Prognostic value of xenograft engraftment in patients with metastatic high-risk neuroblastoma.

BACKGROUND: Successful engraftment of human cancer biopsies in immunodeficient mice correlates with the poor prognosis of patients. This was reported 30 years ago for children with neuroblastoma, but the standard of care treatment evolved significantly during the last 15 years, leading to improved survival of these patients. Here, we evaluated the association of patient-derived xenograft (PDX) engraftment and prognosis in patients receiving up-to-date treatments for cancers classified as metastatic (stage M) high-risk neuroblastoma (HR-NB) by the International Neuroblastoma Risk Group Staging System (INRGSS). METHODS: We obtained biopsies from patients with stage M HR-NB. We inoculated biopsy fragments subcutaneously in mice. We studied the association of PDX engraftment with event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients. RESULTS: Since 2009, we established 17 PDX from 97 samples of 66 patients with stage M HR-NB, with a follow-up of at least two years. Factors associated with higher probability of engraftment were the death as outcome (p = .0006) and the amplification of the gene MYCN in tumors (p = .0271). Patients whose biopsies established a PDX had significantly shorter EFS and OS (p = .0039 and .0002, respectively) than patients whose samples did not engraft. The association of PDX engraftment and OS was significant in patients without MYCN amplification (p = .0041), but not in patients with MYCN amplification (p = .2707). CONCLUSION: Positive PDX engraftment is a factor related to poor prognosis and fatal outcome in patients with stage M HR-NB treated with up-to-date therapies.

A population-based predictive model identifying optimal candidates for primary and metastasis resection in patients with colorectal cancer with liver metastatic.

Background: The survival benefit of primary and metastatic resection for patients with colorectal cancer with liver metastasis (CRLM) has been observed, but methods for discriminating which individuals would benefit from surgery have been poorly defined. Herein, a predictive model was developed to stratify patients into sub-population based on their response to surgery. Methods: We assessed the survival benefits for adults diagnosed with colorectal liver metastasis by comparing patients with curative surgery vs. those without surgery. CRLM patients enrolled in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2004 and 2015 were identified for model construction. Other data including CRLM patients from our center were obtained for external validation. Calibration plots, the area under the curve (AUC), and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram compared with the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification. The Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to examine whether this model would distinguish patients who could benefit from surgery. Results: A total of 1,220 eligible patients were identified, and 881 (72.2%) underwent colorectal and liver resection. Cancer-specific survival (CSS) for the surgery group was significantly better than that for the no-surgery group (41 vs. 14 months, p < 0.001). Five factors were found associated with CSS and adopted to build the nomograms, i.e., age, T stage, N stage, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and primary tumor position. The AUC of the CRLM nomogram showed a better performance in identifying patients who could obtain benefits in the surgical treatment, compared with TNM classification (training set, 0.826 [95% CI, 0.786-0.866] vs. 0.649 [95% CI, 0.598-0.701]; internal validation set, 0.820 [95% CI, 0.741-0.899] vs. 0.635 [95% CI, 0.539-0.731]; external validation set, 0.763 [95% CI, 0.691-0.836] vs. 0.626 [95% CI, 0.542-0.710]). The calibration curves revealed excellent agreement between the predicted and actual survival outcomes. The DCA showed that the nomogram exhibited more clinical benefits than the TNM staging system. The beneficial and surgery group survived longer significantly than the non-beneficial and surgery group (HR = 0.21, 95% CI, 0.17-0.27, p < 0.001), but no difference was observed between the non-beneficial and surgery and non-surgery groups (HR = 0.89, 95% CI, 0.71-1.13, p = 0.344). Conclusions: An accurate and easy-to-use CRLM nomogram has been developed and can be applied to identify optimal candidates for the resection of primary and metastatic lesions among CRLM patients.

Orbital Metastasis Is Associated With Decreased Survival in Stage M Neuroblastoma.

BACKGROUND: Approximately 30% of patients with metastatic (stage M) neuroblastoma present with periorbital ecchymosis from orbital osseous disease. Though locoregional disease is staged by imaging, the prognostic significance of metastatic site in stage M disease is unknown. We hypothesize that, compared to nonorbital metastasis, orbital metastasis is associated with decreased survival in patients with stage M neuroblastoma, and that periorbital ecchymosis reflects location and extent of orbital disease. PROCEDURE: Medical records and imaging from 222 patients with stage M neuroblastoma seen at St. Jude Children's Research Hospital between January 1995 and May 2009 were reviewed. Thirty-seven patients were <18 months of age at diagnosis and 185 were ≥18 months of age. Overall survival (OS) and 5-year survival (5YS) were compared for patients with and without orbital, calvarial and nonorbital osseous metastasis, and with and without periorbital ecchymosis (log-rank test). Associations of periorbital ecchymosis with orbital metastasis location/extent were explored (Fisher's exact test, t-test). RESULTS: In patients ≥18 months of age, only orbital metastasis was associated with decreased 5YS (P = 0.0323) and OS (P = 0.0288). In patients <18 months of age, neither orbital, calvarial, or nonorbital bone metastasis was associated with OS or 5YS. Periorbital ecchymosis was associated with higher number of involved orbital bones (P = 0.0135), but not location or survival. CONCLUSIONS: In patients ≥ 18 months of age with stage M neuroblastoma, orbital metastatic disease is associated with decreased 5YS and OS. In future clinical trials, orbital disease may be useful as an imaging-based risk factor for substratification of stage M neuroblastoma.