Validation study of the JSHBPS nomogram for patients with colorectal liver metastases who underwent hepatic resection in the recent era - a nationwide survey in Japan.

BACKGROUND: The Japanese Society of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery (JSHBPS) nomogram was developed to predict disease-free survival in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) undergoing upfront hepatectomy. However, the utility of the nomogram in patients with resected CRLM remains unknown in the current situation in which treatment strategies are changing with advances in drugs. METHODS: Patients in the initial nomogram cohort (n = 727) and validation cohort (n = 2225) were divided into the upfront hepatectomy and preoperative chemotherapy groups. The nomogram was validated by measuring calibration and discrimination in the two cohorts. Calibration curves were plotted, and survival probabilities were compared. Finally, to quantify the discrimination power, we estimated the concordance index (C-index). RESULTS: In the upfront hepatectomy group, the C-index was 0.63, the suitable cutoff value of the Beppu score was 7, and adjuvant chemotherapy was significantly effective limited to high-risk patients (Beppu score ≥7). The C-index was 0.56 in the preoperative chemotherapy group. CONCLUSIONS: The JSHBPS nomogram remains beneficial for patients undergoing upfront hepatectomy in the recent era but is less effective for patients undergoing hepatectomy after chemotherapy. Patients with a Beppu score ≥7 showed high-risk recurrence, and adjuvant chemotherapy should be recommended for these patients.

Characteristics of Five-year Survivors After Liver Resection for Colorectal Liver Metastases in Modern Chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND/AIM: The aim of this study was to evaluate whether modern chemotherapy has changed characteristics of actual five-year survivors after liver resection for colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM). PATIENTS AND METHODS: The records of 210 patients, who underwent curative liver resection for CRLM at our institution between January 1990 and May 2014, were reviewed. The patients treated before 2004 when modern chemotherapy was not introduced were compared with the patients treated after 2005. RESULTS: Actual five-year survivor rates were significantly higher after 2005 (33.3% vs. 49.0%, p=0.022). Preoperative characteristics of actual five-year survivors were not different. The median survival time after non-resectable recurrence was significantly longer after 2005 (20.3 vs. 8.7 months, p=0.002). The proportion of 5-year survivors with recurrent site was significantly higher after 2005 (34.0% vs. 10.5%, p=0.019). CONCLUSION: Actual five-year survivors have increased by modern chemotherapy. However, approximately one-third of them were not cured.

Progressive Oncological Surgery Is Associated with Increased Curative Resection Rates and Improved Survival in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Secondary resection rates in first-line chemotherapy trials for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) remain below 15%, representing a clear contrast to reports by specialised surgical centres, where progressive liver, peritoneal-surface, and pulmonary surgery increased access to curative-intent treatment. We present a long-term evaluation of oncosurgical management in a single-centre, analysing the aggregate effect of gradual implementation of surgical subspecialties and systemic treatments on mCRC patients' resection rates and prognosis. METHODS: Patients with newly diagnosed mCRC from 2003 to 2014 were retrospectively categorised into palliative treatment (PAT) and curative intent surgery (CIS) and three time periods were analysed for treatment changes and factors associated with survival. RESULTS: Four hundred-twenty patients were treated (PAT:250/CIS:170). Over time periods, the number of presenting patients remained consistent, whereas curative resection rates increased from 29% to 55%, facilitated by an increment of patients undergoing hepatectomy (21 to 35%), pulmonary surgery (6 to 17%), and peritonectomy/intraoperative chemotherapy (0 to 8%). Also, recently, significantly more multi-line systemic treatments were applied. The median survival markedly improved from 21.9 months (2003⁻2006; 95% confidence interval (CI) 17.3⁻26.5) to 36.5 months (2011⁻2014; 95% CI 26.6⁻46.4; p = 0.018). PAT was a significant factor of poor survival and diagnosis of mCRC in the latest time period was independently associated with a distinctly lower risk for palliative treatment (odds ratio 0.15). CONCLUSIONS: In modern eras of medical oncology, achieving appropriate resection rates through utilization of state-of-the-art oncological surgery by dedicated experts represents a cornerstone for long-term survival in mCRC.

Effects of trastuzumab on locoregional recurrence in human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-overexpressing breast cancer patients treated with chemotherapy and radiotherapy.

PURPOSE: In the present study, the ability of adjuvant trastuzumab to reduce locoregional recurrence in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-overexpressing breast cancer receiving adjuvant chemotherapy and radiotherapy (RT) was investigated. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively included 520 patients with HER2-overexpressing breast cancer who received surgery followed by adjuvant RT and cytotoxic chemotherapy from 2003 to 2011. Adjuvant trastuzumab was administered to 286 patients. Propensity score matching was conducted to compare trastuzumab-treated and non-treated cohorts. RESULTS: Median follow-up duration was 7.1 years (range 1.1-14.1 years). Propensity score matching yielded 171 matched pairs of patients with no significantly different clinical factors. An improved 7-year locoregional control (LRC) rate was observed in the trastuzumab-treated cohort compared with the non-treated cohort (95.6% vs. 89.9%, p = 0.014). Based on multivariate analysis, hormone receptor negativity (hazard ratio [HR] = 5.348, p = 0.007), positive lymph node ratio > 0.25 (HR = 2.549, p = 0.040), and lack of adjuvant trastuzumab (HR = 3.401, p = 0.017) were identified as significant risk factors for poor LRC. Adjuvant trastuzumab significantly reduced the locoregional recurrence rate in patients with one or two risk factors (7-year LRC = 95.0% vs. 84.2%, p = 0.007); however, the benefit of adjuvant trastuzumab was non-significant in patients with no risk factors (7-year LRC = 95.8% vs. 97.9%, p = 0.75). CONCLUSIONS: Adjuvant trastuzumab improved LRC in patients with HER2-overexpressing breast cancer receiving adjuvant RT and cytotoxic chemotherapy, especially in hormone receptor-negative, HER2-enriched subtype, and high positive lymph node ratio breast cancer.