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1.
Eur Respir Rev ; 33(172)2024 Apr 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38719737

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This scoping review aimed to characterise definitions used to describe subclinical tuberculosis (TB), estimate the prevalence in different populations and describe the clinical characteristics and treatment outcomes in the scientific literature. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted using PubMed. We included studies published in English between January 1990 and August 2022 that defined "subclinical" or "asymptomatic" pulmonary TB disease, regardless of age, HIV status and comorbidities. We estimated the weighted pooled proportions of subclinical TB using a random-effects model by World Health Organization reported TB incidence, populations and settings. We also pooled the proportion of subclinical TB according to definitions described in published prevalence surveys. RESULTS: We identified 29 prevalence surveys and 71 other studies. Prevalence survey data (2002-2022) using "absence of cough of any duration" criteria reported higher subclinical TB prevalence than those using the stricter "completely asymptomatic" threshold. Prevalence estimates overlap in studies using other symptoms and cough duration. Subclinical TB in studies was commonly defined as asymptomatic TB disease. Higher prevalence was reported in high TB burden areas, community settings and immunocompetent populations. People with subclinical TB showed less extensive radiographic abnormalities, higher treatment success rates and lower mortality, although studies were few. CONCLUSION: A substantial proportion of TB is subclinical. However, prevalence estimates were highly heterogeneous between settings. Most published studies incompletely characterised the phenotype of people with subclinical TB. Standardised definitions and diagnostic criteria are needed to characterise this phenotype. Further research is required to enhance case finding, screening, diagnostics and treatment options for subclinical TB.


Subject(s)
Tuberculosis, Pulmonary , Humans , Prevalence , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/epidemiology , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/diagnosis , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/mortality , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/drug therapy , Asymptomatic Infections/epidemiology , Asymptomatic Infections/therapy , Cough/epidemiology , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use
2.
BMC Gastroenterol ; 23(1): 223, 2023 Jun 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37386357

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening (APCS) score and its derivatives have been used to predict advanced colorectal neoplasia (ACN). However, it remains unknown whether they apply to the current Chinese population in general clinical practice. Therefore, we aimed to update the APCS score system by applying data from two independent asymptomatic populations to predict the risk of ACN in China. METHODS: We developed an adjusted APCS (A-APCS) score by using the data of asymptomatic Chinese patients undergoing colonoscopies from January 2014 to December 2018. Furthermore, we validated this system in another cohort of 812 patients who underwent screening colonoscopy between January and December 2021. The discriminative calibration ability of the A-APCS and APCS scores was comparatively evaluated. RESULTS: Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were applied to assess the risk factors for ACN, and an adjusted scoring system of 0 to 6.5 points was schemed according to the results. Utilizing the developed score, 20.2%, 41.2%, and 38.6% of patients in the validation cohort were classified as average, moderate, and high risk, respectively. The corresponding ACN incidence rates were 1.2%, 6.0%, and 11.1%, respectively. In addition, the A-APCS score (c-statistics: 0.68 for the derivation and 0.80 for the validation cohort) showed better discriminative power than using predictors of APCS alone. CONCLUSIONS: The A-APCS score may be simple and useful in clinical applications for predicting ACN risk in China.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , East Asian People , Humans , China/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/diagnosis , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology , East Asian People/statistics & numerical data , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Risk Assessment , Health Status Indicators
3.
Clin Child Psychol Psychiatry ; 28(3): 1024-1037, 2023 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36939301

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The current study aimed to estimate the prevalence of common mental health difficulties in parents who have an infant with Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease (GORD), and to identify psychological predictors of parental anxiety, depression, and well-being, as a platform for subsequent intervention development. METHODS: Parents of infants with GORD (N = 309) completed online psychometric measures of potential predictors (self-compassion, illness appraisals, and illness uncertainty), potential confounders (sleep quality, relationship satisfaction, social support, and infant feeding satisfaction), and mental health outcomes (anxiety, depression, and wellbeing). The outcome measures were repeated eight-weeks later (N = 103). RESULTS: At the first time-point, 66% of participants exceed the clinical cut off for generalised anxiety disorder and 63% exceeded that for a depressive disorder. Both had significantly reduced eights-weeks later. Greater self-compassion predicted lower anxiety and depression, and better well-being, in both cross-sectional and longitudinal data, including when all confounders were controlled for. Illness uncertainty and illness appraisals were less consistent predictors. No robust differences were found between parents of infants with silent GORD and those with GORD with visible regurgitation. CONCLUSIONS: Parents of infants with GORD showed high rates of anxiety and depression, which were elevated compared to those that have been found in perinatal and general population samples. Self-compassion was a consistent predictor of better mental health and has promise as a proximal intervention target. Future research could benefit from examining the efficacy of a compassion-focussed intervention in this population.


Subject(s)
Gastroesophageal Reflux , Mental Health , Parent-Child Relations , Parents , Adult , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Anxiety/epidemiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Depression/epidemiology , Gastroesophageal Reflux/epidemiology , Longitudinal Studies , Mental Health/statistics & numerical data , Parents/psychology , Prevalence , Self-Compassion , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology
4.
Lymphat Res Biol ; 21(2): 111-117, 2023 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35914097

ABSTRACT

Background: Secondary upper extremity lymphedema occurs after an insult such as surgery. One theory suggests underlying lymphatic dysfunction predisposing certain patients into developing secondary lymphedema. We aim to determine the rate of incidental edema in the contralateral upper extremity of patients with secondary unilateral lymphedema. Methods and Results: MRI of the upper extremities were obtained in patients with lymphedema who were referred by a lymphedema clinic from 2017 to 2019. Axial short-tau inversion recovery MR images of the symptomatic and contralateral arms were retrospectively reviewed and edema severity was graded. Interobserver agreement was calculated. Indocyanine green (ICG) lymphography was compared against MRI stage in symptomatic and contralateral. Age, symptom duration, body mass index (BMI), and history of chemotherapy were compared between patients with and without contralateral limb lymphedema. ICG severity was compared against MRI stage. Seventy-eight patients were analyzed. The MRI stages of symptomatic versus contralateral arms were 1.7 ± 1.1 versus 0.1 ± 0.4 (p < 0.00001). Interobserver agreement was 0.86 (0.79-0.94). Of the patients with MRI Stage 1 or above in the symptomatic arm (n = 64), 55 (82.1%) patients demonstrated no abnormality in the contralateral arm. Nine patients (14.1%) demonstrated asymptomatic edema (MRI Stage 1). The mean ICG lymphography stage of symptomatic versus contralateral arms was 1.83 ± 0.96 versus 0.04 ± 0.25 (p < 0.00001). There was no difference in the age, symptom duration, BMI, or history of chemotherapy between patients with or without edema in the contralateral arm. Conclusion: Asymptomatic contralateral edema was detected in 14.1% of patients with unilateral secondary upper extremity lymphedema using MRI modality.


Subject(s)
Asymptomatic Diseases , Breast Cancer Lymphedema , Postoperative Complications , Postoperative Complications/diagnostic imaging , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Arm , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Patient Acuity , Indocyanine Green , Lymphography , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Humans , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Breast Cancer Lymphedema/diagnostic imaging , Breast Cancer Lymphedema/epidemiology
5.
JAMA ; 328(12): 1252-1255, 2022 09 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35930271

ABSTRACT

This study screens more than 50 000 youths in diverse populations of Colorado and Bavaria to assess whether previous SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with autoimmunity, which predicts future type 1 diabetes.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 , Adolescent , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Autoimmunity , COVID-19/epidemiology , Child , Colorado/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/immunology , Germany/epidemiology , Humans , SARS-CoV-2
6.
J Infect Public Health ; 15(8): 845-852, 2022 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35779468

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 infection in pregnancy ranges from asymptomatic infection to severe disease. However, the maternal and pregnancy outcomes are primarily favorable. Acute Respiratory Illness (ARI) score is a Visual Triage Checklist for Acute Respiratory symptoms created by the ministry of health of Saudi Arabia 12 to screen the patient for acute respiratory infection with MERS-CoV. It has been used during the COVID-19 pandemic to identify suspected cases and place patients in isolation precautions if the score is≥ 4. METHOD: This study is a cross-sectional study of all pregnant women who tested positive for COVID-19 in four medical centers located in four different cities in Saudi Arabia. The study period was from 1/3/2020 until 31/10/2020. Outcomes investigated were the prevalence of COVID infection in pregnant women at the time of delivery. Rate of asymptomatic disease, different maternal and pregnancy outcomes. Women were divided into symptomatic and asymptomatic groups according to the ARI score. The two groups were compared in maternal, perinatal, and neonatal outcomes. Furthermore, the cohort was divided according to maternal age into two groups: women of advanced maternal age ≥ 35 years and younger. The two groups were compared in maternal, perinatal, and neonatal outcomes RESULTS: During the study period, 9573 women gave birth at KAMCs, and 402 pregnant women were identified as COVID positive. Out of all COVID-positive women, only 394 women gave birth at KAMCs. The screening for COVID infection differed between the centers, but the testing was the same by the Nasopharyngeal polymerase chain reaction (PCR) swab. In Riyadh, screening was based on ARI scoring at the beginning of the pandemic. Then, it became universal. In Jeddah, the screening was based on ARI scoring. Any woman who scored four or more was labeled as suspected, and she was tested. Finally, in Madinah and Dammam, the screening was universal throughout the study. The prevalence of COVID-19 infection among women who gave birth at KAMCs was 4.2% (402/9573). (CI 3.8-4.6%). At the time of diagnosis, most women (62%) were asymptomatic. The most common symptoms were cough and shortness of breath. Twenty-two women (5.5%) had Pneumonia, and five women (1.3%) needed admission to Intensive care units (ICU). One woman died due to respiratory failure. When pregnancy outcomes were compared between symptomatic and asymptomatic women, pregnancy in symptomatic women was more likely to be complicated by Abortion (6 versus 2% p-value 0.00), fetal death (3 versus 1.3%), and cesarean delivery (30.8 versus 22.4%, p-value 0.001). COVID-positive pregnant women of advanced maternal age (AMA) were more likely to be symptomatic, have Abortion (5 versus 1%, p-value 0.01), and have Preterm delivery (17 versus 11% p-value 0.01) than younger women. In addition, neonatal death was more common in AMA COVID-positive women than younger (4 versus 0%), regardless of COVID-related symptoms. CONCLUSION: Most of the COVID-infected pregnant women are asymptomatic. Therefore, the ARI scoring system does not help to triage patients. Symptomatic women, especially those older than 35, tend to have a higher maternal and pregnancy complication rate.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious , Pregnancy Outcome , Abortion, Spontaneous/epidemiology , Abortion, Spontaneous/etiology , Adult , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , COVID-19/complications , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Mass Screening/methods , Mass Screening/statistics & numerical data , Pandemics , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/diagnosis , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/epidemiology , Pregnancy Outcome/epidemiology , Prevalence , SARS-CoV-2 , Saudi Arabia/epidemiology
8.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 79(8): 757-768, 2022 03 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35210030

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Elevated lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] and coronary artery calcium (CAC) score are individually associated with increased atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk but have not been studied in combination. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to investigate the independent and joint association of Lp(a) and CAC with ASCVD risk. METHODS: Plasma Lp(a) and CAC were measured at enrollment among asymptomatic participants of the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) (n = 4,512) and DHS (Dallas Heart Study) (n = 2,078) cohorts. Elevated Lp(a) was defined as the highest race-specific quintile, and 3 CAC score categories were studied (0, 1-99, and ≥100). Associations of Lp(a) and CAC with ASCVD risk were evaluated using risk factor-adjusted Cox regression models. RESULTS: Among MESA participants (61.9 years of age, 52.5% women, 36.8% White, 29.3% Black, 22.2% Hispanic, and 11.7% Chinese), 476 incident ASCVD events were observed during 13.2 years of follow-up. Elevated Lp(a) and CAC score (1-99 and ≥100) were independently associated with ASCVD risk (HR: 1.29; 95% CI: 1.04-1.61; HR: 1.68; 95% CI: 1.30-2.16; and HR: 2.66; 95% CI: 2.07-3.43, respectively), and Lp(a)-by-CAC interaction was not noted. Compared with participants with nonelevated Lp(a) and CAC = 0, those with elevated Lp(a) and CAC ≥100 were at the highest risk (HR: 4.71; 95% CI: 3.01-7.40), and those with elevated Lp(a) and CAC = 0 were at a similar risk (HR: 1.31; 95% CI: 0.73-2.35). Similar findings were observed when guideline-recommended Lp(a) and CAC thresholds were considered, and findings were replicated in the DHS. CONCLUSIONS: Lp(a) and CAC are independently associated with ASCVD risk and may be useful concurrently for guiding primary prevention therapy decisions.


Subject(s)
Coronary Artery Disease , Coronary Vessels/pathology , Lipoprotein(a)/blood , Vascular Calcification , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Coronary Artery Disease/epidemiology , Coronary Artery Disease/prevention & control , Ethnicity , Female , Heart Disease Risk Factors , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Multidetector Computed Tomography/methods , Multidetector Computed Tomography/statistics & numerical data , Primary Prevention , Risk Factors , United States/epidemiology , Vascular Calcification/blood , Vascular Calcification/epidemiology , Vascular Calcification/pathology
9.
Minerva Cardiol Angiol ; 70(5): 583-593, 2022 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35212509

ABSTRACT

Advancing age of the global population is one of the main reasons for the uprising trend in atrial fibrillation (AF) prevalence worldwide leading to a proper "AF epidemic". Strictly related to the increasing prevalence of AF in the elderly is the relevant burden of cardiac end extra-cardiac comorbidities that these patients show. Patients with AF are frequently asymptomatic (i.e., asymptomatic or silent AF) and thus the arrhythmia is generally underdiagnosed. Detainment of proper treatment in elderly and comorbid patients may potentially result in significant morbidity and mortality. Therefore, in recent years, several screening strategies (systematic vs opportunistic screening) for asymptomatic AF have been developed and early diagnosis of AF is an important treatment goal that can improve prognosis. This review will focus on the prevalence of asymptomatic AF in the elderly, frequently associated comorbidities, screening strategies, and implications for a correct AF diagnosis.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , Aged , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Humans , Mass Screening , Prevalence , Prognosis
10.
J Vasc Surg ; 75(6): 1945-1957, 2022 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35090991

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The current Society for Vascular Surgery guidelines for the treatment of patients with asymptomatic carotid stenosis recommend endarterectomy for patients with >70% stenosis and acceptable surgical risk. The reduced rate of stroke with modern medical therapy has increased the importance of careful selection in deciding which patients should undergo elective carotid endarterectomy (CEA) for asymptomatic disease. It would, therefore, be very prudent to investigate preexisting variables predictive of 5-year mortality for patients meeting the criteria to undergo CEA. METHODS: The Vascular Quality Initiative was queried from 2003 onward for all cases of CEA. Inclusion in the study required the following: (1) documentation of survival status; (2) complete data on all incorporated demographic study variables; and (3) asymptomatic neurologic status. The variables present at surgery were investigated using binary logistic regression to identify multivariate predictors of 5-year mortality. The highest risk variables were then interrogated for an additive effect regarding long-term mortality. A subanalysis was performed for patients aged >80 years. RESULTS: A total of 30,615 patients met the inclusion criteria, 5414 (18%) of whom had died within 5 years. The highest risk variables were classified as those that had had an adjusted odds ratio >1.25, P < .001, and beta coefficient of ≥0.25. These included a body mass index <20 kg/m2, diabetes mellitus, a history of congestive heart failure, renal insufficiency, end-stage renal disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, living status other than home, prior lower extremity bypass, prior major amputation, Black race relative to other races combined, hemoglobin <10 mg/dL, a history of neck irradiation, and a history of smoking. Age had an annual odds ratio of 1.04 (P < .001). Other variables that achieved a statistically significant (P < .05) association with 5-year mortality were coronary artery disease, a positive stress test or the occurrence of myocardial infarction within 2 years, lower extremity arterial intervention, aneurysm repair, and P2Y12 inhibitor therapy at surgery. The use of statin and aspirin therapy at surgery were both protective against 5-year mortality (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: We identified 12 particularly high-risk variables, which, in combination, progressively predicted for increasing mortality within 5 years of CEA performed for asymptomatic stenosis. Special attention should be given to patients aged >80 years and patients with any history of congestive heart failure regardless of current symptoms, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, renal insufficiency or end-stage renal disease, peripheral artery disease, diabetes, and variables associated with frailty (BMI under 20, anemia, assisted living status).


Subject(s)
Carotid Stenosis , Diabetes Mellitus , Endarterectomy, Carotid , Heart Failure , Kidney Failure, Chronic , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive , Stroke , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Carotid Stenosis/complications , Carotid Stenosis/diagnostic imaging , Carotid Stenosis/surgery , Constriction, Pathologic/complications , Endarterectomy, Carotid/adverse effects , Heart Failure/etiology , Humans , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/complications , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Stroke/etiology , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome
12.
Biochim Biophys Acta Mol Basis Dis ; 1868(1): 166269, 2022 01 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34537368

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To explore the clinical features, fetal outcomes and serum bile acids (BAs) metabolism in asymptomatic hypercholanemia of pregnancy (AHP), as well as the comparison with those in intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy (ICP) and normal pregnancies. METHODS: A study containing 676 pregnant women was performed to investigate the clinical informations, routine biochemical features and obstetric outcomes of AHP by the comparison with ICP and normal pregnancies. Within the study subjects, 203 pregnant women received prospective determination for 55 serum individual BAs based on a validated UPLC-QTOF-MS/MS method. The differences in clinical features and serum BAs metabolism among the three groups were then investigated. RESULTS: The risk of adverse fetal outcomes in AHP (28.3%) was significantly higher than that in normal pregnancies (8.9%, p < 0.001), but lower than that in ICP group (52.1%, p < 0.001). Multivariate statistics analysis indicated a distinctive serum BAs metabolic profiling among the three groups (PLS-DA, R2Y = 0.580, Q2 = 0.537). Levels of serum BAs especially for deoxycholic acid species were found remarkably elevated in AHP as compared to those in ICP. CONCLUSIONS: AHP group had distinguished clinical features and serum BAs metabolism as compared to ICP group and normal pregnancies.


Subject(s)
Bile Acids and Salts/blood , Cholestasis, Intrahepatic/metabolism , Cholic Acids/blood , Lipid Metabolism , Pregnancy Complications/metabolism , Steroid Metabolism, Inborn Errors/metabolism , Adult , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Cholestasis, Intrahepatic/blood , Cholestasis, Intrahepatic/epidemiology , Cholestasis, Intrahepatic/pathology , Cholic Acids/metabolism , Female , Fetus , Humans , Metabolomics/standards , Multivariate Analysis , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Complications/blood , Pregnancy Complications/epidemiology , Pregnancy Complications/pathology , Steroid Metabolism, Inborn Errors/blood , Steroid Metabolism, Inborn Errors/epidemiology , Steroid Metabolism, Inborn Errors/pathology , Tandem Mass Spectrometry
13.
Acta Radiol ; 63(3): 393-400, 2022 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33541090

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Higher baseline Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score (ASPECTS) was associated with a lower probability of hemorrhagic transformation in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). PURPOSE: To investigate the predictive value of cerebral blood volume (CBV)-ASPECTS of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) in AIS treated with thrombectomy selected by computed tomographic perfusion (CTP) in an extended time window. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 91 consecutive patients with AIS with large vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation after thrombectomy in an extended time window were enrolled between January 2018 and September 2019. ICH was diagnosed according to Heidelberg Bleeding Classification. CBV-ASPECTS was assessed by evaluating each ASPECTS region for relatively low CBV value compared with the mirror region in the contralateral hemisphere. Demographic characteristics, clinical data, CBV-ASPECTS, and procedure process and results were compared between patients with ICH and those without. RESULTS: ICH occurred in 31/91 (34.1%) patients with AIS. Symptomatic ICH (sICH) was observed in 4 (4.4%) patients, while asymptomatic ICH (aICH) was seen in 27 (29.7%). In univariate analysis, both ICH and aICH were associated with high admission NIHSS score (P<0.001 and P<0.001, respectively), more passes of retriever (P = 0.007 and P = 0.019, respectively), low NCCT-ASPECTS (P = 0.013 and P = 0.034, respectively), and low CBV-ASPECTS (P < 0.001 and P < 0.001, respectively). After multivariable analysis, low CBV-ASPECTS remained an independent predictor of ICH (odds ratio [OR] 0.521, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.371-0.732, P < 0.001) and aICH (OR 0.532, 95% CI 0.376-0.752, P < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSION: Low CBV-ASPECTS independently predicts ICH in patients with AIS treated with thrombectomy selected by CTP in an extended time window.


Subject(s)
Cerebral Blood Volume , Intracranial Hemorrhages/diagnosis , Ischemic Stroke/surgery , Mechanical Thrombolysis/methods , Multidetector Computed Tomography , Postoperative Complications/diagnosis , Acute Disease , Aged , Analysis of Variance , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Cerebrovascular Circulation , Confidence Intervals , Female , Fibrinolytic Agents/administration & dosage , Humans , Infarction, Middle Cerebral Artery/diagnostic imaging , Infarction, Middle Cerebral Artery/surgery , Intracranial Hemorrhages/epidemiology , Ischemic Stroke/diagnostic imaging , Male , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Predictive Value of Tests , Recombinant Proteins/administration & dosage , Retrospective Studies , Time Factors , Tissue Plasminogen Activator/administration & dosage , Tomography, Spiral Computed/methods
14.
Dig Dis Sci ; 67(1): 305-314, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33471253

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Risk stratification of postendoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis (PEP) for common bile duct (CBD) stones is needed for clinicians to adequately explain to patients regarding the risk of PEP in advance of ERCP and to proactively take preventive measures in high-risk patients. AIMS: To stratify the risk of PEP for CBD stones based on CBD-related diseases. METHODS: A total of 1551 patients with naïve papilla who underwent ERCP for CBD stones were divided into three groups: Group A: asymptomatic CBD stones, Group B: obstructive jaundice and elevated liver test values without cholangitis, and Group C: mild, moderate, and severe cholangitis. We stratified the risk of PEP by comparing its incidence among the three groups using the Holm's method. Furthermore, we performed one-to-one propensity score matching between Group A and the other groups to examine the risk of PEP in Group A. RESULTS: The incidence rates in Groups A, B, and C were 13.7%, 7.3%, and 1.8%, respectively. The Holm-adjusted p values between Groups A and B, Groups A and C, and Groups B and C were 0.023, < 0.001, and < 0.001, respectively. Propensity score matching revealed that the incidence of PEP was significantly more in Group A than in the other groups (13.3% vs. 1.5%; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of PEP for CBD stones was stratified into low risk (Group C), intermediate risk (Group B), and high risk (Group A). This simple disease-based risk stratification may be useful to predict the risk of PEP in advance of ERCP.


Subject(s)
Cholangiopancreatography, Endoscopic Retrograde , Cholangitis , Gallstones , Liver Function Tests/methods , Pancreatitis , Postoperative Complications , Risk Assessment/methods , Aged , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Asymptomatic Diseases/therapy , Cholangiopancreatography, Endoscopic Retrograde/adverse effects , Cholangiopancreatography, Endoscopic Retrograde/methods , Cholangitis/blood , Cholangitis/epidemiology , Cholangitis/etiology , Cholangitis/therapy , Female , Gallstones/diagnosis , Gallstones/physiopathology , Gallstones/surgery , Humans , Incidence , Japan/epidemiology , Jaundice, Obstructive/epidemiology , Jaundice, Obstructive/etiology , Jaundice, Obstructive/therapy , Male , Pancreatitis/diagnosis , Pancreatitis/etiology , Pancreatitis/prevention & control , Postoperative Complications/diagnosis , Postoperative Complications/prevention & control , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Severity of Illness Index
15.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 15(12): e0009708, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34874936

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Leptospirosis is a zoonotic disease transmitted through the urine of wild and domestic animals, and is responsible for over 50,000 deaths each year. In East Africa, prevalence varies greatly, from as low as 7% in Kenya to 37% in Somalia. Transmission epidemiology also varies around the world, with research in Nicaragua showing that rodents are the most clinically important, while studies in Egypt and Chile suggest that dogs may play a more important role. There are no published studies of leptospirosis in Rwanda. METHODS & FINDINGS: We performed a cross-sectional survey of asymptomatic adults recruited from five occupational categories. Serum samples were tested using ELISA and Microscopic Agglutination Test (MAT). We found that 40.1% (151/377) of asymptomatic adults had been exposed to Leptospira spp. Almost 36.3% of positive subjects reported contact with rats (137/377) which represent 90.7% among positive leptospira serology compared with 48.2% of negative subjects (182/377) which represent 80.5% among negative leptospira serology (OR 2.37, CI 1.25-4.49) and 1.7 fold on prevalence ratio and 2.37 of odd ratio. Furthermore, being a crop farmer was significantly associated with leptospirosis (OR 2.06, CI 1.29-3.28). We identified 6 asymptomatic subjects (1.6%) who met criteria for acute infection. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates a high prevalence of leptospiral antibodies infection among asymptomatic adults in rural Rwanda, particularly relative to neighboring countries. Although positive subjects were more likely to report rat contact, we found no independent association between rats and leptospirosis infection. Nonetheless, exposure was high among crop farmers, which is supportive of the hypothesis that rats together with domestic livestock might contribute to the transmission. Further studies are needed to understand infecting Leptospira servers and elucidate the transmission epidemiology in Rwanda and identify means of host transmitters.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Bacterial/blood , Leptospira/immunology , Leptospirosis/blood , Adult , Aged , Agglutination Tests , Animals , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Leptospira/classification , Leptospira/genetics , Leptospira/isolation & purification , Leptospirosis/epidemiology , Leptospirosis/microbiology , Leptospirosis/transmission , Male , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Rodentia/microbiology , Rwanda/epidemiology , Seroepidemiologic Studies , Young Adult , Zoonoses/blood , Zoonoses/epidemiology , Zoonoses/microbiology , Zoonoses/transmission
16.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 22236, 2021 11 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34782634

ABSTRACT

Carotid atherosclerosis (CAS) is a risk factor for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events, but duplex ultrasonography isn't recommended in routine screening for asymptomatic populations according to medical guidelines. We aim to develop machine learning models to screen CAS in asymptomatic adults. A total of 2732 asymptomatic subjects for routine physical examination in our hospital were included in the study. We developed machine learning models to classify subjects with or without CAS using decision tree, random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM) and multilayer perceptron (MLP) with 17 candidate features. The performance of models was assessed on the testing dataset. The model using MLP achieved the highest accuracy (0.748), positive predictive value (0.743), F1 score (0.742), area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) (0.766) and Kappa score (0.445) among all classifiers. It's followed by models using XGBoost and SVM. In conclusion, the model using MLP is the best one to screen CAS in asymptomatic adults based on the results from routine physical examination, followed by using XGBoost and SVM. Those models may provide an effective and applicable method for physician and primary care doctors to screen asymptomatic CAS without risk factors in general population, and improve risk predictions and preventions of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events in asymptomatic adults.


Subject(s)
Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Carotid Artery Diseases/epidemiology , Machine Learning , Mass Screening/methods , Models, Theoretical , Aged , Biomarkers , Carotid Artery Diseases/diagnosis , Carotid Artery Diseases/etiology , Disease Susceptibility , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , ROC Curve , Support Vector Machine
17.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 22892, 2021 11 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34819555

ABSTRACT

Clinical and prognostic differences between symptomatic and asymptomatic older patients with COVID-19 are of great interest since frail patients often show atypical presentation of illness. Lung Ultrasound (LUS) has been proven to be a reliable tool for detecting early-phase COVID-19 pneumonic alterations. The current prospective bicentric study aimed to compare LUS score and 3-month overall mortality between asymptomatic and symptomatic older patients with COVID-19, according to frailty status. Patients were stratified according to LUS score tertiles and Clinical Frailty Scale categories. Survival rate was assessed by telephone interviews 3 months after discharge. 64 symptomatic (24 women, aged 80.0 ± 10.8 years) and 46 asymptomatic (31 women, aged 84.3 ± 8.8 years) were consecutively enrolled. LUS score resulted an independent predictor of 3-month mortality [OR 2.27 (CI95% 1.09-4.8), p = 0.03], and the highest mortality rate was observed in symptomatic and asymptomatic pre-frail and frail patients (70.6% and 66.7%, respectively) with greater LUS abnormalities (3rd tertile). In conclusion, LUS identified an acute interstitial lung involvement in most of the older asymptomatic patients. Mortality rate progressively increased according to clinical frailty and LUS score degree, resulting a reliable prognostic tool in both symptomatic and asymptomatic patients.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/diagnostic imaging , COVID-19/mortality , Pneumonia/diagnostic imaging , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , COVID-19/complications , Female , Hospitalization , Humans , Lung/diagnostic imaging , Lung/pathology , Male , Pneumonia/immunology , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2/metabolism , SARS-CoV-2/pathogenicity , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods , Ultrasonography/methods
18.
Clin Neurol Neurosurg ; 210: 107013, 2021 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34775363

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: We investigated the characteristics and relationship of co-existing intracranial artery stenosis (ICAS) and extracranial carotid atherosclerosis in an asymptomatic rural population in northern China. METHODS: Asymptomatic residents ≥ 30 years old in 13 villages underwent simultaneous cervical vascular and transcranial Doppler ultrasound. ICAS was defined as ≥ 50% stenosis. Extracranial carotid atherosclerosis severity was classified as increased intimal medial thickness (IMT), plaques, and a plaque with ≥ 50% extracranial artery stenosis (ECAS). Demographic details, medical history, and blood biochemistry results were collected. The relationship between ICAS and extracranial carotid atherosclerosis severity was determined using the chi-square trend test and binary logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 2598 asymptomatic participants were included; 122 (4.7%) had ICAS, 1071 (41.2%) had extracranial carotid atherosclerosis, and 84 (3.2%) had co-existing extracranial carotid atherosclerosis and ICAS. Those with co-existing ICAS and extracranial carotid atherosclerosis were older (P = 0.006) and had a higher hypertension (HTN) and diabetes mellitus (DM) prevalence (P < 0.001). HTN (95% confidence interval [CI]=1.31-3.55, odds ratio [OR]=2.15) and DM (95% CI=1.17-4.30, OR=2.24) were found to be independent risk factors for asymptomatic ICAS with extracranial carotid atherosclerosis. Among those with ICAS, 38/122 had no extracranial carotid atherosclerosis, 8/122 had increased IMT, 64/122 had a plaque, and 12/122 had ECAS. As extracranial carotid atherosclerosis severity increases, ICAS prevalence increases. CONCLUSION: Co-existing ICAS and extracranial carotid atherosclerosis occurred in 3.2% of asymptomatic populations in rural areas of northern China. As extracranial carotid atherosclerosis severity increased, ICAS prevalence also increased. HTN and DM might be independent indicators of co-existing ICAS and extracranial carotid atherosclerosis.


Subject(s)
Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Carotid Stenosis/diagnostic imaging , Carotid Stenosis/epidemiology , Intracranial Arteriosclerosis/diagnostic imaging , Intracranial Arteriosclerosis/epidemiology , Rural Population/trends , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , China/epidemiology , Comorbidity , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged
19.
PLoS One ; 16(11): e0259908, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34762704

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The incidence of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections in the Belgian community is mainly estimated based on test results of patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19)-like symptoms. The aim of this study was to investigate the evolution of the SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) positivity ratio and distribution of viral loads within a cohort of asymptomatic patients screened prior hospitalization or surgery, stratified by age category. MATERIALS/METHODS: We retrospectively studied data on SARS-CoV-2 real-time RT-PCR detection in respiratory tract samples of asymptomatic patients screened pre-hospitalization or pre-surgery in nine Belgian hospitals located in Flanders over a 12-month period (1 April 2020-31 March 2021). RESULTS: In total, 255925 SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test results and 2421 positive results for which a viral load was reported, were included in this study. An unweighted overall SARS-CoV-2 real-time RT-PCR positivity ratio of 1.27% was observed with strong spatiotemporal differences. SARS-CoV-2 circulated predominantly in 80+ year old individuals across all time periods except between the first and second COVID-19 wave and in 20-30 year old individuals before the second COVID-19 wave. In contrast to the first wave, a significantly higher positivity ratio was observed for the 20-40 age group in addition to the 80+ age group compared to the other age groups during the second wave. The median viral load follows a similar temporal evolution as the positivity rate with an increase ahead of the second wave and highest viral loads observed for 80+ year old individuals. CONCLUSION: There was a high SARS-CoV-2 circulation among asymptomatic patients with a predominance and highest viral loads observed in the elderly. Moreover, ahead of the second COVID-19 wave an increase in median viral load was noted with the highest overall positivity ratio observed in 20-30 year old individuals, indicating they could have been the hidden drivers of this wave.


Subject(s)
Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , COVID-19/diagnosis , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Belgium/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/pathology , COVID-19/virology , Female , Hospitalization , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Respiratory Tract Infections/pathology , Respiratory Tract Infections/surgery , Respiratory Tract Infections/virology , SARS-CoV-2/pathogenicity , Young Adult
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