Global Burden of Disease/trends , Female , Male , Young Adult , Adolescent , Prevalence , Cohort Studies , Risk Factors , Disability-Adjusted Life Years
5.
Mil Med Res ; 11(1): 46, 2024 Jul 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38992778

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a subtype of hemorrhagic stroke characterized by high mortality and low rates of full recovery. This study aimed to investigate the epidemiological characteristics of SAH between 1990 and 2021. METHODS: Data on SAH incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) from 1990 to 2021 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to evaluate changes in the age-standardized rate (ASR) of incidence and mortality, as well as trends in SAH burden. The relationship between disease burden and sociodemographic index (SDI) was also analyzed. RESULTS: In 2021, the incidence of SAH was found to be 37.09% higher than that in 1990; however, the age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) showed a decreased [EAPC: -1.52; 95% uncertainty interval (UI) -1.66 to -1.37]. Furthermore, both the number and rates of deaths and DALYs decreased over time. It was observed that females had lower rates compared to males. Among all regions, the high-income Asia Pacific region exhibited the highest ASIR (14.09/100,000; 95% UI 12.30/100,000 - 16.39/100,000) in 2021, with an EPAC for ASIR < 0 indicating decreasing trend over time for SAH ASIR. Oceania recorded the highest age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and age-standardized DALYs rates among all regions in 2021 at values of respectively 8.61 (95% UI 6.03 - 11.95) and 285.62 (95% UI 209.42 - 379.65). The burden associated with SAH primarily affected individuals aged between 50 - 69 years old. Metabolic risks particularly elevated systolic blood pressure were identified as the main risk factors contributing towards increased disease burden associated with SAH when compared against environmental or occupational behavioral risks evaluated within the GBD framework. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of SAH varies by gender, age group, and geographical region. Although the ASRs have shown a decline over time, the burden of SAH remains significant, especially in regions with middle and low-middle SDI levels. High systolic blood pressure stands out as a key risk factor for SAH. More specific supportive measures are necessary to alleviate the global burden of SAH.


Subject(s)
Global Burden of Disease , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage , Humans , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/epidemiology , Male , Female , Incidence , Middle Aged , Aged , Adult , Global Burden of Disease/trends , Disability-Adjusted Life Years/trends , Global Health/statistics & numerical data , Aged, 80 and over
6.
Ecotoxicol Environ Saf ; 282: 116705, 2024 Jul 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39003868

ABSTRACT

Consumption of fluoride-contaminated water is a worldwide concern, especially in developing countries, including Iran. However, there are restricted studies of non-single-value health risk assessment and the disease burden regarding fluoride intake nationwide. Prolonged exposure to excessive fluoride has been linked to adverse health effects such as dental and skeletal fluorosis. This can lead to under-mineralization of hard tissues, causing aesthetic concerns for teeth and changes in bone structure, increasing the risk of fractures. As such, we aimed to implement probability-based frameworks using Monte Carlo methods to explore the potential adverse effects of fluoride via the ingestion route. This platform consists of two sectors: 1) health risk assessment of various age categories coupled with a variance decomposition technique to measure the contributions of predictor variables in the outcome of the health risk model, and 2) implementing Monte Carlo methods in dose-response curves to explore the fluoride-induced burden of diseases of dental fluorosis and skeletal fractures in terms of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). For this purpose, total water samples of 8053 (N=8053) from 57 sites were analyzed in Fars and Bushehr Provinces. The mean fluoride concentrations were 0.75 mg/L and 1.09 mg/L, with maximum fluoride contents of 6.5 mg/L and 3.22 mg/L for the Fars and Bushehr provinces, respectively. The hazard quotient of the 95th percentile (HQ>1) revealed that all infants and children in the study area were potentially vulnerable to over-receiving fluoride. Sobol' sensitivity analysis indices, including first-order, second-order, and total order, disclosed that fluoride concentration (Cw), ingestion rate (IRw), and their mutual interactions were the most influential factors in the health risk model. DALYs rate of dental fluorosis was as high as 981.45 (uncertainty interval: UI 95 % 353.23-1618.40) in Lamerd, and maximum DALYs of skeletal fractures occurred in Mohr 71.61(49.75-92.71), in Fars Province, indicated severe dental fluorosis but mild hazard regarding fractures. Residents of the Tang-e Eram in Bushehr Province with a DALYs rate of 3609.40 (1296.68-5993.73) for dental fluorosis and a DALYs rate of 284.67 (199.11-367.99) for skeletal fractures were the most potentially endangered population. By evaluating the outputs of the DALYs model, the gap in scenarios of central tendency exposure and reasonable maximum exposure highlights the role of food source intake in over-receiving fluoride. This research insists on implementing defluoridation programs in fluoride-endemic zones to combat the undesirable effects of fluoride. The global measures presented in this research aim to address the root causes of contamination and help policymakers and authorities mitigate fluoride's harmful impacts on the environment and public health.

7.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39034860

ABSTRACT

Background: Few studies have evaluated the global burden of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in adolescents and young adults (AYAs). Methods: Age-standardized rates of incidence (ASIR), mortality (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life-years (ASDR) were used to describe the CKD burden in AYAs. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to evaluate the temporal trends from 1990 to 2019. Risk factors were calculated by population attributable fractions. Results: In 2019, the ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR of CKD in AYAs were 32.21 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 23.73-40.81) per 100,000, 2.86 (2.61-3.11) per 100,000 and 236.85 (209.03-268.91) per 100,000, respectively. The ASIR was higher among females than males, whereas the ASMR was higher among males than females in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, significant increases in ASIR were found for CKD (EAPC, 0.98%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.95%-1.01%), although the ASMR had decreased (EAPC, -0.40%; 95% CI, -0.56% to -0.24%). The largest increase in ASIR was observed in countries with a middle sociodemographic index (SDI) (EAPC, 1.30%; 95% CI, 1.28%-1.33%), while the largest increase in ASMR was observed in high SDI. Globally, the proportional contribution of risk factors for CKD mortality varied across regions, with the highest proportions of high fasting plasma glucose being 14.04% in low SDI, compared with 24.01% in high SDI. Conclusion: CKD is a growing global health problem in AYAs, especially in countries with a middle SDI. Targeted measures are needed to address the rising burden of CKD in AYAs, focusing on prevention, early diagnosis, and reducing disparities.

8.
Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) ; 15: 1405739, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39055060

ABSTRACT

Purpose: To evaluate the burden of type 2 diabetes (T2D) among adolescents (15-24 years old) from 1990 to 2019. Methods: The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate of adolescents were analyzed according to age, sex, geographical location, and sociodemographic index (SDI). The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was estimated to quantify the trends. Results: From 1990 to 2019, the ASIR (EAPC = 1.07) and age-standardized DALY rate (EAPC = 2.01) of T2D in adolescents showed an increasing trend. The ASIR was higher in males than in females. The burden was greater in the 20-24-year age group. Of the five SDI regions, the highest ASIR and age-standardized DALY rate were found in low-middle-SDI regions, while the greatest increase in these rates was observed in high-SDI regions (EAPC = 3.28 and 3.55, respectively). Of the 21 regions analyzed, the highest ASIR and age-standardized DALY rate were found in Oceania. Of the 204 countries analyzed, the Marshall Islands (651.16) and Kiribati (277.42) had the highest ASIR and DALYs, respectively. The regions with the greatest increase in the ASIR from 1990 to 2019 were Western Europe (EAPC = 4.15), high-income North America (EAPC = 4.72). Conclusions: The global burden of T2D in adolescents showed an overall upward trend from 1990 to 2019. It is necessary to strengthen prevention measures related to risk factors for T2D among young people, especially in areas with a low-to-medium SDI.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Global Health , Humans , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Adolescent , Male , Female , Young Adult , Incidence , Disability-Adjusted Life Years/trends , Cost of Illness , Global Burden of Disease/trends
9.
Cancer Biol Med ; 2024 Jul 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39066471

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of the global burden of esophageal cancer (EC) and determine the temporal trends and factors influencing changes in the global burden. METHODS: The latest incidence and mortality data for EC worldwide were obtained from GLOBALCAN 2022. The mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates for EC from 1990-2019 were sourced from the 2019 Global Burden of Diseases. Trends in EC mortality and DALYs attributable to 11 risk factors or clusters of risk were analyzed using the joinpoint regression model. The trends in age-related EC burden were assessed using a decomposition approach. RESULTS: An estimated 511,054 new cases of EC were diagnosed in 2022 with 445,391 deaths worldwide. Approximately 75% of cases and deaths occurred in Asia. Nearly 50% of global EC deaths and DALYs were attributed to tobacco use in men in 2019, while 20% were attributed to high body mass index (BMI) in women. From 1990-2019, EC deaths and DALYs attributable to almost all risk factors had declining trends, while EC deaths and DALYs attributed to high BMI in men had upward trends. The age-related EC burden exhibited an upward trend driven by population growth and aging, which contributed to 307.4 thousand deaths and 7.2 million DALYs due to EC. CONCLUSIONS: The EC burden remains substantial worldwide. Effective tobacco and obesity control measures are critical for addressing the risk-attributable burden of EC. Population growth and aging pose challenges for EC prevention and control efforts.

10.
Public Health Nurs ; 2024 Jul 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39054588

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Unsafe sex is recognized as an important risk factor for cervical cancer (CC). Understanding the global disease burden of CC attributable to unsafe sex can assist policymakers in allocating healthcare resources. METHODS: Data were obtained from the 2019 global burden of disease database (GBD). We examined global, regional, and national levels of CC mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and age-standardized rates (ASRs) caused by unsafe sex. ASRs were evaluated using estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs). RESULTS: Attributable to unsafe sex, there were 280,479 CC-related deaths in 2019 and 8,955,013 CC-related DALYs. In the period 1990-2019, the global ASRs of CC due to unsafe sex decreased around the world; for age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR), the EAPCs were -0.93 and -0.95. The highest ASMRs and ASDRs were found in central sub-Saharan Africa and the lowest in Australasia. CONCLUSION: In the past few decades, the ASMR and ASDR of CC caused by unsafe sexual practices have decreased over time, with significant variations observed among different countries and regions. Increased focus is needed on spreading awareness about sexual health and promoting CC prevention and screening, particularly in low- and middle-income nations.

11.
Europace ; 26(7)2024 Jul 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38984719

ABSTRACT

AIMS: To devise effective preventive measures, a profound understanding of the evolving patterns and trends in atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter (AFL) burdens is pivotal. Our study was designed to quantify the burden and delineate the risk factors associated with AF and AFL across 204 countries and territories spanning 1990-2021. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data pertaining to AF and AFL were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The burden of AF/AFL was evaluated using metrics such as incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), deaths, and their corresponding age-standardized rates (ASRs), stratified by age, sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and human development index (HDI). The estimated annual percentage change was employed to quantify changes in ASRs. Population attributable fractions were calculated to determine the proportional contributions of major risk factors to age-standardized AF/AFL deaths. This analysis encompassed the period from 1990 to 2021. Globally, in 2021, there were 4.48 million incident cases [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 3.61-5.70], 8.36 million DALYs (95% UI: 6.97-10.13) and 0.34 million deaths (95% UI: 0.29-0.37) attributed to AF/AFL. The AF/AFL burden in 2021, as well as its trends from 1990 to 2021, displayed substantial variations based on gender, SDI quintiles, and geographical regions. High systolic blood pressure emerged as the leading contributor to age-standardized AF/AFL incidence, prevalence, death, and DALY rate globally among all potential risk factors, followed closely by high body mass index. CONCLUSION: Our study underscores the enduring significance of AF/AFL as a prominent public health concern worldwide, marked by profound regional and national variations. Despite the substantial potential for prevention and management of AF/AFL, there is a pressing imperative to adopt more cost-effective strategies and interventions to target modifiable risk factors, particularly in areas where the burden of AF/AFL is high or escalating.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , Atrial Flutter , Global Burden of Disease , Humans , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Atrial Fibrillation/mortality , Atrial Fibrillation/economics , Atrial Flutter/epidemiology , Male , Female , Global Burden of Disease/trends , Aged , Incidence , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Aged, 80 and over , Adult , Disability-Adjusted Life Years/trends , Risk Assessment , Age Distribution , Global Health , Sex Distribution , Young Adult , Time Factors , Adolescent
12.
Diabetes Obes Metab ; 2024 Jul 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38957939

ABSTRACT

AIM: Our study aims to provide an updated estimate of age- and sex-specific deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with high body mass index (BMI) from 1990 to 2019 at the global, regional and national levels, and to forecast the global burden of disease attributed to high BMI from 2020 to 2035. METHODS: We used the data for the number of deaths, DALYs, age-standardized rate (per 100 000 population), percentage change and population attributable fraction from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) to examine the disease burden attributable to high BMI. We further applied an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to predict the disease burden for the period 2020-2035. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the deaths and DALYs attributable to high BMI increased by 148% and 155.86% for men, and by 111.67% and 121.78% for women, respectively. In 2019, high BMI directly accounted for 8.52% [95% uncertainty intervals (UI) 0.05, 0.12] of all-cause deaths and 5.89% (95% UI 0.04, 0.08) of global DALYs. The highest death rates were observed in men aged 65-69 and women aged 75-79. The highest DALY rates were observed in the age group of 60-64 for both sexes. In 2019, the highest age-standardized deaths and DALY rates were observed in the Central Asia region [163.15 (95% UI 107.72, 223.58) per 100 000 people] and the Oceania region [4643.33 (95% UI 2835.66, 6902.6) per 100 000 people], respectively. Fiji [319.08 (95% UI 213.77, 444.96) per 100 000 people] and Kiribati [10 000.58 (95% UI 6266.55, 14159.2) per 100 000 people] had the highest age-standardized deaths and DALY rates, respectively. In 2019, the highest age-standardized rates of high BMI-related deaths and DALYs were observed in the middle-high socio-demographic index quintile and in the middle socio-demographic index quintile. The age-standardized deaths and DALY rates attributable to high BMI are projected to increase in both sexes from 2020 to 2035. The death rates are projected to rise from 62.79 to 64.31 per 100 000 people, while the DALY rates are projected to rise from 1946 to 2099.54 per 100 000 people. CONCLUSIONS: High BMIs significantly contribute to the global disease burden. The projected rise in deaths and DALY rates attributable to high BMI by 2035 highlights the critical need to address the impact of obesity on public health. Our study provides policymakers with up-to-date and comprehensive information.

13.
Cureus ; 16(6): e62557, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39027787

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine the impact of leukemia and other cancers in India and to observe any changes over time. METHODOLOGY: Detailed estimates of incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 30 types of cancers in India were analyzed for 29 years from 1990 to 2019 as part of the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) study. Data from all available sources were used to gather information on the overall burden of disease in India. RESULTS: Cancer is a leading cause of death worldwide, with varying rates of incidence in India, making prevention and treatment a challenge. Because cancer is not a reportable disease in India, the overall burden estimate is still a work in progress. This study analyzed the impact of leukemia and other cancers in India, including trends in incidence, DALYs, and mortality related to all cancers and various malignancies. The causes of leukemia in India were also explored. CONCLUSIONS: The study found the trends of cancer types that account for the majority of leukemia-related and cancer-related DALYs, death, prevalence, and incidence in India. Among the four most frequent malignancies, such as leukemia, there was significant variation based on age. Over the last 29 years, mortality from chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML) and acute lymphocytic leukemia (ALL) has decreased, while deaths from acute myelogenous leukemia (AML) and chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) have increased steadily.

14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38913385

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Metabolic risk factors significantly elevate the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and are recognized as one of the primary contributors to these conditions. This study explored the trends and percentage changes in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to metabolic risk factors for CVD from 1990 to 2019. Methods: Data from the Global Burden of Disease study was utilized to depict changes across metabolic risk factors by sociodemographic indices and sex groups. The Mann-Kendall test was employed to ascertain the significance of these trends. Results: The findings indicate that the DALY percentage change over these years was more pronounced in low-middle and middle Socio-demographic Index (SDI) countries than in others. The most substantial percentage increase, approximately 60%, was observed in regions with low SDI, attributed to high body mass index (BMI). On average, the greatest DALYs were associated with high systolic blood pressure (SBP). Moreover, the trend for high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high SBP declined in countries with high SDI. Conclusions: It can be concluded that to mitigate the global mortality and morbidity from heart diseases, there needs to be a focused emphasis on managing metabolic risk factors, particularly in low-Middle and middle SDI countries.

15.
Int Ophthalmol ; 44(1): 234, 2024 Jun 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38896279

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: As the epidemiological and burden trends of glaucoma are changing, it is extremely necessary to re-investigate geographical differences and trends. Here we use data from the 2019 Global burden of Disease, which aims to report the prevalence and disability-adjusted life years of glaucoma injury to assess the latest epidemiological models and trends from 1990 to 2019. METHOD: Annual case numbers, age-standardized rates of prevalence, DALYs, and their estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) for glaucoma between 1990 and 2019 were derived from the GBD 2019 study. The relationship between glaucoma disease burden and social demographic index (SDI) was also investigated in this study. RESULTS: In 2019, there were 7.47 million prevalent cases and 0.75 million DALYs cases, which increased by 92.53% and 69.23% compared with 1990 respectively. The global age-standardized rate of prevalence (ASPR) and age-standardized rate of DALYs (ASDR) decreased during 1990-2019 (EAPC = - 0.55 and - 1, respectively). In 2019, the highest ASPR and ASDR of Glaucoma were all observed in Mali, whereas the lowest occurred in Taiwan (Province of China). In terms of gender, males were more likely to suffer from glaucoma than females, especially the elderly. CONCLUSIONS: The global prevalence and DALYs of glaucoma had an absolute increase during the past 30 years. The disease burden caused by glaucoma is closely related to socioeconomic level, age, gender, and other factors, and these findings provide a basis for policymakers from the perspective of social management.


Subject(s)
Glaucoma , Global Burden of Disease , Global Health , Humans , Glaucoma/epidemiology , Prevalence , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Aged , Adult , Age Distribution , Disability-Adjusted Life Years , Sex Distribution , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Adolescent , Aged, 80 and over , Young Adult , Child , Cost of Illness , Blindness/epidemiology , Blindness/etiology
16.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1639, 2024 Jun 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38898398

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Drug use disorders (DUDs) have emerged as one of the most significant public health crises, exerting a substantial influence on both community health and socio-economic progress. The United States (US) also suffers a heavy burden, it is necessary to figure out the situation from multiple perspectives and take effective measures to deal with it. Therefore, using the data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2021, we evaluated this topic. METHODS: Annual data on DUDs-related burden were collected from the GBD study 2021. We calculated the indicator of estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) to evaluate the changing trend of burden. The Bayesian model for age-period-cohort was introduced to forecast the burden. RESULTS: In 2021, the number and age-standardized rate of prevalence were particularly prominent, with 12,146.95 thousand and 3821.43 per 100,000, respectively. Higher burden was also observed in males, 15-45 years old populations, and opioid use disorders subtype. From 1990 to 2021, the DUDs-related burden increased in the US and all states, especially in West Virginia; and the national death-related burden with the highest increase (EAPC = 7.96). Other significant inverse associations were seen between EAPC, age-standardized rates, and socio-demographic index (SDI). Moreover, in the next 14 years, the projected DUDs burden remains exigent. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of DUDs in the US is heavy and has been enlarging. This study proposes that greater attention should be paid to the strategies in males, the younger population, opioid use disorders, and low-SDI states implemented by decision-makers to achieve goals such as reducing burden.


Subject(s)
Bayes Theorem , Substance-Related Disorders , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Adult , Female , Adolescent , Young Adult , Substance-Related Disorders/epidemiology , Aged , Cost of Illness , Global Burden of Disease/trends , Forecasting , Prevalence
17.
Int J Equity Health ; 23(1): 125, 2024 Jun 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38898437

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) and Parkinson's disease (PD), pose growing global health challenges. Socio-demographic and economic development acts paradoxically, complicating the process that determines how governments worldwide designate policies and allocate resources for healthcare. METHODS: We extracted data on ADRD and PD in 204 countries from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 database. Health disparities were estimated using the slope index of inequality (SII), and concentration index (CIX) based on the socio-demographic index. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were employed to evaluate temporal trends. RESULTS: Globally, the SII increased from 255.4 [95% confidence interval (CI), 215.2 to 295.5)] in 1990 to 559.3 (95% CI, 497.2 to 621.3) in 2019 for ADRD, and grew from 66.0 (95% CI, 54.9 to 77.2) in 1990 to 132.5 (95% CI, 118.1 to 147.0) in 2019 for PD; CIX rose from 33.7 (95% CI, 25.8 to 41.6) in 1990 to 36.9 (95% CI, 27.8 to 46.1) in 2019 for ADRD, and expanded from 22.2 (95% CI, 21.3 to 23.0) in 1990 to 29.0 (95% CI, 27.8 to 30.3) in 2019 for PD. Age-standardized disability-adjusted life years displayed considerable upward trends for ADRD [EAPC = 0.43 (95% CI, 0.27 to 0.59)] and PD [0.34 (95% CI, 0.29 to 0.38)]. CONCLUSIONS: Globally, the burden of ADRD and PD continues to increase with growing health disparities. Variations in health inequalities and the impact of socioeconomic development on disease trends underscored the need for targeted policies and strategies, with heightened awareness, preventive measures, and active management of risk factors.


Subject(s)
Alzheimer Disease , Global Health , Parkinson Disease , Humans , Alzheimer Disease/epidemiology , Parkinson Disease/epidemiology , Female , Male , Aged , Health Status Disparities , Socioeconomic Factors , Global Burden of Disease/trends , Middle Aged , Health Inequities
18.
Public Health Nutr ; : 1-31, 2024 Jun 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38835207

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to analyze the spatial and temporal patterns of disease burden attributed to high body mass index (DB-hBMI) from 1990 to 2019 in Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries, in light of increasing hBMI prevalence worldwide. DESIGN: The study was a secondary analysis of global burden of disease 2019 (GBD 2019) that analyzed (using Joinpoint regression analysis) numbers and the age-standardized rate of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of hBMI-induced diseases and their trends from 1990 to 2019 and in the final decade. SETTING: GBD 2019 study data for BRI countries were categorized by country, age, gender, and disease. PARTICIPANTS: GBD 2019 data were used to analyze DB-hBMI in BRI countries. RESULTS: In 2019, China, India, and Russia reported the highest mortality and DALYs among BRI countries. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized DALYs increased in Southeast Asia and South Asia, whereas many European countries saw declines. Notably, Bangladesh, Nepal, and Vietnam showed the steepest increases, with AAPC values of 4.42%, 4.19%, and 4.28%, respectively (all P<0.05). In contrast, Israel, Slovenia, and Poland experienced significant reductions, with APCC values of -1.70%, -1.63%, and -1.58%, respectively (all P<0.05). The most rapid increases among males were seen in Vietnam, Nepal, and Bangladesh, while Jordan, Poland, and Slovenia recorded the fastest declines among females. Across most BRI countries, the burden of diabetes and kidney diseases related to hBMI showed a significant uptrend. CONCLUSION: DB-hBMI varies significantly by region, age, gender, and disease type across BRI countries. It can pose a substantial threat to public health.

19.
Front Oncol ; 14: 1412243, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38873252

ABSTRACT

Background: The purpose of this study is to assess the burden of thyroid cancer over the course of 30 years in 204 countries and territories. Methods: Data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database was analyzed to extract information on prevalence, deaths, DALYs(disability-adjusted life-years), YLL(years of life los), YLD(years lived with disability), and their corresponding age-standardized rates at global, regional, and national levels. The primary focus of the study was to examine trends in thyroid cancer from 1990 to 2019, specifically looking at the Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) for ASPR, ASDR, and ASDR. Additionally, the study investigated the relationship between cancer burden and the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI). Results: Globally, there will be approximately 18.3 million thyroid cancer (TC) cases in 2019; China and the USA are projected to be the most significant with 310,327 and 220,711 cases (16.17 and 14.82 cases per 100,000 people, respectively).Over the period from 1990 to 2019, age-standardized prevalence rates exhibited a global rise, whereas deaths and DALYs saw a decrease(EAPC:1.63, -0.15- -0.14, respectively). Significantly, the age-standardized prevalence rate increased in 21 GBD regions, affecting 195 out of 204 countries or territories. Over the studied period, thyroid cancer cases, deaths, and DALYs were consistently higher among females than males. Furthermore, a higher Socio-demographic Index was associated with increased age-standardized prevalence rates.

20.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 13617, 2024 06 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38871791

ABSTRACT

High systolic blood pressure (HSBP) is associated with several metabolic and non-metabolic disorders. This research aimed to document the deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) attributable to HSBP in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region between 1990 and 2019, by age, sex, underlying cause and socio-demographic index (SDI). We used the methodological framework and data drawn from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019 to identify the burden of diseases attributable to HSBP, from 1990 to 2019, in the MENA region. The estimates reported were presented as counts, population-attributable fractions, and age-standardised rates (per 100,000), along with 95% uncertainty intervals. In 2019, 803.6 thousand (687.1 to 923.8) deaths were attributed to HSBP in MENA, which accounted for 25.9% (22.9-28.6%) of all deaths. The number of regional DALYs caused by HSBP in 2019 was 19.0 million (16.3-21.9 million), which accounted for 11.6% (10.1-13.3%) of all DALYs, and was 23.4% (15.9-31.5%) lower than in 1990. The highest age-standardised DALY rate for 2019 was observed in Afghanistan, with the lowest in Kuwait. Additionally, the DALY rate in MENA rose with age for both sexs. Furthermore, a negative linear relationship was found between SDI and the age-standardised DALY rates. The region has a substantial HSBP-related burden. Policymakers and healthcare professionals should prioritize interventions that effectively promote the early detection of HSBP, access to quality healthcare, and lifestyle modifications to mitigate the HSBP burden in the MENA countries.


Subject(s)
Global Burden of Disease , Hypertension , Humans , Africa, Northern/epidemiology , Middle East/epidemiology , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Adult , Aged , Hypertension/epidemiology , Disability-Adjusted Life Years , Young Adult , Cost of Illness , Adolescent , Aged, 80 and over , Blood Pressure
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